WNE-The Republican-MassLive - com-CBS 3 Springfield Senate Poll Tables, June 22, 2013
WNE-The Republican-MassLive - com-CBS 3 Springfield Senate Poll Tables, June 22, 2013
com, The Republican Newspaper and television station WSHM, CBS 3, Springfield (June 16 20, 2013) TABLES Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Job Approval Barack Obama Approve June 16 20, 2013 Party ID** Likely voters Democrat Republican Independent Gender Age Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older Education High school or less Some college College graduate Western MA Central MA North / South Shore Boston and suburbs June 16 20, 2013 Oct. 26 Nov. 1, 2012 Sept. 28 Oct. 4, 2012 Adults Registered voters Adults Registered voters Likely voters Adults Registered voters Likely voters 54% 85% 6% 44% 45% 62% 63% 52% 53% 55% 58% 51% 54% 60% 45% 53% 55% 54% 54% 59% 58% 58% 61% 60% 60% Disapprove 40% 13% 89% 48% 50% 32% 32% 43% 45% 40% 38% 47% 39% 32% 54% 45% 36% 38% 40% 35% 36% 38% 33% 35% 37% Dont know/ Refused 6% 2% 5% 9% 5% 6% 5% 5% 2% 5% 4% 2% 7% 8% 2% 1% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 6% 5% 3% N* 566 203 71 284 257 309 37 90 181 219 140 137 283 80 66 154 266 717 653 685 644 535 567 516 440
Region
* Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of likely voters. Row percentages may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding. ** Party identification was measured with the following question: In politics today, do you consider yourself a Democrat, Republican, Independent or something else? 1
Next, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following people. If you haven't heard of them or don't have an opinion of them, just tell me and we'll move on. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of (name). (Names of the Senate candidates were rotated in random order in the survey.)
Favorable Unfavorable Ratings for Gabriel Gomez Favorable June 16-20, 2013 Party Identification Likely voters Democrat Republican Independent Gender Male Female 35% 15% 55% 45% 41% 29% 30% 19% 18% Unfavorable 30% 51% 7% 20% 23% 36% 30% 9% 9% Havent heard of 7% 4% 14% 7% 7% 7% 12% 38% 39% No opinion 26% 26% 22% 26% 26% 25% 25% 28% 28% Refused 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 6% 7% N* 566 203 71 284 257 309 653 480 528
June 16-20, 2013 Registered voters April 11-18, 2013 Likely voters Registered voters
Favorable Unfavorable Ratings for Ed Markey Favorable June 16-20, 2013 Party Identification Likely voters Democrat Republican Independent Gender Male Female 42% 70% 6% 30% 36% 48% 39% 39% 37% Unfavorable 32% 10% 54% 42% 38% 26% 29% 24% 24% Havent heard of 6% 3% 16% 4% 5% 6% 9% 14% 16% No opinion 20% 16% 21% 23% 21% 19% 21% 18% 19% Refused 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 4% N* 566 203 71 284 257 309 653 480 528
June 16-20, 2013 Registered voters April 11-18, 2013 Likely voters Registered voters
* Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of likely voters. Row percentages may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.
As you may know, Massachusetts voters will vote for a United States Senator on June 25th. How much interest do you have in this election - a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
Amount of Interest in June 25, 2013 Special Senate Election Dont know/ Refused 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
A lot June 16-20, 2013 Party Identification Registered voters Democrat Republican Gender Independent Male Female 42% 44% 42% 41% 38% 44%
Amount of Interest in Nov. 6, 2012 Presidential and Senate Election** Dont know/ Refused 0%
Some 10%
A little 3%
None at all 4%
N 644
Some 26%
A little 11%
None at all 4%
N 456
* Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of registered voters. Row percentages may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding. ** The wording for the question in the Oct. 26 Nov. 1, 2012 survey was: As you may know, Massachusetts voters will vote for president and a United States Senator in November. How much interest do you have in this election - a lot, some, a little, or none at all? *** The wording for the question in the Oct. 24 28, 2010 survey was: As you may know, there will be an election for governor of Massachusetts in November. How much interest do you have in this election - a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Gabriel Gomez, the Republican, and Ed Markey, the Democrat, would you vote for Gabriel Gomez, Ed Markey, or some other candidate for Senate? (If no preference is stated): At this moment do you lean more toward Gabriel Gomez, the Republican, or more toward Ed Markey, the Democrat? (Names were rotated in random order in the initial and follow-up questions. Initial preferences and preferences of leaning voters in the follow-up question were combined in the table below. Seven respondents said they had already cast an absentee ballot in the race. Six respondents stated for whom they voted and one declined to reveal that information. Their responses are included in the percentages below and in the table that presents initial preferences without leaners.) Voter Preferences for the U.S. Senate Seat Markey June 16 20, 2013 Party Identification Likely voters Democrat Republican Independent Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older High school or less Some college College graduate Western MA Central MA North / South Shore Boston and suburbs Registered voters Likely voters 49% 80% 7% 36% 39% 57% 59% 40% 51% 53% 52% 44% 49% 51% 48% 49% 48% 49% 51% Gomez 41% 12% 86% 51% 51% 33% 32% 51% 38% 40% 35% 46% 42% 41% 48% 42% 39% 37% 36% Dont know / Undecided 9% 8% 7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 7% 11% 6% 13% 9% 7% 5% 4% 9% 13% 13% 12% Refused 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% N* 566 203 71 284 257 309 37 90 181 219 140 137 283 80 66 154 266 653 480
Gender Age
Education
Region
* Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of likely voters. Row percentages may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.
Initial Voter Preferences for the U.S. Senate Seat (Without Leaners) Likely and Registered Voters Markey June 16 20, 2013 Party Identification Gender Age Likely voters Democrat Republican Independent Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65 and older Education High school or less Some college College graduate Western MA Central MA North / South Shore Boston and suburbs Registered voters Likely voters 44% 76% 3% 30% 34% 52% 50% 37% 48% 48% 40% 42% 47% 44% 36% 48% 44% 43% 45% Gomez 36% 10% 77% 44% 45% 28% 26% 42% 36% 36% 31% 38% 37% 32% 44% 37% 33% 32% 30% Some other candidate 4% 2% 3% 5% 6% 2% 5% 1% 5% 5% 5% 2% 4% 3% 6% 4% 3% 5% 6% Wouldnt vote 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 6% 0% 2% 1% 2% 2% Dont know / Undecided 14% 11% 13% 18% 14% 15% 14% 17% 10% 10% 21% 15% 11% 16% 15% 8% 18% 17% 16% Refused 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% N* 566 203 71 284 257 309 37 90 181 219 140 137 283 80 66 154 266 653 480
Region
* Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of likely voters. Row percentages may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.
Are you very sure about your choice for the Senate, or might you change your mind before Election Day? Asked of the 503 likely voters who expressed a preference in response to the initial Senate matchup question or the follow-up measure of preferences among leaning voters. The seven respondents who said they had already voted by absentee ballot did not receive this question.
Very Sure About Choice or Might Change Mind Gomez vs. Markey, June 2013 compared to Brown v. Warren, November 2012 Very Sure June 16 20, 2013 Candidate choice Likely voters Markey supporters and leaners Gomez supporters and leaners Democrat Republican Independent Gender Oct. 26 Nov. 1, 2012 Candidate choice Male Female Likely voters Warren supporters and leaners Brown supporters and leaners Democrat Republican Independent Gender Male Female 76% 80% 72% 81% 78% 71% 76% 76% 90% 90% 90% 90% 96% 89% 90% 90% Might Change Mind 23% 18% 28% 17% 22% 29% 24% 22% 9% 8% 10% 8% 4% 11% 10% 9% Dont know/ Refused 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 2% N* 503 270 233 188 65 244 230 273 514 266 248 198 69 229 252 262
Party Identification
Party Identification
* Subsamples are unweighted Ns, and consist of likely voters. Row percentages may not sum to100 percent due to rounding.
What is the most important issue to you personally in determining whom to vote for for the Senate? Respondents answered in their own words, and interviewers coded the open-ended responses using the following list.
Most Important Issue in Senate Race 2013 Special Senate Election June 16 -20, 2013 Likely voters The economy, unemployment, jobs, stock market Morals, ethics, personal integrity of the candidate No issue. The party of the candidate No issue. Party control of the Senate Education Health care Taxes and tax reform Social Security / retirement Defense, war on terrorism, national security, homeland security Budget deficit / cutting size of government Abortion Banking reform, Wall Street reform New ideas in Washington / term limits Environment Gun control Womens rights Immigration reform Standing up for the working class / middle class Ability to work in a bipartisan way Candidates background, experience, record Other Dont know / Refused N 22% 10% 7% 4% 3% 5% 5% 4% 2% 5% 4% 0% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 4% 11% 566 April 11 18, 2013 Likely voters 31% 5% 4% 1% 6% 6% 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 1% 0% 2% 7% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 10% 8% 480