CIVL4230 Lecture Four
CIVL4230 Lecture Four
Cost estimating is the process of looking into the future and trying to
predict project costs and resource requirements.
Cost Estimating
Types of Estimates
Types of Estimates
Conceptual Estimate
Conceptual Estimate
Preliminary Estimate
Engineers Estimate
Bid Estimate
Types of Estimates
Engineers Estimate
Based on final or detailed design. It indicates the total job cost
without markup.
Types of Estimates
The contractor continues estimating during the construction phase in
order to predict profit or loss.
A list of estimates is commonly developed for large and complex
industrial projects (power plants, chemical process plants, etc.)
Estimate types
4. Work packages
The estimating account is typically defined so as to provide target
values for the cost accounts that will be used to collect as-built costs
while the job is in progress.
Work packages are used for both cost control and time control.
Coding System
Some companies have a universal coding system for identifying activities. A
numbering system replaces verbal descriptions of activities.
Each activity defined for a project would be identified by a pre-defined code
specific to that activity.
A common nomenclature or identification system facilities integration of
organizational efforts and improves information flow.
It aids consistency in definitions and categories between projects and
among the various parties involved in a project.
Coding System
A typical cost code might define
Common coding systems also aid in the retrieval of historical records of cost,
productivity and duration on particular activities.
Electronic data storage and retrieval operations are much more efficient with
standard coding systems.
Masterformat
The most widely used standard coding system in building construction in
North America; developed by the Construction Specifications Institute of the
United States and Construction Specifications of Canada.
Hierarchical coding system with keyword text descriptions of each item.
Major divisions: sixteen divisions for work and one division for the condition of
the contract. Two digits are used to represent a division.
Each division is further specified by a three digit extension indicating another
level of subdivisions.
Subdivisions are further divided with additional three digits to identify more
specific work items or materials.
Quantity Takeoff
Quantity Takeoff/Quantity Surveying
The development of the quantities of work to be placed in
appropriate units (e.g., square feet, cubic yards, etc.) is referred to
as quantity takeoff or quantity surveying.
Common Errors in Quantity Takeoff
1. Arithmetic: Errors in addition, subtraction and multiplication
Quantity Takeoff
Advantages of Using Estimating Accounts/Work Packages
In each job, the crew composition, costs and production rates are
unique. The dollar per unit figure represents an aggregate cost
per unit obtained by averaging values on previous jobs. This
should be treated with caution when applied to a particular job.
$/unit
Unit price =
The cost of resources per unit time varies significantly over time as the
costs of labor and machines vary.
The unit pricing method assumes that historical data have been
maintained for commonly encountered cost accounts.
Use resource hours required per unit rather than dollars per unit.
For each cost account, data are collected and linked to a reference
unit such as a cubic yard or square foot.
RH/hr
= RH/unit
Unit/hr
The cost per unit can then be calculated by multiplying the resource
hours per unit value by the average hourly cost per resource.
This method recognizes that the number of recourse-hours required
per unit is much more stable over years than the cost per unit.
Resource Enumeration
The unit-pricing method is sufficiently accurate to estimate the common
accounts encountered on a given project. However, a project may have
unique features for which unit-pricing data may not be available.
For unique items, the price must be developed by breaking the special
work item into its subfeatures and assigning a typical resource group
to each feature. The productivity to be achieved by the resource group
is estimated by using either historical data or engineering intuition.
Advantages
More precise cost-per-unit definition.
Disadvantages
Resource enumeration method is time-consuming as it uses a
detailed level of cost definition.
Dallavia method
Resource Enumeration
Resource enumeration method is only used on
(1) Items for which no unit cost data are available;
(2) big-ticket items, which constitute a large percentage of the
overall cost of the job and for which such a precise cost
analysis may lead to cost savings that may provide the
winning margin at bid time;
(3) Extremely complex work items on complicated and unique
projects for which the use of the unit-pricing approach is
deemed inadequate.
Summary
The estimate is the basis for the contractors bid. It has a significant
effect on whether or not a given project is profitable.
In building construction the four levels of estimate preparation are (1)
conceptual, (2) preliminary, (3) engineers, and (4) bid.
The first three of these estimates are typically prepared by the
architect/engineer and reflect the increasing refinement of the design.
Large and complex projects also include a magnitude and definitive
estimate.
Three estimate methods: 1. unit-pricing, 2. resource enumeration
and 3. work package/assembly method.
Selection of methods is a tradeoff between the need for accuracy and the
cost of obtaining that accuracy.
The keys to a successful estimate are (1) the ability to assess the required
level of accuracy and (2) the ability to achieve the required level of accuracy
at minimal cost.