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Derivatives Report 24th October 2011

The summary of the Derivative Report is: 1) The open interest in Nifty futures increased by 5.8% while the open interest in Mini Nifty futures decreased by 0.43% as the market closed at 5049.95 levels. 2) Implied volatility increased from 23.66% to 25.67% and the PCR-OI decreased from 1.47 to 1.40 points. 3) Some large cap stocks like NTPC, ICICIBANK, TATAMOTORS, AXISBANK and HDFC saw high rollover in their open interest.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
76 views

Derivatives Report 24th October 2011

The summary of the Derivative Report is: 1) The open interest in Nifty futures increased by 5.8% while the open interest in Mini Nifty futures decreased by 0.43% as the market closed at 5049.95 levels. 2) Implied volatility increased from 23.66% to 25.67% and the PCR-OI decreased from 1.47 to 1.40 points. 3) Some large cap stocks like NTPC, ICICIBANK, TATAMOTORS, AXISBANK and HDFC saw high rollover in their open interest.

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Derivative Report

India Research
Oct 24, 2011 Comments
The Nifty futures open interest increased by 5.80% while

Nifty Vs OI

Minifty futures open interest decreased by 0.43% as market closed at 5049.95 levels.
The Nifty Oct. future closed at a Premium of 4.05 point

against a Premium of 10.95 points. The November Series closed at a Premium of 24.10 points.
The Implied Volatility of at the money options is

increased from 23.66% to 25.67%.


The PCR-OI is decreased from 1.47 to 1.40 points. The total OI of the market is `1,38,302.40cr. And the

stock futures OI are `32,215.01cr.

Few of the large cap stocks where we have seen high rollover are NTPC, ICICIBANK, TATAMOTORS, AXISBANK and HDFC.

OI Gainers
SCRIP ASIANPAINT HOTELEELA GRASIM MAX STER OI 160500 4160000 602875 824000 31284000 OI CHANGE (%) 27.89 22.35 15.97 15.73 13.93 PRICE 3015.50 36.80 2289.55 180.35 115.00 PRICE CHANGE (%) -4.48 -1.60 -1.28 -1.37 -1.12

View
FIIs continue to sell in cash market, but the quantum

of selling was quite minimal. They were net sellers of worth `234/-cr. On Derivatives front they continue to be net buyers in index options and in index futures after a day of forming short position they were net buyers in Fridays trading session.
There was continuous buildup visible in at the money

OI Losers
SCRIP CHAMBLFERT MOSERBAER RAYMOND BANKBARODA BANKINDIA OI 5504000 1992000 1189000 1973250 3180500 OI CHANGE (%) -32.88 -21.45 -12.57 -11.95 -11.78 PRICE 89.90 27.85 384.90 743.30 324.55 PRICE CHANGE (%) 3.04 6.70 7.51 -0.77 -2.80

and out of the money call options in October series. As IVs are low this gives positive outlook for the market.
Last week we saw AXISBANK consolidating in the

range of `1070-1130 and the stock has seen some addition of long positions. Hence we suggest to trade in with positive bias with the target price of `1230 and stop loss at `1085.
HINDALCO is trading at very crucial support of `

120-122 and it has a good amount of short positions standing in this counter. We may see some short covering bounce back in this stock. Hence we suggest to go long with the target price of `131 and stopping loss at `117.

Put-Call Ratio
SCRIP NIFTY SBIN INFY RELIANCE BANKNIFTY PCR-OI 1.40 0.71 1.57 0.74 1.33 PCR-VOL 0.90 0.46 1.26 0.53 0.69

Historical Volatility
SCRIP
ASIANPAINT RAYMOND TULIP POLARIS UNIONBANK

HV
32.54 50.03 38.62 68.43 48.08 For Private Circulation Only 1

SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539

Derivative Report | India Research

FII Statistics for 21-Oct-2011


Open Interest Detail Buy Sell Net Contracts INDEX FUTURES INDEX OPTIONS STOCK FUTURES STOCK OPTIONS Total Value (Rs. in cr.) 15144.98 54092.33 29563.84 1132.66 99933.81 Change (%) 6.26 3.48 0.59 1.32 2.95

Turnover on 21-Oct-2011
No. of Contracts Turnover (Rs. in cr.) Change (%)

Instrument

5421.51

4935.78

485.72 1,377.19 -402.91 -15.43 1,444.57

602009 2142455 1226747 44161 4015372

Index Futures Stock Futures Index Options Stock Options Total

724972 892477 4111930 156664 5886043

17525.14 22274.23 105390.61 4376.63 149566.61

1.79 6.98 -10.22 16.40 -6.04

13218.10 11840.91 5733.19 307.39 6136.10 322.82

24680.19 23235.61

Nifty Spot =5049.95

Lot Size = 50

Bull-Call Spreads
Action Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell Strike 5100 5200 5100 5300 5200 5300 Price 33.25 9.85 33.25 2.15 9.85 2.15 7.70 92.30 5207.70 31.10 168.90 5131.10 Risk 23.40 Reward 76.60 BEP 5123.40

Bear-Put Spreads
Action Buy Sell Buy Sell Buy Sell Strike 5000 4900 5000 4800 4900 4800 Price 33.65 13.75 33.65 6.60 13.75 6.60 7.15 92.85 4892.85 27.05 172.95 4972.95 Risk 19.90 Reward 80.10 BEP 4980.10

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (Oct. Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation

Nifty Put-Call Analysis

For Private Circulation Only

SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539

Derivative Report | India Research

Strategy Date 03-10-2011 10-10-2011 17-10-2011

Scrip NIFTY SBIN RCOM

Strategy Long Put Ladder Long Call Long Call

Status Continue Book Profit Continue

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Derivative Research Team


Email Id : - [email protected]

For Private Circulation Only

SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539

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