Measuring Safety in Single-And Twin-Engine Helicopters: by Roy G. Fox Chief Safety Engineer Bell Helicopter Textron Inc
The author questions recent ICAO amendments that would restrict single-engine helicopter operations in favor of twin-engine helicopters. The author analyzes accident data from the US, UK, and Canada to determine the actual risk to occupants of single- and twin-engine helicopters. The data does not support the assumption that twin-engine helicopters are always safer, as single-engine helicopters are often used for higher-risk missions like flight training and agriculture. Helicopters can also autorotate to the ground in an emergency, landing more gently than fixed-wing aircraft. The author argues for realistic safety measurements to avoid overly restrictive regulations.
Measuring Safety in Single-And Twin-Engine Helicopters: by Roy G. Fox Chief Safety Engineer Bell Helicopter Textron Inc
The author questions recent ICAO amendments that would restrict single-engine helicopter operations in favor of twin-engine helicopters. The author analyzes accident data from the US, UK, and Canada to determine the actual risk to occupants of single- and twin-engine helicopters. The data does not support the assumption that twin-engine helicopters are always safer, as single-engine helicopters are often used for higher-risk missions like flight training and agriculture. Helicopters can also autorotate to the ground in an emergency, landing more gently than fixed-wing aircraft. The author argues for realistic safety measurements to avoid overly restrictive regulations.
F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 1
Safety has always been a paramount concern
in aviation. Safety is not an absolute; rather it is a relative measure of the risk involved when flying in an aircraft. Several methods are used to measure safety, but some can be misleading and create a perception of a low level of safety in helicopters. Misconceptions about helicop- ter safety can cause overly restrictive regula- tions and prohibit the use of safe aircraft. Thus, realistic measurement of helicopter safety is crucial to helicopter operators and the flying public. There is a question of whether an occupant is safer in a single-engine or a twin-engine heli- copter. Some say that two engines have to be better than one, arguing that since there are so many twin-engine aircraft used in commercial fixed-wing operations, therefore, helicopters also need two engines. However, the facts do not support applying fixed-wing thinking to helicopters. Helicopters are unique and they are operated in difficult environments; there- fore, they should be considered differently from fixed-wing airplanes. One must consider all Measuring Safety in Single- and Twin-engine Helicopters Accurate measurement of helicopter safety is crucial to both the flying public and the operators of rotary-wing aircraft. The author questions the veracity of some safety statistics and he challenges recent ICAO amendments that would restrict operations in single-engine helicopters in favor of twin-engine helicopters. by Roy G. Fox Chief Safety Engineer Bell Helicopter Textron Inc. causes of accidents and injuries, not just me- chanical components such as engines or tail rotor blades. Accident data from the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), and Canada were analyzed to determine the risk to occupants of single- and twin-engine helicopters. These three nations account for about 82 percent of all known non-Soviet bloc civil helicopters. Why Measure Safety? Many important equipment decisions made by businesses, government agencies and indi- viduals are based on the perceived safety of an aircraft. Decisions to buy, use, repair, im- prove, insure, and sell or replace an aircraft are related to perceived safety. Likewise, gov- ernment operational prohibitions are based on a perceived deterioration of safety. For example, recent Amendment 1 to ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organization) Annex 6, Part III 1 establishes three helicopter performance cat- F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 2 egories and recommends certain operational limitations. The categories are: Performance Class 1 includes multi-en- gine helicopters that are capable of con- tinuing normal operations with one en- gine inoperative regardless of when the engine fails. Performance Class 2 includes multi-en- gine helicopters that are capable of con- tinuing flight after one engine fails ex- cept that a forced landing would be required following an engine failure between takeoff and a specified point and from a specified point to landing. Performance Class 3 refers to single- engine helicopter operations; a forced landing is required after engine fail- ure. The ICAO amendment would encourage the prohibition in member countries (states) against the use of Performance Class 3 (single-engine) helicopters for IFR (instrument flight rules) flights, night flying, flights out of sight of land, flights with cloud ceilings of lower than 600 feet or visibility less than 1,500 meters, and flights to elevated structures (heliports). [ICAO does not regulate; it recommends that individual states adopt its criteria into their own regulations. The United States and many other countries have not adopted the recommendations of ICAO Amend- ment 1 to Annex 6 Part III. Ed.] Because single-engine helicopters account for three out of four helicopters in the world, this action will have a drastic effect upon the heli- copter community and upon the public ben- efit derived from helicopter use. Some single- engine helicopter operations will no longer be performed because of the higher costs involved if twin-engine helicopters are mandated. Most multi-engine helicopter operations are conducted in Performance Class 2. Because the accident data do not discriminate between performance classes, the safety comparisons of Performance Classes 2 and 3 from the available data are accomplished in this discussion by looking at the differences between single-engine (Perfor- mance Class 3) and multi-engine (Performance Class 2 ) operations. The performance class restrictions on helicop- ter operations in accordance with the ICAO Amendment 1 change includes the recommended prohibition of single-engine helicopter opera- tions involving transport of passengers, cargo or mail for remuneration or hire. This prohibi- tion is based upon a perceived belief that twin- engine helicopters are always safer than single- engine helicopters in all environments. Accu- rate helicopter safety measurements are criti- cal for perceived safety and actual safety to be accurately differentiated. Such accuracy also allows prioritized correction of safety prob- lems and the evaluation of desirable and un- desirable aspects of different aircraft configu- rations. Of personal importance to an indi- vidual, this can allow a person to determine his risk of flying in a specific type aircraft. Why Worry About Safety? Why do people worry about safety in the first place? The primary reason is that no one wants to suffer injury or death. Because we do not want to think about our own injury or death, many of us tell ourselves, I am not ever go- ing to be in an accident, therefore I wont have to worry about being injured or killed. Avia- tion accident prevention is based on this con- cept: If I can prevent the emergency, I wont have to worry about my pain and my death. This human coping mechanism works well for the average individual; but management (avia- tion and regulatory) must first determine the actual risk and subsequently manage the risk. Safety is the management of risk. Helicopters Respond Differently To A Power Loss Than Do Air- planes If an engine power loss occurs, the resulting emergency landings are significantly different for airplanes as compared to helicopters. To maintain control of an airplane, its airspeed must stay above the stalling speed of the wing until ground contact. This means that the F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 3 airplanes airspeed at ground contact will be typically 60 to 100 knots. This high speed re- quires a shallow approach angle and a long, cleared landing site. Any obstructions (trees, buildings, fences or ground irregularities) can be impacted by an aircraft with significant crash forces and cause injuries. Conversely, helicopters require little more room than the size of the aircraft for an unpowered, emergency landing. This is because the heli- copter can descend under control after engine failure in a condition known as autorotation, whereby the pilot decreases the pitch of the main rotor blades to allow them to be rotated by the air flowing upwards through the rotor arc, or disc, similar to the action of wind on a windmill. The spinning main rotor acts some- what like a parachute and a near-constant de- scent rate is maintained. The pilot retains full control and is able to select the most appropri- ate landing site. A few feet above the ground, the pilot flares the aircraft and increases the pitch of the rotor blades, which increases lift. This allows the descent to be slowed just be- fore ground contact to allow a gentle touch- down at little or no forward speed when ac- complished properly (Figure 1). Helicopters Have Different Missions And Uses Using U.S. National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) accident data for 1982 through 1985 for U.S.-registered helicopters, the mission under way at the time of the accident was determined 2 , and is shown in Table 1. This shows that single- piston, single-turbine and twin-turbine helicopters are used in the same mis- sions but in varying de- grees. Single-engine, pis- ton-powered helicopters have a concentration in relatively high-risk areas of flight training, personal and agricultural work where low cost is a driv- ing factor. These uses are Graphic not available major contributors to the safety record for single- piston helicopters. If twin-turbine helicopters performed similar missions and were oper- ated as the single-engine, piston-powered he- licopters, the twin-turbine helicopter accident rate could rise significantly. Helicopter Fleet Is Mixed The U.S. Airmen and Aircraft Registry of Au- gust 1990 shows the distribution of helicop- ters (Table 2). There were 34 military surplus twin-piston helicopters on the registry that were not included. However, the number of aircraft on the registry can be misleading because it includes many aircraft that are wrecked, be- ing salvaged for parts, under repair, stored or used as static (nonflying) aircraft. Flight hours are a better indicator of actual aircraft usage. Figure 1. Helicopter autorotation Table 1. Helicopter Missions at Time of Accident (NTSB Data 1982- 1985 percent of accidents) Single- Single- Twin- All Type of Operations piston turbine turbine Helicopters Personal 26.2 24.4 16.0 24.9 Business 9.4 23.6 32.0 14.9 Instruction 21.3 2.0 8.0 14.4 Executive/Corporate 0 5.6 16.0 2.4 Agricultural 29.8 8.8 4.0 21.9 Observation/Survey 5.1 5.2 0 5.0 Public-use 1.1 4.0 8.0 2.3 Ferry 1.9 4.4 16.0 3.2 Positioning 0.4 0.4 0 0.4 Other Work 4.8 21.6 0 10.6 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 4 Flight hours by model series were extracted from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administra- tion (FAA) General Aviation Activities and Avi- onics Survey annual reports for 1984 to 1988. If the FAA estimated flight hours for a model for two or more years of the five-year period, those flight hours were used. The accidents of that model series were used if flight hours occurred in the year of the accident. If no hours or one year of flight hours were estimated by the FAA reports, the accidents and flights hours for those affected models were deleted from the study. The data is considered by the au- thor to be the best available and is therefore used in this discussion. The usable models with their flight hours were then arranged in groups: single-piston, single- turbine, twin-turbine helicopters and the most common helicopter, the Bell Model 206. The Model 206 flew 45 percent of all helicopter flight hours during the 1984 through 1988 time period. The single-turbine en- gine Model 206 is also included in the generic single-engine data. The Canadian, U.K. and U.S. helicopter fleet flight-hours shown in Table 3 indicate that these helicopter fleets are also varied. The Canadian accident and flight hour data from the Transportation Safety Board of Canada and Canadian Aviation Statistics Centre were for the period 1982 through 1987. The accident data and flight hours from the U.K. Civil Aviation Authority were for the period 1980 through 1987. The mixture of flying in the U.K. fleet is significantly dif- ferent than in Canada and the United States. This helps to explain why attitudes about he- licopter operations vary among ICAO states. The most common helicopter flying in the U.K. during the period was the Sikorsky S-61 twin turbine which accounted for 28.2 percent of the U.K. flight hours, whereas that for the Model 206 was 12.3 percent. Disregarding homebuilt and experimental he- licopters, it is estimated that of approximately 15,200 rotorcraft in the world (excluding the Soviet bloc states), that 12,511, or 82 percent, are in the United States, the United Kingdom and Canada. The helicopter data are presented by configuration groups of single-piston (SP), single-turbine (ST) and twin-turbine (TT). Table 2. U.S.-Registered Helicopters by Engine Type (U.S. FAA Data) Number of Helicopters Flight Hours (11-31-90 Flown Flight Hours Type of Engine Registry) 1984-1988 (%) Single-piston 5,5371 2,961,252 25.9 Single-turbine 3,642 7,035,846 61.5 Twin-turbine 1,108 1,442,116 12.6 Total helicopters 10,121 11,439,214 100 Aircraft with most flight hours: Bell Model 206 single-turbine only 2,092 5,215,001 45.6 Table 3. U.S., U.K., and Canada Civil Helicopters by Engine Type (flight-hours flown) U.S./U.K./ U.S. U.K. Canada Canada Engine Type (1984-88) (1980-87) (1982-87) Combined Percent Single-piston 2,961,252 91,737 190,894 3,243,883 21.3 Single-turbine 7,035,846 239,548 2,078,376 9,353,770 61.5 Twin-turbine 1,442,116 932,474 242,696 2,617,286 17.2 Total helicopters 11,439,214 1,263,759 2,511,966 15,214,939 100.0 Bell Model 206 single turbine only 5,215,001 155,648 1,471,675 8,703,602 45.0 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 5 The Next Step Is Measuring Safety Now that we have some indication of the heli- copter activities, the next step is to measure safety, or determine relative risk. There are various methods in use. Using the total num- ber of accidents that have occurred for a par- ticular model may be misleading because it does not account for fleet size and subsequent exposure through the years. Accidents per amount of exposure is a more appropriate method to determine relative risk. Accidents Per Fleet Ratio Is a Slight Improvement One means of addressing the effects of fleet size is to determine the ratio of accidents to the size of the fleet in existence at the time of the comparison. For example, this ratio is de- termined by counting the number of accidents that have occurred involving a specific model since its introduction in the United States. This total accident history number is then divided by the latest estimated number of active he- licopters of that model in the United States. The ratio technique is inaccurate and mislead- ing; it disregards the changing fleet size over the years by using only the latest years active fleet; looks at models in different periods of their service life; and disregards the different amount of flying done by various models. Also, the number of accidents will increase as a model fleet is utilized. In Figure 2, the Bell Model 47, which is the oldest civil helicopter model, sug- gests what may happen to the other models as they mature in the future. The number of acci- dents from 1958 through 1963 was estimated from accident trends before and after that pe- riod. Since the number of active helicopters is seldom known, the actual numbers of civil aircraft delivered with a U.S. registry number were used. (The last Model 47 was delivered in 1973 in the United States.) The total number of accidents grows each year and far exceeds the number of aircraft deliv- ered. Obviously, the ratio of total accidents to the number of aircraft in an existing fleet is going to be different depending upon when that ratio is calculated. If the ratio is deter- mined within two years of model introduc- tion, it will probably be low. Five, 10 or 15 years later, the ratio will continue to increase regardless of the true safety of the model. Also shown in Figure 2 is the annual accident rate per 100,000 flight hours. Note that the acci- dent-to-fleet-number ratio continues to climb to about 160 percent as of 1985 even though the accident rate is decreasing during the last three years. This disparity will be present for all other models and is dependent on when in the models life cycle the ratio is computed. Accidents Per Departure Are More Meaningful After comparing vastly different types of air- craft, it became apparent that some aircraft types were spending the majority of their flight time in the more hazardous flight phases of takeoffs and landings. Therefore, the accident rate per departure (or mission) was decided upon as a means to measure safety. This ap- proach answers the question Is the likelihood of this mission failing greater or lesser for trans- portation method A versus method B? This approach is not concerned with how long A or B takes to accomplish the mission. For example, if the mission is to transport a passenger from point X to point Y, any one of the following methods of travel can qualify for the task: jet aircraft, helicopter, train, automobile, boat and walking. The number of accidents that oc- curred from the time of departure for each flight from any point X to the arrival at the corresponding point Y would then be deter- Graphic not available Figure 2. Bell Model 47 accident/fleet ratio F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 6 mined for each means of travel. This becomes the accident rate per departure for that means of transportation. Helicopters can perform some missions that no other means of transportation can achieve. These unique missions include those that in- volve hovering or very slow flight, and allow very short flight times that result in a large number of takeoffs and landings. Because large airplanes spend the vast majority of their flight time in cruise flight rather than in takeoffs and landings, their exposure to flight hazards is not directly comparable. A study was done in 1981 that included a look at U.S. Federal Aviation Regulation (FAR) Part 135 unsched- uled air-taxi helicopter safety related to fixed- wing air carriers 3 ; the basic purpose was for relating duty time to number of daily land- ings, but the data is applicable to this discus- sion as well. The surveyed helicopter opera- tors flew 603 single- and twin-turbine heli- copters during the subject period (1977 through 1979). The percentage of singles versus twins is not available; however, the percentage of single turbines vs. twin turbines is available for 1983, which is the closest period for which that type of data is available. The 1983 U.S. registry indicates a mix of 83 percent single turbines and 17 percent twin turbines. The mix in the helicopter survey group was esti- mated to be similar. Air Travel Methods Are Compared The accident rate per flight hour for the com- bined turbine helicopter fleet compared to the air carriers is shown in Figure 3A. This illus- trates that the helicopter accident rate per flight hour was slightly better than that of commuter (now regional) air carriers. To account for time spent in the more hazardous phases of flight (takeoff and approach/landing), the accident rate in Figure 3B is based on number of depar- tures (takeoffs). The resulting helicopter acci- dent rate per 100,000 departures was 71 per- cent lower than FAR Part 135 commuter air carriers, and was much closer to the FAR Part 121 certificated air carriers. Figure 3C for the fatal accident rate per depar- ture shows that the helicopter rate was 69 per- cent lower than that for the commuter air car- riers 4 . Figure 3D shows comparable data for fatalities per departure. In this latter case, the helicopter rate is 71 percent lower than com- muter air carriers and 79 percent lower than certificated air carriers. These results indicate that the helicopter industry in general is safer than many persons believed, considering the amount of time rotary-wing aircraft spend in critical phases of flight. The offshore oil industry in the Gulf of Mexico presents an example of the safe operation of turbine helicopters as shown in Table 4. In 1990, there were 1,855,345 takeoffs and land- ings, about 1,500,000 of which occurred at off- shore platforms. There were 3,958,525 passen- gers moved by helicopter in the Gulf during the period. Of the 619 helicopters operating in the Gulf of Mexico, 138 (22 percent) are IFR equipped, and single-turbine helicopters ac- count for 349 (56 percent) of the total helicop- ter fleet. This significant usage of single-tur- bine helicopters indicates that single turbines are being operated safely from elevated plat- forms and over water. Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 3. Accident and fatality rate comparison (1977-1979) F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 7 The use of departure exposure is accurate for determining the risk to mission accomplish- ment, but it is not accurate for determining safety. Safety is related to freedom from harm, injury or loss and should be counted in terms of time of individual occupant exposure. Counting Accidents Per Patient Transport This recent safety measurement variation is used by the emergency medical services (EMS) community. It is the number of EMS aircraft accidents that occur divided by the number of patients transported during the same time pe- riod. This approach uses the EMS primary func- tion of moving patients as the basis for com- parison with the safety of other modes of moving patients. This approach is appropriate only for comparing completions of medical trans- port missions, not for comparing safety of the crew and patient; it is used to compare with Table 4. Gulf of Mexico Helicopter Safety Data Accidents Accidents per per 100,000 Fleet No. of Flight 100,000 Flight- Year Size Accidents Hours Departures Departures hours 1987 708 17 691,655 2,101,850 0.80 2.46 1988 599 10 455,330 1,384,000 0.65 2.20 1989 608 9 515,770 1,885,571 0.48 1.74 1990 619 9 533,761 1,855,345 0.49 1.69 non-patient-carrying aircraft. Figure 4 5 shows the annual EMS helicopter accident rates per 100,000 patients transported. Since many of the EMS helicopter accidents occurred with- out a patient aboard (e.g., en route to pickup, returning after transport or repositioning), this is a mission-oriented measurement (similar to a per-departure measurement method), rather than per human exposure method. Accidents Per Passenger Mile Is Another Measurement Method Accidents per passenger mile is another per- mission measurement with an adjustment for the distance traveled. Fixed-wing scheduled air carriers and fixed- and rotary-wing air taxi operators record passenger-carried informa- tion from revenue flights; most general avia- tion and helicopters do not. Thus, compari- sons are seldom made in this area. Limitations of per-mission measurements are easily noted by comparing the safety of an 80-knot aircraft with a 400-knot aircraft, both having the same number of passengers and accidents per pas- senger mile. Some analysts interpret this as the same level of occupant safety. However, the slower machine is in the air five times as long as the faster aircraft for the same dis- tance. Therefore, using another measurement method, the slower aircraft experiences only one fifth of the accident rate per flight hour of the faster aircraft. This dichotomy results be- cause the primary concern is per mission and not related to per human or occupant safety; accidents per passenger mile is only meaning- ful if the primary concern is mission comple- tion of moving a passenger a given distance, Figure 4. EMS accidents per patient transport Graphi c not avai l abl e F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 8 not the safety of the occupants. Accidents Per Flight Hours Is the Most Common Method The most common method of determining safety on the basis of accidents per flight hours is accident rate per 100,000 flight hours. This accident rate per hour is the number of acci- dents of a given model for a specific period of time divided by the hours flown by those air- craft over that time period. Accident rate per 100,000 flight hours is a good method to de- termine the aircraft damage cost expected in a model fleet or the likelihood of aircraft dam- age. Table 5 presents the accident rates per 100,000 flight hours for U.S. general aviation fixed-wing and rotary-wing aircraft in descend- ing order. Helicopter accident rates for the 1980s from the Unites States, the United Kingdom and Canada are shown in Table 6. The time period breakdowns are similar to those in Table 3. Airworthiness vs. Operational Issues Judged The causes of accidents resulting in serious (major/fatal) occupant injury were determined 6 using NTSB data from 1982 through 1986 for single-turbine and twin-turbine civil helicop- ters as shown in Figure 5. Engine material failure (MF) initiated the crashes that caused 14.8 percent of the serious injuries to occu- pants of single-turbine helicopters, as com- pared to only 3.4 percent for the serious inju- ries to occupants of twin-turbine helicopter accidents. If only this one piece of information is considered, the obvious conclusion is that two engines are better than one. However, next consider only the cause factor of material failures other-than engine (non- engine MF). In this case, only 11.0 percent of the seriously injured occupants were involved in single-turbine helicopter crashes initiated by non-engine material failures as compared with 31.0 percent of those in twin-turbine he- licopter crashes. This is an indicator of the detrimental effects of complexity and more parts. If one were to consider only this last piece of information, the obvious approach should be that one engine is better than two a reversal of the conclusion in the previous paragraph. Actually, the total material failures, engine and non-engine, should be considered together, which yields percentages of seriously injured occu- pants due to all types of MF-caused accidents of 25.8 percent for occu- pants in single turbines and 34.4 percent for occupants in twins. This is consistent with more parts and complexity being present in twins. Because causes of deaths and in- juries cannot be limited only to those that are engine-related, it is essential that all other factors be considered both material fail- ure and nonmaterial failure (i.e., human error). Table 6. 1980s U.S., U.K., and Canadian Accident Rates (all causes) (accidents per 100,000 flight-hours) United Canada Kingdom United States Type (1982-87) (1980-87) (1984-88) Single-piston 33.53 73.79 17.83 Single-turbine (all) 9.86 17.12 5.49 Twin-turbine 4.67 4.83 4.37 Bell Model 206 single-turbine 8.70 14.07 4.28 Table 5. U.S.-Registered General Aviation Accident Rates (NTSB/FAA Data 1984-1988) Accident Rate per 100,000 Type of Aircraft Flight-hours Single-piston helicopter 17.83 Single-piston airplane 8.55 Single-turbine helicopter (all) 5.49 Twin-piston airplane 5.12 Twin-turbine helicopter 4.37 Bell Model 206 single-turbine helicopter 4.28 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 9 Engine material failures represent just one as- pect of material failures that cause accidents (also called airworthiness failures), as shown in Table 7 and Figure 5. Non-engine material failures that cause accidents are also repre- sented. The single-piston accident rate per 100,000 flight hours for non-engine material failure accidents is the highest rate, followed by twin turbines, all single turbines, and with the low- est rate, the Model 206 single-turbine. Table 7 shows the combined engine and non-engine material failures (all-airworthiness failures), and indicates that the accident rate for all- airworthiness failures in twin turbines is much lower than for single pistons and slightly lower than for all single turbines. However, the twin- turbine all-airworthiness-failure accident rate is 51.4 percent higher than the single-turbine Model 206 rate. From an overall airworthiness standpoint, these figures could be used to in- dicate that there is no justification to require twin-turbine engines on all helicopters for all mission applications. Comparisons of the all-airworthiness- failure accident rates of three ICAO states (United States, United Kingdom and Canada) are presented in Table 8 and Figure 6, which show the variability that is a function of the mix of aircraft models within a type and reflects vary- ing helicopter utilization in the differ- ent ICAO states. The rates of twin tur- bines and Model 206s appear to be quite consistent. The single-turbine Model 206 has the lowest airworthiness accident rate in two of the three states and the second lowest in the remaining one. Fatal Accidents Per Flight Hours Are Questioned Since safety is a condition of freedom from risk of harm, injury or loss, measurement of those accidents involving fatal injuries is rel- evant to the relationship of safety to human suffering. A fatal accident is an accident in which at least one person is fatally injured. A fatal accident rate is the number of fatal acci- dents per 100,000 flight hours. Figure 7 3 shows the fatal accident rates for various families of U.S. general aviation aircraft, plus three indi- vidual models for 1975 through 1979. Note that most aircraft types have approximately the same fatal accident rate. This method of measuring safety is still inaccurate because it does not account for the number of people on board that had the chance of being fatally in- jured. For example, regardless of a helicopters seating capacity, there is five times the chance of someone being killed with 10 people aboard as there is with two people aboard. This is due Figure 5. Seriously injured occupants by accident cause (NTSB) Graphi c not avai l abl e Table 7. U.S.-registered Helicopter Accident Rates (Source NTSB/FAA for 1984- 1988) (accidents per 100,000 flight hours) Engine Only Non-engine All Type of Aircraft Airworthiness Airworthiness All Causes ALL HELICOPTERS 1.22 1.08 2.30 8.54 Single-piston 1.99 2.09 4.09 17.83 Twin-turbine 0.35 1.25 1.59 4.37 Single-turbine (all) 1.08 0.61 1.69 5.49 Bell Model 206 single-turbine 0.88 0.17 1.05 4.28 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 10 to the occurrence of 10 people impacting the ground in one airframe versus two people in the other airframe. Obviously, then, the num- ber of helicopter seats is not important; the number of people aboard is important. There- fore, fatal accident rates can be misleading because they are related to aircraft airframe accidents, not to the occupants. Risk Around Heliports Addressed by Neighbors Some neighbors around heliports have voiced concern about the safety of helicopters approach- ing or leaving a heliport. Accident statistics indicate that these concerns are unfounded. NTSB data on helicopters for 1970 through 1975 show that approximately five percent of the accidents occur in the traffic pattern or within a 1/2-mile radius of an airport or heli- port. The actual risk to the surrounding neigh- borhood from helicopters was analyzed 7 to de- termine the likelihood of a helicopter accident within a 1/2-mile radius of the heliport or airport. This analysis was based on the Model Table 8. 1980s U.S., U.K., and Canadian All-airworthiness- failure Accident Rates (accidents per 100,000 flight hours) Canada United Kingdom United States Type (1982-87) (1980-87) (1984-88) Single-piston 8.91 18.45 4.09 Single-turbine (all) 2.12 4.17 1.69 Twin-turbine 1.27 1.93 1.59 Bell Model 206 single-turbine 1.43 1.17 1.05 206 rate of 4.33 accidents per 100,000 flight hours in the United States for the period of 1975 through 1978. One can then calculate the likelihood of an accident within the 1/2-mile radius, which becomes a function of how many takeoffs and landings are made. A conservative three-minute time period was assumed for time the helicop- ter spent flying over the 1/2-mile radius dur- ing an approach or a landing. The term cycle is used for the combination of a takeoff and landing (six minutes over the 1/2-mile zone). Using the average number of cycles per day for a year, the average number of years be- tween accidents can be determined using Fig- ure 8. For example, a busy heliport conduct- ing five cycles per day (182.6 hours per year over the 1/2-mile radius), the expected aver- age interval between accidents should be once in 128 years. The likelihood of a helicopter striking a resi- dence or building within a 1/2-mile radius of a heliport can be estimated using Figure 9. The accident frequency used was for all heli- copter accidents (single-piston, single-turbine, and twin-turbine) involved in striking a resi- dence or building. For the five-cycle-per-day case, a helicopter striking a building or resi- dence is estimated, on average, once every 4,000 years. Figure 10 shows the likelihood of Graphi c not avai l abl e Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 6. Airworthiness failure accident rates for U.K., U.S., and Canada in the 1980s Figure 7. U.S. general aviation fatal accident rates (1975-1979) F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 11 an on-the-ground person (not a crewman or passenger) being injured within this 1/2-mile radius. For the five-cycle-per-day case, the av- erage interval between injuries is estimated to be about 5,000 years. The heliport operating at five cycles per day over the period of a year is extremely busy. For a private heliport or limited-use facility that averages fewer than one cycle per day during the year, the risk is significantly lower. Using one cycle per day as an average, the likelihood of an accident in the 1/2-mile area, the likelihood of a helicopter striking a resi- dence/building, or the likelihood of an on- the-ground person being injured are once in 635 years, 22,400 years, and 25,000 years, re- spectively. These average-year values in them- selves are not important, but their magnitudes indicate the extremely remote threat from he- licopters operating over a congested area. If only airworthiness-failure-caused accidents Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 8. Helicopter accidents within 1/2 mile radius of heliport are considered using the Model 206 and twin- turbine helicopter rates of Table 7, a compari- son of the likelihood of an airworthiness-caused accident over a heliports neighborhood can be done. For a constant five cycles per day usage, the expected accident frequency within the 1/2 mile radius of the heliport is an acci- dent once in 34.4 and 52.2 years for a twin- turbine helicopter and Model 206 single-tur- bine helicopter, respectively. The likelihood of an accident involving either of these helicop- ter types is extremely remote, although one should expect the occurrence of a Model 206 accident significantly less often than a twin- turbine helicopter accident. According to these figures, there is no more justification to pro- hibit a Model 206 than there is to prohibit twin-turbine helicopters from flying over con- gested (populated) areas. Study Looks for Causes of Acci- dents Resulting in Fatalities A worldwide study of Bell civil and military turbine-powered helicopter accidents was con- ducted by the author to determine the acci- dent causes that resulted in fatalities. The in- volved period was from January 1970 through March 1987. The size of the Bell turbine fleet delivered at the time was approximately 19,700 single-turbine aircraft and 1,800 twin-turbine aircraft. An engine failure was the initiating cause that resulted in six percent of all fatali- ties in single-turbine helicopter accidents and three percent of all fatalities in twin-turbine Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 9. Helicopter strikes of residence or building (within 1/2 mile radius of heliport) Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 10. On-the-ground personal injury (within 1/2 mile radius of heliport) F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 12 helicopter accidents as shown in Figure 11. However, the percentage of fatalities due to remaining airworthiness failures (non-engine material failures) was 12 percent and 22 per- cent for single-turbine and twin-turbine heli- copters, respectively. Therefore, the total per- centage of fatalities for all-airworthiness fail- ures was 18 percent for single-turbine heli- copters and 25 percent for twin-turbine heli- copters. More complex twin-turbine helicop- ters, with more moving parts, will have a higher total number of material failures (engine and non-engine) with a corresponding higher to- tal number of fatal injuries than a simpler single- turbine helicopter. Relative Risk of Serious Injury Considers the Individual Accident rates compare the frequency of air- craft that must be reported as an accident be- cause there is significant damage or there are serious personal injuries. In the majority of accidents, there is no serious injury, so the accident reporting is basically an aircraft damage mishap frequency. This information is useful in forecasting the number of aircraft expected to be damaged, repaired, replaced or other considerations based on aircraft damage. It does not address the safety of the occupant. Risk must be assigned to an individual occu- pant to be meaningful. Occupant safety must be determined for each individual occupant based on individual exposure. This is done with a formula that gives the relative risk of serious injury (RSI). RSI is the probability of an accident occurring multiplied by the prob- ability of serious (major or fatal) injury. RSI = probability of an accident X probability of se- rious injury. It can be calculated by: The RSI, or an individual occupants risk of serious injury for every 100,000 occupant hours of exposure, is shown in Figure 12 for all- airworthiness failure causes. This is the true measure of occupant safety related to the air- craft design. Therefore, an occupants risk of serious injury due to accidents caused by all-airworthiness failures is the same in the generic single-tur- bine and twin-turbine helicopters. The occupants risk in a Model 206 single-turbine helicopter is nearly half that of a generic single-turbine or a twin-turbine helicopter. The reasons that risks are generally higher in twins than singles are: More parts and increased complexity yield more non-engine material failures. There are more free-standing passen- ger seats and resulting seat failures in twins. There are more passenger seats with- out a shoulder harness. Figure 11. Percentage of fatalities by accident initiator Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 12. RSI from airworthiness failures Graphi c not avai l abl e Number of accidents Flight hours flown X Number of people witn major or fatal injury Total number of people on board in accidents RSI = with F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 13 More fuel cells lead to increased likeli- hood of post-crash fires. The introduction of passenger shoulder har- nesses, energy attenuating seats for all occu- pants, and crash-resistant fuel systems may lower the RSI values. FAA Amendments 27-25 and 29-29 of November 13, 1989 requires shoulder harnesses and dynamically tested, energy at- tenuating seats for all occupants in future he- licopter designs. FAA Notice of Proposed Rule Making (NPRM) 90-24 in progress is address- ing a requirement to include crash-resistant fuel systems in large and small helicopters to minimize thermal injuries due to post-crash fires. The result could be that occupants of future helicopter designs may have even lower risk of serious injury regardless of what causes the accidents. [This subject has been addressed by Flight Safety Foundation since the early 1960s. A successful program to develop a crash-resistant fuel tank for helicopters was conducted by FSF through its Aviation Safety Engineering and Re- search division in 1965, which led to a U.S. Army retrofit for approximately 5,000 helicopters. S. Harry Robertson received the FSF Admiral Luis DeFlorez Award for directing development of the system that was estimated to be capable of achiev- ing a 70 percent reduction in loss of life due to crash fires. Helicopter crashworthiness was the focus of a 1984 FSF Regional Helicopter Safety Workshop in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil. Ed.] A study of U.S. Army helicopter accidents and injuries 8 found similar results in civil helicop- ters. Table 9 shows the RSI for the four Army helicopters in the study. The UH-60 is the twin- turbine helicopter and the remainder are single- turbine powered. The risk of injury was found to be lower in single-turbine helicopters than in twin-turbine ones. There are several rea- sons for this, two of which are the greater complexity of the UH-60 and its higher speeds at impact. Again, one must be careful to evaluate all aspects of an aviation system, because im- provements in one area can have detrimental effects in another. One of the goals in safety is to strive for the best mix to produce the lowest risk. Safety Is Risk Management To manage risk, one must first understand the total risk. Prudent risk management will re- duce both probabilities in the RSI formula (prob- ability of an accident and probability of seri- ous injury) and achieve the lowest possible risk. Accident prevention programs attempt to reduce the probability of an accident. Train- ing, standardization, equipment, maintenance and positive management attitude toward safety are key factors in reducing the probability of an accident. Pre-accident planning, flight fol- lowing, aircraft/occupant survival gear and training, and aircraft crashworthiness address the reduction of the probability of serious in- jury. Totally effective accident prevention is a worthwhile goal, but an expectation of abso- lute elimination of accidents is unrealistic. Australian CAA Studies Single vs. Twin Helicopter Transfer of Marine Pilots The Australian Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) conducted a study 9 in September 1989 to re- spond to a recommendation from within the CAA and elsewhere to mandate that twin-en- gine helicopters be utilized for transferring marine pilots between ship and shore rather than the single-engine helicopters that had been used. The study reviewed worldwide accident data. Applicable paragraphs from the study findings and conclusions are quoted below: The CAA believes that greater weight should be given to actual accident performance fig- ures (where these are available) than to theo- retical assumptions about fatal accident rates derived from, say, engine shutdown. For ex- ample, it would fail to account for the trade- Table 9. Relative Risk of Serious Injury in U.S. Army Helicopters Type of Helicopter RSI/100,000 Occupant Hours UH-60 (twin-turbine) 5.11 AH-1 (single-turbine) 4.13 OH-58 (single-turbine) 2.91 UH-1 (single-turbine) 1.36 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 14 off between the extra reliability from having a second engine and the lower reliability of the more complex helicopter system . Informal advice from the industry suggest that it would approximately double the cost of transferring marine pilots by helicopter if twin-engine helicopters were made compul- sory . This report does not pursue costing further because of the lack of conclusive evidence of twin-engined helicopters leading to lower fa- tal accident rates . Marine Authorities have indicated that in some cases the higher cost of twin-engined helicop- ters could lead to them reverting to launches to transfer pilots, which these authorities have stated is less safe than transfer by helicop- ter . Conclusion The CAA believes the proposal to regulate to make it compulsory to use twin- engined helicopters for the transfer of marine pilots to and from ships should be shelved at this time. The CAA concludes that the pro- posal should be shelved because the present very low engine-failure accident rate is ac- ceptable, and because there is no conclusive evidence that using twins would result in a lower fatal accident rate. Helicopter Accidents at Elevated Structures Are Considered The accident histories of turbine-powered he- licopters at elevated structural platforms were compared because of the ICAO Annex 6 pro- hibition of single-engine helicopter operation from elevated structures. Accident data from the NTSB for 1984 through 1988 were used. There were no distinctions made between type of operations being conducted, such as air trans- port versus aerial work. ICAO defines air transport as commercial air transport opera- tion an aircraft operation involving the trans- port of passengers, cargo or mail for remu- neration or hire. Aerial work is defined as an aircraft operation in which an aircraft is used for specialized services such as agriculture, construction, photography, surveying, obser- vation and patrol, search and rescue, aerial advertising, etc. Since the vast majority of helicopter uses are for hire or remuneration, it is not practical to use the ICAO definitions because of some overlap and the fact that the definitions as adopted vary among ICAO states. Many helicopter operations in the United States do not fit perfectly into a particular ICAO defi- nition; also the helicopters in use can change categories of work several times in a day. For example, a helicopter used for EMS purposes can be included in the operational categories of business, unscheduled air taxi and other work. If the helicopter owner is a government/ municipal entity or if the civil operator con- tracts with a government agency for helicop- ter services, the same helicopter can also be considered an exclusive lease aircraft. The ac- cident data should be considered in its en- tirety to be consistent with flight hours. Each NTSB helicopter accident narrative for the latest available data (1984 through 1988) was used to determine all accidents that oc- curred on an elevated landing site or approach- ing/departing the elevated structure. A key word search was used for the following words in the NTSB accident narratives. These key words were Elevated Helipad Net Structure Helideck Rail Platform Heliport Pad Rig Hospital Raised Roof Building Deck The resulting accidents were then separated into movable landing structures and station- ary landing structures. Accidents at the mov- able landing structures that included landing dollies, trailers, trucks, boats, barges and por- table landing structures were eliminated as not being applicable to the safety history of helicopters operating on an elevated structure. The stationary elevated structure accidents are those located at rooftops or offshore platforms. F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 15 There were no single-piston helicopter acci- dents related to stationary elevated platform structures, but some occurred on movable land- ing structures. There were 15 single-turbine helicopter acci- dents at stationary elevated platform struc- tures. Twelve were at offshore platforms and three at a rooftop sites. Of the 15 accidents, four power losses were reported. There were no material failures found during the investi- gation of two of these power losses. The re- maining 11 clearly resulted from human causes as follows: Takeoff with aircraft tied down Landing gear caught on safety net Landing gear caught on deck obstruc- tion Main rotor blade strike Blown off platform during engine start by wind Elevator cover not removed prior to flight. There were 13 twin-turbine helicopter acci- dents at elevated platform structures. Nine were at offshore platforms and four were at roof- tops. Of the nine offshore platform accidents, two were due to material failures of tail rotor drive shafts and one pylon mounting failure that allowed ground resonance. The remain- ing seven offshore platform accidents were human factors related as follows: Tail or tail rotor strike Main rotor strike Flight controls restricted (maintenance error) Takeoff with wheel in safety net Flight control loss. Of the four rooftop accidents, two were power losses due to fuel exhaustion. A tail rotor strike accident and a flight controls restricted acci- dent (loose object in cockpit) made up the two remaining accident causes. Two of these twin- turbine helicopter accidents on stationary el- evated structures were deleted prior to the accident rate calculation because flight-hours were not available for the year of the acci- dents. These accidents involved two twin-tur- bine Aerospatiale SA-330J helicopters which were included above to show the types of ac- cidents (13 accidents) but are deleted in Table 10 when accident rates are used (11 accidents). All single-turbine accidents (which were Model 206s) on stationary elevated structures were usable accidents. Table 10 shows the U.S. elevated structure he- licopter accident history for 1984 through 1988. This table also identifies the stationary elevated structure accidents that were related to power losses. For all accidents at elevated structures, the accident rates for the single-turbine and twin-turbine helicopters were 0.21 and 0.76 per 100,000 flight hours, respectively. There- fore, the single-turbine rate was 72.4 percent lower than the rate for twin-turbine helicop- ters. Considering only those related to power losses, the single-turbine and twin-turbine he- licopter accident rates were 0.071 and 0.139 per 100,000 flight hours, respectively. The single- turbine rate for power loss accidents was 48.9 percent lower than the twin-turbine rate. The second part of Table 10 is similar to the first, except that the fleet flight hours used were for only the models that were involved in elevated structure accidents. In this analy- sis, the single-turbine and twin-turbine acci- dent rates for all causes were 0.29 and 1.18 per 100,000 flight hours, respectively. The single- turbine rate was 75.4 percent lower than the twin-turbine rate. Considering the power-loss accidents, the single-turbine and twin-turbine accident rates were 0.096 and 0.214 per 100,000 flight hours, respectively. The single-turbine rate for power-loss accidents was 55.1 percent lower than the twin-turbine rate. Thus, the actual helicopter accident experience related to helicopter operations at a stationary elevated structure does not justify the prohibition of single-engine helicopters in such operations. F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 16 Evaluating Offshore Helicopter Operator Experience Petroleum Helicopters Inc. (PHI) is the largest commercial helicopter operator in the world. Most of the companys flying is for offshore oil support and is an excellent example of safe helicopter operations in a difficult environ- ment. The latest PHI-furnished flight-hour in- formation and NTSB accident data on PHI he- licopters from 1984 through 1988 indicate that single-turbine helicopters are being operated safely over water and onto elevated platforms. PHI flight hours in Table 11 show that 66.1 percent of PHIs flying was in single-turbine helicopters. Table 12 compares the PHI acci- dent rates for all causes with the U.S. civil helicopter fleet rates for all causes. The PHI accident rate for single-turbine helicopters was 65.8 percent and 62.2 percent lower than the general U.S. single-turbine and twin-turbine helicopter rates, respectively. This illustrates that a safe operation can be conducted using single-turbine helicopters without operational restrictions as proposed by the recent ICAO Annex 6, Amendment 1 change. Time of Accident, Day vs. Night, Considered as Factors Since the actual hours flown at specific times of the 24-hour day are not known, it is diffi- cult to determine relative safety of night flight versus daylight flight. However, it is possible to approximate the distribution of flying at night by considering the random na- ture of material failures. For the pe- riod of 1982 through 1988, the U.S. distribution of accidents (all causes) by the time of day from NTSB data are shown in Figure 13. The break- points between light and dark were assumed at 0600 and 1959 hours. This distribution of accidents is consid- ered conservative, because most fly- ing is done during the summer months Table 10. U.S. Elevated Structure Turbine Helicopter Accident History (1984-1988) Fleet Power-loss Flight All All Causes Power-loss Accident Type of Aircraft Hours Accidents Rate* Accidents Rate* Single 7,035,846 15 0.21 5 0.071 Twin 1,442,116 11 0.76 2 0.139 Using hours of aircraft models involved in accidents: Single Bell Model 206 5,215,001 15 0.29 5 0.096 Twin 222 932,438 11 1.18 2 0.214 AS355 B0105 S58T S76 * Accidents per 100,000 flight hours Table 11. Petroleum Helicopter Inc (PHI) Flight Hours (1984-1988) Type of Aircraft Flight Hours Percentage of Total Single-turbine 1,064,439 66.1 Twin-turbine 545,670 33.9 Total 1,610,117 100 Bell Model 206 only 982,611 61.0 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 17 when the length of daylight is highest. This indicates that 91.8 percent and 82.8 percent of all single-turbine and twin-turbine helicopter accidents, respectively, are occurring in day- light hours. Figure 14 shows the time of accident distribu- tion of airworthiness-failure accidents (all material failures including the engine). For all-airworthiness-failure accidents, 98.2 per- cent and 94.1 percent of single-turbine and twin-turbine helicopter accidents, respectively, are occurring in daylight hours. The two fig- ures have similar distribution; therefore, acci- dents due to material failures do not appear to be adversely affected by lighting, and there- fore, there is insufficient justification to pro- hibit single-engine helicopters from flying at night. The major difference in helicopter and fixed- wing aircraft emergency landings is that the fixed-wing aircraft requirement for a long cleared Table 12. Petroleum Helicopter Inc. (PHI) vs. U.S. Helicopter Accident Rates* (accidents from NTSB, hours from FAA and PHI, 1984-88) Type of Aircraft U.S. (NTSB/FAA) PHI (NTSB/PHI) Single-turbine 5.49 1.88 Twin-turbine 4.37 1.65 Bell Model 206 only 4.28 1.73 * Accidents per 100,000 flight hours landing site increases the likelihood of in- jury during the final phase of the emer- gency. Conversely, a helicopter (regard- less of the number of engines) can use a landing site that is quite small in com- parison to the needs of the fixed-wing air- craft. Likewise, visibility at night is not as critical in a helicopter as in a fixed-wing aircraft due to the helicopters lower speed and greater maneuverability during auto- rotation. Likelihood of a Material Fail- ure Accident at Night Examined Assuming a Model 206 and a twin-turbine he- licopter flew during 10 hours of darkness ev- ery night throughout one full year, each heli- copter would fly 3,652.5 hours during that time. Using the NTSB/FAA accident data for 1984 through 1988 (Table 7), the likelihood of an accident due to a material failure (which in- cludes engine) for the twin-turbine helicopter is estimated at once in 17.2 years, whereas the likelihood in a Model 206 is estimated at once in 26.1 years. Thus, the likelihood of any ma- terial-failure-caused accident is 51.4 percent higher in a twin-turbine helicopter than in the single-turbine Model 206. There is insufficient justification to support the prohibition of night flights using single-engine helicopters with respect to material failures. Figure 13. Time of accidents due to all causes Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 14. Time of accidents due to airworthi- ness failures Graphi c not avai l abl e F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 18 Human Error Accidents Related to Weather Considered Analysis of human error accidents involving weather show a changing trend in the United States. NTSB accident data and FAA flight hours for 1984 through 1988 were divided into an early period of 1984 through 1986 and com- pared to the later period of 1987 and 1988. The results are represented in Table 13. The year 1987 was when Bell Helicopter Textron Inc. began concentrated safety training programs to reduce human error accidents. The range of human error accident rate reductions due to poor weather decisions in the most recent time period have been significantly reduced by be- tween 45 and 72 percent. Bell believes that this reduction is due to safety training, not to mandatory regulations. Bell Institutes Safety Training Approach Accident data analyses can be used to deter- mine if safety programs or other factors are making a change in the accident frequencies. Two out of three accidents are not caused by airworthiness failure but are basically due to human error. Accidents caused by human er- ror (otherwise called pilot error) present an Table 13. U.S. Human Errors Accidents Involving Weather Bell Model Single- 206 Single- Single-piston turbine Twin-turbine turbine Flight Hours 1984-86 1,899,081 4,167,156 821,679 2,997,911 1987-88 1,062,171 2,868,690 620,437 2,217,090 HE WX Accidents 1984-86 26 40 7 25 1987-88 8 8 2 5 HE WX Accidents per 100,000 Flight Hours 1984-86 1.37 0.96 0.85 0.83 1987-88 0.75 0.28 0.32 0.23 HE WX Rate Reduction -45.3% -70.8% -62.4% -72.3% HE = Human Error WX = Weather extremely complex problem with a large num- ber of root causes and an even larger number of potential solutions. Engineers and regula- tory agencies are comfortable working on me- chanical problems because their performance and failure modes are fairly predictable. Thus, aviation safety efforts in the past have made significant gains in minimizing airworthiness failures. More attention is now being made toward the understanding, and eventual reduction, of human error accidents. A worldwide engineering study in 1985 and 1986 into human error accidents of Bell civil helicopter models found that poor judgment was the common factor in all of these accidents 2 . Two directions of concentrated ef- fort at Bell were launched in 1987 to aggres- sively attack the complex human error prob- lem, with the emphasis on judgment training. The companys Human Factors Engineering staff took the approach of developing an arti- ficial intelligence-based software program that would allow a pilot to use a personal com- puter (PC) as a judgment (decision-making) simulator. This program, called the Cockpit Emergency Procedures Expert Trainer (CEPET), also includes emergency procedures training. A CEPET was developed for the Bell JetRanger (206BIII) and LongRanger (206L-3), with one F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 19 completed late in 1990 for the Model 212/412. A CEPET package is provided with each new Bell aircraft delivery; pilots can also purchase a separate CEPET package. The other direction focused on concentrated safety education. Bells System Safety Engi- neering personnel developed a three-hour safety briefing for immediate use with groups of pi- lots and managers. This safety briefing includes how to measure ones risk, what happens in a crash, how one can improve the chances of survival, causes of accidents, root causes of human error, and judgment training. Judgment training emphasizes the use of all resources available to the pilot The emphasis of judgment training is on situ- ational awareness and internal pilot monitor- ing. Portions of the FAA study, DOT/FAA/ PM-86/45, Aeronautical Decision Making for Helicopter Pilots 10 , are used in this safety brief- ing and the FAA report is given to the student for further self study. The safety briefing is given at operator meetings and regional safety seminars, and is included in Bells weekly Model 206 pilots ground school as part of the HELIPROPS (Helicopter Professional Pilots Safety) program. The companys chief training pilot also con- ducts customer HELIPROPS safety briefings on safety awareness, professionalism and managements role in safety. These safety brief- ings are held at the factory, customer sites and regional safety seminars. The Customer Sup- port and Service Department (CSSD) initiated the HELIPROPS program to add continuity and coordination of these safety education ef- forts in 1988. The worldwide effects of this four-year safety education effort on the human error accident rate since the Model 206 effort was initiated in 1987 is shown in Table 14. There have been more than 5,000 Model 206 series helicopters produced, or 70 percent of Bells entire civil turbine helicopter model fleet. Bell also con- ducts flight training in Model 206s. Based on these two factors, the concentrated safety edu- cation effort has been directed at Model 206 pilots. For comparison, the same worldwide data for Bells medium civil helicopters mod- els (204B, 205A1, 214B, 212, 214ST, 222, and 412) are also shown in Table 14. These me- dium helicopter data indicate some reductions in human error causes, but were offset by non- human-error causes; thus the accident rate for all causes was basically the same during the two four-year periods. Conversely, accident rates due to human error in a Model 206 for the four-year period before the initiation of this safety effort (1983-1986) compared with the four-year period since then (1987-1990) show a 36.2 percent reduction in human error accidents. This is a significant safety improvement and only a small portion of the worlds Model 206 pilots have been reached so far. The overall (all causes) Model 206 acci- Table 14. Worldwide Bell Turbine Accident Rates (per 100,000 flight hours) Causes of Accidents Aircraft and Non-human Period Flight Hours Human Error and Unknown All Causes Bell Model 206 1983-1986 7,903,072 3.90 2.05 5.95 1987-1990 9,341,573 2.49 1.89 4.38 Percent change -36.25% -7.8% -26.3% Bell Medium Helicopters 1983-1986 2,438,515 2.62 2.01 4.63 1987-1990 2,472,091 2.31 2.39 4.69 Percent change -11.8% +18.9% +1.3% F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 20 dent rate was reduced by 26.3 percent. Be- cause many pilots fly other helicopters in ad- dition to the Bell Model 206, some spillover of the beneficial effects of judgement training can be expected that should affect the overall heli- copter industry accident rate. Judgment training is also called pilot decision making (PDM) and aeronautical decision making (ADM). The Canadian government is integrating PDM into its pilot training requirements as of April 1991. PHI introduced judgment training as an integral part of its internal training about when Bell introduced its judgment training program in 1987, and has subsequently cut its accident rate in half. The company expects further accident rate reductions as the pro- gram continues. Judgment training has more safety improvement potential than the total elimination of all-airworthiness failure causes. A reflection of the success of the safety educa- tion efforts by several manufacturers of heli- copters in the United States is found in Table 15. This shows a significant reduction in hu- man error accident rates in the turbine heli- copter fleet, although more work is needed in the single-piston fleet. Since safety education is an ongoing effort, it will take several years to benefit all helicopter pilots. The Helicopters Uniqueness Must Be Taken into Account Helicopters behave differently than fixed-wing aircraft after an engine failure. The helicopters ability to autorotate allows the selection of suitable landing sites and a low-speed emer- gency landing from an engine failure. Safety decisions on any one aspect of helicop- ters should not be made without considering all the other safety aspects, as well as the hu- man causes. The safety measurement method to consider is strictly determined by the sub- ject of primary concern. The denominator of the frequency rate will include this primary concern. If aircraft damage frequency is the primary concern, then an accident per aircraft flight hour method is appropriate. If the mis- sion is the primary concern, then accidents per mission (takeoff, departure, takeoff, flight, trip, passenger mile or patient transport) is appropriate. If the primary concern is the risk of an accident in a neighborhood without re- gard to the aircraft occupants, then years-be- tween-accidents measurement for that specific neighborhood exposure is appropriate. With the safety of the aircraft occupant as the pri- mary concern, the relative risk of serious in- jury per occupant flight hour is the best method.o References 1. Amendment No. 1 to International Stan- dards and Recommended Practices, Opera- tion of Aircraft, Annex 6 to the Convention on International Civil Aviation, Part III, International Operations Helicopters, In- ternational Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), March 1990. Table 15. Safety Education Effects on Human Error Accident Rates NTSB/FAA (U.S.-registered) Rate* Before Rate* Since Type of Helicopter (1984-86) (1987-88) Percent Changes Single-piston 11.16 10.92 -2.2% Other Than Bell Model 206 single-turbine 4.11 3.07 -25.3% Twin-turbine 2.56 1.61 -37.1% Bell Model 206 single-turbine** 3.40 1.76 -48.2% * Human error accidents per 100,000 hours ** Concentrated HELIPROPS safety education F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 21 2. Fox, R. G., Helicopter Accident Trends, American Helicopter Society/Helicopter As- sociation International/FAA Seminar, Ver- tical Flight Training Needs and Solutions, September 1987. 3. Fox, R. G., Relative Risk, the True Mea- sure of Safety, Flight Safety Foundation, Proceedings of the 28th Corporate Aviation Safety Seminar, April 1983. 4. Commuter Airline Safety, Special Study, National Transportation Safety Board, Re- port NTSB-AAS-80-1. 5. Collett, H. F., Accident Trends for Air Medi- cal Helicopters, Hospital Aviation, Febru- ary 1989. 6. Fox, R. G., Helicopter Crashworthiness, Flight Safety Foundation, Proceedings of the 34th Corporate Aviation Safety Seminar, April 1989. 7. Fox, R. G., Helicopters Are Safe Neigh- bors, Helicopter Association International, 1990 Helicopter Annual, January 1990. 8. Shanahan, D. F. and M. O., Injury in U.S. Army Helicopter Crashes, October 1979 to September 1985, Journal of Trauma, April 1989. 9. Pardy, B. T., Preliminary Safety Impact Statement Twin-Engined Helicopters for Ma- rine Pilot Transfers, Australian Civil Aviation Authority, Report A SR-2, September 1989. 10. Adams, R., and Thompson, J., Aeronauti- cal Decision Making for Helicopter Pilots, Federal Aviation Administration, DOT/FAA/ PM-86/45, February 1987. About the Author Roy G. Fox directs the System Safety Engineering Group as Chief Safety Engineer for Bell Helicopter, Textron. He joined Bell in 1966 immediately after graduation with a Bachelor of Science Degree in Mechani cal Engi neeri ng f rom New Mexi co University. In addition to his work in safety engineering, Fox has been deeply involved in crash survival of military and civil helicopters. In this field, he has directed the Crashworthiness Project Group for the helicopter industry. Fox is a member of the General Aviation Safety Panel for seat restraints and post-crash fire protection, and participates in the SAE committees on seat and restraint requirements. He is a lecturer on crash survival and human performance at the Bell Training School and the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration Helicopter Safety and Accident Investigation course. F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 22 Aviation Statistics The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has reported that near midair collision inci- dents, air traffic controller operational errors and pilot deviations continued to show a de- cline in 1990 as compared with those recorded in previous years, but runway incursions showed an increase two years in a row. This informa- tion was provided in the final report, 1990 Aviation Safety Statistics, prepared by the FAAs office of the assistant administrator for avia- tion safety. A near midair collision refers to an incident associated with the operation of an aircraft during which a possibility of collision occurs as a result of a proximity of less than 500 feet Near Midair Collisions, Operational Errors and Pilot Deviations by Shung C. Huang Statistical Consultant from another aircraft, or an official report is received from an air crew member stating that a collision hazard existed between two or more aircraft. The 452 near midair collisions, re- ported during last year, were 606 (57) percent less than the 1,058 recorded in 1987 and was the lowest level since 1984. The 1990 figure represents the third consecutive year that near midair collision reports dropped since the FAA upgraded its reporting system in 1985 to en- sure more complete data collection on these incidents. Figure 1 shows the downtrend of near midair collision incidents for the past six years, and Figure 2 illustrates how midair collisions hap- pened more often in the summertime than any other time of the year. In the months of July, August and September, air traffic for both civil and military were the heaviest during each year. An operational error refers to an occurrence attributable to an element of the air traffic control system which results in less than the applicable separation minima between two or more aircraft, or between an aircraft and ter- rain or obstacles and obstructions as required by FAA Handbook 7110.65 and supplemental instructions. Obstructions include vehicles, equipment, personnel or runways. Beginning in 1984, the FAA began installing computer software in all domestic air route traffic con- trol centers that automatically records viola- tions of the agencys aircraft separation stan- dards. The 881 operational errors made by Figure 1. Near Midair Collisions 1985-1990 Graphi c not avai l abl e F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 23 controllers in 1990 were the lowest since 1983. Figure 3 shows the trend of air traffic control- ler operational errors for the past six years. Air traffic controller operational errors dropped from a high of 1,406 in 1985 to 881 in 1990, down by 524 errors, or 37 percent. Figure 4 shows the occurrence of operational errors by month for the past six years. Note that the monthly frequency of operational errors ap- pears to have an almost identical pattern each year. Air traffic controllers usually commit- ted fewer operational errors in January and February. The frequencies of operational er- rors increased in March and April, dropped in May and continued to rise into July; they went up again in August and gradually declined from September to the end of the year. Pilot deviation refers to those actions of a pi- lot that result in the violation of U.S. Federal Aviation Regulations or airspace violation of a North American Air Defense (NORAD) Com- mand Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) tolerance. Figure 5 shows the trend of pilot deviations over the past six years. Pilot de- viations increased from 1,800 in 1985 to 3,625 in 1987, the highest in recent years, then de- creased to 2,460 in 1990. Although the 2,460 pilot deviations in 1990 were only slightly lower than those in 1989, the figure is well below the 1987 level. Figure 6 shows the annual fre- quency of pilot deviations by month which also indicates that pilots committed more er- rors during the summer of each year. Runway incursion refers to an occurrence at an airport involving an aircraft, vehicle, per- Figure 2. Near Midair Collision Reports by Month 1985-1990 Figure 3. Air Traffic Controller Operational Er- rors 1985-1990 Figure 4. Air Traffic Controller Operational Er- rors by Month 1985-1990 Graphi c not avai l abl e Graphi c not avai l abl e Graphi c not avai l abl e F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 24 son or object on the ground that created a collision hazard or resulted in loss of proper separation with an aircraft taking off, intend- ing to take off, landing or intending to land. Against the downtrends of other safety indi- cators, runway incursions steadily increased from 179 in 1988, to 233 in 1989 and to 267 in 1990. Figures 7 and 8 show the trend and annual frequency distribution by month of run- way incursions. Almost every year in the past four years, runway incursions were relatively higher in March, June, August, October and December and often relatively lower in Febru- ary, April, July, September and November. During the most recent 15 months, there were five fatal accidents at U.S. airports, involving U.S. air carrier aircraft, accounting for 33 fa- talities. That was the highest number of fatal accidents in any 15-month period in U.S. air carrier safety records. Three of the fatal acci- dents were ground collisions between aircraft. One pedestrian was killed on a runway by an aircraft during takeoff and one mechanic was fatally injured by a tug during towing. o Figure 5. Pilot Deviations 1985-1990 Figure 7. Runway Incursions 1987-1990 Figure 6. Pilot Deviations by Month 1985-1990 Graphi c not avai l abl e Graphi c not avai l abl e Graphi c not avai l abl e Graphi c not avai l abl e Figure 8. Runway Incursions by Month 1987- 1990 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 25 Reports Received at FSF Jerry Lederer Aviation Safety Library Reference Federal Aviation Regulations, Part 135-Air Taxi Operators and Commercial Operators; Change 38. Washington, D.C. : United States. Federal Avia- tion Administration [1991]. Summary: This change incorporates Special Federal Aviation Regulation (SFAR) 38-6, Cer- tification and Operating Requirements, effec- tive June 5, 1990, and Amendment No. 135-39, Minimum Equipment Lists (MEL), effective June 20, 1991, in Federal Aviation Regulation Part 135. Reports Aircraft Accident Report: Avianca, the Airline of Colombia, Boeing 707-321B, HK 2016, Fuel Ex- haustion, Cove Neck, New York, January 25, 1990/ United States. National Transportation Safety Board. Washington, D.C. : U.S. National Transportation Safety Board; Springfield, Vir- ginia, U.S. : Available through NTIS*, Adopted April 30, 1991, Notation: 5255B. Report NTSB/ AAR-91/04; NTIS PB 91-910404. vi, 6 p. : ill. Key Words 1. Aeronautics Accidents 1990. 2. Aeronautics Accidents Fuel Exhaustion. 3. Aeronautics Accidents Pilot Lan- guage Proficiency. 4. Aeronautics Accidents Air Traffic Control Procedures. 5. Aeronautics Accidents Pilot Fatigue. 6. Aeronautics Accidents Windshear. 7. Aeronautics Accidents Flight Planning. 8. Aeronautics Accidents Takeoff/ Landing. 9. Avianca Airlines Accidents 1990. Summary: On January 25, 1990, at approxi- mately 2134 eastern standard time, Avianca Airlines flight 052, a Boeing 707-321B with Colombian registration HK 2016, crashed in a wooded residential area in Cove Neck, Long Island, New York. AVA052 was a scheduled international passenger flight from Bogota, Colombia, to John F. Kennedy International Airport, New York, with an intermediate stop at Jose Maria Cordova Airport, near Medillin, Colombia. Of the 158 persons aboard, 73 were fatally injured, including all three flight crew and five of six cabin crew members. Because of poor weather conditions in the northeast- ern part of the United States, the flight crew was placed in holding three times by air traf- fic control for a total of about 1 hour and 17 minutes. During the third period of holding, the flight crew reported that the airplane could not hold longer than five minutes, that it was running out of fuel, and that it could not reach its alternate airport, Boston-Logan International. Subsequently, the flight crew executed a missed approach to John F. Kennedy International Air- port. While trying to return to the airport, the airplane experienced a loss of power from all four engines and crashed approximately 16 miles from the airport. The NTSB determined that the probable cause of this accident was the failure of the flight crew to adequately manage the aircrafts fuel load, and their failure to communicate an emer- gency fuel situation to air traffic control be- fore fuel exhaustion occurred. Contributing to the accident was the flight crews failure to use an airline operational control dispatch system to assist them during the international flight into a high-density airport in poor weather. Also contributing to the accident was inad- equate traffic flow management by the Fed- eral Aviation Administration and the lack of standardized understandable terminology for pilots and controllers for minimum and emer- gency fuel states. F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 26 Recommendations A-91-33 through A-91-38 and A-90-9 through A-90-11 were issued as a re- sult of this accident. [executive summary] Aircraft Maintenance: Additional FAA Oversight Needed of Aging Aircraft Repairs. Vol. I and II. Report to the Chairman, Subcommittee on Avia- tion, Committee on Public Works and Trans- portation, House of Representatives/United States. General Accounting Office (GAO). Washington, D.C., U.S. : U.S. General Accounting Office*, May 24, 1991.Report GAO/RCED-91- 91A and GAO/RCED-91-91B, B-242727.71 p. ; 57 p. ; ill. Key Words 1. Air Planes Maintenance and Repair United States. 2. Jet Transports Maintenance and Repair United States. 3. Aeronautics, Commercial Safety Measures United States. Summary: Volume I describes that portion of the U.S. aircraft repair industry that performs heavy airframe maintenance on large trans- port aircraft. Specifically, it examines increases in demand for heavy airframe maintenance; constraints on supply, including parts, skilled mechanics, and hangar space; and air carriers efforts to comply with new requirements for agi ng ai rcraft and the Federal Avi ati on Administrations (FAA) oversight of air carri- ers as they attempt to comply with the new rules. Volume II provides the questionnaire response of the 48 air carriers and 35 indepen- dent repair stations participating in the re- view on the issues examined in Volume 1. [In- troductory letter] To improve FAAs oversight of aging aircraft AD compliance, GAO recommends that the Secretary of Transportation direct the Admin- istrator, FAA, to (1) require domestic air carri- ers to submit periodic reports on their imple- mentation of FAAs new rules for aging air- craft, (2) submit to the chairmen of the avia- tion authorization subcommittees in the U.S. House and Senate a semiannual report on the industrys progress in complying with FAAs aging aircraft mandates, and (3) explore op- tions for extending compliance deadlines or granting alternative means of compliance when warranted by resource shortages and ensured airworthiness of each aircraft. [recommenda- tions] Annual Review of Aircraft Accident Data. U.S. Air Carrier Operations, Calendar Year 1988/United States. National Transportation Safety Board. Washington, D.C. : U.S. National Transpor- tation Safety Board; Springfield, Virginia, U.S. : Available through NTIS*, April 18, 1991.Re- port NTSB/ARC-91/01, NTIS PB91-176040. 76 p.; charts, graphs. Key Words 1. Aeronautics Accidents 1988. 2. Aeronautics Accidents Statistics 1988. 3. Aeronautics Accidents United States 1988. 4. Aeronautics, Commercial Accidents United States. Contents: Introduction 14 CFR 121, 125, 127 Operations Scheduled 14 CFR 135 Op- erations Nonscheduled 14 CFR 135 Opera- tions Midair Collision Accidents Explana- tory Notes Cause/Factor Table-14 CFR 121, 125, 127 Cause/Factor Table-Scheduled 14 CFR 135 Cause/Factor Table-Nonscheduled 14 CFR 135 NTSB Form 6120.4. Summary: Presents the record of aviation ac- cidents involving revenue operations of U.S. air carriers including commuter air carriers and on-demand air taxis for calendar year 1988. [author abstract] Aviation Safety: Changes Needed in FAAs Service Difficulty Reporting Program. Report to the Chair- man, Subcommittee on Aviation, Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, U.S. Senate/United States. General Accounting Office. Washington, D.C., U.S.: U.S. General Ac- counting Office*, March, 1991. Report GAO/ RCED-91-24; B238393. 16 p. Key Words 1. Jet Transports Airworthiness. 2. Jet Transports Inspection United States. 3. Aeronautics Accidents United States. F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 27 Summary: GAO evaluated the effectiveness of t he pa r t of t he Fe de r a l Avi a t i on Administrations (FAA) Service Difficulty Re- port (SDR) program related to large, airline- operated aircraft. GAO found that several factors stemming primarily from FAAs management inattention limit the programs usefulness. Information that one airline considers report- able may go unreported by another airline; useful information does not reach subscribers for more than six weeks because of delays in manual data processing through a paper-based system; FAA does not analyze the data, as re- quired by FAA policy, to detect malfunction trends in specific aircraft models or focus the efforts of FAAs inspection work force because of insufficient staff and unreliable data. Alter- natives do exist, such as major equipment manu- facturers managing the program. Several policy issues regarding cost, liability and the manu- facturers roles in regulating air safety need to be addressed before an alternative is chosen. [Results in brief] Donning Times and Flotation Characteristics of Infant Life Preservers: Four Representative Types. Final Report/Gordon E. Funkhouser and Gre- gory W. Fairlie (Civil Aeromedical Institute). Washington, D.C. : United States. Federal Aviation Administration Office of Aviation Medicine; Springfield, Virginia, U.S.: Available through NTIS*, April, 1991. Report DOT/FAA/ AM-91/6. 12 p. : ill. Key Words 1. Aeronautics, Commercial Safety Measures. 2. Survival (After Airplane Accidents, Shipwrecks, etc.). 3. Life-preservers. 4. Drowning Prevention Equipment and Supplies. 5. Infants. Summary: Four currently available represen- tative types of infant life preservers were tested to assess the donning times and flotation char- acteristics for infant subjects (six months to two years old). Donning times were recorded from the time the unwrapped device was handed to the parent until the last connection or ad- justment was made. The device that was most quickly donned was an inflatable type with a vest attached to the top of the upper chamber (median donning time was 28.8 seconds). This infant life preserver also exhibited good body support with the head well above the water. The two fixed-foam devices were designed to have approximately one-third of the buoyancy of the two inflatable types and relied on assis- tance from an adult to maintain the infant in a safe flotation attitude. It appears that the fixed- foam infant life preservers would provide more thermal protection than the inflatable life pre- servers. [author abstract] Electronic Checklists: Evaluation of Two Levels of Automation/Everett Palmer (U.S. National Aero- nautics and Space Administration (NASA)-Ames Research Center) and Asaf Degani (San Jose State Foundation). Moffett Field, Califor- nia, U.S.: NASA Ames Research Center, 1991. 6 p. ; ill. Key Words 1. Airplanes Piloting Automation. 2. Airplanes Piloting Checklists. 3. Airplanes Cockpits Automation. Notes Paper presented at the Sixth International Sym- posium on Aviation Psychology, April 29-May 2, 1991, Columbus, Ohio, U.S.. Summary: Two versions of an electronic check- list, differing in degree of pilot involvement in conducting the checklists, and a paper checklist (as a control condition) were evaluated in line- oriented simulation. Two aircrews from one major air carrier flew a routine, four leg, short- haul trip. This paper presents and discusses the portion of the experiment that was con- cerned with measuring the effect of the degree of automation on the crews performance. It discusses and presents evidence for a poten- tial downside of implementing an electronic checklist that is designed to provide fully re- dundant monitoring of human procedure ex- ecution and monitoring. [modified author ab- stract] Philosophy, Policies, and Procedures: The Three Ps of Flight-deck Operations /Asaf Degani (San F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 28 Jose State University Foundation) and Earl L. Wiener (University of Miami). Moffett Field, California, U.S.: NASA Ames Research Cen- ter, 1991. 8 p. Key Words 1. Aeronautics Accidents Human Factors. 2. Aeronautics Accidents. 3. Airplanes Operational Procedures. 3. Airplanes Piloting Human Factors. Notes Paper presented at the Sixth International Sym- posium on Aviation Psychology, April 29-May 2, 1991, Columbus, Ohio, U.S.. Research was supported by NASA Ames Re- search Center Grants NCC2-327 to the San Jose State University Foundation and Grant NCA2- 441 to the University of Miami. Includes references. Summary: Standard operating procedures (SOP) are drafted and provided to flight crews to dictate the manner in which tasks are carried out. Failure to conform to SOP is frequently listed as the cause of violations, incidents and accidents. However, procedures are often de- signed piecemeal, rather than being based on a sound philosophy of operations and policies that follow from such a philosophy. A frame- work of philosophy, policies and procedures is proposed. [author abstract] The Use and Design of flight crew Checklists and Manuals. Final Report/John W. Turner (EF&G Dynatrend) and M. Stephen Huntley Jr. (U.S. Department of Transportation Research and Special Programs Administration). Wash- ington, D.C. : United States. Federal Aviation Administration Office of Aviation Medicine; Springfield, Virginia, U.S. : Available through NTIS*, April, 1991. Report DOT/FAA/AM- 91/7. 75 p. : ill. Key Words 1. Airplanes Piloting Checklists. 2. Airplanes Piloting Handbooks, Manuals, etc. 3. Airlines Operational Procedures. 4. Air Pilots Handbooks, Manuals, etc. 5. Aeronautics, Commercial Safety Measures. Summary: A survey of aircraft checklists and flight manuals was conducted to identify im- pediments to their use and to determine if standards or guidelines for their design were needed. Information for this purpose was col- lected through the review of checklists and manuals from six Part 121 and nine Part 135 carriers, review of NTSB and Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) reports, analysis of an Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA) survey of air carrier pilots, and by direct observation in air carrier cockpits. The survey revealed that some checklists and manuals were diffi- cult to locate and were poorly designed for use in the cockpit environment, the use of check- lists by flight crews was not always well de- fined, the use of checklists interfered with other flight operations and flight operations often made it difficult to use checklists effectively. The report contains recommendations for the format and content of checklists and manuals, their use by flight crews, and areas of research relevant to checklist design. [author abstract] *U.S. Department of Commerce National Technical Information Service (NTIS) Springfield, VA 22161 U.S. Telephone: (703) 487-4780 *U.S. General Accounting Office (GAO) Post Office Box 6012 Gaithersburg, MD 20877 U.S. Telephone: (202) 275-6241 F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 29 This information is intended to provide an aware- ness of problem areas through which such occur- rences may be prevented in the future. Accident/ incident briefs are based upon preliminary infor- mation from government agencies, aviation orga- nizations, press information and other sources. This information may not be accurate. Accident/Incident Briefs Air Carrier Air Carrier Who Left the Door Open? Boeing 747: Minor damage. No injuries. The widebody aircraft was preparing to de- part the terminal for a regularly scheduled flight. The flight was being operated during the daytime, early in the afternoon. After all pre-taxi checks had been completed, the aircraft was being pushed back from its parking position at the terminal gate. A left front passenger door, that had inadvertently been left open, collided with the jetway and was damaged as the aircraft rolled back. The aircraft had to be taken out of service for re- pairs and the passengers transferred to other flights. Overshot Altitude While Looking for Traffic Boeing 737: No damage. No injuries. The air carrier had just departed the airport and was climbing to its initially assigned alti- tude of 14,000 feet. The captain was provid- ing initial operating experience for a new first officer who was flying the aircraft. As the aircraft approached the 13,000-foot level, air traffic control (ATC) issued a traffic advi- sory for a target at 11 oclock at 15,000 feet. At first, neither pilot was able to see the reported traffic and both were distracted looking for it. As a result, the aircraft continued climbing through its assigned clearance level of 14,000 feet. The pilots received an altitude alert, and an ATC altitude deviation advisory at 14,300 feet and were able to reverse the climb by 14,500 feet. Despite a quick return to the cleared altitude, legal vertical separation of 500 feet had been lost between the 737 and the other aircraft. Among lessons learned are ensuring that some- one is flying the aircraft at all times, that the rate of climb is closely monitored during the last 1,000 feet of climb, and that procedures be established for receiving clearances and set- ting the altitude alert system. Strange Noise at Night Makes Flight Interesting Fokker F.27 Friendship: No damage. No injuries. The aircraft was departing on a scheduled flight during the night. The aircraft and systems had checked OK during preflight checks. Air Taxi/ Commuter Air Taxi Commuter F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 30 However, after rotation the noise level in the cockpit increased substantially. The sound became worse as the aircraft increased speed during the climbout. The flight crew investi- gated the sound and the noise appeared to be coming from the first officers side window. The crew reduced the airspeed and it was de- termined that the first officers window was ajar, even though the locking handle was in the down and locked position. When it had been visually inspected during the preflight checks, the window had appeared to be closed; but the locking bolts had not been engaged properly. The first officer opened the window and closed it properly and the noise stopped. The flight was continued without further incident. Too Busy Talking To Passenger Piper PA-31 Navajo Chieftain: Substantial dam- age. No injuries. The aircraft was inbound on an approach. There were a pilot and two passengers aboard. The pilot had total of 13,000 flying hours, 1,500 in type and 200 during the previous three months. The aircraft was cleared for a straight-in ap- proach to land. The pilot was explaining the pre-landing checks to one of the passengers. During the conversation, the pilot noticed that the nose gear landing lights were not illumi- nated. Because he thought the landing gear had been placed down, he assumed that the landing gear indicator bulbs had failed. The pilot continued the approach and the aircraft landed with the landing gear retracted. There was no fire, but the aircraft sustained substantial damage to the propellers, flaps and underside of the fuselage. There were no inju- ries to the occupants. The pilot reported that he forgot to lower the landing gear, and that the power setting was too high for the warning horn to actuate. Man-made Windshear Snaps Gear Leg Cessna 303 Crusader: Substantial damage. No injuries. The aircraft was approaching to land after a morning flight. There were a pilot and three passengers aboard the twin-engine aircraft. The pilot had obtained destination airport weather information en route that reported wind from 280 to 300 degrees magnetic at 20 knots, gusting to 34 knots. He would be using runway 25. Approaching the airport, he at- tempted to contact the Unicom to determine weather conditions, but there was no operator available. During final approach, the aircraft descended rapidly from a height of approximately 100 feet and struck the ground hard enough that the right main gear assembly broke away. The pilot elected to abort the landing and continue to his home base airport where better emer- gency and repair facilities were available. A short time after the aborted landing, the wind at the airport was reported to be gusting from 20 to 36 knots from the northwest. After a flyby of the control tower at the home airport it was confirmed that the right gear was missing. The runway was foamed and the pilot accomplished a gear-up landing with no further difficulties. The aircraft sustained further damage due to the landing but the passengers deplaned with no injuries. The pilot was cited for failing to adjust the airplanes approach speed for the gusty wind conditions at the airport where the gear had been damaged. He was familiar with the air- Corporate Executive Corporate Executive F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 31 port and the accident report stated that he should have been aware of a published cau- tionary warning that there was a possibility of windshear when landing on runway 25 with northwest winds in excess of 10 knots. The windshear pilots are cautioned about is caused by buildings and farm silos near the threshold of the runway. Severe Icing Is a Severe Threat Beech 65 Queen Air: Aircraft destroyed. Fatal injuries to 1. The aircraft was carrying cargo across the south- east corner of Australia some time after 0300 hours in July, winter season down under. The area forecast included a freezing level at 4,500 feet east of an approaching front, moderate to severe icing in cumulus clouds, visibility less than four miles in heavy rain showers and less than 1,000 feet in snow showers. After a normal departure, the pilot flew the aircraft to a cruising level of 8,000 feet. He reported passing his first checkpoint and was given further clearance. This was the last con- tact air traffic control personnel had with the pilot. Persons sleeping in the path of the planned flight were awakened by very loud engine noises from an aircraft that was obviously flying at a very low altitude in an approximately south- ern direction. They saw a flash of light fol- lowed almost immediately by the sound of a thud. The weather in the vicinity of the accident included snow and fog. Several hours later, searchers found the wreckage of the aircraft; it had been destroyed and the pilot was fatally injured. The aircraft had struck power lines at a height of 100 feet and crashed. Weather in the area included snow and fog. Other pilots flying in the vicinity had reported encountering rime icing that some- times was severe. Forced Landing Practice Taught Another Lesson Cessna 206: No damage. No injuries. The aircraft was being used for dual instruc- tion. An instructor and a student were the only persons aboard the single-engine aircraft. The maneuver was forced landing practice and, although the terrain was not suitable for an actual emergency landing, the instructor re- duced power by pulling back the throttle and declared a simulated power failure. The stu- dent pilot accomplished the proper procedures and established a landing approach to a stretch of road. When the aircraft had descended to within a couple of hundred feet of trees, the instructor ordered the student pilot to add power and end the simulated forced landing approach. The student applied full power. The engine did not respond. The instructor checked the position of the fuel selector and called for the fuel boost pump to be activated, while watching an automobile moving in the section of road intended for the simulated forced landing. The engine started before an actual landing was necessary and the aircraft climbed back to altitude without further mishap. The flight was completed and neither pilot thought further about checking out the reason for the engines failure to re- spond during the forced landing practice. The aircraft sat for a week without being flown. During preflight engine runup prior to a long flight, the pilot advanced the throttle rapidly and the engine died. Remembering the prac- tice forced landing episode, the pilot recalled Other General Aviation Other General Aviation F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT SAF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 32 from the station towards which he was headed. The pilot reported continuous light rime icing and was cleared lower to 7,000 feet, the mini- mum radar vectoring level. Upon levelling off, however, the pilot requested a still-lower level but that was not available and ATC of- fered a vector to the south off the airway and toward lower terrain. The pilot declined the offer, and the controller questioned if the air- craft was picking up ice and whether the pilot could maintain his altitude. The pilot reported that the icing was light and that the flight was OK. Within the minute, the pilot requested a lower altitude and was observed to have descended to 6,000 before the clearance was given two minutes later. The controller indicated there was an alternate airport eight miles away and asked if he could maintain that altitude, to which the pilot answered yes. Almost immediately, the pilot announced that he had an engine problem and could not maintain altitude. He requested a vector toward the alternate airport and advised that one engine was shut down. The aircraft disappeared from radar coverage and that was the last radio communication from the aircraft. Subsequently, the aircraft entered heavy rain and showers of ice pellets as it descended be- neath the clouds and, unable to maintain alti- tude, the pilot made a successful forced land- ing in rugged terrain. One passenger was in- jured seriously, and the other occupants sus- tained minor injuries, but they all were able to exit the aircraft before post-impact fire destroyed it. At no point during the incident did the pilot declare an emergency to ATC. The basic cause of the accident was that the pilot continued flight into severe icing condi- tions in an aircraft that was not properly equipped. Contributing factors were that he was advised of the severe icing by a previous flight along his route and that by not declar- ing an emergency, he precluded timely assis- tance. previous trouble with the engine fuel pump. During an engine change 200 hours previously, the fuel pump had not responded well to pressure adjustment, and maintenance personnel had been having trouble adjusting the idle mix- ture recently. Further checking by the over- haul shop disclosed that the fuel pumps low- pressure adjustment screw was loose and it was not possible to maintain pressure adjust- ments; an excessive amount of adjusting had caused the screw to become loose. Lessons learned included paying attention to signs that the engine was not functioning prop- erly; that practice forced landings should be made where good approaches to actual land- ing sites are available in case the engine fails to respond; and that the engine should be cleared properly during idle descent to ensure its avail- ability for the go-around. One Engine Out in Ice But no Emergency Piper PA-23-250 Aztec: Aircraft destroyed. Seri- ous injuries to one, minor injuries to three. The pilot and three passengers were returning home from a skiing vacation in the light twin- engine aircraft. After receiving a telephone weather briefing, the pilot filed an instrument flight rules (IFR) flight plan for 12,000 feet and, after ATC re- ported severe turbulence and heavy icing in the general area he requested a higher alti- tude. Cleared to 14,000 feet, the pilot remained in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC). The pilot then requested a descent and was cleared to 10,000 feet even though severe tur- bulence and moderate to heavy icing was re- ported at that altitude. He reported that he was only experiencing light rime icing at the time. During the descent, the VOR navigation re- ception from the station behind the aircraft was interrupted and the pilot was given radar vectors to help him stay on the airway until reliable VOR reception could be established F LI GHT SAFETY FOUNDATI ON F LI GHT S AF E TY DI GE S T AUGUST 1991 33 Dead Tree Snags Helicopter Bell 206B Jetranger III: Substantial damage. No injuries. The pilot was on the way from his home base to pick up a passenger at a small airstrip in a wooded area. Arriving at the destination, he overflew the landing site at a height of ap- proximately 500 feet and began a wide, de- scending approach to a downwind leg. While turning to base leg, the pilot heard a thump sound and noticed that both lower vi- sion bubbles were broken. He assumed the helicopter had struck a bird and checked the engine instruments and caution lights but noth- ing was amiss, so he continued the landing. After touching down, the pilot left the engine running while he inspected for damage. There was damage to the lower vertical tail fin but, with the tail rotor still turning, he did not inspect the area closely. He cancelled the pas- senger flight, and cleaned the cockpit area around the broken plexiglass, throwing out broken pieces of the canopy and some pieces of wood he assumed had blown in during the landing. Lifting off into a hover, the pilot checked that there were no unusual vibrations and flew back to home base. Inspection by maintenance personnel after the aircraft had been shut down at the home facil- ity revealed widespread damage to the main and tail rotor blades, dents and scrapes else- where on windshield and metal skin of the rotorcraft and a damaged antenna. There were no feathers or blood indicative of a bird strike; however, bits of wood and bark pointed to a tree strike. A visit to the landing site revealed that the helicopter had collided with the top of a 150- foot-high dead tree approximately 250 feet away from the center of the landing strip. Although much taller than surrounding trees, the dead tree had no leaves to draw attention to it. There were numerous contributing factors in- volved. The company was short of pilots and the workload was high; the pilot had worked a demanding 12-hour schedule the previous day. He had just returned to work from a holiday that involved visitors in the home and a sick wife, resulting in his having to assist with the childrens schooling needs. The day of the tree strike, the pilot had begun work at 0545 and flew five attention-demanding flights; the accident flight was expected to be an easy one and he was relaxed. He made a wide left traffic pattern to give himself plenty of room for the approach, and in a helicopter that has a blind area on the lower left, failed to see the tree. Third Autorotation Was Not a Charm Bell 206B: Substantial damage. No injuries. The aircraft was being used for autorotation training. A flight instructor and a student pilot were the only occupants. The student had successfully completed two autorotations to touchdown and was nearing the ground on a third simulated power-off ap- proach. At a height of three feet, the student began applying cushioning collective pitch and leveled the rotorcraft. Then, when the aircraft was one foot above the ground, the student applied aft cyclic control, causing the rear portion of the landing skids to hit the ground. Both the instructor and the student applied forward cyclic control and the aircraft rocked back and forth through several cycles. By the time it came to rest, the helicopter had sustained sub- stantial damage. The instructor and the stu- dent pilot were not injured. o Rotorcraft Rotorcraft