Market Outlook: Dealer's Diary
Market Outlook: Dealer's Diary
September 2, 2013
Dealers Diary
Indian markets are expected to open flat to positive tracking a flat opening in SGX
Nifty whereas most of the other Asian markets are trading in the positive territory.
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
BSE Sensex
1.2
US markets showed some volatility over the course of the trading day on Friday but
maintained a negative bias throughout the session. The weakness on Wall Street
came as traders expressed uncertainty about the situation in Syria and the
possibility of a U.S. attack over the three-day weekend. Moreover, traders digested
mixed reports from Commerce Department that the personal income edged up by
0.1% in July (expected increase of 0.2%) following a 0.3% increase in June and
MNI Indicators about Chicago business barometer edging up to 53.0 in August
from 52.3 in July.
Nifty
1.2
63
5,472
(0.0)
(0)
5,300
Indian markets witnessed a volatile session before ending the day in green
owing to downtrend in oil and gold prices for a second day and gains elsewhere
across Asia underpinning sentiment. Buying picked up late in the afternoon after
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said the sharp fall in the value of the Indian rupee
has been especially because of large current account deficit and some other
domestic factors.
Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 18,524/ 5,442 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 18,775 18,930 / 5,523 5,575 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
18,524/ 5,442 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
18,369 18,117 / 5,390 5,309 levels.
Indices
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
18,117
18,369
18,524
18,775
18,930
NIFTY
5,309
5,390
5,442
5,523
5,575
Purch
Sales
Net
MTD
YTD
FII
4,988
4,909
79
(6,100)
59,298
882
1,026
(145)
1,025
(13,321)
MFs
Purch
Sales
Net
Open Interest
Index Futures
3,239
3,394
(155)
9,996
Stock Futures
4,009
3,552
457
25,169
Price (`)
chg (%)
Company
624
11.1
Gainers / Losers
Gainers
Company
SMALL CAP
0.2
11
5,191
BSE HC
1.6
141
8,966
BSE PSU
0.6
30
4,990
BANKEX
1.6
161 10,304
AUTO
0.0
1 10,202
METAL
(2.1)
(163)
7,785
0.7
55
8,149
1.5
122
8,028
(Pts)
(Close)
Global Indices
Piramal Ent
Losers
Financial Tech
Price (`)
chg (%)
114
(19.3)
253
7.8
Jindal Steel
222
(8.9)
Bank of India
142
7.0
Adani Enter
142
(6.0)
Madras Cements
153
6.3
Muthoot Fin
114
(5.5)
1,840
5.6
Federal Bank
257
(5.0)
Bajaj Auto
www.angelbroking.com
Chg (%)
Dow Jones
(0.2)
(31) 14,810
NASDAQ
(0.8)
(30)
3,590
FTSE
(1.1)
(70)
6,413
Nikkei
(0.5)
(71)
13,389
Hang Sang
0.1
27
21,731
(0.3)
(9)
3,029
0.1
2,098
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
0.3
0.2
$46.4
WIT
(0.6)
(0.0)
$9.0
IBN
(0.6)
(0.2)
$26.0
3.9
1.1
$29.0
Straits Times
Shanghai Com
Indian ADR
INFY
HDB
News Analysis
MID CAP
219 18,620
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
Advances
1,137
672
Declines
1,085
621
186
97
Unchanged
Volumes (` cr)
BSE
2,953
NSE
16,681
Market Outlook
September 2, 2013
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 2, 2013
Mahindra & Mahindra's (MM) automotive segment registered lower-thanexpected sales during August 2013 on account of the continued weakness in
the passenger vehicle (PV) segment. The PV sales witnessed a steep decline of
27.5% yoy (1.9% mom) due to the subdued demand environment and rising
competition amidst increase in excise duty which has impacted the company's
products the most. The four-wheeler pick-up and the three-wheeler sales too
witnessed a decline of 3.8% and 14.2% yoy respectively. Automotive exports
also declined by 9% yoy during the month. MM had announced production
cuts at its automotive plants in August to keep inventory under check.
Tata Motors
Tata Motors (TTMT) continued its poor sales performance as the domestic
commercial (CV) and passenger vehicle (PV) volumes maintained the
downward trajectory following weak consumer demand and slowdown in
industrial activity. Total volumes posted a sharp decline of 30.9% yoy (3.6%
mom) to 49,611 units with CV and PV segments registering a sharp decline of
26.6% and 48.2% yoy respectively. Within the CV space, domestic medium
and heavy and light commercial vehicle segments witnessed a decline of
43.8% and 18.2% yoy respectively. While in the PV segment, utility vehicle and
passenger cars witnessed a decline of 38.9% and 50.6% yoy respectively.
Exports however, posted a growth of 11.9% yoy (14.4% mom) during the
month.
TVS Motor
TVS Motor (TVSL) reported in-line performance with total sales posting a 1.2%
mom (flat yoy) growth to 155,532 units. The performance was led by the strong
growth in the motorcycle and three wheeler segments. which recorded a growth of
5.9% mom (14.2% yoy) and 0.8% mom (80.8% yoy) respectively. The scooter and
the moped segments however, continued its subdued performance led by the weak
demand and increasing competition. While scooter sales declined by 1.1% mom
(4.5% yoy); moped sales witnessed a 2.3% mom (13.9% yoy) decline during the
month. The exports performance on the other hand remained strong registering a
growth of 4.9% mom (52.9% yoy) driven by the strong performance of the twowheeler and the three-wheeler sales.
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 2, 2013
NovaBiotics and Taro will jointly manage the study and other development
activities for Novexatin, with Taro as lead partner in the programme.NovaBiotics
and Taro will jointly manage the study and other development activities for the
drug with Taro being the lead partner of the program. The drug is currently in
Phase 2 (a) and will soon enter phase 2 (b).This is a very lucrative deal for both the
companies as the drug will be able to cure infections in just 28 days whereas other
drugs needed atleast 3 to 4 months and a course of one year to cure the fungal
infection completely. According to GlobalData, the onychomycosis market in 2012
had generic antifungal sales of USD$548.44 million and is expected to grow by
19.5% annually over the next decade and reach total revenue sales (US) of over
USD$3.26 billion by 2022.We remain Neutral on the stock.
Corporate News
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Global economic events release calendar
Date
Time
Unit
Period
Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
September 2, 2013
1:25PM
Value
Aug F
52.00
52.00
2:00PM
UK
Value
Aug
54.60
55.00
1:25PM
Value
Aug F
52.40
52.40
2:30PM
% Change
2Q P
0.30
0.30
6:00PM
US
Thousands
Aug 31
331.00
330.00
4:30PM
UK
% Ratio
Sep 5
0.50
0.50
5:15PM
Sep 5
0.50
0.50
2:00PM
UK
% Change
Jul
1.20
(1.70)
6:00PM
US
Thousands
Aug
162.00
180.00
6:00PM
US
Unnemployment rate
Aug
7.40
7.40
4:29PM
China
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
5.10
2.50
September 9, 2013
7:00AM
China
% Change
Aug
2.70
2.70
11:00AM
China
% Change
Aug
9.70
9.80
4:29PM
India
Imports YoY%
% Change
Aug
(6.20)
--
4:29PM
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
11.64
--
2:00PM
UK
% Change
Aug
(29.20)
--
5:30PM
India
% Change
Jul
(2.20)
--
6:00PM
US
% Change
Aug
--
0.10
12:00PM
India
% Change
Aug
5.79
--
2:30PM
Aug F
1.30
--
6:45PM
US
Industrial Production
Aug
0.04
--
2:00PM
UK
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Aug
2.80
--
6:00PM
US
% Change
Aug
0.20
--
11:00AM
India
Sep 18
7.25
--
11:00AM
India
Sep 18
4.00
--
11:00AM
India
Sep 18
6.25
--
6:00PM
US
Housing Starts
Thousands
Aug
896.00
--
6:00PM
US
Building permits
Thousands
Aug
954.00
--
11:30PM
US
Sep 18
0.25
--
September 4, 2013
September 5, 2013
September 6, 2013
September 8, 2013
PMI Manufacturing
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
(%)
(%)
10.0
11.4
9.9
9.2
6.0
2.0
(1.0) (0.6)
Mfg. PMI
60.0
8.1
7.3
Apr-13
Mar-13
(2.2)
(%)
7.2
May-13
(2.8)
Jun-13
(0.7)
(4.0)
Jul-12
1QFY14
4QFY13
3QFY13
2QFY13
1QFY13
4QFY12
3QFY12
2QFY12
1QFY12
4QFY11
3QFY11
2QFY11
1QFY11
(0.1)
7.3
1.9
0.6
Jan-13
(2.0)
4QFY10
2.5
2.0
Dec-12
9.0
8.0
3.5
4.0
6.0
Nov-12
6.5
Feb-13
7.5
Oct-12
7.7
Sep-12
8.6
8.4
8.0
Aug-12
9.5
3QFY10
12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
7.3
58.0
7.3
7.0
5.8
5.7
6.0
5.0
Services PMI
4.8
4.9
4.6
56.0
54.0
52.0
4.0
3.0
50.0
2.0
48.0
Jul-13
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
(%)
15.0
12.0
9.0
6.0
3.0
0.0
(3.0)
(6.0)
(9.0)
(12.0)
(15.0)
46.0
May-12
Jul-13
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
1.0
0.0
Repo rate
(%)
9.00
CRR
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
Aug-13
Jul-13
Jun-13
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-13
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
3.00
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
Sales ( cr )
FY14E
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Neutral
144
2,799
1,674
1,923
13.7
13.7
6.8
7.6
21.2
18.9
4.0
3.5
20.0
19.6
1.8
1.6
United Phosphorus
Buy
133
225
5,904
10,091
11,302
16.5
16.5
19.2
22.5
7.0
5.9
1.1
1.0
17.0
17.2
0.8
0.6
Buy
256
305
4,380
3,474
3,952
15.5
15.5
19.0
21.0
13.5
12.2
3.3
2.7
27.2
24.2
1.3
1.1
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
63
3,173
13,409
15,106
11.8
11.6
13.1
15.4
4.8
4.1
0.8
0.7
17.9
17.8
0.4
0.3
Ashok Leyland
Buy
12
18
3,193
12,945
15,049
6.3
8.2
0.2
1.5
69.0
8.0
1.1
1.0
1.1
9.1
0.4
0.3
Automotive Axle#
Neutral
202
305
700
890
8.7
10.7
11.1
25.8
18.2
7.8
1.1
1.1
6.2
13.9
0.5
0.4
Bajaj Auto
Accumulate
1,840
2,115
53,229
22,042
25,399
19.3
19.3
121.1
141.0
15.2
13.1
5.4
4.3
39.4
36.6
2.0
1.7
Bharat Forge
Accumulate
241
256
5,609
5,942
6,417
15.2
15.5
15.6
19.7
15.4
12.3
2.3
2.0
15.4
17.3
1.1
1.0
Bosch India*
Accumulate
8,218
9,096
25,802
9,301
10,895
16.8
18.0
339.9
423.1
24.2
19.4
4.0
3.4
16.6
17.6
2.4
2.0
CEAT
Buy
104
170
375
5,159
5,628
9.3
9.0
43.5
48.6
2.4
2.1
0.4
0.4
18.4
17.5
0.2
0.2
Exide Industries
Buy
125
148
10,663
6,899
7,873
14.7
14.7
7.9
9.0
15.8
13.9
2.7
2.3
18.3
18.0
1.2
1.0
FAG Bearings*
Neutral
1,201
1,996
1,336
1,572
13.8
16.0
75.6
102.4
15.9
11.7
2.0
1.7
13.4
15.8
1.3
1.0
Hero Motocorp
Neutral
2,030
40,539
25,562
28,297
14.5
14.4
111.2
146.3
18.3
13.9
6.7
5.2
40.1
42.1
1.4
1.2
JK Tyre
Buy
84
152
345
7,376
8,262
10.0
9.8
56.0
60.9
1.5
1.4
0.3
0.3
22.7
20.2
0.4
0.4
781
1,011
48,101
42,318
48,067
12.0
12.2
58.5
67.1
13.4
11.6
2.7
2.3
21.6
21.1
0.9
0.7
Maruti
Buy
1,244
1,571
37,580
45,877
52,733
11.2
11.2
93.0
104.7
13.4
11.9
1.8
1.6
14.2
14.0
0.7
0.5
Motherson Sumi
Buy
195
242
11,449
28,442
31,914
8.4
8.7
13.0
16.1
15.0
12.1
4.0
3.1
29.4
28.6
0.5
0.5
Subros
Buy
20
23
117
1,230
1,398
10.5
10.5
2.3
3.8
8.4
5.1
0.4
0.4
4.8
7.6
0.3
0.3
Tata Motors
Buy
299
355
13.5
13.7
35.1
39.4
8.5
7.6
2.0
1.6
26.2
23.3
0.4
0.4
TVS Motor
Buy
31
36
1,449
7,659
8,528
6.0
6.2
4.9
5.9
6.3
5.1
1.1
0.9
17.8
19.0
0.1
0.1
Capital Goods
ABB*
Neutral
450
9,534
8,037
9,087
5.8
6.9
12.2
17.0
36.9
26.5
3.5
3.4
9.8
13.1
1.2
1.0
BGR Energy
Neutral
100
719
3,541
4,041
11.8
10.7
21.1
22.9
4.7
4.4
0.6
0.5
21.8
19.5
0.5
0.4
BHEL
Neutral
119
29,065
42,227
38,453
16.0
14.4
18.8
15.0
6.3
7.9
1.3
1.2
21.7
15.4
0.5
0.6
Blue Star
Buy
135
208
1,210
2,941
3,099
3.4
4.2
6.0
9.3
22.5
14.5
2.8
2.4
12.9
18.0
0.5
0.5
Crompton Greaves
Buy
81
103
5,196
13,418
14,654
5.8
6.7
5.8
7.8
14.0
10.4
1.4
1.2
10.1
12.5
0.5
0.5
Jyoti Structures
Neutral
18
148
3,312
3,555
9.0
9.0
4.5
6.5
4.0
2.8
0.2
0.2
5.6
7.7
0.3
0.3
KEC International
Buy
24
36
618
7,709
8,399
6.2
6.9
5.1
8.1
4.7
3.0
0.5
0.4
16.6
21.5
0.3
0.2
Thermax
Neutral
540
6,434
5,832
6,397
9.1
9.6
28.8
32.9
18.8
16.4
3.0
2.7
17.2
17.3
1.1
1.0
Buy
962
1,225
18,057
11,581
13,009
17.6
19.3
63.9
81.5
15.1
11.8
2.3
2.1
15.6
18.2
1.3
1.1
Cement
ACC
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
Sales ( cr )
FY15E
FY14E
OPM(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EPS ( )
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
FY15E
FY14E
P/BV(x)
FY15E
FY14E
RoE(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
Cement
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
171
26,383
9,975
11,409
22.4
23.1
9.4
11.1
18.3
15.3
2.8
2.5
15.7
17.2
2.1
1.8
India Cements
Neutral
46
1,419
4,796
5,357
16.4
16.1
7.3
9.5
6.3
4.9
0.4
0.4
6.4
8.0
0.7
0.6
J K Lakshmi Cement
Buy
57
79
670
2,235
2,684
19.4
21.4
15.0
18.4
3.8
3.1
0.5
0.4
13.2
14.3
0.4
0.9
Madras Cements
Neutral
153
3,633
4,010
4,524
23.5
23.4
14.9
18.3
10.3
8.4
1.4
1.2
14.0
15.2
1.5
1.3
Shree Cement^
Neutral
3,583
12,484
6,316
7,162
26.5
25.7
294.6
340.5
12.2
10.5
2.6
2.2
24.0
22.7
1.5
1.2
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
1,472
40,352
22,021
25,274
22.0
21.6
99.5
113.3
14.8
13.0
2.3
2.0
16.7
16.6
1.8
1.7
45
60
711
1,912
2,131
21.0
21.5
5.0
5.5
9.0
8.2
0.6
0.6
8.8
7.6
1.7
1.7
110
1,715
1,824
2.4
6.2
(2.9)
(0.4)
(2.0)
(16.5)
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.5
Construction
Ashoka Buildcon
Buy
Consolidated Co
Neutral
IRB Infra
Buy
62
106
2,071
3,805
4,248
45.1
45.3
15.0
15.8
4.2
4.0
0.6
0.5
14.5
13.9
2.8
3.0
ITNL
Buy
114
156
2,220
7,423
7,970
27.5
28.7
30.3
32.0
3.8
3.6
0.5
0.5
15.0
14.0
2.4
2.5
IVRCL Infra
Neutral
10
319
5,673
5,892
7.8
7.6
(1.7)
(2.0)
(6.3)
(5.3)
0.2
0.2
0.6
0.6
Jaiprakash Asso.
Buy
33
41
7,345
12,946
14,897
24.7
25.6
1.2
2.7
27.0
12.4
0.6
0.5
2.0
4.3
2.4
2.2
Buy
722
1,002
66,827
68,946
78,040
10.0
10.0
49.0
55.2
14.8
13.1
2.1
1.9
14.9
15.3
1.1
1.0
Nagarjuna Const.
Buy
17
30
448
6,167
6,945
8.0
8.2
2.7
3.6
6.5
4.8
0.2
0.2
2.7
3.6
0.4
0.4
Punj Lloyd
Neutral
21
692
12,726
14,226
8.2
8.2
0.9
1.0
24.3
20.4
0.2
0.2
1.0
1.2
0.6
0.6
Sadbhav Engg.
Buy
55
99
833
2,462
2,731
10.6
10.6
5.3
6.0
10.5
9.2
0.9
0.9
9.2
9.6
0.6
0.6
Simplex Infra
Buy
40
56
198
6,237
6,908
9.1
9.0
9.9
13.9
4.1
2.9
0.2
0.1
3.7
5.0
0.5
0.4
Unity Infra
Neutral
18
134
2,146
2,339
12.9
13.0
9.3
9.6
2.0
1.9
0.2
0.1
8.0
7.7
0.6
0.7
Allahabad Bank
Neutral
66
3,303
6,843
7,528
2.5
2.5
26.0
30.1
2.5
2.2
0.4
0.3
11.8
12.4
Andhra Bank
Neutral
50
2,787
4,868
5,390
2.4
2.5
12.3
16.6
4.1
3.0
0.4
0.4
7.9
10.0
Axis Bank
Buy
836
1,023
39,202
19,280
22,886
3.3
3.3
130.7
157.1
6.4
5.3
1.0
0.9
17.3
18.1
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
463
19,500
15,896
17,947
2.2
2.3
95.4
124.4
4.9
3.7
0.6
0.5
12.0
14.2
Bank of India
Neutral
142
8,477
14,482
16,069
2.3
2.2
55.0
62.2
2.6
2.3
0.4
0.3
13.7
13.9
Bank of Maharashtra
Neutral
38
2,487
4,529
4,780
3.0
2.8
12.3
11.8
3.1
3.2
0.5
0.4
16.5
14.1
Canara Bank
Neutral
202
8,969
11,454
12,378
2.0
2.0
52.4
60.5
3.9
3.3
0.4
0.4
9.8
10.4
Central Bank
Neutral
51
5,327
8,196
9,202
2.4
2.4
6.1
15.9
8.4
3.2
0.6
0.5
5.2
12.8
Corporation Bank
Neutral
250
3,824
5,641
6,083
2.0
2.0
82.7
98.1
3.0
2.6
0.4
0.4
12.6
13.5
Dena Bank
Neutral
44
1,532
3,307
3,531
2.2
2.4
17.5
21.6
2.5
2.0
0.3
0.3
11.9
13.2
Federal Bank
Neutral
257
4,398
2,798
3,250
3.0
3.0
38.1
51.9
6.8
5.0
0.6
0.6
9.8
12.3
Financials
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
FY14E
FY15E
Financials
HDFC
Neutral
718
111,618
8,679
10,350
3.6
3.6
37.5
44.7
19.1
16.1
4.0
3.6
30.1
30.7
HDFC Bank
Buy
594
692
141,880
27,392
33,264
4.6
4.6
36.3
45.1
16.4
13.2
3.3
2.8
21.9
22.8
ICICI Bank
Buy
804
951
92,843
25,727
29,969
3.2
3.2
83.2
96.7
9.7
8.3
1.3
1.2
14.9
15.4
IDBI Bank
Neutral
55
7,317
9,518
10,468
2.0
2.0
15.5
22.1
3.5
2.5
0.4
0.3
10.2
13.3
Indian Bank
Neutral
63
2,723
5,940
6,396
2.7
2.7
24.9
32.9
2.5
1.9
0.3
0.2
10.3
12.4
IOB
Neutral
40
3,655
7,692
8,627
2.2
2.3
8.1
15.2
4.9
2.6
0.3
0.3
5.9
10.5
J & K Bank
Neutral
1,111
5,387
3,038
3,370
3.7
3.9
214.2
202.6
5.2
5.5
1.0
0.8
19.8
16.3
Neutral
166
8,370
2,001
2,495
2.2
2.3
23.8
28.8
7.0
5.8
1.2
1.0
17.3
18.2
Oriental Bank
Neutral
127
3,708
6,918
7,459
2.6
2.5
46.7
52.5
2.7
2.4
0.3
0.3
10.8
11.1
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
430
15,201
20,766
23,515
3.4
3.4
135.0
164.8
3.2
2.6
0.5
0.4
14.4
15.7
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
20
2,628
1,800
2,023
2.7
2.7
3.7
4.2
5.3
4.7
0.8
0.7
16.2
16.2
St Bk of India
Neutral
1,514
103,590
65,392
74,467
3.0
3.0
178.5
226.1
8.5
6.7
1.1
0.9
12.1
14.0
Syndicate Bank
Neutral
64
3,865
6,740
7,512
2.5
2.5
21.0
23.5
3.1
2.7
0.4
0.3
12.6
12.8
UCO Bank
Neutral
52
3,902
6,770
7,017
2.8
2.6
14.8
15.5
3.5
3.3
0.6
0.5
14.4
13.5
Union Bank
Neutral
102
6,066
10,458
11,809
2.5
2.5
32.0
40.6
3.2
2.5
0.4
0.3
11.6
13.4
United Bank
Neutral
28
1,038
3,386
3,884
2.3
2.5
12.4
20.0
2.2
1.4
0.2
0.2
10.0
14.7
Vijaya Bank
Neutral
35
1,722
2,718
2,941
1.8
1.9
7.0
9.0
5.0
3.9
0.4
0.4
8.2
9.8
Yes Bank
Neutral
243
8,761
4,417
5,486
2.7
2.8
42.9
49.5
5.7
4.9
1.2
1.0
23.9
22.8
Asian Paints
Neutral
419
40,166
12,332
14,524
16.3
16.1
13.9
16.0
30.2
26.1
9.6
7.6
35.2
32.5
3.2
2.6
Britannia
Neutral
703
8,421
6,422
7,367
6.9
7.3
24.2
29.7
29.1
23.7
10.3
7.9
39.6
37.7
1.3
1.1
Colgate
Neutral
1,208
16,426
3,588
4,130
18.9
19.4
41.2
48.4
29.3
25.0
26.0
20.2
100.0
91.0
4.4
3.8
Dabur India
Neutral
163
28,378
7,183
8,297
16.8
16.9
5.4
6.3
30.4
25.9
10.7
8.5
39.2
36.7
4.0
3.4
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
4,051
17,037
3,617
4,259
16.1
16.4
122.2
148.7
33.2
27.3
10.3
8.3
34.1
33.7
4.3
3.5
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
808
27,504
7,801
9,017
16.2
15.9
25.1
29.7
32.2
27.2
6.9
5.8
24.9
24.2
3.7
3.1
HUL
Neutral
629
135,926
28,415
31,962
13.6
14.1
16.7
18.2
37.7
34.6
36.2
26.3
112.2
88.1
4.7
4.1
ITC
Neutral
308
243,707
34,294
39,991
36.8
37.0
11.3
13.3
27.3
23.1
9.0
7.3
36.1
34.9
6.8
5.8
Marico
Neutral
212
13,668
5,104
5,876
15.1
15.2
7.2
8.6
29.7
24.7
5.7
4.7
21.1
20.9
2.7
2.3
Nestle*
Neutral
4,901
47,257
9,330
10,860
21.8
21.9
123.3
149.7
39.8
32.7
19.5
14.3
56.4
50.3
5.1
4.3
Tata Global
Neutral
139
8,596
8,070
8,958
9.8
9.9
7.6
8.5
18.4
16.4
2.1
2.0
9.3
9.7
1.1
0.9
FMCG
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
Sales ( cr )
FY15E
FY14E
OPM(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EPS ( )
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
FY15E
FY14E
P/BV(x)
FY15E
FY14E
RoE(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
IT
HCL Tech^
Neutral
1,038
72,373
32,266
35,103
23.5
22.6
69.7
74.0
14.9
14.0
4.0
3.3
26.5
23.0
2.0
1.8
Hexaware*
Neutral
128
3,829
2,273
2,575
22.2
21.5
12.4
13.4
10.3
9.6
2.6
2.3
25.4
23.5
1.5
1.3
Infosys
Neutral
3,100
178,030
48,731
52,962
26.9
27.1
180.8
200.3
17.2
15.5
3.7
3.2
20.4
19.3
3.0
2.7
Infotech Enterprises
Neutral
186
2,077
2,128
2,341
17.2
17.6
21.3
23.2
8.7
8.0
1.3
1.2
14.9
14.0
0.6
0.5
KPIT Cummins
Buy
131
155
2,524
2,769
3,122
18.3
17.8
15.3
16.6
8.5
7.8
1.8
1.5
20.9
18.4
0.9
0.7
Mindtree
Neutral
1,033
4,295
2,871
3,110
20.4
20.7
102.6
111.2
10.1
9.3
2.4
1.9
24.8
20.3
1.2
1.0
Mphasis&
Accumulate
424
450
8,907
6,827
7,342
21.0
21.2
47.0
51.3
9.0
8.3
1.6
1.4
14.3
14.2
0.9
0.7
NIIT
Neutral
19
310
1,144
1,267
9.0
9.1
4.3
5.4
4.4
3.5
0.5
0.4
10.3
12.0
0.1
Persistent
Neutral
588
2,351
1,590
1,774
23.5
23.8
48.5
56.9
12.1
10.3
2.0
1.7
16.4
16.1
1.1
0.9
TCS
Neutral
2,023
395,975
80,353
91,576
30.0
30.0
91.0
103.2
22.2
19.6
7.2
5.7
31.5
29.2
4.7
4.1
Tech Mahindra
Accumulate
1,377
1,485
31,984
17,749
19,406
22.5
21.0
113.6
114.2
12.1
12.1
3.5
2.8
27.9
22.1
1.5
1.3
Wipro
Neutral
484
119,271
43,610
47,320
21.6
22.2
30.0
33.0
16.1
14.7
3.6
3.1
20.7
19.4
2.3
2.0
D B Corp
Accumulate
239
267
4,390
1,783
1,968
23.8
25.0
13.6
16.0
17.6
15.0
4.3
3.7
22.5
22.9
2.4
2.1
HT Media
Buy
90
112
2,115
2,205
2,380
14.1
14.4
7.6
8.4
11.8
10.7
1.3
1.2
10.7
10.7
0.6
0.5
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
82
104
2,718
1,683
1,845
19.7
20.8
5.9
6.9
13.9
11.9
2.6
2.4
19.4
21.2
1.7
1.5
PVR
Neutral
392
1,555
1,359
1,540
17.3
17.4
17.2
21.6
22.7
18.2
2.3
2.1
10.3
12.0
1.6
1.4
Sun TV Network
Neutral
390
15,356
2,287
2,551
69.7
70.5
20.0
23.3
19.5
16.7
4.8
4.2
26.4
27.3
6.4
5.6
Bhushan Steel
Reduce
456
419
10,323
12,640
15,667
28.5
31.5
25.9
38.6
17.6
11.8
1.0
1.0
6.1
8.5
2.6
2.1
Coal India
Neutral
251
158,225
68,303
69,884
32.5
30.3
27.5
25.0
9.1
10.0
3.4
2.4
40.2
33.1
1.5
1.4
Electrosteel Castings
Buy
11
15
352
1,976
2,017
11.8
12.7
0.1
1.2
168.9
8.9
0.1
0.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
GMDC
Buy
83
115
2,635
1,701
1,985
47.8
48.8
17.4
20.6
4.8
4.0
0.9
0.8
20.7
20.9
1.1
0.8
Hind. Zinc
Buy
124
143
52,352
12,389
13,093
48.5
51.7
15.2
17.0
8.1
7.3
1.4
1.2
18.5
18.0
2.0
1.6
Hindalco
Neutral
105
20,084
95,465 102,491
8.4
9.0
13.9
17.2
7.6
6.1
0.6
0.5
7.6
8.7
0.6
0.5
JSW Steel
Neutral
541
13,080
45,022
48,140
16.0
15.9
68.5
77.0
7.9
7.0
0.7
0.7
9.3
9.7
0.8
0.7
MOIL
Accumulate
209
223
3,519
956
982
42.3
44.3
25.3
26.2
8.3
8.0
1.2
1.0
14.6
13.7
1.0
1.1
Monnet Ispat
Buy
106
139
675
2,199
2,575
21.6
22.8
30.7
38.6
3.5
2.7
0.3
0.2
7.7
8.9
1.4
1.0
Nalco
Neutral
34
8,647
7,270
7,521
13.6
13.8
2.8
2.9
12.1
11.6
0.7
0.7
5.9
6.0
0.6
0.6
NMDC
Buy
119
142
47,140
10,718
11,514
66.6
64.5
15.5
16.1
7.7
7.4
1.6
1.4
21.2
20.0
2.3
2.1
SAIL
Neutral
46
19,040
44,060
54,227
9.2
10.9
5.3
6.8
8.7
6.8
0.5
0.5
5.2
6.5
0.7
0.6
Media
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
Sales ( cr )
FY15E
FY14E
OPM(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EPS ( )
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
FY15E
FY14E
P/BV(x)
FY15E
FY14E
RoE(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
16,278
3,817
5,781
12.1
17.7
27.0
29.6
6.9
6.3
0.8
0.7
12.9
12.5
5.1
3.3
9.4
10.5
32.8
53.5
8.4
5.1
0.7
0.6
9.0
13.2
0.5
0.5
Neutral
187
Tata Steel
Buy
274
317
Sarda
Buy
83
98
296
1,323
1,398
17.2
17.9
25.3
27.8
3.3
3.0
0.3
0.3
9.5
9.6
0.6
0.5
Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas
Buy
30
37
404
2,486
2,637
15.2
15.0
13.7
14.2
2.2
2.1
0.2
0.2
9.1
8.7
0.4
0.3
Accumulate
72
78
235
2,171
2,317
14.9
15.8
36.4
46.6
2.0
1.5
0.2
0.2
11.6
13.0
0.5
0.4
Cairn India
Accumulate
320
364
61,163
18,403
17,925
71.9
62.1
62.1
57.4
5.2
5.6
1.1
0.9
22.6
17.8
2.1
1.9
GAIL
Neutral
295
37,363
49,700
48,822
16.0
16.6
32.9
33.4
9.0
8.8
1.3
1.2
15.9
14.4
0.3
0.2
ONGC
Buy
249
350
33.7
36.6
30.0
38.7
8.3
6.5
1.3
1.1
16.0
18.5
1.0
0.7
Reliance Industries
Accumulate
852
953
8.4
8.4
70.3
75.2
12.1
11.3
1.2
1.1
12.0
11.6
0.6
0.6
Gujarat Gas*
Neutral
194
2,489
3,270
3,414
12.8
12.6
22.6
23.1
8.6
8.4
2.3
2.0
28.2
25.6
0.6
0.5
Indraprastha Gas
Neutral
257
3,599
3,656
4,456
21.5
18.6
25.7
26.8
10.0
9.6
2.0
1.8
22.1
19.6
1.0
0.8
Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals
Accumulate
121
135
9,105
39,449
43,315
5.3
5.9
14.1
16.9
8.6
7.2
1.7
1.5
21.7
21.9
0.3
0.3
Buy
50
67
2,800
1,002
1,021
91.4
91.5
8.2
8.4
6.1
6.0
0.8
0.7
14.3
13.0
2.3
2.1
Alembic Pharma
Buy
134
165
2,532
1,736
2,008
17.1
18.9
10.5
13.8
12.8
9.7
3.9
3.0
34.4
34.7
1.5
1.3
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
182
271
5,290
6,641
7,637
15.9
15.9
17.3
20.6
10.5
8.8
1.7
1.4
19.5
18.9
1.3
1.1
Aventis*
Neutral
2,377
5,475
1,682
1,917
15.6
15.6
91.9
101.7
25.9
23.4
3.6
3.6
15.6
17.1
2.8
2.2
Cadila Healthcare
Buy
650
894
13,312
7,123
8,367
15.5
15.7
37.3
44.7
17.4
14.5
3.7
3.1
22.9
22.9
2.2
1.9
Cipla
Accumulate
417
477
33,478
9,274
10,796
23.1
23.1
21.0
23.8
19.9
17.5
3.2
2.7
17.2
16.8
3.4
2.8
Dr Reddy's
Accumulate
2,293
2,535
38,984
13,377
15,350
20.4
20.1
112.1
126.6
20.5
18.1
4.4
3.6
23.5
21.8
3.0
2.6
Dishman Pharma
Buy
43
73
346
1,394
1,534
22.5
22.4
14.8
16.6
2.9
2.6
0.3
0.3
10.8
11.0
0.9
0.7
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,348
19,887
2,744
2,964
22.0
23.4
59.2
66.6
39.7
35.3
9.9
9.5
24.9
27.5
6.4
5.9
Indoco Remedies
Buy
63
78
576
747
906
15.3
15.3
5.9
7.6
10.6
8.2
1.3
1.1
12.5
14.4
1.0
0.8
Ipca labs
Accumulate
620
674
7,821
3,246
3,830
20.5
21.7
36.2
44.9
17.1
13.8
4.0
3.2
26.1
25.7
2.6
2.1
Lupin
Accumulate
800
904
35,841
11,576
13,855
22.0
22.0
35.8
43.0
22.4
18.6
5.4
4.3
27.1
25.8
3.2
2.6
Ranbaxy*
Neutral
407
17,228
10,400
11,331
6.6
8.4
11.4
15.2
35.7
26.8
3.8
3.3
11.1
13.1
1.8
1.6
Sun Pharma
Neutral
520
107,656
13,509
15,846
41.0
41.0
16.5
19.9
31.5
26.1
6.4
5.3
22.0
22.0
7.5
6.2
Power
GIPCL
Buy
56
65
841
1,444
1,482
33.4
33.0
13.7
14.8
4.1
3.8
0.5
0.4
12.3
12.0
0.7
0.4
NTPC
Buy
131
163
107,809
75,046
81,780
23.5
23.9
12.7
13.6
10.3
9.6
1.2
1.1
12.2
12.0
2.1
2.1
Buy
130
179
23,093
8,293
9,622
36.5
36.1
5.7
6.7
22.7
19.2
0.8
0.8
3.7
4.1
4.9
4.1
Real Estate
DLF
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY14E
Sales ( cr )
FY15E
FY14E
OPM(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EPS ( )
FY15E
FY14E
PER(x)
FY15E
FY14E
P/BV(x)
FY15E
FY14E
RoE(%)
FY15E
FY14E
EV/Sales(x)
FY15E
Buy
402
483
1,640
888
1,002
27.0
29.9
33.9
42.1
11.9
9.5
1.2
1.1
9.9
11.2
2.4
2.2
Bharti Airtel
Buy
299
350
119,342
83,535
92,173
32.0
33.1
9.2
12.9
32.5
23.1
2.1
2.0
6.8
8.9
2.1
1.8
Idea Cellular
Neutral
160
53,001
26,717
29,443
30.6
29.8
5.5
6.7
29.4
23.8
3.3
2.9
11.1
12.0
2.3
2.1
Rcom
Neutral
123
25,408
22,050
23,647
30.6
30.8
3.2
5.2
38.5
23.6
0.7
0.7
1.9
3.1
2.8
2.5
Real Estate
MLIFE
Telecom
Others
Abbott India*
Buy
1,376
1,628
2,924
1,788
1,996
12.5
12.7
71.7
81.4
19.2
16.9
3.9
3.3
21.7
21.2
1.4
1.2
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
157
184
1,567
3,885
4,472
4.0
5.8
6.8
15.4
23.3
10.2
2.1
1.8
8.8
17.3
0.4
0.4
Cera Sanitaryware
Buy
482
613
609
631
797
14.5
13.7
42.6
51.1
11.3
9.4
2.7
2.2
26.5
25.3
1.0
0.8
Cravatex
Buy
266
307
69
248
284
6.5
7.3
27.2
38.2
9.8
7.0
1.5
1.3
15.7
18.5
0.4
0.4
Finolex Cables
Buy
51
68
787
2,563
2,899
9.8
9.8
10.1
11.3
5.1
4.6
0.7
0.6
14.3
13.8
0.2
0.2
Force Motors
Buy
277
349
361
2,304
2,649
3.1
3.6
28.0
43.7
9.9
6.3
0.3
0.3
3.1
4.7
0.1
0.1
Goodyear India*
Accumulate
302
345
695
1,458
1,542
8.3
9.0
32.3
37.0
9.3
8.1
1.7
1.5
19.5
19.3
0.3
0.2
Hitachi
Buy
107
153
291
1,080
1,199
8.9
9.1
18.3
19.1
5.9
5.6
1.0
0.9
19.2
17.0
0.4
0.3
2,380
2,104
1,842
2,131
7.7
7.8
111.1
130.9
21.4
18.2
2.7
2.4
13.3
13.9
1.0
0.9
IFB Agro
Buy
130
156
117
491
642
12.3
13.8
35.0
50.9
3.7
2.6
0.6
0.5
18.2
21.6
0.2
0.1
ITD Cementation
Buy
145
194
167
1,365
1,502
10.9
11.2
18.2
28.0
8.0
5.2
0.4
0.4
5.1
7.4
0.5
0.5
Jyothy Laboratories
Buy
155
199
2,572
1,244
1,523
14.1
14.2
5.9
10.0
26.2
15.6
3.1
2.7
12.7
18.8
2.4
1.9
MRF
Buy
12,889
16,218
5,466
11,799
12,587
14.1
7.2
7.2
1.5
1.3
23.5
19.2
0.6
0.5
Page Industries
Buy
3,999
4,669
4,461
1,059
1,296
19.5
19.8
125.0
155.6
32.0
25.7
15.8
11.6
56.3
52.2
4.3
3.5
Relaxo Footwears
Buy
725
981
870
1,196
1,401
11.9
12.6
55.6
75.4
13.1
9.6
3.1
2.4
27.1
28.1
0.9
0.7
Buy
184
228
172
1,158
1,322
10.6
11.0
60.5
75.9
3.0
2.4
0.5
0.4
16.8
18.1
0.4
0.3
Buy
344
492
604
1,007
1,108
8.4
8.7
30.3
35.1
11.3
9.8
1.3
1.1
11.7
12.2
0.6
0.5
TAJ GVK
Buy
56
108
350
300
319
35.8
36.2
7.9
9.1
7.1
6.1
0.9
0.8
13.9
14.4
1.5
1.2
Buy
261
371
401
814
849
17.0
17.6
64.6
69.2
4.0
3.8
0.6
0.5
14.5
13.8
0.1
(0.1)
TTK Healthcare
Buy
498
632
387
416
481
4.5
6.1
16.2
25.3
30.7
19.7
3.8
3.3
12.6
18.1
0.8
0.7
Tree House
Buy
220
297
791
153
194
53.0
52.8
12.4
15.6
17.7
14.1
2.1
1.8
11.8
13.1
5.3
4.1
TVS Srichakra
Buy
United Spirits
Neutral
Vesuvius India*
Buy
163
230
125
1,591
1,720
6.1
6.4
30.5
38.3
5.3
4.3
0.7
0.6
13.5
15.5
0.3
0.2
2,200
31,965
12,294
14,162
12.0
12.0
42.1
67.7
52.2
32.5
3.7
3.3
9.1
10.7
2.9
2.5
353
439
715
600
638
20.1
19.4
35.7
36.6
9.9
9.7
1.8
1.5
19.4
17.1
1.0
0.9
4.9
0.5
0.5
7.6
9.4
0.7
0.6
HSIL
Buy
80
117
527
2,042
2,363
14.6
14.8
12.3
16.5
6.5
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 30, 2013
*Note: Sesa Goa's numbers reflect the standalone Sesa Goa business only. We will revise our numbers once the consolidated entity Sesa- Sterlite is formed.
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 02, 2013
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources
believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for
general guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any
loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Pvt.
Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any
representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking
Pvt. Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance,
or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or
in connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the
latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may have
investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
www.angelbroking.com