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Prob-Four Couples Sitting

This document contains the solutions to two problems from a math quiz. 1) The first problem calculates the probability that no wife sits next to her husband when four married couples are arranged in a row. The probability is 35/126. 2) The second problem calculates the probability that the first die shows a 1, given the sum of two fair dice rolls is a certain number from 2 to 12. It is 1/(i-1) for sums from 2 to 7, and 0 for sums from 8 to 12.

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33 views

Prob-Four Couples Sitting

This document contains the solutions to two problems from a math quiz. 1) The first problem calculates the probability that no wife sits next to her husband when four married couples are arranged in a row. The probability is 35/126. 2) The second problem calculates the probability that the first die shows a 1, given the sum of two fair dice rolls is a certain number from 2 to 12. It is 1/(i-1) for sums from 2 to 7, and 0 for sums from 8 to 12.

Uploaded by

xaviour111
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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MATH 407 FALL 2009

QUIZ 2

1. Four married couples are arranged in a row. Compute the probability that no wife is next to her husband. This was a homework problem. Let Ei = ith couple sitting next to each other, i = 1, 2, 3, 4. Then P (Ei ) = 2(N 1)! = 2/N = 2/8 = 1/4, N! 6!2!2! 1 = , 8! 14 1 5!(2!)3 = , 8! 42 4!(2!)4 1 = . 8! 105

P (Ei Ej ) =

P (Ei Ej Ek ) =

P (E1 E2 E3 E4 ) = The answer we are looking for is

P ((E1 E2 E3 E4 )C )

= =

1 P (E1 E2 E3 E4 ). 1(
i

P (Ei )
i<j

P (Ei Ej ) +
i<j<k

P (Ei Ej Ek )

P (E1 E2 E3 E4 )) 4 1 4 1 4 1 4 1 = 1 + + 1 4 2 14 3 42 4 105 12 = 35 2. Two fair dice are rolled. For i = 2, 3, . . . , 12, compute the probability that the rst one shows 1 given that the sum is i. (Hint: There is a simple answer for i = 8, 9, 10, 11, 12). For i = 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 the answer is 0 since there is no way one of the dice could be 1 and still add up to a number greater than 7. For i = 2, . . . , 7, consider the events A = the rst die shows 1, Bi = the sum of the two dice is i. We want to know P (A|Bi ). Let D1 = the value of the rst die and D2 = the value of the second die. Using Bayes Theorem, we have
1

QUIZ 2

P (A|Bi )

= = = =

P (A Bi ) P (Bi ) P (D1 = 1 D2 = i 1) P (D1 + D2 = i) 1 1 6 6 P (D1 + D2 = i) 1 . i1

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