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TT isortshop wil ach you the most racial way apply iba rago to he
price sis. Joe DiNapoli recognized around the world for his understanding ofthe
subject, Attends wil Giscover how to mix leading Fibonacci) and lagging indicators
for's highaccuray, low-risk trading approach, You wil ind out how to enter strong
running market moves “safely” and where to place stops for maximum protection and
Irinimum exposure. You will learn how to calculate pre-defined profic objective poincs
Ind how to employ the three-period money management rule wo maximize prof and
minimize heartache. You will ear why speife Displaced Moving Averages a 2 supe-
Hor tend containment indicator and why. a unique application of the
MACD/Stochasae trend indicator yields superior trading results
When you leave this session, you will understand the proper and practical applica-
tion of Fibonacei ratios to the price axis and you will have access to a trading style that
has the capacity to produce an exceptionally high number of winning tades
In this year’s TAG presentation, Joe DiNapoli will show, forthe fst ime ouside of
the private seminar stung, the fall implementation ofthe most accurate directional sg-
fal fv his ding arsenal. This signal i called the fot pena sade on, his sudents
fave ded i rad and ber” so ale fort ayo pode» igh perentage
of wining trades
Joe DiNapoli is a veteran trader with over twenty-five years of solid market trading
experience. He is also a dogged and thorough researcher, an internationally recognized
lecturer and a widely acclaimed author.
Joe's formal education was in electrical engineering and economics. His informal edu-
cation was in “the Bunker,” an aptly named trading room, packed full of electronics and
communications equipment, where most of Joe's early research began.
Joe’s exhaustive investigations into displaced moving averages, his creation of the
proprietary “Oscillator Predictor,” and in parla, his practical and unique method of
Applying Fibonacci ratios to the price axis make him one of today’s most sought-after
experts.
‘A registered CTA, Joe has taught his techniques in the major financial capitals of
Europe and Asia, as well as in the United States. His articles have appeared in a wide
variety of technical publications across the nation and worldwide. In 1996 alone, Joe
‘taught to capacity audiences in twenty-three financial centers around the globe.
Joe was a contributing author to High Performance Futures Trading, Power Lessons
From the Masters, selected 1990 book of the year by Super Trader's Almanac. He also
‘wrote the Fibonacci Money Management and Trend Analysis In-Eome Trading Course,
which has been lauded by professional and novice traders alike. Joe's newest and most
complete work, DiNapoli Levels, is due out in October of 1997.
‘When Chuck LeBeau (Technica! Traders Bulletin) asked his readers for names of suc-
cessful traders they most wanted to see interviewed, Joe DiNapoli’s name came up more
often than any other. The Atlanta Constitution cited Joe's work by referring to the “magical
power” of Fibonacci ratios in the market place. Joe has often made use of this magic to
‘make both staring and uncannily accurate market predictions, particularly in stock market
indexes and interest rate futures.
As the president of Coast Investment Software, Inc, located on Siesta Key in Sarasota,
Florida, Joe continues to develop and deploy “high accuracy” trading methods, using @
combination of leading and lagging indicators in unique and innovative ways. He conducts
a limited number of private turorials each year at his trading room and he also makes his
trading approach available to others via software and trading course materials.
‘Copyright DINAPOLI 1997. All Rights Reserved.
‘A complete catalogue of all TAG XIX tapes may be ordered from:
Dow Jones Seminars
701 Poydras, Suite 3900
New Orleans, LA 70139-3901
(800) 535-7990 » (504) 592-4550 + FAX (504) 392-4553,
TA
ax
LAS VEGAS
1997
Applying
Fibonacci to
Price Action
JOE
DINaPoui
Jor DiNarotr
Coast Investment Software
6907 Midnight Pass
Siesta Key
Sarasota, FL 34242
(941) 346-3801 O
(941) 346-3901 FAX,
[email protected]
‘www haleyon.com\neal\dinapoli
powjonesTHE DILEMMA:
You know the market is going up, you're sure of it, and you're long, but, your
stop is hit, just before the market goes exactly where you knew it was going all
along.
THE PROBLEM: Improper Stop Placement
Then, you get back in, at a new high, just in time for another pull back.
THE PROBLEM: Improper Entry Techniques
You ignore placing a stop, turn off the screen and go for a drive. When you
‘come back, you luck out and find the market seriously higher.
THE PROBLEM: Improper Self Management &
Money Management
Since you're in profits and want some protection., you place a break even stop,
THE PROBLEM: You don’t know where to take profits.
Some news hits. The market breaks hard, gets your stop, and promptly closes at
contract highs.
THE FRUSTRATION:
When you're right the market, you lose, break even, or take excessive risk.
When you're wrong the market, you just lose.
THE SOLUTIO!
Understanding the proper use and context, in which to apply a high quality
leading indicator. One that is designed to give you precise entry, stop, and
targeted profit objective points, before the market gets there. If you tum out to
be totally wrong in market direction, the same indicator controls your risk
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Buy pre-calculated dips in an up-trend, sell pre-calculated rallies in a down-
trend. Place stops properly, and take precalculated profits.
That's what this workshop is all about!
‘The views express byte speakers a the
vies of such speakers an ae net ne ans
Daw sones Marts. Such ewe are not
1 Should nt be retad upon to govein acon aTHE THREE CATEGORIES OF A WINNING TRADING STRATEGY
4. MANAGEMENT OF:
- YOURSELF
- understand your reasons for trading
excitement (overtrading) or profit
- YOUR TRADING CAPITAL
= 3 period rule
2. COMPETENT TREND AND DIRECTIONAL ANALYSIS
(lagging indicators)
- KNOW YOUR TIME FRAME
- MOVING AVERAGES fair
- STOCHASTICS fair
- TREND LINES, TREND CHANNELS fair
-MACD & STOCHASTIC COMBINATION _ good
- DISPLACED MOVING AVERAGES 00d
- PATTERNS THAT WORK good
3. PROPER APPLICATION OF FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT
& OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS (leading indicator)
- PINPOINT MARKET ENTRIES
- PINPOINT STOPS
- CALCULATE LOGICAL PROFIT OBJECTIVES
GOAL: MINIMIZE RISK AND INSURE A 70-80% PROBABILITY OF
GAINLET'S ASSUME A BASIC MOVING AVERAGE CROSSOVER. NON-JUDGMENTAL. ALWAYS IN
THE MARKET SYSTEM, WHERE ONE WOULD BUY ON CLOSE ABOVE THE MA AND SELL
BELOW IT ON CLOSE. IT'S EASY TO SEE HOW MANY TIMES ONE WOULD HAVE BEEN
WHIPSAWED BY THE NON-DISPLACED MA AS OPPOSED TO THE DISPLACED MA.
eo sae
CHART 1
NON-DISPLACED MOVING AVERAGE apt
19027,
WHIPSAWS
CHART 2 Baeza,
DISPLACED MOVING AVERAGE ly zazra
WHIPSAWSEVEN BEING WHIPSAWED INFREQUENTLY. AS IN CHART 3, CAN LEAVE AN AVERAGE
TRADER WITH AN EMOTIONAL EXCUSE \OT TO REENTER. LOOK AT THE PROFIT YOU
WOULD HAVE MISSED IF THE WHIPS\W IN MARCH GAVE YOU AN EXCUSE TO STAY OUT
OF THE MARKET,
F CHART 3
RTT
ia
WHIPSAWS USING STANDARD MA.
‘AVOIDED USING DISPLACED MA
DOUBLE REPO SELL
lsh af
4 | aera,
I 23aa7
DOUBLE REPO BUY 23303
22907
CHART 4 SHOWS TWO DOUBLE REPO SIGNALS IN THE S&P, OCCURRING IN 1986. I HAD MY.
PROVERBIAL LUNCH HANDED TO ME JUST BEFORE THE FIRST SIGNAL. THE LOCALS IN
‘THE S&P HAD THEIR LUNCH HANDED TO THEM JUST AFTER THE SECOND SIGNAL. WE.
BOTH LEARNED SOMETHING FROM THE EXPERIENCE, | LEARNED 4BQUT THE DOUBLE
REPO SIGNAL. THE LOCALS LEARNED TO KEEP THEIR HANDS IN THEIR POCKETS.
aCHART 4B SHOWS THE 3X3 CONTAINING THRUSTING MARKET ACTION IN THE CANADIAN
OLLAR
E sit a ta Fa =
| id At 7090
E ple IH i
hgh / I jo-res0
t
it t/ —
| f mw gst? \. e
| ‘A artco
jan t\ he —
LE. cars. nN aay 7000
Esse U z SEE
CHART 4B
¥
Tt Canadian Dallas Fat == CDus 7350]
‘CUPPING MARKET
a ACTION jors10
|
it ‘al {lh =
|r ni ih =
CHART 4ny
| |
IDEALIZED DOUBLE REPO excerpted from Tradine wh DiNapoli Levels (page 72).
CHART 5
DAILY SOYBEANS DOUBLE REPO DURING AND AFTER THE FLOODS IN 1993
CHART 6
\ oo we sett =
|
te meCHART 7
CHART 7 ILLUSTRATES THE CORN SHORTAGES IN 1996
AND THE SUBSEQUENT DOUBLE REPO.
y5na9
Sarr,
4007
CHART 8
CHART 8 SHOWS THE 3X3 CONTAINING
TREND IN CRUDE OIL ALL THE WAY UP
‘TO THE $40 LEVEL, THEN A DOUBLE REPO.
UH
iG
iiCHART 9 SHOWS A MONTHLY GOLD DOUBLE REPO. BACK IN THE EARLY 805
a zeeeretee
CHART 9 oe
| ezeas
79906.
| 75937
7288
ssese
3361
60472
s7ae3
sazea
saz08
DOUBLE REPO SELL
i aor
t amo
zean7
sata
suas |
JUST FOR A CHANGE OF PACE, LET'S SEE HOW THIS DIRECTIONAL INDICATOR WORKS IN,
‘THE STOCK MARKET.
CHART 10A came.
5416.
4750
aaza
391,
ess.BELOW IS PICTURED A DOUBLE REPO IN A HALF HOUR S&P
‘Gh SAB "S00" SebEK Tada Fukiits “SPH ~Frree8
CHART10B
A233
‘A DOUBLE REPO IN WEEKLY BONDS. a7a38
FORECASTED A HUGE BREAK IN THE azasa
US BOND MARKET. 32908
axg0a
ange
30238
aeens.
CHART10C
‘THE DOUBLE REPO FAILURE IS A SIGNAL IN ITSELF. IT CORRECTLY FORECASTED EVEN
LOWER PRICES
aCHART 11 SHOWS A DOUBLE REPO FAILURE IN THE DOLLAR INDEX IN JULY. “97,
ae OME TP RAH waae
ICHART 11 dewes
yenaa
are
DOUBLE REPO caer
FAILURE pene
sae
e408
ema
a7.
s479
083
omn9
PHLEE
|
ICHART 12
FAILURE ?
DOUBLE REPO SELL am
exes
ual
Hu
WEEKLY SOYBEAN DOUBLE REPO IN MAY OF 1997. NOTICE HOW THE 3X3 “CUPS”
MARKET ACTION,Peete mE : =
en
om
| OREAD & BUTTER oe
f cae
ease
ion
hyd =
AAG YF 747,
] f° 2h aug 97 0.362 0.618 7775
Focus Number Fil
teas eee
Point Number Suppon 743
Fip Nodes ore
renee ee
8115, 4 a8
=s=> 7968 * Tae.
ret
7730 788
———— 3]
enaRTiss ES ORE eo
Ba littl as
cs
| il | se
ly
| | " aus
I ‘| 8040, |
i inl ily h i |
nom a
Pscee ember Fue LHasot , i
Sree mn :
point Number Resistance
LoorcaL
Nodes Vn. Boatce
OBrECTIVE
se=> 7991 *
===> 8152 *
isa13
[Copyright (c) 1996 CIS, Inc. 41BASIC RETRACEMENT ANALYSIS UTILIZING THE TWO MAJOR RATIOS .382 AND 618:
‘ B
618 — .382
—— 382 618
l i
CHART 144, CHART 14B
| 1 | FIBNODES | | | FIBNODES
Here are the equations relating
to the above criteria.
FIBNODE EQUATIONS
F3 = B -.382(B-A)
F5 = B -.618(B-A) | f
BAR CHART LINE CHART
F3 is the 3/8 Fibnode or .382
retracement . |
F5 is the 5/8 Fibnode or .618
retracement .
A A
CHART 15
12BASIC FIBONACCI EXPANSION ANALYSIS UTILIZING THE THREE MAJOR EXPANSION
RATIOS .618, 1.0, AND 1.618:
A
c XoP
3 op
coP cop
B
oP ve
‘A
XOP
CHART 164 CHART 16B
OBJECTIVE POINT EQUATIONS
OP=B-A+C OBJECTIVE POINT
COP =.618(B-A)+C CONTRACTED OBJECTIVE POINT
XOP = 1.618 (B-A)+C EXPANDED OBJECTIVE POINT
13ee , 8303 ACTUAL HIGH i
i, 8287 OP PROFIT ‘oooo.00
4 || OBJECTIVE jeone
7616 |7300.00
687 POINT DROP
fi
w fn
Fd
cathy ft |sso0.00
al j
CHART 17
ri
SS or
ACTUAL 34534
OBJECTIVE
8176
73384,
CHART 18
25 Aug 97 09:23:22 Updated: 08/24/1997 0.618 1.618
Point Value Objective Points File SPWKOL
A= 60588 COP = 86443
1768 OP = 94534
C= 73354 XOP = 107623,
25 Aug 97 09:30:50 Updated: 00/00/0000 0.618 1.618
Point Value Objective Points File DJWKO1
A= 5182 ‘COP = 7550
Be 7112 (OP = 8287
C= 6357 XOP = 9380
14GME Sai S00" Stock index’ = Future spur
CHART 19
' a a Ba Ta Yea FE
ape eno
| vagy My ag.
r retail I {200.00
| pager eo0.00
neal . pence
STE aa SesaRSEIS so
Bs Pee . 2
Eo ee ize
7 BA BETTIE — TPIS z ay |
CHART 20
‘THE MACD/STOCHASTIC COMBINATION DAILY BASED SIGNALS A DAILY BASED SELL
SIGNAL ON 810797
154 CONFLUENCE
F5_ - F3
— F5
LINEAGE MARKINGS
2
CHART 21
F
3 REACTION LOWS
6 FIBNODES
2 CONFLUENCE AREAS — FB
—F os KA
a)
— 5 K2
— FS
ee
CHART 224
CHARTS 21 & 22 (excerpted from Trading uh DINAPOLI LEVELS, pages 150 & 152) SHOW
FIBNODE LINEAGE AND CONFLUENCE AREAS RESULTING FROM MULTIPLE REACTION,
LOWS WITHIN A MARKET SWING.
16YOU CAN SEE HOW EFFECTIVELY THE CONCEPT OF CONFLUENCE WORKS IN REAL LIFE
TRADING. BELOW IS CHART 22-B, THE MONTHLY DEUTSCHE MARK
SRS TER TG=——ornecor —sasEe to -aSTeer reer
CHART 22-B
:
i
!
| [AS EXPECTED, THE CONFLUENCE
| ‘AREA PROVIDES SUBSTANTIAL sont
SUPPORT AND SETS UP THE MARKET se2a
FOR A MAJOR RALLY. IF WE DIDN'T ane.
Lf KNOW ABOUT THE MONTHLY.
Uh fa CONFLUENCE AND WE WERE SHORT, S828
H fi 4 WE'D BE IN FOR A NASTY SURPRISE orm,
if ene
K MONTHLY CONFLUENCE
CHART 22-C
17:
MACDISTOC ALREADY.
INA SELL 1
CHART 23
25 Aug97 16:05:16 Updated: 08/25/1997 0.382 0.618
Focus Number File SPUOS1 Focust (Low for the swing)
Point Number Resistance Fib Nodes Point# (Enter lowest reaction high first)
oss 1
= 94755
— 9525 —_
98728
9418s 2
=> 94808 T kK
==> 95357 T
96100
osiss 3
96920
Copyright (c) 1996 CIS, Ine.
FIBNODE CONFLUENCE GIVES A LEADING INDICATOR SELL POINT AFTER A MAJOR OP IS
FULFILLED ON THE UPSIDE, AND THE 3X3 IS BROKEN
18CHE SAP S00 Stock Triax = Futiine == SFOF
wh al i
insoay WO ag
pee A
oP
CHART 24
25 Aug 97 17:16:05 Updated: 08/25/1997 0.618 1.618
Point Value Objective Points File SPU602
A=96910 COP=92117
B= 92650 ‘OP = 90490
C=94750 XOP-= 87857
Copyright (¢) 1996 CIS, Inc.
PROFIT OBJECTIVE POINTS ARE CALCULATED FROM AN HOURLY BASED CHART, WELL
BEFORE THE MARKET GETS THERE.
ALLOWING FOR THE GAP DOWN. THEY ARE FULFILLED ALMOST PERFECTLY.
19tht, -
: (SELL POINT A 94975 leso.c0
Wf, 2 «san abe
| Hh
ye AeA, j
Mh, rin, f
come Vez
CHART 25
26 Aug 97 10:29:11, Updated: 00/00/0000 0.618 1.618
Point Value Objective Points File SPU0S2
A= 94975
B= 92625
C= 94375
26 Aug 97 10:34:21 Updated: 00/00/0000 0.618 1.618
Point Value Objective Points File SPUOSI
A=92625 COP = 93006
B= 04375 OP = 94675
C=92925 — XOP-= 95757
Copyright (c) 1996 CIS, Ine.
PROFIT OBJECTIVE POINTS CALCULATED FROM A 5 MINUTE CHART
20
ft sa[ ee in
| HO osor —
E 92650
I FA =
ity 2
CHART 26
26 Aug97 10:50:04 Updated: 08/26/1997 0.382 0.618
Focus Number File SPU6O1 Focus# (Low for the swing)
int Number Resistance Fib Nodes. Pointy (Enter lowest reaction high first)
926801
—> 93538
===> 94087
94975
92650 2
> 93968 T
=> 94782 T
96100
=> 94277 +
> 95783 +
Copyright (c) 1996 CIS, Ine.
RE-ENTRY SELL OFF A 30 MINUTE CHART USING FIBNODE CONFLUENCE
AND AGREEMENT
21COAST INVESTMENT SOFTWARE, INC. products and services.
#941 346-3801 #Fax 94] 346-3901 ee-mail [email protected] ewww fibtrader.com
TEACHING AND TRAINING:
Trading With DINAPOLI LEVELS over 300 pages of the most comprehensive and
detailed book ever published on the practical application of Fibonacci Analysis to the
Price Axis, PUBLICATION DATE: October 15, 1997. $162.00
Joe DiNapoli’, “FIBONACCI, MONEY MANAGEMENT, AND TREND
ANALYSIS, in home trading course" This course consists of eight 90 minute audio
tapes, an accompanying 100 page Instruction Manual, a high quality, wide span,
Proportional Divider and an Applications Manual which describes in great detail how to
properly use the divider. This is a recorded, 2-day seminar detailing a wide variety of
topics essential for a trader's success. $475.00
without the Proportional Divider and an Applications Manual. $375.00
FIBONACCI A La Carte, The Mini Course: is an abbreviated, inexpensive version of the
Trading Course. It contains two, 60 minute audio tapes, and an accompanying manual, as
well as the Proportional Divider and the Applications Manual $189.00
The PROPORTIONAL DIVIDER & APPLICATIONS MANUAL: The Proportional
Divider is a high quality architectural tool, manufactured and engineered in Germany. It is
light weight and easy to handle. With this precision instrument, a trader can graphically
locate important Fibonacci ratios, Confluence, and Lineage Markings. It is generally
considered to be an indispensable trading tool, even if you have the FibNodes™ software.
‘The Applications Manual is a detailed, 60 page, professionally illustrated, instruction
manual describing the manipulation of the Proportional Divider, as well as the theory
behind the use of this device. $129.00
PRIVATE SEMINARS: Two day, intensive tutorials are held in the trading room during
trading hours. Attendance is limited, prerequisites apply, and availability is very limited.
Contact the office for price and scheduling information.
TRADING SOFTWARE:
FibNodes™: A unique Fibonacci Retracement and Objective Calculator, designed
specifically for hectic, high-pressure, intraday trading, as well as position trading where
high accuracy stop placement and targeted "profit objectives" are a must! The Fibonacci
levels are calculated and presented in a manner consistent with Joe DiNapoli's approach
as detailed in Tradine With DINAPOLI LEVELS. $295.00
THE CIS TRADING PACKAGE: A complete, affordable computer software graphics
trading package. It competently provides end-of-day analysis and has the proprietary
“Oscillator Predictor™" study, as well as the proper calculation and presentation of other
studies Mr. DiNapoli recommends for competent Trend analysis and Directional trading
techniques. $295.00
22