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Decision Tree Modelv4

The document describes a decision tree for determining how much personal protective equipment (PPE) a medical base should purchase to protect clinical staff from infection while maintaining base operations. The decision tree considers infection and death rates, operational readiness with different levels of PPE purchase ($0, $10K, $100K), and the objectives of minimizing infection spread and PPE costs while ensuring the base can complete its mission.

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Douglas Fraser
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© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
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22 views

Decision Tree Modelv4

The document describes a decision tree for determining how much personal protective equipment (PPE) a medical base should purchase to protect clinical staff from infection while maintaining base operations. The decision tree considers infection and death rates, operational readiness with different levels of PPE purchase ($0, $10K, $100K), and the objectives of minimizing infection spread and PPE costs while ensuring the base can complete its mission.

Uploaded by

Douglas Fraser
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Random variables: - Level of Protection - Infection rate - Death rate

Decision Tree: scenario 0019 Direct patient care leaves clinical staff susceptible to infection. The providers still need to be able to treat the patients safely. The basic decision is how much personal protective equipment (PPE; gloves, respirators, face shields, etc.) to purchase to limit staff contraction of the illness so they can keep patients/base personnel performing the operational mission. The desired output is to maintain base operations at required level. The objective is to minimize the spread of the infection and minimize the cost of the PPE while ensuring the base can accomplish the mission.

System State Base Operational Impact (low, med, high)

Outputs Ability to complete mission

Decision variables: - Purchase of PPE - $0, $10K, $100K of PPE

Objectives: Minimize spread of infection Minimize cost of PPE

Decision

Infection rate
4

Death rate
7 8

operational readiness
Significant Moderate No Impact Significant Moderate No Impact 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.0

Dont get infected (.34)


9 5 10

Dont get infected (.60)

1 D1

Purchase limited quantities for mild event ($10K) Purchase significant quantities for prolonged event ($100K)

11 6 12 2

Significant Moderate No Impact

0.6 0.9 1.0

Dont get infected (.90)

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