埃里克・施密特在慕尼黑“国际数字生活设计大会”(DLD)闭幕式上的主题演讲...

　　感谢大会邀请我发表主题演讲，我首先要感谢布尔达先生(休伯特・布尔达(Hubert Burda)，德国布尔达传媒集团董事长，德国报纸出版商协会总裁)对于此次大会所作出的贡献。在当前全球各大邀请制业界会议中，我还没有发现哪一个比DLD大会办得更出色，在这里我要向布尔达先生表示祝贺，并希望您能将DLD大会继续办下去。

　　我有许多想说的，首先要说：在过去的一年中，我们表现得很好，尤其是上一个季度业绩十分强劲。在全球范围内，我们的业务表现都令人满意，因此在这里我要很高兴地宣布，我们将在欧洲招聘1000名新员工，并进行一些重大投资。其中，数百名员工将被分配到慕尼黑技术中心。

　　我认为，谷歌未来的10年将比过去的10年更令人着迷。届时，科技会做一些我们想做的事情，而不是由我们来告诉科技我们想做什么。

　　在这里我想强调三件事情。在移动时代，智能手机是我们这个是时代的设备，包括平板电脑在内，这样的例子不胜枚举。如果你有孩子，就会注意到他们只有两种状态：睡觉或在线。

　　在未来两年内，智能手机销量将超越PC。当前手机的发展速度是PC的8倍，将来越来越多的人将通过手机上网，而不是PC。固定电话将会消失。（He said sales of smartphones will exceed sales of PCs worldwide within two years.The mobile web is growing about eight times faster than the PC web at an equivalent point of its development.）

　　我想说的另一个趋势是：没有连接到互联网的设备将失去吸引力（I would argue that devices not connected to the internet are not interesting anymore）。对于任何拥有CPU的设备，如果能够连接到Wi-Fi网络，那将是怎样一种情形。

　　据预计，将有350亿台设备接入互联网。由于接入的设备太多，将来我们可能不会再计算该数字。但我们需要了解后端设备，例如实时的语音翻译服务，其后台有成千上万台服务器在支持。（Schmidt said some estimates place the number of internet-connected devices at 35 billion. At some point, we’ll stop counting, he said, because everything will be connected.）

　　在我看来，这改变了游戏规则。有多少场战争是因为信息传递错误所致？而现在我们可以尝试利用这些新技术来解决。我们可以用手机做许多事情，但不要忘记后台有许多基础设施在支持。

　　将来谷歌会进一步优化服务，加快搜索速度，提供更加个性化的搜索结果。我要强调一点，这需要用户的配合，告诉我们界限在哪里。想象一下，手机可能知道用户的许多信息，包括喜好和厌恶等等。

　　互联网是一个伟大的创新，跨越各个行业。在互联网上我们每天可以接触到十多亿人，令人难以想象。但同时，这也是一件很恐怖的事情，因为有太多的信息需要处理。真不知道我们将如何处理这些在多个方面存在冲突的信息。

　　网民很重视这个问题，需要尽快解决，但我认为，目前我们还没有根本的解决办法。而且，我们还仅仅处于解决这个问题的初级阶段，这也是我认为需要关注此次大会的原因。

　　我是一个计算机科学家，因此认为计算机科学可以解决许多问题，这可能有些偏见。想象一下，在不远的将来，人们将不会忘记任何事情，这是因为有了计算机的帮助。在用户授权的情况下，帮助用户记住任何事情。

　　我一直在感慨，谷歌地球在如此大的程度上帮助我们了解了地球。其实，我们拥有了解任何事情的能力。我们知道气候变化是真实存在的，我们需要基于事实对此进行讨论，而科技可以帮助我们。

　　再来说说汽车，你不认为汽车应该由计算机驾驶吗？目前我们正在做这方面的研究，我认为这很令人兴奋。

　　有了谷歌，你不会再独自旅游，你不会再感到无聊，你可以用互联网取代电视机。因此，你不会再孤独和无聊，世界上的所有信息都掌握在你的指尖。

　　更重要的是，这些信息并不是仅对少数的精英分子开放。此前，我们保存的信息仅限于精英分子查看。而我们认为，世界上每一个人都可以查看这些信息。我们将帮助人们解决这个问题，而且并不局限于西方国家网民，还包括新兴市场用户。我们下一个目标就是要把新兴市场的网民带到“我们”这个世界。

The chairman of Google talked about the next decade and how it will bring about a time when we are the masters of technology, and not visa versa. You could think of it, he said, as the of “augmented humanity.” If you’re looking for a roadmap of what to prepare yourself or your company for in the future, Schmidt’s vision is as good as any. His view of the next decade is interesting because he has just spent the past decade as CEO of one of the few companies that is trying to touch almost everything in the digital world. Schmidt has given this kind of speech before, but he is fleshing out his vision with each talk. It was the first big talk he gave since turning over the CEO title to Google co-founder Larry Page last week.
“Technology will finally serve us,” he said in a speech at the close of the Digital Life Design conference in Munich. “In my whole career, I always felt like I had to serve the computer. It was me who had to fix the computer. We can all relate to that. Finally, I think we are at the point where they do what we want.”
Schmidt said the “smartphone more than the iconic device of our time; the smartphone is the device of our time.” He said sales of smartphones will exceed sales of PCs worldwide within two years. The mobile web is growing about eight times faster than the PC web at an equivalent point of its development.
Imagine the wonder, he said, of going online via a smartphone after being limited to getting information in an unconnected village for your whole life.
Every company, Schmidt said, should adopt a “mobile first” strategy to get ready for this era.
“I would argue that devices not connected to the internet are not interesting anymore,” he said. You should expect that every device with a microprocessor will be connected to the network.
Schmidt said some estimates place the number of internet-connected devices at 35 billion. At some point, we’ll stop counting, he said, because everything will be connected.
Schmidt said he was particularly encourage that mobile carriers are now deploying Long-Term Evolution (LTE) networks across the world now. LTE is rated to carry data at speeds as high as 50 megabits a second. In effect, the rated actual performance is around 8 megabits to 10 megabits a second in the real world. Actual service plans will likely give one or two megabits a second of service to users.
That’s certainly fast enough to do your email at maximum efficiency, but it takes about 10 megabits a second to do two-way video calls with great quality.
Schmidt noted that, on the ground, Australia is planning to bring fiber-to-the-home for 93 percent of Australians. That could give users gigabit-per-second speeds in their homes. Such speeds would eliminate any obstacles to providing digital bits to people, whether they take the form of 3D games or high-definition video.
In the next decade, the last major piece of the puzzle — cloud computing — will come into its own. He noted that 1,000 computer servers can form the back-end system for voice translation software, which allows you to speak into the phone in one language and have your words come out in another language for the person on another phone.
“It seems to work like magic,” he said, noting that Google is testing the technology.
The changes that these technologies will bring about are mind-boggling, Schmidt said. The phone becomes not just a phone, but a phone connected to a bunch of supercomputers.
“You can sit in the airport and then use your phone to imagine that you’re skiing downhill virtually in Vancouver,” he said.

You don’t have to get lost anymore, with things like Google Maps. He noted that one blogger was arrested in Tunisia and he let people know about that through his phone and Google Latitude. He was rescued during that country’s revolution.
He noted that satellite images of war-torn Sudan can show whether armed forces are building up in certain areas of disputed territory.
More cool and useful technology awaits. Cars can drive themselves. You no longer have to be bored when waiting for something.
The technology will provide you with helpful suggestions, like errands that you can do at places you are passing by — with your permission.
The devices to make this all happen are being put in place now. He said that Google Android phones are being activated at a rate well above 300,000 devices per day. There are 145 models of Android phones, 27 manufacturers, 169 carriers, and 96 countries.
The people who will reap the most benefits of this coming era are our children. He said that if you have a child, “the child is asleep or online.”
Disclosure: DLD paid my way to Munich so I could moderate a panel. Venture Beat maintains that our coverage of the conference is objective and independent.