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Odd Probabilities

This document provides statistics and probabilities for common starting hands, flop outcomes, and post-flop odds in Texas Hold'em poker. It lists the percentage chances of pairing cards in one's starting hand, making various draws on the flop like straights or flushes, and the odds of being dealt specific starting hands like pocket aces. The document also includes tables showing the post-flop odds of making a hand when needing a certain number of "outs" on the turn and river. The tables are to help players determine their chances of completing draws based on the number of cards in their suit or needed to make their hand.

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128 views

Odd Probabilities

This document provides statistics and probabilities for common starting hands, flop outcomes, and post-flop odds in Texas Hold'em poker. It lists the percentage chances of pairing cards in one's starting hand, making various draws on the flop like straights or flushes, and the odds of being dealt specific starting hands like pocket aces. The document also includes tables showing the post-flop odds of making a hand when needing a certain number of "outs" on the turn and river. The tables are to help players determine their chances of completing draws based on the number of cards in their suit or needed to make their hand.

Uploaded by

tamere357
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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odds_HOLDEM HIGHWAY PPC:CANADA 10/23/11 8:11 PM Page 1

Holdem Odds & Probabilities


eSSenTiAL MATH FOr THe Winning PLAYer
WHAT YOU WiLL FLOP
Pairing at least one hole card . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Pairing both hole cards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Four-flush when suited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Four-flush when not suited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Flush with two suited cards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Straight-flush draw w/suited connectors . . . . . 3.4%
Making a set with your pocket pair . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Making a full house with a pocket pair . . . . . . . . 1%
Trips with no pocket pair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3%
Straight draw with your connectors . . . . . . . . . . 26%
A pair on the board . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

ODDS AgAinST Being DeALT


SPeciFic HAnDS in Five cArDS
(This is also what you can expect to see on the five-card board in holdem.)

Hand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Odds
Royal Flush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 649,740 to 1
Straight Flush . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72,192 to 1
Four-of-a-Kind . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,164 to 1
Full House . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 693 to 1
Flush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 508 to 1
Straight . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 to 1
Three of a Kind . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 to 1
Two Pair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 to 1
One Pair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.37 to 1
No Pair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 to 1

WHAT TO exPecT FrOM THe FLOP


Flop . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Odds . . . . . . . . . .Percent

A pair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5-1
Three suited cards . . . . . . . . 18-1
Three of a given suit . . . . . . 72-1
Two suited cards . . . . . . . . . 0.8-1
Three different suits . . . . . . 1.5-1
Three in sequence . . . . . . . . . 28-1
Two in sequence . . . . . . . . . 1.5-1
None in sequence . . . . . . . . 0.8-1
Three-of-a-kind . . . . . . . . . 424-1

. . . . . . . . . . . 17%
. . . . . . . . . . 5.2%
. . . . . . . . . . 1.3%
. . . . . . . . . . . 55%
. . . . . . . . . . . 40%
. . . . . . . . . . 3.5%
. . . . . . . . . . . 40%
. . . . . . . . . . . 56%
. . . . . . . . . 0.24%

ODDS AgAinST Being DeALT SPeciFic


TexAS HOLDeM STArTing HAnDS
Any pair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16-1 . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Aces . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5%
Kings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5%
Aces or kings . . . . . . . . . . . 110-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 0.9%
Aces/kings/queens . . . . . . . 73-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4%
A-K (any) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2%
A-K suited . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 0.3%
Suited connectors . . . . . . . 27-1 . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
1 or more aces . . . . . . . . . . . . 6-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
A pair or an ace . . . . . . . . . . . 4-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
2 suited cards . . . . . . . . . . . . 3-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Unsuited connectors . . . . . 7.5-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
A top-10 hand . . . . . . . . . . . 22-1 . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
A top-20 hand . . . . . . . . . . . . 9-1 . . . . . . . . . . . 9.5%
POKERPRO CANADA

POST-FLOP ODDS
Outs . . 2 cards to go . . . . 1 card to go
20. . . . . . . . . . . . . 68% . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
19. . . . . . . . . . . . . 65% . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
18. . . . . . . . . . . . . 62% . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
17. . . . . . . . . . . . . 60% . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
16. . . . . . . . . . . . . 57% . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
15. . . . . . . . . . . . . 54% . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
14. . . . . . . . . . . . . 51% . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
13. . . . . . . . . . . . . 48% . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
12. . . . . . . . . . . . . 45% . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
11. . . . . . . . . . . . . 42% . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
10. . . . . . . . . . . . . 38% . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
9 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35% . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32% . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28% . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24% . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20% . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%. . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%. . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%. . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%. . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
HOW TO USE THIS CHART: First, count your outs. If you have
a four-flush after the flop, there are nine of your suit left in the
deck, so you have nine outs. Check the chart. With the turn and
river still to come, you have a 35 percent chance of
hitting your hand. That means youll make it about one out of
three tries. If you dont hit it on the turn, you still have a 20 percent chance of making your flush on the river. Twenty
percent is one chance in five.

67

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