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BB It 417-Cisy 403 Simulation and Modeling DLM Assignment

(1) This document contains instructions for a simulation and modeling assignment with 11 questions covering key topics in discrete event simulation. Students are asked to describe components of a simulation, use the flow balance equation to show system stability, explain random number generation techniques, define common distributions, and describe the steps in a simulation study. (2) Questions also cover generating random numbers from different distributions, comparing logical and physical models, analyzing a bakery stock simulation, and calculating probabilities for a Poisson process of repair calls. (3) Students are instructed to include their name, course code, and references on the cover and back pages when submitting their work.

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337 views

BB It 417-Cisy 403 Simulation and Modeling DLM Assignment

(1) This document contains instructions for a simulation and modeling assignment with 11 questions covering key topics in discrete event simulation. Students are asked to describe components of a simulation, use the flow balance equation to show system stability, explain random number generation techniques, define common distributions, and describe the steps in a simulation study. (2) Questions also cover generating random numbers from different distributions, comparing logical and physical models, analyzing a bakery stock simulation, and calculating probabilities for a Poisson process of repair calls. (3) Students are instructed to include their name, course code, and references on the cover and back pages when submitting their work.

Uploaded by

Jacob Martins
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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KENYA METHODIST UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER SCIENCE AND BUSINESS INFORMATION


NAIROBI CAMPUS

BB IT 417/CISY 403 SIMULATION AND MODELING
ASSIGNMENT
Instructions:
Type all your work and indicate the following items:

Cover page:
Course Code
Course Title
Students Registration Name
Students Registration Number
Back page:

List of References

Any other additional suitable instruction by Course Lecturer
You can send your completed assignments either:
A soft copy via email to: [email protected]
AND
A hard copy via ODLM office.







(1) Describe five key components of a discrete event simulation. (5Mks)

(2) Using the flow balance equation (flow out = flow in), show that the proportion of time
spent by a system in any state can be expressed in terms of the proportion of time spent at
state zero, and hence the system is stable.(10mks)
(3) (i) why do we used uniformly distributed random numbers in simulation
(4mks)
(ii) Briefly highlight factors to be considered when selecting a simulation
language (5 mks)
(iii) Differentiate between logical and physical models (4marks)
(iv) Briefly explain any three common techniques used to generate random
numbers (4mks)
(v) (i) Use linear congruential mixed model to generate the first five random numbers
given the parameters m=63, a=22, c=4, z
o
=19.(5mks)
(vi) Obtain uniformly distributed random numbers from (i) above(2mks)
(4) Briefly explain the properties of the following distributions
(i) Binomial distribution (3mks)
(ii) Normal distribution (3mks)
(iii) Poisson distribution (2mks)
(5) Briefly describe the statistical tests used to test for randomness (3mks)
(6) Given the function
f(x)=4x
3
, Explain how you can generate random numbers from this function
using the inverse transform method.(3mks)
(7) What are the advantages for using simulation other than experimenting with real life
systems? (5mks)
(8) A Bakery Shop keeps stock of a popular brand of cake. Previous experience
indicates the daily demand as given below:
Daily demand Probability
0 0.01
15 0.15
25 0.20
35 0.50
45 0.12
50 0.02
Consider the following sequence of random numbers:
21, 27, 47, 54, 60, 39, 43, 91, 25, 20
(a) Using this sequence, simulate the demand for the next 10 days. Find out the
stock situation, if the owner of the bakery shop decides to make 30 cakes
ever day. Also estimate the daily average demand for the cakes on the basis
of simulated data.(16mks)
(b) Sketch graphs showing surplus and shortage (4mks)
(9) A call center receives calls with inter-call and service times as follows: (10Mks)

Client 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Inter-call times
(minutes)
2.0 1.1 1.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.1
Service times
(minutes)
1.2 1.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.2 0.7
i. Assuming a single- server queuing setup, generate a simulation table.
ii. Calculate average waiting time for each caller
iii. Find the proportion of idle time of receptionist
iv. Average time spent in the system
(9) Explain the main steps followed in a simulation study. (4Mks)
(10) Explain the methods used to test the suitability of random numbers generated.
(6Mks)
(11) A computer repair person is beeped each time there is a call for service. The
number of beeps per hour has a Poisson distribution with mean 2 beeps per hour.
Calculate the probability that there will be: (6Mks)
i. At least two beeps in an hour.
ii. One beep in next three hours.
iii. No beep in 45 minutes.

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