Banking On Blockchain
Banking On Blockchain
BANKING ON BLOCKCHAIN:
CHARTING THE PROGRESS OF
DISTRIBUTED LEDGER TECHNOLOGY
IN FINANCIAL SERVICES
01 FOREWORD ............................................................ 3
02 INTRODUCTION........................................................ 5
03 W
HAT IS BLOCKCHAIN AND WHY IS EVERYONE
TALKING ABOUT IT?................................................. 6
04 W
HAT ARE THE POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS OF
BLOCKCHAIN IN FINANCIAL SERVICES?..................... 9
Trade Finance......................................................12
Payments...........................................................13
Capital Markets...................................................14
The Regulatory App..............................................16
Non-bank driven blockchain implementations.........18
05 HOW COMPLETE IS THE BLOCKCHAIN
TECHNOLOGY STACK? .............................................19
06 WHAT MIGHT PREVENT BLOCKCHAIN FROM
GOING MAINSTREAM IN FINANCIAL SERVICES?.........21
07 O VER WHAT TIMEFRAME WILL WE SEE BLOCKCHAIN
GO MAINSTREAM IN FINANCIAL SERVICES?............. 24
08 WHAT SHOULD FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS BE
DOING ABOUT BLOCKCHAIN RIGHT NOW?.................25
09 ABOUT...................................................................27
07 What should financial institutions be doing about
blockchain right now? 25
01
FOREWORD
REALISING THE BENEFITS OF THE INDUSTRIAL BLOCKCHAIN
Blockchain the shared ledger technology which allows any participant in a business
network to see the system of record will have a transformative impact on a number of
industries, including financial services, in the future. Blockchain is still in its relative
infancy, but a number of initiatives under way are already driving its progression to
an industrial solution which will yield several important benefits in the context of the
transfer of assets within business networks.
Today, participants in business networks are all maintaining their owntraditionalledgers
to record transactions between them within their ecosystems. Despite efforts to reduce
the complexity and increase the interconnectedness of these systems through investment
in integration and B2B technologies, business network participants are still typically
swapping files of data between them. As a result, the processes to underpin asset
ownership and asset transfer in business networks are frequently inefficient, expensive
and vulnerable.
Blockchain holds the potential for all participants in a business network to
shareasystem of record. This replicated, shared ledger will provide consensus,
provenance, immutability and finality around the transfer of assets within business
networks reducing costs, complexity and time, underpinning shared, trusted
processes, enabling trusted recordkeeping and improving discoverability.
This paper explores the current state of play with blockchain in financial services,
looking at the challenges and opportunities of implementing the technology across
banking and the capital markets, and examining a number of use cases, for many of
which proofs of concept are already under way. Financial services will not be the only
industry impacted by blockchain, but it is currently leading the field in experimenting
with and implementing the technology.
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By John McLean
CTO, VP Global Blockchain Team, IBM Systems
As a ledgering technology, blockchain will not replace the payment systems or the
messaging systems deployed by banks, but these systems will connect to the blockchain,
augmenting existing business networks and providing increased discoverability and
trust. The benefits of the industrial blockchain outlined above are clearly very relevant
to an industry focused on de-risking, improving its compliance capabilities and
streamlining, automating and reinforcing trust in some very long-standing business
processes.
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Indeed, the industry commentators who have contributed to this paper confirm the
potential of blockchain to bring great value in a number of important financial services
activities, from trade finance to payments to securities settlement to regulatory
compliance.
The paper also flags a number of prerequisites for blockchain to fulfil its potential
in financial services and beyond. Key among these is achieving a standard way
of implementing the technology. A shared ledgering technology that can provide a
consistent view across the broad business network needs a standard way of transferring
ledger data. Organisations will participate in multiple ledgers an FX network, a bond
network, et cetera. Just as the internet and intranets share the same technology, so the
blockchain proposition needs interoperability to function.
In this context, the recently announced open ledger project being orchestrated by the
Linux Foundation is critical. Under an open governance model, this project will develop
an enterprise grade, open source distributed ledger framework freeing up developers
to focus on building robust industry-specific applications, platforms and hardware
systems to support business transactions, in banking and capital markets but also in
other industries.
Alongside a range of other important participants, IBM is committed to the open ledger
project. Wearedonating code and corresponding IP to this open source community
as one of the first contributions that will enable blockchain to achieve its potential as a
mainstream solution. The initiative is also timely. The contributors to this paper suggest
and we agree that alongside numerous proofs of concept of blockchain that will run
during the course of 2016, we are also likely to see one or more significant production
solutions going live next year. A standard, robust distributed ledger framework will be a
crucial underpinning for these early blockchain implementations and all those that follow.
In line with our support of the open ledger initiative, at IBM we are always interested in
participating with a broad base of our clients in innovation efforts, and we are eager to
partner with our customers to reap the benefits of these technologies and accelerate the
use of blockchain for business.
In the meantime, I hope you find this paper interesting, informative and useful.
02
INTRODUCTION
BANKING ON BLOCKCHAIN: CHARTING THE PROGRESS OF
DISTRIBUTED LEDGER TECHNOLOGY IN FINANCIAL SERVICES
clear that blockchain had made the transition from being a technology discussed by the
few people in the know to being a mainstream preoccupation.
Inevitably perhaps, having emerged from the shadow of Bitcoin, blockchain is now almost
too much in the spotlight and in danger of being positioned as a panacea for all ills. As
the saying goes, when you have a hammer, everything looks like a nail. However, while
expert opinion varies as to the way in which blockchain will impact financial services,
the extent to which it will disrupt the existing ecosystem and the speed at which this will
happen, there is widespread agreement that the technology has powerful potential to
herald a new age of efficiency in the industry.
This paper seeks to explore that potential, examining exactly what blockchain is and the
benefits it could bring; the areas within financial services in which it is most likely to be
applied; the current state of play with blockchain implementation in the industry; the
challenges that need to be overcome in order for it to fulfil its promise; the likely way in
which the blockchain story will develop in the coming months and years; the implications
of that development for existing market participants; and possible approaches for
institutions to ensure they benefit positively from the blockchain phenomenon.
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03
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reduce risk
07
There is a school of thought which says the rush to move beyond Bitcoin is happening
too quickly, before the full implications of how cryptocurrencies and permissionless
distributed ledgers work have been explored and that it suits the banks rather too well
to separate blockchain from Bitcoin as rapidly as possible, since Bitcoin purists see no
role for banks. I am wary of binary decision-making in technology, says Taylor. For
payments use cases the anonymity part of Bitcoin is difficult to make work in our current
financial services infrastructure. But that doesnt therefore invalidate the use of the
technology, period.
But whether or not permissionless blockchains could end up having a role in mainstream
financial services, it is certainly true that having reached fever pitch a year or so ago, the
excitement about cryptocurrencies does seem to have stalled. Yes, there may be more
than a dozen Bitcoin wallets on the market and yes, hundreds of thousands of merchants
accept Bitcoin, but in the context of the number of merchants and people in the world,
the uptake of cryptocurrencies is not yet statistically significant. Bitcoin purists may say
that people dont want to put trust in institutions but prefer instead to trust cryptography
but that view is probably not the majority view today.
So while it is fast becoming a clich to say that its the blockchain not Bitcoin which is
the really powerful innovation, this distinction does resonate with most industry experts.
Does the size of the prize significant operational and capital efficiency gains,
immediacy, auditability, transparency justify the level of blockchain excitement? As
with any new and exciting field, there is a bit of a gold rush right now, says Mariano
Belinky, Managing Partner of Santander InnoVentures. I would question whether
distributed ledger is always necessarily the best approach, but there are certainly
problems that still need to be solved by a centralised database which is cryptographically
secured. And its probably necessary to let a thousand flowers bloom, observes Zilvinas
Bareisis, Senior Analyst at Celent. Its important for the market to experiment in order to
hit on the one killer app.
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04
Kumar: blockchain
creates an opportunity to
improve business models
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There is a long term, big picture vision for blockchain a fabric for financial services
a books and records for the world as Taylor describes it. There is definitely a desire to
look at how this might work, he says. For Rain Lhmus, Chairman of the Supervisory
Board at LHV Capital, a decentralised universal database could be used in a variety
of interesting ways. What banks today are basically doing is running databases and
recording claims against them, he says. There are thousands of banks in the world
using similar databases all separately maintained. Thats quite expensive. If we were
using blockchain it could be universal and used by many institutions bringing much
more efficiency and also helping to bring various systems closer together. Blockchain
could bring down cost and open up opportunities for smart people and companies with
not so deep pockets to do useful applications. If you want to develop a bank you still have
to invest heavily in infrastructure. If you had blockchain, you could just hook up to that.
In this vision a ledgering fabric would reduce costs and create more open access and, as
Lhmus says, in this regard blockchain captures both the spirit and objective of the
EUs PSD2.
In other words, the initial introduction of blockchain will be to bring efficiencies, but
over time, the ubiquity could create a new fabric to more easily connect counterparties in
innovative network configurations, rather than the more centralised models were used to
seeing today.
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actual solution to a problem. Equally important is to ensure that the problem targeted
can be solved by technology in the first place. There was a whole discussion very early
in the game that blockchain could be used for non-CLS currencies, says Belinky. The
issue with those isnt a technology one, its a legal one and blockchain wont solve that
underlying legal issue.
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When it comes to thinking of problems to solve, some of the most often-cited examples
tend not to be related to dematerialized and electronic financial markets, but to
transactions which are rooted in the physical world, where there is plenty of paper
(which we can easily imagine being digitalised), and where a number of parties have to
do a similar action but in sequence to enable a transaction to be processed. So the house
purchase process and car ownership through a vehicles lifecycle (linking to insurance)
come up very often. You have to ask what the technology is good at, says Taylor. If you
need verifiability and certainty you can achieve that with blockchain. So, where is it good
As part of its R&D in the space, Kynetix has recently announced it has successfully
transferred title to a single lot of pepper on the Bitcoin blockchain using Sentinel, its
inventory management and physical delivery platform, which creates electronic records
of title, ownership and storage of commodities.
As Guillaume Kendall, Head of Business Development at Kynetix, points out: Our niche
is where the physical world meets the financial markets and our target use cases can be
tackled without necessarily changing an industry. We are looking to distill specific use
cases through the consortium rather than try and boil the ocean.
TRADE FINANCE
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One of the most frequently suggested examples of where blockchain can be applied is
in the trade finance area. Trade finance has real potential. It is very tangible its the
same thing whichever way you look at it, says Taylor. Market commentator Lee Fulmer
agrees, but adds a qualification. If some banks decide to put the financial supply chain
for example letters of credit on the blockchain, then that is pretty powerful but to
be really powerful the big corporates, the big shippers, and manufacturers, need to be on
board, as well as the customs authorities. As both letters of credit and bills of lading have
very complex and intricate information flows, even if only a few participants were using
a blockchain solution this would generate significant advantages but the power of this
solution certainly increases with the network effect.
Camerinelli says his research with 100 corporates revealed few who had even heard of
blockchain, indicating banks need to do more to involve the corporates in the process
of automating trade finance on the blockchain. He also observes that there have been
many attempts to automate trade finance already, but still document-heavy letters of
credit processes remain firmly in place. You have to look at whats in it for a corporate.
With letters of credit corporates are somehow outsourcing to banks additional services
checking goods have arrived et cetera so in the cost of LC processing they are also
receiving a value-added service. If this process goes digital the corporate has to find it
more beneficial. The bank payment obligation (BPO) was a powerful solution, but it also
shows what happens if banks develop a solution between themselves and just assume
corporates will jump on it. They have to be involved from the outset.
As both letters of credit and bills of lading have very complex
and intricate information flows, even if only a few participants
were using a blockchain solution this would generate
significant advantages but the power of this solution
certainly increases with the network effect.
PAYMENTS
As the current preoccupation with enabling instant payments on a national, regional and
potentially even global basis suggests, the payments space is ripe for innovation, as the
banks look to fend off competition from new entrants. Smart people at the beginning
of the 1990s were predicting we would have 24/7 payment mechanisms with everything
linked already and we dont have that yet, points out Lhmus.
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Despite doubts about Bitcoin, a number of observers continue to believe the potential
for blockchain in payments is high, and companies like Ripple have garnered a lot of
attention in the payments space. As Fulmer says, the theory here is potentially strong.
Blockchain allows everybody involved in a transaction to see the entire transaction
lifecycle and everyone elses involvement in it. Thats very good. We have been trying to
achieve that in payment systems with messages but if you have a complex chain, thats
difficult to do. While messages are a reasonable way to offer clarity on each step in the
payments process, blockchain could add to this by providing provenance and auditability
for these messages. Smart contracts could then be used to make payment terms and
positions more visible, reducing risk.
For some, blockchain could be the answer here. As Michael King, Chairman, Credits
(a blockchain platform provider) says: If you look at the efforts to think about instant
payments in Europe now, its in the interests of existing players to talk about a hub and
spoke approach. But the intellectual side of instant payments is that its distributed.
Belinky goes so far as to say: If you ask me, will we have a distributed ledger for cross
currency payments globally, I would say there is a very strong probability that we will. I
cant see now a major blocking factor. Faura agrees. Payments, especially international
payments, are very ripe for a change and an improvement in terms of costs, quality
of service, making the process more transparent and continuous, he says. Its not as
transformational, its more incremental leveraging the fact that the ledger is distributed
and shared between trusted institutions. I think the technology is close to being
production-ready. Its a matter of succeeding with proofs of concept and then deploying in
a collaborative manner.
CAPITAL MARKETS
A far more transformational opportunity created by blockchain, says Faura, is the fact
that we can now attach behaviour to money which opens the gate for new capital
markets instruments. While he acknowledges that the industry is a long way from a
production environment for this aspect of capital markets innovation, a second realm in
which he sees the potential for implementation of blockchain in relatively short order is
everything that relates to settlement for use across the capital markets.
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Here, the vision is to achieve T+0 settlement with all the efficiencies that would create,
by utilising the blockchain to achieve instant finality, reducing cost and vastly improving
timeliness. There could also be an opportunity to eliminate intermediary steps in the
process. Central counterparties were put in place to mitigate counterparty risk, says
King. But if you had instant collateralisation and instant settlement, you would not
have counterparty risk. The reason blockchain can be potentially disruptive is that the
distributed ledger forces us to rethink business models and how to move away from a
hub and spoke model. Blockchain might not lead to the removal of intermediaries but it
could force them to provide new and innovative services to remain relevant in a low cost,
abundant network.
Taylor urges caution around the speed at which change in the capital markets will
happen, but acknowledges the potential, and points out that it is in the capital markets
area that the biggest number of blockchain start-ups are active, looking to pick off certain
asset classes and move them to a bilateral model. The business rationale for a CCP
wont go away. We might have options now that we didnt have before, but if anything,
blockchain technologies could create more efficient markets. Over a 10 year period
the market could start to look different, with a mix of central counterparties playing a
different role, and banks and CCPs operating more efficiently, he says. So blockchain
could bring value now, and value later, as relationships and counterparties evolve.
Voss says Nasdaq started to look at blockchain 2.5 years ago, attracted by the potential
operational and capital efficiency the technology if correctly deployed can bring,
alongside the immediacy, auditability and transparency aspects. It remains to
be proven if these attributes can come to fruition and be deployed in larger scale
capital and financial market use, but we think it holds great promise. We are actively
trying to understand how it can be deployed, and we are early out in deploying some
solutions and proofs of concept, says Voss.
is bringing to market is for efficient, electronic services for the issuance, transfer and
management of private company securities. Our innovation strategy is to go live with
a minimum viable product, Voss says, which will satisfy a genuine need to improve
efficiency and reduce risk, keeping track of movements of paper-based certificates.
Alongside an application for proxy voting in Estonia, Nasdaq hopes that this use case will
start to prove blockchain technology can be used for other applications in financial services
than cryptocurrencies. Voss sounds the familiar notion of caution about how rapidly change
will occur. When we look at larger scale capital market use, it is clear that there needs to be
further innovation around performance and scalability, he says.
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Nasdaqs first proof of concept transaction was symbolically recorded on New Years Eve
2015 by Chain.com, the blockchain development company that is helping Nasdaq to build
the distributed ledger-based Linq platform. The first blockchain-based solution Nasdaq
Deutsche Bank too has reached the conclusion that it is in the capital markets that
blockchain has the most immediate potential. Edward Budd, Managing Director working
on digital strategy, Global Transaction Banking, Deutsche Bank, says it has been looking
at blockchain for about 20 months. As a large transaction banking player we wanted to
investigate the Bitcoin developments. Actually when you look at blockchain use cases in the
already highly efficient and lean wholesale payments market, the question is why the market
should invest to move to a blockchain based solution? We see more potential for blockchain
in the securities world.
Deutsche has been experimenting internally with blockchain specifically smart contracts
applied to the lifecycle management of corporate bonds. The reason we did the project was
that we really wanted to actively understand the capability of the technology and separate
the hype from the practicality, Budd says. We have done two proofs of value in parallel
on two different blockchain rails in order to learn about the technical capabilities and also
the legal and regulatory aspects. The smart contract aspect is suited well to corporate bonds,
and we have been able to look at lifecycle management events and transfer of ownership and
testing blockchain in both the technical and legal senses.
Deutsche has concluded that the technology is capable of performing these functions, he says.
Our positive view of blockchains ability to meet the needs of a large financial ecosystem is
tempered by the time aspect. We take a 5-10 year view on true network wide adoption but from
what we have seen there will definitely be commercial use cases in a 12-24 month period.
Faura: ability to
attach behaviour to
money opens gate for
new capital markets
instruments
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The notion of a blockchain irrevocably recording all transactions in a market has given
rise to the regulatory app concept a vastly simplified way for a supervisor to view the
information it needs to ensure a market is in good order. For Credits King, this is the
biggest application for blockchain. With MiFID, Basel III, PSD2 et cetera, the amount
of data that firms have to provide into regulators, locally, regionally, globally, is growing
exponentially, and often the regulators dont have an efficient way to consume this data. If
theres a problem, they still call up firms and ask, regardless of what they have been sent.
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In theory, AML processes would be eliminated (along with a good proportion of GBP1.5
billion in costs), he says, as the regulator could track the provenance of funds on the
blockchain. A central bank could say, here is my currency blockchain so you no
longer have to report, he says. Blockchain could also help to solve KYC and identity
management challenges, he adds. The data we use to prove identity is already digital.
The blockchain could enable instant identity verification.
As Belinky points out, there are start-ups already offering blockchain applications in the
compliance area, and the regulatory app does have potential, observers agree though
there are issues. Given everything is in the ledger, it would be possible to create the right
window for the regulator, but there are some questions about identity, anonymity, how
much information about the transaction to publish, what is private, what levels of access
to allow, Belinky notes.
Budd echoes this view. A window for the supervisors based on the blockchain could in
principle work. Practically this could be tested in one of the permissioned blockchain
projects coming to the surface. There remain practical questions to answer about the
provision of reference data, providing the right level of transparency perhaps at a data
attribute level based on the different roles hosts of nodes play, and ensuring appropriate
confidentiality is maintained.
Bringing clarity to regulatory reporting is a challenge in the pre-blockchain world, as
Kumar points out, and blockchain would not automatically solve this. When firms send
their data to the regulator today, an issue is that they all have different definitions of
counterparties, for example, he says. Whether you use the physical reporting mechanism
or the blockchain, you still have to have standards that work, and thats complicated and
takes a long time.
The good news is that work is under way by technology companies on the cryptography
needed to ensure identity management and privacy on the blockchain. Privacy is needed
for both transactions and identity, and it needs to be tunable, so that counterparties can
see only the transactions for which they are permissioned. The regulatory app especially
highlights the need for scalable privacy but it is also required to make blockchain
suitable for use in other areas including capital markets and payments.
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For Fulmer, the biggest problem with the regulatory app concept is the relative
immaturity of the blockchain itself. For this application as for others, more innovation
is needed. The reality of the situation is that no bank would ever open its books
completely to the regulator or to competitors, which the blockchain will do, he says.
The commercial terms of contracts need to remain confidential. For areas of commercial
sensitivity, blockchain is not ready yet. We are still working out how to put confidential
information on it and to restrict access. This is why ledger initiatives need to continue
developing.
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05
In short, taking the more flexible lego brick view of blockchain technologies cherrypicking the features which suit the use case could mean that the blockchains which
are implemented in financial services will look less and less like the Bitcoin blockchain
but unless you happen to be a purist, this is unlikely to be an issue, and most financial
institutions have already reached this conclusion.
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There remain some genuine issues, however. One is around standards and the danger
that a lack of standards could impede interoperability. With all the major vendors
and utilities looking at this and the banks all doing their own thing and filing patents,
interoperability could become a real problem, warns Fulmer. If a major bank develops
its own version of blockchain and expects everyone to use it, while its smaller customers
may, other major banks wont. We need a standard for the protocol, regulated by an
industry body like the IETF or IEEE, to which every interested party has access like
TCP/IP. Clearly, if everyone has a different ledgering technology, then we would be back
to the world of multiple different fractured systems in a business network creating
exactly the friction that blockchain is trying to reduce or eliminate.
INGs Buitenhek suggests one of the most important challenges is setting joint
standards and protocols. You need standardisation in order for a new technical
protocol to work, he says. There are many standards elements that must be worked
on, adds Kumar, including a taxonomy and a mechanism to manage the transition to
a blockchain environment. On top of the standards needed in the technology stack
to cover privacy, smart contracts, identity etc), there is also a need for standards
to enable different businesses to use the blockchain. For example, banks would have
different standards to those used by automotive manufacturers, but still be able to
use the same underlying technology standards just as they do with the internet.
The good news is that work is under way, says Belinky. We are already starting to see the
underpinnings of this. The R3CEV initiative has most representative players at the table,
and standards are on its agenda, he notes. We are also seeing more interoperability
protocols such as the inter-ledger protocol from Ripple. We will see more and more of
this and it is critical. Inter-ledgering is much easier if there is one, common, ubiquitous
fabric for ledgering: just like the internet and intranets, it is possible to get from
anywhere to anywhere else across multiple ledgers because they are all using a single,
agreed, open standard.
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Another boost to blockchain standards comes from the recently announced collaborative
effort spearheaded by the Linux Foundation the non-profit organisation supporting
innovation through open source. Early commitments to this work come from IBM, other
companies include ANZ Bank, Cisco, CLS, Credits, Digital Asset Holdings, Fujitsu, IC3,
Intel, London Stock Exchange Group, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, State Street,
SWIFT, VMware and Wells Fargo. The project aims to develop an enterprise grade, open
source distributed ledger framework, and free up developers to focus on building robust,
industry-specific applications, platforms and hardware systems to support business
transactions.
Belinky also highlights another major technological challenge for blockchain: the fact
that it is still in its infancy. The building blocks are there. More of the complementary
components are starting to appear. But a number of components need to come together
before we get to an enterprise level solution.
Budd reinforces this point. The technical conclusions of our proofs of value are positive,
in respect to the use of the blockchain rails and the potential use of smart contracts.
The technology basics are in evidence but there are open questions about how this
scales, how infrastructure is configured in reality for permissioned use cases, how much
the element of large computing power is traded for increased the levels of trust in a
permissioned model.
Voss agrees the jury is still out on how blockchain will be used in a mainstream way.
The next phase is proving the technology under some stress of commercial
applications, he says. Potentially we get through that phase and the technology
proves its capable of handling them, and then the next step is using it for more
complex and advanced commercial challenges. If instead we reveal issues which
need to be remedied, and its reasonable to remedy them, we will deal with those.
If for some unlikely reason we discover some lethal flaws in the technology then itll
slow down.
While it is reasonable to assume that, given the level of focus on blockchain right now,
any flaws in the technology will be resolved in time, for now they do create a potential
credibility problem for prime time use. As Kendall from Kynetix puts it: Blockchain is in
its infancy by comparison with other database technologies. How do you take it to your
board as a credible solution?
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CEOs of lines of business are more fixated on delivering new services and products for
their customers if they have money to invest in the next 12 months that is where it
will go.
That said, blockchain could be the technology that enables banks to introduce new
products and services, and this is all the more worth considering given the fact that
new entrants, unencumbered by legacy constraints, could utilise blockchain to create a
radically cheaper platform for innovation.
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One could be the degree to which the banks have an appetite right now to make the
necessary levels of investment, beyond the experimentation they are already doing in
order not to be left behind, says Fulmer. The banks have had to spend vast amounts
of money on capital adequacy and regulatory requirements, and the business side has
suffered. In general they have not been able to invest in products. They are pulling out
of markets. I think they may find it challenging to invest the necessary money to truly
leverage blockchain over the next 2-3 years while they are trying to fix themselves. The
Another hurdle could be regulatory and legal issues. Avoiding some of the more
contentious elements of the Bitcoin blockchain could help to make the regulators more
comfortable, and, as Voss says, as far as blockchain is about improving the efficiency
of todays markets, it may not impact the regulatory question. The regulator today is
already fairly tech neutral, he points out. The regulators are not concerned about the
technology used as long as you can satisfy the criteria for approval. This could change,
however, if blockchain were to lead to a restructuring of how the markets operate. If
blockchain starts to significantly change the business model of some of these activities,
and who does what if we end up with business models and activities that the
regulators werent formerly able to contemplate then we might end up revisiting
the regulation, he suggests.
The regulators have shown they are keen to encourage innovation, with the UK Financial
Conduct Authority for example recently announcing a fintech sandbox expressly designed
to enable it to get familiar with new products early, in order to advise on and plan
regulatory change as required.
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Legal issues will also have to be addressed. There is no jurisprudence around smart
digital documents, says Belinky, so we will have to write it. As Bareisis of Celent
points out, in the world of smart contracts, programmers have an elevated importance.
If instead of armies of lawyers writing contracts, programmers are governing this
through smart contracts, what will be the legal implications of coding errors? And
different ownership laws in different markets cannot simply be overcome by blockchain,
as Kendall points out. In the commodities world, launching a new commodity contract
can take months and months, considering tax and ownership laws across different
jurisdictions. Even if you get an industry to buy into a new way of doing things, legal and
regulatory compliance will inevitably add some complexity to wider adoption.
One aspect which may help is the likely availability of a range of different smart
contract programming languages, some of which could be used by lawyers directly.
Just as spreadsheets have moved beyond specialist use to mainstream, with the right
programming language and metaphors, technology can become usable by a wider
community.
Moving to a new world also begs the question of what happens to open interest on
a market that is transferring to the blockchain, Kendall adds. Day 1 is a problem!
Moving a market in flight on to a new infrastructure would clearly be a challenge and
this supports the idea of a more gradual move, adopting blockchain for new or totally
unautomated activities first, to establish the benefits and learn more about the wider
implications of such an infrastructure change.
A related point could be the impact of vested interests on the speed of blockchain
adoption. The banks remain positive about their role and the roles of their utilities in
a blockchain future. It seems far-fetched to imagine blockchain will not change the
intermediary landscape to some degree, however. As Kumar says: The financial
institutions with the relationship with the clients and that have the balance sheet, the
reputation and the branding unless for other reasons they lose it should continue
to play a role. But the way we solve problems could change and the intermediaries
we all have to facilitate transactions could change.
Shah of Digital Asset Holdings says: Banks and other trusted market infrastructure
providers play a very important role in the ecosystem. Its not just about being an
intermediary, but about being trusted to perform certain services and meet regulatory
requirements. The best financial firms will take advantage of this new technology and
deploy it to their own benefit with the result that those benefits will accrue to their
customers. It does have the potential to be disruptive and if firms dont explore it there
is that risk. But its also constructive in the sense that it can be a material competitor
advantage.
LHVs Lhmus points out that there are clear conflicts of interests for intermediaries in a
blockchain world, even if the blockchain model that is adopted is not a pure imitation of
the Bitcoin blockchain. There has to be wastage in an industry so big. There is a conflict
but then again there are always conflicts. In the early 1990s we were the first bank in
Estonia to enter the internet banking space, and accountants in banks were our biggest
critics because they didnt want to lose the opportunity of a coffee break when they
visited a physical bank branch! Of course, those accountants are probably now engaged
in more productive activities and enabling new business; internet banking has clearly
created more than it has destroyed.
and have ongoing relationships with them. To be really effective on an industry scale,
blockchain needs banks and the market infrastructures which already exist to work
together, and at the moment I dont see a compelling business case for that, says Fulmer.
In reality, blocking factors like regulation, legal constraints and even vested interests will
almost certainly be resolved in time. They are part of what the banks are investigating
now, as Deutsche Banks Budd points out. We are very clear that these types of
technology evolutions could redefine the roles up and down the value chain and therefore
the business models those roles are based on today. By investigating blockchain that is
one of the critical aspects we want to test further. This is not primarily a new technology
pilot and project. The primary business driver here is learning more about the potential
evolution of business models, surfacing the key regulatory and legal aspects and of
course, understanding which aspects of the new models the customer will value? Its very
important that we stay focused on the outcome for our clients in these developments.
The blockchain has the potential to significantly change business models, Voss believes,
but lots of things need to happen first including proving the technology, use cases
and deploying blockchain into already existing infrastructures and ecosystems. During
the transition phase we need to create acceptance and desire in the community, he
says. Any strategic plan needs to involve issues like how we change attitudes from
where they are today to ones that are positive. The only way to get to that is to
actually prove it in markets that are understandable to influence thinking. But
you cant start in the most challenging markets. Once you have proven over and
again that the technology is efficient on a small scale, its easier to conceptualise
how it could make processes more efficient on a big scale. A roadmap is critical for
this to happen.
In short, prime time blockchain use in financial services needs time and consideration.
As Fulmer says: I am an avid supporter of blockchain. Its a revolutionary way to package
a set of technologies and it will have huge implications but its going to take time to
mature. We need to stop with the hype for five minutes and see how we are going to make
it work.
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07
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Though observers are united in their view that nothing massive will happen quickly, it is
also clear that blockchain developments are happening now and an impact is likely in the
short, medium and longer term. The consensus is that a probable timeframe will look
like this:
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Now to end-2016
Continued experimentation and proofs of concept and work on developing the requisite
components including standards. Possibility of a high-profile deployment in 2016 given
the level of activity.
2016-2018/19/20
Significant applications solving real-world problems in certain areas of the banking and
capital markets industries.
08
We believe there will be many permissioned blockchains and interoperability will be a key element in
the future landscape. The maturity of blockchain business model development is equivalent to that of
the internet in the late 1990s, before most of the really powerful business models of today emerged.
The Facebook equivalent may not appear in the next 12-24 months. Thats why we are so actively
learning ourselves and engaging in the market
Edward Budd, Deutsche Bank
2) C ollaborate. There are internal wins to be had with blockchain, maybe even in the next 12 months (such
as an internal golden source reference data application). But for the most part it is a community play.
It requires cross-market participation between not just banks, but their market infrastructures and
their corporate customers.
All of these use cases will probably become something like industry consortia ultimately. The use
cases are typical utility problems. It makes a lot of financial sense that such a blockchain solution
is owned by participating financial institutions. Eventually we will see more and more investing
strategically alongside each other.
Mariano Belinky, Santander InnoVentures
3) Contribute to the development of standards, from the protocol upwards throughout the stack, and to
an understanding of the regulatory and legal implications of blockchain. To be a de facto standard
blockchain needs a TCP/IP like basis and different blockchains need to interoperate. The consortia
approach is good for standards development and for the creation of roadmaps for real-world ecosystem
adoption. An open governance model will enable banks, technology companies, regulators and others to
contribute to the development of a blockchain standard.
We see it as positive that there is so much brainpower focusing on the space. We need to understand
the technology its strengths and its weaknesses and there is also a lot of thinking about how it fits
into the existing ecosystem and infrastructure, and how it fits into the regulatory environment.
Fredrik Voss, Nasdaq
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4) D efine the right use cases. Blockchain cant solve all the worlds problems. It isnt good for everything.
And it cant solve problems that are beyond the reach of technology. Some use cases will fail but
apply your energies where they can yield the most payback. Use cases with real value for end users are
essential. Also, using blockchain where a simpler technology would solve the problem (e.g. a database)
will just lead to a solution with a suboptimal cost profile. Look for business networks, markets,
counterparties and asset transfer activities where provenance, auditability, consensus and finality are
important.
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As you get closer to blockchain itll start to change shape a bit. You will see more detail and make
different decisions accordingly. Its also got to solve a real problem. And just because you have a new
tool in your toolbox doesnt mean that difficult problems will be suddenly easy to solve. My job has
flipped from having to get people to consider the technology to having a more considered approach to
using it. It cant change the world tomorrow. We need to very sensibly and steadily cut to the core.
Simon Taylor, Barclays
5) Prepare for the future impact on business models. It wont happen overnight, but all things being
equal, blockchain looks set to impact the fabric of the financial services infrastructure. Thinking about
that impact and what it might mean, and formulating strategies to respond, is essential. Banks are
getting used to reinventing themselves to evolve, and blockchain has the potential to provoke another
evolutionary change. Innovative products need to help the banks customers achieve their objectives as
much as they do the banks.
We think that blockchain technology, if it meets all the challenges and criteria we have discussed,
could help transform the financial industry further. But this is happening already now, in many ways,
so its really a continuation of the development to anytime, anywhere digital banking. Payment
systems will evolve, but all the market leaders and key players are on board so we expect them to
integrate it into their business models, products and services.
Mark Buitenhek, ING
09
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