S T E M: Plugging The Skills Gap The Clock Is Ticking
S T E M: Plugging The Skills Gap The Clock Is Ticking
WWW.BUSINESSEUROPE.EU
WHO
ARE WE?
BUSINESSEUROPEs members are 40 central industrial and employers federations from 34 countries, working together to achieve growth and competitiveness in Europe. BUSINESSEUROPE represents small, medium and large companies.
3 4 7 9 14 15
FOREWORD
METHODOLOGY
This publication deals with the urgent situation concerning STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics) skills shortages in Europe and what measures governments, EU institutions, business and education providers should undertake to address it. NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS NEED TO ACT NOW!
For further information: Social Affairs Department Steven DHaeseleer, Director and Helena Strigard, Adviser Tel +32 (0)2 237 65 75 - Fax +32 (0)2 231 14 45 - E-mail [email protected] BUSINESSEUROPE AV. DE CORTENBERGH, 168 BE-1000 BRUSSELS TEL + 32 (0) 2 237 65 11/E-MAIL: [email protected] WWW.BUSINESSEUROPE.EU
SPRING 2011
FOREWORD
he importance of technological development for economic growth is well known. There is no reason to believe that the track record of STEM skills Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics - as a factor for economic growth in the past will be any less convincing in the future. To believe this merely shows a lack of imagination. Looking back, ground breaking innovations all have one thing in common no one thought initially that they would have such a fundamental impact on our lives, the way we organise work, tackle modern challenges and so forth. And one thing is certain: we are not running out of challenges.
The action list for national governments includes re-orienting resources to STEM education, raising the attractiveness of such education by improving their quality and relevance, setting the right conditions for collaboration between business and education providers and attracting STEM-skilled workers from abroad. Moreover, the potential for EU-level cooperation could be better exploited, through intelligent use of programmes and instruments. Turning to our major competitors, they have clearly put STEM skills at the top of their agenda. This is illustrated by the $100 billion US recovery package where the lion's share is allocated to education, research and development within STEM. Investments in scientific research and education as a share of GDP in countries like Japan and South Korea significantly exceed those of the EU. Competitors are developing also in emerging economies. Their share of high-tech exports has grown impressively over the last 20 years. This success is not just about re-orienting resources to education and other priority growth-promoting fields. It is also about the wider set of policies put in place. The strategies of governments in BRIC countries, the USA and South-East Asia demonstrate a determination to take part in the race towards a technological lead. The question therefore arises - what makes the EU so
Future inventions and incremental improvements to existing products and processes will not become a reality without individuals who can take the next steps of technological development.
The lack of STEM-skilled labour will be one of the main obstacles to economic growth in the coming years. The good news is that there is not a lack of ideas and creativity on how to improve the alarming situation, especially not from business. Companies across the EU have taken actions in order to increase the supply of STEM-skilled workers to European labour markets. By involving in primary and secondary education and by providing a context for science subjects, the interest for such education could increase. However, companies cannot do this alone. A stronger commitment and more joint efforts are needed from a broad range of stakeholders including governments and education providers at all levels.
European policy-makers have so far been tardy to recognise the STEM skills shortage and its consequences, as well as to act on it. It seems there is a rather complacent belief that Europe performs well enough. As is shown in the paper, this is not the case. Instead, it is high time to move out of the comfort zone and to explore new ways to improve the supply of STEM-skilled labour.
SPRING 2011
It has been questioned whether there is a European STEM skills shortage in the first place. It is true that the number of STEM enrolments and graduates has increased in the EU over the past decade in absolute terms (from 630,400 in 1999 to 916,100 in 2008). This follows as a consequence of the larger number of people continuing to tertiary education overall. However, when the full picture of supply, demand and mismatches on European labour marketsis assessed, no doubt remains.
Supply
There are three main reasons why the future supply of STEM skills will be worryingly low:
The demographic change will have a large impact on several STEM professions. In the UK for instance, up to 70% of current high-skilled employees in the nuclear industry will retire by 2025. In relation to this, it should be mentioned that a substantial number of the teachers qualified to lecture in physics at tertiary and PhD level are also soon to retire. This means that the stock of such skills in the workforce is at stake. Eurostat data for the EU as a whole show that the base of the age pyramid for human resources in science and technology is narrower than the middle. This indicates a possible future scarcity of workers in the field of science and technology due to a relatively high outflow from the labour market.
Compared with other subjects, the interest for undertaking STEM studies is falling in many EU member states. The share of graduates specialising in STEM subjects fell in relation to the total number of university graduates from 24.8% in 1999 to 22.7% in 2005. Evidence also shows that the drop-out rates among engineering students are above average.
Myth 1
In addition to the low supply of home-grown talent, Europe does not attract enough high-skilled workers, including within STEM, from other parts of the world. According to the Commission, brains prefer other destinations; like the US, Canada and Australia In the worldwide competition for highly qualified third-country nationals, the EU has so far done poorly.
One reason of why STEM is not an attractive study option for many scholars is that they perceive it to be a narrow and overly specialised education. It therefore does not fit with the desire to keep as many doors open as possible. Killing the myth: Business should illustrate how not opting out on STEM subjects in school actually broadens possible future career paths. In Sweden, a campaign addressing this misperception was launched in 2009 called NV the broad study choice. It successfully communicated that STEM education gives the highest flexibility and broadest range of career choices after high school. Overall, 89% of Swedish 15 year olds saw the campaign.
Demand
Due to the foreseen large-scale retirements in STEM professions, business will have a high replacement demand in the years to come. In addition, the expansion demand is significant for this category of workers. Projections by Cedefop, the European centre for development of vocational education and training, of the expansion demand for different occupational categories show that technicians and associate professionals will have the highest expansion demand of all categories over the period 2010-2020 and among the highest replacement demand (over 20% growth for the period).
SPRING 2011
Not surprisingly, technicians and associated professions will have the highest employment rate, according to the Cedefop projections. Chart 1 below illustrates the projected employment developments by occupational category in EU for 2010-2020. BUSINESSEUROPE's members confirm this picture and describe the lack of labour equipped with STEM skills as one of the key obstacles to economic growth in the upcoming years.
Testimonies from BUSINESSEUROPE members show that the demand is increasing in particular in sectors where their respective country has a competitive advantage. Companies in these sectors are doing cutting-edge research and product development that is of strategic importance for the competitiveness of the EU overall. For instance, the ICT sector in the EU accounts for 50% of total productivity growth. It is therefore a matter of concern that: The estimated shortage of qualified ICT staff in the EU will rise to somewhere between 384,000 and 700,000 jobs in 2015. Over 10,100 ICT practitioners are currently lacking in Italy, 18,300 in Poland, 41,800 in Spain and 87,800 in Germany. In Poland, expansion demand at sectoral level ranges from mechatronics to nanotechnology. Skills projections in Austria point to unmet expansion demand in industrial and electrical engineering, business administration and informatics.
Clerks
Professionals
Elementary occupations
45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
SPRING 2011
Mismatches
In addition to assessing the supply and demand of STEM-skilled workers, the match between these should also be taken into account. The fact that there is a severe lack of STEM-skilled workers and at the same time high unemployment rates overall indicates in itself that there are structural mismatches on European labour markets. As illustrated by the Belgian example, the diplomas of graduates simply do not match the specialisations which companies are looking for. It is important to assess the shortages of STEM skills in a nuanced way, differentiating between different sub-groups of STEM skills. As an example, acute shortages of certain bio-scientists in integrative science like pharmacokinetics and drug metabolism co-exist with an excess of bio-scientists in other fields.
Shortages of engineers and scientists will lead to a loss of domestic market share, loss of international trade share and lower productivity levels. On a company level, such shortages could well put planned investments at risk and affect location decisions. Recently a decision was taken by Airbus, the worlds biggest aeroplane maker, to carry out a greater proportion of its engineering work in India. This is a direct result of the lack of qualified engineers in the UK, Germany and France. Analysis performed by Deutsche Bank shows that offshoring of R&D often follows as a consequence of a lack of skilled employees. Another consequence of the insufficient supply of STEM skills becomes obvious if we only look around us. Science, technology, engineering and mathematics are what our modern society to a large extent is built upon. Infrastructure solutions, health care and the vast majority of products and services that we take for granted in our daily lives would not be a reality without technological development. Modern societal challenges like climate change and the ageing of our population will require new solutions, based on the outcome of continued technological development.
SPRING 2011
Providing a context
One field where business is putting in an important effort to make a difference is increasing the interest of scholars for science. The first step towards tackling this lack of interest is to analyse what causes it. Studies show that young people turn away from scientific studies for many reasons. They find it difficult or not relevant to their lives, which creates a negative perception of STEM professions. It is also unclear to them what a career in STEM means. Here business has a clear role to play, already at primary and secondary education levels. Companies should obviously not take over the work of teachers. The role of business lies in providing a context and showing how science is used to solve real-world problems. In Austria for instance, the recently launched SPICI project (Success stories about professions in cool industries) involves scientists and engineers from industry visiting pupils in their schools to do story telling on how they use science in their work. At the same time, pupils visit companies to carry out short, hands-on experiments. Based on these experiences, the project team develops novel lecturing material which combines theoretical background knowledge and practical applications, derived from the real-world challenges faced by industry. (See box 2).
Companies could also play a part in the lifelong learning of teachers, providing secondment opportunities within the company. In some member states, the relationships between schools and companies are fairly common (64% of employers in the UK are in close contacts with schools) whereas in other member states such links are hindered by red tape and sceptical attitudes among authorities, the public and the schools themselves towards company involvement in education.
SPRING 2011
Myth 2
At higher levels, cooperation between education providers and business is vital not only to increase the interest for STEM but also for the relevance of the studies. The possibilities for partnerships between companies and higher education institutions are many. They include giving lectures, offering apprenticeships or even inviting groups of students to perform laboratory work in the companys facilities. During an education in molecular biotechnology for instance, the student will require access to a wide range of costly high-tech equipment spanning many disciplines. Although the responsibility for providing the necessary equipment lies with the university, performing laboratory work or research projects at the companies that actually develop the instruments enables the student to acquire skills for which there is a direct demand among local companies. It also gives access to the most updated versions of the instruments and a chance to apply theoretical skills on real-world scientific tasks. In addition, it allows both universities and companies to share costs and know-how. For the individual student, it gives work experience, networks and an insight into STEM careers.
The ERT has also showed that the more developed a country is, the less the young are inclined towards careers in STEM. Young people in the EU could be led to believe that further technological development would be redundant. Moreover, they care more about who they will be rather than what they will be, and wish to work with something meaningful that fits their values and concerns. Killing the myth: Therefore, there is a case for business to better communicate how further technological development, and thus STEM skills, are crucial in coming to terms with modern societal challenges, including climate change. Being able to make a difference in this respect is an overlooked trademark of science careers.
Myth 3
According to a 2008 study by the European Round Table of Industrialists (ERT), one of the key reasons why young people do not wish to study STEM is their perception that it lacks jack attractive career paths The 2006 PISA assessment shows that 56% of 15 years olds in the OECD area find science useful for further studies but only 21% said they would like to spend their life doing advanced science. Killing the myth: There are numerous examples of entrepreneurs who have created successful businesses out of technological innovations. Specific STEM skills in combination with generic competencies like entrepreneurship and creativity are a strong combination for aspirants of a stellar career. A CBI survey confirm that science careers are well rewarded scientists and engineers have an average starting annual salary of 22,200 higher than finance, HR or marketing roles.
Employers also have a responsibility to communicate their future skills needs. Skills forecasts could be useful, but only to a certain extent. Even more important areways for business to be consulted in real-time on the supply and design of courses. In Germany one out of three members of a university board comes from the business world. This allows for a more flexible process in which educational pathways are continuously adapted to labour market needs. However, the role of business in these boards should be not only to involve in operational issues but also to give strategic counselling to the university At the same time, it is important to note that company involvement could create a win-win situation at all levels, including on the level of the actual teaching. This should not be viewed as a one-way communication of how well skills match demand. Instead, it is an opportunity for companies to connect the content of courses to activities within the company and thereby providing a real-life context for what students are learning. Killing myths Another area where business can play a part is to identify and kill myths preventing the younger generation from choosing a career in science. Some of these myths are outlined below, along with a description of how business initiatives could address or already have addressed the issue successfully.
SPRING 2011
Box 3. MUNICIPALITIES AND BUSINESS JOINING FORCES TO RAISE INTEREST FOR STEM
Between the years 2003 and 2006, a project called Science Team K took place in the municipality of Kalundborg, Denmark. It had the financial support of H. Lundbeck A/S, an international pharmaceutical company and several other business partners were involved in the activities. The aim of the initiative was to increase the interest of scholars on primary and secondary level in science and technology. Over 2,500 students in the Kalundborg area participated together with their science teachers. Among the many results of the project were an increased interest in science among girls aged 14-16. It also improved the qualifications of teachers, created informal networks between schools and led to a higher confidence of teachers in their profession. The many actions undertaken within this project are now being rolled out across Denmark.
SPRING 2011
Furthermore, governments have a responsibility to ensure that the education system addresses the gender disparity when it comes to attitudes towards science. According to an assessment carried out in 2006 by the International Student Assessment (PISA), 15-year-old boys thought significantly higher of their own science abilities than did the girls. At the same time, the girls in the assessment outperformed boys their age in the tests. In the most recent PISA study published in December 2010, there was no statistically significant difference between the performance of girls and boys in science, but girls keep opting out from science at young ages.
This shows that there is a potential to improve the confidence of girls to study science.
By doing so, we would address another societal challenge in the same go, which is the gender pay gap. To a certain extent, this is caused by the different career choices made by men and women. Other factors obviously also come into play that must be dealt with, but encouraging girls to aim for career paths which are well rewarded on the labour market is an important action to narrow the gap. Moreover, guidance officers who provide advice to the younger generation on their career choice could play an important part in improving the attitudes for science and counter-acting negative stereotypes. Consequently, they need to be well informed about the career opportunities within STEM.
Chart 2 Reading, mathematics and science performance of 15-year-olds in top-achieving countries and selected EU countries
Source: PISA study 2010
600
Reading
Mathematics
Science
600
600
580 560
EU countries 562
526
520 500
533
542
540
555 549
556
513 520
514
500
497
480
494 492
Shanghai China
Korea
Finland
France
Denmark
United Kingdom
10
SPRING 2011
The quality of the European education system needs to be improved on all levels - primary, secondary, tertiary and post-graduate. A good place to start is to make sure teachers, at all levels, have the right skills and competencies. Evidence show that post-16 science is best taught by teachers with a specialism in a particular science, but shortages threatens the provision of good education in science at this level. More qualified personnel in early childhood education are also important to improve performance later on. Governments have an important responsibility to upgrade the quality of teacher education and to update their professional skills by putting in place schemes for lifelong learning. Moreover, school management and teaching methods needs to be modernised, including through more liberty given to teachers to choose their teaching methods as long as they are in accordance with the educational standards of the national attainment agenda. Focusing on learning outcomes, while providing a greater differentiation in learning approaches, equips the pupil with good tools for lifelong learning.
Although companies answered that they would have to make concessions on diplomas and consequently put in place their own, in-house training programmes to compensate for this, not a single company reported a willingness to lower their expectations of the soft skills of individuals to be recruited. This reflects a solid recognition from companies that the personality of the engineer to be recruited needs to be compatible with the organisational culture. In order to equip students with adaptability and other generic competencies, teaching methods and the way courses are designed needs to change. In concrete terms, this means for instance more emphasis on entrepreneurship education as a horizontal element in all STEM educations. It also means creating cross-disciplinary courses building on collaborations between different faculties in different disciplines. One important ingredient of adaptability in this context is a solid basis in mathematics. It gives the confidence and language skills necessary to understand the logics of different systems, regardless of the discipline. For the performance of scholars and students in STEM educations overall, governments should put more emphasis on mathematics in national school systems. The negative perception of mathematics as being disproportionally challenging compared with other subjects in terms of work load should be addressed.
SPRING 2011
11
Chart 3 Top priorities in higher education for the UK government according to business
Source: CBI skills survey 2010
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Ensure all graduates have employability skills 42 Raise numbers/quality of STEM graduates
81
37 Encourage universities to provide more workforce training 31 Support high-quality research/teaching 29 Support university-business collaboration 28 Support universities to diversify their provision 4 Other
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
For the individual learner, this leads to the ability to apply studies in one scientific field in another and thereby the possibility to make a shift of career and find job opportunities in a broad range of sectors. Bringing in knowledge from another professional background to the new occupational field could also create highly attractive recruitment profiles. As an example, knowledge in informatics applied to molecular biology results in a perfect match for companies dealing with protein engineering, a growing field within life science. From business, voices are raised for governments to do more to improve relevance of educations. In the UK for example, 81% of employers want to see the government working with universities to ensure all graduates develop employability skills (see chart 2).
This includes cutting red tape for company involvement in education. Simplified procedures to provide apprenticeships and opportunities for companies to be part of the management of educational institutions are necessary measures. Governments also have a responsibility to create incentive systems for educational institutions to cooperate with the private sector. Positive financial incentives through additional public resources allocated to educational institutions conditional on the degree of collaboration with companies could be one way. However, finding ways to estimate this degree is not easy. In some countries, the share of private funding of the public education institution has served as a basis. The use of independent employability rankings is another option. It is also essential that principals and deans have the possibility to give incentives to teachers and scientists who collaborate with business.
Set the right framework for collaborations between companies and education institutions
In spite of its high level of involvement in addressing the STEM skills shortage, business could do even more provided conditions would be more favourable. National governments should set the right framework to stimulate business initiatives.
Ultimately, only education providers themselves can make the change of attitude happen that is necessary for constructive links with business and in order to explore the mutual benefits of collaborations.
12
SPRING 2011
This regards teachers in schools, including at primary and secondary level, as well as personnel within academia. One way to overcome the scepticism against creating links with companies is to clearly state what is expected from the collaboration from the perspective of the school or university. Instead of fearing that the different roles of business and the education system get mixed up, it should be explained what is acceptable and not, for instance to avoid indirect promotion of products and services. The Dutch collaboration platform called Bta Techniek is a good example on how to clarify roles of participating actors. Agreements are set up on the level of the school with the point of departure that schools are the experts; they decide what their approach is in the collaboration. Participants in the agreements could involve local companies, politicians and employer organisations. Needless to say, the education provider could very well be the actor coordinating a larger collaboration project. In Finland for instance, the faculty of science of the University of Helsinki coordinates an umbrella organisation consisting of representatives from Finnish technology industries, chemical industries, forest industries and other stakeholders. Together, these members arranges science fairs, supports the lifelong learning of teachers, develop new teaching material, etc. Cooperation between schools/university and business is also hampered by the low level of recognition within the educational institution of the value of experiences gathered in external environments, including from business. By increased recognition of this in internal human resource policies and in recruitments of teachers, researchers and other personnel, career paths that span different environments in society would become more common.
Moreover, a Deutsche Bank Research survey that compared the preferences for working in the USA/ Canada, the UK, Germany, Australia or India among Indian IT students put the UK in third place and Germany at fifth. In the US, 16% of all scientists and engineers are immigrants. However, instead of fearing a brain drain of highly skilled individuals, EU member states should focus on making Europe attractive enough to be part of the global brain circulation. Both the worlds of business and research are becoming increasingly mobile. This trend should not be fought but capitalised upon. For instance, experiences acquired in foreign environments, by both EU nationals and third-country nationals, could be better used. The long and complex admission procedures that third-country nationals moving to the EU for an employment currently experience hamper the attractiveness of the EU for key talents, like scientists and researchers. The Blue Card Directive aiming to facilitate admission procedures for highly-skilled immigrants is a step in the right direction although conditions for admission are too strict. Facilitating intra-corporate transfers of employees from an affiliate outside the territory of the EU to an affiliate in a Member State is vital for companies to have access to the personnel they need, for instance to ensure development projects. The draft directive on intra-corporate transferees of July 2010 is overall to be welcomed as it would help bring transparency and simplification to admission procedures of intra-corporate transferees. In the wake of the crisis, protectionist tendencies have increased on many European labour markets towards immigration of third country nationals. Scepticism towards immigration, especially in times of recession, is often linked to fears that jobs would be lost. The fact of the matter though is that an inflow of workers from third countries to the EU is vital for the recovery from the crisis, and thereby create more job opportunities overall. This being said, a successful immigration policy has to include more than facilitated admission procedures. An attractive range of educational opportunities, an open culture and long-term prospects for talented individuals are also of major importance.
SPRING 2011
13
14
SPRING 2011
Provide a context for science studies by involving in education at all levels Kill myths and give positive role models of STEM skilled from the business world Communicate future skills that businesses need and ensure educational courses are adapted accordingly Contribute to the lifelong learning of teachers
Governments should
Re-orient resources to STEM education Raising the attractiveness of such educations by increasing quality and relevance Set the right conditions for collaboration between business and education providers Ensure participation of the EU in the global brain circulation
Educational providers should
Address scepticism against creating links with business, including at primary and secondary level, and
explore the benefits that collaboration could lead to Better recognise value of experiences from a business environment in recruitments and internal human resource policies While respecting the need of different kinds of studies, take their responsibility in providing courses that lead to employment Individual learners should
Recognise their responsibility in making informed study choices Be confident enough to go for a career in a STEM discipline
EU institutions should
Reduce barriers to geographical and occupational mobility Ensure remaining steps of a shift towards a learning outcome approach in the national credit and
qualification systems on both vocational and higher education levels Make better use of the different EU level programmes and cooperation instruments through more points of contacts between their governance structures and through increased compatibility and interoperability of these tools Establish industrial PhD schemes financed through the Marie Curie Actions
SPRING 2011
15
Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Denmark
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Montenegro
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Portugal
Romania
Slovak Republic
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Switzerland
The Netherlands
Turkey
Turkey
United Kingdom
BUSINESSEUROPE AV. DE CORTENBERGH, 168 / BE-1000 BRUSSELS TEL + 32 (0) 2 237 65 11 / E-MAIL: [email protected] WWW.BUSINESSEUROPE.EU