The Strategic Game of ? and ?: John R. Boyd
The Strategic Game of ? and ?: John R. Boyd
of
? And ?
John R. Boyd
Put Simply
That is what the aim or purpose of this presentation is all about—to
find and make evident what lies hidden under the question marks!
1
For openers
What is strategy?
2
Outline
• What is strategy?
• What is the aim or purpose of strategy?
• What is the central theme and what are the
key ideas that underlie strategy?
• How do we play to this theme and activate
these ideas?
3
Approach
• Make a general survey
• Condense to essential elements
• Place in strategic perspective
• Implementation
4
? Raises question ?
Why do we want to use this approach?
5
Illustration
6
Now imagine that you:
• Pull skis off ski slope; discard and forget rest of image.
• Pull outboard motor out of motorboat; discard and
forget rest of image.
• Pull handlebars off bicycle; discard and forget rest of
image.
• Pull rubber treads off toy tractors or tanks; discard and
forget rest of image.
7
This leaves us with
Skis, outboard motor, handlebars, rubber treads
8
Snowmobile
9
? What does this example suggest ?
To discern what is going on we must interact in a variety of
ways with our environment.
In other words
We must be able to examine the world from a number of
perspectives so that we can generate mental images or
impressions that correspond to that world.
10
General survey
11
Disciplines or activities
to be examined
• Mathematical Logic
• Physics
• Thermodynamics
• Biology
• Psychology
• Anthropology
• Conflict
12
Very nice
but
? Where do we begin ?
13
Human Nature
Goal
• Survive, survive on own terms, or improve our capacity for
independent action.
14
? Raises the question ?
In a most fundamental way how do we realize this goal
or make it difficult for others to realize this goal?
15
Selections from newspapers
“Nerve Cells Redo Wiring ...”, by Boyce Rensberger, The Washington Post
Dale Purvis and Robert D. Hadley ... have discovered that a neuron’s fibers can change
significantly in a few days or weeks, presumably in response to changing demands on the
nervous system ... Research has shown neurons continually rewire their own circuitry, sprouting
new fibers that reach out to make contact with new groups of other neurons and withdrawing old
fibers from previous contacts ... This rewiring process may account for how the brain improves
one’s abilities such as becoming proficient in a sport or learning to play a musical instrument.
Some scientists have suggested that the brain may use this method to store facts ... The
research was on adult mice, but since all mammalian nervous systems appear to behave in
similar ways, the researchers assume that the findings also apply to human beings.
“The Soul of the Machine”, by Richard M. Restak, The Washington Post Book World Review of
“Neuronal Man”, by Jean-Pierre Changeux
Changeux suggests that the complexity of the human brain is dependent upon the vast number
of synapses (connections) between brain cells ... these synaptic connections are established or
fall by the wayside according to how frequent they’re used. Those synapses which are in
frequent use tend to endure (‘are stabilized’) while others are eliminated ... In other words ...
interactions with the environment ... [exert] ... tremendous influence on the way the human brain
works and how it has evolved.
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Selections from newspaper
(continued)
“Brain Cells Try To Battle Alzheimer’s ...”, by Jan Ziegler, The Washington Post
A post mortem study of brains of Alzheimer’s victims, (reported on by Dr. Carl Cotman and
colleagues) showed that cells tried to repair connections destroyed by the disease by sprouting
new branches … A progressive, degenerative disease, it can cause memory loss, confusion,
difficulty in speech and movement, inability to recognize even family members ... A characteristic
of the disease is the death of neurons, or nerve cells, that connect to each other by long fibers,
which forces the brain to live with fewer and fewer connections. Analyzing cells from the
hippocampus of six deceased Alzheimer’s patients, Cotman and colleagues, found that axons—
the output fibers of nerve cells, responsible for transmitting signals through the nervous
system—start to sprout, reforming the connections between remaining cells ... Ultimately
however, the sprouting process cannot keep up with destruction. Either, the sprouting stops, or
too many nerve cells die ...
“Rats Lost Muscle, Bone Strength in Space Flight”, by Paul Recer, Erie Daily Times
Space rats that spent seven days in orbit suffered massive losses of muscle and bone strength,
suggesting that astronauts on long voyages must be protected from debilitating effects of zero
gravity ... The young space rats experienced a bone strength loss of up to 45 percent and a
muscle tissue loss of up to 40 percent ... older rats ... suffered bone and muscle strength losses
of about 15 percent ... Soviet space scientists reported a similar amount of muscle and bone loss
in rats that were in space for more than 20 days ...
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Selections from books
18
Selections from books
(continued)
19
Selection from books
(continued)
21
Selection from books
(continued)
22
Selections from an unpublished essay
23
Selection from a speech
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Some favorite selections
Old Fable
• But sir, the emperor is naked, he has no clothes.
Sun Tzu
• Know your enemy and know yourself; in one hundred battles you will
never be in peril.
• Seize that which your adversary holds dear or values most highly; then
he will conform to your desires.
Jomini
• The great art, then, of properly directing lines of operations, is so to
establish them in reference to the bases and to the marches of the army
as to seize the communications of the enemy without imperiling one’s
own, and is the most important and most difficult problem in strategy.
Leadership
• The art of inspiring people to enthusiastically take action toward the
achievement of uncommon goals.
25
? Raises question ?
Remembering that we are trying to see how the
preceding selections are related to one another,
where do we go next?
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Condensation
to
essential elements
27
Compression
• Physical as well as electrical and chemical connections in the brain are shaped
by interacting with the environment. Point: Without these interactions we do not
have the mental wherewithal to deal or cope with that environment.
• Gödel’s Incompleteness Theorems, Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle, and the
Second Law of Thermodynamics, all taken together, show that we cannot
determine the character or nature of a system within itself. Moreover, attempts
to do so lead to confusion and disorder—mental as well as physical. Point: We
need an external environment, or outside world, to define ourselves and
maintain organic integrity, otherwise we experience dissolution/disintegration—
i.e., we come unglued.
• Moral fibre or moral order is the glue that holds society together and makes
social direction and interaction possible. Point: Without this glue social order
pulls apart towards anarchy and chaos leaving no possibility for social direction
and interaction.
• Living systems are open systems; closed systems are non-living systems.
Point: If we don’t communicate with outside world—to gain information for
knowledge and understanding as well as matter and energy for sustenance—
we die out to become a non-discerning and uninteresting part of that world.
28
! Simply stated !
As human beings, we cannot exist without an external
or surrounding environment from which we can draw
sustenance, nourishment, or support.
In other words
Interaction permits vitality and growth while isolation
leads to decay and disintegration.
29
Such a simple statement reveals that:
with
D & C, P O C, C & C
is one of
30
Keeping track of all these ideas
Let’s move on and place them in a—
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Strategic perspective
32
Now we can see by
going to the beginning
The strategic game
is one of
interaction and isolation
33
? Raises question ?
How do we do this?
34
? Why should we use these ?
• Physical
represents the world of matter-energy-information all
of us are a part of, live in, and feed upon.
• Mental
represents the emotional/intellectual activity we
generate to adjust to, or cope with, that physical
world.
• Moral
represents the cultural codes of conduct or standards
of behavior that constrain, as well as sustain and
focus, our emotional/intellectual responses.
35
Upon folding these ideas into our
interactions/isolation theme we can say:
• Physical isolation
occurs when we fail to gain support in the form of
matter-energy—information from others outside
ourselves.
• Mental isolation
occurs when we fail to discern, perceive, or make sense
out of what’s going on around ourselves.
• Moral isolation
occurs when we fail to abide by codes of conduct or
standards of behavior in a manner deemed acceptable
or essential by others outside ourselves.
36
While in opposite fashion we can say:
• Physical interaction
occurs when we freely exchange matter-energy—information
with others outside ourselves.
• Mental interaction
occurs when we generate images or impressions that
match-up with the events or happenings that unfold around
ourselves.
• Moral interaction
occurs when we live by the codes of conduct or standards of
behavior that we profess, and others expect us, to uphold.
37
! Fine !
But how do we play to this theme and exploit these ideas?
Hints
• Recall how we mentally constructed a snowmobile.
• Remember how we looked at ideas in mathematical logic,
physics, thermodynamics, biology, psychology,
anthropology, and conflict to surface a central theme.
• Remember our whole approach has been one of pulling
things apart and putting them back together until something
new and different is created.
38
Illuminating example
39
Illuminating example
(continued)
Point
As they appear, these statements and the ideas they embody seem
unrelated to one another.
? Raises Question ?
Can these statements be related to one another; and, if so, how?
in other words
40
Illuminating example
(continued)
Message
One cannot determine the character or nature of a system
within itself. Moreover, attempts to do so lead to confusion
and disorder.
41
Illuminating example
(continued)
Message
The ability to shift or transition from one maneuver to another
more rapidly than an adversary enables one to win in air-to-air
combat.
Now
? What do we have ?
A statement drawn from the ideas of Gödel, Heisenberg, and the
Second Law of Thermodynamics (First Message)
as well as
42
Illuminating example
(continued)
Point
Once again, it appears that these two messages seem unrelated to
one another.
? Raises Question ?
Can these statements be related to one another; and, if so, how?
in other words
43
Illuminating example
(continued)
Overall Message
• The ability to operate at a faster tempo or rhythm than an adversary enables one to fold
adversary back inside himself so that he can neither appreciate nor keep-up with what’s
going on. He will become disoriented or confused;
which suggests that
• Unless such menacing pressure is relieved, adversary will experience various
combinations of uncertainty, doubt, confusion, self-deception, indecision, fear, panic,
discouragement, despair, etc., which will further:
Disorient or twist his mental images/impressions of what’s happening;
thereby
Disrupt his mental/physical maneuvers for dealing with such a menace;
thereby
Overload his mental/physical capacity to adapt or endure;
thereby
Collapse his ability to carry on.
44
? What’s the point of all this ?
• We can’t just look at our own personal experiences or use the
same mental recipes over and over again; we’ve got to look at
other disciplines and activities and relate or connect them to what
we know from our experiences and the strategic world we live in.
if we can do this
• We will be able to surface new repertoires and (hopefully) develop
a Fingerspitzengefühl for folding our adversaries back inside
themselves, morally-mentally-physically—so that they can neither
appreciate nor cope with what’s happening—without suffering the
same fate ourselves.
45
Which carries us to the
? question ?
• How do we fold adversaries back inside themselves,
morally-mentally-physically … without suffering the same
fate ourselves?
or put another way
• How do we physically isolate our adversaries yet
interact with others outside ourselves?
• How do we mentally isolate our adversaries yet keep in
touch hence interact, with unfolding events?
• How do we morally isolate our adversaries yet maintain
the trust/confidence of others and thereby interact with
them?
46
Illumination
47
Expected payoff
Disintegration and collapse, unless adversaries change their behavior
patterns to conform to what is deemed acceptable by others outside
themselves.
48
Illumination
(continued)
49
Expected payoff
Vitality and growth, with the opportunity to shape and
adapt to unfolding events thereby influence the ideas
and actions of others.
50
Pulling all this together
we have in a nutshell
51
Implementation
an
example
52
A
moral design
for
grand strategy
53
Name-of-the-game
? Raises Question ?
• How do we evolve this moral leverage to realize the benefits
cited above?
54
Moral leverage
55
Moral leverage
(continued)
56
Moral leverage
(continued)
57
Now going back to the beginning
What is strategy?
A mental tapestry of changing intentions for harmonizing and focusing our efforts as
a basis for realizing some aim or purpose in an unfolding and often unforeseen world
of many bewildering events and many contending interests.
What is the aim or purpose of strategy?
To improve our ability to shape and adapt to unfolding circumstances, so that we (as
individuals or as groups or as a culture or as a nation-state) can survive on our own
terms.
What is the central theme and what are the key ideas that underlie strategy?
The central theme is one of interaction/isolation while the key ideas are the
moral-mental-physical means toward realizing this interaction/isolation.
How do we play to this theme and activate these ideas?
By an instinctive see-saw of analysis and synthesis across a variety of domains, or
across competing/independent channels of information, in order to spontaneously
generate new mental images or impressions that match-up with an unfolding world of
uncertainty and change.
58
Definitions
• Evil
occurs when individuals or groups embrace codes of conduct
or standards of behavior for their own personal well being and
social approval, yet violate those very same codes or
standards to undermine the personal well being and social
approval of others.
• Corruption
occurs when individuals or groups, for their own benefit,
violate codes of conduct or standards of behavior that they
profess, or are expected, to uphold.
59
About this edition
This edition of “Strategic Game” is our attempt to recreate the last version of the briefing actually presented
by the late Col John Boyd, USAF (1927 – 1997). The last printed version known to exist carries the date
June 1987. We have used that as the starting point, and then modified the text based on changes we
received from Col Boyd, which continued until around 1991. By that time, he had moved on to other
activities, such as “Conceptual Spiral,” his advice to then-Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney during the
First Gulf War, and his interest in other forms of conflict, including business.
The original 1987 edition, with pen-and-ink changes as dictated by Col Boyd, is available in PDF format at
http://www.d-n-i.net. The primary change, which dates from July 1989, is in the definition of “strategy” on p.
58.