THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

May 2012

The Economics and Statistics Office Ministry of Finance, Tourism & Development

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

CONTENTS
Executive Summary ................................................................................................. 3 Global and Regional Macroeconomic Environment ........................................... 6 2.1 Economic Growth .............................................................................................. 6 2.2 Inflation ............................................................................................................... 8 2.3 International Finance ........................................................................................ 9 2.4 Regional and International Tourism ............................................................ 11 3. Macroeconomic Performance ............................................................................... 12 3.1 Economic Growth ............................................................................................ 12 3.2 Inflation ............................................................................................................. 16 3.3 Labour Force and Employment..................................................................... 18 3.4 External Sector ................................................................................................. 20 3.5 Money & Credit ............................................................................................... 22 4. Key Sector Developments ..................................................................................... 29 4.1 Financial Services ............................................................................................ 29 4.2 Tourism ............................................................................................................. 36 4.3 Construction ..................................................................................................... 39 4.4 Real Estate ........................................................................................................ 43 4.5 Utilities and Telecommunications ................................................................ 44 5. Fiscal Operations of the Central Government ................................................... 46 5.1 Overview .......................................................................................................... 46 5.2 Revenue ............................................................................................................ 47 5.3 Expenditure ...................................................................................................... 50 5.4 Primary Balance ............................................................................................... 52 5.5 Net Financing and Debt Service Indicators ................................................. 53 6. Macroeconomic Outlook for 2012........................................................................ 55 6.1 Global Outlook ................................................................................................ 55 6.2 Domestic Growth ............................................................................................ 55 6.3 Domestic Inflation ........................................................................................... 57 7. Acknowledgement ................................................................................................. 58 8. Statistical Appendix ............................................................................................... 59 1. 2.

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

1.

Executive Summary

1.1 Economic activity in 2011 turned positive following three consecutive years of downturn. Gross domestic product (GDP) rose at an estimated rate of 1.1 percent from a year ago as services sector recovered. 1.2 The estimated mid-year population reached 55,277 falling by 0.4 percent compared to the mid-year population of a year ago. The marginal growth in real GDP and a decline in the mid-year population resulted in a higher real per capita income of $43,202, 1.5 percent higher than the level in 2010. 1.3 Economic growth in 2011 was stimulated by increased demand for stayover tourism services, financial services, business services and real estate. Total consumer goods imports grew by 2.3 percent. Government capital spending and total capital imports increased. 1.4 The financial services industry exhibited another year of mixed performance. New company registrations continued its recovery (11.1%) as well as new partnership (22.9%) and stock exchange listing (3.9%). In contrast, downturns were recorded in mutual funds registration (1.9%), insurance licences (0.3%), and banks and trusts by (4.9%). 1.5 Air arrivals continued with another year of strong growth of 7.2 percent. However, cruise visitors slipped by 12.3 percent which resulted in a 9.3 percent fall-off in the total visitor arrivals to 1.71 million in 2011. 1.6 Construction declined in 2011 albeit at a significantly slower rate, as indicated by the value of building permits which slid to $183.1 million (or 11.0% lower than in 2010). The value of planning approvals also fell by 33.2 percent to reach $220.8 million. Certificates of occupancy rose in value but declined in number. 1 1.7 Real estate activity rebounded strongly as the number of transferred properties rebounded by 5.5 percent to 1,886, while the total value surged to $657.9 million due to a few of large transactions.

These indicators pertain to Grand Cayman only.

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

1.8 The average inflation rate in 2011 was 1.3 percent, higher than the 0.3 percent a year ago due mainly to strong growth of transport, food and electricity indices. 1.9 Total labour force in 2011 was estimated at 37,620, which is 0.8 percent higher than a year ago. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 6.3 percent compared to 6.2 percent in 2010. 1.10 Merchandise imports rose by 10.4 percent to $762.0 million, mainly reflecting a 43.2 percent increase in the value of fuel imports while non-fuel imports increased by 3.1 percent. 1.11 Broad liquidity (M2) contracted by 10.4 percent to settle at $4.8 billion (US$5.7 billion) in 2011. This contraction emanated from an 11.8 percent slump in foreign currency deposits and a 4.6 percent decline in the local currency denominated broad money. 1.12 Domestic credit from commercial banks expanded by $98.5 million to reach $3.1 billion. The public sector indebtedness to the local banking sector increased by 37.1 percent while credit to the private sector contracted by 0.2 percent. Private sector credit declined as a total of $160.2 million were repaid by the services sector, trade and commerce sector and other financial corporations. 1.13 The net foreign asset position of local commercial banks fell by 20.7 percent (or by $615 million) to $2.4 billion. The decline stemmed from a reduction in foreign assets and an expansion of foreign liabilities. 1.14 In 2011, central governments total current revenue net of current expenditure amounted to a surplus of $18.9 million from a deficit of $3.9 million a year ago. Similarly, the overall balance (total revenue minus total expenditure) recorded a smaller deficit of $80.3 million, compared to a deficit of $88.5 million in 2010 due to unexpected growth in revenue. The central governments total outstanding debt expanded by 3.5 percent to $613.4 million (or 24.9% of GDP) as at December 2011. 1.15 GDP growth projection for 2012 is placed at 1.8 percent, in view of expected continued growth in tourism, construction and financial services. Inflation rate in 2012 is expected to be higher at 2.1 percent arising from oil price increases.

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Indicators Real GDP ($million)* GDP growth in real terms (percent)* Real GDP per capita (in $)* Nominal GDP per capita (in $)* Nominal GDP ($million)*

The Cayman Islands Economic Performance: Summary Indicators

2009 2,445.6 (6.9) 43,280 44,421 2,510.1 56,005 31,165 56,507 35,958 6.0 (1.5) 744.5 29.7 (203.6) (8.1) 513.5 20.5 272.0 1,520.4 5,949.6 2,836.8 9,523 808 266 136 1,312 7,863 355.0 434.2 416.5 2.2 5.8 144,850 2010 2,362.9 (3.4) 42,559 43,429 2,411.2 55,036 30,979 55,521 34,983 6.2 0.3 690.4 28.6 (88.5) (3.7) 592.7 24.7 288.3 1,597.8 5,307.4 3,008.1 9,438 768 246 127 1,113 8,157 205.6 330.5 316.4 (1.3) (2.1) 137,242

2011 2,388.1 1.1 43,202 44,657 2,468.5 55,517 31,325 55,277 35,267 6.3 1.3 762.0 30.9 (80.3) (3.3) 613.4 24.9 309.1 1,401.5 4,752.9 3,106.6 9,258 766 234 123 1,156 9,064 183.1 251.8 657.9 0.0 (0.4) 132,349

Population (year-end) Of which Caymanians Population (mid-year) Employment Unemployment rate (percent of labour force) Inflation rate (percent) Total imports (in $million) Total imports (percent of GDP) Overall fiscal balance of the central government ($million) Overall fiscal balance of the central government (percent of GDP) Outstanding debt of the central government ($million) Outstanding debt of the central government (percent of GDP) Stay-over tourists (in thousands) Cruise ship passengers (in thousands) Total money supply (stock M2, in $million) Domestic credit (outstanding balance, in $million) Mutual funds Insurance licenses Banking and trust licenses Trust companies Stock exchange listings New company registrations Grand Cayman building permits ($million) Cayman Islands planning approvals ($million) Cayman Islands property transfers ($million) Electricity consumption (percent growth) Water consumption (percent growth) Total fixed and mobile telephone lines *Estimated.

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

2.

Global and Regional Macroeconomic Environment

The year in review marked an expansion of the global economy albeit lower than the previous year with varying degrees of growth across regions. This review is based on information culled from the International Monetary Fund and other international organizations. 2.1 Economic Growth

Global output growth in 2011 slowed to 3.9 percent from the 5.3 percent in the preceding year. However, this represents an improvement from the weak and vulnerable recovery expected a year ago because of the legacy of the financial crisis. Economic conditions in the advanced economies became fragile, resulting in a growth of 1.6 percent in 2011, lower than the 3.2 percent growth recorded in 2010 but an improvement on expectations. Emerging and developing countries expanded strongly at a rate of 6.2 percent in 2011, although 1.3 percentage points lower than the preceding year (see Table 2.1). Economic activity in the United States of America (US) expanded by 1.7 percent during the year as policies geared at improving domestic-driven economic activity resulted in improved financial conditions which supported private demand and increased employment. Similarly, Canadian economic output expanded in 2011 at a rate of 2.5 percent. Table 2.1: Global Economic Growth
2008 World GDP Advanced economies US Euro area Japan UK Canada Emerging market and developing countries China India 3.0 0.9 1.1 0.9 -0.6 0.7 0.5 6.1 9.0 7.3 2009 2010 2011 3.9 1.6 1.7 1.4 -0.7 0.7 2.5 6.2 9.2 7.2 in Percent (%) -0.5 5.3 -3.4 3.2 -2.6 3.0 -4.1 1.9 -6.3 4.4 -4.9 2.1 -2.5 3.2 2.7 9.2 6.8 7.5 10.4 10.6

Source: International Monetary Fund (April 2012)

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

The Euro area recorded economic growth of 1.4 percent in 2011, as countries recovered with uneven pace with Germany leading the growth at 3.1 percent while Greece, Portugal and Slovenia declined. Some periphery countries from the Euro area were challenged with sovereign debt crisis and a general loss of confidence. The United Kingdom (UK) also posted a growth of 0.7 percent. Emerging and developing economies posted another year of strong economic expansion (6.2%) propelled by resilient domestic demand although external demand dimmed. The 2011 growth in emerging and developing economies was led by China with 9.2 percent and India with 7.2 percent. The Caribbean region grew by 2.8 percent which is lower than the previous year but higher than 2009, due largely to strong growth in the Dominican Republic (4.5%), Suriname (4.5%), Haiti (5.6%) and Guyana (4.2%). However, growth in some of the English-speaking Caribbean economies remained subdued as Trinidad and Tobago, Antigua and Barbuda, St. Kitts and Nevis, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines recorded economic contraction in 2011. Table 2.2: Caribbean Region Economic Growth
2008 Caribbean Bahamas Barbados Trinidad & Tobago Jamaica OECS Antigua & Barbuda Dominica Grenada St. Kitts & Nevis St. Lucia St. Vincent & the Grenadines 2.9 -1.3 -0.2 2.7 -0.8 1.5 7.8 1.7 4.0 5.8 -0.6 2009 2010 2011 2.8 2.0 0.5 -1.3 1.5 -0.5 0.5 1.1 -2.0 0.2 -0.4 in Percent (%) 0.4 3.4 -5.4 1.0 -4.2 -3.3 -3.1 -10.3 -0.7 -5.7 -5.6 -1.3 -2.3 0.2 0.0 -1.4 -8.9 0.3 -1.3 -2.7 3.4 -1.8

Source: International Monetary Fund (April 2012)

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

2.2 Inflation Inflation surged to 2.7 percent among advanced economies in 2011, led by the US with 3.1 percent. Commodity prices remained high but were marginally lower than the previous year while oil prices moved higher. Oil prices rose sharply during 2010 and early 2011 to about US$115 a barrel, then eased to about US$100 a barrel. The general price level in emerging markets and developing countries grew at a much stronger rate of 7.1 percent due to strong domestic demand coupled with tighter monetary policy and higher energy prices. Figure 2.1: Comparative Inflation Rates:
8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0
6.1 7.1

Percentage

5.2
1.5 2.7 1.6 3.1

0.1

-0.3
US Emerging markets and developing countries

Advanced economies

2009

2010

2011

Source: International Monetary Fund (April 2012)

Inflationary pressures in the Caribbean were marginally stronger resulting in an average inflation rate of 7.2 percent in 2011 from the 7.1 percent of the previous year, fuelled mainly by higher energy prices in most countries. Table 2.3: Inflation Rates: Caribbean Region
2008 Caribbean of which: Bahamas Barbados Trinidad & Tobago Jamaica 12.0 4.4 8.1 12.0 22.0 2009 2010 2011 7.2 2.5 9.4 5.1 7.5 in Percent (%) 3.6 7.1 2.1 3.7 7.0 9.6 1.0 5.8 10.5 12.6

Source: International Monetary Fund (April 2012)

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

2.3

International Finance

The overall fiscal deficit among advanced economies continued to improve, as it narrowed from 10.0 percent in 2009 and to 8.7 percent in 2010 and now to 7.7 percent in 2011 due to fiscal tightening. The US general governments fiscal deficit or net borrowing 2 narrowed from 10.5 percent of GDP in 2010 to 9.6 percent of GDP in 2011. Similarly, the overall fiscal deficit of the Euro area improved from 6.2 percent of GDP in 2010 to 4.1 percent of GDP in 2011 while the UK fiscal deficit in 2011 move down to 8.7 percent of GDP from 9.9 percent in 2010. Interest rate policies across our major source markets remained stable in 2011. In the US, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate from December 2008 to a range of 0 to 0.25 percent and recently announced its intention to hold it stable until 2014. The Bank of England maintained its interest rate 3 at 0.5 percent. Likewise, in an effort to balance growth activity in the Euro zone economy, the European Central Bank in the second and third quarters raised the key interest rate 4, however, in the last quarter reverted it to 1.0 percent in an effort to stem the fiscal crisis that engulfed the region. Bank of Canada also maintained its key interest rates during the year at 1.0 percent (see Figure 2.2).

Net lending/borrowing is equal to total revenue less total expenditure less net acquisition of nonfinancial assets and liabilities. It is viewed as an indicator of the financial impact of governments activity on the rest of the economy. 3 The Bank of Englands key interest rate is also called current official bank rate. 4 The ECBs key interest rate is for main refinancing operations which provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.
2

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Figure 2.2: Key Interest Rates (%, at End of Quarter)

Source: Bank of England, Federal Reserve Bank, European Central Bank & Bank of Canada

The U.S dollar generally appreciated against the Canadian dollar, Euro and the UK pound for the first half of 2011, however, it depreciated slightly in the last half of the year as exhibited in Figure 2.3. All currencies pegged to the US dollar (including the Cayman Islands dollar) would have followed the same path as the US dollar during the review period. Figure 2.3: Average Quarterly Foreign Currency per U.S dollar
1.30 1.20 1.10 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2008 2009 Can ada $ Euro 2010 Pound 2011

Source: United States Federal Reserve Bank

10

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

2.4

Regional and International Tourism 5

Based on recent World Tourism Organization (WTO) figures, global tourist arrivals grew by an estimated 4.4 percent to tally at 980 million in 2011. When examined separately, Europe displayed the strongest growth when compared to emerging regions, boosting the overall results for advanced economies. Specifically, part of the growth in the Southern Mediterranean Europe resulted from a shift in traffic away from the Middle East and North Africa, while destinations in the Mediterranean also profited from improved outbound flows from markets such as Scandinavia, Germany and the Russian Federation. Meanwhile, the Caribbean regional tourism market grew at a slower rate of 3.3 percent to reach 238 million as the main source markets were impacted by various factors including continued high unemployment levels and unsteady fuel prices. As revealed by the Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO), Canada maintained its lead as a growing source market with inflows to the region rising by 6.8 percent. Majority of the Canadian arrivals in 2011 visited destinations such as Cancun, Cuba and the Dominican Republic as in previous years. In contrast, weak economic conditions in the European markets impacted results within the Caribbean as arrivals from the region grew by 1.2 percent. This was largely associated with the modest 1.8 percent increase noted for the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) and the 1 percent rise in arrivals to the other CARICOM countries. Among the sub-regions, the Commonwealth countries (i.e. CARICOM, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands and the Cayman Islands) expanded by a combined rate of 2.2 percent. Among the individual countries, the strongest growing countries in terms of stay-over arrivals in 2011 were Curacao (14.2%), Suriname (7.9%), Cuba (7.3%), the Cayman Islands (7.2%) and Barbados (6.7%).

Sources of basic information: World Tourism Organization website, Caribbean Tourism Organization website.

11

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

3.

Macroeconomic Performance

The domestic economy rebounded to improve real per capita income. However, the unemployment rate remained high. The general price level increased modestly mainly due to higher international fuel and food prices. 3.1 Economic Growth

In 2011, domestic output staged a turn-around following three consecutive years of contraction. The increased economic activity originated in the services sectors, especially within the hotels and restaurants, and real estate, renting and business activities sectors. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2011 was estimated to have expanded by 1.1 percent to reach $2.5 billion. This was largely influenced by an estimated 1.2 percent increase in value added within the services sector which accounts for approximately 94.9 percent of GDP. Table 3.1: Cayman Islands Gross Domestic Product
2007 GDP at Current Prices ($M) Current GDP growth (%) Per Capita GDP at constant 2007 prices (CI$) GDP at constant 2007 prices ($M) Real GDP growth (%)
1 E 1

2008 2,661.5 0.9

2009 2,510.1 (5.7)

2010 2,411.2 (3.9)

2011 E 2,468.5 2.4

2,637.1 7.7 48,763 2,637.1 4.3

46,927 43,280 42,559 43,202 2,627.8 2,445.6 2,362.9 2,388.1 (0.4) (6.9) (3.4) 1.1

Using mid- year population figures. Preliminary estimates based on sector economic indicators

Source: Economics & Statistics Office

Per capita income at constant prices rose by 1.5 percent to $43,202 as GDP expanded coupled with a lower mid-year population (see Table 3.1). The latter is traced to a reduction in the transient portion of the population (non-Caymanians) as of end 2010, as the population as of end 2011 grew marginally. The 2011 population upturn resulted, as the full effects of the roll-over policy was mitigated with temporary policy measures which included Term Limit

12

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Exemption Permits 6 and a Specialist Caregiver Certificate 7, which allowed expatriate labour to stay longer on the islands. Expansion in economic activity was strongest in hotels and restaurants, real estate, and renting and business activities, financing and insurance services, and wholesale and retail trade. As shown in Table 3.2, the hotels and restaurants sector was estimated to have increased by 6.4 percent as a result of higher quantity of stay-over visitors (see Section 4.2). Financing and insurance services which accounted for approximately 41.9 percent of GDP was estimated to have expanded by 0.6 percent compared to a decline of 4.8 percent a year ago (see also Section 4.1). This resulted as financing services expanded by 1.1 percent based on anticipated higher earned interest in the local banking sector and a stable flow of financial services. However, insurance services declined by 1.4 percent. Wholesale and retail trade activity increased by 1.4 percent as indicated by the growth in imported consumer and intermediate goods. Real estate, renting and business activities was estimated to have grown by 3.1 percent, as both business services and real estate activities picked up based on the value of property transfers and registration of new companies. Transportation, storage and communication fell by 1.4 percent as growth in stay-over tourism transportation was outweighed by the estimated declines in cruise visitors, cargo transportation and telecommunication activities. Construction activity fell for the third consecutive year, this time by an estimated 1.3 percent, following previous reductions of 29.3 percent and 23.7 percent for 2009 and 2010 respectively. The current decline is associated with a 12.2 percent drop in building permits although imported building materials more than doubled partly due to duty free concessions from a one-year building incentive
Term Limit Exemption Permit which, if granted, will allow them to remain employed in the Islands, either for their last employer or for a new employer, for up to two years from 28 October 2011 even though their term limit has expired.
6

The Certificate for Specialist Caregivers is for persons who have worked in the Cayman Islands as a domestic helper, nanny or nurse or in some other care-giving capacity for a sick, elderly or handicapped person and who, due to the expiry of their term limit, are no longer able to continue in that employment. A Certificate for Specialist Caregivers is issued for a (renewable) period of five years and entitles the holder to continue to work for their present or former employer.

13

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

scheme. The smaller decline in construction was supported by an increase in government investment expenditure by 17.2 percent through capital and net lending expenditures of the central government as the construction of school continued (see Section 5). The value added of government services fell by 0.2 percent due to the combined effects of lower staff levels, reinstatement of the cost of living adjustment in December 2011 and higher government consumption expenditure (see also Section 5).

14

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 3.2: Real GDP at 2007 prices by Sector ($ million)
2008 2009 2010 Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars Primary Sector Agriculture & Fishing Mining & Quarrying Secondary Sector Manufacturing Construction Services Sector Electricity & Water Supply Electricity Water Supply Wholesale & Retail Trade, Repairs & Installation of Machinery Hotels & Restaurants incl. Bars Transport, Storage & Communication Financing & Insurance Services Real Estate, Renting & Business Activities Business Activities Real Estate Administrative & Support Services Producers of Government Services Other Services Financial Services Indirectly Measured (FISIM)* GDP constant at basic prices Growth (%) 29.4 8.1 21.4 168.9 26.5 142.4 2,429.5 92.4 58.3 34.1 244.5 134.3 217.7 1,225.9 592.9 317.2 221.5 54.2 329.7 82.0 489.9 2,627.8 (0.4) 29.2 8.9 20.3 125.2 24.5 100.7 2,291.2 95.3 59.3 36.0 216.4 120.6 213.7 1,043.7 587.5 323.0 213.2 51.2 323.2 80.1 389.3 2,445.6 (6.9) 27.0 8.7 18.3 98.6 21.8 76.8 2,237.3 93.5 58.9 34.6 199.1 129.0 209.2 993.8 584.3 328.0 206.8 49.5 314.9 78.9 365.4 2,362.9 (3.4) 25.9 8.1 17.8 97.0 21.2 75.8 2,265.2 93.5 59.0 34.5 201.9 137.2 206.2 999.7 602.3 338.3 214.6 49.4 314.4 79.3 369.3 2,388.1 1.1 (4.1) (6.9) (2.7) (1.6) (2.8) (1.3) 1.2 0.2 (0.3) 1.4 6.4 (1.4) 0.6 3.1 3.1 3.8 (0.2) (0.2) 0.5 1.1

% Change 2011
E

E Preliminary estimates based on sector economic indicators.

*Financial Intermediation Services Indirectly Measured (FISIM) is the difference between the interest rates charged to borrowers and the interest rates paid to lenders. It is an implicit charge to customers for the service provided by financial intermediaries. Source: Economics & Statistics Office

15

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

3.2

Inflation

In 2011, consumer prices rose on average by 1.3 percent, as compared to 0.3 percent in the preceding year. For the second consecutive year, inflation can be traced mainly to the sharp movement of fuel prices and higher food prices. Table 3.3: Average Inflation Rates
Categories Food & Non Alcoholic Beverages Alcohol and Tobacco Clothing and Footwear Housing and Utilities Household Equipment Health Transport Communication Recreation and Culture Education Restaurants and Hotels Misc. Goods and Services Overall CPI Inflation Avg Inflation Rates (%) 2011 2010 3.0 10.2 -0.2 -4.0 0.6 1.2 8.1 2.1 1.2 1.7 5.1 1.6 0.3 3.5 0.3 0.1 -1.1 1.0 1.0 10.6 1.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.3

Source: Economics & Statistics Office

During the year, all major categories of CPI inflation increased except housing and utilities (see Table 3.3). The indices for restaurants and hotels, health and household increased by 1.0 percent while education and miscellaneous goods and services grew by 0.9 percent. The transport index recorded the largest average increase of 10.6 percent which was affected by higher cost associated with higher prices of fuel and lubricants during the period. Since the rebased CPI index in the second quarter of 2008 (see Figure 3.2), food and non-alcoholic beverages index held a more or less consistent upward trajectory. The food index stood at 114.7 which increased by approximately 14.7 percent since the second quarter of 2008. The average food inflation in 2011 stood at 3.5 percent, having been positive in all four quarters of the year and with stronger average growth in the last two quarters (see Table 3.4). The main reasons are high international oil prices arising from a recent boom in bio-fuels and increased demand for agricultural commodities coupled with adverse weather conditions in the major source markets.

16

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Figure 3.1: Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages vs. Non-food Inflation Indices
120.0 115.0 110.0 105.0 100.0 95.0 90.0 85.0 QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR QTR 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2008 2009 Non-Food 2010 Food 2011 97.6 97.6 99.1 105.1 108.6 114.7

Source: Economics & Statistics Office

The housing and utility index is the highest weighted category of the consumer price index basket at 39.4 percent which exerts significant influence on the rate of inflation. In 2011, average housing and utilities inflation declined by 1.0 percent despite a hike in electricity inflation of an average 19.2 percent. Housing inflation (housing excluding utilities) was influenced by the combined forces of actual rental for housing which on average went down by 0.2 percent and the imputed rentals of owner-occupied housing which fell by 7.4 percent. Meanwhile, the average price of electricity increased continuously since the fourth quarter of 2009 8 as international oil prices surged during the first four months of 2011 from US$95 per barrel to approximately US$115 per barrel, and oscillated between US$100 per barrel and US$115 per barrel for the remainder of the year. Overall, consumer price index inflation when housing and utilities is excluded averaged 2.7 percent in 2011 which is indicative of the dampened impact of housing and utility component on the annual inflation.

The electricity inflation for the fourth quarter of 2009 was 9.5%. The others are displayed in Table 3.4.

17

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 3.4: Selected Quarterly Inflation Rates
% Change over the same Quarter a Year Ago CPI: CPI: Excluding; Excluding; Food & Housing & Electricity Utilities -0.5 -0.3 -1.7 -0.7 -0.8 -1.0 -0.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 2.3 2.5 3.3 3.4 2.9 2.8 3.2 2.5 2.3 2.7 Housing & Electricity Utilities Inflation Inflation -2.8 -2.2 -6.0 -4.9 -4.0 -4.6 -2.9 2.4 1.0 -1.0 19.0 28.4 24.1 13.8 21.3 14.8 23.8 22.5 15.7 19.2

CPI Inflation QTR 1 QTR 2 2010 QTR 3 QTR 4 Annual average 2010 QTR 1 QTR 2 2011 QTR 3 QTR 4 Annual average 2011 0.4 0.7 -0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 2.4 1.9 1.3

Non Food Inflation 0.3 0.5 -0.6 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.9 2.3 1.5 1.1

Food Inflation 1.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.7 1.6 4.0 5.6 3.5

Source: Economics & Statistics Office

3.3 Labour Force and Employment Labour market indicators improved slightly in 2011, supported by modest economic growth and a slight increase in the population. The labour force edged upwards by 0.8 percent to settle at 37,620 partly recovering from the 2.5 percent decline a year earlier. After weakening in 2009 and 2010, employment inched up by 0.2 percent (284 persons) to 35,068. Amongst the employed, Caymanians benefitted most with the number of employed Caymanians rising by 1.1 percent to 15,969 compared to the 0.6 percent increase for Non-Caymanians. Among the industries, those with higher employment include households (20.3%), administrative and support service activities (10.6%) and real estate activities (2.0%). Strong tourist arrivals also supported employment growth in the transport and storage (4.0%) and accommodation industries (3.9%) (See Figure 3.2). Shrinking employment activity persisted in construction (-6.3%) and related manufacturing, mining and quarrying (-7.5%), financial services (-2.8%) and education (-6.9%). The overall number of unemployed persons totalled 2,353 with the unemployment rate rising by 0.1 percentage points to 6.3 percent. The number of Caymanians unemployed reached 1,732 persons resulting in a Caymanian 18

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

unemployment rate of 9.8 percent in 2011. The unemployment rate for NonCaymanians remains substantially lower at 3.1 percent with 621 persons recorded as unemployed. Figure 3.2: Summary of Labour Force Indicatorsa
2010 Population Working Age Population Labour Force Total Employment Total Unemployed Unemployment Rate (%) Caymanian Population Working Age Population Labor force Employed Unemployed Unemployment Rate (%) Non-Caymanian Population Working Age Population Labor force Employed Unemployed 24,057 21,759 19,807 19,189 618 24,192 21,881 19,919 19,298 621 30,979 23,309 17,506 15,794 1,712 9.8% 31,325 23,569 17,701 15,969 1,732 9.8% 55,036 45,068 37,313 34,983 2,330 6.2% 2011 55,517 45,450 37,620 35,267 2,353 6.3%

Employment by Industry 2011

Wholesale and Retail 4,227 Construction 3,707 Activities of households as 3,637 Financial Services 3,535 General public administration 2,853 Professional, scientific and 2,464 Accommodation 2,276 Administrative and support 2,004 Transportation and Storage 1,750 Restaurants and Mobile Food 1,459 Education 1,359 Human health and social work 1,266 Arts, entertainment and recreation 980 Other service activities 951 Manufacturing, Mining and 763 Information and communication 707 Real Estate Activities 549 Electricity, gas, steam and air 438 Agriculture and Fishing 268 Not Stated 71 Extra-territorial organizations 4

- 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Unemployment Rate (%) 3.1% 3.1% a- data for 2010 is from the Census and 2011 is from the Labour Force Survey Source: Economics & Statistics Office

As depicted in Figure 3.2, the wholesale and retail industry continues to account for the largest number of employment with 12.0 percent of total employment. This is followed by construction (10.5%), households with employees (10.3%), financial services (10.0%) and public administration (8.1%). Foreign employment levels, as measured by work permits issued by the Immigration Department, continued to subside in 2011 although the rate of decline moderated from the strong downturn a year earlier. At the close of the year, work permits contracted by 2.9 percent from the 20,452 recorded a year ago to 19,852, a smaller fall than the 13.1 percent decline in 2010.

19

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

3.4

External Sector

Imports. Total merchandise imports rebounded in 2011 to grow by 10.4 percent to reach $762.0 million 9. The growth in trade was predominantly from higher value of oil and petroleum products imports which accounted for 24.1 percent of total imports. Oil and petroleum products import increased by 43.2 percent to total $183.4 million while non-oil related imports expanded by 3.1 percent to total $581.8 million. The value of imported consumption goods increased by 2.3 percent, supported by strong growth in stay-over tourism. Capital goods increased by 9.8 percent while intermediate goods declined by 3.0 percent. Figure 3.3: Imports by Broad Economic Categories
1100.0 2011 2010 2009 2008 0%

45.6 49.2 55.5 50.8

16.2

23.9 14.3
$ Million

1000.0 900.0 800.0 700.0 600.0 500.0 400.0

2001 2002 2003

976.4 898.7 762.0

18.1 18.3 14.4 17.1 15.0 12.4 15.4 20.3 13.5

50% % Share 100%

514.5

690.4

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Consumption goods Fuel and lubricants

Intermediate goods Capital goods

Total Imports

Source: Economics and Statistics Office

Contributing to the growth in value of fuel imports during the period was the increase in the fuel volume, albeit at a lower percentage of 4.1 percent, to reach 53.0 million imperial gallons. All types of fuel imports increased during this period. Overall, the volume of imported cargo declined by 2.8 percent to 210.2 thousand tons. However, imported aggregates which is used in the construction sector increased by 8.2 percent to 143.5 thousand tons in 2011. The latter may be partly due to the reduction of import duty on building materials from 22 percent to 11 percent, a concession granted by Cabinet for 2011.

Value of imports and export includes cost of insurance and freight.

2011

300.0

20

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Figure 3.4: Quantity of Imported Fuel and Cargo

Total Fuel 60.0 290.0 54.4 52.6 50.7 44.9 50.9 53.0 270.0 250.0 230.0 210.0 190.0 170.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 150.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 210.2 245.0 269.2 256.4 260.2 Cargo ('000 tons)

millions of imperial gallons

55.0 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0

216.2

Source: Customs Department and Port Authority of the Cayman Islands

Exports. Total merchandise exports in 2011 reached $19.2 million, a 70.3 percent increase compared to the previous year. This was due mainly to re-export of goods. Current Account. The countrys current account deficit was estimated to have widened by 11.5 percent to $455.0 million, or 18.4 percent of GDP in 2011 (see Table 3.5) due mainly to an increase in outflow of funds arising from higher merchandise imports. In addition, the growth in receipts was at a slower pace in 2011 (2.7%) compared to 2010 (3.9%). Inflows from tourism visitor expenditure and financial services dominated the inflow of funds. Tourism visitor expenditure was estimated at $398.0 million, up by 1.4 percent despite strong growth in air arrivals in view of a large reduction in cruise arrivals. Meanwhile, receipts from financial services rose by 4.9 percent to $415.0 million as new company registrations rebounded. Workers remittances narrowed as less money are remitted due to a reduction of work permit holders.

21

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table: 3.5: Balance of Payments (in CI$ million)*
2008 Current Account Balances Trade balance Exports, f.o.b. Imports, f.o.b. Services, net Receipts o/w tourism visitor expenditure o/w financial services Payments Net income Transfers, net Current Account Balance Percent of GDP (%) Financial and Capital Account, net* Balance of Payments Change in Reserves**
E

2009 (619.7) 38.7 (658.4) 464.6 1,141.3 378.4 379.0 (676.7) (87.2) (177.8) (420.1) (16.7) 419.1 (1.0) 1.0

2010 (584.8) 33.8 (618.6) 474.5 1,185.7 392.4 395.7 (711.3) (155.6) (142.3) (408.2) (16.9) 398.8 (9.4) 9.4

2011 E (645.6) 40.0 (685.6) 488.8 1,217.2 398.0 415.0 (728.4) (158.8) (139.3) (455.0) (18.4) 460.3 5.3 (5.3)

(758.1) 28.4 (786.5) 605.5 1,280.7 433.0 501.0 (675.2) (109.2) (182.4) (444.2) (16.7) 439.7 (4.5) 4.5

Estimated based on selected economic indicators f.o.b Free on board (excludes insurance and freight) * Includes overall errors and omissions ** Changes in foreign currency reserves of the Cayman Islands Monetary Authoritys Currency Board Source: Economics and Statistics Office

3.5

Money & Credit

Broad Liquidity. Broad liquidity (M2) comprising CI dollar-denominated money and foreign exchange deposits contracted for the second consecutive year. After falling by 10.8 percent in 2010, broad liquidity narrowed further by 10.4 percent to settle at $4,752.9 million in 2011 (see Figure 3.5 and Table 3.6). The contraction in 2011 emanated from an 11.8 percent slump in foreign currency deposits coupled with a 4.6 percent decline in the local currency money supply (M2). The decline in foreign currency deposits was triggered by a reduction of US dollar-denominated deposits by 10.5 percent. This could have resulted from the 22

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

outflows of foreign currency in search of higher returns in the wake of a dimmed global recovery and minimal local investment opportunities. Broad money comprising of local currency (KYD) deposits and currency in circulation fell by 4.6 percent to $935.9 million. This resulted from a decrease in KYD deposits by 5.6 percent while currency in circulation expanded by 5.3 percent. The overall loan-to-deposit ratio of commercial banks increased due to marginally higher loan balances and a simultaneous significant reduction in local and foreign currency deposits amounting to approximately $559 million. In 2011, this ratio averaged 66.6 percent as compared to 57.6 percent in 2010; the increase is traced to higher government borrowings during 2011. Figure 3.5: Liquidity Indicators
9,000 Money Supply 70.0 65.0 60.0 55.0 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 2009 Loans-to-Deposits Ratio 57.6 48.4 66.6

7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000

5,949.6 5,307.4 4,752.9

Percentage (%)

CI$ Millions

8,000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2009

2010

2011

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority & ESO

The contraction in broad liquidity was associated with a 20.7 percent reduction in net foreign assets of local commercial banks. Net domestic assets rose by $55.3 million (or 2.5 percent) as domestic credit rose by 3.3 percent.

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2010 2011

23

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 3.6: Monetary and Banking Summary, in CI$ million

% Dec-08 Total Assets Net Foreign Assets Monetary Authority Commercial Banks Net Domestic Assets Domestic credit Claims on central government Claims on other public sector Claims on private sector Other items net Broad Liquidity Broad money (KYD) M2 Currency in circulation KYD Deposits Demand deposits Time and savings deposits FOREX deposits of which: US dollars US dollars share (%) 5,568.2 3,579.1 101.6 3,477.5 1,989.1 Dec-09 5,949.6 3,981.1 100.4 3,880.7 1,968.5 Dec-10 5,307.4 3,056.5 89.4 2,967.1 2,250.9 Dec-11 Change 4,752.9 2,446.7 94.6 2,352.1 2,306.2 (10.4) (20.0) 5.8 (20.7) 2.5 3.3 34.1 48.2 (0.2) 5.7 (10.4) (4.6) 5.3 (5.6) (20.5) 1.9 (11.8) (10.5)

2,763.1 2,836.8 3,008.1 3,106.6 271.7 172.1 219.0 293.7 54.0 66.5 59.8 88.6 2,437.5 2,598.1 2,729.3 2,724.3 (774.0) (868.3) (757.2) (800.4) 5,568.2 1,017.7 83.6 934.1 250.7 683.3 4,550.5 4,218.7 92.7 5,949.6 962.2 87.5 874.6 254.5 620.1 4,987.5 4,316.0 86.5 5,307.4 981.1 85.2 895.9 298.9 597.0 4,326.2 3,632.8 84.0 4,752.9 935.9 89.7 846.1 237.7 608.4 3,817.0 3,251.6 85.2

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority & ESO

Net foreign assets. Net foreign assets (NFA) of the Cayman Islands Monetary Authoritys (CIMA) expanded by 5.8 percent while the commercial banks NFA declined by 20.7 percent during the period (see Table 3.7). CIMAs NFA rose by $5.2 million during the period following declines for the last two years. The reduction of commercial banks NFA stemmed from an increase in foreign liabilities by 16.5 percent as non-resident deposits grew by $504 million while foreign assets fell by 1.5 percent due to reductions in balances in banks and branches. The ratio of foreign currency-denominated liabilities to total liabilities (a financial soundness indicator which measures the relative importance of foreign currency funding within total liabilities) stood at 80.3 percent in 2011. This represented a slight fall compared to 81.5 percent in 2010 and 83.8 percent in 2009. This is an indication that foreign currency continued to be an important source of funding 24

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

in the Cayman Islands dollarized economy, supporting the fixed exchange rate in the currency board system. Table 3.7: Net Foreign Assets, CI$ million
% Dec-08 Net Foreign Assets Monetary Authority Commercial Banks Foreign Assets Bal. with Banks & Branches Total Investment Total Non-Resident Loans Foreign Liabilities Total Non-Resident Deposits Other Liabilities 3,579.1 101.6 3,477.5 7,430.7 4,450.8 1,427.8 1,552.1 3,953.2 3,732.7 220.5 Dec-09 3,981.1 100.4 3,880.7 6,630.9 3,923.2 1,170.9 1,536.8 2,750.2 2,677.9 72.3 Dec-10 3,056.5 89.4 2,967.1 6,140.1 3,785.8 906.7 1,447.6 3,173.0 3,076.2 96.8 Dec-11 Change 2,446.7 94.6 2,352.1 6,049.7 3,569.2 963.3 1,517.2 3,697.6 3,580.2 117.4 (20.0) 5.8 (20.7) (1.5) (5.7) 6.2 4.8 16.5 16.4 21.3

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority & ESO

Net domestic assets. The expansion in net domestic assets was precipitated by the continued growth in domestic credit which went up by 3.3 percent to $3,106.6 million. This was due to the growth in public sectors stock of debt and a simultaneous decline in private sector loans. Credit to the public sector increased by 37.1 percent as central government debt from commercial banks expanded to $293.7 million (see Tables 3.6 and 3.8). Credit allocated to the private sector fell marginally by 0.2 percent as credit to businesses contracted while household credit expanded. Table 3.8: Net Domestic Assets, CI$ million
Dec-08 Domestic Assets Domestic Credit to Public Sector Domestic Credit to Private Sector 2,763.1 325.6 2,437.5 Dec-09 2,836.8 238.7 2,598.1 Dec-10 3,008.1 278.8 2,729.3 % 3.3 37.1 (0.2)

Dec-11 Change 3,106.6 382.3 2,724.3

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority & ESO

Credit to households which constituted 63.0 percent of total credit to the private sector rose by 2.2 percent during the period, as credit for domestic property and miscellaneous purposes expanded (see Table 3.9). Credit for miscellaneous items include consolidated debt, insurance, medical and travel. New credit for domestic property rose by $28.6 million in 2011 although this new lending was lower than the $82.9 million and $79.8 million in 2010 and 2009 respectively. Approximately 96 percent of the new borrowing for domestic property occurred 25

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

in the latter half of 2011 (these late disbursements are expected to have some spill-over economic effects for 2012). Credit to the business sector which accounted for 37.0 percent of total credit to the private sector contracted by 4.0 percent, as credit to the service sectors, trade and commerce, and other financial corporations declined by 20.7 percent, 15.5 percent, and 49.6 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, lending to the manufacturing sector expanded on account of higher borrowing for construction which increased by 61.1 percent or $133.4 million. The vast majority of this borrowing by the commercial construction sector occurred in the first quarter which totalled $119.4 million and an additional $12.4 million in the last quarter of 2011. During the review period, US dollar-denominated loans continued to dominate total loans as foreign currency-denominated loans to total loans ratio stood at 67.8 percent, up from 66.1 percent in 2010. The household debt-to-GDP ratio which measures the overall level of household indebtedness as a share of GDP stood at 69.5 percent as compared to 69.7 percent in 2010. Further, this means on average each household 10 in the Cayman Islands is indebted at approximately $73,783 in 2010 which increased to $77,505 in 2011 as household debt expanded while the number of households dwindled. This worsening of household indebtedness resulted from increases in loans to households amidst a reduction in economic output.

10

Total households in the Cayman Islands were 22,760 in 2010 and 22,143 in 2011.

26

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 3.9: Net Credit to the Private Sector, CI$ million
Dec-08 Total Credit to Businesses Production & Manufacturing of which Construction Services of which; Accommodation, Food, Bar & Entertainment Services Trade and Commerce Wholesale & Retail Sales Trade Real Estate Agents, Rental and Leasing Companies Other Business Activities (General Business Activity) Other Financial Corporations Credit to Households Domestic Property Motor Vehicles Education and Technology Miscellaneous* Non Profit Organizations 2,329.2 844.5 118.2 79.9 78.7 Dec-09 2,468.5 841.7 149.4 114.9 130.5 Dec-10 2,729.3 1,049.5 291.9 218.5 210.8 % (0.2) (4.0) 40.6 61.1 (20.7)

Dec-11 Change 2,724.3 1,007.8 410.5 351.9 167.1

78.7 607.2 167.7 430.3 9.2 40.4 1,484.7 1,295.8 44.0 1.7 143.3 0.0

130.5 519.0 79.8 425.9 13.4 42.6 1,626.7 1,375.6 70.2 3.2 177.7 0.2

113.4 454.0 67.3 364.1 22.6 92.9 1,679.3 1,458.5 49.8 4.7 166.3 0.4

116.3 383.6 78.1 136.5 169.0 46.8 1,716.2 1,487.1 36.8 4.5 187.8 0.2

2.6 (15.5) 16.0 (62.5) 647.8 (49.6) 2.2 2.0 (26.1) (4.3) 12.9 (50.0)

*Miscellaneous include consolidated debt, insurance, medical & travel Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority & ESO

Interest Rates. As depicted in Figure 3.7, the weighted average lending rate fell marginally during the year. The weighted average rate on outstanding loans moved down by 11 basis points from 6.59 percent in 2010 to 6.48 percent in 2011 while the prime lending rate remained constant over the review period. The weighted average loan interest rate spread over Cayman prime averaged 3.5 percentage points, marginally up from 3.4 percentage points a year ago. Similarly, the weighted average loan interest rate spread over the weighted average savings rate was 6.4 percentage points, up from 6.3 percentage points a year ago. The weighted average rate on deposits increased to 0.39 percent from 0.35 percent at the end of 2011 (see Figure 3.6).

27

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Figure 3.6: Cayman Islands Interest Rates (%, End of Quarter)
Weighted Average Rate on Deposits 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2009 2010 2011 0.49 0.35 0.39 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 6.46 6.59 3.25 6.48 3.25

3.25

Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2009 2010 2011

Prime Lending Rate Weighted Average Rate on Loans

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority & ESO

28

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

4.

Key Sector Developments

Caymans financial services industry posted a mild recovery amidst a mixed performance of sector indicators while stay-over tourism grew strongly. The construction industry continued to suffer while real estate benefited from buyers market conditions. The utilities sector comprising electricity and water was stable. 4.1 Financial Services

Overall, the financial services industrys gross value added posted an estimated growth of 0.6 percent in 2011 after three consecutive years of decline (see Section 3.1 and Table 3.2). However, the recovery is not yet broad-based as the performances of sector indicators remain mixed. Banks & trusts. The number of bank and trust licences continued its downward trend in 2011 as fewer registrations were recorded for all categories of licences. This resulted as banks continue to consolidate and restructure in search of cost efficiencies, and improvements in operational risk management and governance. When compared to last year, Class A licences fell by 2 to reach 15; while Class B licences were reduced by 10 to total 219. Table 4.1: Bank & Trust Companies, 2009-2011
2010-2011 2009 Total Bank & Trust Licences Class 'A' Bank & Trust Bank Class 'B' Bank & Trust Bank External Position of Banksa Assets Liabilities Trust Companies Unrestricted Restricted
a

2010 246 17 12 5 229 87 142

2011 % Change 234 15 12 3 219 83 136 (4.9) (11.8) (40.0) (4.4) (4.6) (4.2) (7.0) (6.6) (3.1) 5.9 (9.2)

266 17 12 5 249 95 154 1,734 1,762

US$ Billion 1,728 1,607 1,798 1,680 127 51 76 123 54 69

136 53 83

Data available in 2011 is at September

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

29

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

The Cayman Islands continue to be recognised as one of the top ten international financial centres in the world with over forty of the top fifty banks from fortyfive countries holding licences locally. This year, there were reductions in the shares of banks originating from Europe, United States, and Asia and Australia, while those from Canada and Mexico, and South America increased their shares. Similar to past years, those operating domestically are predominantly from Europe and the United States. Table 4.2: Number of Banks by Region, 2009- 2011
2008 Europe USA Caribbean & Central America Asia & Australia Canada & Mexico South America Middle East & Africa 81 76 22 28 14 47 10 278 Europe USA Caribbean & Central America Asia & Australia Canada & Mexico South America Middle East & Africa 29.1 27.3 2009 78 74 21 27 14 42 10 2010 72 67 19 25 14 41 8 2011 66 56 19 23 18 43 9 Number of Banks

266 246 234 Percentage (%) 29.3 27.8 29.3 27.2 7.7 10.2 5.7 16.7 3.3 100.0 28.2 23.9 8.1 9.8 7.7 18.4 3.8 100.0

7.9 7.9 10.1 10.2 5.0 5.3 16.9 15.8 3.6 3.8 100.0 100.0 Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

Insurance. When compared to year-end 2010, activity within the insurance sector moderated with the total number of registered insurance licences narrowing by 2 (or -0.3%) to 766 in 2011. This decline resulted as three less Class A licences were recorded while an additional Class B was noted. During 2011, 38 new Class B licences were issued which was higher than the 25 granted in the previous year, however, 37 licences were not renewed. On the whole, some of the reasons cited for non-renewal were low returns for various categories of investments, concerns of protracted recessionary conditions, and the availability of discounted commercial insurance rates. Nonetheless, Cayman remains

30

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

foremost in the captive formation industry due to its cost competitiveness and regulatory structure, as five new SPCs 11 were licenced. Table 4.3: Captive Insurance Companies, 2009-2011
% 2009 Total Insurance Licences Class 'A' Licences (Domestic) Class 'B' Licences (Captives) Financial Position of Captives Premiums Net Income* Net Worth Total Assets 808 28 780 2010 768 30 738 2011 Change 766 27 739 -0.3 -10.0 0.1

7.5 0.9 9.2 44.7

US$ Billions 8.7 11.8 1.3 1.0 13.4 14.2 58.0 68.5

35.7 -23.1 6.0 18.1

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

The captive market stabilised as the fundamentals that make the Cayman Islands a domicile of choice still remain strong. Net premiums for captives grew by 35.7 percent to US$11.8 billion in 2011. Assets under management have increased by 18.1 percent to US$68.5 billion. On average, expense increased while net income decreased by 23.1 percent to total US$1.0 billion in 2011.

Segregated portfolio company (SPC) is a type of captive which segregates the assets and liabilities of different classes of shares from each other and from the general assets of the SPC. Only the assets of each segregated portfolio are available to meet liabilities to creditors in respect of that segregated portfolio. Where there are liabilities arising from a matter attributable to a particular segregated portfolio, the creditor may only have recourse to the assets attributable to that segregated portfolio. As at end 2011, there were 124 SPCs which contained 632 active cells.
11

31

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 4.4: Captive Insurance Licences by Risk Location
2008 Africa, Asia & Middle East North America Pacific Rim Other 10 696 2 33 777 2008 Healthcare Workers' Compensation Property General Liability Professional Liability Other 2009 6 700 2 32 780 2009 2010 4 668 2 27 738 2010 2011 4 669 2 27 739 2011 265 161 91 71 68 83 739 Number of Companies

Total Captive Companies By Primary Class of Business Number of Companies 279 269 263 163 162 160 88 115 88 74 73 72 65 65 64 108 777 96 780 91 738

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

The composition of the insurance industry remained as in previous years (see Table 4.4). North America continues to dominate the risk location for Caymans captive market, comprising the 90.5 percent of total companies registered with the rest originating from Caribbean and Latin America (3.1%); Africa, Asia and Middle East (0.5%); Europe (1.9%) and the rest of the world (3.7%). Healthcare 12 followed by workers compensation 13 continue to dominate the captives class of business accounting for a combined share of approximately 58 percent of total captives.

Cayman became the most common jurisdiction for healthcare providers early on following the acceptance of the Harvard captive for medical malpractice in the mid-1970s. Although Bermuda was the more established domicile, Cayman offered some advantages, including: A willingness to allow hospital- sponsored physician programs; and A more favourable reimbursement impact due to flexible capital requirements

12

Several of the newer onshore domiciles have picked up healthcare captives, particularly risk retention groups and physician groups. However, Cayman remains the domicile of choice for

32

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Domestic insurance licences (class A) in 2011 fell by 3 (or 10.0%) to total 27 (see Table 4.3). The 2011 unaudited consolidated financial statement indicated that gross premium was 1.1 percent lower, settling at $356.5 million. Ceded premiums 14 amounted to $120.4 million in 2011, a decrease from 41.4 percent of gross premium a year ago to 33.8 percent. The largest share (71.2%) of ceded premiums was property which was lower than the 81.6 percent a year ago. Meanwhile, property insurance accounted for 31.7 percent of gross premiums, down from 42 percent a year ago while health insurance accounted for 43.8 percent and motor 6.7 percent. Net claims of domestic insurance increased by 2.9 percent to $132.1 million as compared to a year ago, as health related claims amounted to $114.8 million. Mutual funds. For the third consecutive year, mutual funds activity abated as it fell by 1.9 percent to reach 9,258. During the period, new registrations totalled 1034 while 939 were terminated. The reasons for the termination include: (a) liquidation; (b) exemption under the mutual fund law; (c) the fund may no longer meet the definition of a mutual fund (e.g. closed ended fund); and (d) the fund may never have carried out business. Table 4.5: Mutual Funds, 2009-2011
2010-2011 2009 Registered Mutual Funds Administered Mutual Funds Licenced Mutual Funds Total 8,944 448 131 9,523 2010 8,870 435 133 9,438 2011 8,714 424 120 9,258 % Change -1.8 -2.5 -9.8 -1.9

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

Stock exchange. The Cayman Islands Stock Exchange (CSX) stock listings rebounded to 1,156 as at December 2011. The increase was largely spurred by
both for-profit and tax-exempt captive owners due to the experience of the professionals involved. Workers' compensation is a form of insurance providing wage replacement and medical benefits to employees injured in the course of employment in exchange for mandatory relinquishment of the employee's right to sue his or her employer for the tort of negligence. 14 Ceded premiums are premiums paid or payable by the insurance company to another insurer for reinsurance protection.
13

33

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

the double-digit growth (i.e. 36.5%) in Eurobonds (see Table 4.6). Moreover, this upturn translated to a similar rise in Eurobond market capitalization of 18.8 percent to reach US$36.9 billion. Previously, catering mainly to hedge funds and specialized debt issuers, the CSX rebranded its equity securities listing during the year to meet changing market trends. This new venture serves to enhance its equity securities offerings, in particular, listings by small Central and South American-based mineral companies, mineral exploration companies, and companies offering securities to specialist investors. Table 4.6: Stock Listings, 2009-2011
2010-2011 Instruments Mutual Funds Specialist Debt Eurobond Secondary Equity Domestic Equity Total 2009 546 693 68 2 3 1,312 2010 322 712 74 2 3 1,113 2011 347 702 101 2 4 1,156 % Change 7.8 -1.4 36.5 0.0 33.3 3.9

Source: Cayman Islands Stock Exchange

Table 4.7: Market Capitalization (US$ billions), 2009-2011 15

2010-2011 Instruments Mutual Funds Specialist Debt Eurobond Secondary Equity Domestic Equity Total 2009 53.7 79.4 29.2 0.6 0.208 163.0 2010 32.1 81.3 31.1 0.9 0.246 145.7 2011 23.0 80.4 36.9 0.7 2.818 143.8 % Change -28.3 -1.2 18.8 -23.1 1,045.5 -1.3

Source: Cayman Islands Stock Exchange

Companies registry. The companies registry which comprises exempt, nonresident, resident and foreign companies increased by 1.9 percent to 92,964 in 2011 (see Table 4.8). This resulted from the addition of 9,064 new companies and the removal of 7,798 companies. With regard to the latter, 47.9 percent were removed by the registrar while 42.9 percent were voluntary dissolved and 3.8 percent were removed from companies register due to liquidation. Noteworthy
15

The figures for mutual funds and domestic equity refer to market capitalization. Figures for specialist debt, Eurobond and secondary equity is based on par values.

34

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

is that only 1.1 percent or 82 companies de-registered and moved to other jurisdictions. The exempt category which grew by 2.4 percent remains the largest proportion of total companies accounting for 80.4 percent. For 2011, both foreign and resident companies increased by 7.2 percent and 6.2 percent, respectively, while non-resident companies continued to dwindle by 6.1 percent which summed to 1,142 over the last two years. New company registrations increased by 11.1 percent to reach 9,064. This is traced to increased registration of exempt, resident and foreign companies while non-resident company registration was lower (see Table 4.8). Table 4.8: Company Registrations, 2009-2011
2009-2010 2009 Total Company Registrations Exempt Non-Resident Resident Foreign New Company Registrations Exempt Non-Resident Resident Foreign 92,867 73,967 10,202 6,071 2,627 7,863 6,764 220 487 392 2010 91,206 72,994 9,651 5,829 2,732 8,157 7,104 230 432 391 2011 92,964 74,782 9,060 6,193 2,929 9,064 7,980 156 485 443 % Change 1.9 2.4 -6.1 6.2 7.2 11.1 12.3 -32.2 12.3 13.3

Source: Cayman Islands General Registry

Company partnership registry. Domestic enterprise or inward investment interest in the form of registered partnership companies strengthened during the period. New partnerships rose by 354 (or 22.9 percent) to amass 1,897 while no new limited partnership licences were issued. A limited partnership allows for business transactions to be conducted by two or more persons or entities; whilst an exempt limited partnership is required when establishing limited partnerships for offshore investors to conduct business locally (as is solely necessary for offshore business operations).

35

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Figure 4.1: New Partnerships Registered
2,500 2,180 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 632 531 335 565 1,535 1,149 928 429 2,188 1,897

1,543

Source: Cayman Islands General Registry

4.2 Tourism Total visitor arrivals to the Cayman Islands fell by 9.3 percent in 2011 to reach 1,710.6 thousand at year-end. This overall figure was owing to a 12.3 percent decrease in cruise arrivals which outweighed the 7.2 percent expansion in stayover arrivals. Figure 4.2: Tourist Arrivals, 2008-2011
2,500.0 2,000.0 1,855.9 1,792.3 1,886.1

Thousands

1,710.6

1,500.0 1,000.0 500.0

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: Department of Tourism

Meanwhile, as reported by the World Tourism Organization (WTO), visitor arrivals grew by over 4 percent worldwide during the same period to total at 980 million. In contrast to previous years, WTO noted that this growth was higher in advanced economies (5.0%) than in emerging ones (3.8%) due largely to the 36

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

strong results in Europe and the setbacks in the Middle East and North America 16. Despite the fragile recovery of some markets, the Caribbean tourism industry also performed better in 2011. Based on results from the Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO), an estimated 23.8 million visitors was noted in 2011, growing by 3.3 percent over a year ago. This outcome was associated with strong results in larger destinations such as Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands. Stay-over market. Stay-over arrivals in the Cayman Islands grew for the second consecutive year as a total of 309,091 persons visited, 7.2 percent higher than in 2011. The recently introduced (three-year) direct service to Toronto by West Jet airline contributed largely to this boost in arrivals as the Canadian region showed the highest growth in arrivals. Increased demand for travel by European markets was reflected domestically, as this region represented the second strongest growth. On a broader outlook, as revealed by the International Air Transport Association (IATA), international travel from the European region has been fuelled by business travel on long-haul markets. Increased visitor activity was directly related to new promotional strategies undertaken by the Department of Tourism such as Caymankind. Similarly, the recently introduced Kittiwake shipwreck attraction served to stimulate the diving industry and improve stay-over numbers. Figure 4.3: Air Arrivals, 2008-2011
400.0 300.0
Thousands

302.9

272.0

288.3

309.1

200.0 100.0 -

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: Department of Tourism

16

www.unwto.org, World Tourism Organization

37

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

When compared to 2010, arrivals from all regions within the USA (the largest market for stay-over arrivals in the Cayman Islands) improved. The West Coast dominated this outcome as it registered a double-digit growth of 11.3 percent. Similarly, all other markets followed closely behind while the Midwest region showed the lowest growth of 2.3 percent. Further review shows that the USAthe largest contributor of arrivals to the Cayman Islandsaccounted for 78.6 percent of the total market. This figure was lower than the share of 79.3 percent reported last year. Meanwhile, Canada comprised 8.0 percent of overall visitors and grew by 26.3 percent; while Europe accounted for 6.8 percent and improved by 6.5 percent. See Table 4.9 Table 4.9: Stay-over Arrivals by Country of Origin, 2008-2011
Absolute 2008 USA Northeast Midwest Southeast Southwest West Coast Europe Canada Others Total % Share of USA 240.5 82.6 50.1 51.3 37.9 18.6 21.3 18.5 22.6 302.9 79.4 2009 215.0 75.9 45.1 43.0 36.0 15.0 19.1 17.3 20.6 272.0 79.1 2010 228.5 83.8 49.2 42.1 38.3 15.1 19.9 19.5 20.5 288.4 79.2 2011 242.9 85.7 52.6 45.7 42.1 16.8 21.1 24.6 20.4 309.1 78.6 Change 14.4 1.9 3.4 3.6 3.8 1.7 1.2 5.1 (0.1) 20.7 % Change 6.3 2.3 6.9 8.6 9.9 11.3 6.0 26.2 (0.5) 7.2

Source: Cayman Islands Department of Tourism

At year-end, the local room inventory for visitors declined by 261 as the total number of bedrooms in operation, as reported by the Department of Tourism (DOT), fell from 4,563 to 4,302. Similarly, the total number of licensed tourist accommodation properties decreased from 300 to 280 this year. Statistics on occupancy and accommodation levels were unavailable at the time of the publication of this report. Cruise Market. Cruise arrivals declined by 12.3 percent to 1,401,495 (see Figure 4.4). This performance is in line with the marginal 0.3 percent growth noted in regional cruise arrivals which tallied 20.6 million by December 2011. Overall cruise arrivals in the region were seemingly affected by the redeployment of 38

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

several cruise vessels to non-Caribbean routes. Other downside pressure that could have impacted the industry is the demand for home-port travel to densely populated catchment areas in destinations such as the Mediterranean and other large European countries. Meanwhile, the number of local cruise ship calls declined by 8.2 percent to 523 at year-end. This contraction reversed the 4.2 percent recovery recorded for 2010. Figure 4.4: Cruise Arrivals, 2008-2011
1,650.0 1,600.0
Thousands

1,597.8 1,553.1 1,520.4

1,550.0 1,500.0 1,450.0 1,400.0 1,350.0 1,300.0

1,401.5

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: Department of Tourism

Cruise passengers per day averaged 3,893 persons which was 545 visitors less than the average a year ago.

4.3

Construction

Construction indicators continued to slide resulting in the industrys estimated gross value added dipping by 1.3 percent in 2011 (See Table 3.2). The total value of building permits and project approvals fell to their lowest levels in seven years, respectively to $183.1 million and $251.8 million. Similarly, the number of certificates of occupancy fell for the second consecutive year, declining by 36.2 percent to 391. Building Permits. Construction activity continued its downward trend falling by 11.0 percent to $183.1 million, albeit the decline is sharply lower than the 42.1 percent recorded a year earlier. Nevertheless, building activity showed some signs of stabilising in the second half of the year with two consecutive quarters of growth following nine consecutive quarters of contraction. 39

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 4.10: Grand Cayman Building Permits, 2008-2011

2008 Houses Apartments Commercial Industrial Hotel Government Other Total 116.6 116.6 162.8 29.6 0.2 62.7 13.7 502.3 2009 2010 2011 % Change 87.9 37.4 39.5 0.5 6.9 10.9 183.1 (5.5) (24.3) (12.8) (84.6) 244.5 (13.4) (11.0) Millions of CI$ 146.4 93.1 92.7 49.4 49.5 45.3 2.6 3.2 0.0 28.8 2.0 35.0 12.6 355.0 205.6

Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

In the residential sector, permit values fell for a second year this time by 12.1 percent to $125.3 million. In addition to the 5.5 percent decline in house building, apartment/condominium building activity fell to its lowest level in ten years ($37.4 million). Recovery in residential activity, particularly in the apartment/condominium category, remains hampered by declining population and slow employment growth. Nonresidential activity (which consists of commercial, industrial and government construction) edged downwards by 7.1 percent to $46.9 million. The declines in commercial (-12.8%) and industrial (-84.6%) countered the increase in government project values (244.5%). Activity levels, as measured by building permit numbers, similarly echoed the decline across all but the government category. Building permit numbers when compared to a year ago fell by 16.9 percent to 823. Table 4.11: Grand Cayman Building Permits, 2008-2011
2008 Houses Apartments Commercial Industrial Hotel Government Other Total 503 182 176 14 1 36 169 1,081 2009 532 171 116 7 0 16 303 1,145 2010 390 114 120 7 0 12 347 990 2011 % Change 348 77 112 1 0 15 270 823 (10.8) (32.5) (6.7) (85.7) 0 25.0 (22.2) (16.9)

Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

40

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Project Approvals. Construction intentions, as measured by the value of project

approvals contracted by 23.8 percent to $251.8 million. The decline is traced to the sharp fall in commercial category (-72.4 %) and the other category (-52.5 %). Table 4.12: Cayman Islands Planning Approvals, 2008-2011
2008 Houses Apartments Hotels Commercial Government Industrial Other Total 118.1 149.7 6.9 126.4 18.6 11.2 77.9 508.8 2009 2010 2011 % Change 24.0 (24.1) (72.4) 19.2 1,278.8 (52.5) (23.8) Millions of CI$ 127.7 99.9 123.9 170.9 36.3 27.5 30.1 93.7 25.9 2.1 12.7 15.2 2.6 1.3 18.2 100.8 86.5 41.1 434.2 330.5 251.8

Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

Projects in the non-residential sector receded from $107.8 million in 2010 to $59.3 million. The commercial category plunged to its lowest level of $25.9 million with only one new office building planned in 2011 compared to four buildings in 2010. Mitigating the decline in the commercial category were increases in the government and industrial categories with the latter climbing to $18.2 million as a result of a planned $12.5 million distribution centre. Residential approvals recorded an 11.2 percent increase to $151.4 million following a 31.4 percent decline in 2010. Higher approvals for houses (24.0%) offset a 24.1 percent contraction in the apartment/condominium category. The total number of approvals fell by 3.3 percent to 1,041 with broad declines recorded for all but the house (3.7%) and industrial (66.7%) categories.

41

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 4.13: Cayman Islands Planning Approvals, 2008-2011
2008 Houses Apartments Hotels Commercial Government Industrial Other Total 464 108 2 48 10 12 633 1,277 2009 460 111 0 48 6 12 588 1,225 2010 354 75 0 48 17 6 576 1,076 2011 % Change 367 52 0 38 16 10 558 1,041 3.7 (30.7) (20.8) (5.9) 66.7 (3.1) (3.3)

Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

Certificates of Occupancy. During the review period, the number of certificates of

occupancy fell by 36.2 percent in 2011. The residential segment, accounting for majority of projects, declined in number from the 400 issued last year to 256. Similarly, the overall number of non-residential certificates declined as the commercial and government decreased by 16.1 and 50.0 percent respectively. However, the industrial category rose by two in the review period. The monetary value of properties granted completion approval, when compared to a year ago, rose by 3.5 percent to $150.5 million in 2011 as a result of completion of the $50.6 million Government Office Accommodation Building. This significant offset the declines across remaining categories. Table 4.14: Certificates of Occupancy Grand Cayman, 2008-2011
2008 Houses Apartments Hotel Government Commercial Industrial Other Total 283 120 0 3 108 4 16 534 2009 305 98 1 2 100 5 29 540 2010 308 92 0 10 93 3 107 613 2011 % Change 212 44 0 5 78 5 47 391 (31.2) (52.2) (50.0) (16.1) 66.7 (56.1) (36.2)

Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

42

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 4.15: Certificates of Occupancy Grand Cayman, 2008-2011
Sectors 2008 2009 77.8 100.4 73.5 3.6 24.3 279.6 2010 2011 % Change (14.8) (55.7) 3,078.4 (25.2) (87.5) (33.3) 3.5 Millions of CI$ Houses 63.1 Apartments 87.0 Hotel Government 1.0 Commercial 60.2 Industrial 2.9 Other 8.4 Total 222.6 67.0 57.1 43.4 19.2 0.0 1.6 50.6 26.7 20.0 1.6 0.2 5.1 3.4 145.4 150.5

Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

4.4

Real Estate

The real estate sector experienced a strong resurgence in 2011, after three continuing years of decline. The volume of traded property rose by 5.5 percent to 1,886 following a 21.9 percent decline a year ago, though it remains lower than the 2006-2008 levels (See Table 4.16). Table 4.16: Property Transfers, 2008-2011
2010-2011% 2008 Freehold number value (CI$M) Leasehold number value (CI$M) Total number value (CI$M) 2,289 558.1 2009 2,045 397.0 2010 1,619 307.2 2011 1,708 632.1 Change 5.5 105.8

323 76.2

242 19.5

168 9.2

178 25.8

6.0 180.4

2,612 634.3

2,287 416.5

1,787 316.4

1,886 657.9

5.5 107.9

Source: Lands and Survey Department

Amongst freehold property (the principal type of traded property), both volume and value recovered after two years of decline. This was boosted by sales of

43

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

multi-million dollar properties such as the Watercolours Development ($33.6 million) and properties comprising Stan Thomas Holdings (US$124.0 million). Traded leasehold property amounted to $25.8 million, representing a 180.4 percent increase over the $9.2 million recorded last year. This rebound is indicative of the strengthening economy as businesses increased their take-up of office/retail space.

4.5

Utilities and Telecommunications

Utilities. Local electricity production rose marginally by 0.2 percent to 606.5 megawatt hours (mWh) as at year-end 2011 (see Table 4.17). However, overall demand remained relatively constant at 554.0 mWh. Although, commercial consumption rose by 1.4 percent, both residential and public usage fell by 1.4 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively. As reported by the Caribbean Utilities Company (CUC), the fall in residential consumption was primarily influenced by higher fuel costs which prompted greater energy conservation by households despite warmer weather impacting the last quarter of the year compared to 2010. Similarly, while local water production increased by 0.3 percent between 2010 and 2011, demand was lower as total usage fell by 0.4 percent during the period. Demand for electricity and water were seemingly impacted by the decline in the number of households in 2011.
Table 4.17: Utilities Production/Consumption, 2009-2011
2009 Millions of US Gallons Water Production Water Consumption '000 of megawatt hrs Electricity Production Electricity Consumption Residential Commercial Public 1,959.1 1,741.8 2010 1,970.9 1,704.5 % 2011 Change 1,977.6 1,697.8 0.3 -0.4

608.8 559.8 263.1 290.7 6.0

605.1 553.8 262.5 285.0 6.2

606.5 554.0 258.8 289.0 6.2

0.2 0.0 -1.4 1.4 -1.1

Source: Cayman Islands Water Authority, Cayman Water Company, Caribbean Utilities Company

44

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Telecommunications. During the year, the total number of telephone lines (fixed lines and mobile) fell by 3.6 percent resulting in the number of paid telecommunication minutes declining by 12.2 percent to 411,001. In seeking to boost their market share and product offerings both local telecommunication companies, Digicel and LIME, initiated strategic measures over the period. With its announced majority share in Caribbean systems integrator Netxar Technologies in February, Digicel aimed to deliver advanced ICT systems and processes to a broader range of its corporate customers. Meanwhile, LIME increased the number of its regional businesses to 14 with the acquisition of the Bahamas Telecommunications Company by LIMEs parent company, Cable and Wireless Communications Plc. Additionally, during the latter part of the year, LIME announced its improved 4G network in all three islands. This enhanced coverage especially for the Sister Islandsenables advanced data capacity and Internet capability, as well as reliable video conferencing from mobile devices. Table 4.18: Telecommunication Sector Indicators, 2009-2011
2010 Fixed and mobile handsets in operation Total fixed & mobile domestic & int'l minutes ('000) Fixed and mobile domestic minutes ('000) Fixed and mobile int'l retail minutes ('000) 137,242 468,049 263,185 204,864 2011 132,349 411,001 231,692 179,309 % (3.6) (12.2) (12.0) (12.5)

Change

Broadband connections 18,852 18,816 (0.2) Source: Information Communication and Technology Authority (ICTA)

45

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

5.

Fiscal Operations of the Central Government

The central governments overall fiscal position showed improvements in 2011 as revenue collection recovered while expenditure continued on the uptrend. However, overall balance remained in deficit requiring additional net borrowing which increased the central governments debt. 5.1 Overview

In 2011, central governments overall deficit narrowed as growth in total revenue outweighed the growth total expenditure. The overall deficit settled at $80.3 million in 2011 as compared to $88.5 million in 2010 (see Figure 5.1). Total revenue rose by 5.9 percent to $545.8 million, while total expenditure followed with a 3.7 percent increase to reach $626.1 million (see Table 5.1). The improvement in recurrent revenue combined with marginal increase in recurrent expenditure yielded a current surplus 17 of $18.9 million as compared to a current deficit of $3.9 million a year ago. Figure 5.1: Central Governments Fiscal Balance
50.0 0.0 (50.0) 18.9 0.7 (3.9) (61.9) (149.9) (203.6) 2008 2009 2010
Overall Balance

CI$ M

(100.0) (150.0) (200.0) (250.0)

(88.5)

(80.3)

2011

Current Balance

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department and ESO

Current surplus (deficit) is total current revenue (coercive revenue plus non-coercive revenue) less current expenditure. In some years, there were other expenses (extraordinary expenses and other executive expenses) which were also added to current expenditure.
17

46

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Revenue increases in 2011 emanated from a combination of revenue measures primarily taxes on international trade and transactions, domestic taxes on goods and services, and taxes on property. Table 5.1: Summary of Fiscal Operations, 2008-2011
2008 Total Revenue Total Expenditure Current Expenditure of which : Extraordinary Expenses Other Executive Expenses Capital Expenditure & Net Lending Current Balance Overall Balance Financing Net Borrowing Change in Cash (minus=increase) 522.2 672.1 521.5 1.7 12.3 150.6 0.7 (149.9) 149.9 145.4 4.5 2009 473.7 677.3 535.6 20.1 3.7 141.7 (61.9) (203.6) 203.6 158.4 45.3 2010 515.4 603.9 519.3 2.1 2.5 84.6 (3.9) (88.5) 88.5 80.7 7.8 2011 545.8 626.1 526.9 0.0 3.0 99.2 18.9 (80.3) 80.3 21.0 59.3 Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars 5.9 3.7 1.5 (100.0) 20.0 17.3 (584.6) (9.3) (9.3) (74.0) 659.6 % Change 2010/11

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

On the expenditure side, total expenditure increased from higher capital expenditure and net lending, and recurrent expenditure. The former was precipitated by strong increase in capital acquisition while the latter was propelled by increases in cost of supplies and consumables, and subsidies to parastatals. 5.2 Revenue Revenue grew by 5.9 percent to reach $545.8 million, raising the revenue-to-GDP ratio to 22.1 percent compared to 21.4 percent a year ago. Total revenue comprises both coercive (89.7%) and non-coercive revenue (10.3%). As displayed in Table 5.2, coercive revenue which totalled $489.3 million rose by $30.8 million, or 6.7 percent compared to the preceding year (see Table 5.2). On the other hand, non-coercive revenue fell by 0.7 percent to total $56.5 million, compared to the previous year.

47

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table 5.2: Revenue Collection of Central Government
Revenue Sources Total Revenue Coercive Revenue Taxes on Int'l Trade & Transactions Domestic Taxes on Goods & Services Taxes on Property Fines Other Taxes Non-coercive Revenue Sale of Goods & Services Investment Revenue Other Operating Revenue 2008 522.2 457.9 176.9 238.0 41.1 1.9 64.3 59.7 4.2 0.4 2009 473.7 430.9 152.0 248.2 23.9 2.4 4.5 42.8 41.8 0.3 0.7 2010 515.4 458.5 158.5 277.1 21.3 1.6 0.0 56.9 56.2 0.1 0.6 2011 545.8 489.3 162.2 289.5 36.4 1.2 0.0 56.5 55.8 0.6 0.1 Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars 5.9 6.7 2.3 4.5 70.9 (25.0) (0.7) (0.7) 338.0 (82.6)

% Change 2010/11

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

Coercive revenue from international trade and transactions. Over the past few years the receipts from international trade and transactions declined as a share of coercive revenue. This ratio moved from 38.6 percent in 2008 to 33.2 percent in 2011 notwithstanding the increase in average duty from 20 percent to 22 percent in 2010. In addition, a higher reliance is being placed on revenue generated from domestic transactions with rate hikes over the last three years. In 2011, taxes on international trade and transactions rose by 2.3 percent to reach $162.2 million (see Table 5.2). Table 5.3: Revenue from Import Duties
2008 Import Duties Gasoline/Diesel Alcoholic Beverages Motor Vehicles Tobacco Products Other Import Duties Cruise Ship Departure Charges Environmental Protection Fund Fees Taxes on International Trade 162.9 22.4 15.8 13.6 3.2 107.8 9.3 4.7 176.9 2009 138.6 26.5 14.9 8.2 3.1 85.9 9.0 4.5 152.0 2010 143.9 29.0 16.8 8.3 4.7 85.1 9.6 5.0 158.5 Absolute % Change 2011 Change 2010/11 5.2 6.5 (0.2) 0.4 (1.5) (1.2) (0.3) 3.7 3.6 22.4 (1.2) 4.8 0.0 (1.8) (12.5) (6.0) 2.3

Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars 149.1 35.5 16.6 8.7 4.7 83.6 8.4 4.7 162.2

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

48

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

The increase in revenue from international trade and transactions is traced mainly to higher receipts from gasoline and diesel imports by $6.5 million (or 22.4 percent). This higher revenue resulted from the total quantity of imported fuel which increased by 4.5 percent, and the increase in the rate of fuel duty by 25 cents per imperial gallon starting June 2010. With the exception of receipts from motor vehicles, all other revenue sources under this rubric declined (see Table 5.3). Revenue collected from cruise ship departure charges fell by 12.5 percent, on account of a 12.3 percent decrease in cruise ship visitors during the year. Other import duties declined by 1.8 percent although the volume of non-fuel imported goods grew by 3.1 percent. Coercive revenue from domestic taxes on goods and services. Revenue from domestic taxes yielded $289.5 million in 2011, which was $12.4 million higher than the collection a year ago (see Table 5.2). The increase was mainly from financial services fees/licences, work permits and residency related fees, and traders licences. Growth in fees from financial services arose from company fees, partnership fees and security investment business licences. Company fees increased by 4.7 percent to $66.0 million, aided by the recovery in the number of new companies registered. New partnership fees increased by 16.7 percent to total $9.8 million on account of higher new partnership registrations, while the increase revenue from security investment business licences was $2.2 million (see Section 4.1). Work permits fees and related residency fees increased by 3.2 percent to total $58.5 million despite a 2.9 percent reduction in work permits. This increase emanated from enhanced enforcement effort to collect revenue from previously delinquent sources, which included outstanding fees associated with permanent residence. Similarly, collection from traders licences increased by $2.3 million arising from increased enforcement. Other domestic taxes comprising a host of low yielding fees increased by 6.6 percent (or $3.8 million) to total $61.6 million. This category was led by tax and trust undertakings and tourist accommodation charges with total fees increasing by $2.1 million and $1.3 million, respectively.

49

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Collections from other stamp duties and ICTA licence and royalties dropped by $1.0 million, respectively. Table 5.4: Domestic Taxes on Goods and Services
2008 Domestic Taxes Various financial service licenses ICTA licences & royalties Work permit fees and residency fees Other stamp duties Traders' licenses Other domestic taxes Domestic Taxes on Good & Services 2009 2010 % Change 2011 2010/11

Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars 122.4 8.7 48.0 12.6 6.2 40.1 238.0 127.6 8.4 43.1 9.7 6.5 53.1 248.2 143.0 7.9 56.7 8.1 3.6 57.8 277.1 149.5 6.9 58.5 7.1 5.9 61.6 289.5 4.5 (12.7) 3.2 (12.3) 63.9 6.6 4.5

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

Other coercive revenue. In 2011, revenue from taxes on property benefitted from a major transfer of properties in the Seven Mile road. The increase amounted to $15.1 million (70.9%) while revenue from fines declined during the period (see Table 5.2). Non-coercive revenue. Revenue from this source turned in a total of $56.5 million which was 0.7 percent lower than the collection a year ago (see Table 5.2). Sales of goods and services generated $55.8 million during the year. 5.3 Expenditure

Total expenditure amounted to $626.1 million, 3.7 percent above the previous years level (see Table 5.1). As a proportion to GDP, total expenditure increased from 25.1 percent in 2010 to 25.4 percent in 2011. The expansion in expenditure was due to a 17.3 percent increase in capital expenditure and net lending, coupled with a 1.5 percent increase in recurrent expenditure. Current expenditure. In 2011, total current expenditure increased by 1.5 percent to $526.9 million due mainly to increases in supplies and consumables, subsidies and interest payments. Funds spent on supplies and consumables increased by 7.9 percent to total $94.0 million during the period. Subsidies increased by 5.1 percent to $131.6 million, of which 80 percent are subventions to public entities. 50

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Transfer payments which are social benefits to protect a target segment of the population against certain social risk increased by 4.4 percent to settle at $31.0 million. Interest payments went up by 17.9 percent to $32.9 million in the wake of additional interest payments for servicing an additional debt of $21.0 million during the year (see Table 5.7). Personnel costs fell by 3.8 percent to $216.3 million (see Table 5.5) due to reduction in the number of civil servants by 25 persons (or 0.7%) to total 3,593 in 2011. This is coupled with a 3.2 percent salary-cut of civil servants in July of 2010 which reduced personnel cost in the first half of 2011 until it was reinstated in December 2011. Table 5.5: Current Expenditure of the Central Government
2008 Current Expenditure Personnel Costs Supplies & Consumables Subsidies Transfer Payments Depreciation Interest Payments Extraordinary Expenses Other Executive Expenses 521.5 245.2 97.8 105.5 28.4 18.8 11.7 1.7 12.3 2009 535.6 236.6 84.5 122.5 27.2 21.6 19.4 20.1 3.7 2010 519.3 224.8 87.1 125.2 29.7 20.0 27.9 2.1 2.5 2011 526.9 216.3 94.0 131.6 31.0 18.1 32.9 0.0 3.0 Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars 1.5 (3.8) 7.9 5.1 4.4 (9.5) 17.9 (100.0) 20.0 % Change 2010/11

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

Extraordinary expenses and other executive expenses. The former captures expenditure that is of a temporary nature which was unbudgeted for the year. Outlays for those items plummeted as little or no unplanned events (such as natural disasters) occurred. Other executive expenses comprise expenditure mainly for social intervention projects and other government measures which are not categorised as transfer payments or subsidies to public authorities. In 2011, this increased by 20.0 percent to total $3.0 million (see Table 5.5). Capital expenditure and net lending. Total spending on capital expenditure and net lending reached $99.2 million (or 4.0% of GDP) during the period (see Table 5.6) which was 17.3 percent higher than the preceding year. This included an increase in equity investment of 91.6 percent to reach $82.2 million of which

51

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

the vast majority was spent on the construction of two new high schools and expansion of existing schools. Expenditure on executive assets was slashed to minimize additions to the public debt while adhering to the fiscal prudential limits set out in the Public Management and Finance Law (PMFL). Spending for executive assets declined by 57.3 percent to $16.0 million. Table 5.6: Capital Expenditure and Net Lending of Central Government
2008 Capital Expenditure and Net Lending Capital Acquisition (now Equity Investments Capital Development (now Executive Assets) Net Lending 150.6 40.7 109.9 0.0 2009 141.7 105.4 35.2 1.1 2010 84.6 42.9 37.5 4.2 2011 99.2 82.2 16.0 1.0 Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars 17.3 91.6 -57.3 -76.2 % Change 2010/11

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

5.4 Primary Balance The primary balance is the overall fiscal balance excluding interest payments and is a standard indicator of the central governments capacity to service debt obligations. During the period, the overall deficit narrowed to $80.3 million (3.3% of GDP) compared to $88.5 million (3.7% of GDP) in 2010 (see Figure 5.1). Similarly, the primary balance improved from a deficit of $60.7 million or 2.5 percent of GDP in 2010 to a deficit of $47.4 million or 1.9 percent of GDP in 2011. Figure 5.2: Primary Fiscal Balance
0.0 (40.0) (29.4) (60.7) (47.4)

CI$m

(80.0) (120.0) (160.0) (200.0) 2007 (138.2) 2008 (184.2) 2009

2010

2011

Primary Balance

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department and ESO

52

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

5.5 Net Financing and Debt Service Indicators The overall deficit of $80.3 million was financed by borrowing and a simultaneous drawdown of $59.3 million from cash reserves (see Table 5.7). Net borrowing totalled $21.0 million after accounting for the loan repayments of $132.6 million, as a large proportion was used as bridge/short-term financing. Table 5.7: Financing of Central Government
2008 Financing Net Borrowing Disbursements Loan Repayment Change in Cash (minus = increase) 149.9 145.4 166.2 (20.7) 4.5 2009 203.6 158.4 184.3 (25.9) 45.3 2010 88.5 80.7 106.7 (25.9) 7.8 2011 80.3 21.0 153.6 (132.6) 59.3 Millions of Cayman Islands Dollars (9.3) (74.0) 44.0 412.0 660.3 % Change 2010/11

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department

The expansion in net borrowings during the year resulted in an increase in the central governments outstanding debt to total $613.4 million as at end December 2011 (see Figure 5.3) from $592.7 million as at end 2010. 18 This placed the debtto-GDP ratio at 24.9 percent, higher than the 24.6 percent as at December 2010. In 2011, the outstanding debt comprised 52.6 percent from external sources and 47.4 percent from domestic sources.
Figure 5.3: Central Governments Outstanding Debt, Debt-to-GDP Ratios & Debt Composition
700.0

Total Disbursed Outstanding Debt ($mil)

Debt to GDP ratio (%)

600.0 500.0 400.0 300.0 200.0 100.0 0.0 2007 2008 8.0 210.5 354.9 13.3

20.5

24.6

24.9

30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0

513.5

592.7

613.4

10.0 5.0 0.0

2009

2010

2011

100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

51.8 74.2

33.4

39.0

47.4

48.2 25.8 2007 2008

66.6

61.0

52.6

Central Gov't Debt ($mil) Debt-to-GDP ratio (%)

2009

2010

2011

Domestic Stock

External Stock

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department, ESO

Central governments outstanding debt comprises debt managed directly by the Treasury Department and excludes government-guaranteed debt and other contingent liabilities.
18

53

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

The central governments debt service-to-current revenue ratio worsened in 2011 to 30.3 percent, from 10.4 percent a year ago (see Table 5.8). This hike was due to a bridge or short-term loan facility amounting to $107.1 million, which was borrowed and repaid during the course of the year. Similarly, interest paymentsto-current revenue ratio stood at 6.0 percent compared to 5.4 percent a year ago. Additionally, the debt service to GDP ratio stood at 6.7 percent as short-term debt were amortised during the period.
Debt Service Indicators

Table 5.8: Central Government Debt Service Indicators

2008 2.2 1.2 6.2 2009 2010 Percentage (%) 4.1 5.4 1.8 2.2 9.6 10.4 2011 6.0 6.7 30.3

Interest Payments - to - Current Revenue Ratio Debt Service - to - GDP Ratio Debt Service - to - Current Revenue Ratio

Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department, Economics and Statistics Office

54

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

6.

Macroeconomic Outlook for 2012

The Cayman Islands economy is projected to improve in 2012, conditional on continued growth in major source markets for tourism and financial services. Domestic inflation is projected to be higher due to higher global oil prices. 6.1 Global Outlook 19 Global economic output growth is forecast to slow to about 3.5 percent in 2012 from the 3.9 percent in 2011. This is hinged on the moderate recovery of consumption spending among advance economies in the midst of deleveraging by both households and governments. The downside risks primarily include weak confidence, fiscal consolidation, and prevailing tight financial conditions in a number of economies particularly in the Euro area. However, these weaknesses are expected to ameliorate in 2013. Average GDP growth among the advanced economies is expected at 1.4 percent, with the U.S. and Canada forecasted to grow by 2.1 percent. Similarly, the UK and Germany are foreseen to improve by 0.8 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively. Overall, however, the Euro area is expected to contract by 0.3 percent. In 2012, inflation among advanced economies is projected to increase as oil prices are expected to be higher in the wake of geopolitical tensions. Non-fuel commodity prices are anticipated to remain high albeit marginally lower than the previous year. The inflation rates for the US and the advanced economies are forecasted at 2.1 percent and 1.9 percent respectively. On the other hand, inflation in emerging and developing economies is projected at 6.2 percent. 6.2 Domestic Growth

The Cayman Islands economy is expected to sustain growth in 2012. GDP is projected to expand by 1.8 percent, as financial services activities is expected to post a stronger recovery coupled with another year of growth in the stay-over tourism sector. Domestic demand is also expected to pick-up with higher private construction as early indicators seem to suggest several projects are at
This global outlook is based on information culled from the International Monetary Fund (April 2012) and other international organizations.
19

55

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

implementation stage; however, public investment is expected to decline further in 2012. Real estate, renting and business activities are expected to benefit from increased activities in company registration and financial services in general. In addition, real estate and renting are also expected to grow from support services for private construction projected to begin implementation in 2012. Table 6.1: Macroeconomic Indicators 2008-2013
Projected 2008 Real GDP growth (%) Cayman Islands United States World Consumer Prices Inflation (CPI) (%) Cayman Islands United States Advanced economies Unemployment Rate (%) Cayman Islands United States Advanced economies 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

(0.4) 0.4 2.8

(6.9) (2.4) (0.6)

(3.4) 3.0 5.3

1.1 1.7 3.9

1.8 2.1 3.5

2.7 2.4 4.1

4.1 3.8 3.4

(1.5) (0.3) 0.1

0.3 1.6 1.5

1.3 3.1 2.7

2.1 2.1 1.9

2.0 1.9 1.7

4.0 5.8 5.8

6.0 9.3 8.0

6.2 9.6 8.3

6.3 9.0 7.9

6.1 8.2 7.9

5.7 7.9 7.8

Sources: International Monetary Fund (April 2012) for data on the US, World and Advanced Economies, and Economics and Statistics Office for Cayman data.

Financial service sectors are expected to improve with firmer recovery in some sectors while others are likely to stage soft upturns. Overall, economic conditions within key external markets remain tenuous in the short and medium term. Despite recently improved results in the U.S. economy (as per renewed consumer spending and GDP growth) downside risks persist with the continued Euro-zone sovereign debt challenges. While stricter measures within these jurisdictions to re-structure their debt and stimulate stagnating economies remain the likely scenario, inevitably, to U.S. recovery may be adversely impacted. Despite, the latent risk which exists in the global financial services industry, more specifically in the Euro area, the Cayman Islands could possibly benefit from outflows of capital flight to safety.

56

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Financial services indicators for the first two months of 2012 showed new companies and new partnerships registration are up by 5.4 percent and 12.5 percent respectively, while mutual funds for the first quarter of 2012 rebounded by 7.9 percent. Stay-over tourism growth is expected to continue in line with the United Nations World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO) projections. UNWTO forecasts continued growth in international tourism in 2012 although at a slower rate. Arrivals are expected to increase between 3 percent and 4 percent, reaching the historic one billion mark by year end. Emerging economies will lead with stronger growth in Asia, the Pacific and Africa (4% to 6%), followed by the Americas and Europe (2% to 4%). The Middle East (0% to 5%) is forecast to start to recover part of its losses from 2011. The recovery in major source markets is expected to continue in positively impacting the local tourism industry. This outlook is supported by an increase of 11.4 percent in total tourist arrivals for the first two months of 2012. Stay-over arrivals is projected to grow overall by 2.7 percent for the year 2012. 6.3 Domestic Inflation

The consumer price index (CPI) is forecasted at 2.1 percent in 2012. This is due to higher imported inflation, as international food and energy prices are expected to dominate overall movement in prices locally. Imported inflation could be lower if geopolitical tensions recede. Local demand is not expected to have any significant impact on prices due to low economic activity.

57

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

7.

Acknowledgement

The Economics and Statistics Office gratefully acknowledges the assistance of the following local companies and agencies in generating the data sets used in this edition of the Annual Economic Report: Caribbean Utilities Company Cayman Islands Customs Department Cayman Islands Department of Tourism Cayman Islands General Registry Cayman Islands Land and Surveys Department Cayman Islands Monetary Authority Cayman Islands Planning Department Cayman Islands Stock Exchange Cayman Islands Treasury Department Cayman Islands Water Authority Cayman Water Company Department of Immigration Information & Communication Technology Authority Maritime Authority of Cayman Islands Port Authority of the Cayman Islands This document was produced by the Economics Unit of the Economics and Statistics Office (ESO). General support from the staff of the ESO is gratefully acknowledged.

58

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

8. Statistical Appendix

Table A1: Gross Domestic Product ............................................................................. 60 Table A2: Consumer Price Index & Inflation ............................................................. 61 Table A3: Labour Force and Employment ................................................................ 62 Table A4: Composition of the Employed Labour Force ........................................... 63 Table A5: Composition of the Unemployed Labour Force ..................................... 64 Table A6: The Employed by Industry ........................................................................ 65 Table A7: Work Permits ............................................................................................... 66 Table A8: Merchandise Trade, CI$ Millions .............................................................. 67 Table A9: Imports by Standard International Trade Classification ....................... 68 Table A10: Domestic Credit from Retail Banks, CI$ Millions ................................. 69 Table A11: Financial Services Indicators .................................................................... 70 Table A12: Banks & Trust Licences ............................................................................. 70 Table A13: Insurance Licences ..................................................................................... 71 Table A14: Mutual Funds Domiciled in the Cayman Islands ................................. 71 Table A15: New Companies Registered in the Cayman Islands............................. 72 Table A16: Money and Banking Survey: Monetary Assets (CI$ Millions) ............ 73 Table A17: Visitor Arrivals (000) and Cruise Ship Calls ......................................... 74 Table A18: Occupancy Rates and Length of Stay ...................................................... 74 Table A19: Total Stay-Over Arrivals by Country of Origin (000) .......................... 75 Table A20: Property Transfers: Number and Value (in CI$ Millions) ................... 76 Table A21: Number of Project Approvals in Grand Cayman ................................. 77 Table A22: Value of Project Approvals in Grand Cayman (CI$ Million) .............. 77 Table A23: Number of Project Approvals in the Sister Islands ............................... 78 Table A24: Value of Project Approvals in the Sister Islands (CI$ Millions) .......... 78 Table A25: Building Permits in Grand Cayman ........................................................ 79 Table A26: Water Production and Consumption, Millions of US Gallons ............ 80 Table A27: Electricity (000 megawatt hours) ............................................................ 81 Table A28: Summary of Central Government Operations (CI$ Millions) ............. 82 Table A29: Central Government Debt and Self- Financing Debt, (CI$M) a/ ........ 83 Table A30: Fiscal Operations (CI$ Millions) .............................................................. 84

59

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A1: Gross Domestic Product

Nominal Real GDP Mid-Year Real GDP GDP 2007 Prices Population Per Capita (CI$M) (CI$M) (000s) ($) 1998 1,534.7 2,065.0 38.1 54,200 1999 1,663.9 2,134.9 39.0 54,740 2000 1,739.0 2,155.8 40.2 53,628 2001 1,784.0 2,167.8 41.4 52,362 2002 1,860.6 2,205.2 42.5 51,888 2003 1,929.5 2,249.3 43.6 51,590 2004 2,032.5 2,269.5 44.2 51,300 2005 2,322.7 2,416.9 48.4 49,986 2006 2,448.9 2,528.1 52.0 48,627 2007 2,637.1 2,637.1 54.1 48,745 2008 2,661.5 2,627.8 56.0 46,927 2009 2,510.1 2,445.6 56.5 43,280 2010 2,411.2 2,362.9 55.5 42,559 2011 2,468.5 2,388.1 55.3 43,202 Source: Cayman Islands Government, Economics & Statistics Office Year Real GDP Growth (%) 5.8 3.4 1.0 0.6 1.7 2.0 0.9 6.5 4.6 4.3 (0.4) (6.9) (3.4) 1.1

60

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A2: Consumer Price Index & Inflation
(June 2008=100) Year Index Year-end Index Average Inflation Rate (%) 1995 67.2 66.7 2.5 1996 69.3 68.4 2.6 1997 71.3 70.3 2.7 1998 73.0 72.4 3.0 1999 78.7 77.3 6.8 2000 79.9 79.4 2.7 2001 80.5 80.3 1.1 2002 82.9 82.3 2.4 2003 83.4 82.8 0.6 2004 92.7 86.5 4.4 2005 92.7 92.8 7.3 2006 94.2 93.5 0.8 2007 95.8 96.2 2.9 2008 99.5 100.1 4.1 2009 98.2 98.6 (1.5) 2010 98.5 98.9 0.3 2011 100.4 100.2 1.3 Source: Cayman Islands Government, Economics & Statistics Office

61

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A3: Labour Force and Employment
Total Unemployed 1995 19,820 18,845 980 1996 20,410 19,370 1,040 1997 21,620 20,725 895 1998 22,725 21,820 905 2001 27,971 25,862 2,109 2002 28,905 27,355 1,550 2003 29,905 28,827 1,079 2004 30,257 28,946 1,311 2005 36,767 35,464 1,303 2006 35,959 35,016 943 2007 37,431 36,026 1,405 2008 38,999 37,450 1,549 2009 38,269 35,958 2,311 2010 37,313 34,983 2,330 2011 37,620 35,267 2,353 Source: Cayman Islands Government, Economics & Statistics Office Year Labour Force Total Employed Unemployment Rate (%) 4.9 5.1 4.1 4.0 7.5 5.4 3.6 4.3 3.5 2.6 3.8 4.0 6.0 6.2 6.3

Note: No Labour Force Surveys were conducted in 1999 and 2000 *2004 results are derived from Spring LFS and not Fall 2004 LFS on account of hurricane Ivan in September 2004.

62

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A4: Composition of the Employed Labour Force

Year Total Caymanian Non-Caymanian 1995 18,845 10,490 8,355 1996 19,370 10,705 8,665 1997 20,725 10,390 10,335 1998 21,820 11,525 10,295 2001 25,862 12,479 13,383 2002 27,355 12,993 14,362 2003 28,827 13,973 14,854 2004 28,946 14,775 14,171 2005 35,464 18,025 17,439 2006 35,016 17,621 17,395 2007 36,026 16,520 19,506 2008 37,450 16,518 20,932 2009 35,958 16,048 19,910 2010 34,983 15,794 19,189 2011 35,267 15,969 19,919 Source: Cayman Islands Government, Economics & Statistics Office Note: No Labour Force Surveys were conducted in 1999 and 2000 *2004 results are derived from Spring LFS and not Fall 2004 LFS on account of hurricane Ivan in September 2004.

63

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A5: Composition of the Unemployed Labour Force
Year Total Unemployed Caymanian Non-Caymanian 1995 978 703 275 1996 1,049 692 357 1997 895 579 316 1998 907 609 298 2001 2,109 1,311 798 2002 1,550 1,058 492 2003 1,079 857 222 2004 1,311 887 424 2005 1,303 1,039 264 2006 943 682 261 2007 1,405 1,029 376 2008 1,549 1,169 380 2009 2,311 1,680 631 2010 2,330 1,713 617 2011 2,353 1,732 621 Source: Cayman Islands Government, Economics & Statistics Office Note: No Labour Force surveys were conducted by the Statistics Office in 1999 or 2000

64

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A6: The Employed by Industry

Year Agric., Fish, Manufacturing, Construction, Utilities 2,895 2,790 2,995 2,640 3,545 3,505 3,660 4,608 4,923 5,456 Wholesale, Retail, Hotel & Restaurant 4,160 4,310 4,715 5,555 5,375 5,580 6,175 6,644 6,932 7,286 Transport, Postal Insurance, Public Administration & Financial Education, Health & Social Communications & Services Business 1,385 2,375 2,105 1,345 3,610 1,980 1,205 2,920 2,425 1,785 3,570 2,270 1,125 3,840 2,220 1,475 4,025 2,660 1,450 4,230 2,475 1,347 5,373 3,908 1,640 5,399 4,364 1,446 6,099 4,188 Recreation, Others Total Community & Personal 2,300 1,960 2,570 3,025 3,265 3,480 3,830 3,982 4,087 4,427 4,821 4,923 4,664 4,869 4,945 5,572 10 819 370 33 100 71 15,220 15,995 16,830 18,845 19,370 20,725 21,820 25,862 27,355 28,946 35,016 36,026 37,499 33,920 34,984 35,267

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2001 2002 2004

2006 8,258 8,011 1,477 7,648 4,801 2007 7,695 7,310 2,058 7,734 5,487 2008 7,836 9,032 1,687 8,793 5,066 2009 6,892 7,870 1,710 7,493 5,050 2010 5,437 8,114 2,213 8,568 5,607 2011 5,175 7,962 2,456 8,552 5,478 Source: October Labour Force Surveys, Cayman Islands Government, Economics & Statistics Office Note: No Labour Force surveys were conducted by the Statistics Office in 1999, 2000 and 2005 2004 and 2006 Labour Force Surveys refer to the Spring Labour Force 2010 refers to the 2010 Census

65

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A7: Work Permits

Year Total 1995 10,198 1996 9,951 1997 11,314 1998 12,885 1999 2000 14,284 2001 13,883 2002 15,779 2003 17,123 2004 20,508 2005 21,763 2006 22,393 2007 26,350 2008 26,516 2009 23,531 2010 20,452 2011 19,852 Source: 1995-1999 data from Economics and Statistics Office; 2000-2009 data from Immigration Department.

66

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A8: Merchandise Trade, CI$ Millions
Year Imports Exports Trade Balance 1995 331.6 3.4 (328.2) 1996 314.9 2.2 (312.7) 1997 423.7 1.8 (421.9) 1998 447.8 1.0 (446.8) 1999 452.2 1.2 (451.0) 2000 575.7 2.0 (573.7) 2001 514.5 2.4 (512.1) 2002 496.1 3.0 (493.1) 2003 546.2 19.5 (526.7) 2004 718.9 11.9 (707.0) 2005 976.4 42.8 (933.6) 2006 868.7 13.9 (854.8) 2007 867.8 17.9 (849.9) 2008 898.7 12.4 (886.3) 2009 744.5 16.0 (728.5) 2010 690.4 11.1 (679.3) 2011 762.0 19.2 (742.8) Source of basic data: Cayman Islands Customs Department and Economics & Statistics Office

67

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A9: Imports by Standard International Trade Classification (CI$ Millions)

2006 Total Imports 868.7 2007 867.8 2008 898.7 2009 744.5 2010 690.4 2011 762.0

Food and Live Animals 81.7 91.8 95.1 90.8 113.2 118.4 Beverages and Tobacco 24.8 25.2 28.9 29.4 27.5 27.6 Inedible Crude Materials 12.0 9.5 12.6 9.3 8.9 9.2 Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and Related 71.6 126.9 185.3 112.8 128.0 183.4 Materials Animal and Vegetable Oils, Fats and Waxes 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 All Chemical & Rel. Prods N.E.C. 32.8 28.1 31.2 26.6 31.5 31.7 Manufactured Goods (classified chiefly by 129.3 118.1 96.1 85.8 78.5 77.1 material) Machinery & Transport Equipment 155.9 138.0 119.7 92.6 97.9 107.4 Misc. Manufactured Articles 274.6 273.3 268.9 226.2 134.5 134.0 Commodities and Transactions Not 86.0 56.9 60.9 70.9 70.2 73.1 Classified Elsewhere Source of basic data: Cayman Islands Customs Department and Economics & Statistics Office

68

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A10: Domestic Credit from Retail Banks, CI$ Millions

Dec-07 Total Credit to Businesses Production & Manufacturing Agriculture, Fishing and Mining Manufacturing Utilities Construction Services Accommodation, Food, Bar & Entertainment Services Transportation, Storage & Communications Education, Recreational & Other Professional Services Trade and Commerce Wholesale & Retail Sales Trade Real Estate Agents, Rental and Leasing Companies Other Business Activities (General Business Activity) Other Financial Corporations Credit to Households Domestic Property Motor Vehicles Education and Technology Miscellaneous* NonProfit Organizations 2,069.4 791.3 179.3 5.8 6.6 11.8 155.1 184.8 60.0 15.0 109.8 387.3 73.0 298.8 15.5 39.9 1,240.6 1,090.1 47.0 4.8 98.7 37.5 Dec-08 2,437.5 952.7 118.2 7.2 5.4 25.7 79.9 186.9 78.7 41.8 66.5 607.2 167.7 430.3 9.2 40.4 1,484.7 1,295.8 44.0 1.7 143.3 0.0 Dec-09 2,598.1 971.3 149.4 7.0 7.0 20.6 114.9 260.1 130.5 27.7 101.9 519.0 79.8 425.9 13.4 42.6 1,626.7 1,375.6 70.2 3.2 177.7 0.2 Dec-10 2,729.3 1,049.5 291.9 7.1 9.3 57.0 218.5 210.8 113.4 5.0 92.4 454.0 67.3 364.1 22.6 92.9 1,679.3 1,458.5 49.8 4.7 166.3 0.4 Dec-11 2,724.3 1,007.8 410.5 15.8 25.1 17.6 351.9 167.1 116.3 25.8 24.9 383.6 78.1 136.5 169.0 46.8 1,716.2 1,487.1 36.8 4.5 187.8 0.2

*Miscellaneous include consolidated debt, insurance, medical & travel

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

69

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A11: Financial Services Indicators

Bank & Insurance Captive Mutual New Stock Stock Trust Licences Insurance Funds Companies Market Listings Licences Premiums Registered Cap*. (US$B) (US$B) 2002 383 629 4.2 4,285 7,016 36.30 710 2003 349 672 4.9 4,808 7,254 43.94 735 2004 322 722 5.6 5,932 8,892 53.57 857 2005 305 759 6.7 7,106 10,210 75.56 1,015 2006 291 767 7.1 8,134 12,277 111.52 1,225 2007 281 793 7.5 9,413 14,232 168.33 1,748 2008 278 805 7.7 9,870 11,861 167.70 1,579 2009 266 808 7.5 9,523 7,863 162.92 1,312 2010 246 768 8.7 9,438 8,157 145.65 1,113 2011 234 766 11.8 9,258 9,064 143.84 1,156 Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority, Cayman Islands Stock Exchange, Cayman Islands General Registry * Cap = Capitalization Year

Table A12: Banks & Trust Licences Class A Banks Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Bank & Trust 22 21 19 16 16 14 13 12 12 12 Bank 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 Total Bank & Trust 26 25 22 19 19 19 18 17 17 15 Class B Banks Bank & Trust 142 130 118 113 112 106 96 95 87 83 Bank 214 192 178 169 160 156 164 154 142 136 Total Bank & Trust 356 322 296 282 272 262 260 249 229 219

Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority

Total 382 347 318 301 291 281 278 266 246 234

70

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A13: Insurance Licences

Class B (international) Insurers Captives Total Class Excluding CaptivesTotal Class Year A SPCs SPCs Only B 2002 27 539 61 600 2003 27 565 79 644 2004 27 604 89 693 2005 26 632 101 733 2006 27 623 117 740 2007 28 641 124 765 2008 28 652 125 777 2009 28 650 130 780 2010 30 619 119 738 2011 27 615 124 739 Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority Class A (Domestic) Insurers

Total Insurance Companies 627 671 720 759 767 793 805 808 768 766

Table A14: Mutual Funds Domiciled in the Cayman Islands

Year Administered Licensed Funds Funds 2002 641 51 2003 592 48 2004 616 67 2005 598 79 2006 548 105 2007 543 119 2008 510 129 2009 448 131 2010 435 133 2011 424 120 Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority Registered Funds 3,593 4,168 5,249 6,429 7,481 8,751 9,231 8,944 8,870 8,714 Total 4,285 4,808 5,932 7,106 8,134 9,413 9,870 9,523 9,438 9,258

71

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A15: New Companies Registered in the Cayman Islands

Year Exempt Non-Resident 2002 5,795 768 2003 5,941 692 2004 7,480 674 2005 8,694 595 2006 10,735 569 2007 12,691 533 2008 10,536 293 2009 6,764 220 2010 7,104 230 2011 7,980 156 Source: Companies Registrar Resident 310 439 530 650 588 531 510 487 432 485 Foreign 143 182 208 271 385 477 522 392 391 443 Total 7,016 7,254 8,892 10,210 12,277 14,232 11,861 7,863 8,157 9,064

72

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A16: Money and Banking Survey: Monetary Assets (CI$ Millions) Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Total Assets 5,414.7 5,568.2 5,949.6 5,307.4 4,752.9 Net Foreign Assets 3,836.3 3,579.1 3,981.1 3,056.5 2,446.7 Monetary Authority 106.6 101.6 100.4 89.4 94.6 Commercial Banks 3,729.7 3,477.5 3,880.7 2,967.1 2,352.1 Net Domestic Assets 1,578.4 1,989.1 1,968.5 2,250.9 2,306.2 Domestic credit 2,257.0 2,763.1 2,836.8 3,008.1 3,106.6 Claims on central government 118.2 271.7 172.1 219.0 293.7 Claims on other public sector 71.9 54.0 66.5 59.8 88.6 Claims on private sector 2,066.9 2,437.5 2,598.1 2,729.3 2,724.3 Other items net (678.6) (774.0) (868.3) (757.2) (800.4) Broad Liquidity 5,414.7 5,568.2 5,949.6 5,307.4 4,752.9 914.1 1,017.7 962.2 981.1 935.9 Broad money (KYD) M2 Currency in circulation 81.8 83.6 87.5 85.2 89.7 832.2 934.1 874.6 895.9 846.1 KYD Deposits Demand deposits 239.9 250.7 254.5 298.9 237.7 Time and savings deposits 592.3 683.3 620.1 597.0 608.4 4,500.6 4,550.5 4,987.5 4,326.2 3,817.0 FOREX deposits of which: US dollars 3,982.6 4,218.7 4,316.0 3,632.8 3,251.6 US dollars share (%) 88.5 92.7 86.5 84.0 85.2
Source: Cayman Islands Monetary Authority and Economics and Statistics Office

73

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A17: Visitor Arrivals (000) and Cruise Ship Calls
Year Stay-Over Cruise 1996 373.2 800.3 1997 381.2 866.6 1998 404.2 871.4 1999 394.7 1,035.5 2000 354.1 1,030.9 2001 334.1 1,214.8 2002 302.8 1,574.8 2003 293.5 1,819.0 2004 259.9 1,693.3 2005 167.8 1,799.0 2006 267.3 1,930.1 2007 291.5 1,715.7 2008 302.9 1,553.1 2009 272.0 1,520.4 2010 288.3 1,597.8 2011 309.1 1,401.5 Source: Cayman Islands Department of Tourism Total Arrivals 1,173.5 1,247.8 1,275.6 1,430.2 1,385.0 1,548.9 1,877.6 2,112.5 1,953.2 1,966.8 2,197.4 2,007.2 1,855.9 1,792.3 1,886.1 1,710.6 Cruise Ship Calls 525 572 518 638 612 711 732 825 732 784 802 657 570 547 570 523

Table A18: Occupancy Rates and Length of Stay

Year Apt/Condo Occupancy Rates (%) 1996 66.1 51.0 1997 66.9 48.2 1998 73.1 52.3 1999 71.8 46.9 2000 62.4 46.8 2001 55.3 43.1 2002 50.6 40.2 2003 51.2 37.7 2004 61.7 43.1 2005 55.8 46.0 2006 59.4 40.7 2007 61.7 42.5 2008 62.2 44.0 2009 59.0 43.9 2010 68.2 44.1 2011 n/a n/a Source: Cayman Islands Department of Tourism Hotel Occupancy Rates (%) Hotel Length of Stay (Days) 4.6 4.8 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.4 n/a Apt/Condo Length of Stay (Days) 7.3 7.0 7.0 5.8 7.0 7.3 7.3 7.4 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.4 6.9 6.8 n/a

74

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A19: Total Stay-Over Arrivals by Country of Origin (000)

Year USA Europe Canada 1995 266.2 37.3 14.1 1996 274.7 33.5 16.2 1997 278.7 32.7 18.2 1998 295.2 34.7 18.4 1999 280.3 34.5 18.9 2000 281.6 22.6 15.0 2001 270.1 20.4 13.6 2002 244.9 17.9 13.6 2003 232.4 18.2 14.1 2004 205.2 15.3 12.1 2005 118.8 12.7 10.5 2006 217.4 16.7 14.9 2007 231.9 20.4 17.4 2008 240.5 21.3 18.5 2009 215.0 19.1 17.3 2010 228.5 19.9 19.5 2011 242.9 21.1 24.6 Source: Cayman Islands Department of Tourism Others 43.8 48.8 51.6 55.9 61.0 34.3 34.9 26.2 28.8 27.3 25.8 18.3 21.9 22.6 20.6 20.5 20.4 Total Arrivals 361.4 373.2 381.2 404.2 394.7 354.1 334.1 302.8 293.5 259.9 167.8 267.3 291.5 302.9 272.0 288.3 309.1

75

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A20: Property Transfers: Number and Value (in CI$ Millions)
Year Freehold Leasehold Total Transfers Number Value Number Value Number Value 1995 1,729 191.2 127 3.6 1,856 194.8 1996 2,055 267.2 153 3.3 2,208 270.5 1997 2,151 281.8 125 6.1 2,279 287.9 1998 2,344 317.2 128 2.3 2,472 319.5 1999 2,293 222.5 201 7.4 2,494 229.9 2000 1,868 257.3 143 2.3 2,011 259.6 2001 1,846 172.8 181 0.8 2,027 173.6 2002 1,842 269.9 147 4.1 1,989 274.0 2003 2,357 324.3 205 1.7 2,562 326.0 2004 2,335 339.2 127 1.9 2,462 341.1 2005 2,640 450.8 245 1.4 2,885 452.2 20061 2,777 691.1 179 4.1 2,956 695.2 2007 2,190 544.7 360 23.3 2,512 551.0 2008 2,289 558.1 323 76.2 2,612 634.3 2009 2,045 397.0 242 19.5 2,287 416.5 2010 1,619 307.2 168 9.2 1,787 316.4 2011 1,708 632.1 178 25.8 1,886 657.9 Source: Cayman Islands Lands & Survey Department 1 Property transfers numbers and values were revised for 2006 only. Leasehold transfers include lease transfers and subleases.

76

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A21: Number of Project Approvals in Grand Cayman

Year Apts./ Houses Commercial Government Condos 2000 96 369 34 21 2001 79 309 45 7 2002 88 327 83 4 2003 129 385 67 12 2004 111 359 52 6 2005 132 532 95 15 2006 222 336 70 15 2007 112 437 56 10 2008 103 424 43 7 2009 109 426 46 3 2010 73 327 43 9 2011 52 332 36 14 Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department Hotel Industrial Other Total 1 3 5 1 4 1 1 16 11 17 34 17 26 30 14 11 12 5 9 511 442 424 504 427 394 574 493 580 526 505 496 1,048 896 948 1,131 973 1,198 1,248 1,123 1,168 1,122 962 939

Table A22: Value of Project Approvals in Grand Cayman (CI$ Million)

Year Apt/ Houses Commercial Government Condos 2000 90.6 63.3 21.2 21.0 2001 44.5 54.2 18.0 0.8 2002 82.0 60.6 48.9 0.8 2003 65.9 80.0 29.0 55.1 2004 153.7 67.5 133.2 3.9 2005 194.9 105.8 103.9 3.7 2006 294.3 74.8 119.8 7.5 2007 88.9 131.3 71.7 54.5 2008 141.5 110.3 125.4 18.5 2009 170.0 122.0 29.0 0.1 2010 35.9 93.9 92.5 3.6 2011 27.5 116.5 25.8 15.1 Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department Hotel Industrial Other Total 75.0 1.7 9.7 45.0 16.2 6.0 55.0 14.4 5.5 9.9 7.1 7.3 20.5 44.4 8.4 11.1 2.6 1.0 16.6 24.7 24.4 24.4 29.4 45.7 66.1 74.2 59.1 74.0 97.5 84.8 40.3 310.1 149.1 236.3 266.5 456.3 511.2 620.9 468.9 480.9 421.2 311.7 241.8

77

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A23: Number of Project Approvals in the Sister Islands

Year Houses Apt/Condo Hotel Government 2000 49 3 7 2001 41 7 5 2002 21 2 5 2003 29 3 4 2004 36 1 11 2005 43 4 5 2006 39 1 10 2007 35 6 9 2008 40 5 2 3 2009 34 2 3 2010 27 2 8 2011 35 2 Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department Commercial 6 9 2 14 13 9 5 5 5 2 5 2 Industrial 7 3 9 2 4 1 10 1 1 1 Other 53 46 74 60 75 73 67 49 53 62 71 62 Total 125 111 113 112 140 135 132 104 109 103 114 102

Table A24: Value of Project Approvals in the Sister Islands (CI$ Millions)
Year Houses Apt/Condo Hotel Government 2000 5.2 3.2 1.0 2001 2.8 2.1 2002 3.2 0.2 0.3 2003 4.1 0.8 0.1 2004 6.6 0.1 0.3 2005 5.9 1.3 0.2 2006 6.7 5.5 2.7 2007 6.5 23.9 2.1 2008 7.8 8.2 6.9 0.1 2009 5.8 0.7 2.0 2010 6.0 0.4 9.1 2011 7.4 0.1 Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department Commercial 0.5 1.1 0.3 1.4 1.9 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.3 0.1 Industrial 1.6 1.1 1.2 0.4 4.0 0.5 1.6 0.4 1.6 Other 1.0 0.8 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 3.5 3.9 3.3 1.8 0.8 Total 12.4 8.0 7.6 7.4 13.7 9.3 17.9 36.2 27.9 12.8 19.0 9.9

78

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A25: Building Permits in Grand Cayman

Category Number 2007 116.4 100.7 183.2 6.1 1.0 4.3 34.6 446.3 Value (CI$M) 2008 116.6 116.6 162.8 62.7 0.2 29.6 13.7 502.3 2009 92.7 146.4 49.5 28.8 2.6 35.0 355.0 2010 49.4 93.1 45.3 2.0 3.2 12.6 205.6 2011 37.4 87.9 39.5 6.9 0.5 10.9 183.1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Apartment/ 219 182 171 114 77 Condo Houses 496 503 532 390 348 Commercial 186 176 116 120 112 Government 16 36 16 12 15 Hotel 4 1 Industrial 10 14 7 7 1 Other 159 169 303 347 270 Total 1,090 1,081 1,145 990 823 Source: Cayman Islands Planning Department

79

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A26: Water Production and Consumption, Millions of US Gallons

Year Production1 Consumption 1995 592.9 637.6 1996 631.0 678.1 1997 730.7 779.8 1998 808.9 849.4 1999 874.3 908.8 2000 986.5 1,028.5 2001 1,097.4 1,069.2 2002 1,147.9 1,056.1 2003 1,197.9 1,173.7 2004 1,291.3 1,252.7 2005 1,371.6 1,301.7 2006 1,639.6 1,560.7 2007 1,720.8 1,657.7 2008 1,730.3 1,646.1 2009 1,959.1 1,741.8 2010 1,970.9 1,704.5 2011 1,977.6 1,697.8 Source: Cayman Islands Water Authority, Cayman Water Company
1

Excludes Non-Potable Water

80

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A27: Electricity (000 megawatt hours)

Year Production Domestic Consumption Industrial/ Public Commercial Lighting 147.5 3.3 153.8 3.1 168.7 3.3 181.3 3.3 191.5 3.3 203.1 3.4 213.9 3.5 221.0 4.2 228.5 4.5 191.5 4.1 222.4 5.0 258.0 5.3 279.4 5.4 290.3 5.7 290.7 6.0 284.9 6.2 289.0 6.2 Total 268.9 281.4 312.3 343.5 363.0 386.0 407.0 425.6 444.2 378.7 427.8 491.5 534.2 547.7 559.8 553.8 554.0

1995 297.4 118.1 1996 309.7 124.6 1997 347.8 140.3 1998 381.1 158.9 1999 390.4 168.2 2000 426.5 179.5 2001 449.3 189.7 2002 466.1 200.4 2003 489.7 211.2 2004 433.4 183.1 2005 463.2 200.3 2006 535.7 228.2 2007 584.4 249.4 2008 596.8 251.7 2009 608.8 263.1 2010 605.1 262.5 2011 606.5 258.8 Source: Caribbean Utilities Company

81

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A28: Summary of Central Government Operations (CI$ Millions)

Current Capital Total Expenditure Expenditure and Expenditure Net Lending 1995 163.5 143.7 23.7 166.1 1996 190.7 161.8 34.1 195.5 1997 214.4 187.2 46.5 233.5 1998 248.6 214.7 31.3 244.8 1999 275.7 245.2 37.6 280.9 2000 278.2 268.4 43.2 311.2 2001 285.4 290.6 26.1 316.6 2002 314.1 278 17.6 295.7 2003 326.2 283.7 21.2 305.2 2004 336.4 349.2 29.2 378.1 2005 428.6 381.8 47.5 430.3 2006 500.4 393.5 39.6 433.1 2007 513.0 446.1 105.9 552.0 2008 522.2 521.5* 150.6 672.1 2009 473.7 535.6 141.7 677.3 2010 515.4 519.3 84.6 604.0 2011 545.8 526.9 99.2 626.1 *Annual depreciation is included in current expenditure starting 2008 Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department Year Total Revenue Current Balance 19.7 27.8 26.6 33.9 30.5 9.3 (6.2) 36.1 42.5 (13.2) 87.5 106.9 66.9 0.7 (61.9) (3.9) 18.8 Overall Balance (2.6) (4.7) (19.1) 3.8 (5.3) (33.0) (31.2) 18.4 21.0 (41.7) (1.7) 67.3 (39.0) (149.9) (203.6) (88.5) (80.3)

Note: Interdepartmental purchases and services and vehicle and equipment maintenance fees were netted in current expenditure from 1992 to 1999.

82

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A29: Central Government Debt and Self- Financing Debt, (CI$M) a/
Year Disbursed Drawings Exchange Gain/ Amortisation Interest Outstanding Debt (Loss) Payments 1995 51.6 1.8 11.2 4.1 1996 67.6 22.4 6.6 3.4 1997 82.9 25.5 8.7 4.5 1998 93.8 21.5 10.9 5.9 1999 98.3 18.2 13.1 5.6 2000 107.8 23.8 14.3 7.0 2001 143.5 49.7 14.0 6.8 2002 132.1 10.9 (0.3) 21.3 3.8 2003 143.9 136.9 124.5 5.1 2004 157.6 23.3 9.5 7.3 2005 180.9 39.0 11.4 9.5 2006 179.7 10.0 14.5 8.9 2007 210.5 52.3 (0.2) 16.4 9.6 2008 354.9 166.2 (0.5) 20.7 11.7 2009 513.5 184.3 25.9 19.4 2010 592.7 106.7 (0.2) 25.9 27.9 2011 613.4 154.2 0.3 133.9 32.9 Source: Cayman Islands Treasury Department a/ Self-financing debt refers to the loans raised by the central government on behalf of agencies which are required to reimburse the servicing of these loans.

83

ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT 2011

Table A30: Fiscal Operations (CI$ Millions)

2008
Total Revenue Coercive Revenue Taxes on International Trade & Transactions Domestic Taxes on Goods & Services Taxes on Property Fines Other Taxes Non-coercive Revenue Sale of Goods & Services Investment Revenue Other Operating Revenue Total Expenditure Current Expenditure Personnel Costs Supplies & Consumables Subsidies Transfer Payments Depreciation Interest Payments Extraordinary Expenses Other Executive Expenses Capital Expenditure & Net Lending Capital Acquisition ( now Equity Injections) Capital Development ( now Executive Assets) Net Lending Primary Balance Current Balance Overall Balance Financing Net Borrowing Disbursements Loan Repayment Change in Cash (minus = increase) CI$ 522.2 457.9 176.9 238.0 41.1 1.9 0.0 64.3 59.7 4.2 0.4 672.1 521.5 245.2 97.8 105.5 28.4 18.8 11.7 1.7 12.3 150.6 40.7 109.9 0.0 (138.2) 0.7 (149.9) 149.9 145.4 166.2 (20.7) 4.5

2009
CI$ 473.7 430.9 152.0 248.2 23.9 2.4 4.5 42.8 41.8 0.3 0.7 677.3 535.6 236.6 84.5 122.5 27.2 21.6 19.4 20.1 3.7 141.7 105.4 35.2 1.1 (184.2) (61.9) (203.6) 203.6 158.4 184.3 (25.9) 45.3

2010
CI$ 515.4 458.5 158.5 277.1 21.3 1.6 0.0 56.9 56.2 0.1 0.6 603.9 519.3 224.8 87.1 125.2 29.7 20.0 27.9 2.1 2.5 84.6 42.9 37.5 4.2 (60.6) (3.9) (88.5) 88.5 80.7 106.7 (25.9) 7.8

2011
CI$ 545.8 489.3 162.2 289.5 36.4 1.2 0.0 56.5 55.8 0.6 0.1 626.1 526.9 216.3 94.0 131.6 31.0 18.1 32.9 0.0 3.0 99.2 82.2 16.0 1.0 (47.4) 18.9 (80.3) 80.3 21.0 153.6 (132.6) 59.3

Source: ESO and Treasury Department

84