Market Potential For Solar Water Pumping System and Cost Benefit Analysis of Diesel vs. Solar Pump - Research Thesis Report
Market Potential For Solar Water Pumping System and Cost Benefit Analysis of Diesel vs. Solar Pump - Research Thesis Report
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the thesis titled “Market Potential for Solar Water Pumping
System and Cost Benefit Analysis of Diesel vs. Solar Pump “has been
submitted by Kevin Kovadia towards partial fulfillment of the requirements for the
award of MBA in Technology Management with specialization in Operations and
Project Management. This is a bonafide work of the student and has not been
submitted to any other university for award of any Degree/Diploma.
Sign._______________
Internal Guide
Dr. Mercy Samuel,
Associate Professor,
Faculty of Management,
CEPT University
Sign._______________
External Guide
Mr. Nilesh Arora,
Partner,
ADDVALUE Consulting Inc.
www.avci-lean.com
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UNDERTAKING
I, Kevin Kovadia, the author of the thesis titled “Market Potential for Solar Water
Pumping System and Cost Benefit Analysis of Diesel vs. Solar Pump”,
hereby declare that this is an independent work of mine, carried out towards partial
of Management, CEPT University, Ahmedabad. This work has not been submitted
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Many people have contributed to this research work. First and foremost, I express
my sincerest gratitude to my internal guide, Dr. Mercy Samuel, Associate
Professor, Faculty of Management, CEPT University. She has provided
continuous support to my research work. I sincerely thank her for her
patience, motivation, enthusiasm and immense knowledge.
I convey my special thanks to all the interviewees without whom this research
work could not be termed as a research thesis. I also thank the solar water pump
manufacturers from whom I got details about farmers using solar water pump.
Their patience and valuable time devoted to my research work are highly
respected.
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ABBREVIATION
PV Photovoltaic
AC Alternate Current
DC Direct Current
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 Introduction.............................................................................................. 10
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5 Conclusion............................................................................................... 42
6 Bibliography ............................................................................................. 43
7 Appendix ................................................................................................. 46
7.1 List of Solar PV Water Pumping Systems Tested and Qualified at Solar
Energy Center during the year 2012-13 ......................................................... 47
7.3 List of Images of Site location where Interview conducted of SWP Users
during Thesis Research ............................................................................... 56
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 10 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (1) near Hirapur Chokdi ......... 56
Figure 11 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (2) near Hirapur Chokdi ......... 57
Figure 12 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (3) near Hirapur Chokdi ......... 58
Figure 13 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (4) near Palanpur .................. 59
Figure 14 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (5) near Ghamij Village .......... 60
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LIST OF TABLES
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1 Introduction
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The Indian Pump industry has more than 800 manufacturers with worker strength
of over 40,000 producing about 5 million pumps annually. Indian market for pump
is estimated to be Rs.5000 Crores growing at an annual rate of 8% significantly
higher than the global rate of 4% in FY 12. The Pumps industry in India is more
than seven decades old. Though it has a turnover of Rs 5000 crore the size is not
even 10 per cent of the size of USA market. The industry meets 95 per cent of the
domestic demand.
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Exports have been a regular feature of Indian pump industry for years. Indian
pumps have reached more than sixty countries around the world including
developed countries. India exported Pump sets worth 400 Crs in FY 11. Indian
pump industry is characterized by the coexistence of large number of Small &
Medium units, some large manufacturers and plenty of foreign manufacturers.
Agriculture is a key sector in India that employs two-thirds of the country’s work
force and continues to be a significant contributor to the GDP, 20% in 2005
(MOSPI, 2007b).
Water is becoming increasingly scarce in many parts of the world and thereby
limiting agricultural development. The capacity of large countries like India to
efficiently develop and manage water resources is likely to be a key determinant
for global food security in the 21st century. (K Palanisami, 2011)
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It is estimated that 80 per cent of the freshwater in India is used for agriculture and
a major portion (70%) of this is based on groundwater irrigation. Nearly 88 per
cent of the total minor irrigation schemes in India are pump-based (MoWR, 2013).
Though pump sets are important for livelihoods, they also contribute to the GHG
emissions since a significant percentage of them rely on diesel.
Solar power operated water pumping system is used pump the water in remote
place where the electric power is not available, it is a renewable energy technic
where no cost for the electricity, A solar cell, a form of photovoltaic cell, is a device
that uses the photoelectric effect to generate electricity from light, thus generating
solar power (energy). Most often, many cells are linked together to form a solar
panel with increased voltage and/or current. Solar cells produce direct current
(DC), which can be used directly, converted in Alternate Current (AC), or stored in
a battery.
The first phase of market development for solar PV water pumping in India goes
back to 1993-94.The programme of the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy
(MNRE), then known as Ministry of Non-Conventional Energy Sources, aimed for
deployment of 50,000 solar PV water pumping systems for irrigation and drinking
water across the country. MNRE provided the financial assistance required for
subsidizing the capital and interest cost of the solar pumps. (GIZ, 2013)
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Some years ago there were PVP models on the market that operated with
batteries and a conventional inverter. However it was soon realised that the cost
savings on the pump did not make up for the overall substandard efficiency and
the higher maintenance cost due to battery replacements. Instead it became clear
that it is more economical to rather store water in a reservoir than electricity in a
battery bank. (EmCON, 2006)
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In several villages, the bore wells are now utilized as a dual source and the
operational hours have been reduced. Based on a random survey, it has been
observed that a significant saving has been achieved in electricity consumption
that is now available for alternative uses, proving to be an eco-friendly
achievement. Solar pumps have also been commissioned in 260 villages in the
State and about 200 more solar pumping systems will be installed in the near
future. In various parts of the State, including coastal and tribal areas, roof top
rainwater harvesting structures have also been taken up in public buildings,
schools and individual household level, which is also resulting in substantial
electricity savings. Comprehensive energy audits for various group water supply
schemes have also resulted in energy savings. (Gupta, 2011)
Solar power is one of the best nonpolluting energy sources. India being at best
geographical location receives nearly 300 to 320 days good sunny days. Among
the solar power sources, solar Photovoltaic (PV) is one the matured power
systems. If the industry develops and spread the Solar PV power packs to be
installed at different places especially on buildings (commercial, public and
institutional), industries, and also on various barren lands like hilly slopes, and
desert areas. (Somasekhar. G, 2014)
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14
12
Cost (Rs) (Per KWh)
10
0
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
To grow the product where the grid energy doesn't reach in the hands the PV
system plays important role in developing country like India. Another important
reason of using PV based pumping systems is: conventional electricity not
supplied in sufficient time (6-8 hour supplied to farmers in Rajasthan India), the
cost of conventional energy, government subsidy in solar pumping systems and
it is difficult to extend the electric grid to every location where it is needed for
every farmer. (Shiv Lal, 2013)
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Erratic power supply and frequent grid failures are typical in most part of rural
India. Farmers have a diesel pump or diesel run generator as an alternative
to minimize the risk of crop failure due to discontinued water supply. As an
alternative to expensive rural electricity grids and inefficient conversion of fossil
fuels, renewable energies can contribute to solving this problem. (Shamaila Zia,
2012)
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CBA is a systematic process for calculating and comparing benefits and costs of a
project, decision or government policy. It involves comparing the total expected
cost of each option against the total expected benefits, to see whether the benefits
compensate the costs, and by how much.
Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) estimates and totals up the equivalent money value
of the benefits and costs to the community of projects to establish whether they
are worthwhile. 3
1 . http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/market-potential.html
2 . http://plantsforhumanhealth.ncsu.edu/extension/marketready/pdfs-ppt/business_development_files/PDF/estimating_market_potential.pdf
3 http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/cba.htm
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1 The objective of this study is to analyze market potential of solar water pumps.
3 To conduct a comparative cost benefit analysis among Diesel vs. Solar Water
Pump.
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2 Literature review
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Gujarat energy minister Saurabh Patel says the government has promised 10
hours of electricity to farmers for agricultural purposes and is delivering on it.
However, Praful Senjaliya, a farmer leader in Saurashtra associated with the
Bharatiya Kisan Sangh, disagrees. "Farmers have never got 10 hours electricity.
As it is, we don't need much power because of drought-like situation. But the main
problem is that electricity that is supplied for around five to eight hours is only at
night and odd times. We have requested the government often to provide
electricity in the day," he says (The Times of India, 2013).
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Gujarat has just 2.28% of India’s water resources and 6.39% of country’s
geographical area. This is again constrained by imbalances in intra-state
distribution. The State has an average annual rainfall of 80 cm with a high
coefficient of variance over time and space and as a result droughts have been
frequent. Out of 185 rivers, the State has only eight perennial rivers and all of them
are located in southern part. Around 80% of the State’s surface water resources
are concentrated in central and southern Gujarat, whereas the remaining three-
quarters of the State have only 20%. (Gupta, 2011)
Since 2000, however, all available evidence suggests that the region’s ground
water economy has begun shrinking in response to a growing energy squeeze.
This energy squeeze is a combined outcome of three factors:
(Shah T. , 2008)
A complex set of factors such as global warming, increasing competitive land use,
and the growing mismatch between energy demand and supply is creating new
challenges for the vast agrarian population in India. Diesel for running irrigation
pumps is often beyond the means of economically marginalized farmers.
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Insufficient Irrigation can lead to crop damage, reducing yields and diminishing
income. Environment-friendly, low-maintenance photovoltaic pumping systems
offer new possibilities for pumping irrigation water. (GIZ, 2013)
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Solar energy technologies have long been used in the areas of solar heating, solar
photovoltaic, solar thermal electricity, and solar architecture. Energy shortages
and increasing energy prices are two of the most urgent problems we face today.
One desirable solution to the energy shortage problem is renewable energy, and
solar energy is one of the cleanest and most efficient energy sources. Solar panels
are among the most common methods of harvesting solar energy from solar
radiation, which accounts for a large portion of available renewable energy. (Hu,
2012)
Several studies have indicated that the capital cost of solar is significantly
more expensive than a diesel powered system but this is not the case. Solar
pumps tended to replace larger capacity submersible pump and generator of
comparable or greater cost. This is a result of a common tendency to oversize
generators and pumps, a “bigger is better” mentality which persists not just
within communities but also within District Water Offices and agencies who
supply the equipment. There are also other capital investment and running
costs for generators that are not required for solar. (Brian McSorley, 2011)
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Advantages:
In rural and/or undeveloped areas where there is no power grid and more water is
needed than what hand or foot pumps can deliver, the choices for powering
pumps are usually solar or a fuel driven engine, usually diesel. There are very
distinct differences between the two power sources in terms of cost and reliability.
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Diesel pumps are typically characterized by a lower first cost but a very high
operation and maintenance cost. Solar is the opposite, with a higher first cost but
very low ongoing operation and maintenance costs. In terms of reliability, it is
much easier (and cheaper) to keep a solar-powered system going than it is a
diesel engine. This is evident in field where diesel engines lie rusting and unused
by the thousands and solar pumps sometimes run for years without anyone
touching them. (SELF, 2008)
The solar pump has a unique cost structure with very high capital investment and
near-zero marginal cost of pumping. This makes it very similar to electric pump
owners who face high flat tariff but unlimited use of power (when available) at zero
marginal cost. This cost structure will drive away small farmers who want to
irrigate only their own little field; but it is ideal for potential ISPs. A solar -pump
driven groundwater economy will also promote competitive groundwater markets
with highly beneficial outcomes for water buyers who will gain even more with
buried pipeline distribution networks such as those obtaining in central Gujarat
(Shah, 1993).
Solar pumps offer a clean and simple alternative to fuel-burning engines and
generators for domestic water, livestock and irrigation. They are most effective
during dry and sunny seasons. They require no fuel deliveries, and very little
maintenance. Solar pumps are powered by photovoltaic (solar electric) panels and
the flow rate is determined by the intensity of the sunlight. Solar panels have no
moving parts, and most have a warranty of at least 20 years. Most solar pumps
operate without the use of storage batteries. Solar pumps must be optimally
selected for the task at hand, in order to minimize the power required, and thus the
cost of the system. (lorentz, 2008)
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(With D.C. Motor Pump Set with Brushes or Brush less D.C. (B.L.D.C.))
With the launch of the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) in 2010,
the solar water pumping programme of the MNRE was integrated with the off-grid
and decentralized component of the JNNSM. There under, solar PV water
Pumping Systems are currently eligible for a financial support of 30% subsidy,
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subject to a benchmark price of Rs. 190 per peak watt (Wp) from MNRE. Several
states such as Rajasthan, Gujarat, Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra,
Tamil Nadu and Bihar have taken up initiatives to implement solar PV water
pumping programs using the financial assistance of JNNSM and funds available
from the respective state governments (GIZ, 2013).
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Currently, the agriculture category which uses power for irrigation pumps
contributes around 20 percent of the total power demand of India. The grid
power tariff to agriculture segment is heavily subsidized. The power supply
is staggered and the network performance inefficient in most cases.
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In India nearly 81 million (32.8 per cent) households do not have access to
electricity (Census of India, 2011). Around 74 million rural households lack access
to modern lighting services (TERI, 2013, p. 380) and a larger proportion of the
population (around 840 million) continue to be dependent on traditional biomass
energy sources (IEA, Octomber, 2011).
There are about 21 million irrigation pump sets in India, of which about 9 million
are run on diesel and the rest are grid based (Amit Jain, 2012).
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3 Research Methodology
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The water pump industry in India has become too much competitive to sustain and
in this scenario one needs to be innovative. And other side there is demand for
solar water pump because there are many farmers who do not have access to
electricity for farming in India. The point is “Will this new innovation called solar
water pump able to fulfill the demand?” During my secondary research I found
many reports which show comparison of Diesel VS Solar water pump. When we
talk of viability of solar water pump for farmers in Indian context, it makes
difference because of Indian geographical conditions, farmers’ mindset, Indian
government’s approach towards solar water pump etc. So this issue needs to be
discussed with solar water pump users in India and perform cost benefit analysis
of diesel vs. solar water pump during my research thesis.
Due to time constraint, five structured interviews able to taken of solar water pump
users. And this all SWP user belong to north central Gujarat.
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SWP SWP
Capital Capital
Maintena Cumulative Cumulative
Year Cost Cost Operating
nce Cost Cost W/O Cost With
Without With 30% Cost (B)
(C) Subsidy 30% Subsidy
Subsidy (A) Subsidy (D)
(A+B+C) (D+B+C)
1 489400 342580 0 2500 491900 345080
2 0 0 0 2500 494400 347580
3 0 0 0 2500 496900 350080
4 0 0 0 2500 499400 352580
5 0 0 0 2500 501900 355080
6 0 0 0 2500 504400 357580
7 0 0 0 2500 506900 360080
8 0 0 0 2500 509400 362580
9 0 0 0 2500 511900 365080
10 0 0 0 2500 514400 367580
Table 4 5hp SWP Costing With and Without 30% Subsidy
4
http://www.mypetrolprice.com/10/Diesel-price-in-Ahmedabad
5
(Seleshi Bekele Awulachew (IWMI), 2009)
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4.2 Scenario 0
600000
500000
Cumulative Cost (Rs)
400000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Break Even Duration (Year)
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4.3 Scenario 1
1000000
900000
800000
Cumulative Cost (Rs)
700000
600000
500000 Diesel Pump
400000 SWP without Subsidy
300000 SWP With 30% Subsidy
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Break Even Duration (Year)
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4.4 Scenario 2
2000000
1800000
1600000
1400000
1200000
Axis Title
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4.5 Scenario 3
4000000
3500000
Cumulative Cost (Rs)
3000000
2500000
500000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Break Even Duration (Year)
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5 Conclusion
From the cost benefit analysis of diesel vs. solar water pump, Conclusion is that if
your daily water usage is ranging from 1-2-4-8 hours than respective break even
time period is approximately 10-6-4-2 year for Without subsidy and with 30%
Central Government Subsidy it is 7.5 - 4.5 - 2.5 - 1.5 year as shown in Table 9.
So, Daily around 8 hour of 5hp solar water pump usage for 250 days per year led
to recover cost in 2 year with comparison of 5hp diesel pump. Higher usage of
water will reduce break even time period. Now, if your usage is less than 8 hour
per day than you can recover SWP cost by other ways. Like selling water to others
and use solar panel for getting electricity for home lighting and other home
appliances.
During primary research in discussion with solar water pump user, one reason why
farmer buy solar water pump. And this reason will not able to found in any kind of
secondary research. Normally, Farmer buy solar water pump mainly because of
two things. One is unavailability of electricity at farm and increasing price of
diesel. The reason is that farmer also buy solar water pump because of land
ownership issue. To get electricity connection, farmer need land ownership
document and signature of related owners. Normally one can become land owner
from his father’s land and father’s land is shared among his children. Now to get
signatures of all related owner is difficult. So, in this situation to get electricity
connection is difficult. So, farmers prefer to buy solar water pump.
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6 Bibliography
Amit Jain, S. J. (2012). Is Solar a solution to Blackouts in India: A case study with
agriculture diesel pumps sets?
GIZ. (2013). Solar Water Pumping for Irrigation: Potential and Barriers in Bihar,
India. Indo-German Energy Programme (IGEN), Deutsche Gesellschaft für
Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH.
IEA. (Octomber, 2011). energy for all: financing access for the poor. energy for all
conference (pp. 19-22). Oslo, Norway: International Energy Agency.
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KPMG. (2011). “The Rising Sun - A Point of View on the Solar Energy Sector in
India”. Mumbai: KPMG.
lorentz. (2008). Solar Water Pumps in Namibia: A Comparison Between Solar And
Diesel.
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SPROSS, J. (2014, February 7). India Wants To Switch 26 Million Water Pumps
To Solar Power Instead Of Diesel. Retrieved April 15, 2014, from
http://thinkprogress.org:
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/02/07/3265631/india-solar-pump-
swap/
TATA . (2013). Indian Pumps and Industrial Valves Market. TATA Strategic
management group.
TERI. (2013). TERI Energy Data Directory & Yearbook (TEDDY) 2012/13. TERI
Publication.
The Times of India. (2013, March 4). Power-full’ Gujarat gives 24-hour electricity.
Retrieved May 10, 2014, from indiatimes.com:
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Power-full-Gujarat-gives-24-hour-
electricity/articleshow/18786012.cms
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7 Appendix
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2 0861/11/CSC/ M/s JJPV solar Pvt Ltd., M/s Rotomag M/s JJPV solar Centrifugal 2
SEC/Pump Vill Veraval (Shapar), Pvt. Ltd. HP DC surface
Dist. Rajkot- 360024, pump, Head 10
8.6.2012 Gujarat (India) meter
3 43/2012/CSC/ M/s Span pumps Pvt. M/s Groundfos M/s Surana Submersible 0.5
SEC/Pump Ltd., 104,Arihant, Telecom & HP DC pump,
1187/26, Shivaji nagar, Power Ltd, Head 30 meter
8.6.2012 Pune-411005, India Hyderabad
4 44/2012/CSC/ M/s VRG Energy India M/s Groundfos M/s PV Power Submersible DC
SEC/Pump Pvt. Ltd., 128, Backbone Model: SQF Technologies pump, Head 30
shopping center, Rajkot- 8A-5 Pvt. Ltd., meter
8.6.2012 360064, Gujarat, India Mumbai
5 93/2012/CSC/ M/s Moserbaer (I) Ltd., M/s Sun M/s Moserbaer Submersible DC
SEC/Pump 66, Udyog Vihar, Pump, USA (I) Ltd. Pump, Head 30
Greater Noida, G.B. meter 2 HP
8.6.2012 Nagar (UP)-201306,
India
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9 247/2012- M/s Jain Irrigation M/s Lorentz M/s Jain Deep well 3HP
13/CSC/SEC/ Systems Ltd., Jain Pump Irrigation DC pump ,
Pump Plastic Park, P.O. Box Systems Ltd. Head 50 meter
8.11.2012 72, N.H. No. 6, Jalgaon-
425001
10 244/2012- M/s Shakti Pumps M/s Shakti M/s PV Power Submersible
13/CSC/SEC/ (India) Ltd., Plot No. 401- Pumps (India) Technologies 5HP AC deep
Pump 402-413, Sector -3, Ltd. Pvt. Ltd. well mono-
Pithampur, Dhar-454775, block pump,
9/11/2012 Madhya Pradesh Head 50 meter
11 226/2012- M/s HBL Power M/s Kirlosker M/s HBL Power Submersible
13/CSC/SEC/ systems Ltd., Plot No. Brothers Ltd systems Ltd. 3HP AC deep
Pump 263, Patparganj well mono-
Industrial Area, Delhi- block pump,
9/11/2012 110092 Head 50 meter
12 248/2012- M/s Topsun Energy M/s Mono M/s Topsun Centrifugal 3HP
13/CSC/SEC/ Ltd., B-101,GIDC, Pumps Ltd. Energy Ltd. DC Submersible
Pump Electronic Zone, Deep Well
Sector-25, pump, Head :50
27/11/2012 Gandhinagar- 382028, meters
Gujarat, INDIA
13 243/2012- M/s Bright Solar Pvt. Ltd. M/s Bright M/s Green 3HP DC
13/CSC/SEC/ Plot No. 90,Nathabhai Solar Pvt. Ltd. Brilliance Submersible
Pump Estate,Near Energy Pvt. Ltd. mono-block
Jashodanagar Cross, pump, Head 50
29/11/2012 Ahmedabad-380026, meter
Gujarat, India
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15 253/2012- M/s Punchline Energy M/s Shroffs M/s Kotak Urja Submersible
13/CSC/SEC/ Pvt. Ltd. 328 Phase 2, Engineering Private Ltd Deep well
Pump Udyog, Vihar Gurgaon, Ltd pump, 3HP AC
Haryana 122016,India Pump, Head: 50
29/11/2012 Meters
16 257/2012- M/s BSES Yamuna M/s Grundfos, M/s Kotak Urja, Centrifugal
13/CSC/SEC Power Limited Shakti Denmark Bangalore Submersible 1HP
/Pump Kiran Building, DC pump, Head:
30/11/2012 Karkardooma, New 30 Meters
Delhi-110032
21 254/2012- M/s Alpex Exports Pvt. M/s Bright M/s Alpex Submersible
13/CSC/SEC/ Ltd., 81/2, 1st floor, Sri Solar Pvt. Ltd Exports Pvt. 2HP DC
Pump Aurobindo Marg,, Near Ltd. Pump,
Hero Honda Showroom, 30 Meters
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23 315/2013/CSC/ M/s BSES Yamuna M/s Grundfos M/s Kotak Urja Submersible 1
SEC/Pump Power Limited, Shakti Pvt. Ltd. HP DC Deep
Kiran Building, Well pump , 30
20.03.2012 Karkardooma, Meters
New Delhi-110032
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Figure 9 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (1) near Hirapur Chokdi
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Figure 10 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (2) near Hirapur Chokdi
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CEPT/ MTM/ AM0712/ Kevin Kovadia/ [email protected]
Figure 11 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (3) near Hirapur Chokdi
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CEPT/ MTM/ AM0712/ Kevin Kovadia/ [email protected]
Figure 12 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (4) near Palanpur
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CEPT/ MTM/ AM0712/ Kevin Kovadia/ [email protected]
Figure 13 Site location of Solar Water Pump User (5) near Ghamij Village
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