LOPA Definition
LOPA Definition
LOPA is a process to evaluate risk with explicit risk tolerance for a specific consequence
Alaska crab fishing fatality 0.356% per year (i.e. 35x the acceptable risk for industrial work environment)
[NIOSH 1997]
If so, who decide how much risk your company can take on? Are the decisions consistent across the company?
In our example, the reboiler condensate pot can overpressure leading to vessel rupture and resulting in a single fatality
Steam
Drawing Ref.
D-101
2 3
3/4
LT 253
HLL=2550 mm
PG 253
NLL=1650 mm LLL=250 mm
2 3
LC 253
3/4
LY 253
LV 253
Condensate
6 Drawing Ref.
Multiple Fatality
0.001%/year
Single Fatality
0.01%/year
0.1%/ year
Hospitalized Injury
The level control valve can fail in the closed position leading to overpressure
Steam
Drawing Ref.
D-101
2 3
3/4
LT 253
HLL=2550 mm
PG 253
NLL=1650 mm LLL=250 mm
2 3
LC 253
3/4
LY 253
LV 253
Condensate
6 Drawing Ref.
Lets say this control loop has a 0.1 probability (10% chance) of failure per year
Step 4: Identify independent protection layers and assign a risk reduction factor
Important! Each protection layer must be independent from the initiating event and independent from other safeguards
Steam
Drawing Ref.
D-101
2 3
3/4
LT 253
HLL=2550 mm
PG 253
NLL=1650 mm LLL=250 mm
2 3
LC 253
3/4
LY 253
LV 253
Condensate
6 Drawing Ref.
Lets say the pressure safety valve will reduce the likelihood of rupture by 100
or you can say Risk Reduction of 100 you can also say the Probability of Failure on Demand of 0.01
Steam
Drawing Ref.
D-101
2 3
3/4
LT 253
HLL=2550 mm
PG 253
NLL=1650 mm LLL=250 mm
2 3
LC 253
3/4
LY 253
LV 253
Condensate
6 Drawing Ref.
Given a person will be around the vessel when ruptured Our expected frequency of a fatality in this scenario is 0.001 per year Or
Steam
Drawing Ref.
D-101
2 3
3/4
LT 253
HLL=2550 mm
PG 253
NLL=1650 mm LLL=250 mm
2 3
LC 253
3/4
LY 253
LV 253
Condensate
6 Drawing Ref.
Thats 10 times
more likely than the maximum frequency your company can accept for a single fatality
Steam
Drawing Ref.
D-101
2 3
LT 253
HLL=2550 mm
HH
PT 253
NLL=1650 mm LLL=250 mm
2 3
LC 253
LY 253
LV 253
Condensate
6 Drawing Ref.
This safeguard consist of a pressure sensor, logic solver (independent from the level control) and a valve as a final element
PT 253
Since we need to reduce the risk by a factor of 10 The probability of failure on demand of the safety instrumented function must be less than 0.1
Or you can say the safety instrumented function must meet the requirements of safety integrity level 1
XV 253
PT 253
Expected frequency with the new safeguard = 0.1 probability of valve failure per year x 0.01 probability of safety valve failure x 0.1 probability of the safety instrumented function failure =0.0001/year
Adding a safety instrumented function is one option to meet the tolerable frequency. Is it a good decision? Is there a better option?
Any Questions?
Risk. Inspired.