JP Morgan Presentation
JP Morgan Presentation
1Q12
Fortress balance sheet strengthened Basel I Tier 1 common3 of $128B, ratio of 10.4% Estimated Basel III Tier 1 common3 of $128B, ratio of 8.4%
FINANCIAL RESULTS
1 See 2
note 1 on slide 20 Assumes a tax rate of 38%, except for Washington Mutual bankruptcy settlement taxed at 39% 3 See note 3 on slide 20
$ O/(U) 1Q12 Revenue (FTE)1 Credit costs Expense Reported net income Net income applicable to common stock Reported EPS ROE2 ROTCE2,3
1 2 3
FINANCIAL RESULTS
See note 1 on slide 20 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under See note 4 on slide 20
Investment Bank1
$mm
$ O/(U) Revenue Investment banking fees Fixed income markets Equity markets Credit portfolio Credit costs Expense Net income Key statistics ($B)2 EOP loans Allowance for loan losses Nonaccrual loans Net charge-off rate3 ALL/Loans
3
ROE of 17%, 23% excl. DVA IB fees of $1.4B, down 23% YoY on lower
industry volumes
Continue to rank #1 in YTD Global IB fees Fixed income and Equity markets revenue of
compensation expense
81
FINANCIAL RESULTS
note 1 on slide 20 numbers for all periods, not over/under 3 Loans held-for-sale and loans at fair value were excluded when calculating the loan loss coverage ratio and net charge-off rate 4 Calculated based on average equity of $40B 5 Average trading and credit portfolio VaR at 95% confidence level
2 Actual
lower net charge-offs and a $1.0B reduction in the allowance for loan losses
Expense of $5.0B, up 2% YoY
$1,235 34%
$691 15%
$1,472 (7)%
2,4
See note 1 on slide 20 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under based on average equity; average equity for 1Q12, 4Q11 and 1Q11 was $26.5B, $25.0B and $25.0B, respectively 4 Calculated based on average equity; average equity for 1Q12, 4Q11 and 1Q11 was $14.8B, $14.5B and $14.5B, respectively
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Financial performance
lower debit card revenue reflecting the impact of the Durbin Amendment
Expense up 2% YoY due to investments in sales
and 3% QoQ
Checking accounts up 2% YoY and QoQ Business Banking originations up 8% YoY and
11% QoQ
Client investment assets up 6% YoY and 7%
QoQ
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Financial performance
$ O/(U) 4Q11 $550 55 $495 88 $583 $29 55 226 ($142) 568 $426 $719
$1,619 573 $1,046 (302) $744 $1,151 (351) 1,151 ($351) 191 ($160) $461
$691mm YoY, reflecting wider margins and higher volumes Repurchase losses of $302mm, down 28% YoY
Net servicing-related revenue, after MSR asset
numbers for all periods, not over/under Headcount for total Mortgage Banking
FINANCIAL RESULTS
relatively flat QoQ Retail channel originations (branch and direct to consumer) up 11% YoY and relatively flat QoQ
improve in 1Q12
$99.1 95.5 128.3 6.01% $7,018 808 542 131 135 2.49% 2.85 1.21 5.33
4
$102.0 98.2 132.5 6.58% $5,933 876 579 151 146 2.58% 2.90 1.33 5.46
$111.1 107.7 145.4 6.68% $7,042 1,076 720 161 195 2.95% 3.36 1.32 6.64
of $1B
Expect total quarterly net charge-offs below
$900mm
Reporting change Nonaccrual loans now
numbers for all periods, not over/under Includes purchased credit-impaired loans acquired as part of the WaMu transaction the impact of purchased credit-impaired loans acquired as part of the WaMu transaction. An allowance for loan losses of $5.7B, $5.7B and $4.9B was recorded for these loans at March 31, 2012, December 31, 2011 and March 31, 2011, respectively. To date, no charge-offs have been recorded for these loans 4 Includes $1.6B of performing junior liens that are subordinate to nonaccrual senior liens; such junior liens are now being reported as nonaccrual loans based upon regulatory guidance issued in the first quarter of 2012. Of the total, $1.4B were current at March 31, 2012
3 Excludes
Revenue of $4.7B, down 2% YoY and QoQ Credit costs of $738mm Reduction of $750mm to the allowance for loan losses
Card Services Key drivers3 ($B) Avg outstandings Sales volume4 New accts opened (mm) Net revenue rate Net charge-off rate5 30+ Day delinquency rate5 Merchant Services Key drivers3 (B) Bank card volume # of total transactions Auto Key drivers3 ($B) Avg outstandings Auto Avg outstandings Student Auto originations
1 See 2
QoQ
Sales volume4 of $86.9B, up 12% YoY (up 15% YoY excl.
Auto
Average auto outstandings flat YoY and up 2% QoQ Auto originations up 21% YoY and 18% QoQ
FINANCIAL RESULTS
note 1 on slide 20 Calculated based on average equity; 1Q12, 4Q11 and 1Q11 average equity was $16.5B, $16.0B and $16.0B, respectively 3 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 4 Excludes Commercial Card 5 See note 5 on slide 20
Commercial Banking1
$mm
$ O/(U) 4Q11 ($30) 15 11 (6) (10) (40) $37 19 ($52) $30 35 $45
Revenue Middle Market Banking Corporate Client Banking Commercial Term Lending Real Estate Banking Other Credit costs Expense Net income Key statistics ($B)2 Average loans and leases EOP loans and leases Average liability balances Nonaccrual loans Net charge-off rate ALL/loans Overhead ratio
FINANCIAL RESULTS
4 4 3
0.04%
Nonaccrual loans down 49% YoY Expense up 6% YoY; overhead ratio of 36%
note 1 on slide 20 numbers for all periods, not over/under deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities 4 Loans held-for-sale and loans at fair value were excluded when calculating the loan loss coverage ratio and net charge-off rate 5 Calculated based on average equity; average equity of $9.5B, $8.0B and $8.0B for 1Q12, 4Q11 and 1Q11, respectively
3 Includes
Revenue Treasury Services Worldwide Securities Services Expense Credit allocation income/(expense) Net income Key statistics3 Average liability balances ($B)4 Assets under custody ($T) EOP trade finance loans ($B) Pretax margin ROE EOP equity ($B) TSS firmwide revenue TS firmwide revenue TSS firmwide average liab bal ($B)
1 See
QoQ Revenue of $2.0B, up 9% YoY and relatively flat QoQ TS revenue of $1,052mm, up 18% YoY
WSS revenue of $962mm, up 1% YoY Liability balances up 34% YoY Record assets under custody of $17.9T, up 8% YoY Expense up 7% YoY, primarily driven by continued
3 $351
557.1
note 1, 7 and 8 on slide 20 2 IB and TSS share the economics related to the Firms GCB clients. Included within this allocation are net revenue, provision for credit losses as well as expense 3 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 4 Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities 5 Calculated based on average equity; 1Q12, 4Q11, and 1Q11 average equity was $7.5B, $7.0B, and $7.0B, respectively FINANCIAL RESULTS
10
Asset Management1
$mm
1Q12 Revenue Private Banking Institutional Retail Credit costs Expense Net income Key statistics ($B) Assets under management Assets under supervision Average loans EOP loans Average deposits Pretax margin3 ROE4 EOP equity
1 See 2 Actual
4% YoY
QoQ, AUM net outflows of $8B due to outflows
of $25B from liquidity products, largely offset by inflows of $17B to long-term products
Record assets under supervision of $2.0T, up
6% YoY
Good investment performance 76% of mutual fund AUM ranked in the 1st or
FINANCIAL RESULTS
note 1 on slide 20 numbers for all periods, not over/under 3 See note 8 on slide 20 4 Calculated based on average equity; average equity of $7.0B, $6.5B and $6.5B for 1Q12, 4Q11 and 1Q11 respectively 5 See note 9 on slide 20
headcount-related5 expense
11
Corporate/Private Equity1
Net Income ($mm)
Private Equity
$ O/(U) 1Q12 4Q11 $223 (1,009) ($786) 1Q11 ($249) (1,036) ($1,285)
Private Equity net revenue of $254mm Private Equity portfolio of $8.0B (5.6% of
$2.5B (pretax) for additional litigation reserves, predominantly for mortgage-related matters
Absent materially adverse developments
that could change our views, we do not anticipate further material additions to these reserves over the course of this year
FINANCIAL RESULTS
was $175mm2
1 See
2 Corporate
note 1 on slide 20 net loss of $697mm adjusted for expense for additional litigation reserves of ($1,559)mm (after-tax) and Washington Mutual bankruptcy settlement of $687mm (after-tax)
12
1Q12 Basel I Tier 1 common capital1,2 Basel III Tier 1 common capital1,2,3 Basel I Risk-weighted assets 1 Basel III Risk-weighted assets1,2,3 Total assets Basel I Tier 1 common ratio1,2 Basel III Tier 1 common ratio1,2,3
Global liquidity reserve of $432B5 Increased the quarterly dividend to $0.30, up from $0.25 Authorized a new $15B equity repurchase program
Firmwide total credit reserves of $26.6B; loan loss coverage ratio of 3.11%4
Up to $12B approved for 2012 and up to an additional $3B approved through the end of
1Q13
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Estimated for 1Q12 note 3 on slide 20, and the Basel I Tier 1 capital and Tier 1 capital ratio on page 43 of the Firms first quarter 2012 earnings release financial supplement 3 Represents the Firms best estimate, based on its current understanding of proposed rules 4 See note 2 on slide 20 5 The Global Liquidity Reserve represents cash on deposit at central banks, and the cash proceeds expected to be received in connection with secured financing of highly liquid, unencumbered securities (such as sovereigns, FDIC and government guaranteed, agency and agency MBS). In addition, the Global Liquidity Reserve includes the Firms borrowing capacity at the Federal Reserve Bank discount window and various other central banks and from various Federal Home Loan Banks, which capacity is maintained by the Firm having pledged collateral to all such banks. These amounts represent preliminary estimates which may be revised in the Firms 10-Q for the quarter ending March 31, 2012 Note: Firmwide level 3 assets, reported at fair value, are estimated to be 5% of total Firm assets as of March 31, 2012
2 See
13
Outlook
Retail Financial Services Consumer & Business Banking 2012 outlook Spread compression, given low interest rates, will Corporate / Private Equity In 2012, Corporate quarterly net income, excluding
negatively impact net income by $400mm+/ Durbin Amendment will reduce net income by
Private Equity, and excluding significant nonrecurring items and litigation expense, could be $200mm+/ Will depend on decisions related to repositioning
per quarter
Expect total quarterly net charge-offs below
$900mm
Real Estate Portfolios Expect balances to further
decline 10-15% in 2012, reducing annual net interest income by $500mm+/Card Services Credit Card credit losses for 2Q12 of 4.25% +/-
FINANCIAL RESULTS
14
Agenda
Page Appendix 15
FINANCIAL RESULTS
15
$3,000
$2,000
$1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 Jun-08 Nov-08 Apr-09 Sep-09 Feb-10 Jul-10 Dec-10 May-11 Oct-11 Mar-12
$1,000
16
6.00%
38,186
500%
5.00%
35,836 34,161 32,266 29,750
400%
4.00%
300%
3.00%
17,050 16,179
200%
2.00%
100%
11,005 9,993 10,605
1Q12
0%
Peer comparison
1Q12 JPM Consumer LLR/Total loans LLR/NPLs
2 1
Peer avg.
~$3.9B from $29.8B one year ago reflecting improved portfolio credit quality; loan loss coverage ratio of 3.11%1
note 2 on slide 20 2 NPLs include $1.6B of performing junior liens that are subordinate to nonaccrual senior liens; such junior liens are now being reported as nonaccrual loans based upon regulatory guidance issued in the first quarter of 2012. Of the total, $1.4B were current at March 31,2012 3 Peer average reflects equivalent metrics for key competitors. Peers are defined as C, BAC and WFC
APPENDIX
17
Core NIM
Market-based NIM
JPM NIM
3.42%
1.92%
FY2009
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
Comments
Both Firmwide and Core NIM (9 bps lower) QoQ due to: Debt-related gain in 4Q11 Changes in loan mix Excess cash deposits with limited deployment
opportunities
Continued positioning impact on NIM
APPENDIX
1 See 2
note 6 on slide 20 NII from IBs market-based activities reflects total IB net interest income less net interest income earned on IB loans 3 The core and market-based NII presented for 2009 represent the quarterly average for 2009 (total for 2009 divided by 4); the yield for all periods represent the annualized yield
18
IB league tables
League table results
1Q12 FY11 Rank Share Rank Share Based on fees Global IB fees 1 Based on volumes Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related US Debt, Equity & Equity-related
' Global Long-term Debt 2
For 1Q12, JPM ranked: #1 in Global IB fees #1 in Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related #1 in Global Long-term Debt #1 in Global M&A Announced
1 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 2 2 7.2 11.7 7.1 11.4 8.6 11.3 22.3 21.7 9.0 16.0 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 1 6.7 11.1 6.7 11.2 6.8 12.5 18.5 27.1 10.9 21.2
7.9%
8.0%
US Long-term Debt Global Equity & Equity-related 3 US Equity & Equity-related Global M&A Announced 4 US M&A Announced Global Loan Syndications US Loan Syndications
Source: Dealogic. Global Investment Banking fees reflects ranking of fees and market share. Remainder of rankings reflects transaction volume rank and market share. Global announced M&A is based on transaction value at announcement; because of joint M&A assignments, M&A market share of all participants will add up to more than 100%. All other transaction volume-based rankings are based on proceeds, with full credit to each book manager/equal if joint 1 Global Investment Banking fees rankings exclude money market, short-term debt and shelf deals 2Long-term debt rankings include investment-grade, high-yield, supranationals, sovereigns, agencies, covered bonds, asset-backed securities and mortgage-backed securities; and exclude money market, short-term debt, and U.S. municipal securities 3 Global Equity and equity-related ranking includes rights offerings and Chinese A-Shares 4 Announced M&A reflects the removal of any withdrawn transactions. U.S. announced M&A represents any U.S. involvement ranking
APPENDIX
19
2.
3.
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5. 6.
8.
9.
APPENDIX
20
Forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on the current beliefs and expectations of JPMorgan Chase & Co.s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause JPMorgan Chase & Co.s actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in JPMorgan Chase & Co.s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011, which has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and is available on JPMorgan Chase & Co.s website (http://investor.shareholder.com/jpmorganchase) and on the Securities and Exchange Commissions website (www.sec.gov). JPMorgan Chase & Co. does not undertake to update the forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that may arise after the date of the forward-looking statements.
APPENDIX
21