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SD-Sen Nielson Brothers (Oct. 2012)

Republican Mike Rounds maintains a significant if Shrinking Lead over Democrat Rick Weiland in a head-to-head matchup for U.S. Senate. Rounds leads 50. To 34. Percent, with 15. Percent undecided. Poll also indicates a drop in support for u.s. Representative Kristi Noem and a more pessimistic outlook on the direction of south Dakota.

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515 views3 pages

SD-Sen Nielson Brothers (Oct. 2012)

Republican Mike Rounds maintains a significant if Shrinking Lead over Democrat Rick Weiland in a head-to-head matchup for U.S. Senate. Rounds leads 50. To 34. Percent, with 15. Percent undecided. Poll also indicates a drop in support for u.s. Representative Kristi Noem and a more pessimistic outlook on the direction of south Dakota.

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Forimmediaterelease: Date:October18,2013 Survey:NielsonBrothersPolling,SouthDakotaStatewideSurvey,October26,2013 Subject:OpinionsonUSSenateCandidates,USRepresentativeKristiNoem,S.D.Direction Contactinformation:[email protected],6054960911 Website:nielsonbrotherspolling.com RoundsMaintainsSignificantbutShrinkingLeadinMatchupwithWeilandforUSSenate AnewNielsonBrothersPolling(NBP)statewidesurveyshowsRepublicanMikeRounds maintainingasignificantifshrinkingleadoverDemocratRickWeilandinaheadtohead matchupforU.S.Senate.ConductedfromOctober2to6,2013,inthemidstofthegovernment shutdown,theNBPpollalsoindicatesadropinsupportforU.S.RepresentativeKristiNoemand amorepessimisticoutlookonthedirectionofSouthDakota. WhenmatchedagainstRickWeiland(theonlyannouncedDemocraticcandidateforU.S. Senate)MikeRoundsleads50.2to34.8percent,with15.0percentundecided.Theracehas narrowedsincetheJuneNBPsurveywhichhadRoundsahead54.3to27.1percent.

Democraticsupport,inparticular,risesforWeilandinthisOctobersurvey. RoundsholdsasizableadvantageoverotherannouncedchallengersfortheRepublican nomination.RepublicanprimaryvotersgiveRounds46.1percentsupport,followedbyStace Nelson(10.4percent),LarryRhoden(3.9),andAnnetteBosworth(2.7).Overathirdof Republicanprimaryvoters(37.0percent)remainundecided. NBPalsomatchesRickWeilandagainstBrendanJohnsonandSteveJarding,twoother potentialDemocraticcandidates,inahypotheticalprimarycontest.AmonglikelyDemocratic primaryvoters,Johnsonleadswith30.7percentsupport,followedbyWeilandwith10.1percent, andJardingwith6.6percent.Amajority(52.7percent)ofDemocraticrespondentsare undecided.FindingsfromtheJuneNBPsurveyindicatedthatnamerecognitionwouldbea challengeforWeiland.HalfofrespondentsinJunedidnotknowWeilandsnamecomparedto 31percentwhodidnotknowJohnson(U.S.AttorneyforSouthDakotaandsonofretiring SenatorTimJohnson)and8percentwhodidnotknowRounds(formerSouthDakota Governor). WeilanddoesbettermatchedagainsttheotherpotentialRepublicancandidates.While Weilandssupporthoversjustover35percent(rangingbetween35.6and37.6),supportforthe RepublicancandidatesdipsconsiderablycomparedtoRounds,asundecidedsrisesharply. StaceNelsonreceives34.5percentsupportagainstWeilands35.6percentwith29.9 undecided.LarryRhodengarners32.3percentcomparedto36.5forWeilandwith31.3percent undecided.AnnetteBosworthreceivestheleastsupportoftheRepublicanSenatecandidates with32.5percentto37.6forWeilandand29.9percentundecided.ThestrongRepublican backingforRounds(73.3percent)dropsto55percentorbelowforthesecandidateswith

movementlargelytowardundecided. WhenaskedaboutRepresentativeKristiNoem,52.0percentofrespondentssaytheyapproveof herjobperformance,and48.0percentdisapprove.The52.0percentapprovalisa4.2percent dropfrom56.2percentintheJuneNBPsurvey.Stronglyapproveresponsesfallby3percent fromJune(26.7to23.7),andstronglydisapproveresponsesriseby6.5percent(from26.8in Juneto33.3).WhenaskedwhetherNoemdeservestobereelected,39.2percentsayyes. 45.9percentsayno,with14.9percentundecided.Thenoresponsesinclude80.6percent ofselfidentifiedLiberalsbutalso64.9percentofselfidentifiedModerates.Ideologically, respondentsselfidentifiedasfollowsinthisNBPpoll:TeaParty15.8percent,Conservative 33.7percent,Moderate32.4percent,andLiberal18.1percent. TheNielsonBrothersOctoberpollshowsamorepessimisticviewofthestatesdirectionwhen comparedwiththeJuneNBPsurvey.The44.1percentthatsaythestateisgoingintheright directionisa5.1percentdropfrom49.2inJune.The31.9percentthatanswerwrongdirection isariseof8.7percent(23.2). GeneraldissatisfactionwiththestateofourgovernmentisindicatedinourOctobersurvey,as RepresentativeNoemssupportdropsalongwithoptimismaboutthestatesdirection,says PaulNielson,presidentofNBP. Questions,Responses,andMarginsofError NBPsurveyedarandomselectionoflikelySouthDakotavotersfromOctober2throughOctober 6,2013.Numbersofresponsesandmarginsoferror(MOA)forquestionsdiscussedareas follows: DoyoufeelSouthDakotaisheadedintherightorwrongdirection?(right,wrong,undecided) 839responses3.38percentMOA. HowdoyouratethejobdonebyRepresentativeKristiNoem?(stronglyapprove,somewhat approve,somewhatdisapprove,stronglydisapprove) 827responses3.41percentMOA. DoesRepresentativeKristiNoemdeservetobereelected?(yes,no,undecided) 825responses3.41percentMOA. InaRepublicanprimaryforSenateforwhichfourfollowingcandidateswouldyouvote?(Mike Rounds,AnnetteBosworth,StaceNelson,LarryRhoden) 410responses4.84percentMOA(onlyRepublicanprimaryvoters). InaDemocraticprimaryforSenateforwhichofthethreefollowingcandidateswouldyouvote? (RickWeiland,BrendanJohnson,SteveJarding,undecided) 282responses5.84percentMOA(onlyDemocraticprimaryvoters). WouldyouvoteforRepublicanMikeRoundsorforDemocratRickWeiland? 818responses3.43percentMOA WouldyouvoteforRepublicanLarryRhodenorforDemocratRickWeiland? 815responses3.43MOA

NBPpreviouslyreleasedfindingsfromthisOctober2to6,2013publicsurveywithfindingson blameandresponsibilityforthegovernmentshutdown,PresidentObamasjobapproval,and supportfortheAffordableCareAct.Questionsaboutminimumwageandabortionrightswere alsoincludedinthesurvey.InterestedpartiesmaycontactNBPwithregardtoquestionsand answersonpublicsurveys.Formoreinformationcontactnbpolling@gmail.com,orcall605 4960911.

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