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Sensitivity Analysis (Sa) : History Matching Workflow

This document outlines the key steps in a history matching workflow, including sensitivity analysis to identify important parameters, history matching to find parameter values that provide the best match with historical data, and optimization to identify the optimum development plan or operating conditions. It also describes uncertainty analysis to assess prediction reliability and understand how results vary with model uncertainty.

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Aban Robert
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74 views

Sensitivity Analysis (Sa) : History Matching Workflow

This document outlines the key steps in a history matching workflow, including sensitivity analysis to identify important parameters, history matching to find parameter values that provide the best match with historical data, and optimization to identify the optimum development plan or operating conditions. It also describes uncertainty analysis to assess prediction reliability and understand how results vary with model uncertainty.

Uploaded by

Aban Robert
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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HISTORY MATCHING WORKFLOW.

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (SA)

Understand which parameters are important before further modifying the model

Identify inconsistencies in data early to investigate or obtain additional or more accurate data

Investigate effect of changes in input parameters on output

HISTORY MATCHING (HM)

Semi-automated history matching, using ED methods, finds the best match(es) in the minimum number of runs

Find parameter values which provide the best match(es) with historical data

Identify the variability that HM parameters can have, while still achieving an acceptable history match

Change dataset parameters to improve match between simulation results and historical data

Automates aspects of the HM process and provides guidance and understanding of the reservoir and the recovery
process to the engineer

OPTIMIZATION (OP)

Identify optimum development plan or operating conditions

Examples of objectives include:

Net present value (NPV)

cSOR

Recovery factor (RF)

Cumulative oil
Change operating parameters to optimize the objective value; parameters are usually constraints or dates

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS (UA)

Assess prediction reliability to understand range of potential operating flexibility evaluated

Determine how results vary with uncertainty in the model


Generate and validate a response surface using sample values and run a Monte Carlo simulation using response

surface

Quickly run thousands of cases to assess HM variability to field optimization and the associated probabilities

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