Introduction To Personal Investing - English
Introduction To Personal Investing - English
This book was first written and produced in 2003 as part of IMAS
efforts to provide public investor education.
We would like to convey our appreciation to our Education
Committee for their painstaking efforts to review and edit this book to
bring it up to date. In particular, we would like to express our gratitude
to Albert Tse, Joyce Chua, June Chua, Norman Wu and
Toh Lock Lan for reviewing and drafting / updating the
various sections.
We also wish to say a big thank you to Scott Keller for peer
reviewing and putting the sections together in the final
and overall edit.
IMAS Secretariat
One Phillip Street #10-02 , Singapore 048692
Tel No. 65 6223 9353 Fax No. 65 6223 9352
www.imas.org.sg
February 2010 Copyright in the information contained in this Handbook is owned by IMAS. A reader may use the
information for his/her own personal reference only, and the information may not be reproduced and must not be
distributed to any other person or incorporated in any way into another document or other material.
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
PART 1
UNDERSTANDING RETURN AND RISK
. Return
. Risk
. Sources Of Risk
. The Risk-Return Trade-Off
. Applying The Risk-Return Trade-Off
PART 2
DIVERSIFICATION
. What Is Diversification?
. How To Diversify: Using The Concept Of Correlation
. Benefits Of Diversification
. How To Diversify In Practice
PART 3
ASSET ALLOCATION
. What Is Asset Allocation?
. Making Asset Allocation Choices
PART 4
TIME IN INVESTING
. Investment Time Horizon
. Time And Return
. Time And Risk
. Dollar Cost Averaging
PART 5
CASH
. Main Cash Equivalents
. Characteristics Of Cash Equivalents
. Why Invest In Cash Equivalents?
CONTENTS
PA R T 6
BONDS
. What Are Bonds?
. Characteristics Of Bonds
. Default Risk
. Interest Rate Risk
. Why Invest In Bonds?
. How To Invest In Bonds
PA R T 7
SHARES
. What Are Shares?
. Characteristics Of Shares
. Why Invest In Shares?
. Common Ways Of Valuing Shares
. How To Invest In Shares
PA R T 8
UNIT TRUSTS
. What Are Unit Trusts?
. Types Of Unit Trusts
. Evaluating Unit Trusts Performance
. Why Invest In Unit Trusts?
. Areas Of Consideration In Investing In Unit Trusts
CONCLUSION
TEN IMPORTANT POINTS TO REMEMBER
INTRODUCTION
Many Singaporeans realise the importance of saving but have reservations about investing. Investing
is often regarded as: gambling; too risky; only for the rich; only for those about to retire; too
complicated ; not necessary. While misleading, such reservations also deter us from investing. We
then forgo the opportunity of growing our savings.
This booklet addresses some of the concerns and questions you may have about investing.
Intended as an introduction to the subject, it will explain important investment concepts; discuss the
investment characteristics of cash, shares, bonds and unit trusts; and describe an investment
strategy called asset allocation.
01
Part 1
UNDERSTANDING
RETURN AND RISK
Return and risk are the two primary considerations in investing. They
are likely to form the basis for almost all your investment decisions. It is
important, therefore, for you to understand what return and risk are,
how they originate and how they are related.
RETURN
You invest to achieve a return. The return is simply what you have gained (positive return) or lost
(negative return) on your investment after you have sold it. Even if you decide not to sell, you can
still calculate your return by comparing the investments market value against your purchase value.
It is important to distinguish between expected return and actual return. When you invest, you
expect a particular level of return. However, the actual return may differ from the expected return.
EXAMPLE
You invest in 1000 shares of ABC at $1 a share. You expect the shares to rise to $ 1.25 by year-end. Your
expected return is 25%. If, however, the shares had risen to $1.10 when you sold them, your actual return
would be 10%.
Investing is based on expected return. It is therefore important that you do not have unrealistic
expectations. Be aware of how you arrived at your expected return on an investment: was it, for
example, the result of informed analysis; a tip from a friend or a hunch?
The return from an investment usually consists of two components:
(i)
An interest or dividend payment in cash. This component is called the income, and
when expressed as a percentage of the purchase price, is known as the yield.
(ii)
The appreciation (or depreciation) of the investments price. This is called capital
gain (or capital loss).
The total return of an investment is the two components added, that is:
Total Return = income + capital gain (or loss).
02
EXAMPLE
You bought 1000 shares of ABC at $2.00 a share, for a total cost of $2,000.
During the year you received a dividend of 10 cents a share, or total income of $100. You then sold your 1000
shares at $2.20, for total sale proceeds of $2,200.
Your total return is:
$100 (income) + $200 (capital appreciation)
$2000
= 15%
For some assets such as bank deposits and bonds, the main component of total return will be
income. For others such as shares, it will be capital appreciation.
You can use annualised returns to compare returns of investments held over different holding
periods. An annualised return computes the rate of return over a full year for an investment held for
more than one year. For example, if you had an investment that gave a return of 30% over 3 years,
your annualised return would be 9.1%.
You should also account for transactions costs and charges when computing returns. These eat
into your returns. You incur brokerage charges when you buy or sell shares. You will also have to
bear management fees and other expenses when investing in unit trusts.
RISK
Most investors think of investment risk as the possibility of losing money. This is certainly a basic and
valid concern. However, investment professionals have a broader definition of risk. They define risk
as the uncertainty of receiving the expected return. This in turn is gauged by the volatility of historical
returns i.e. the variability of returns around their average historical return. Volatility can be
measured and quantified by a statistic known as standard deviation. The larger the standard
deviation is, the greater the tendency for returns to fluctuate, hence the greater the risk. Different
investment instruments have different degrees of risk or volatility.
EXAMPLE
The Singapore Government issues 2 year Treasury Notes that pay a fixed interest or coupon rate. There is
conceivably no risk that the government will not pay the coupon or redeem these notes when they mature.
Such an investment would therefore be regarded as a low risk instrument.
By contrast, shares are highly volatile investments as their prices can fluctuate a great deal. In 2007, for example,
the Singapore Straits Times Index, a widely used barometer of the share market gave a return of 18.7%. In 2008
however, the STI fell 49.2%.
03
The following table shows the annualised returns and risks of Singapore shares, bonds and cash
between January 1995 and August 2009.
2000-2004
2005-Aug 2009
RETURN
RISK
RETURN
RISK
RETURN
RISK
Shares
5.5%
31.0%
-4.1%
22.2%
9.1%
24.7%
Bonds
4.3%
12.7%
4.9%
3%
13.6%
7.1%
Cash
3.1%
5.1%
1.3%
2.7%
1.9%
3.7%
Source: Morningstar, SGD, dividend reinvested. Shares refer to MSCI Singapore; Bonds refer to UOB Singapore
Government Securities Index; Cash refers to 1-month Singapore Interbank bid rate. All returns refer to the annualised
average rate of returns. Risk refers to the standard deviation of returns.
Looking at the average annual rate of return as well as the risk between February 1995 and August
2009, one can see that shares have had the highest risk but generally have also produced the highest
rate of return. Bonds have had considerably lower risk but have also produced lower more consistent
rates of return.
The table below shows the annualised returns and risks of S$ cash, Singapore shares (MSCI Singapore)
and global equities (MSCI World) between February 1995 and August 2009.
2000-2004
2005-Aug 2009
RISK
RETURN
RISK
RETURN
RISK
5.5%
31.0%
-4.1%
22.2%
9.1%
24.7%
23.9%
11.4%
-2.8%
15.5%
-2.2%
15.3%
3.1%
5.1%
1.3%
2.7%
1.9%
3.7%
Note: Returns refer to the annualised average rate of return. Risk refers to the standard deviation of returns. Source:
MAS and MSCI.
Clearly, global stock market have lower levels of risk versus Singapore equities due to diversification.
The performance difference between local stock markets and global stock markets over the period
highlights that there are benefits from diversification. However, diversification within an asset class
like equities does not ensure superior performance over all periods. This concept is explained further
in Chapter 2.
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SOURCES OF RISK
Risks can be classified into two broad categories: systematic risk and non-systematic risk. You should
understand what they mean as they have important implications for how you can manage risk.
Systematic risk factors are those that affect the market in general and include things like general
economic conditions, changes in interest rates or a sudden adverse change in market sentiment. As
an investor, you cannot avoid systematic risk; it is inherent in investing. Non-systematic risk (otherwise
known as specific risk) factors are those that are applicable only to the investment itself but not to
others. Examples might include the quality of a companys management and the sustainability of
its product development strategy. Unlike systematic risk, non-systematic risk can be reduced by
spreading your investments over a number of holdings.
EXAMPLE
What are the systematic and non-systematic risks for an airline share like Singapore Airlines (SIA)? Systematic
factors would include weak global stock markets. A general market downturn will adversely affect SIA shares
even if SIA is doing well. A specific risk would be the loss of lucrative flight routes. The share may then be
negatively affected even though the stock market in general is rising.
05
CONCLUSION
You invest to earn a return on your money. Return can comprise a mixture of income and capital
appreciation. There is no such thing as a free lunch. The higher the return you aim to achieve, the
more risk you must assume. Risk originates from a variety of sources. The investment decision boils
down to considering the risk-return trade-off of the investment.
06
Part 2
DIVERSIFICATION
The basic idea behind diversification is: dont put all your eggs in one
basket. Diversification is a powerful tool in managing risk. This chapter
will explain what diversification in investing means, how to achieve
diversification and what its benefits are.
WHAT IS DIVERSIFICATION?
Simply put, diversification involves spreading your investments over a variety of assets and securities
to avoid excessive exposure to any single source of risk.
If you invest all your money in a single security, you may lose all of it if the issuer goes bankrupt.
Spread your money equally among ten securities and one-tenth of your capital is at stake with each
issuer. Then, you are not exposed to the specific risk of any one issuer.
HOW TO DIVERSIFY:
USING THE CONCEPT OF CORRELATION
To diversify effectively, you must apply the idea of correlation. Correlation is a measure of the
tendency of the return of a security or investment class to follow that of another. Assets with returns
that move in the same direction are positively correlated; if their returns move in opposite directions,
they are negatively correlated.
What this means to you as an investor is this: when you are investing in assets with high positive
correlation you are figuratively putting all your eggs in one basket. All your assets are exposed to
the same risks. You should hence spread your investments across assets with low to negative correlations.
This will lower the risk of your portfolio.
There are two ways to diversify your investments. First, you can invest in different asset classes like
cash, bonds, shares, commodities, properties and other alternative asset classes. This is known as
asset allocation. It is an important investment strategy and will be discussed further in chapter 3.
07
Here is an example:
PERFORMANCE OF VARIOUS ASSET CLASSES IN PERCENT,
FROM 1998 TO 2008
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Cash
4.7
1.7
1.7
1.5
0.9
0.5
0.4
Property
-9.7
10.0
18.5
2.3
-3.4
37.9
32.5
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.4
17.6
31.6
-12.9
Commodity
N.A
44.9
29.1
-10.7
24.5
29.4
15.6
20.8
-48.1
-4.0
22.0
-45.2
Global Equities
20.2
24.8
-10.5
-12.5
-25.8
28.1
8.5
9.6
8.8
0.5
-42.0
Global Bonds
11.4
-4.3
7.4
8.2
9.5
10.2
5.0
-2.7
-1.6
2.7
4.9
Best Performing
Worst Performing
Source: Morningstar and Bloomberg, SGD, net dividends reinvested. Performance from Dec 1997
to Dec 2008. Property is represented by FTSE EPRA Developed Real Estate Index. Commodity is
represented by Rogers International Commodity Index. Global Bonds is represented by Barclays Capital
Global Aggregate and Global Equities is represented by MSCI World Index.
EXAMPLE
Shares, bonds, commodities, properties and cash sometimes react differently to the same set of economic
conditions. For example, government bonds tend to do well in a recession while stocks often suffer. A portfolio
having multiple asset classes will then weather a recession better than an all-share portfolio.
Second, you can diversify by investing in different securities in an asset class. For example, a diversified
share portfolio will consist of shares in different industries and of local and international companies.
EXAMPLE
Shares of oil companies might be negatively correlated to airline shares as a fall in oil prices will lower the
profits of oil companies but will raise the profits of airline companies. A portfolio which holds both oil shares
and airline shares will be less exposed to movements in the oil price than a portfolio which holds just one or
the other.
BENEFITS OF DIVERSIFICATION
By diversifying, you will have an investment portfolio that can weather the ups and downs of economic
cycles and market volatility.
EXAMPLE
If you invest all your money in shares, your capital drops by 20 % if the stock market falls by 20 %. What if you had split
your investments equally into shares and bonds? As they are sometimes negatively correlated, a fall in shares may
tend to be associated with a rise in bond prices. Assume that in this case bond prices rise by 5 %. Your share-bond
portfolio will then fall by just 7.5 %, the average of the return for shares and bonds. With reference to the table of
Performance Of Various Asset Classes In Percent, from 1998 to 2008, we can see that there are more diversification
benefits when we include more asset classes in the portfolio.
08
CONCLUSION
Not putting all your eggs in one basket is a sensible rule for investors. You diversify by spreading your
investments over different securities in various asset classes. Unit trust investing is a practical way to
diversify.
09
Part 3
ASSET ALLOCATION
Despite what many people think, one of the most important investment
decisions you can make is not what particular stocks or securities you
buy but how you allocate your investable funds to the various asset
classes.
This chapter will explain what asset allocation is, the principles it is based
on and how you can use it as an investment strategy. As you will see, asset
allocation uses many of the ideas outlined - for example risk and return,
diversification and time (chapters 1, 2 & 4) and our knowledge about the
various asset classes (chapters 5-8).
Second, you have to define your investment time horizon. That comes straight from your goals. Your
broad goals can be related to specific ones like an education abroad for your children or saving
for retirement. Each will have a definite time horizon. Your age is certainly an important factor. If you
are in your thirties and plan to retire when you reach 60, your time horizon is roughly 30 years and
an appropriate allocation in this instance may be 70% in shares and 30% in bonds. As explained
later in chapter 4, the more time you have, the more you can invest in higher risk assets like shares.
Third, know how high your risk tolerance is. Basically, this is the extent to which you are willing to see the
value of your investments fluctuate and are even prepared for the possibility of losses. Risk
tolerance is subjective and varies from one individual to another. If your tolerance is low, your
portfolio would be dominated by bonds and cash instead of shares. You must then accept the
lower expected returns such an allocation will deliver.
Fourth, decide on a suitable asset mix, you need to know what risks and what returns to expect from
the different assets and how they are correlated. Bear in mind that even investment professionals have
difficulty forecasting returns and risks. It is therefore prudent to use realistic, rather than
optimistic, expectations about returns and risks.
Fifth, remember that currencies fluctuate. Singapore is a very small economy and this limits the
range of assets available for investment. To optimize the expected risk and return of your portfolio
often means investing in assets abroad. However this creates an additional risk - that adverse
movement in exchange rates can potentially wipe out all your gains. A professional fund manager
would lessen this exposure by hedging but this may not be easy for the personal investor to accomplish.
Finally, you combine all these factors to arrive at an asset allocation that addresses your investment
objectives and risk tolerance. Different investors will have different objectives and risk profiles.
Therefore, an asset allocation suitable for one investor may not be suitable for another.
EXAMPLE
An investors age is often the natural starting point in developing asset allocation guidelines. Investors in their
twenties can afford more risk. They can hold a high percentage of stocks and smaller percentages of bonds
and cash. Individuals in their fifties tend to be more risk averse as they are usually approaching retirement.
They will now hold a higher percentage of bonds and cash than stocks.
The asset allocation you finally decide upon is your investment plan. Like all plans, your asset allocation
has to be periodically reviewed as circumstances change. For example, you may switch careers or
decide that you need more liquidity. Even if your personal position does not change, the markets
are likely to. A prolonged weakness in the stock market may result in an unintended redistribution
of your allocated holdings and you find yourself with less in shares than you wanted. You must then
decide whether to keep to your existing allocations or rebalance them to their original levels.
11
CONCLUSION
The asset allocation decision is one of your most important investment decisions. To do that skilfully
you will have to define your investment goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. The asset mix you
choose will also depend on your expectations about the performance of the various assets and
possible moves in currency exchange rates. When you invest according to your asset allocation
strategy, you will have a diversified portfolio that addresses your investment goals as well as that can
weather different market conditions.
12
Part 4
TIME IN INVESTING
How often have you heard the saying that time is money? Do you realise
that this saying also applies to investing? Time is of special significance
to investors because it has a critical impact on return and risk. This chapter
will explain why.
RULE OF 72
Divide 72 by the rate of return and the answer is the approximate number of years it will take to double your
money. Thus, at 6% annual returns your money doubles in about 12 years; at 8% it will double in about 9 years.
The lesson from compounding is this: start investing early and you increase your chances of meeting
your financial goals.
13
What are your chances of losing money if your holding period is:
30%
26%
25%
20%
16%
14%
15%
10%
5%
3%
0%
0%
1 Year
3 Year
5 Year
10 Year
15 Year
Source: Morningstar, SGD, bid-to-bid, dividends reinvested. Period from Jun 1974 to Jun 2009.
Assume that investors invested into Global equities, which are represented by MSCI World Index.
The above chart shows the chances of an investor losing money in global equities given the length
of holding periods over the past 25 years. It shows that in order for an investment to generate positive
returns, in this case global equities, a long term investment horizon is needed. Some believe that one
year is long enough for their investment to grow, but the chart highlights that the chance of losing
money over 12-months is still high as we have learnt this from the past 25 years. As the holding period
lengthens to 3-years or longer, it can be clearly shown that the chance of losing money significantly
falls as the outcome of the investment is less affected by the timing of the entry / exit of the investment.
Therefore, the lesson is: invest with a longer time horizon.
14
CONCLUSION
Time is a lever that increases your ability to grow your savings. The earlier you start investing to meet
your financial goals, the more you can exploit the power of compounding. Time is also one of the
most important factors in determining how much risk you should take. This is another reason to
begin investing early.
15
Part 5
CASH
Certificates of deposit.
Most Singaporeans are familiar with the first two. For example, many of us have at least one bank
savings account. We would normally use a savings account to have our salaries credited into and
from which to make payments. Certificates of deposit are not as widely held. They are like fixed
deposits but there are important differences. For example, the minimum amount for a certificate-ofdeposit can be as large as $250,000.
Convenience:
Withdrawal is easy. For example, savings accounts held with many banks can be accessed through
ATMs.
Cash equivalents provide a return in the form of interest. These interest rates vary depending on the
institution and the term to maturity. Savings and interest-bearing checking accounts pay relatively
low interest because they are liquid. Fixed deposits pay higher interest, as you have to maintain your
deposit for a specified term. Generally, the less liquid the account or the longer its term, the higher
the interest paid on the account.
EXAMPLE
In 2008, the interest rate on savings accounts averaged about 0.23%, on a six month fixed deposit about
0.55%, and on a twelve month fixed deposit about 0.75%.
When you hold cash equivalents, you must be prepared to receive modest returns. However, as
cash equivalents are generally short term and interest rates are reset at maturity, their yields can be
adjusted upwards as inflation rises. Hence, they are a better hedge against inflation than fixed
interest rate assets like bonds. However, the returns from cash equivalents usually at best merely
keep up with inflation.
EXAMPLE
Between 1990-2008, the interest on savings accounts with Singapore banks averaged 1.61% while the
consumer price index averaged 1.77%. So, the real return on money kept in savings accounts, after adjusting
for inflation, was negative.
Part 6
BONDS
Many individual investors are unfamiliar with bonds and do not invest in
them. Bonds, however, are an important asset class which should not be
ignored. This chapter will explain what bonds are and why you should
consider investing in them.
2.875%
Source: Bloomberg
The following chart shows the bond yields for various maturities of Singapore Government Bonds in
August 2009. This is also known as the yield curve and is usually a normal upward sloping curve with
longer maturity bonds offering higher yields than shorter ones.
18
10
11
12
13
14
15
Source: Bloomberg
CHARACTERISTICS OF BONDS
The bondholder is a creditor. If the issuer goes bankrupt, creditors are repaid first, before shareholders.
Bonds are therefore regarded as less risky than shares.
When you hold a bond, you receive interest, or coupon payments. The coupon rate is expressed as
a percentage of the principal, otherwise known as the face value of the bond. The face value of
most bonds is $1,000.
Bond prices are usually expressed as a percentage of face value. This is because upon maturity,
bonds are redeemed at face value and bondholders get paid 100% of face value. For this reason
also, bond prices tend to be more stable than equities as there is a fairly high level of certainty of
what the value will be at maturity.
EXAMPLE
In 2009, the Housing and Development Board (HDB) issued a 3 year bond with a coupon rate of 1.795%. This
bond will pay you interest of $17.95 a year (.01795 x $1,000) for every $1,000 face value held. Interest is paid
twice a year, so you will receive $8.975 every six months for 3 years. The principal of $1,000 will then be
returned to you at maturity.
Source: Bloomberg
19
Bonds can be classified by type of issuer. The issuer is important for the bonds credit rating and
perceived risk of default. The main categories of bonds are:
Government bonds: bonds issued by governments of the developed economies are regarded as
the most credit-worthy as there is little risk of default. Singapore Government Bonds are included in
this category. The interest rates on such bonds are lower than other bonds of the same maturity.
Government Agency bonds: these pay slightly higher rates than government bonds. This is because
governments do not guarantee such bonds. In Singapore, the equivalent would be bonds issued by
statutory boards.
Corporate bonds: these bonds carry higher interest rates than government bonds because of their
higher perceived risks. There are credit rating agencies that grade corporate bonds according to
their credit-worthiness.
DEFAULT RISK
Since a bond is no more than an IOU there is a risk that the issuer may default at some point before
maturity. A default occurs when the bond issuer fails to pay interest on a due date or fails to pay
bondholders the face value on maturity.
A bond issue with little or no default risk will trade at relatively low yields whereas one with higher
default risk has to offer a higher yield to compensate investors for the risk. This is consistent with the
risk-return relationship we explained earlier.
EXAMPLE
F&N Treasury issued a 5-year bond in 2008 and the bonds are currently priced at 101.5 for a yield to maturity
of 4.132%. This yield is 3.04% above the Singapore Government Bond yield curve and represents the default
risk premium of F&N Treasury relative to the Singapore Government.
Source: Bloomberg
It should be noted, however, that bond defaults are rare occurrences in Singapore with the vast
majority of bonds having been repaid on maturity.
In the large capital markets like the US and Europe most bonds are rated by credit rating agencies
such as Standard & Poors and Moodys after detailed analyses and assessment of their default risks.
Investment grade bonds are those rated from BBB to AAA, which is the highest rating. Bonds
with rating of BB and below are regarded as non-investment grade (sometimes referred to as junk
bonds).
Not surprisingly the highly rated bonds offer relatively low yields to maturity whereas low rated bonds
need to offer higher yields to compensate investors for the higher risk of default.
20
EXAMPLE
You have a 10 -year government bond with a coupon of 5%. Suppose that interest rates fall and a new 10
-year government bond now offers a coupon of 4%. Investors buying $1000 face value of this newly issued
bond will get annual interest of $40. They will be willing to pay more for your bond as it pays annual interest
of $50. In this case the price of your bond will rise to about $1,070. This is the price which will bring the yield
on your bond to about 4%. Conversely, if interest rates increase, the price of the bond will decrease.
The longer the life of the bond the more sensitive will its price be to changes in interest rates.
If you hold a bond till it matures, you may not be so concerned about fluctuations in its price
expecting that at maturity, you will be repaid your principal. If its price has risen in the meantime,
you can sell it at a profit. On the other hand, the price may drop due to a sharp rise in interest rates.
The interest rate effect means that bonds do not do well in inflationary periods. This is because
higher inflation leads to rising interest rates. Generally, bonds often do well in recessions or slow
growth environments when interest rates are falling or remain fairly stable.
CONCLUSION
You should not neglect investing in bonds. They offer higher yields than cash equivalents, and
provide a regular stream of income. Bonds are also generally less risky than shares. However, if bond
yields are low you need to consider the risk of bond prices falling should interest rates turn upwards.
22
Part 7
SHARES
CHARACTERISTICS OF SHARES
As a shareholder, you can attend the companys annual general meetings and vote on matters
like election of the directors of the corporation. The number of shares you own will determine how
many votes you have.
Shareholders, as owners, bear more risk than bondholders and other creditors if the company fails.
They will only be entitled to income and assets remaining after payments to creditors, including
bondholders. However, shareholders have limited liability in that they cannot lose more than their
investment in the company. Creditors can only lay claim on assets of the company and not of
shareholders.
In return for accepting higher risks, shareholders are able to share in the companys growth and
profits. Thus, unlike bonds, shares offer greater upside potential.
Shareholders derive returns from the growth of the company in two ways. First, they may receive
dividends. Dividends are paid out of the annual and retained profits of the company. The company
usually does not distribute all its profits as dividends but will retain a percentage to be reinvested in
23
the business. The reinvestment of earnings can foster growth of the company, benefiting shareholders
through a rise in the share price as discussed below.
Second, shareholders have the opportunity to benefit from capital appreciation of the shares. This
occurs when the company grows and its earnings increase. The company becomes more attractive
to other investors, which causes its share price to rise.
As you are probably aware, however, share prices do not just move up but can also fall. Indeed,
shareholders must be prepared for share prices to be volatile.
There are numerous factors that can affect a share price. To reiterate what we have said in an
earlier chapter, systematic risk factors are those that affect the market and include things like
general economic conditions, changes in interest rates or a sudden adverse change in market
sentiment. Non-systematic risk factors are however specific to the investment. Unlike systematic risk,
non-systematic risk can be reduced by spreading your investments over a number of different
shares.
Share prices react quickly to changes in any of these factors. They also move in expectation of how
developments will unfold. These expectations contribute to the volatility of shares.
Compared to bonds, shares show a wider range of returns. Of course, a lot depends on whether you
have selected the right shares to invest in. You will need to invest time and energy to do your
research before selecting which shares to buy. When you invest in shares you must be prepared to
withstand the emotional and financial stress during periods when your shares are performing poorly.
EXAMPLE
US financial markets have been among the most intensively analysed. The following shows the average
annual geometric returns from different investments and inflation in the US between 1986 and July 2009.
Cash Equivalents1
5.35%
Government Bonds2
7.38%
Commodities3
7.11%
Shares4
9.31%
Inflation
2.90%
Shares can also help you achieve a variety of investment objectives. Shares that pay high
dividends can be a source of income. If you wish steady long-term capital appreciation, you can
invest in large well-established companies that have good potential for earnings growth. Young
companies or those in emerging economies may offer higher potential for price appreciation but
may also be riskier in terms of their earnings volatility and corporate failures.
25
26
CONCLUSION
Investing in shares allows you to participate in the growth of companies. If the company does well,
its shareholders enjoy dividends and capital appreciation of the stock. Share prices, however, are
volatile because they are influenced by numerous factors. But, over the long term a carefully
selected portfolio of shares can help you achieve significantly higher rates of return than bank
deposits or bonds.
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Part 8
UNIT TRUSTS
You may have already invested in unit trusts with your CPF or cash savings.
For the average Singaporean, unit trusts are a practical alternative form
of investment. You should therefore know what unit trusts are, what benefits
they provide and how you can invest in them.
In addition there are those fees that are recurrent in nature. The biggest of these would be the
management fee paid to the investment manager for managing the fund. This is usually around 1%
of NAV. Other fees include the trustee fee, registry fees, valuation fees and audit fees. Together
these fees make up what is called the total expense ratio (TER).
The TER is usually between 1.0% to 2.5% of NAV. For your unit trust to grow in value it must first generate
sufficient income or capital growth to cover the TER. Investors should find out a funds TER before
deciding to invest in it.
on
total
returns
from
the
manager
of
the
fund
or
from
the
IMAS/LIAs
FundSingapore.com website. Normally, these returns are annualised so that you can examine
performance over a number of years and also to enable you to compare performance of one fund
relative to another. However, absolute return is not a sufficient measure of a funds performance.
The second way is to judge a unit trusts relative performance by comparing it against its benchmark
index. The difference, called excess return, is calculated by subtracting the benchmark return from
the unit trust return. Most unit trusts have a stated benchmark against which its performance is
measured. For example, the typical benchmark for unit trusts investing in Singapore stocks is the
Straits Times Index. If the excess return is positive, the unit trust is said to have outperformed its
benchmark. If it is negative, the unit trust has underperformed.
The benchmark index represents how the entire market performed on average. Comparing a unit
trusts performance against its benchmark is a more useful measure of the skill of the fund manager.
Other than passive or index funds which replicate the entire benchmark index, a fund should be
expected, over a reasonable time horizon, to outperform its benchmark.
Two unit trusts can have the same excess return over the same time horizon, yet performance may
not be equal, as risk has not been taken into account. The third method therefore is to measure the
performance of the unit trust relative to the risk taken. One widely used statistic is the information
ratio which measures the excess return per unit of risk taken, with the latter measured by the volatility
of the excess returns. If the information ratio is positive, it indicates the presence of some skill in the
fund manager. A negative information ratio indicates that the fund manager has underperformed
the benchmark return.
29
The selection of the manager is another important consideration. You will need to assess whether
the fund manager has the resources, experience and skills to do a good job of managing the fund.
Once the investment is made you still need to monitor the performance to see if it is meeting your
expectations.
Good recent performance of a unit trust may attract you to invest in it. This may not be advisable,
however, since it is difficult to judge consistency over a short period. Consistent good performance
over a longer period is a better guide to the quality of the fund manager, but even then it must be
noted that past performance is not necessarily a good indicator of future performance.
CONCLUSION
There are strong reasons why you should consider investing in unit trusts. Unit trusts provide
diversification, enlarge your investment opportunities and allow you to tap the skills of professional
fund managers. But, as with all investments, you should also make sure you are comfortable with all
aspects of the product.
31
CONCLUSIONS:
TEN IMPORTANT
POINTS TO REMEMBER
1.
2.
Investing is important to all of us who have to plan for the future, have financial
goals and desire financial security. You, therefore, have to give it the time and
attention needed. It is your personal responsibility.
When you invest, you expect a particular level of return. The actual return from
the investment, however, may be more or it may be less than your expected
return - this is the risk inherent in investing. You should also distinguish between
gross returns and net returns after transactions costs and fees. Transactions costs
eat into your returns, so avoid frequent trading.
3.
4.
5.
Start investing early to meet your financial goals. The longer the time you have,
the more you can use the power of compounded returns to grow your savings. It
also allows you to invest in assets like shares, which are riskier in the short term but
could give higher returns over time.
6.
Cash investments are liquid and offer safety of principal. They are useful as
emergency funds. They also help insulate your portfolio in times of market
uncertainty. However, cash gives only modest real returns. Leaving too much of
your funds in cash will inhibit the real growth of your savings.
32
7.
8.
9.
Unit trusts can offer many benefits to investors. The most important one is that you
gain access to professional management. With as little as $1,000, investors can
invest in a diversified portfolio of local or international securities managed by full
time professionals enabling you to invest in securities that you may not otherwise
have access to as an individual investor. However, you have to pay various fees
to invest in unit trusts. You need to do some basic research in order to select the
right unit trusts as well as the right fund manager.
10.
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The information in this Handbook is general in nature and is not in any way intended to constitute any recommendation or advice on personal investing or be relied on by the reader as investment advice. It is not designed as a substitute
for professional advice. The general information contained in this Handbook does not take into account any
investment objective, financial situation, characteristic or particular need of the reader, any specific person or any
group or persons. Any reference in this Handbook to any specific company or asset class in whatever way is used for
illustrative purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation on the company or asset class. Accordingly, no
warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly
in connection with or as a result of the reader, any specific person or any group of persons acting on any information,
opinion or statement expressed in this Handbook.
For more information about the Investment Management Association of Singapore, please visit our website at
http://www.imas.org.sg