Introduction To Time Value of Money
Introduction To Time Value of Money
Interest Rates
For most financial decisions, costs and
benefits occur at different points in time.
Typical investment projects incur costs upfront
and receive benefits in the future.
How do we account for this time difference when
valuing a project?
The Time Value of Money
Consider an investment opportunity with the
following cash flows:
Cost: $100,000 today
Benefit: $105,000 in one year
In general, money today is not the same as money in
one year.
If you have $1 today, you can invest it (for example, in a
bank account) and end up with more than $1 in one year.
We call the difference in value between money today
and money in the future the time value of money.
Interest Rates
By investing money at the bank, we can convert
money today into money in the future.
Similarly, by borrowing money from the bank, we can
exchange money in the future for money today.
The rate at which we can exchange money today for
money in the future by investing or borrowing is
determined by the current interest rate.
An interest rate is like an exchange rate across time.
Interest Rates
Lets evaluate the prior investment
opportunity, assuming the current annual
interest rate is 7%.
We can express both costs and benefits in
dollars one year from today:
Cost:
($100,000 today) x($1.07 in one year/dollar today) =
$107,000 in one year.
Benefit: $105,000 in one year.
Net: $105,000 107,000 = -$2000 in one year.
Interest Rates
Alternatively, we may express the value of
this investment in dollars today:
Cost: $100,000 today
Benefit: ($105,000 in one year) ($1.07 in one
year/dollar today) = $98,130.84 today
Net: $98,130.84 100,000 = -$1,869.16 today
Comparing our results, they are equivalent:
(-$1,869.16 today)($1.07 in one year/dollar
today) = -$2,000 in one year
=
1
Annuities
An Annuity is an asset that pays a fixed sum each
year, for a specified number of years.
Example: Consider an annuity that will pay $100 a
year for 10 years, starting 1 year from today.
We may think of this annuity as
a perpetuity paying $100 a year forever, starting
in 1 year, minus
a perpetuity paying $100 a year forever, starting
in 11 years.
Annuities
The value today of the first perpetuity is
The value of the second perpetuity in Year 10 is
also $1000.
The value today of the second perpetuity is
So, the PV of the annuity is 1000-385.543=614.457
1000
10 .
100
= = PV
54 . 385
) 10 . 1 (
1000
10
=
+
= PV
Annuities
To compute the present value of an annuity that
makes (constant) payments from year 1 to n:
Financial calculators and spreadsheet programs
frequently refer to annuities as PMT
(payment).
1 1 (1 )
1
(1 )
n
n
PMT r
PV PMT
r r r
| | | | +
= =
| |
+
\ . \ .
Example
You are the winner of a $30 million state lottery.
You can take your prize as either
30 payments of $1 million (starting in 1 year) or
$15 million paid today.
If the interest rate is 8% per year, which should you
choose?
To compute the present value of the annuity:
Choose the $15 million today, because the present
value is higher.
30
1 (1 .08)
$1 $11.26
.08
PV million million
| | +
= =
|
\ .
Annuities
Sometimes, we may know the present value and may
want to compute an annuity amount.
Solve the last equation for PMT.
The reciprocal of the annuity present value factor is
1 (1 )
n
r
PMT PV
r
| |
=
|
+
\ .
Example
Suppose you would like to borrow $7,000 at an
interest rate of 6% per year.
The loan plus interest are to be repaid in equal
monthly payments over 3 years.
Using r = .06/12 = .005 per month and n = 12(3)=36
months, payments are
95 . 212 $
) 005 . 1 ( 1
005 .
000 , 7 $
36
=
|
|
.
|
\
|
+
Using Financial Functions
To solve time value of money problems in
Excel or with a financial calculator, we use
five functions:
NPER, RATE, PV, PMT and FV
These functions are all based on the timeline
of an annuity.
Example
You invest $20,000 into an account paying 8% interest
per year. How much will you have in 15 years?
Use the Excel function
FV(RATE,NPER,PMT,PV)
Example: Car Loan
To compute the payment using Excel,
RATE = .005
NPER = 36
PV=7000
FV=0
Solve for the PMT:
= PMT(RATE,NPER,PV,FV)
= PMT(.005,36,7000,0) = $212.95
Mortgages
When you buy a home, you may take out a
special type of loan called a mortgage.
With a mortgage, you make equal payments that
consist of
- principal, and
- interest.
Your final principal balance at the end of the
mortgage is $0.
A mortgage payment is an annuity.
Mortgages
Suppose you have a mortgage of $100,000 for 30
years at an interest rate of 12% per year, with
monthly payments.
- n = 30(12) = 360 monthly payments.
- r = .12/12 = .01 per month.
Compute your payments:
61 . 028 , 1 $
) 01 . 1 ( 1
01 .
000 , 100
360
=
|
|
.
|
\
|
+
Mortgages
Each monthly payment of $1,028.61 is part interest
and part principal.
Month Payment Interest Principal End Balance
1 1,028.61 1,000.00 28.61 99,971.39
2 1,028.61 999.71 28.90 99,942.49
3 1,028.61 999.42 29.19 99,913.30
4 1,028.61 999.13 29.48 99,883.82