Book Internet Business Models and Strategies
Book Internet Business Models and Strategies
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
Front Matter
Preface
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Preface
The phrase business model has found its way into the vocabulary of just about
everyone who must manage or work in businesses with an Internet content,
from venture capitalists to CEOs. Despite the enormous importance of the
Internet and business models to firms, and the explosive interest in both subjects, there are no business school texts that address the impact of the Internet on firm performance.
In Internet Business Models and Strategies: Text and Cases, we draw on
research in strategic management and the management of technology to
develop an integrative framework that allows readers to put their minds around
what determines firm performance and the central role that business models
play in the face of the Internet. We offer concepts and tools that students of
management need to analyze and synthesize business models, especially
Internet business models. The framework developed in the book allows its
users to make more informed concept- and theory-grounded arguments about
Internet start-ups, bricks-and-mortar firms that must face challengers, the relative merits of formulating and implementing Internet business models and
strategies, and how much ventures might be worth.
In the first part of the book, we explore the concepts on which Internet
business models rest and the tools that can be used to analyze and appraise
them. In addition to building a conceptual framework, the chapters include
discussion questions and key terms to engage readers further with the subject
matter. The second part of the book offers cases of both pure-play Internet
firms as well as bricks-and-mortar firms that must formulate and execute successful business models and strategies in order to gain, defend, or reinforce a
competitive advantage in the face of the Internet.
To the best of our knowledge, no other book addresses the central issues of
the impact of the Internet on business performance. This is not to say that
there are no books on e-commerce or the impact of the Internet from a functional
perspective, simply that they do not centrally address business issues, particularly the impact of the Internet on business models and firm performance.
INTENDED AUDIENCE
The book should be of particular interest to those who are interested in managing a business with an Internet component. It is designed for those who
want to pursue new ventures related to digital markets, manage such ventures,
compete with such ventures, or interact with them. This includes individuals
who plan to work for venture capital firms that must understand the viability
x
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
Front Matter
Preface
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Preface
xi
Undergraduate Programs
Undergraduates are increasingly sophisticated about the Web. Moreover,
many of them graduate to take jobs that have an Internet or business model
content. Some of them will start their own businesses while in college or right
after they graduate. A large number of the Internet courses taught to undergraduates usually dwell on the technology, transactions, and connectivity, and
pay little or no attention to the link between these technologies and firm performance. This book helps readers focus on profiting from the Internet. Thus,
the material can be useful in undergraduate courses offered in the fields of
strategy, e-commerce, computer/management information systems, information technology, entrepreneurship, or marketing.
Practicing Managers
Any manager or functional specialist who must contribute to formulating and
executing Internet business models and strategies should find the book useful.
It may also be appropriate for those, such as consultants and venture capitalists, who must analyze, appraise, and sometimes synthesize business models
and strategies for start-ups or bricks-and-mortar firms.
Our interest in the Internet, management of technology, and the strategic
issues on which profiting from technological change rests has built up over
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
xii
Front Matter
Preface
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Preface
the last 20 years. That interest kicked off when we worked at different times
in Silicon Valley before meeting at MIT as PhD students in the Management
of Technological Innovation Area. Subsequently, Allan went to the University
of Michigan Business School to teach Technology & Innovation Management
as well as Strategic Management, while Chris went to the NYU Stern School
of Business to teach Technological Innovation & New Product Development,
Strategic Management, and Operations Management. We hope that you, the
reader, will share our passion for this timely subject! We welcome your
thoughts and suggestions as well at our website, www.mhhe.com/afuahtucci2e.
Allan and Chris
Ann Arbor and New York City
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
1. Introduction and
Overview
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Chapter One
Introduction
and Overview
Most firms are in business to win, to outperform their competitors. They are
in business to make money. They adopt new technologies to fend off new
competitors, reinforce an existing competitive advantage, leapfrog competitors, or just to make money in new markets. Performance is critical. If performance is so significant to firms and their managers, an important question
is: What determines performance to begin with? Only by understanding the
determinants of business performance can firms better formulate their business
modelshow they plan to make money over the long term. By understanding
the determinants of firm performance, firms are in a better position to comprehend how a technology such as the Internet impacts that performance and how
firms can exploit the new technology. In this chapter, we briefly describe the
determinants of firm performance and the role played by business models,
especially Internet business models. We sketch the framework on which the
book is built.
DETERMINANTS OF PERFORMANCE
There are three major determinants of business performance: business models, the environment in which businesses operate, and change (see Figure 1.1).1
Before delving into these determinants, we need to define what performance
means in this book. What exactly constitutes firm performance can be the subject of passionate debate and even controversy. One can make a strong argument for defining performance as profits, cash flow, economic value added
(EVA), market valuation, earnings per share, sales, return on sales, return on
assets, return on equity, return on capital, economic rents, and so on. Throughout this book, except where noted, performance means accounting profits.
Now, lets return to the determinants of performance.
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
Part One
I. The Internet
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
1. Introduction and
Overview
The Internet
FIGURE 1.1
Business Model
Components and linkages
Dynamics
Determinants of
Business
Performance
Change
Properties
Underpinnings
Performance
Environment
Competitive
Macro
Business Models
The first determinant of a firms performance is its business model. This is
the method by which a firm builds and uses its resources to offer its customers
better value than its competitors and to make money doing so. It details how
a firm makes money now and how it plans to do so in the long term. The
model is what enables a firm to have a sustainable competitive advantage, to
perform better than its rivals in the long term. A business model can be conceptualized as a system that is made up of components, linkages between the
components, and dynamics.
Components and Linkages
A business model is about the value that a firm offers its customers, the segment
of customers it targets to offer the value to, the scope of products/services2 it
offers to which segment of customers, the profit site it chooses, its sources of
revenue, the prices it puts on the value offered its customers, the activities it
must perform in offering that value, the capabilities these activities rest on,
what a firm must do to sustain any advantages it has, and how well it can
implement these elements of the business model. It is a system, and how well
a system works is not only a function of the type of components, but also a
function of the relationships among the components. Thus, if the value that a
firm offers its customers is low cost, then the activities that it performs should
reflect that. Take the bricks-and-mortar example of Southwest Airlines. In the
1980s and 1990s, it offered its customers low-cost frequent flights.3 Two of the
activities that the firm performedno meals on its flights and flying only out
of uncongested airportswere consistent with this low-cost strategy. In addition to the relationships among the components of a firms business model, there
is the relationship between the business model and its environment. A good
business model always tries to take advantage of any opportunities in its environment while trying to dampen the effects of threats from it.
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
1. Introduction and
Overview
Chapter 1
Dynamics
The right business model components and linkages do not last forever. Managers often have to change some components or relationships before competitors do it for them. In some industries, firms have to keep reinventing their business models. They have to cannibalize themselves before someone else does. It
is these actions associated with change, whether initiated by a firm to preempt
competitors or to fend them off, or in response to any other opportunities and
threats, that we refer to in this text as dynamics. In the 1990s Dell Computer
was often cited as a firm that was good at reinventing its business model.
Environment
Competitive Environment
Firms do not formulate and execute their business models in a vacuum. They
do so in a competitive environment. They face competitors who have their
own business models, who are just as interested in making money, and who
may be equally capable of offering the same level of value to customers. They
also face suppliers and customers who may be just as interested in maximizing their own profits as the firms are.
A firms competitors can, and often do, force down the prices that a firm can
charge for its products or force it to offer higher value to customers at a smaller
price premium.4 The lower the prices or the higher the costs, the lower the
profits that a firm can make. Rivals do not compete only in the value that they
offer customers. They also compete for talent and other resources. Although
suppliers can be partners or allies, they are in a sense competitors because their
actions can increase a firms costs and lower the prices that the firm can charge
its own customers. Powerful suppliers can extract high prices from a firm, thus
raising its costs. They may even force a firm to take lower-quality products,
making it difficult for it to offer the kind of value that it would like to offer customers. Similarly, although customers can be loyal allies, their actions often
have the same results as those of competitors. If customers are very powerful,
they may be able to extract lower prices from a firm or force it to ship products of higher quality than the price warrants. If the market in which a firm is
operating is easy to enter, then the firm faces the constant threat of other firms
entering its competitive space. This puts a lot of pressure on the prices that a
firm can charge because higher prices tend to attract more entrants. Of course,
the higher the number of substitute products, the more difficult it is for the firm
to make money since higher prices or lower quality will drive customers to
substitute products. Finally, the type of technology on which industry products
and activities rest also has an impact on firm performance.
Macro Environment
Beyond the competitive environment is the overarching macro environment
of government policies, natural environment, national boundaries, deregulation/
regulation, and technological change. In other words, industries themselves do
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
Part One
I. The Internet
1. Introduction and
Overview
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
The Internet
not operate in a vacuum.5 The government plays one of the most important
roles of the macro environment in terms of firm profitability. Without the government, for example, there would be no Internet. Moreover, government policies worldwide will go a long way in determining the extent to which the
Internet thrives and to which firms within their domains profit from the new
technology.
Change
The last determinant of firm performance is change. Its role is more indirect
than direct. Change impacts business models or their environments, which
can translate into higher or lower profitability. Change can come from competitors, suppliers, customers, demographics, the macro environment, or the
firm itself. It can be present in firm strategies, demographics, demand and
supply, government regulation/deregulation, or the technologies that underpin
an industrys products. For example, the microprocessor and personal computer (PC) transformed a computer industry once dominated by makers of
mainframes like IBM and makers of minicomputers such as Digital Equipment Corporation into one in which PCs and workstations/servers dominated.
Better still, witness the change brought about by the Internet that we explore
in this book.
The impact of change on a firms business model or industry is a function
of the type of change. Radical, architectural, or disruptive change can render
existing business models obsolete and drastically alter the competitive landscape in existing industries or create entirely new industries while killing old
ones. It can result in what the economist J. A. Schumpeter (18831950)
termed creative destruction when it gives rise to new entrepreneurial firms
creating wealth and old, established incumbents dying off.6 The Internet may
be doing just that to some industries.
The Internet
The Internet is a technology with many properties that have the potential to
transform the competitive landscape in many industries while at the same time
creating whole new industries. The Internet is a low cost standard with fast
interactivity that exhibits network externalities, moderates time, has a universal reach, acts as a distribution channel, and reduces information asymmetries
between transacting parties. These properties have a profound impact on the
5-Cs of coordination, commerce, community, content, and communications.
Since nearly every firms activities rest on some subset of the 5-Cs, one can
expect the Internet to have a profound effect on all firms. It plays a critical
and profound role in the way firm activities (internal or external) are coordinated, how commerce is conducted, how people and machines communicate,
how communities are defined and how they interact, and how and when goods
are made and delivered. The Internet has the potential to influence established
ways of conducting business while creating new ones and new businesses.
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
1. Introduction and
Overview
Chapter 1
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
Part One
FIGURE 1.2
I. The Internet
1. Introduction and
Overview
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
The Internet
Chapter 1: Introduction
and overview
Internet
Chapter 2: Overview of
Internet technology and
value network
Chapter 3: Competitive
landscape-transforming
properties of the Internet
Business Model
Chapter 4: Components
of a business model
Chapter 5: Dynamics of business
models
Chapter 6: A taxonomy of
Internet business models
Chapter 7: Value configurations
and the Internet
Chapter 8: Valuing and financing
Internet start-ups
Chapter 9: Appraisal of business
models
Performance
Environment
Chapter 10: Competitive
and macro environments
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
1. Introduction and
Overview
Chapter 1
discuss the limits to the Internet because any good business model must recognize the limitations of the driving force on which it rests.
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
10
Part One
I. The Internet
1. Introduction and
Overview
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
The Internet
Part V: Cases
Relationship between the Text and Cases
The text part of this book explores those concepts, theories, tools, and models that allow students and managers to understand how to gain and maintain
a competitive advantage using the Internet. The cases present some of the
complex contexts in which managers often must make decisions. Thus, such
decisions often require more than one concept, tool, or model. As such, a
good analysis of each of the cases in Part V usually requires an understanding of the material from more than one topic.
Summary
Firms are in business to make money. A business model plays a critical role
in achieving that goal. The type of environment in which a firm operates and
the type of changes that it faces also play important roles. The Internet stands
to establish new game strategies for business as it renders existing bricks-andmortar strategies obsolete while creating opportunities for wealth creation. To
take advantage of the Internet entails conceiving and executing a good Internet
business model. Such a model must have not only the right components but
also the right linkages between them and its environment. It also must have
the resilience and flexibility to take advantage of change. This book explores
all these factors.
Key Terms
business model, 4
competitive
advantage, 4
competitive
environment, 5
determinants of
business
performance, 3
dynamics, 5
firm performance, 3
Internet, 6
Internet business
model, 7
macro environment, 5
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
1. Introduction and
Overview
Chapter 1
11
Discussion
Questions
Notes
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Chapter Two
Overview of Internet
Technology and
Value Network
DEFINITION AND HISTORY
What Are the Internet and the World Wide Web?
This book is about Internet business models and how to analyze them. So far,
we have only briefly discussed the Internet and said nothing about the World
Wide Web. In this chapter, we fully explore both. The Internet is a vast collection of networks of computers that are interconnected both physically and
through their ability to encode and decode certain specialized communications protocols called the Internet Protocol (IP) and the Transmission Control
Protocol (TCP).1 A protocol in this sense is simply a specification of how
computers exchange information. IP describes how information to be transmitted should be broken down into small packets, while TCP describes how
a stream of packets should be reconstructed at the other end and what to do,
for example, if a packet is missing.2
The Internet infrastructure consists of five major components: the backbone, routers (digital switches), points of presence (POPs), computer servers,
and users connected computers (see Figure 2.1).3 This system allows authorized users connected to the network anyplace in the world to have access to
data stored on computers anywhere else in the world.
The backbone is a collection of high-speed telecommunications lines (what
used to be called trunk lines or simply telephone lines but now have a
much higher capacity) that are connected by high-speed computers. It is made
up of fast fiber-optic lines that allow computers to transfer data at very high
speeds. The bandwidth of the telecommunications line refers to the capacity
or speed of data transfer: the amount of informationthe digital 1s or 0s that
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
Chapter 2
FIGURE 2.1
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
13
Internet Components
Homes and small organizations
POP
Users computer
Users computer
Backbone
Individuals
Enterprises
Wireless
gateway
Users computer
Users computer
Cell
phones
PDAs
Other
mobile devices
Gateway
(LAN server)
Server (web/file)
are called bitsthe line is capable of carrying per unit time, usually expressed
in the number of bits per second (bps) or millions of bits per second (Mbps)
or, for very high-capacity lines, billions of bits per second (gigabits per second, or Gbps). Thus the backbone of the Internet is made up of high-bandwidth
lines that crisscross North America and extend throughout the world. For
example, in 2002 MCI Worldcoms backbone lines from New York to the San
Francisco Bay Area had a capacity of 10 Gbps (10,000 Mbps or 10 billion bits
per second) and they had several of those lines.4 In 1999, forty backbone carriers transported almost all of the long-distance traffic.5
Connecting each backbone line to another is a high-speed digital switch
such as an asynchronous transmission mode (ATM) switch. These switches
are actually very fast dedicated computers that move traffic (information)
along the backbone lines. The switches take the information and pass it along
to the next backbone line. Switches that perform a routing function, deciding on which direction to pass traffic, are called routers. For example, suppose you request information from a computer in a different part of the country. This generates traffic in the form of a request to a remote computer and
a response from that computer, if the information is available.6 We will
shortly discuss what happens at each end of this transaction. Between the two
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
14
Part One
I. The Internet
2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
The Internet
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
Chapter 2
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
15
is often referred to as the content creator. In the language of the World Wide
Web, a user clicks on (selects) the link to gain the desired information.
For example, imagine that you wish to post your resume online to improve
your chances of getting a job. When you contact recruiters, you tell them to
go to your Web page to see the latest version of your resume. There are many
tools available to translate your document into HTML (HyperText Markup
Language), which will be discussed shortly. Simply posting the text of the
resume is entirely possible. Recruiters will see only the text of the resume and
will not be able to follow links to other sites. However, you decide that it is
appropriate to provide more information in two areas. First, your university,
Best University, has its own website, so on your resume you create a link
between the words Best University and the website, http://www.best.edu.
Therefore, users viewing your resume see the link underlining Best University; when they click on it, they are connected to the Best University website.
As the author, you determine which links are clickable.
The above link was to an external source of the additional information.
However, you may want to develop some further content. For example, in the
section under Additional Information, you may want to have a picture of you
at age 12 shaking hands with Bill Gates. Lets say that you do not want that
picture, which you have scanned into a file, to be on your resume, but you do
want anyone who wants to look at the picture to be able to gain access to it
from your resume. So, in the Additional Information section on your resume,
you link the words shook hands with Bill Gates to the new file. Thus, you
now have two links in your resume, one to content created and maintained by
someone else (the university website), the other to content created, or at least
maintained, by you (the picture). This is part of the process that content authors
go through whenever they design content for the Web.
The World Wide Web works because the Internet infrastructure is in place
to support it. Thus, the WWW performs a function (hypertext) that is a subset of all the functions available on the Internet (e.g., file transfers, remote login,
electronic mailsee the appendix to this book for more details). Because the
WWW is the most famous function of the Internet, many people use the terms
interchangeably; as we have seen from the above discussion, this is slightly
inaccurate.
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
16
Part One
I. The Internet
2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
The Internet
Stanford Research InstituteSRI) were connected in the late 1960s and early
1970s, the precursor of the Internet, the ARPAnet, was born.
By design, the system was intended to be redundant; that is, it would have
many paths of delivering data so that if one part of the network was disabled,
other paths could be found automatically. In this decentralized environment,
the network grew from a handful of U.S. universities to practically all universities in the United States and many overseas, in addition to many research
institutes and some companies, usually defense-oriented companies with some
affiliation with DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, as
ARPA became known). At one point, the National Science Foundation took
over responsibility for providing the backbone (high-speed trunk line) services.
As the number of commercial users grew from year to year and it became clear
that users were willing to pay for such services, private telecommunications
companies stepped into the void and began providing their own high-speed lines,
the use of which they rented or sold to companies wanting access.
Most of the traffic in the early days of the Internet, as the network eventually became known, was generated by just four applications. The most widely
used service was electronic mail, or e-mail. E-mail service allowed a user at
one end-user computer (also known as a host) to send a text message and have
this message stored for delivery at the recipients host for retrieval by the
recipient when convenient. In addition to e-mail, discussion lists/newsgroups
became popular. Users posting messages to a newsgroup or a discussion list
had their messages copied to all other subscribers of the list. Another popular
application, especially among the scientific community, was file transfer
protocol (ftp). With a file transfer, one could either send a file to or retrieve
one from a remote host. The advantage of this was that a user could move
large blocks of data very quickly, much more quickly than backing up a file
on tape and carrying or mailing it to the remote site. Finally, a highly useful
application was telnet or remote login capability. This allowed the user to log
in to a remote host and perform functions on the remote computer as if the
user were connected to the host on-site. For example, a user in California
could log in to a computer in Korea and be indistinguishable from a user sitting at a terminal in Korea.
These four applications were popular enough to drive the growth of the
Internet for many years. The Internet infrastructurethe backbone, digital
switches, computer servers, POPs, users computers, software, and protocols
was created to help users gain access to information on computers anywhere
in the world. The problem in the early days was that to find information on the
Internet, a user had to specify the address of the computer on which the information resided. This made finding information on different computers tedious
and limited to those with computer science skills.
Tim Berners-Lee, a researcher at CERN,9 the particle physics laboratory
near Geneva, Switzerland, would change all of that. The scientists who worked
at CERN came from all over the world and had immense problems exchanging incompatible documents and e-mail messages from their own proprietary
systems. Berners-Lee revived an earlier idea of his from 1980 that was a precur-
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
I. The Internet
2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
Chapter 2
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
17
sor to a hypertext storage and retrieval system. He proposed that CERNs scientists could combine their knowledge by linking their documents contextually. He
developed a language called HyperText Markup Language (HTML) that
he could use not only to create links to different computers but also to display
graphics associated with some files. To the user, such links, or hypertext, are
highlighted; all the user needs to do to gain access to the information associated with the link is to click on it. These hypertext links and the associated
information stored on the Internet nodes became known as the World Wide
Web. CERN made the source code for the first WWW browser and server
freely available, which spurred growth in their development as programmers
from all over the world began contributing to the infrastructure of the
WWW.10
In recent years, a slew of wireless protocols have been developed to help
bridge the gap between the information available on the Internet (e-mail,
instant messaging, Web pages, and so on) and portable devices ranging from
laptops to cell phones. We mention just a few of the most important ones here
with the proviso that the wireless sector is in a great deal of flux. IEEE
802.11b (and its eventual successor, the quicker 802.11a or 802.11g), also
known as Wi-Fi (short for wireless fidelity), is a standard that defines how
information is passed between a wireless access point (also known as a base
station) and a wireless client (such as a laptop with a wireless card) or between
two wireless clients. Bluetooth is another, albeit slower but more energyefficient. For communications with cell phones, several broad classes of technology have been developed, starting with so-called 2G (second generation)
digital PCS (personal communications service, see the Sprint case in this
book), which is used for voice but enables limited data exchange. After 2G, a
transitional technology known as 2.5G was developed. This is an extension of
2G that allows for packet-switched data services (see the Appendix for more
information on packet switching). Late in 2001, 3G (third generation) technology was introduced and is meant for higher bandwidth on data transfer to
and from cellular phones and other mobile clients. The bandwidth is much
lower than Wi-Fi, but the advantage is that the power requirements are also
much lower and thus more suited to personal mobile devices. To gain access
specifically to Internet content, these 3G-compatible devices utilize such protocols as Wireless Access Protocol (WAP), which is an open protocol designed
to request, receive, and transform Internet content. Proprietary services such as
NTT DoCoMos i-Mode can also take advantage of 3G. In addition, in principle, 3G devices can run IP applications directly on the devices.
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
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Part One
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2. Overview of Internet
Technology and Value
Network
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
The Internet
because in the broadest sense, all the components described below and their
interrelations create value for the end users, the customers, and organizations
that actually use the network.11
Generally speaking, we propose that the Internet value network can be
divided into three major groups: users, communications service providers, and
suppliers. This division into three groups is an abstraction; many firms are both
users and suppliers, or users and communications service providers, or communications service providers and suppliers. For example, Cisco Systems is
a supplier of communications equipment and a large user (a Web merchant)
in its own right; that is, Cisco not only makes routers that Internet service
providers (ISPs) buy but also sells directly to those ISPs over the Internet.
In addition, some segments might just as easily be classified as both suppliers and users. To give a specific case, media and content companies, such
as AOL Time Warner, supply editorial content to firms as well as run portals, which are entry and focal sites for consumers and businesses. For this
reason, we have included a category under both users and suppliers. Thus, the
categorizations of any one firm or even subsegment are slightly arbitrary;
however, the broad trends will be evident as we discuss the logic of each
group and segment.
The three large groupsusers, communications services, and suppliers
can be further subdivided into segments or what we are calling profit sites.
We will examine each group in turn and provide examples of the largest companies in each segment (see Table 2.1).
I. Users
Users are companies that use the Internet intensively in the core of their business. We exclude from consideration here large companies that use the Internet intensively but only at the periphery of their business (see Chapters 5, 6,
and 9). Users may be subdivided further into five categories (see Figure 2.2):
(1) e-commerce, those companies that sell goods over the Internet; (2) content
aggregators, those that gather content from multiple sources and display that
content on their sites; (3) market makers, which act as intermediaries and run
electronic markets; (4) brokers/agents, which act as intermediaries by facilitating transactions for a particular party (e.g., a buyer or a seller); and (5) service providers that furnish all other Internet-based services.12 Technically, individuals and non-Internet organizations (e.g., automobile manufacturers) are also
users, but they will not be discussed here because our main concern in this
chapter is to describe the interrelations that comprise the Internet infrastructure.
1. E-commerce Companies
E-commerce (electronic commerce) companies exchange real products for
real money through online channels.13 While some people refer to e-commerce
as any business having anything to do with the Internet, we will be more precise in our classification and limit ourselves only to those companies that sell
over online channels. Some companies manufacture or assemble the goods
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TABLE 2.1
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Source: Internet World, Network World, Red Herring, Business 2.0, Boardwatch Magazine, Telecommunications Reports International, Yahoo
Finance, Business Week, SEC Filings, and company websites.
Profit Site
Company
1. E-commerce
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Dell Computer
Cisco Systems
AOL Time Warner
IBM
Amazon
$31,200 (online)
22,300
8,700
3,500
3,300
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
$ 8,700 (online)
2,500
720
670
290
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Charles Schwab
E*Trade
Citigroup
Ameritrade
Harrisdirect
$ 4,400 (online)
2,100
800
500
340
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Priceline
eBay
VerticalNet
Sothebys
ImageX
$ 1,200 (online)
750
130
60
50
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
IBM
EDS
Computer Sciences
Automatic Data Processing
EMC
$34,900 (services)
19,200
10,500
9,500
7,400
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
MCI Worldcom/UUNet
AT&T
Intermedia
Sprint
Genuity
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
28.5
7.7
5.2
4.9
3.0
2. Content aggregators
3. Brokers/agents
4. Market-makers
5. Service providers
6. Backbone operators
7. ISPs/OSPs
M (subscribers)
M
M
M
M
(continued)
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Company
8. Last Mile
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
NTT
Verizon
AT&T
SBC Communications
British Telecom
$103,100
67,200
52,600
45,900
43,800
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
$ 38,200 (content)
23,200
16,400
15,700
3,000
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Microsoft
Oracle
SAP
NCR
Computer Associates
$ 25,300 (software)
10,900
7,400
5,900
3,000
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Hewlett-Packard*
IBM
Dell
Motorola
Compaq*
$ 37,200 (hardware)
33,400
31,200
29,900
26,700
9. Content creators
themselves; others simply resell goods made by other companies. The largest
companies in this space sell over the Internet products that they manufacture
themselves (see Table 2.1). As mentioned above, Cisco Systems manufactures
communications equipment (mainly routers) and sells them directly over the
Internet to ISPs. Some e-commerce companies sell only over the Internet;
others sell both over the Internet and in standard bricks-and-mortar distribution channels. When the downstream buyers (not those of the end-user customers) needs conflict with the Internet channel, it is called channel conflict.
Many companies are involved in multiple segments, especially the e-commerce
segment, where companies can compete in any other segment and take orders
over the Internet. For example, Intel is one of the largest hardware components
manufacturers, but it also sells several billion dollars worth of those components online. America Online (AOL) is the largest online service provider
(OSP), and it books all of its revenues online. Thus, the e-commerce segment
is a catch-all for any segment selling online and can be treated in tandem
with the other segments.14 In late 2001, m-commerce (mobile commerce), or
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FIGURE 2.2
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I. Users
1. E-commerce
(Cisco, Amazon)
2. Content aggregators
(AOL, Yahoo!)
3. Market-makers
(Priceline, eBay)
4. Brokersagents
(Schwab, E*Trade)
5. Service providers
(EDS, EMC)
II. Communications
service providers
6. Backbone
(MCI Worldcom, AT&T)
7. ISPs/OSPs
(AOL, MSN)
Homes and
organizations
III. Suppliers
9. Content creators
(Disney, Time-Warner)
10. Software suppliers
(Microsoft, Oracle)
11. Hardware suppliers
(IBM, Hewlett-Packard)
8. Last Mile
(Verizon, SBC)
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one or the other party a small transaction fee. A market-maker acts as a neutral
intermediary that provides a place to trade and also sets the rules of the market.
Thus this profit site includes companies that run or set up electronic markets, such as electricity markets, and electronic auctioneers, such as eBay or
Sothebys. Priceline makes a market in airline tickets, among other areas. They
all have the same logic of bringing buyers and sellers together. Note the relatively small size of intermediaries in general and market-makers in particular.
We also see a large number of brokerages (buyers and sellers of securities),
banks (borrowers and lenders), and travel agents (buyers and sellers of travel
services) migrating or extending their businesses to the Internet. These are all
examples of brokers or agents, who facilitate transactions for one party to a
transaction. We call attention to brokers like Charles Schwab, which has grown
from a bricks-and-mortar discount stock brokeragewhere clients visited
branch offices or telephoned in their ordersinto the largest Internet broker
because of the migration of orders to the Internet. Schwab takes orders from
a buyer (or seller) and then attempts to complete the transaction by finding
someone for the other side of the deal.
5. Internet Services
Internet services include support services such as consulting, outsourcing,
website design, electronic data interchange, firewalls, and data storage backups. Any service beyond communications services belongs in this category.15
Thousands of companies perform these services, but the companies in this
segment tend to be very small. Five of the largest service companies are listed
in Table 2.1. These companies make money by selling their services or their
expertise on a fee-for-service basis. Electronic Data Systems (EDS), for example, has made a name for itself in the outsourcing of information technology
services. When a company in a noncomputer industry grows tired of managing its own data processing (e.g., databases, payroll, hardware upgrades, software upgrades), the original firm may decide to hire another firm to completely run its own data processing, freeing up management to run its original
business. This is referred to as outsourcing. Some of these services offered
by EDS and other companies have now begun migrating to the Internet; for
example, EDS can completely manage the software upgrade process for an
entire company over the Internet.
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ISPs include firms such as AT&T, MCI Worldcom, Sprint, UUNet, Netcom,
Online, PSI, and others. In addition to ISPs that offer their customers access to
the free content of the Internet, proprietary online service providers (OSPs) not
only offer their subscribers access to the Internet but also, for a fee, offer access
to a private, closed network whose content is only for fee-paying members.
OSPs include America Online (AOL), CompuServe, Prodigy, and Microsoft
Network. Table 2.1 lists the companies by the number of subscribers each
ISP/OSP serves. These companies make money by providing Internet access
through their points of presence (POP) to small organizations and to individuals, usually for a flat monthly fee.
8. Last Mile
The connection to consumers is sometimes known as the Last Mile because
it represents the physical connection between the POPwhich is usually considered to be local, such as the local telephone switchand the end user.
These connections can take many forms, such as telephone wire (twisted
pair), fiber optics, cable, and wireless. More generally, the Last Mile is the
category of the industry supporting these types of communications services.
As shown in Table 2.1, this segment is dominated by telecommunications
companies, mainly local phone companies. We would have to move all the
way down to #12 before we even get to a cable company. Also note the sheer
size of the companies in the Last Mile category, which is much bigger on
average than any of the other segments. Most of these companies grew to their
vast size as a result of the monopoly they had as local telephone companies.
Now they make money by investing in local lines and selling access to these
lines on a subscription basis.
Many researchers believe that controlling the Last Mile is a battle in its
infancy. The former AT&T local telephone monopolies (the Regional Bell
Operating Companies) have done a creditable job of maintaining their control
over the Last Mile, perhaps through their development of new products or
their influence on the regulatory process.17 Two developments over the last
decade that count as new products are Integrated Services Digital Network
(ISDN) and the Digital Subscriber Lines (DSL). Both technologies allow for
higher-bandwidth transfers, using the normal twisted-pair telephone wiring,
and enable the end user to talk on the telephone while sending and receiving
digital data at rates higher than those available from a modem.
AT&T itself, though, has chosen a two-pronged approach to wrest control
of the Last Mile from the regional Bell operating companies. The first is a
wireless strategy (e.g., giving away cellular telephones, promoting flat-rate
long-distance service from cellular telephones, eliminating roaming charges,
providing complimentary services such as traffic reports) that attempts to supplant the wireline telephone from its primacy in the hearts of consumers. In
fact, in much of the rest of the world, wireless access to the Internet via cell
phones is predicted to surpass wire-line access.18 AT&Ts second approach
relates to the use of cable television lines as an alternative Last Mile conduit.
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Cable lines can provide high-speed Internet access. Therefore, in 1999 AT&T
acquired MediaOneone of the largest cable television companieswith the
intention of providing an alternative to the regional Bells. In addition, other
media firms that own cable companies, such as AOL Time Warner, have been
developing products based on high-speed Internet access over the cable. Even
electric utilities have contemplated entering this market, using the electricity
lines they have already installed and maintained!
Why do these companies care so much about the Last Mile? There are several reasons for this intense interest. The first is control over strategic resources.
Just about every page served, every commerce transaction, and every download will pass through that Last Mile, so it is natural that certain firms do not
want to leave to chance or historical accident who controls that Last Mile. In
the past the regional Bell operating companies controlled that last mile, which
turned out to be immensely profitable. Thus, the Last Mile has attracted entry
precisely because of its profitability. This entry represents the first time the
regional Bells have faced any serious competition; it was only a matter of
time before other companies with a different technology jumped in to shave
off a piece of that gigantic market. As mentioned above, all consumers go
through a Last Mile provider before attaining access to the Internet, and it
seems that consumers are quite willing to pay for high quality/bandwidth in
the Last Mile.19
III. Suppliers
Finally, suppliers can be divided into three segments: (1) content creators,
(2) software suppliers, and (3) hardware suppliers. These segments belong
with suppliers because they typically supply upstream products or services to
users and communications service providers, and in some cases to each other.
Content creators are in the business of developing news- and entertainmentoriented content in many forms, including text, music, and video. Computer
software suppliers develop the software, usually in packaged form, and sell
the software that runs on consumer and enterprise computers, including personal computers and engineering workstations. Computer hardware companies manufacture the desktop computers, workstations, mobile devices, servers,
telecommunications, and switching hardware that end users and communications service providers need. Hardware suppliers also manufacture components such as the internal devices that control or interact with computer hardware systems.
9. Content Creators
Media/content suppliers are the developers and owners of intellectual capital.
They produce such works as music, games, graphics, video/motion pictures, and
text (articles, news, and other sorts of information). The two largest companies,
Disney and AOL Time Warner, are fully integrated in the content business, producing and developing all of the above, such as motion pictures, videos, music,
games, and news in their business units. In contrast to the bricks-and-mortar
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economy, this category of the Internet economy has been the most in flux with
no dominant model of making money. The subscription model applies to few
content creators, mainly those dispensing financial information. For example,
Dow Jones supports its Wall Street Journal Interactive Edition with subscriptions
from The Wall Street Journal subscribers and even nonsubscribers, who are
charged more for the content.20 Fee-for-service is another model pursued by
some of these companies, although users are apparently unwilling to pay for
most intellectual content (with the exception of pornography).
Part of the problem is that it is extremely inexpensive to reproduce digital
media, thus making it very difficult to enforce intellectual property ownership
of media content. We will discuss this further in Chapter 3, but for now most
media/content suppliers have been satisfied to give away their content for
free, raise the number of eyeballs (the number of unique viewers), and pin
their hopes on an advertising model. Some sell complementary goods and
make money from that rather than the content. For example, Sony sells gaming hardware that is Internet-enabled so that consumers can play games with
other Internet users. While there is nothing (or little) to prevent the copying
of the gaming software, the hardware itself is more difficult to imitate.21
10. Software Suppliers
Software suppliers provide software products, such as word processing or
spreadsheet applications, operating systems, printer drivers, databases, electronic commerce software, and so on. These companies operate on the principle
of selling software products to end users or to companies interested in starting or
maintaining an Internet presence. They are like manufacturers, investing in software development and marketing and selling products, presumably for a profit.
While fixed-cost recovery and easy replication are also theoretically issuesand
may be so in the futurethe insatiable appetite of the public for increased features (coupled with Microsofts dominant position) keeps the industry growing.22 Microsoft is the largest of these companies; it is the software company of
choice for desktop personal computers and, in the late 1990s, some servers. Oracle has made the transition from database company to Internet-database company and has maintained its position as the second-largest software company.
To provide a taste of some kinds of Internet-based software suppliers, consider electronic commerce (e-commerce) software. Electronic commerce software companies produce software that enables e-commerce, which can be one
of several different types. Prior to the advent of the Internet, the most important and popular kind of e-commerce was electronic data interchange (EDI).
EDI allowed companies to exchange ordering and inventory information up
and down the supply chain; for example, when a distributor ran low on inventory for a certain product, an EDI system passed that information to the manufacturer. In the past EDI was implemented on private data networks; in the
late 1990s this technology has migrated to the Internet.23
There are a variety of other e-commerce applications having to do with retailing products on a website, such as shopping cart technology, order/payment
processing, and micro-payments.24 Shopping cart technology keeps track of
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purchases that consumers make. While this might sound like a trivial task,
most people do not realize the complexity of tracking such information from
page to page on a website. It operates on the principle that the Web server for
the retailer does not know who you are when you make repeated shopping
selections without some form of identification. The companies that make the
browsers allow an identification number of sorts to be stored on your computer, which can be passed to the retailer every time you interact with it.25 In
this way you can keep adding items to your shopping cart and the retailer
always knows that it is you placing the order.
Order/payment processing software is designed to track orders, track inventories, and, most importantly, process credit card transactions. As you can
imagine, the security considerations of processing payments are immense.
Most of the effort in this area has been to design systems that prevent credit
card numbers from falling into the wrong hands through the use of encryption.26 Micropayment or microcash software is designed to handle very, very
small transactions. For example, imagine that you wanted to listen to a piece
of music only once over the Internet. The recording studio would like to
charge you a royalty fee of 1/20 (i.e., if you listened to it 20 times, you would
owe 1 cent). How can companies keep track of such small payments? Micropayment systems are designed to do just that.
In 1999 a new type of software business sprang up: the application service provider (ASP). The ASP service, also referred to as an app-on-tap,
provides a centralized repository for software applications which individuals
can borrow or rent to run on their own desktop personal computers. This
end-user system is called a thin client because the applications no longer
reside on the end-user system. The applications are delivered over the Internet to the thin client on demand. Applications envisioned for this type of service span the full range from database software packages to word processing
applications to corporate business process analysis programs. Large enterprises also appreciate the ASP system because it enables the centralized information technology (IT) function to regain control over employees desktop
software. In recent years, as corporate computer systems have become more
decentralized, it has become more difficult for companies to control the versions of software that employees store on their own personal computers.
11. Hardware Suppliers
The hardware category comprises three interrelated areas: communications
equipment manufacturers, computer equipment manufacturers, and hardware
component manufacturers. The communications equipment manufacturers
are the producers of the various kinds of routers and other digital switches.
Cisco Systems and Lucent Technologies (formerly part of AT&T) dominate
this industry, although 3Com is also well known for its communications equipment. Motorola also gains much of its revenue from communications equipment,
cellular telephones, and semiconductors. These companies make money by selling their manufactured products, which are hardware/software systems that
enable the Internet to move data traffic. The customers of these companies
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include backbone operators, ISPs, and large organizations that have their own
internal networks.
Computer hardware contains both client and server hardwarethat is, enduser computers (personal computers and workstations) and server devices (Web
servers, file servers, e-mail servers, LAN servers).27 The largest computer hardware company is undoubtedly IBM, which brought in almost $86 billion dollars
in 2001, much of which came from hardware sales. Other large computer manufacturers include Hewlett-Packard and Compaq, which attempted to merge in
2002. These companies also produce servers, as does Sun Microsystems, which
is one of the largest server manufacturers. These companies sell their hardware
to end users and to other businesses. They are the main customers of the hardware components companies, which sell computer chips and peripherals such as
disk drives to the computer hardware companies and the communications equipment companies. The hardware components segment also operates under the
producer model where the largest companies are Motorola and Intel (processors
and other semiconductor chips) and Seagate (disk drives).
Summary
Key Terms
This chapter has provided a brief introduction to the history and terminology
of the Internet along with the key segments of the Internet industry. The
Internet and the World Wide Web, often used interchangeably, are not the same.
The Internet is a vast system of computers that are connected by high-speed
communications lines and can understand the IP/TCP protocols. The WWW
is linked content that is accessible through the Internet, written in HTML
and viewed through a browser. In addition to the WWW protocol (http), the
main four applications on the Internet are e-mail (electronic mail), discussion
lists/newsgroups, FTP (file transfer protocol), and remote login (telnet). Companies in the Internet infrastructure are found in 1 of 11 market categories,
or profit sites, grouped into three segments: users, communications service
providers, and suppliers. Users are divided into e-commerce companies, content
aggregators, market-makers, brokers/agents, and service providers. Communications service providers are divided into backbone operators, ISPs/OSPs,
and Last Mile providers. Finally, suppliers can be divided into content creators,
software suppliers, and hardware suppliers.
application service
provider (ASP), 27
ARPAnet, 16
backbone, 12
backbone service
providers, 22
bandwidth, 12
bits, 13
content, 14
digital switch, 13
discussion lists, 16
e-commerce, 18
e-mail, 16
eyeballs, 26
file transfer protocol
(ftp), 16
firewall, 14
fixed line Internet, 14
fixed wireless, 14
hypertext, 14
HyperText Markup
Language
(HTML), 17
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Internet service
provider (ISP), 22
Internet value
network, 17
Last Mile providers, 22
local area network
(LAN), 14
m-commerce, 20
newsgroups, 16
online service
providers (OSPs), 22
outsourcing, 22
point of presence
(POP), 14
portals, 18
profit sites, 18
29
routers, 13
telnet, 16
thin client, 27
traffic, 13
wire-line Internet, 14
wireless protocols, 17
World Wide Web, 14
Discussion
Questions
1. Step by step, draw a map of what happens when you buy a new widget
online. Start with pressing the Add to Shopping Cart button on the vendors website. End with the vendor packing your order. Who makes money
in this transaction? Where is value added?
2. Discuss the benefits and pitfalls of being in the content creation business.
Name a content creation company and describe the weaknesses in its business plan.
3. Is an Internet service provider different from a backbone operator? How?
4. Looking at a company such as Amazon.com (see Chapter 12), would you
classify it as an e-commerce company, a content aggregator, a marketmaker, or a service provider? Why? How about a company such as eBay
(see the eBay case in Part V)?
5. Think of another industry besides telecommunications where fixed-cost
recovery is an important challenge.
6. Pick one of the profit sites and discuss the differences between being a
wire-line and wireless participant in that profit site.
Notes
1. These protocols are almost always used in tandem, hence the terms IP/TCP
and TCP/IP. Technically, a computer does not have to be able to understand
IP/TCP itself; it simply has to be connected with a gateway computer that
does.
2. See the appendix to this book for more detail on these protocols.
3. See Haim Mendelson, A Note on Internet Technology, Stanford University
Graduate School of Business #S-OIT-15, January 1999; see also www
.whatis.com/tourenv.htm; finally, refer to Charles W. Hill, America Online
and the Internet, in C. W. Hill and G. R. Jones, Strategic Management, 4th
edition (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1999), pp. C92C106.
4. www1.worldcom.com/global/about/network/maps/northam
5. The backbone carriers do not carry all of the traffic for several reasons:
local area networks (LANs) carry local traffic; some large companies have
their own networks, usually based on IP/TCP (called intranets if operating
solely within one company and extranets when outside organizations have
direct access); and the existence of alternate media controlled by other
companies, such as microwave and satellite service.
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6. The technical details of how this works are given in the appendix.
7. POP should not be confused with POP3, which stands for Post Office
Protocol and is used for electronic mail delivery. See the appendix for
further details.
8. See Stephen Segaller, Nerds2.0.1: A Brief History of the Internet (New
York: TV Books, 1999); Mendelson,A Note on Internet Technology;
and info.isoc.org/guest/zakon/Internet/History/HIT.html.
9. Conseil Europen pour la Recherche Nuclaire, also known as the European Laboratory for Particle Physics.
10. For more details, see Segaller, Nerds2.0.1, pp. 28489, or Tim Berners-Lee
and Mark Fischetti, Weaving the Web: The Original Design and Ultimate
Destiny of the World Wide Web by its Inventor (San Francisco: HarperCollins, 1999).
11. The Internet value network is a broad term for all the components and
their interrelations. In Chapter 6, we will explore the term value network
that is one of three generic value configurations. Thus, within the sphere
of the broader Internet value network, there can be many, smaller value
networks.
12. This is not to be confused with Internet service providers (ISPs), which
provide homes and small organizations with Internet connectivity. ISPs
are described under communications services.
13. Jeffrey F. Rayport, The Truth about Internet Business Models, Strategy
and Business 16 (3rd quarter 1999), pp. 57.
14. Some companies will be categorized only as e-commerce: those that
purely sell (retailers or resellers) and those that compete in non-Internet
businesses that also sell online.
15. Communications services are not considered part of this category; as the
Internet is a communications medium, the communications service
provider segment is large enough to rate its own segment as described in
the next section.
16. Boardwatch Magazines Directory of Internet Service Providers.
17. In Chapter 11 we will briefly discuss the role of government and regulation and how it relates to the external environment.
18. Tom Standage, The Internet, Untethered, in Survey of the Mobile Internet, The Economist, October 11, 2001.
19. Subscriptions for telephone DSL and high-speed cable access lines were
being billed out at approximately $50 per month in 2000.
20. Dow Jones & Company, Inc., Quarterly Report, SEC Form 10-Q,
November 12, 1999.
21. At least one company has manufactured a Sony-compatible gaming
device by reverse-engineering it.
22. Some have argued that illegal copying of software is not harmful to software producers because copying builds up the installed base of users,
thus exploiting network externalities evident in the industry. See Chapter
3 for more information.
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23. See Ravi Kalakota, Marcia Robinson, and Don Tapscott, E-Business:
Roadmap for Success (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1999).
24. This is just a smattering of e-commerce software applications; see Ravi
Kalakota and Andrew B. Whinston, Electronic Commerce: A Managers
Guide (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1997); see also Marilyn Greenstein and Todd Feinman, Electronic Commerce: Security, Risk Management, and Control (New York: Irwin/McGraw-Hill, 2000) for more
information on commerce applications.
25. This information is stored in a so-called cookie on your computer. The
cookie contains three main pieces of information: the information the
retailer wants to store (IDs, etc.), the domain name of the retailer (i.e.,
who has authorized access to that piece), and the expiration of the information. See home.netscape.com/newsref/std/cookie_spec.html for the
exact specification.
26. See Greenstein and Feinman, Electronic Commerce, for more information on Internet security and how it relates to e-commerce.
27. See the appendix for more details on the client-server model.
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Chapter Three
Competitive
Landscape-Changing
Properties of the
Internet
In Chapter 2 we examined the Internet value network and the roles of different players in adding customer value. While that examination tells us who is
located where in the configuration and what each group of players does and
the relationship between them, it still leaves two very important questions
unanswered: What makes the Internet a better technology than its predecessor technologies? Does it really have the potential to transform competitive
landscapes? Answering these questions is critical to conceiving and executing
business models that exploit the Internet. We will focus on those properties
that have the potential to influence business models and industry profitability
and examine their impact on the 5-Cs of electronic transactionsbe they
commerce, business, or otherwise. Many business models rest on elements of
the 5-Cs, so by understanding the impact of the Internet on them, we can better understand how Internet business models can be conceived and executed,
and how they influence existing bricks-and-mortar models.
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1. Mediating Technology
The Internet is a mediating technology that interconnects parties that are
interdependent or want to be.1 The interconnection can be business-to-business
(B2B), business-to-consumer (B2C), consumer-to-consumer (C2C), or
consumer-to-business (C2B). It can also be within a firm or any other organization, in which case it is called an intranet. In either case, the Internet facilitates exchange relationships among parties distributed in time and space. In
some ways, it is like the technology that underpins bricks-and-mortar bank
services. A bank acts as a medium for lenders and borrowers, taking money
from some customers and lending it to others. In other ways, the Internet is like
print, radio, and TV media which mediate between their audience and paying
advertisers. The Internets interactivity gives it some unique advantages over
these media as parties can interact, asking and answering questions rather than
one party sending and another only receiving messages. Most important, anyone connected to the Internet has the power to broadcast information to anyone on it. In the older media, broadcasting is limited to a select few.
2. Universality
Universality of the Internet refers to the Internets ability to both enlarge and
shrink the world. It enlarges the world because anyone anywhere in the world
can potentially make his or her products available to anyone anywhere else in
the world. For example, a musician in Ann Arbor, Michigan, can make his
music available to the rest of the world by posting it on the World Wide Web.
A software developer in Egypt can sell her software to customers all over the
world simply by posting it on a website in Alexandria. A steelmaker in Korea
can post the prices, availability, and quality of its steel on a website in Seoul.
People anywhere in the world can access these varied postings on the Web.
Ford Motor Company can put bids for the new components that it needs for
its cars on its website, allowing anyone in the world with the capabilities to
supply the component to bid for their supply.
The Internet shrinks the world in that a skilled worker in South Africa does
not have to move to California to work in the Silicon Valley. Software developers in the Silicon Valley can have access to programming skills in a country as far away as Madagascar. As we will see throughout this book, this property has many implications for many industries. For example, it suggests that
we can expect more software firms to enter the software industry and salaries
for certain skills to be more competitive, no matter where the owners of such
skills are located.
3. Network Externalities
A technology or product exhibits network externalities when it becomes
more valuable to users as more people take advantage of it.2 To understand
what this means, the reader might think of owning a telephone in a system that
is connected only to the authors of this book. Such a phone would be much
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less useful to the reader than if it were connected to members of the readers
family and the rest of the world. Clearly, the more people who are connected
to a telephone system, the more valuable it is to its users. The Internet clearly
exhibits this property: The more people connected to it, the more valuable it
is. The more people that are connected to a network within the Internet, the
more valuable that network is. Suppose a collector wants to auction off a rare
work of art. The auction firm that she selects is more valuable to her only if
the firm has a large number of clients since she will then have a large set of
bidders for her work of art. If she instead wants to buy a work of art, she is
still better off going to the firm with the large network; the larger the auction firm
is, the better the selection and her chances of finding what she wants. For individuals looking for a chat group, the larger the network, the better the chances
of finding others with similar tastes with whom they can share ideas and further their sense of community. Since a network is more attractive the more
members that it has, one can expect larger networks to gain new members at
a faster rate than smaller ones; that is, the larger a network, the larger it is
going to become. This is the positive feedback in which a firmonce it finds
itself ahead in network sizeis likely to see its lead increase rather than
decrease.3 The question is, When does this snowballing stop? It usually ends
when a change, especially a technological change, comes along that renders
the basis for the advantages of the network obsolete.
At least two estimates of the value of network size have been offered. Bob
Metcalfe, founder of 3Com and inventor of the Ethernet, advanced what is
now called Metcalfes law: The value of a network increases as the square of
the number of people in the network.4 That is, value is a function of N 2, where
N is the number of people in the network. It has also been argued that the
increase in value from size is exponential.5 That is, the value of a network
increases as a function of NN.
The phenomenon of network externalities is not limited to connected networks like telephone systems and the Internet. It also applies to products whose
value to customers increases with complementary products. Computers, even
stand-alone ones, are a good example. Software is critical for their use, so the
more people who own computers of a particular standard, the more likely that
software will be developed for them. And the more software that is available for
them, the more valuable they are to users since users have more software to
choose from. And the more computers, the more people who are willing to
develop software for it. These events lead to the positive feedback effect. We
will suggest in later chapters that one goal of a firm may be to build a large network early because the size of the network can act as switching costs for members of the network while attracting others at a faster rate than smaller networks.
It is important to remember that large network size on the Internet does not
always mean large network effect benefits. That is, it is not always the case
that the larger the network size, the more valuable it is to users of the network.
Two networks of equal size do not necessarily endow their members with
equal benefits. Take an online auction house and an online book retailer. The
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larger the network size for an auction house like eBay, the better for a customer who wants, say, to buy a work of art. This is because a large network size
increases a members chances of finding another member of the network who
has the work of art. Belonging to an online book retailers large network, on the
other hand, does not do as much for a customer who wants to buy a book online;
it does not increase the customers chances of finding the right book as much.
4. Distribution Channel
The Internet acts as a distribution channel for products that are largely
informationbits (zeros and ones). Software, music, video, information, tickets for airlines or shows, brokerage services, insurance companies, and research
data can all be distributed over the Internet. When the product itself cannot be
distributed by means of the Internet, information on its features, pricing, delivery times, or other useful information about the product can. The Internet has
two kinds of effects on existing distribution channels: replacement or extension. There is a replacement effect if the Internet is used to serve the same
customers served by the old distribution channel without bringing in new customers. The replacement of travel agencies in distributing airline tickets is a
good example.6 Few customers will start flying simply because they can buy
airline tickets over the Internet. On the other hand, investors who ordinarily
cannot afford to buy stocks from stockbrokers can use the Internet to participate in the stock market where they can afford the lower online brokerage
fees. This is the extension effect. Very often, the extension effect is also accompanied by some replacement effects. Some investors who previously went to
stockbrokers to buy their securities have likely switched to doing it themselves over the Internet.
5. Time Moderator
The fifth property of the Internet is time moderation, or its ability to shrink
and enlarge time. For example, it shrinks time for a potential customer who
wants information on a new car or the way houses look in a particular neighborhood in the Netherlands; the customer can get it instantaneously using the
Web. It enlarges time for a customer who might not be able to attend an auction held from 12:00 noon to 3:00 P.M. on a Saturday, but who will find the
material is auctioned on the Internet 24 hours a day, seven days a week, to
anyone anywhere in the world. Work can continue on a microchip design 24
hours a day: Engineers in Japan work on the chip and at the end of their workday, turn it over to engineers in Israel who, at the end of their own workday,
turn it over to engineers in the United States and back again to Japan.
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dealers. They often knew the costs of the cars they were selling while the average buyer did not. The Web reduces some of these information asymmetries.
Since an automobile manufacturers suggested prices are easily obtainable
from the Web, customers can go to a car dealer armed with the same information that the dealer has about the car.
9. Creative Destroyer
These properties of the Internet have enabled it to usher in a wave of what
J. A. Schumpeter called creative destruction in many industries.8 Newspapers, for example, offer their readers editorials, news, stock prices, weather
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forecasts, classified and want ads, advertising, and promotions.9 Offering this
value to customers requires an investment in a printing press, distribution network, content, and brand name. This investment constitutes a barrier to potential new entrants. The Internet is a low cost standard printing press of sorts
and a distribution network with unlimited capacity that reaches more people
than any newspaper could ever hope to reach. This tears down a large part of
the barriers to entry that exist in the newspaper business. Furthermore, this
network allows instantaneous, low cost interactive communication. With such
low entry cost, flexibility, and virtually unlimited possibilities, one does not
have to bundle editorials, news, stock prices, weather forecasts, classified and
want ads, advertising, and promotions together to make money. Entrepreneurs
can focus on each. For example, a firm can focus on auctioning what used to
be in the want ads. This is creative destruction for the newspaper industry
the old giving way to the superior new. In general, creative destruction is taking place in three forms. First, brand-new industries have been created. Suppliers of Web software (e.g., browsers) or services [e.g., those provided by
Internet service providers (ISPs)] have the Internet to thank for their business.
Second, the Internet is transforming the structure, conduct, and performance
of other industries, in many cases rendering the basis for competitive advantage obsolete. Travel, newspapers, and insurance are the tip of an iceberg of
industries that are likely to experience creative destruction. As we will see
later, these are industries whose basis for offering value to customers is overturned by one or more of the properties of the Internet. Third, the basis for
competitive advantage in other industries has been enhanced. A firm like
Intel, which has always pushed the frontier of semiconductor technology,
finds the demands a match for its technological prowess and strategies in an
industry that is critical to the Internet.
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costs are also greatly reduced since they can be shipped over the Internet.
We will see later in this book that the reduction in transaction costs has some
implications for the boundaries of the firm.
Coordination
For just about every firm, performing a task T often requires the performance
of interdependent subtasks A, B, and C which may require common resources
R. The coordination of these tasks entails ensuring that each of the subtasks
is performed, that information from A needed to accomplish B or C does indeed
get to each of them and does so on time and efficiently, and that resources R are
available for A, B, and C when needed and with little waste. Coordination
whether of the schedules of three people who want to attend a meeting, the
design and development of a Pentium III, or the design and building of a Boeing 777can be critical. The cost, completion time, features, and quality of
the final task rest on the coordination of subtasks and resources. In adding
value along its value configuration, a firm often has to coordinate many activities between groups within the firm and groups from outside. Most of what
is exchanged in the coordination is information, and the Internet, as an informa-
FIGURE 3.1
Internet Properties
Mediating technology
Universality
Network externalities
Distribution channel
Time moderator
Information asymmetry
shrinker
Infinite virtual capacity
Low cost standard
Creative destroyer
Transaction-cost reducer
5-Cs
Coordination
Commerce
Community
Content
Communication
Business Model
Performance
Environment
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Commerce
There are many advantages to purchasing and selling goods and services over the
Internetor performing e-commerce. The low cost standard and universality
properties, for example, suggest that firms and individuals who engage in commerce over the Internet have potential access to customers all over the world
since customers everywhere potentially have access to the Internet. E-commerce
can be business-to-business (B2B), business-to-consumer (B2C), consumerto-consumer (C2C), or consumer-to-business (C2B).
Business-to-Business
In business-to-business (B2B), businesses buy and sell goods and services to
and from each other. In 1999 B2B commerce was estimated to be about $1.3 trillion by 2002.12 The universality property suggests that buyers can put out
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ILLUSTRATION
CAPSULE
3.1
requests for new bids for supplies on their websites and sellers from all over
the world have a chance to bid. More buyers means sellers have more customers
for their goods. More sellers means more choices for buyers. The more sellers, the better things can be for all sellers. This is the case especially when
sellers can learn from each other or produce complementary goods.
A problem arises when sellers and buyers are highly fragmented; that is,
there are a great many small sellers and buyers. Because buyers are fragmented, a seller may not even know who all the buyers are. The buyer may not
know who all the sellers are either. Each supplier has to search through the
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Web pages of all buyers to find out what they want, give them the product
descriptions that they need, find out about their creditworthiness, complete the
buyers requests for quotation (RFQs), and so on. Thus, the more sellers and
buyers and the more fragmented both are, the higher the transaction costs. To
see why, consider Figure 3.2. Figure 3.2(a) shows only two sellers S1 and S2,
and two buyers B1 and B2. It takes each of the two sellers just two searches for
a total of four contacts with buyers. When the number of sellers and buyers
goes up to four each, the number of contacts that sellers have to make goes up
to 16 as each of the four sellers must look for the four buyers as shown in Figure 3.2(b). Thus, the costs of sellers and buyers undertaking transactions with
each other increase rapidly as the number of buyers and sellers increases. This
is where B2B hubsalso known as B2B intermediaries or B2B exchanges
come in. They provide a central point in the value system where sellers and
buyers can go to find each other. Figure 3.2(c) shows Figure 3.2(b) with a
B2B hub added. Now, instead of 16 contacts (N 2), only 8 (2N) are needed.
The four sellers make four postings on the hubs website and four buyers view
the postings for the total of eight. Thus, sellers enjoy the benefits of a network
of size N 2 but only have to make 2N contacts. More importantly, the hubs can
offer software to further reduce the number of contacts.
Two types of hubs have been identified: vertical and functional.13 Vertical
hubs usually focus on an industry or market and provide content that is specific
FIGURE 3.2
B2B Networks
Sellers
Buyers
S1
B1
S2
B2
Sellers
Buyers
S1
B1
S2
B2
S3
B3
S4
B4
Sellers
Buyers
S1
B1
(a)
(b)
S2
B2
B2B hub
(c)
S3
B3
S4
B4
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prices for a flight and leave them for the airline to accept or reject. This contrasts with B2C where a firm usually states its price for a product or service
and customers take it or leave it. Again, an intermediary plays an important
role. In our example, Priceline is the intermediary.
Intermediary Models
Where intermediaries play a role in commerce, different models are usually
used in pricing the goods that are exchanged in transactions. These models
include auction, reverse auction, fixed or menu pricing, bargaining, and barter.
Again, one of the most popular models used by intermediaries in C2C is the auction model as practiced by eBay. We will explore these models in Chapter 6.
Community
Groups with like interests, or community, can congregate online through chat
rooms or message boards. Electronic communities have many advantages over
physical communities. The universality and low cost standard properties mean
that anyone from anywhere can join the group if he or she meets the groups criteria. Distance is no longer a drawback to belonging to a community. The time
moderator effect also suggests that groups do not have to meet at the same time.
Some of the most important communities for firms are user groups. Lead
users, for example, are customers whose needs are similar to those of other
users except that they have these needs long before most of the marketplace
and stand to benefit significantly by satisfying those needs earlier.14 A community of lead users that can discuss their needs as they use early versions of
a design can be extremely valuable in helping each other discover their needs.
More important, the developer of the product has access to this critical information. Customer user groups, in general, can be important resources for
firms. For example, users of Cisco products learned so much from each other
that they did not have to ask many questions of Cisco about how to use the
products in their own system. This not only freed Cisco applications engineers to develop more products (instead of hand-holding customers), but also
meant happier customers who wanted more Cisco products.
The network externality property suggests that the larger the community,
the more valuable it is. This in turn suggests that once one belongs to a large
network, the less easy it is to switch to a smaller network. One strategic implication is that firms might want to build such communities early.
Content
Content is the information, entertainment, and other products that are delivered
over the Internet. Entertainment includes Disney online, MTV online, interactive video games, and sportscasting. A person can play games with friends and
relatives located thousands of miles away. Information content includes current news, stock quotations, weather forecasts, and investment information.
Both contents rest on the distribution channel, low cost standard, and mediating technology propertiesall of which suggest that more content is available
to more people.
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Communication
At the heart of the four Cs that we have just explored is the fifth: communication. Its uses go beyond coordination, commerce, community, and content.
People use electronic mail (e-mail), Web phones, or real-time video to
exchange messages for numerous bricks-and-mortar activities. Mediating and
interactivity properties mean that people can exchange electronic messages in
real-time. The time moderator, low cost standard, and universality properties
mean that one can send many messages at any time to many people. The infinite virtual capacity effect means that one can send many messages, each of
which can have a high content. Every user also has the capability to broadcast
messages. Broadcasting is no longer limited to the owners of radio and television stations.
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TABLE 3.1
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Internet property
Coordination
Commerce
Community
Content
Communication
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Mediating technology
Universality
Network externality
Distribution channel
Time moderator
Information asymmetry
shrinker
Infinite virtual capacity
Low cost standard
Creative destroyer
Transaction-cost reducer
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Tacit Knowledge
Whatever is transmitted over the Internet usually has been knowledge at some
pointknowledge that has resided in individuals or in organizational routines. E-mail messages sent by individuals derive from their stock of knowledge. The design of a car sent over the Internet is knowledge that has resided
in individuals who work for the automaker or in its organizational routines
and archival knowledge banks. For knowledge to be effectively transmitted
over the Internet, it must be encoded in a form that can be transmitted; that is,
knowledge transmitted over the Internet is explicit knowledge, not tacit.
Knowledge is explicit if it is codified, spelled out in writing, and verbalized
or coded in drawings, computer programs, or other products. It is also sometimes referred to as articulated or codified knowledge.16 Knowledge is tacit if
uncoded and nonverbalized. It may not even be possible to verbalize or articulate tacit knowledge. It can be acquired largely through personal experience
by learning or by doing. Tacit knowledge is often embedded in the routines of
organizations and the actions of an individual, and therefore is very difficult
to copy. Thus, carrying out transactions over the Internet becomes a problem
when the tacit knowledge on which the transactions rest cannot be encoded
into a form that can be put onto the Internet and transmitted. How can you
transmit the smell and feel of a car over the Internet?
People
The other problem with transacting over the Internet is that human beings and
their organizations, smart as they can be, are still limited cognitively. They
have bounded rationality. According to Oliver Williamson:
Bounded rationality involves neurophysiological limits on the one hand and
language limits on the other. The physical limits take the form of rate and
storage limits on the powers of individuals to receive, store, retrieve, and
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Because individuals and organizations are cognitively limited, they may not be
able to encode their knowledge into a form that can be transmitted over the
Internet. Even if they could articulate this knowledge well, cognitively limited
individuals at the receiving end might not understand. How does one describe
the smell of a new car to other people and give them the sensation that they
would get by themselves? Even if one could, would this other person get it?
Tacit knowledge and cognitive limitations of people make it difficult to
perform some transactions over the Internet. Technological advances such as
virtual reality may help to remove some of these limitations. In any case, as
a firm develops its business models and strategies, it is important to understand some of the limitations of the Internet.
Summary
The Internet has numerous properties that have the potential to transform the
competitive landscape in many industries. Ten propertiesmediating technology, universality, network externalities, distribution channel, time moderator,
information asymmetry shrinker, infinite virtual capacity, low cost standard, creative destroyer, and transaction-cost reducerhave an impact on the way activities in a firm are carried out. In particular, they have a major impact on coordination, commerce, community, content, and communicationthe 5-Cs. In
coordination, the Internet reduces the cost of transactions, cuts lead times, and
improves product-service features and quality. It takes commercebusiness-tobusiness, business-to-consumer, consumer-to-consumer, or consumer-tobusinessto a different level. The Internet redefines communities, making them
virtual, larger, and much more valuable. More content is available to more people. Communication now has the potential to offer everyone not only large virtual capacity but also the ability to broadcast information. The Internet also has
the potential to change the way the 5-Cs are carried outthus having a large
impact on the way business models are conceived and executedand to have a
huge impact on nearly every industry.
Key Terms
B2B exchanges, 41
B2B hubs, 41
bounded rationality, 45
business-to-business
(B2B), 39
business-to-consumer
(B2C), 42
commerce, 39
communication, 44
community, 43
consumer-to-business
(C2B), 42
consumer-to-consumer
(C2C), 42
content, 43
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coordination, 38
creative destruction, 36
distribution channel, 35
explicit knowledge, 45
extension effect, 35
functional hubs, 42
infinite virtual
capacity, 36
information
asymmetry, 35
The McGrawHill
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intermediaries, 43
mediating
technology, 33
Metcalfes law, 34
network
externalities, 33
replacement effect, 35
tacit knowledge, 45
time moderation, 35
transaction costs, 37
47
universality of the
Internet, 33
vertical hubs, 41
5-Cs, 38
Discussion
Questions
1. Where do you expect network externalities to have the most impact: intrafirm,
business-to-business (B2B), business-to-consumer (B2C), consumer-toconsumer (C2C), or consumer-to-business (C2B) transactions? Start by
estimating the network size in each case.
2. Of the 10 major properties of the Internet, which one do you consider the
most powerful in terms of the impact on firm activities? (Hint: What is the
impact of each property on each of the 5-Cs?) Does the type of industry in
which these activities are performed matter?
3. Which of the 5-Cs stands to be most affected by the Internet and why?
Does the type of industry matter?
4. Which industries stand to benefit the most from the Internet?
5. Which activities are least likely to be impacted by the Internet?
Notes
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9. This example is from Newspapers and the Internet: Caught in the Web,
The Economist, July 17, 1999, pp. 1719.
10. R. H. Coase, The Nature of the Firm, Econometrica 4 (1937), pp.
386405; O. Williamson, Markets and Hierarchies (New York: Free
Press, 1975).
11. Downes and Mui, Unleashing the Killer App, pp. 3539.
12. A. Marlatt, Creating Vertical Marketplaces, Internet World, February
1999, pp. 8592.
13. M. Sawhney and S. Kaplan, Lets Get Vertical, Business 2.0, September 1999.
14. E. Von Hippel, Lead Users: A Source of Novel Product Concepts, Management Science 32 (1986), pp. 791805.
15. Cars: Wheels and Wires, The Economist, January 8, 2000, pp. 5860.
16. See, for example, M. Polanyi, Personal Knowledge: Towards a Post Critical Philosophy (London: Routledge, 1962); G. Hedlund, A Model of
Knowledge Management and the N-form Corporation, Strategic Management Journal 15 (1994), pp. 7390.
17. Williamson, Markets and Hierarchies, p. 21; K. Conner and C. K. Prahalad, A Resource-based Theory of the Firm: Knowledge versus Opportunism, Organization Science 7, no. 5 (1995), pp. 477501.
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Chapter Four
Components of a
Business Model
In Chapter 3 we explored those properties of the Internet that could transform
the competitive landscape in many industries. The question now is, How can
a firm take advantage of these properties to gain and maintain a competitive
advantage? That is, how can a firm use the Internet to be more profitable than
its competitors over the long term? How a firm plans to make money long
term using the Internet is detailed in its Internet business model. In this chapter, we explore the components of an Internet business model and the linkages
between these components. We will begin with a definition of business models. We will then examine the components of a business model and the linkages between them, paying particular attention to the role of the properties of
the Internet that we explored in Chapter 3. The dynamics of business models
and their appraisal will be discussed in Chapter 5.
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4. Components of a
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FIGURE 4.1
Business Model
Profit site
Customer value
Scope
Price
Revenue sources
Connected activities
Implementation
Capabilities
Sustainability
Cost structure
Determinants of
Firm Performance
Internet
Performance
Environment
the Internet on the industry and these activities, and the firms distinctiveness
and how best to exploit it. The firm can be a supplier to the Internet, a service
provider within the Internet infrastructure, or a user.
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PROFIT SITE
A firms profit site, as we saw in Chapter 2, is its location in a value configuration vis-a-vis its suppliers, customers, rivals, potential new entrants, complementors, and substitutes. In the case of the Internet, for example, firms
positioned themselves as Internet Service Providers (ISPs), backbone suppliers, content suppliers, network providers, network infrastructure providers,
network utility providers, applications service providers (ASPs), online content
providers, or users of the Internet such as online brokers, online retailers, online
market-makers, business-to-business (B2B) exchanges, business-to-consumer
(B2C), consumer-to-consumer (C2C), and so on. A firms profit site determines the competitive pressures from rivals, suppliers, customers, potential
new entrants, complementors, and substitutes. A profit site is said to be attractive if the pressure exerted by competitive forces is low and unattractive otherwise. It is a function of the type of industry in which the profit site happens
to be located and of the type of strategy pursued by the firm. Some industries
are, by their nature, more attractive than others. In 2001, for example, being
a supplier to infrastructure firms was more attractive than being an online
retailer. A firms profit site impacts or is impacted by the type of value that
the firm offers, the customer segment that it can pursue, the prices that it
charges, its sources of revenues, the activities that it chooses to perform, its
capabilities, how it implements its business model, how sustainable its business model is, and its cost structure. Locating in an unattractive sitea site
where competitive forces are strongmakes it more difficult to cultivate and
execute a winning business model. Firms that are located in such a site would
have a more difficult time being profitable. Customers with bargaining power
can extract higher prices or better quality products from profit-site firms
thereby influencing both the pricing strategies that firms can pursue and the
type of customer value they can offer. Suppliers with bargaining power can
Is the firm offering its customers something distinctive or at a lower cost than its competitors?
Customer value
Scope
Pricing
Revenue source
4. Components of a
Business Model
Cost structure
Sustainability
Capabilities
Implementation
Connected activities
Profit site
Component of
Business Model
TABLE 4.1
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force firms to take lower-quality inputs or pay higher prices for the inputs that
they buy from these suppliers. Accepting lower-quality inputs can reduce the
level of customer value that firms can offer, increase their cost, or erode their
brand-name reputation. Paying more for inputs increases costs. High rivalry
may increase costs since firms may have to, for example, advertise to differentiate themselves. Increased rivalry may force firms out of certain market
segments to niche markets. It may also influence which activities a firm performs. For example, firms may decide to locate manufacturing in countries
with lower manufacturing costs. Effectively, where a firm locates in an innovation value configuration influences or is influenced by the customer value
that it offers, the customer segment that it pursues, the prices that it charges,
its sources of revenues, the activities that it chooses to perform, its capabilities, how it implements its business model, how sustainable its business
model is, and its cost structure. As we explore in Chapter 10, the Internet
stands to alter the relative bargaining position in many industries.
CUSTOMER VALUE
Customers would buy a product from a firm only if the product offers them
something that competitors products do not.4 This something, or customer
value, can take the form of differentiated or low cost products/services.
Differentiation
A product is differentiated if customers perceive it to have something of value
that other products do not have. A firm can differentiate its products in eight
different ways: product features, timing, location, service, product mix, linkage between functions, linkage with other firms, and reputation.5
Product Features
A firm can differentiate its products/services by offering features that competitors products do not have. For example, a manufacturer of memory microchips
might differentiate its products by emphasizing the speed of its chips. Distinctive features are probably the most familiar form of product differentiation, and
better coordination of activities within and outside a firm using the Internet can
result in better product features for customers. For example, the Internet offers
the possibility of made-to-order cars, customized to individual taste. The Internet also offers 24-hour service, no lines, and access to a community of customers. It also can offer personalized service for everyone.
Timing
A firm can differentiate a product by being the first to introduce it. Since such a
product is the only one on the market, it is, by default, differentiated because no
other product has its features. Thus, two personal computers with identical physical attributesspeed, main memory capacity, disk capacity, operating system,
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Linkages
Association with another firm can also be a source of differentiation. An Internet upstart or bricks-and-mortar firm associated with AOL gains some credibility in the eyes of the many customers who perceive AOL as reputable. The network externalities property suggests that the larger a Web community is, the
more valuable its membership, which distinguishes the community from others.
Brand-Name Reputation
Finally, a firms brand-name reputation can go a long way in making customers
perceive that its products are different. The Internet offers one more channel to
establish brand-name reputations. This time, however, the channel can be more
worldwide than anytime before since the Internet reaches many more people.
Low Cost
Low cost means just thata firms products or services cost customers less
than those of its competitors. The idea is that it costs the firm less to offer customers the product/service, so the firm passes some of the cost savings on to
customers. Reduction in information asymmetry means savings in transaction
costs. The distribution channel effect means large savings and better ways of
disposing of a firms output. For example, a software developer or musician
who sells her products by posting them on the Internet saves on distribution,
packaging, and transportation costs. Better coordination of activities also means
lower costs for producers. The savings can then be passed on to customers.
SCOPE
While customer value is about offering low cost and/or differentiated products, scope is about the market segments or geographic areas to which the
value should be offered as well as how many types of products that embody
versions of this value should be sold.7 A firm can market either to businesses
or households. Within the business markets are different industries and, within
each of these industries, firms of different sizes and technical sophistication.
Households also consist of many segments that are a function of demographics, lifestyles, and incomes. iVillage, for example, is targeted largely toward
women. Then there is geography. Often a firm must decide where in the world
it wants to market its productsNorth America, Europe, or Africaand within
each continent, which country to serve. The universality property of the Internet makes geographic expansion a great deal more feasible than in the bricksand-mortar world. For example, a person in South Africa with an Internet connection can shop in Amazon.coms Seattle storefront.
A firms task of making decisions on scope is not limited to the choice of
market segment. A firm must also decide how much of the needs of the segment
it can profitably serve.8 For example, an Internet firm that targets teenagers
must decide how many of their needs it wants to meet. It could provide them
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only with basic hookup services and chat rooms or provide content such as
movies and math tutoring. It might also decide to provide the same type of
service to all demographic groups.
PRICE
An important part of profiting from the value that firms offer customers is to
price it properly. A bad pricing strategy can not only leave money on the table,
but also kill a product or stifle its prosperity. Most products and services in the
so-called knowledge economy are, well, knowledge-based.9 Knowledge-based
products are heavy on know-how and have very high up-front costs relative to
the variable cost of producing and offering each unit to customers. For example, a software developer can spend millions of dollars to develop a software
application while the cost of selling a copy to customers is almost zero because
all the developer has to do is post the software on the Web for customers to
download. It cost AOL hundreds of millions of dollars to build its software,
hardware, brand, and subscriber base, but once the initial amount is spent, the
monthly relative cost of maintaining each member is negligible. To illustrate
some of the underpinnings of the pricing strategies for knowledge-based products and services, lets start with a simple but revealing example.
Example Consider two firms, A and B, each of which has developed a proprietary software package. Each spends $500 million (M) a year on research
and development (R&D), marketing, and promotion, with the bulk of that sum
on R&D.10 Since the software can be downloaded by customers, lets assume
that it costs both A and B $5 to sell each copy (for credit card verification and
management of the marketing website) at a unit price of $200. Suppose firm A,
through the right strategic decisions and endowments, has a market share of 80
percent of the 10 million units in 1999 while B has the remaining 20 percent.
Using the extremely simple but enlightening relation:
Profits = = (P Vc)Q Fc
where P is the price per unit of the product,
Vc is the per unit variable cost,
Q is the total number of units sold, and
Fc is the up-front or fixed costs,
we find that in 1999:
Firm As profits = (200 5) 8M 500M = 1,560M 500M = $1,060M
Firm Bs profits = (200 5) 2M 500M = 390M 500M = $110M
Thus, while firm A earned more than $1 billion in profits in 1999, firm B actually lost $110 million. What a difference market share makes for high fixed cost,
low variable cost products! This very simple example brings out several underpinnings of pricing strategies for products with high fixed costs and low variable
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Lock-in
An important question is, Why cant firm B reduce its price low enough to
grab some of the market share from firm A? One answer is that such pricing
strategies work best for products that not only have a very high ratio of fixed
TABLE 4.2
Market
Share
(%)
Firm A
Firm B
80
20
1999
2000
Market
Market
Market
Share
Market Share
Market Share
(1,000
Profits
Share (1,000
Profits
Share (1,000
Profits
units) ($ millions) (%)
units) ($ millions) (%)
units) ($ millions)
800
200
344
461
80
20
8,000
2,000
1,060
110
80
20
80,000
20,000
15,100
3,400
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to variable costs but also exhibit lock-in, which means that the products have
certain characteristics that lock in customers. First, switching to a new product means users must learn how to use the new one if both old and new products are not compatible. Unless the benefits of the new product outweigh those
of the old one, customers may not be willing to switch. For example, a person who has learned how to use Microsofts Windows operating system and
decides to switch to UNIX must now learn how to use this new operating system. Many customers regard switching costs as important. The required new
learning may not be worth the cost savings, if any. Second, the product may
have complementary products that are not compatible with those of competing products. In this case switching could mean buying a new set of compatible products. In the Windows example, switching to UNIX could mean having to abandon all the applications programs that the user has accumulated
over the years. Third, these products sometimes exhibit network externalities
the more users who own them, the more valuable they are to users. If many people already own an IBM-compatible PC, it makes sense to stay with that type
of computer when you need a new one or go with what most people have when
you buy your first computer. That way, you can share user tips and software
with other users. These lock-in properties allow firms that are already ahead of
the competition to increase the distance between themselves and competitors.
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One-to-One
In one-to-one bargaining, a seller negotiates with a buyer to determine at
what point the buyer considers the price appropriate for the value that he or she
is getting. This overcomes the disadvantage of menu pricing which lets some
customers get away with a price that is less than they would be willing to pay,
and misses out on customers who would prefer to pay less. This type of pricing is very common on the streets of most developing countries. The first disadvantage of one-to-one bargaining is that it is impractical in most large
bricks-and-mortar stores; imagine customers trying to negotiate prices on all
the items in a supermarket. The second disadvantage is that the seller cannot
be sure that the prospective buyer is willing to pay what he or she believes the
product is worth, nor can the buyer be sure that the seller necessarily wants to
sell for the least price. With the Internet, changing prices is as easy as clicking
a mouse. Moreover, customer personalization helps better determine each customers willingness to pay and prices can be adjusted accordingly.
Auction
In auction pricing the seller solicits bids from many buyers and sells to the
buyer with the best bid. This removes the second disadvantage of one-to-one bargaining. One problem with auctions is that buyers can collude to hold down the
price of an item or sellers can limit the number of items up for bid at any time.
The other problem with auctions in the bricks-and-mortar world is the difficulty
in bringing together many buyers and sellers. This difficulty still exposes auction
participants to some of the risk of not getting the best buyers and sellers that oneto-one bargaining faces. The large communities of the Internet, however, bring
together many sellers and buyers, greatly reducing this problem. Moreover, on
the Web auctioneers like eBay have developed programs that allow buyers to rate
each other, helping to establish a rating reputation for performance. This goes a
long way in reducing the fear of collusion and opportunism.
Reverse Auction
In a reverse auction, sellers decide whether to fulfill the orders of potential
buyers. A buyer proposes a price for a good or service. Sellers then decide
whether to accept or reject the bid. Priceline.com was one of the pioneers of
the reverse auction model. A user of Priceline proposes a price he or she is
willing to pay for, say, air transportation, between points A and B on a certain
day. Priceline then presents this information to the airlines to see whether any
are interested. If an airline is willing to sell tickets at that price, the deal is consummated and Priceline gets a commission from the seller.12 This system also
allows price discrimination by sellers because buyers do not know how much
other buyers are willing to pay. The reverse auction is not as good for sellers
as an auction since an astute buyer can capture all of the sellers surplus.
Barter
Probably one of the oldest pricing models first employed by our ancestors,
barter refers to the swapping of goods for goods, or goods for services, and
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the use of those goods or services by the parties involved. Although it works
for young companies strapped for cash, in general, barter is a relatively weak
pricing model that has little long-term potential.
REVENUE SOURCES
A critical part of a business model analysis is the determination of the sources
of a firms revenues and profits. In the bricks-and-mortar world, many firms
receive their revenue sources directly from the products they sell. Others
receive their revenues from selling products and servicing them, with a larger
share of their profits coming from the service. For example, a jet engine
maker or earth-moving equipment manufacturer may receive large amounts
of revenue from selling its products but make much greater profits from spare
parts and servicing of the equipment. An understanding of the sources of profits allows a firm to make better strategic decisions. For example, the jet engine
maker may decide to sell the engines at giveaway prices and depend on aftersales service to make money.
With the Internet, the need to determine the sources of revenues and profits is even more critical largely because of its properties of mediating and network externalities. Consider an online stockbrokerage firm, for example. It
has three sources of revenues: (1) the commissions that it collects on the stock
trades it executes for clients; (2) the interest that it charges clients who must
borrow from the cash reserves of other clients (deposited with the broker) to
pay for any securities they buy on margin; and (3) the spread between the bid
and ask prices of stocks. Thus, an online stockbrokerage may decide to charge
extremely low commissions to increase the number of its clients with large
assets. More such clients mean more revenues and profits from interest
charges and spreads.
The mediating property also suggests that the revenue model of radio,
print, and television media in the United States and Canada provides useful
information in determining the sources of revenues and profits for the Internet. In the media model, firms offer value to their audience but charge advertisers, not the audience, for it. A firm may therefore sell its products at a discount but make money from selling advertising to merchandisers who value
the firms audience. An online auto dealer may collect a fee for referring customers to automakers but make its money by selling insurance to visitors to
its site. Some firms might lose money in selling to customers but collect information on these customers that they can sell to other vendors. In early 2000,
there were two problems with this model. First, almost anyone with a website
had an audience and therefore the potential to sell advertising or capture customer data. Second, exactly what advertisers should be paying for has not
been very clear. Table 4.3 traces some of the evolution of online advertising
metrics.
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63
Metric
Definition
Comment
Number of hits
Page views
Click-through
Unique visitors
Reach
Length of stay
Registered users
Repeat visitors
Source: S. V. Haar, Web Metrics: Go Figure. Business 2.0 (June 1999), pp. 4647.
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In choosing which activities to perform, management should ask itself if the activities:
Are consistent with customer value and the scope of customers served.
Are consistent with any distinctive capabilities that the firm has or wants to build.
What are the characteristics of the industry at this stage of the life cycle and what will they be
down the line?
What are existing competitors doing and what are potential ones likely to do?
that it performs should be consistent with that position. Dell Computer, for
example, by going direct not only cut the cost of offering PCs to its customers
(consistent with a low cost strategy) but also considerably cut down the time
between the production of a computer and the time a customer receives it. If
an e-tailer is going to offer 24-hour-a-day shopping, it must not only have the
right software and customer service (easy-to-use website and Web reps) to
match but also should have the logistics to deliver the products on time.
Second, the activities should reinforce each other.14 A well-constructed virtual storefront should be accompanied with appropriate promotions to help
establish brand-name reputation. The performance of the storefront helps reinforce the effectiveness of the campaign while the campaign further boosts the
perceived performance of the storefront. AOL may have all the portal services
and content, but if the Last Mile to the house is very slow and its customers
have to wait a long time for responses to their inquiries, the value perceived
by these customers will not be as high as if the Last Mile were faster.
Third, the activities should take advantage of industry success driversthe
factors that are likely to have the most impact on cost or differentiation. For
example, Dells excellent performance in the 1990s is often credited to the
firms decision to sell directly to business customers instead of going through
distributors. The apparent success of the decision may rest on two key characteristics of the PC industry. The first is that the rate of technological change
is very rapid, so PCs that sit on distributors shelves can become obsolete if
not sold quickly. By selling directly to customers, Dell was able to get the
products to customers early enough for them to enjoy the latest that processors can offer, before new products rendered them obsolete. The second is
that the prices of PCs drop very fast so the more the PCs wait at distributors,
the less the manufacturer will get for the PCs when they are eventually sold.
Moreover, by going direct Dell also avoids the large number of returns that
PC makers often have to take from dealers.
The fourth criteria for choosing which activity to perform is that the activities should take advantage of any distinctive capabilities that a firm may have
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or that it can build. Wal-Mart claims that one of its core capabilities is logistics.15 Thus, it would make sense for logistics to be one of the activities that
it performs in e-tailing.
Finally, and probably most important, the activities should be geared toward
making the industry more attractive to the firm. As we will see in Chapter 8,
one benefit of performing an analysis of industry attractiveness is finding out
why the industry is attractive or unattractive so that a firm can make the industry more attractive for itself; that is, through strategic action, a firm can increase
its bargaining power over suppliers and customers, reduce rivalry, raise barriers to entry, and reduce the power of substitutes. Offering customers better
value than competitors is a necessary condition for making profits, but it is
not a sufficient condition. A good example illustrates this. Suppose an entrepreneurial firm uses its proprietary technology to develop a custom electronic
fuel injector that uses microprocessors from Intel and is 30 percent more fuel
efficient, but it works only with Ford cars. Clearly this is a highly differentiated product with enormous customer value, but it probably will not be very
profitable for the entrepreneur. For one thing, Ford has bargaining power over
the entrepreneur since it is the only automaker that can use the product. For
another, Intel is the only firm that manufactures the microprocessor and, because
sales to the entrepreneur are so small compared to the millions of microprocessors sold to PC makers, Intel also has bargaining power over the entrepreneur. Thus, the choice of activities should go beyond providing better value
than competitors. The activities chosen should allow a firm to be in a better
position to exploit the value that it offers customersto make the industry
more attractive for itself.
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their PC needs without the help of distributors.17 Before then, most customers
needed the hand-holding that dealers provided. The PC had also evolved to a
point where some kind of a standard had emerged making it easier for firms
to specify their needs in a PC.
Additionally, when a firm chooses to perform some activities is also a function of what competitors are doing. If a firms major competitors are acquiring cable companies to allow them to offer broadband service over the Last
Mile to homes, the firm may want to do something about that. Finally, the
sequence in which activities are performed is also important. If a firm advertises its financial services to lure customers, but then lacks the computer services to match, its reputation may be damaged.
IMPLEMENTATION
A firms decision concerning what value to offer customers, which customers
to offer this value to, how to price it, and what activities to perform is one thing.
Actually carrying out the decisionits implementationis another. We next
discuss the role of implementation, highlighting the relationships between strategy, structure, systems, people, and environment.18
Structure
The structure of a firm tells us who is supposed to report to whom and who is
responsible for what so that the activities a firm has chosen to perform are carried out. In searching for the right structure, three questions must be explored.
First is the question of coordination. While performing their own activities, how
do inbound logistics and operations, for example, manage to exchange information at the right times in order to offer customer value? How does the firm ensure
that the right resources are available at the right cost when needed? Second is
the problem of differentiation and integration. A firms logistics and marketing groups are maintained as separate functions because each necessarily has
to specialize in what it does in order to keep building the stock of knowledge
that underpins its activitieseach one has its own unique tasks and roles to play.
This is differentiation. At the same time, offering customers value often entails
cross-functional interaction; that is, the differentiated activities of the different functions must be integrated for optimal value.19
Organizational structures are some variation of two major types: functional
and project. In the functional organizational structure, people are grouped
and perform their tasks according to traditional functions such as inbound logistics, R&D, operations, marketing, and so on. Grouping people together with similar competencies and knowledge enables them to learn from each other and to
increase the firms stock of knowledge in the particular area. Communication is
largely vertical, up and down the hierarchy of each function.
In the project organizational structure, employees are organized not by
functional area but by the project they are working on. For example, if the
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project is to develop a minivan, employees from marketing, design, manufacturing, engines, and other relevant functions are assigned to the project and
work for the project manager, not their functional managers. Communication
is largely lateral, an advantage for innovation.
Organizational structures also can be characterized as organic or mechanistic.20 First, in the organic organizational structure, communications are
lateral, not vertical as with mechanistic organizational structures; that is,
product designers talk directly to marketing employees rather than through their
boss. This allows for a better exchange of ideas. Second, in the organic structure, employees with the most influence are those with technological skills or
marketing knowledge and not those ranking high in the organizational hierarchy. This allows them to make the best-informed decisions. Third, job responsibilities are more loosely defined in the organic structure, giving employees
more opportunities to be receptive to new ideas and more objective about how
best to use these ideas. Finally, the organic structure emphasizes the exchange
of information rather than a one-way flow of information from some central
authority as in the mechanistic structure.
Systems
An organizational structure tells us who does what but very little about how
to keep people motivated as they carry out their assigned tasks and responsibilities.21 Management must be able to monitor performance and reward and
punish individuals, functions, divisions, and organizations in some agreed upon
and understood way. For employees of many start-ups, the payoff at the initial public offering (IPO) is a strong incentive. In these firms, systems must
be in place whereby information will flow in the shortest possible time to the
right targets for decision making. In addition to performance and reward systems, information flow systems are critical. These can be grouped into information and communication technologies and the physical layout of the building. The Internet makes it possible for the CEO of Microsoft, for example, to
see new product ideas from an engineer deep down the organizational hierarchy via electronic mail or an intranet. If such information had to pass up the
organizational ladder, it would take much longer and face a good chance of
distortion. An area manager for a U.S. multinational corporation who is resident in France does not have to go through loops to obtain information on a
new product being developed in the United States. All she needs to do is go
to the companys website in the companys intranet to get undistorted, up-todate information on the product. A German driver should be able to test-drive
a car in a virtual reality site in Stuttgart knowing that the results will be fed
instantly to designers in Detroit, Los Angeles, and Tokyo.
People
Establishing control and reward systems to motivate employees, and building
information systems that provide them with the best information for decision
making, is one thing. Whether these people are motivated or not, or make the
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Organizational Culture
How well people perform their roles in the firm is a function of a firms culture. Organizational culture is a system of shared values (what is important)
and beliefs (how things work) that interact with the organizations people,
organizational structures, and systems to produce behavioral norms (the way
we do things around here).24 Whether a culture is good at recognizing the
potential of an innovation is a function of the type of culture. An entrepreneurial culture that keeps employees on the lookout for new ideas and holds
the employees in high esteem when they turn those ideas into new products
can be an asset in recognizing the potential of an innovation. However, some
cultures can lead to evils such as the Not Invented Here (NIH) syndrome.
Different firms use different strategies to avoid such evils. For example,
Sony looks for people who are neyaka, that is, open-minded, optimistic, and
wide-ranging in their interests. It also prefers generalists compared to specialists. Sonys founder, Masuru Ibuka, says Specialists are inclined to argue
why you cant do something, while our emphasis has always been to make
something out of nothing.25
CAPABILITIES
Resources
To perform the activities that underpin customer value, firms need resources.
These resources can be grouped into tangible, intangible, and human.26 Tangible resources are both physical and financial, the types usually identified and
accounted for under assets in financial statements. These include plants, equipment, and cash reserves. For some Internet start-ups, these are their computers,
pipes over the Last Mile to homes, and the money raised through IPOs. Intangible resources are the nonphysical and nonfinancial assets that are usually not
accounted for in financial statements.27 These include patents, copyrights, reputation, brands, trade secrets, relationships with customers, relationships between
employees, and knowledge embedded in different forms such as databases containing the vital statistics of customers and market research findings. For many
portals, ISPs, and e-tailers, these are their software, databases of visitor or customer profiles, copyrights, brands, and client communities. Human resources are
the skills and knowledge that employees carry with them. For Internet firms,
these are the knowledge and skills embedded in employees on everything from
how to code software to how to design and implement business plans.
Competencies
Resources in and of themselves do not make customer value and profits. Customers would not scramble to a firms doors because the firm has great plants,
geniuses, or a war chest from an initial public offering. Resources must be
converted into something that customers want. The ability or capacity of a
firm to turn its resources into customer value and profits is usually called a
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Competitive Advantage
A firms core competencies allow it to have a competitive advantage because,
by definition, they allow the firm to offer its customers better value than competitors. The extent to which this advantage is sustainable is a function of how
inimitable and difficult to substitute the capabilities are. Three reasons have been
offered for why it may be very difficult to replicate or acquire distinctive capabilities.30 First, it may be difficult to replicate the historical context in which the
capabilities were developed. Caterpillars worldwide service network of people
trained in servicing its earth-moving equipment has its foundation in World
War II, when its machines were the machines of choice by Allied forces in
Europe. After the war many servicepeople who returned to the civilian workforce had the skills and knowledge to service Caterpillar equipment. A firm
would find it very costly to build an identical network. Second, it may take time
to develop these capabilities, giving first movers an advantage that is difficult to
overcome. Mercks ability to get its drugs through clinical testing and approval
by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration is outstanding. It rests on the relationships that the firm has created over the years with different physicians,
research centers, and hospitals. These relationships cannot be created overnight.
Third, it may be very difficult at first to identify the core competence and even
more difficult to find out how to copy it. What really constitutes Hondas ability
to offer outstanding engines? How does one copy that? Answering these questions is difficult, suggesting that replicating the capability is also very difficult.
SUSTAINABILITY
If a firms business model enables it to gain a competitive advantage, the
chances are that its competitors would like to catch up or maybe even leapfrog
it. What can a firm do to maintain its competitive advantage? To sustain a competitive advantage, a firm candepending on its capabilities, environment,
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Block Strategy
In the block strategy, a firm erects barriers around its product market space. A
firm can block in two ways. First, if its capabilities in any of the components of
the business model are inimitable and distinctive enough to offer customers
unique value, the firm can limit access to them and thereby keep out competitors. That would be the case, for example, when a firm has intellectual property (e.g., patents, copyrights, software applications, domain assets, service
marks, trademarks, and trade secrets) that can be protected and sends signals to
potential imitators that it means business in protecting the property.
Amazon.coms 1999 lawsuit against barnesandnoble.com, charging the latter
with copying its 1-Click technology, is one such signal. Second, if all firms
are equally capable of performing these activities, incumbents may still prevent
entry by signaling that post-entry prices will be low. There are several ways a
firm can achieve this.32 For example, it can establish a reputation for retaliating
against anyone who tries to imitate any component of its business model. It can
also do so by making heavy, nonreversible investments in relevant assets. For
example, if a firm spends billions of dollars installing fiber optics capability for
all the households in a town, the chances are that it will lower prices if another
firm wants to offer high-speed access to the same customers. In general, such
signals can prevent profit-motivated potential competitors from entering.
Blocking works only as long as a companys capabilities are unique and
inimitable or as long as barriers to entry last. But competitors can, for example, circumvent patents and copyrights or challenge them in court until they
are overturned. Moreover, the usefulness of such capabilities lasts only until
discontinuities such as deregulation/regulation, changing customer preferences and expectations, or radical technological change render them obsolete.
The information asymmetry reduction property of the Internet also suggests
that blocking is not going to be very effective. With the Internet, learning
about competitors products, the technologies that underpin them, and how to
reverse-engineer these products is considerably easier. A software developer
that once depended on the scarcity of distribution channels to keep out competitors, for example, can no longer do so since new entrants can now sell
their products over the Internet. With the databases on patents available on the
Internet, an imitator can quickly search through its own patents and those of
its target competitors and be in a better position to challenge the patents or to
determine what it needs to leapfrog the competitor. Special relations with customers that gave a firm an advantage may no longer do so because customers
can solicit bids from many more suppliers over the Internet.
Run Strategy
The run strategy admits that blockades to entry, no matter how formidable
they may appear, are often penetrable or eventually fall. Sitting behind these
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Team-up Strategy
Sometimes, a firm simply cannot do it all alone. It must pursue a team-up
strategy with others through some kind of strategic alliance, joint venture,
acquisition, or equity position. Teaming up allows a firm to share in resources
that it does not possess and may not want to acquire or cannot acquire even if
it wanted to. Shared resources also facilitate knowledge transfer. Teaming up
has its disadvantages too. It is not easy for a firm to protect its technology or
other aspects of its business model that it would like to keep proprietary. In
teaming up, a firm also risks becoming too dependent on another firms
resources. Often, running also requires teaming up. For example, developing
some chips on time may require more resources than one firm can afford,
necessitating teaming upwitness the Toshiba, IBM, and Siemens alliance to
develop the 256M memory chip.
Attaining and maintaining a competitive advantage often requires some
combination of the three strategies. An important question is, When is each
strategy or combination of strategies appropriate? Two factors influence the
choice of strategy. First, the choice depends on what it takes for a firm to build
a profitable business model. It depends on what determines profitability in the
face of the technology in question. After all, a business model is about how to
make money over the long term. Second, timing is of the essence. The strategy pursued is a function of the stage of evolution of the technologythe
Internet in our case. It is also a function of when existing and potential competitors have pursued related strategies or plan to.
COST STRUCTURE
Offering customer value to different market segments, performing value-adding
activities, pursuing different sources of revenues or pricing strategies, building
firm capabilities, executing business models, and sustaining firm competitive
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advantages all cost money. Every dollar of revenues is associated with some
cost. A firms cost structure expresses the relationship between its revenues
and the underlying costs of generating those revenues. Irrespective of whether
it pursues a low cost or differentiation strategy, a firm would like to keep its cost
per revenue dollar per unit customer value very low. To keep these costs low, a
firm must understand the determinants of its costs. A firms cost structure is
determined by how it exploits its industrys cost drivers as it adds and delivers
value to its customers while positioning itself well vis-a-vis its co-opetitors.
A firms co-opetitors are the suppliers, customers, and complementors with
whom it must compete and co-operate. Key cost drivers include economies of
scale, input-to-output transformation technology on which value-adding activities rest, capacity unitilization, and transaction costs.34 Where such cost drivers are themselves driven by information rather than by materials, the Internet
stands to have a more profound impact on cost structure. Take the software
industry for example. Since the product is made up of ones and zeros, software
developers can reside anywhere in the world and use the Internet to co-develop
new software. Moreover, software can be distributed to customers over the
Internet, which is less costly than the bricks-and-mortar distribution model of
packaging the software in disks and transporting it by land, sea, or air.
In general, having a low cost structure entails paying careful attention to the
cost of the other nine components of a business model and making sure that they
are planned and executed efficiently. Thus, in delivering value to customers, it is
always important to keep asking how much it costs to deliver the value, how
much it costs to acquire customers in each market segment, which activities a
firm is better off outsourcing and which should remain internal, and so on.
Summary
A firms business model is critical to its ability to gain and maintain a competitive advantageit is critical to the firms profitability. The success of a
firms business model in the face of the Internet challenge is a function of the
type of value that it offers customers, the type of customers to which it offers
that value, the range of products or services that contain the value, how it
prices that value, the types of revenue sources it pursues, the way the activities
that undergird customer value creation work as a system, the implementation
of the activities and value creation, the capabilities on which value-creating
activities rest, and the strategies used to sustain the firms competitive advantage. How much of a competitive advantage is also a function of the extent to
which the firm, in designing and executing its business model, takes advantage of those factors that make its industry attractive or unattractive as a result
of the impact of the Internet.
Again, using the deceptively simple relationship, Profits (P Vc )
Q Fc, we can see how each of the components of a business model affects
profitability. If a firm can offer its customers something distinctive (i.e., competitors cannot imitate it), it can afford to charge premium prices, P, for it. This
leads to higher profits. If its per unit costs, Vc , are low, is higher. The more
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people in a particular market segment that can buy the product, the higher the
quantity Q will be. The more each of the customers in the segment is willing
to pay for the product, the higher P becomes. Pricing ensures that a firm gets
paid for the value that it offers customers and does not leave money on the
table. It can also be used to gain a large market share early and build switching costs at customers ensuring a higher Q. Different revenue sources mean a
higher Q and the appropriate P Vc. Well-connected activities and good
implementation reinforce higher P, lower Vc , and higher Q. So does a good
sustainability strategy.
Key Terms
auction pricing, 61
barter, 61
block strategy, 71
boundary spanners, 68
business model, 51
cannibalization, 72
capabilities, 53
champions, 68
competence,70
competitive
advantage, 70
connected activities, 63
co-opetitor, 73
cost structure, 73
customer value, 52
functional
organizational
structure, 66
Discussion
Questions
gatekeepers, 68
implementation, 66
intellectual property,
71
knowledge-based
products, 58
lock-in, 60
mechanistic
organizational
structures, 67
menu pricing, 60
network
externalities, 60
neyaka, 69
one-to-one
bargaining, 61
organic organizational
structure, 67
organizational
culture, 69
pricing strategy, 58
profit site, 53
project organizational
structure, 66
resources, 69
revenue sources, 62
reverse auction, 61
run strategy, 71
scope, 57
sustainability, 53
switching costs, 60
team-up strategy, 72
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Notes
1. M. E. Porter, Towards a Dynamic Theory of Strategy, Strategic Management Journal 12 (1991), pp. 95117.
2. M. E. Porter, Competitive Advantage: Creating and Sustaining Superior
Performance (New York: Free Press, 1985).
3. R. Amit and P. Schoemaker, Strategic Assets and Organizational Rent,
Strategic Management Journal 14 (1993), pp. 3346; J. Mahoney and
J. R. Pandian, The Resource-Based View within the Conversation of
Strategic Management, Strategic Management Journal 13 (1992),
pp. 36380; C. Helfat, Know-how and Asset Complementarity and
Dynamic Capability Accumulation: The Case of R&D, Strategic Management Journal 18 (1997), pp. 33960; B. Wernerfelt, A Resourcebased View of the Firm, Strategic Management Journal 5 (1984), pp.
17180.
4. M. E. Porter, Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries
and Competitors (New York: Free Press, 1980).
5. M. E. Porter, Competitive Strategy; J. B. Barney, Gaining and Sustaining
Competitive Advantage (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1997).
6. R. D. Hof and L. Himelstein, eBay vs Amazon.com. Business Week,
May 31, 1999.
7. For a more detailed treatment of this very important marketing subject,
see P. Kotler, Marketing Management (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice
Hall, 1994).
8. M. E. Porter, What Is Strategy? Harvard Business Review, NovemberDecember 1996, pp. 6178.
9. W. B. Arthur, Increasing Returns and the New World of Business, Harvard Business Review, JulyAugust 1996, pp, 1009.
10. For a related example, see A. James, Give It Away and Get Rich, Fortune, June 10, 1996, pp. 9098.
11. The Heyday of the Auction, The Economist, July 24, 1999.
12. See Amy Cortese, E-Commerce: Good-Bye to Fixed Pricing? Business
Week, May 4, 1998.
13. Porter, Competitive Advantage.
14. The first two criteria are from Porter, What Is Strategy? pp. 6178.
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15. According to Wal-Marts CEO in 1999, the firms core competencies are
logistics and information technology.
16. R. M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis: Concepts, Techniques,
Applications (Oxford: Blackwell, 1998).
17. D. B. Yoffie, J. Cohn, and D. Levy, Apple Computer 1992, Harvard
Business School case #9-792-081.
18. This section draws heavily on Innovation Management: Strategies,
Implementation and Profits, Oxford University Press, 1998, pp. 99106.
19. P. R. Lawrence and J. W. Lorsch, Organization and Environments: Managing Differentiation and Integration (Burr Ridge, IL: Richard D. Irwin,
1967).
20. See, for example, T. Burns and G. M. Stalker, The Management of Innovation (London: Tavistock, 1961) and S. P. Robbins, Organizational Theory: Structure, Design and Applications (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice
Hall, 1987).
21. C. W. L. Hill and G. R. Jones, Strategic Management: An Integrated
Approach (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1995), p. 352.
22. See, for example, Innovation Management.
23. J. M. Howell and C. A. Higgins, Champions of Technological Innovation, Administrative Sciences Quarterly 35 (1990), pp. 31741.
24. B. Uttal and J. Fierman, The Corporate Culture Vultures, Fortune,
October 17, 1983, pp. 6673. For a detailed discussion on culture, see, for
example, E. Schein, Organizational Culture and Leadership (San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 1990).
25. B. Schlender and S. Solo, How Sony Keeps the Magic Going, Fortune,
February 24, 1992, pp. 7683.
26. R. M. Grant, Contemporary Strategy Analysis (Malden, MA: Blackwell,
1995), p. 120.
27. Given the critical role that intangible resources play in market value,
many firms are taking another look at their financial statement reporting.
See, for example, T. A. Stewart, Intellectual Capital: The New Wealth of
Organizations (New York: Currency/Doubleday, 1997).
28. There is a lot of outstanding research done in the so-called resourcebased view of the firm. For the tip of the iceberg, see, for example,
R. Amit and P. J. H. Schoemaker, Strategic Assets and Organizational
Rent, Strategic Management Journal 14, no. 1, (1993), pp. 3346; J. B.
Barney, Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantage, Journal of Management 17, no. 1 (1991), pp. 99120; C. Helfat, Know-how
and Asset Complementarity and Dynamic Capability Accumulation: The
Case of R&D, Strategic Management Journal 18 (1997), pp. 33960.
The terms resources, endowments, assets, competencies, and capabilities
have been used to mean different things by different authors. The terminology we use here is the most common. See, for example, G. M. Hamel
and C. K. Prahalad, Letter, Harvard Business Review, MayJune 1992,
pp.16465.
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Chapter Five
Dynamics of Internet
Business Models
In Chapter 4, we explored the components of a business model and the linkages between them. This exploration was largely static because we described
a business model at a point in time and said nothing about the impact of
change on the model. We said very little about the changes in the components
and linkages of dot.coms as the Internet evolves. Nor did we say much about
the impact of the Internet on bricks-and-mortar business models that existed
prior to the emergence of the Internet. But as Figure 5.1 reminds us, change
has a direct impact on business models and for these models to continue to
give a firm a competitive advantage, they too must changethey must be
dynamic. In this chapter, we examine the dynamics of business models. We
explore several models of technological change that are helpful in formulating and executing business models as firms create or respond to technological change. We begin by exploring a simple but important question: Who profits from technological change? We then examine several technological change
modelsincremental/radical, architectural innovation, disruptive change, innovation value-added chain, and technology life cycle modelsthat explore how
best to develop a new technology. Finally, we discuss the implications of these
technological change models for Internet business models.
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FIGURE 5.1
Change and
Business Models
Environment
Change (The Internet)
Incremental
Radical
Architectural
Disruptive
Imitable
Performance
Business Model
FIGURE 5.2
Imitability
High
II
Holder of
complementary
assets makes
money
Difficult to
make money
Low
IV
III
Inventor makes
money
Freely Available
or Unimportant
Tightly Held
and Important
Complementary Assets
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If, however, complementary assets are tightly held and important, the owner of
such assets makes money (cell II). For example, CAT scanners were easy to
imitate and EMI, the inventor, did not have complementary assets such as distribution channels and the relations with U.S. hospitals that are critical to selling such expensive medical equipment. General Electric had these assets and
quickly captured the leadership position by imitating the innovation. Coca-Cola
and Pepsi were able to profit from RC Colas diet and caffeine-free cola inventions because they had the brand-name reputation and distribution channels that
RC did not, and the innovations were easy to imitate.
When imitability is low, the innovator stands to profit from it if complementary assets are freely available or unimportant (cell IV). For example, the
inventor of the Stradivarius violin profited enormously because no one could
imitate it, and complementary assets for it were neither difficult to acquire nor
important. When imitability is low and complementary assets are important
and difficult to acquire as in cell III, whoever has both or the more important
of the two wins. The better negotiator can also make money. Pixars interaction with Disney is a good example. Imitability of some of its digital studio
technology is somewhat low given the software copyrights it holds and the
combination of technology and creativity it takes to deliver a compelling animation movie. But offering customers movies made with that technology
requires distribution channels, brand-name recognition, and financing which
are tightly held by the likes of Disney and Sony Pictures. Before Toy Story,
Disney had the bargaining power because it had all the complementary assets
and the technology had not been proven. After the success of Toy Story, when
Pixar proved that it could combine technology and creativitysomething that
is more difficult to imitate than plain computer animationthere was a shift
in bargaining power to Pixar, which was then able to renegotiate a better deal.2
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the firm keeps innovating. By the time competitors catch up with yesterdays
technology, the firm has moved on to tomorrows technology. The more frequently encountered case is that of cell II: although complementary assets are
tightly held and important, the technology is easy to imitate. The firm must
develop the complementary assets internally or get them by teaming up with
someone else. Either way, the key thing is timing. If the firm decides to build
internally, it must do so before competitors with complementary assets have
had a chance to copy the technology. If the firm is going to team up, it must
do so while it still has something to bring to the tablewhile potential partners have not yet imitated the technology. As defined earlier, teaming up
means forming some kind of partnership (e.g., joint venture, strategic alliance,
or an acquisition) with a firm that has the important complementary assets
(Figure 5.3). It can also mean offering the firm for acquisition by another firm
that has the complementary assets.
In the early part of their life cycles, many Internet start-ups are positioned
in either cell I or cell II, but they are chiefly in cell II since their exploitation
of the technology is easy to imitate or substitute and complementary assets
are important. By carefully determining what complementary assets are critical to them, these start-ups can build them before incumbent competitors have
had time to imitate their technologies or build similar complementary assets.
For this strategy of developing complementary assets to be successful, it is
important that the firm builds in switching costs for its clients and customers.
Given the network externalities feature of the Internet, switching costs can be
network size where network externalities are important. For example, the
larger a community or number of clients, the more valuable it is to members
and the more difficult it is for a member to switch to a lesser community. eBay
pursued these strategies early in its life cycles.
FIGURE 5.3
Strategies for
Building Business
Models
Team-up
Joint venture
Strategic alliance
Acquisition
Internal development
High
Run
Imitability
II
IV
III
Block
Team-up
Joint venture
Strategic alliance
Acquisition
Low
Block
Freely Available
or Unimportant
Tightly Held
and Important
Complementary Assets
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In cell III, a firm can pursue one of two strategies: block or team-up. If it
has both the technology and complementary assets, it can protect both. The
danger is that sooner or later most technologies are imitated or become obsolete. Imitation or obsolescence moves the firm from cell III to cell II (in Figure 5.3) where it can use its complementary assets to team up with someone
who has the new technology. In a world where technology is difficult to imitate but complementary assets are easy to come by (cell IV), a firm depends
on protecting that technology if it is going to make money. Very few firms,
especially those exploiting the Internet, can be found in cell IV.
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can such complementary assets last before they can be duplicated or substituted? For example, Komatsu substituted the service network by designing
and building machines that were so reliable that the company did not need as
efficient a service and supplier network as Caterpillar did.
Thus, in determining ones complementary assets, it is important to sort out
those that make a relatively high contribution to customer value and also to
understand the extent to which they can be imitated or substituted. This avoids
generating a laundry list of assets that can be more confusing than helpful.
Resources
Capabilities
Assets
People
Skills
Activities
Sources of revenue
Pricing
Implementation
Sustainability
Product-market
Cost
position
Customer value
Scope
Positioning
Performance
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unlearn either and are therefore less likely to have as much difficulty in developing products/services using a new technology as do incumbents.
In general, most radical technological changes are likely to be radical to
one or a few of the stages of a firms value chain but may leave other stages
intact. Thus, in the face of many competence-destroying technological changes,
many of a firms complementary assets such as distribution channels, relations
with customers, and brand-name reputations are likely to be useful assets for
the incumbent.9 New entrants usually do not have these complementary assets.
On the other hand, a technological change is said to be incremental (in the
organizational sense) or competence-enhancing if the capabilities required to
exploit the new technology build on existing firm capabilities. In that case, the
capabilities and culture that incumbents have developed give them an advantage
over new entrants. Most technological changes are incremental and incumbents
usually use such changes to reinforce their competitive advantages.
Implications for the Internet The Internet is likely to be radicalboth in the
economic and organizational senseto firms in industries whose competitive
advantage rested largely on information asymmetries. Firm capabilities and
product-market positions (customer value, scope, and positioning) are likely
to be impacted. Recall from Chapter 3 that one of the properties of the Internet is its ability to reduce information asymmetries. The industries that are
likely to experience this reduction in information asymmetry include real
estate, tour ticketing, airline and concert ticketing, car dealerships, investment
banking, commercial banking, and stock brokerages. Prior to the Internet, real
estate agents had easy access to multiple housing listings, local chamber of
commerce information, and knowledge of neighborhoods. Travel agents had
access to airline schedules and pricing that travelers did not have. Car dealers
had information on car features and prices that customers lacked. Stockbrokers had access to investment research and to timely stock quotes that most
investors did not have. The Internet makes most of that information available
directly to customers without intermediaries. Firm positioning vis-a-vis coopetitors is also likely to change where the basis of bargaining power was
information asymmetries. For example, car dealers do not have the type of
information advantages that they had over customers and therefore no longer
have as much power. Incumbents who face any of these changes have to be
careful how they go about the change since old capabilities can handicap the
decision to change. As Compaq found out, for example, a firms links with
channels that were critical in the bricks-and-mortar world can stifle its attempts
to take full advantage of the Internet. The PC dealers that had served Compaq
so well successfully resisted the companys efforts to sell directly to customers like its archrival Dell Computers.
Separate Entity or a Unit Within? In industries where the Internet is a radical technological change, incumbents often face the question of whether to
develop the technology within the existing bricks-and-mortar organization or
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create a separate legal entity. There are many arguments for creating a separate legal entity. Doing so avoids the dominant managerial logic and culture of
the old bricks-and-mortar organization, which can only hurt the new endeavor.
It avoids the political haggling that can crush a fledgling group within the incumbent. At the peak of the dot.com boom, a separate legal entity attracted more
talent that would prefer to work in the entrepreneurial environment of a startup and participate in the potential payoff of an initial public offering (IPO).
The fear of the cannibalization of existing products/services takes attention
away from the longer-term issues of the Internet. Finally, if the valuations of
dot.com companies are high relative to their bricks-and-mortar competitors, a
separate legal entity could raise a lot more and cheaper capital through an
IPO. There are also good arguments for developing new technology within.
Most incumbents have complementary assets that can be used. By developing
the group within, the bricks-and-mortar personnel can learn from it. Moreover, the firm would not have to worry about the painful process of integrating the entity into the larger organization later. In any case, the option that is
best for a firm depends on the firm, its business model, and its industry. A firm
may decide, for example, to keep the unit within itself but physically locate it
far away to reduce some of the cultural and political power problems.
Architectural Innovation Model
Professors Kim Clark and Rebecca Henderson were puzzled by why some
incumbents have so much difficulty exploiting what appear to be incremental
technological changesseemingly minute changes in existing technologies:
Xerox stumbled for many years before finally developing a good small plainpaper copier despite being the inventor of the core technology of xerography.10 RCA was never able to lead in the market for portable transistor radios
despite its experience in the components (transistors, audio amplifiers, and
speakers) that went into the portable radio. From their research, Clark and
Henderson suggested that since products are normally made up of components connected together, building them must require two kinds of knowledge: knowledge of the components and knowledge of the linkages between
them, which they called architectural knowledge. An architectural change is
therefore one which requires different knowledge of linkages between components. Thus, although the core concepts that underpin the primary components of large and small copiers may be the same, knowledge of how these
components interact in large copiers may be very different from knowledge
of how they interact in small copiers. In moving from large copiers to small
copiers, a Xerox that does not take the time to understand the changes in
interactions between components (architectural knowledge) and change its
processes and culture to match is likely to face more difficulties than a new
entrant without a culture entrenched in large copiers.
An architectural change does not imply that there is no change in components at all. Quite the contrary. Architectural change is often triggered by a
change in one component. For example, building a computer requires not only
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knowledge of components such as the microprocessor, main memory, secondary memory, software, and input/output (component knowledge) but also
knowledge of how these components interact (architectural knowledge). A
new design that wants to take advantage of the speed of a much faster processor is an architectural innovation and must consider the changes in the linkages between this new processor and other components of the computer.
With an understanding of the concept of architectural innovation, it became
clear why firms had problems with what appeared to be incremental innovations. They may have mistaken architectural innovation for incremental innovation. While the component knowledge required to exploit the innovations
had not changed (and therefore the semblance of incremental innovation),
architectural knowledge had changed. Architectural knowledge is often tacit
and embedded in the routines and procedures of an organization, making
changes in it difficult to discern and respond to.
Implications for the Internet The architectural innovation model can help us
explore the potential impact of the Internet on some industries. Take the automobile industry, for example, where distribution can account for one-third of
the sticker price of an automobile in the industrys bricks-and-mortar value
system.11 The primary reason for the high distribution cost is the industrys
supply-push systemespecially in the United Statesin which automakers
have been known to build large numbers of cars without paying enough attention to customer needs and then put pressure on dealers to sell the cars. Where
supply outweighs demand, automakers offer huge discounts and marketing
promotions. With the Internet, firms can better collect and analyze data on their
customers and offer them the cars they want. This reduces unnecessary discounting, marketing promotion, and inventory holding costs. But offering customers the cars that they want may require so-called build-to-order, where carmakers build cars to customers specifications when customers want them.
Thus, although the core concepts that underpin the different functions of an
automakers value chain have not changed, the linkages between the functions
have changed. That is, although the core concepts that underpin R&D, manufacturing, marketing, and other primary functions of an automobile value chain
may not have changed, knowledge of how these functions can more effectively interact using the Internet has changed. Architectural knowledge in this
industry has changed. Automobile makers that see the Internet as just one more
channel to sell cars may be missing out on critical information that could help
them in their business models. Effectively, bricks-and-mortar firms, even in
manufacturing industries such as automobiles, may have to adjust their business models appropriately so as to take advantage of the Internet. They may
have to adjust their capabilities, especially architectural competencies.
Cisco is another less obvious example of how the Internet impacts knowledge of linkages between value-chain functions. It was estimated that Cisco,
which earned $1.4 billion in profits in 1999, saved about $500 million that
year by using the Internet.12 Customers placed their orders on the companys
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change, however, there are other processes that must be used to effect the
change. An organizations values are the standards by which employees set
priorities that enable them to judge whether an order is attractive or unattractive, whether a customer is more important or less important, whether an idea
for a new product is attractive or marginal, and so on.15 A firms capabilities
allow it to offer products to its customers. Suppose one of those products is
A, which in year 1 more than meets the key performance attributes that the
firms customers want (B) in the product (Figure 5.5). Also suppose that in
year 2 a new product C, which costs less than A, is introduced. Initially, Cs
performance is inferior to that of A and clearly does not meet the performance
requirements demanded by B. Producers of Agiven their processes, values,
and culture that rest partly on being good in offering Afocus their attention
on satisfying the requirements of their key existing customers and therefore
do not pay attention to developing the necessary capabilities, processes, and
culture to build product C, which meets the performance attributes D that are
needed by a different market. New entrants produce C and keep improving its
performance. Eventually, say in year 5, Cs performance has improved to a
point where it also meets the needs of the market with demand B. By this
time, its too late for producers of A to shed the processes, values, and culture
that served them so well with the old technology to develop C and gain a product advantage. New entrants who did not have the old baggagethe processes,
values, culture, and cost structures associated with producing Ahave taken
the leadership position in producing C.
Professor Christensen used examples from the disk drive industry to develop
this model. At some point, makers of 8-inch disk drives (A in Figure 5.5) produced disk drives that had storage capacity, measured in Megabytes, that met
the needs of minicomputers with memory storage capacity demand B. When
Disruptive
Technological
Change
FIGURE 5.5
A
B
C
D
3
Year
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5.25-inch disk drives (C in Figure 5.5) were introduced, their storage capacity was below what minicomputers needed but was more than adequate for
desktop PCs. In addition, 5.25-inch drives cost less than their 8-inch counterparts. Makers of 8-inch disk drives did not pay much attention to 5.25-inch
disk drive technology; instead, they concentrated on satisfying the needs of
their customers who wanted 8-inch drives for their minicomputers. Makers of
5.25-inch drives, however, kept improving the capacity of the drives. Eventually, 5.25-drives could meet the needs of minicomputer makers. By this time,
it was too late for makers of 8-inch drives to beat their attackers, the makers
of 5.25-inch drives.16
According to Professor Christensen, management that faces a disruptive
technology must create a new organizational space that is conducive to developing the new capabilities that they need. Three options proposed by Professor Christensen are to (1) create a group within the firm in which new processes
can be developed; (2) spin out an independent entity from the existing firm
and develop new processes, values, and culture within this new entity; and
(3) acquire another entity whose processes and values are a close match for
what is needed. The option that a firm chooses is a function of the extent to
which the firms existing values and processes differ from the values and
processes that are needed to exploit the disruptive technology. The larger the
differences, the more a firm should think of acquisition rather than creating a
group within the firm to develop the new processes and values needed.
Implications for the Internet In the late 1990s, the Internet exhibited many
of the characteristics of disruptive technology in some industries. Take the
stock brokerage industry. People could use the Internet to buy and sell stocks.
Buying stocks on the Internet cost less than buying through a traditional bricksand-mortar broker. Initially, buying stocks on the Internet did not have as much
information as would be available through a broker with analysts reports but
that quickly changed as more information about firms became available online.
Most implementations of the Internet were not protected by patents. This exhibition of the characteristics of disruptive technologies by online brokerages
suggests that incumbents in the stock brokerage industry risked being replaced
by new entrants if they did not pursue one of the organizational options stated
above. As of 2002, many incumbent brokerage firms, such as Merrill Lynch,
which had not pursued the suggested organizational arrangement, had not
been replaced. One reason may be that these incumbents had complementary
assets such as large client base, cash, relationships with clients, brand-name
reputation, and so on that they could use to exploit the imitable technology.
Innovation Value-Added Chain
The innovation value-added chain model argues that the value that a firm
offers its customers is often a function not only of the firms capabilities but
also of the capabilities of its suppliers, customers, and complementors.17 For
example, the value that a customer gets from using a Dell personal computer
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is a function not only of Dells capabilities but also of the capabilities of Intel
(the maker of the microprocessor), of Microsoft (the maker of the Windows
operating system), and of the customers skill in using the computer. Therefore, in the face of a technological change, it is important also to consider the
impact of the change on suppliers, customers, and complementors as well, not
just the impact on the focal firm.18 This differs from previous models in that
while these other models focus on the impact of a technological change on
firm capabilities and competitiveness, the value-added chain model focuses
on the effects to the competitiveness and capabilities of co-opetitorsof the
suppliers, customers, and complementors with whom the firm must often
cooperate and compete at the same time. That is, previous models addressed
the question, What does the electric car do to the capabilities and competitiveness of automobile makers such as Ford? Is it disruptive, radical, or architectural to Ford? This model emphasizes the fact that the electric car will not
only have a direct impact on Ford, but will also have an impact on suppliers
of mechanical components for the internal combustion engine automobile, on
complementors such as gas station owners and oil companies, and on users of
cars. The model explores the impact of a technological change on co-opetitors
and the resulting impact on focal firms.19 An innovation that is incremental to
a manufacturer can be radical to its customers and complementors but incremental to its suppliers. For example, the DSK (Dvorak Simplified Keyboard)
arrangement that by many estimates performed 20 to 40 percent better than the
QWERTY arrangement that most of todays keyboards have, was competenceenhancing to its innovator, Dvorak, and other typewriter manufacturers.20 All
they had to do was rearrange the position of the keys if they wanted to manufacture the DSK. But it was competence-destroying to customers who had
already learned how to type with the QWERTY keyboard, since to use the new
keyboard, they would have to relearn how to touch-type again. The various
faces of this innovation at the different stages of the innovation value-added
chain are shown in Figure 5.6.
Another example (also illustrated in Figure 5.6) is Cray Computers decision in 1988 to develop and market a supercomputer that would use gallium
arsenide (GaAs)21 chipsa technology that yields very fast chips and consumes very little power but that was still relatively unproven theninstead of
proven silicon chip technology that its suppliers had built their competencies
in. While the supercomputer design was competence-enhancing to Cray, its
decision to use gallium arsenide was competence-destroying to its traditional
silicon chip supplier base.
These examples suggest that an innovation which is incremental to the manufacturer may not be to suppliers, customers, or complementors. Thus, incumbents for whom an innovation is competence-destroying may still do well if
the innovation is competence-enhancing to their co-opetitors, and relations
with co-opetitors are important and difficult to establish. The implications are
that a firms success in exploiting an innovation may depend as much on what
the innovation does to the capabilities of the firm as on what it does to the
capabilities of its co-opetitors.
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FIGURE 5.6
93
DSK Arrangemennt
Electric
Car
Cray 3
Incremental
Suppliers
Manufacturer
Customers
Complementary
Innovators
Implications for the Internet The innovation value-added chain model suggests that a book publisher that wants to exploit the Internet should be concerned not only about the extent to which the technology is disruptive to it,
but also about the extent to which it is disruptive to its suppliers (e.g., authors,
copy editors, and printers), customers (book wholesalers and resalers), and
complementors. A book publisher that does not include in its strategy what
Amazon.com has done to book wholesalers and retailers may be missing
important strategic information.
Technology Life Cycle Model
The technological change models that we have explored so far have been about
one-shot change: there is a change, and depending on the type of change
whether it is incremental, radical, architectural, value-added chain-based, or
disruptiveone can make certain decisions to better exploit the change. The
models do not take into consideration the fact that following a technological
change, the new technology usually evolves. Technology life cycle models have
been used as a framework for understanding the evolving competitive landscape following a technological change and the consequences for firm strategy (see Figure 5.7). According to these models, a technology usually goes
through three phases: Fluid, transitional, and stable.22 In the fluid phase, at the
onset of an innovation, there is a great deal of product and market uncertainty.
Firms are not quite sure what should go into the product. Customers too may
not know what they want in the product. There is competition between the new
and old technologies as well as between different designs using the new technology. Firms interact with their local environment of suppliers, customers,
complementors, and competitors to resolve both technological and market
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Profit site
GROWTH or
TRANSITIONAL
MATURE or
STABLE
Defend competitive
advantage
Sales
Time
Internet
actions:
Where in the
Internet value
network do you
want to be
uncertainties. Product quality is low, and cost and prices are high, as economies
of scale and learning have yet to set in. Market penetration is low and customers
are largely lead userscustomers whose needs are similar to those of other
users except that they have these needs months or years before most of the
marketplace23or high-income users. At this time, firms must place their strategic bets by choosing where in the value chain or network of the technology
they want to exploit the technological change.
As a vision of the type of customer value that can be offered and the potential profits that can be made are articulated, profit-motivated entrepreneurs
flock to different profit sites. Since product/service and market requirements
are still ambiguous, there are very few failures. Early in the life of the U.S. automobile industry, for example, over a thousand firms entered. As more and more
firms enter, there is competition to develop products or services. There is also
competition for resourcesfor capital, for talented employeesand for customers and suppliers. There may, for example, be tens or hundreds or even
thousands of firms in an industry, each of which wants, say, a 20 percent market share. By the year 2001, this stage had passed for many industries using
the Internet. This was the stage when firms made their initial decisions about
their location in the Internet value network: as, for example, an ISP, backbone
supplier, content supplier, network provider, network infrastructure provider,
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example, backbone suppliers, content suppliers, and network providers all having different life cycles.
In the fluid phase, potential new entrants make their bets concerning where
they want to locate in the value network that we discussed in Chapter 2. Choosing where to locate is not an exact science, but an entrepreneur can make a
more informed decision with data on three factors. First, an entrepreneur can
brainstorm with customers, especially lead users, on the problems that can be
solved at each of the potential product-market positions, what kind of value
the firm can offer customers in solving the problem, and what it takes to get
the other components of a business model in place. Second, an entrepreneur
should perform an industry analysis to learn more about the attractiveness of
the industry in question. (We will say more about industry analysis in Chapter 10.) Third, it should evaluate its capabilities and capabilities gaps in what
it takes to craft and execute a winning business model for each product-market
position. Data from all three factors are critical in making a choice of what
product-market position to locate in. Since a standard or dominant design/
solution has not yet emerged in the fluid phase, it is important for the firm to
learn as much as possible about the different design/solution options while
establishing relationships with those who can tip the scales in the standards/
dominant design race. In particular, teaming up with lead users can be critical because a firm can learn much from such customers about the emerging
applications of the technology. It is also important to pay attention to lead
products/services or so-called killer applications. Adult entertainment appears
to be one of the early killer applications in the B2C and C2C businesses and
can provide some valuable lessons. The choice of revenue can also be critical.
Many dot.coms chose to go after advertising revenues. This turned out not to
be a very good decision.
During the growth phase, when a dominant solution or design has emerged,
a firm should appraise its business model and determine its strengths and weaknesses. From this appraisal, the firm can determine which elements to reinforce
and which ones to build. In the case of the Internet, this may mean teaming up
with firms that have complementary assets. It may also mean teaming up to
build a larger network of clients, customers, or community. Advertising (to
build brand equity) and nonreversible investments all prepare for blocking
later in the life cycle. Given how easy it is to imitate Internet business models,
firms may have to keep introducing changes in the models or their components. Amazon.coms continuous extension of its capabilities illustrates how a
firm keeps making incremental innovations in its business model.
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$63.50. Slightly more than a year later on December 9, 1999, VA Linux Systems,
a company that built computer servers, also went public with an IPO offer
price of $30. Again, investors wanted to pay about 10 times as much and the
price shot up to $299 before settling down to $239.25 at the end of the day.
There was nothing distinctive about VA Linuxs business model either. It
planned to build systems using commodity components and a free operating
system in Linux. It seemed no dot.com company could go wrong even though
most of them did not make any money and had no potential to do so. Sometimes, all it took to get investors to invest was the suffix .com in a company
name. Many dot.coms were touted as attackers who would destroy the bricksand-mortar firms that they targeted.
By April of 2000, however, things had changed. The Internet bubble, as the
inflated stock prices had come to be known, had burst. On March 20, for example, theGlobe.coms share price had dropped to $3.56, a decline of 94 percent
from its first day closing price, while that of VA Linux Systems had dropped
to $38.02, a drop of 84 percent from its first day closing price. By 2001, the
valuations of many dot.coms had dropped considerably and many had filed
for bankruptcy. In fact, VA Linux Systems value had dropped to less than
$5.00. Many more firms had died without reaching the IPO stage and with
them the dreams of many entrepreneurs. Many individuals who invested in
these dot.coms lost a lot of money.
These events raise some interesting questions: Should we have expected the
boom and burst of the dot.coms? Can we better predict when dot.coms are
likely to successfully attack bricks-and-mortar firms and when they are not
likely to? The technological change models that we have explored in this
chapter can help us answer these questions.
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of the Internet, the technology is easy to imitate for most industries. Second,
we take a look at complementary assets. If complementary assets are important and difficult to come by, then the owner of the complementary assets will
make money. Thus, in a dot.com versus bricks-and-mortar battle in any industry, who wins depends on who has the complementary assets. In most industries, bricks-and-mortars have such complementary assets as brands, relationships with customers and suppliers, etc. They can leverage these assets in
formulating and executing their business models. Dot.coms that do not have
such assets are not likely to do as well.
Summary
Most business models are not static. The technology on which they rest and the
environments in which they operate continually change. The firms and competitors who design them initiate or react to change. In responding to or initiating change to sustain or attain a competitive advantage, it is important to
understand the nature of change so as to better take advantage of it in crafting and executing a business model. Where that change is from a new technology such as the Internet, one of the first things to remember is that profiting from the new technology will take more than mastering the new technology.
Profiting from a new technology depends both on how easy it is to imitate the
new technology and the extent to which complementary assets are important
and readily available. In short, it takes more than technology to make money
from technology. It also takes complementary assets. Imitable or not, being
able to develop the new technology is important since many firms that fail to
profit from a new technology, despite having complementary assets, do so
because they do not know how to develop the new technology. Various models have explored who is most likely to more effectively develop a new technology. The incremental/radical, architectural innovation, disruptive change,
innovation value-added chain, and technology life cycle models all argue that
the type of firm that can best exploit a technological change depends on the
type of change. Table 5.1 summarizes the elements of these models.
Complementary
assets
(continued)
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Incremental/Radical
dichotomy
of innovation.
Bundles component and architectural
knowledge.
The type of technological change
determines the type of firm that is able
to exploit it.
Capabilities and cultures that are embedded in the old technology are likely
to handicap firms in the face of radical
Architectural
innovation
Disruptive change
(continued)
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Key Terms
architectural
innovation
model, 87
competencedestroying, 85
competenceenhancing, 86
complementary
assets, 79
culture, 85
disruptive
technologies, 89
Discussion
Questions
1. What is the significance of this statement from the text: It takes more than
technology to profit from a technology?
2. Consider a bricks-and-mortar retailer that wants to enter the online retailing
business. Is it better off (1) creating a separate legal firm, (2) establishing
a separate unit within the firm, or (3) scattering employees with Internet
skills in its bricks-and-mortar units? Would it be different for a bank or an
automaker? Does industry matter for each of the three possibilities?
3. When would you advise a start-up Internet firm to offer itself for acquisition by another firm? Does the type of purchaser matter?
4. Why might an incumbent want to buy a start-up Internet firm?
5. What are the differences between an architectural technological change and
a disruptive technological change?
fluid phase, 93
imitability, 79
incremental in the
economic sense, 84
incremental
innovation, 86
innovation value-added
chain, 91
lead users, 94
new entrants, 85
processes, 89
product-market
position, 82
radical in the economic
sense, 84
radical/incremental
change model, 84
resources, 89
stable phase, 95
technology life
cycle, 93
transitional phase, 95
values, 90
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Notes
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Chapter Six
A Taxonomy of
Business Models
In this chapter, we continue our exploration of business models by enumerating a taxonomy of business models. This taxonomy is based on a synthesis of
the literature on business models. We first describe in detail seven major business models with dozens of variants. We then summarize these business models by how they are described by four variables or dimensions based on material from Chapters 2 through 4: the profit site, the revenue model, the commerce
strategy, and the pricing model. We emphasize that no matter how a business
model is named or described, for it to be viable, it must exhibit some strength
in several of the components we discussed in Chapter 4. We still need to analyze the components to know which of the many competitors that use these
business models will succeed. But as it turns out, almost all the models discussed in the literature can be described by these four elements.
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Below we offer our synthesis, based on the dominant revenue model for each
category. We try to stay consistent with Rappas naming conventions where
possible, although this is not always possible since Rappa does not strictly
organize by revenue model. It should be emphasized that the groupings below
are based on the traditional (or dominant) revenue model for each category, but
as we will see at the end of this chapter, non-traditional combinations of profit
sites, revenue models, commerce models, and pricing models may be beneficial
and even preferred. Our taxonomy has as its basis seven revenue models: commission, advertising, markup, production, referral, subscription, and fee-forservice. These are summarized in Table 6.1 and discussed in more detail below.
Basic Idea
Variants
Commission
Advertising
Markup
Production
Referral
Lead Generator
Subscription
Fee-for-service
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Commission-Based
A commission is a fee that is levied on a transaction by a third party (usually
an intermediary). A commission-based model is one that relies on commissions
as a mainstay of the business. For example, when a broker helps a customer sell
a stock (by pairing the seller with a buyer), the broker takes a commission on
the transaction. In this regard, the most common example is the commission
that E*Trade charges its brokerage customers for trading stocks.6 However, the
commission model goes well beyond financial brokerages. Perhaps the two
most famous examples are eBay and Travelocity. eBay is the online auction
house that makes a market for buyers and sellers of mainly household goods.
The company also provides a referral or rating system for sellers and an escrow
service to facilitate transactions. When a sale is made over eBay, the company
receives a commission based on the amount of the sale.
In a similar vein, Travelocity brings together airlines and customers who want
to travel by air. When the customer buys a ticket online through Travelocity, the
airline pays a small commission. The commission model has only two ways of
being sustainable. The first is volume. All of the examples above rely on a large
volume of completed transactions to make the commission model worthwhile.
This is the way most Internet intermediaries think about commissions. The second, less common one is to offset low volume with very expensive transactions.
As hinted above, commission-based models are usually associated with intermediaries, which explains why some researchers call the commission-based
model an intermediary model or brokerage model. In Rappas brokerage
model, for example, firms act as market-makers that bring buyers and sellers
together and charge a fee for the transactions that they enable. They can be
business-to-business, business-to-consumer, or consumer-to-consumer brokers. Examples include travel agents, online brokerage firms, and online auction houses. As we did in Chapter 2, some scholars distinguish between brokers, who primarily assist one party to the transaction in finding the other
party, and market-makers or market-creators, who set the rules of the
market itself, allowing buyers and sellers to find each other.
Commission-based models can also be further specified by the following
variations:
1. Buy/sell fulfillment (what Laudon and Traver call a transaction broker and
Eisenmann calls an online broker), which enables consumers to consummate transactions (e.g., E*Trade, Travelocity, CarsDirect).
2. Market exchange (what Laudon and Traver call a marketplace/exchange/
B2B hub, Timmers calls a third-party marketplace, and Eisenmann classifies
as an online market maker with transaction type of exchange), which facilitates transactions between businesses by setting up a market (e.g., New View).
3. Business trading community, which enables market participants to exchange
information and contribute to dialogue in a vertical market (e.g., VerticalNetsee Case 4 in this volume).
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4. Buyer aggregator, which facilitates purchasing consortia so that individuals or businesses can have greater purchasing power (e.g., Market Mile).
5. Distribution broker (called a distributor model by Rappa or E-distributor
by Laudon and Traver7), which connects manufacturers with large-volume
producers (e.g., Grainger).
6. Virtual mall (or what Timmers calls an E-mall), in which a firm provides
links to (or hosts) many merchants usually through a shopping interface
(e.g., MySimon, Yahoo!8 Shopping).
7. Metamediary, which is a virtual mall that also provides transaction and
clearing services (e.g., Amazon zShopssee Chapter 12).
8. Auction broker (or what Laudon and Traver call a market creator, Timmers
calls an E-auction, and Eisenmann classifies as an online market maker
with transaction type of auction), which facilitates auctions (for sellers) and
charges a commission to the sellers (e.g., eBaysee above and Case 10 in
this book).
9. Reverse auction, which facilitates auctions for buyers; that is, the buyer
makes a bid and sellers then bid to provide the good or service to the buyer,
with the market-maker often keeping the difference between the buyers
and sellers bid (e.g., Priceline).
10. Classifieds, in which individuals advertise to sell goods or services (e.g.,
Apartments, Monster).
11. Search agent, in which the firm provides personalized shopping or information services via the mechanism of intelligent agents or shopbots
that search out the desired information by scanning many sites for the
buyer (e.g., MySimon shopbots).
12. Bounty broker, in which the company acts as a broker for hard-to-find
information or goods for a reward that buyers pay (e.g., BountyQuest).
13. Matchmaker (what Timmers calls an information brokerage), which according to Laudon and Traver helps businesses (as opposed to consumers) find
what they need (e.g., iShip).
14. Peer-to-peer content provider,9 which enables users to share files or services (e.g., Napster, my.MP3.com).
15. Transaction broker, in which a third party enables a buyer and seller to
consummate a transaction (e.g., PayPal).
Advertising-Based
In the advertising-based model, the owner of a website provides to end users
subsidized or free content, services, or even products that attract end-user visitors. Some of the most famous, or infamous, users of the advertising model
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are Yahoo, Excite@Home, and Altavista. The advertising model does not
refer to the public relations strategy of the company; rather, it refers to advertising as a source of revenue in and of itself. The website owner attempts to
make money by charging advertisers fees for banners, permanent buttons,
pop-up windows, and other ways of getting a clients messages to visitors.10
The advertising on the Internet often takes the form of banners that appear at the
top of a Web page. This is similar to how broadcast television and radio sustain their businesses.
There are two ways in which an advertising-based model might be successful. The first is based on reaching the broadest possible audience, analogous to advertising on television during the Super Bowl. The higher the number of viewers/readers/visitors/so-called eyeballs, the broader the appeal to
most advertisers. The number of viewers is also called the volume of viewers;
hence this model has become known as the volume-based approach. The
classic example of the advertising-based model is Yahoo, which has made the
transition from Internet search engine to generalized portal to personalized
portal to a host of value-added services, such as e-mail, calendar, and stock
quotes. In this transition, the company has built up an impressive number of
customers who visit the site for one reason or another. The volume of customers allows Yahoo to charge a premium relative to most Internet sites for
banner advertising.11
The second way in which advertising might be successful is to have a highly
targeted and specialized audience. For example, from the point of view of an
audio speaker company (the paying customer of a firm with an advertisingbased model), it might be preferable (i.e., more efficient and better use of its
money) to be able to reach users of home theater systems via a site targeted
to audio- and videophiles rather than a general-purpose site where only one
in a million consumers own a home theater. Again, to make the television
analogy, it depends on the product (or service) and the marketing strategy of
the advertiser whether the advertiser chooses to buy ad time during the Super
Bowl (broad-based audience) or during late-night reruns of Star Trek (a narrower, more specialized audience).
The advertising-based approach, while certainly a popular one among Internet companies, is also the most controversial as a means of sustaining profitability. Proponents claim that if it works for television and newspapers, it
can work for the Internet, while detractors point out that only two cities in the
entire country can support more than one newspaper (!) and that broadcast television networks are not exactly the most profitable enterprises. Almost anyone with a website that attracts visitors has the potential to compete in this
model. iVillage is an example of a well-run company that witnessed the trend
of declining advertising rates that their community-based business was
dependent upon, causing them to look for new sources of revenue.12
Advertising models can be further classified into
1. Generalized portal (also called a horizontal/general portal by Laudon and
Traver, a horizontal online portal by Eisenmann, andin one sensean
information brokerage by Timmers), in which the content coverage is broad
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and the target audience is both large and diffuse, making advertising revenues a possibility (e.g., Yahoo, MSN).
2. Personalized portal, which is a generalized portal that is customized to the
users preference, building loyalty and switching costs due to the time
invested in the personalization process (e.g., my.yahoo.com).
3. Specialized portal (also called a vertical/specialized portal by Laudon and
Traver, a vertical online portal by Eisenmann, and known as a Vortal),
which is a vertically oriented portal focusing on a narrow audience with much
deeper coverage (e.g., iBoats).
4. Attention/incentive marketing, in which the company pays users (usually
indirectly through incentive points or entry into sweepstakes) for their
viewing of content or entry of information (e.g., My Points).
5. Free model, in which some service or product is given for free in exchange
for viewing ads (e.g., Wunderground).
6. Bargain discounter, in which the company sells goods at a steep discount
to attract the traffic which then enables advertising revenues (e.g., Buy.com).
7. Infomediary13 registration model, in which the service is free but the user
must register, enabling the company to track usage and viewing patterns
(e.g., NYTimes).
8. Recommender system, in which users exchange information about goods
and services that they have experience with (e.g., Epinions).
9. Community provider (what Timmers calls the virtual community model),
which rests on community loyalty rather than traffic. Users have invested
in developing relationships with members of their community and are
likely to visit the website frequently (i.e., attractiveness for advertisers is
how long each person spends on the site rather than just the number of people who visit the site). Members of such a community can be a very good
market target. A good example is iVillage. Variants include voluntary contributor, in which the business is supported by voluntary donations from
community members, and knowledge networks, in which experts (usually
employed by the site but not necessarily so) provide information in response
to queries from community members.
Markup-Based
Markup refers to value added in sales rather than in production, and thus the
markup-based model is one in which firms primary source of revenues is
via markup. This model has been traditionally used by wholesalers and retailers, which is why some scholars such as Rappa call it the merchant model.
Goods can be sold by list prices or through auctions. For example, a company
may buy finished goods from a manufacturer and then sell them to the public
(in other words, the company is a retailer) or to other firms (i.e., the company
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is a wholesaler or distributor). The most famous example is undoubtedly Amazon.com, which revolutionized both the book business and online selling. The
key here is clearly the size of the markup. If the company has distribution efficiencies or marketing muscle, the chances of the markup being positive are
good. Amazon, while being at the center of the revolution, has not yet definitively proven that the model is viable. While Amazon does show decent operating margins in the book business and in 2002 announced a quarterly profit,
as of 2002 it has yet to show a yearly profit. We suspect that the main problem is competition. Just about anybody who was previously restricted to a
geographic area can hang a shingle and start reselling merchandise over the
Internet. In addition, comparison shopping for price is becoming extremely
easy, putting pressure on the size of the markup that firms are able to pass on.
Other variants of the merchant model include:
1. Virtual merchant (what Eisenmann calls an online retailer and Timmers
calls an E-shop),14 which is a pure-play Internet e-tailer (e.g., Amazon).
2. Catalogue merchant, which is a traditional catalogue company that now
also sells and fulfills orders over the Internet (e.g., L. L. Bean, Lands End).
3. Click-and-mortar, which is a traditional store that also sells over the Internet (e.g., BN [Barnes & Noble], WalMart).
4. Bit vendor, which not only sells over the Internet but whose products are
also purely digital such that the product can be delivered over the Internet
(e.g., Eyewire).
Production-Based
In the production model, or what Rappa calls the manufacturing model,
manufacturers try to reach customers or end users directly through the Internet.
By doing so, they can save on costs and better serve customers by finding out
directly what they want. This model is based on revenues from production:
the classic manufacturer/producer/assembler/value-added-in-production model.
That is, the company transforms raw materials into a higher-value product. Most
of the hardware and software suppliers fall into this model. For example,
Compaq brings in components such as memory chips and disk drives and
assembles them into a finished product, a personal computer. Software, as
mentioned above, is an analogous example, although the product is not tangible. Software companies such as Microsoft develop software by hiring
programmers who develop pieces of larger applications by coordinating their
efforts with other programmers on the team to produce new programs or to
add functions to old ones. At a certain point, the software application is sold
to customers. The distinguishing feature of the production model is therefore
that the price sold in the market be higher than the cost of production.
Volume plays a role in this through economies of scale and learning curve
effects.15 By economies of scale, we mean the cost savings that a company
realizes by having higher volume. The key behind economies of scale is fixed
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versus variable costs. In a business with high fixed costs and low variable costs,
economies of scale will be more evident as the fixed costs are spread among
more units. Learning curve effects are improvements in productivity that are
gained by cumulative production. The Internet version of the production model
can also be based on other efficiencies such as disintermediation. These topics
will be discussed further in Chapter 7.
Channel conflicts present a challenge for such manufacturers. In the late
1990s, Compaq decided to drop the computer dealers who had been its distributors and go directly to customers. The distributors fought the changes and
Compaq had to reconsider its decision.
Variants of the model also include:
1. Manufacturer-direct, in which, according to Laudon and Traver, manufacturers sell directly to end-user customers (e.g., Dell).
2. Content producer, in which firms produce entertainment, information, art,
or other content and sell the content (e.g., Sony Entertainment).
3. E-procurement, in which, according to Timmers, companies tender and
procure goods and services over the Web, increasing the choice of suppliers and keeping costs down (e.g., Ford Motor Companys increasing use of
electronic procurement in purchasing parts from suppliers).
4. Networked utility provider, which, according to Eisenmann, is a producer
of a software program that connects an end user either to a destination
website or to other users to augment the capabilities of browsers or e-mail,
relying on establishing a standard in its marketplace to beat the competition (e.g., Adobe).
5. Brand integrated content, in which a company attempts to more fully integrate advertising, branding, and the product via the Internet (e.g.,
BMWFilms advertainment for BMW cars).
Referral-Based
In the referral-based model, firms rely on fees for steering visitors to another
company. This referral fee is often a percentage of the revenues of the eventual sale but can also be a flat fee. The flat fee can be collected if an order is
made (or more generally speaking if a deal is consummated, called pay-persale), it can be collected regardless of whether an order is made (called payper-click), or it can be collected every time a lead is generated (call payper-lead). This referral-based structure is often used with corporate affiliate
programs, which is why some researchers such as Rappa refer to an affiliate
model, wherein a merchant has affiliates whose websites have click-through
(selecting a link that connects to another organizations site) to the merchant.
Each time a visitor to an affiliates site clicks through to the merchants site
and buys something, the affiliate is paid a referral fee. Examples include
frozenpenguin.com and americanracefan.com. A variant includes:
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Subscription-Based
In the subscription-based model a company charges a flat rate on a periodic
basis (such as a month) that qualifies the user for a certain amount of service.
The user pays this subscription fee whether or not the service is actually used.
This is analogous to the monthly charge you pay on your telephone bill
whether or not you make any telephone calls. As mentioned in Chapter Two,
most businesses that operate at zero marginal cost usually migrate to a subscription model. The classic examples from our value network profit sites, as
mentioned above, are ISPs/OSPs, Last Mile companies, and content creators.
For example, most ISPs, such as AT&T Worldnet, charge a flat monthly rate
for unlimited usage. Likewise, most Last Mile arrangements, such as local
telephone service or cable television, charge a monthly fee for unlimited local
service. Content creators such as Dow Jones also charge a subscription to
obtain access to their content. It takes very valuable content, though, to sustain a subscription model for content purposes on the Internet. Subscriptions
do not appear to be feasible for most content businesses due to competitive
pressures. So far they have been feasible in segments with little competition.
Subscriptions also have a moral hazard component to them: once customers
have paid the subscription fee, they occasionally use the service much more
than they normally would have. AOL discovered this when they introduced
flat-rate pricing. Customers stayed on all day without using the system, tying
up the telephone lines to the local access numbers.
Thus, variants include:
1. ISPs/OSPs (what Eisenmann calls internet access providers), which provide
Internet access and sometimes additional content (e.g., AT&T Worldnet).
2. Last Mile operators, which provide local loop and end-user access points
and telecommunications services (e.g., Verizon).
3. Content creators (or what Laudon and Traver call content providers and
Eisenmann calls online content providers), in which information and entertainment are offered to end-user consumers (e.g., WSJ, Sportsline, CNN).
Fee-for-ServiceBased
In the fee-for-service model, or what Rappa calls the utility model, firms pay
as they go. Activities are metered and users pay for the services that they consume. In this model, customers pay for only the service that they actually use.
In fact, the example of brokerages making additional revenue from margin
interest is an example of the fee-for-service model: you pay a fee (margin interest) for the service of borrowing money from the brokerage. The fee continues until you pay back the loan. Other examples include some ISP plans in
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which the user pays for metered Internet service (only pay for as long as you
are connected), customers paying ASPs for renting an application, or even
paying airlines directly for transportation from one place to another, that is,
buying tickets directly from an airline. The hallmark of these is always that
the customer pays only for the usage. The method of making this model into
a sustainable business is, of course, to convince customers to intensively use
the service or to have a large volume of customers, or both. There is no subscription base to cushion the company if usage drops off.
Variants include (according to Laudon and Traver, unless noted otherwise):
1. Service provider, in which firms make money by selling services rather
than products to end users (e.g., xDrive, myCFO).
2. B2B service provider, which supports businesses by selling services to
other businesses (e.g., Employeematters).
3. Value chain service provider, which, according to Timmers, specializes in
one specific piece of the value chain such as logistics (e.g., FedEx).
4. Value chain integrator, which, according to Timmers, focuses on integrating multiple steps of the value chain with the possibility of exploiting the
information flow between the multiple steps (e.g., Exel, EDS).
5. Collaboration platform providers, which, also according to Timmers, are
companies that manage collaborative platforms and sell collaboration tools
that enable businesses to improve internal design and engineering (e.g.,
Vastera).
6. Application service provider, which, as discussed in Chapter 2, rents
software applications to businesses (e.g., Corio).
7. Audience broker, which is a company that collects information on consumers and uses the information to help advertisers target their audience
most effectively (e.g., DoubleClick).
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TABLE 6.2 Business Model Taxonomy vs. Typology: Examples from the Literature
Short
Definition
Profit
Site
Revenue
Model
Commerce
Strategy
Pricing
Model
e-Shop
Web marketing of
a company or shop
E-commerce
Markup
B2C
Fixed
e-Auction
Electronic
implementation
of the bidding
mechanism
Marketmaker
Commission
N/S
Auction
Virtual
community
Service
provider
N/S
P2P
N/S
An online . . .
brokerage
Generic or
diversified content
or services
Broker/agent
Commission
B2C
Fixed
Content
aggregator
Advertising
B2C
Fixed (ads),
infomediary
N/S
Subscription
N/S
N/S
Marketmaker
Content
aggregator
Commission
C2B
Infomediary
B2C
Reverse
auction
N/S
Content
aggregator
Advertising
B2C
Fixed (ads)
Content
creator
Advertising
B2C
Fixed (ads)
E-commerce
Markup
B2C
Fixed
Term
Timmers
Rappa
Buy/sell
fulfillment
Generalized
portal
Subscription
model
Reverse
auction
Registration
model
Eisenmann
Online
portal (horizontal)
Direct users to a
broad range of content and commerce
(continued)
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Profit
Site
Revenue
Model
Commerce
Strategy
Pricing
Model
Online brokers
An entity hired to
act as an agent or
intermediary in
making contracts
Broker/agent
Primarily
commission;
also subscrip-,
tion, advertis-,
ing, and feefor-service
B2C
Fixed
Internet access
provider
Provides residential
Communicaand business custom- tions service
ers with connections provider
to the Internet . . .
Primarily
subscription;
also fee-forservice and
advertising
B2C, B2B
Primarily
fixed
Term
Fixed,
auction,
or one-toone
Networked
Producers of software Software
utility providers that allows users to
supplier
complete specialized
tasks that are
beyond . . . Web
browsers (e.g.,
plug-ins)
Production
B2B (servers),
B2C (client)
Fixed
(server and
premium
client
software)
Application
service
providers
Fee-for-service
B2B
One-to-one
and fixed
A company that
allows other companies to access application software on
remote servers
Service
provider
N/S=not specified.
Profit Sites
The column called profit site refers to the value network profit sites as discussed in Chapter 2. We consider there to be 11 major profit sites within the
Internet infrastructure: (1) E-commerce, (2) content aggregators, (3) brokers/
agents, (4) market makers, (5) service providers, (6) backbone operators,
(7) ISPs/OSPs, (8) Last Mile, (9) content creators, (10) software suppliers,
and (11) hardware suppliers.
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Revenue Models
Revenue models refer to the primary sources of revenue for the firm. The
seven we have featured were: (1) advertising, (2) subscription, (3) commission, (4) fee-for-service, (5) production, (6) markup, and (7) referral. While
these business models have been organized by revenue model according to
work done by scholars in this area, we propose that revenue models and profit
sites are intertwined but actually somewhat independent. For example, we
claim that a commission is a fee levied on a transaction by an intermediary.
However, an intermediary (either a broker/agent or market-maker) might just
as well work on a subscription basis (for example, pay a flat rate and trade all
you want) or a fee-for-service basis (pay for the time spent by the agent
regardless of whether the deal is consummated). Likewise, firms operating in
other profit sites could use a commission-based model. For example, a software company might produce a catalogue-processing product. Rather than collecting a flat licensing fee (production-based model), the firm could collect a
percentage on goods sold using its catalogue-processing system (a commissionbased model). Thus, even though intermediaries usually use commissions and
others do not, that does not mean that commissions must be associated with
intermediaries. That is why we claim that these two dimensions are more or
less independent. Examples of new and different combinations of profit sites
and revenue models are appearing every day. In fact, there may be some advantage to non-traditional pairings, as we saw in Chapter 4.
Commerce Strategy
The column in Table 6.2 called commerce strategy refers to the strategy that
identifies the customer base of or population served by the business as discussed in Chapter 3. The most obvious case is that of an e-commerce company that chooses to sell to consumers (a retailer, or e-tailer as they are often
called) rather than businesses (a wholesaler or distributor model). The retailer
is involved in the B2C market, while the wholesaler is involved in the B2B market. For example, based on the discussion in Chapters 2 and 3, Amazon.com is
mainly involved in the B2C market, while Cisco is mainly involved in B2B.
The commerce strategies go beyond simply identifying who your customers are. For example, how do you classify a company such as eBay, which
arranges for individuals to sell to each other? Each individual pays eBay once
an item is sold, so does that make eBay a B2C company? Technically, it does,
but this characterization misses some information, which is that eBay as an
intermediary enables consumers to sell to each other. And so, it might be
more accurate to characterize intermediaries and perhaps other segments as
well by the kinds of interactions among customers. And so we also have the term
person-to-person (P2P), also known as consumer-to-consumer (C2C).16 Other
potential areas have been identified, such as business-to-employees (B2E).
Note that this could refer to a business selling services to its own employees,
but more likely it refers to the concept of providing services to other businesses that facilitate the relationship between that business and its employees.
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Pricing Models
The last column refers to the pricing model. As discussed in Chapter 4, the main
pricing models are (1) fixed (menu) pricing, (2) one-to-one bargaining, (3) auction, (4) reverse auction, (5) barter, and (6) free. These again can be combined
in almost any combination with the prior elements. Thus, a backbone provider
could auction off bandwidth rather than charge a fixed price, or a content company could barter with another company rather than sell content. A further complication is that market-makers can facilitate and charge a commission for any
of these pricing models, too.
A note on the free pricing model. We do not really classify free as a viable
pricing model. Although giving away products or services usually builds a customer base, there should be some long-term plan for charging somebody something, which is called monetization. For example, it may be desirable to give
products away for free to build volume, but then charge advertisers to advertise on the site. Or a company could give away computers if customers watch
advertising on their free computers. We would classify these as advertisingbased revenue models where products were given away to boost volume.
Thus, free can only be a piece of a legitimate business and not the centerpiece of any business.
Each of the models proposed by the scholars referenced above and others
can be broken down into the four elements and thus described more succinctly. The framework presented here is more theoretically complete: there
are 11 7 4 6 1848 possible combinations, excluding the fact that
each of the 11 profit sites can use more than one revenue model, commerce
type, and even pricing model! Thus, the number of combinations is in the millions. Again, we emphasize that the firm should strive to understand the
strength of the components of the business model relative to competitors to
determine whether the business model is viable.
Summary
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profit site, revenue model, commerce strategy, and pricing model. These are
summarized below. Businesses can use any combination of these four elements when making strategic decisions about the basic structure of their
activities and how they would like to exploit the Internet.
Companies with online businesses earn revenue through the employment
of one or several of the following seven revenue models:
Advertising.
Subscription.
Commission.
Fee-for-service.
Production.
Markup.
Referral.
The different types of commerce strategies are:
B2Bbusiness-to-business.
B2Cbusiness-to-consumer.
P2Pperson-to-person, also called C2Cconsumer-to-consumer.
C2Bconsumer-to-business.
Possibly even B2Ebusiness-to-employee.
Finally, the different pricing models are made up of:
Fixed (menu) pricing.
One-to-one bargaining.
Auctions.
Reverse auctions.
Barter.
Key Terms
intermediary model,
105
manufacturing
model, 109
markup, 108
markup-based model,
108
monetization, 116
production model, 109
referral-based model,
110
subscription-based
model, 111
utility model, 111
volume-based
approach, 107
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Notes
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Chapter Seven
Value Configurations
and the Internet
In Chapter 4 we introduced the idea of customer value as a prime component
of analyzing a business model. We also discussed the importance of connected
activities and how the execution of connected activities was a source of competitive advantage for firms. In this chapter we elaborate on the concept of customer value and how it relates to three proposed value creation logics based on
Professor James Thompsons typology of long-linked, intensive, and mediating technologies.1 These three value creation logics are related to three generic
value configurations: the value chain, value shop, and value network.2 We
discuss each value configuration in turn and demonstrate the primary activities associated with each. Finally, we show how the misapplication of a
proposition oriented more toward manufacturing and productsthe value
chain frameworkto Internet services and brokering can lead to the building
of the wrong kinds of capabilities. The result of this misapplication could be
an uncompetitive position in the market. Likewise, we show how firms building capabilities consistent with the correct value configuration can develop and
maintain a competitive advantage. Thus, in this chapter we go beyond value
chain analysis to the kind of value configuration analysis that may be aligned
more with the kinds of services that are proliferating in the Digital Economy.
This chapter serves as a basis for analyzing the connected activities of two
types of firms. For incumbents, it aids in understanding the impact of the
Internet on the current value configuration (in any industry) and in choosing
the most appropriate response in terms of connected activities. For new
entrants, it aids in understanding the three value configurations so entrants
can choose the most appropriate value configuration and the most appropriate set of connected activities.
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panies focus if they want to build competencies that create the most value? At
the heart of every business is a value configuration: The company is adding
value in some way that makes customers willing to pay. One might imagine
that there is a huge number of value configurations in the world. However,
management researchers in Norway found that these value configurations can
be grouped into only three fundamental value creation configurations in the
economy.3 These models are based on the notion of a value chain, value shop,
and value network and are themselves derived from Thompsons three generic
organizational technologies.
In his landmark book, Organizations in Action, Thompson proposed a typology of organizational technologies.4 He categorized technologies as longlinked, intensive, and mediating. In a long-linked technology, interdependencies are sequential and tasks are accomplished serially. Thompson cited the
continuous process (e.g., continuous chemical processing) and assembly lines
(e.g., automobile manufacturing) as the ultimate embodiment of long-linked
technology. Other hallmarks of long-linked technologies are continuous output of standardized products, repetitive tasks, the conversion of raw materials
into finished goods, clear-cut criteria for the selection of capital and labor, and
continuous improvement in production.
An intensive technology is oriented toward solving highly specific problems. Thompson called this type of technology intensive to signify that the
choice of techniques needed to solve a problem was based in an iterative fashion on the progress made toward solving the problem. There would likely be
an intensive interaction between the problem solvers and the object of their
attention. Professors Charles Stabell and ystein Fjeldstad named the value
configuration analogous to the value chain, but one based on intensive technologies, the value shop. The value shop is based on most types of service
provision (with the exception of intermediaries, as discussed below). Thus, a
hospitals primary businesshealingmay be thought of as creating value as
a value shop based on an intensive technology:
At any moment an emergency admission may require some combination of
dietary, X-ray, laboratory, and housekeeping or hotel services, together with
the various medical specialties, pharmaceutical services, occupational therapies, social work services, and spiritual or religious services. Which of these,
and when, can be determined only from evidence about the state of the patient.5
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possible costs.6 The model built on the value chain and reproduced in Figure 7.1
involves the production and sale of manufactured goods.7 This does not necessarily involve selling to the general public (retailing), although it could.8
Many businesses have a tangible product that is sold, so adding value
involves the transformation of raw materials into that tangible product. For
example, a manufacturer of chairs may take in materials such as wood stain
and blocks of wood, and transform them into finished chairs. The value chain
concept was popularized by Professor Michael Porter as a way to catalog the
kinds of activities that add value. Using this model, we see that there are several areas in which a manufacturer such as the chair manufacturer can add
value. One is inbound logistics: moving the raw materials into the plant in a
more efficient way. The next is operations or transforming the raw materials
into a more finished product. Next we have outbound logistics, marketing,
sales, and service. These activities are called the primary activities of the
value chain because they are most closely associated with transforming inputs
into outputs and with the customer interfacethe most important additions to
value in the short term. The primary activities are backed up by the longerterm secondary (support) activities of firm infrastructure, human resource
management, technology development, and procurement.
Stabell and Fjeldstad, however, proposed that the value chain does not
apply to all industries and is not always a useful metaphor for managers
searching for competitive advantage. For example, how does a hospital fit into
the value chain analysis? Are the sick patients the raw materials and healthy
patients the product?* They concluded that for most services, value shop
was a more apt analogy.
Finally, Stabell and Fjeldstad proposed a third type of value configuration,
the value network, which involves brokering and intermediating. Companies
competing under the value network model facilitate transactions between
diverse communities, for example, by bringing buyers and sellers together.
In the next three sections we explore these three value configurations and
relate them to the profit sites of the Internet economy developed in Chapter 2
and the properties of the Internet described in Chapter 3. While most students
will be familiar with the concept of the value chain, we briefly summarize the
basic framework in the next section. We then devote one section each to the
value shop and value network.
FIGURE 7.1
A Typical Value Chain
Inbound
logistics
Operations
Outbound
logistics
Marketing
and sales
Service
*MBA students may also recognize the mismatched concept of being called the customers
of an educational system, a fact that the faculty often heatedly dispute! Are they instead the
raw materials of the educational system?
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Supplier
Focal firm
Customer
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as well. Companies are experimenting with round-the-clock software production that can take place in the United States, Europe, and India with each team
picking up where the last one left off.
Information, software, and content can also be delivered instantaneously,
affecting the outbound logistics part of the chain. For example, firms such as
Intuit now offer customers the ability to download their products rather than
wait for a diskette or a CD to be shipped.14 This saves the company in several
ways: It eliminates the costs of the disks, the storage of information on the
disks, and shipping costs. Some of those savings are passed on to the customer, who finds value in the timely delivery, in the lower price, and in the
product itself. Most of the major record labels, including Capitol Records and
Sony, have begun experimenting with the delivery of music over the Internet,15 perhaps in response to audio formats such as MP3 that promise reasonable audio quality over the Internet. The reasoning is that if the labels do not
control the Internet distribution by means of antipiracy digital watermarks or
the equivalent, the intellectual property of the labels loses any ability to generate rents. Thus, we see both the positives and negatives of instantaneous
delivery.
Information Asymmetries and Transaction Costs
The main and most celebrated effect of the Internet on the value chain is a
companys ability to carry lower amounts of inventory by ordering directly
from a manufacturer and shipping directly to a customer. This argument can
be extended to all sorts of value chain bypassing.16 The news and business
press in the late 1990s often used the term disintermediation and foretold its
inevitability in the Digital Economy. The concept behind disintermediation
springs directly from the value chain system discussed above.
Here we draw a distinction between the downstream (direct) customer
henceforth called the broker or distributorand the end-user (or final) consumer. Note that in many cases the direct downstream customer is not the
same as the end-user consumer. Why would the upstream firm ever enter into
business with the downstream customer (not the end-user customer) in the
first place? It could be that the firm has a specific capability in manufacturing
and does not know much about marketing the products. Further, the distributor might aggregate orders from other manufacturers and have large warehouses and distribution capabilities. Or the distributor might know a certain
geographic area very well, but the firm is too far away to devote much time,
attention, and money to that remote area.
The concept of disintermediation is that a firm upstream may leapfrog a
downstream firm and sell directly to the distributors customer. This is also
referred to as cutting out the middleman. Why would a firm want to do this?
For one thing, the distributor might be in a more profitable line of business.
For another, the distributor usually marks up the price of the firms products
through a commission or margin, thereby charging a higher price to the end
user and thus dampening demand for the product.
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Prior to the widespread use of the World Wide Web, the only story behind
disintermediation was vertical integration: The firm could buy out the broker or
try to match internally the distributors capabilitiesfor example, in marketing
or distribution. However, since the diffusion of the World Wide Web, it
occurred to many manufacturers that they might be able to sell directly to end
users. This is the travel agency story that we referred to earlier. Before the
Web, airlines could sell to the public over the telephone, but it was much easier to simply let travel agents sell to the public and pay the travel agents a
commission to sell tickets. The travel agents had the specialized knowledge
of schedules and fares, and people were willing to go to a travel agent close
to home to find out the available fares and schedules. Following the advent of
the Web, the airlines began selling tickets in large volume to the general public by making their schedules and fares available to anyone with an Internet
connection. When direct sales rose to a sufficiently high level, the airlines cut
commissions to travel agents from 20 percent to 10 percent, then to 8 percent
with a $50 cap for domestic and $100 for international flights, then, in 2002,
to zero.17 Travel agents responded by charging end users a $10 fee to book a
ticket. This further reduced demand for travel agents.
The most famous example of disintermediation is no doubt Amazon.com.18
Legend has it that Amazon cut out several middlemen in offering books for
sale to the public directly from its website. Specifically, as a retailer the company could bypass both wholesalers and distributors and buy directly from the
publishers. It could generate more volume from its website than a store that
was wedded to a geographic area.
Dell Computer, with its famous direct method and the Internet version
of that, Dell Online, followed a similar logic by cutting out distributors and
retailers. The public can buy directly from Dell, which cuts out the resellers
markup and also keeps channel inventories low. This means that the computers in the channels are more up-to-date on average than those of Dells competitors, thereby avoiding the problem of fire sales when new chips or other
highly depreciating components hit the market.19 In 1999 Apple began selling
direct to the public, using the same method in its Apple Store.
Scalability and Infinite Virtual Capacity
For many information-intensive businesses, advances in computer technology, combined with the larger customer base provided through the Internet,
enable a much larger scale of operations than was previously possible. For
example, the ability of online retailers such as barnesandnoble.com to serve
millions of customers simultaneously sets them apart from bricks-and-mortar
retailers, such as Barnes and Nobles retail outlets.
In sum, the Internet has had a profound impact on many if not all the primary activities of firms in information-based industries and of many retailers.
For most other businesses, the Internet primarily interacts with the value
chains primary activities in the marketing and sales stage, which may in turn
trigger substantial changes in the other stages of the value chain.
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Problem
solving
Choice
Execution
Control and
evaluation
Execution
Execution represents communicating, organizing, and implementing the decision, or performing the treatment.
Control and Evaluation
Control and evaluation activities involve monitoring and measurement of how
well the solution solved the original problem or met the original need. This
feeds back into our first activity, problem finding and acquisition, for two reasons. First, if the proposed solution is inadequate or did not work, it feeds back
into learning why it was inadequate and begins the problem-solving phase anew.
Second, if the problem solution was successful, the firm might enlarge the scope
of the problem-solving process to solve a bigger problem related to or dependent upon the first problem being solved.
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law services, architecture, engineering, and even medical services. This geographic expansion is both an opportunity and a threat to value shoporiented
companies. A wider geographic base allows companies to serve a larger population, but, as above, the threat of competition from distant locales is very real.
For the sheer number of resources to throw at solving a problem, the Internet opens up some interesting possibilities involving collaboration. Problem
solving can be enhanced in two ways. The first is collaboration on group decisions. Several systems centered on collaborative groupware are currently in
use, such as Lotus Notes. These systems allow input by means of the Internet
from geographically dispersed participants, allowing the participation of
many more people than could physically meet together and providing a higher
level of brainstorming or input selection while exploring options.
The second way problem solving can be enhanced is for single-decision
makers. A single-decision maker now has the option of researching information to aid in the decision-making process, not from other people, as above,
but from information archives now available on Web servers worldwide. For
example, an art appraiser could easily search the latest auction prices for a
certain artist over the Web, an endeavor that formerly was very time and
resource consuming.
The disadvantage of the sheer number of resources is information overload.
Decision-making quality might actually drop if the decision makers are not careful. Further, the decision maker must have some confidence in the authenticity
of the research sources available over the Web. A medical doctor, for example,
may not necessarily believe everything he or she reads about a certain condition
on every website. Likewise, in our example of the art appraiser, unless the
appraiser goes to the websites of major auction houses, there is always the possibility that the prices quoted on a website are incorrect, or worse, that the work
auctioned was not an authentic piece by the artist in question.
For some services, the Internet may be used as a delivery medium. Fax
service from overseas is one example of using the Internet for service delivery. From a computer in France, one sends an e-mail message to a certain
address in the United States. The computer at that address forwards the message to an address near the intended recipient, where the computer converts it
into a fax that is sent to the recipient. The sender is charged only a nominal
fee for the service, which enables customers overseas to send documents to
people who do not have e-mail access and without having to pay for an international telephone call. Thus, the existence of high-speed connections may
become a viable method for service providers to deliver services themselves
clearly in telecommunications as in the above example, but also potentially in
any virtual, information-based service such as stock quotations and architectural design.
Information Asymmetries and Transaction Costs
Value shops are both made and unmade by information asymmetries. The entire
value proposition of the value shop is its ability to solve problems that the client
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cannot. Thus, the Internet represents a fundamental hazard to the very core of
the value shop: As an increasing amount of information is available online,
the more competition the general knowledge base provides against the value
shop firm. This does not mean that there will be no more consulting companies, architects, or professional service firms. Reputation, information from a
trusted source, and personalization will always have value to many customers.
However, the information-based value shop businesses will be expected to
encounter competition from the general knowledge base available over the
Internet. This will be especially true for information asymmetries based on
explicit rather than tacit knowledge.
Scalability and Infinite Virtual Capacity
The advantage of the Internet is its ability to serve more customers at once,
especially in information-intensive services. Previously a firm was limited by
the number of people it could hire to perform customer service. Now the number of inputs can be greatly increased by allowing many more simultaneous
connections. For example, many companies, such as L.L.Bean, are allowing
live chat with customer service agents over the Web. This allows the same
number of agents to serve more customers; in addition, it increases the total
number of customers that L.L.Bean can serve at the same time.
Getting basic information back to customers without the intervention of
customer service agents in a timely and cost-efficient fashion is also an
advantage of the Internet. It is clear that value shops are the primary beneficiaries of the ability to store information on servers and pass it along to customers on demand. For example, airlines have moved to a system whereby
not only the fares and schedules are available over the Web, but also flight
status, airplane layouts, seat locations, and more. In 1999 Delta Airlines tried
to charge more for customers who purchased a ticket over the telephone
because of the higher cost structure. However, after a firestorm of criticism,
Delta decided to drop this charge. We believe that the Web-based approach
must be providing cost savings for Delta in addition to providing more information for customers.22 Likewise, diverse organizations such as the Vanguard
Group (mutual funds and financial services) and the Internal Revenue Service
have put all of their customer service forms online. This allows many more
customers to be served simultaneously, gets the information to the customer
more quickly (see below), saves printing and postage costs, and reduces the
need for staffing customer service telephone centers.
The disadvantage of these approaches, again, is that as the size and scale of
service providers increase, surviving competitors will tend to grow bigger while
the smaller, less aggressive firms will find themselves under more intense competitive pressure. This is a potential hazard to the smaller companies that have
been playing comfortably in a niche market for many years.
In sum, the Internet touches most, if not all, of the primary activities of the
value shop. Information-based value shops cannot expect that all of the changes
will be positive.
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use the online travel agency which acts as an information broker to find the
lowest fares across all the airlines. The same logic applies to online brokerages. Any individual company could (subject to securities regulations) theoretically sell stock directly to the public; however, most would-be buyers could
not be sure that they were getting a suitable price and therefore go through an
online broker to get the best price. The more companies an online brokerage
interacts with, the more valuable the service to the end-user customers.
Likewise, a bank (online or otherwise) performs a service, which is to
bring together people with capital (savers) with those who need capital (borrowers). The value to each of these sets of customers depends on the banks
capabilities in building a network of savers and borrowers.
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Infrastructure Operations
These activities allow the infrastructure to operate efficiently and remain in a
state of readiness to provide service to the next customer. It can include both
a physical and information infrastructure. Stabell and Fjeldstad provided
examples of different types of infrastructure activities that vary with the type
of network: For telecommunications providers, the main infrastructure is
embedded in switches and distribution centers; for financial services companies, it is embedded in the branch offices, financial assets, or connections to
trading floors.24 Figure 7.4 provides an example of the value network activities of a financial services provider.
How Does the Internet Affect the Primary Activities of the Value Network?
Analogous to the case of the value shop, the Internet also influences the activities of the value network in three main ways:
1. It compounds network externalities.
2. It widens the geographic scope of the network.
3. It enables a larger scale of the network.
Note that these influences are not unequivocally good for service providers.
Each of them has advantages and disadvantages, which we describe below.
Mediating Technology and Network Externalities
The network externality effect is the most important property influencing the
value network. Arguably, the network externality property enables the large
number of Internet intermediaries. The size of the network is the most important criterion of merit for users evaluating a value networkoriented business.
A bank that has no lenders, only borrowers, will not be solvent for long. A
used-car service with access to one dealer is of little use to potential buyers.
Likewise, a music service that recommends CDs based on one you recently
bought will not make very good recommendations if it has only three customers.
As described in Chapter 3, this is a virtuous cycle (or vicious cycle, depending on where the firm starts and what competitors do) with a larger network
attracting more users and complementors. For example, not only will car purchasers shun the network of one dealer, but other dealers will also be reluctant to sign up with so few customers. In contrast, a large network of dealers
and customers encourages more customers to want to use the service (more
dealers) and more dealers to participate (more customers).
This can lead to a kind of crowd mentality behavior in value network
oriented businesses. Initially, there may be several firms providing similar intermediary services. Eventuallybecause of the companys strategy, chance, or
something elseone or a small number of the firms may enjoy a small lead in
the size of their network. Once this happens, the crowd will rush to the doors
of the larger networks, leaving the smaller rivals with no customers. Thus, as
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FIGURE 7.4
Activities of the Value Network
Secondary
Primary
Adapted from Charles B. Stabell and ystein D. Fjeldstad, Configuring Value for Competitive Advantage: On Chains, Shops, and Networks,
Strategic Management Journal 19 (1998), p. 430.
Network promotion/
contract management
Sell services
Evaluate membership
Contract
Monitor and enforce
Service provisioning
Enable buying and selling
Support buyers and sellers
Ancillary services
Infrastructure operations
Administration
Operate IT systems
Maintain liquidity
Link with ancillaries
Firm infrastructure
Human resource management
Technology development
Design new services
Procurement
Reconfigure infrastructure
Expand network
we discussed with lock-in in Chapter 4, it is extremely important for intermediaries to think about how they will develop the size of the network.25 We
emphasize that there must be both lock-in (switching costs) and network effects
for this to be successful, however.
Universality, Time Moderation, and Distribution Channel
The Internet, as in all previous examples, widens the geographic scope of the
network. This is especially important for value networks, as the size of the network affects its usefulness to users. A larger geographic base of users allows the
network to grow more quickly. Thus, businesses that were once constrained to
a small geographic area (and slow growth for their networks) are now free to
expand more quickly. The downside, as always, is that once comfortable, slowgrowth networks can now be won and lost in a matter of months or even weeks.
In terms of a distribution channel, Qwest Communications, among others,
is experimenting with providing long-distance telephone service over the
Internet. Long-distance service works in one of two ways: with or without
special equipment. With special equipment, your phone is connected directly
to the Internet, and the receiver must also have the same specialized phone.
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The voice traffic is broken into packets and reassembled at the other end. For
people with standard phones, the voice data are connected through a circuit to
the switch of the long-distance carrier, at which point it is broken into packets
and transmitted to a remote switch where it is reassembled and sent through
a circuit to the destination. In both cases, the current capacity of Internet bandwidth means that the packet connection is of low quality (e.g., missing packets
are dropped due to the real-time requirement of voice communication). With
expected advances, however, packet-switched voice communications may
become a viable option in the next few years. Other examples include the development of electronic markets that use the Internet for trading, not simply for
entering orders.
Scalability and Infinite Virtual Capacity
Again, infrastructure operation enables the network to have a larger scale,
which is the primary way that a firm oriented to the value network adds value.
Thus, in addition to a larger geographic reach, the increase in computing power
has made it possible to serve many more customers. Businesses that were
originally constrained by their capacity (and were also found in comfortable,
slow-growth niches) now find themselves able to expand their networks rapidly, which in turn raises the value of their networks.
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the uniqueness of a real estate agency began to diminish from the point of
view of the value network. In an abstract way, the value of the agency was still
the value of its connections, but because of its membership in the MLS, the
agencys connections became in some sense a commodity. Real estate agencies began at this point to look more like value shops than value networks. We
also began at this point to see the use of buyers brokers whose role was to
work for the buyer. Agencies made money on volume (more people could see
their own listings) and competition drove down or held in check the commissions that agencies could charge.
The Internet has now enabled a new form of real estate firm: an online
agency that again looks like a value network, possibly supplanting the MLS,
and further driving the agency into the role of a pure service provider (a value
shop) rather than a value network. In the latest phase, home owners can list
their own homes on the websites of certain online brokerages for a low flat
fee, or even for free. The MLS is also available on some websites such as
Cyberhomes.com, bringing the listing information directly into the hands of
potential buyers. Yahoo, for example, has grown the network quickly by integrating information from several diverse networks and allowing free listings
and easy search facilities. In response, some bricks-and-mortar agencies
began introducing fee-for-service plans, where an agent would work with a
client on an hourly basis rather than on commission. It has begun to look as
if the bricks-and-mortar agencies are in danger of being bypassed by online
brokerages or becoming fee-for-service providers.
An oft-quoted example of disintermediation is Amazon.com which, when
analyzed from a value chain standpoint, seems to be eliminating book distributors from the value chain. If Amazon thought of itself as primarily a
bookseller/retailer, then it should concentrate entirely on value chain activities such as logistics (e.g., shipping, warehousing, distribution) and operations
(e.g., order processing). From this point of view, Amazons celebrated hiring
of Wal-Marts information technology/logistics experts seems like a brilliant
move.
There is, however, another point of view on Amazon.com. It could also be
thought of as a firm in the value network configuration. Its success would
therefore spring not from efficiency of ordering and delivery of books, but
from brokering information about book-buying behavior. By selling the
largest number of books, Amazon collects information on what other customers with similar tastes do. For example, if a customer buys book A, Amazon can inform that person that customers who bought book A also bought
book B. Further, descriptions of books are accompanied by reviews written
by the publishers, authors, critics, and anyone who wants to contribute a
review. Thus, the value of the information that Amazon has increases with the
size of the network, which is represented by the number of book purchasers.
If the firm considered itself a value network, it would focus its efforts on personalization, collaborative filtering, and information brokering.
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Summary
Eliminating geographic distance is the most important property of the Internet for all three value configurations, but the reduction in distance interacts
with other properties uniquely for each configuration. Table 7.1 summarizes
these important interactions. For the value chain, it is keeping costs low through
more efficient procurement and logistics. For the value shop, it is the increasing amount of available exploitable information while simultaneously recognizing that value shops based on explicit rather than tacit knowledge will be
rendered uncompetitive. For the value network, it is the ability to build the
network quickly to take advantage of network externalities.
Value configurations, such as the value chain, are based on Thompsons
three generic organizational technologies:
Long-linkedsequential interdependencies, serial tasks, continuous output
of standardized products, clear criteria for capital and labor selection.
Intensivefor solving highly specific problems in an iterative fashion.
Mediatingfacilitate intermediary services; focus on standardized criteria
and decision making and scale of operations.
The value chain is a value configuration (or value creation logic) that is
applied most appropriately to manufacturing and product-oriented businesses.
In light of the growing service and digital economies, other models are needed
to explain value creation for competitive advantage.
The focus of the value chain (that is, firms oriented toward a value chain
logic) is on efficiency, process, and lowering cost. Disintermediation is a possibility for both logistics and procurement. The focus of the value shop is on
customizing service(s) to the need(s) of clients, new product development, and
differentiation. The value shop is based on constant, iterative problem solving
in real time (solving problems the client cannot solve). For value shoporiented
firms, the Internet allows for a larger scale of operations, a wider geographic
scope, more information to be collected and processed, and a new delivery
medium or mechanism. The focus of the value network is on brokering, building the network of users (buyers) and suppliers, contract management, service
provisioning and infrastructure operations. For value networkoriented firms,
the Internet allows for a larger scale of the network, a wider geographic scope
of the network, and a speedier compounding of network externalities.
Value chain
Value shop
Value network
Support activities
Universality
Reduces information asymmetries
Compounds network externalities
Reduces transaction costs
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Key Terms
benchmarking, 127
disintermediation, 125
information
overload, 130
intensive
technology, 121
iterative problem
solving, 128
leapfrog, 125
Discussion
Questions
1. Why should a firm bother to choose the most appropriate value configuration?
2. List one firm for each value configuration. Why is the value configuration
you assigned the most appropriate?
3. How do the three firms you listed in your answer to No. 2 make money?
What are the core competencies of each firm? Which competence is the most
extensible? Why?
4. In the value shop example, what is the problem that the firm is solving
for clients/customers?
5. Give an example of:
a long-linked technology
an intensive technology
a mediating technology
Show how each fits into the value configurations mentioned above.
6. To what value configuration does America Online (AOL) most closely conform? Is this true of the many companies it has acquired (e.g., Netscape,
Time Warner)?
Notes
long-linked
technology, 121
mediating
technology, 121
primary activities, 122
secondary (support)
activities, 122
service
provisioning, 127
typology of
organizational
technologies, 121
value chain, 123
value configuration, 121
value creation logic,
127
value network, 121
value shop, 121
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23. Expedia, owned by Microsoft, had not made a profit as of early 2000;
Microsoft uses its deep pockets to fund the fixed costs of Expedias capacity. However, the trend mentioned abovethe replacement of bricks-andmortar agencies by Internet agenciesis expected to continue.
24. Stabell and Fjeldstad, Configuring Value for Competitive Advantage,
p. 429.
25. For more information about the dynamics of the Internets effect on value
networks, see Larry Downes and Chunka Mui, Unleashing the Killer App
(Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1998); see also Carl Shapiro and
Hal R. Varian, Information Rules (Boston: Harvard Business School Press,
1999).
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Chapter Eight
Valuing and
Financing an
Internet Start-Up
As we noted in Chapter 1, most people go into business to make money. If the
business has what it takes to be profitable, its founders often have to decide
when to take out their share of the profits. They usually face at least two
options: They can (1) collect the profits over the life of the business or (2) sell
part or all of the business to investors who, for a price, get the right to collect
some or all of the future cash flows from the business. To carry out the second option, it is important to determine how much the company is worthit
is important to value the business. In the first part of this chapter, we explore
the cash flow, price-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-earnings growth (PEG), and
business model based methods for valuing technology start-ups. We also take
a look at the role of intellectual capital in valuing companies. We begin with
a brief discussion of the initial public offering (IPO) process.
In the second part of the chapter, we recognize that somewhere in the
process of conceiving and executing a business model, a firm usually needs
money; that is, before a firm can start making money, it needs money. Finding, obtaining, and allocating this money to the right components of the business model is called financing. We explore the different sources of financing
for a start-up and suggest that although low-cost money is important, the
complementary assets and intellectual capital that often come with some
financing sources can be even more important for start-ups.
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to its customers. The cash that the company generates is normally called cash
inflows while the cash that it consumes is called cash outflows. The excess of
cash inflows over cash outflows is the amount of money available to the owners of the business to take out or plow back into the business.
Collecting Early
Rather than wait to collect profits over the life of a firm, an entrepreneur
may decide to collect today by selling his or her right to collect future profits to someone else. Very early in the life of a start-up, this someone is usually a venture capital firm. The funds collected at this stage, however, usually go to meet the large cash outflows required to keep the fledgling start-up
going, not for the owners to take out. In return for the funding, the venture
capital firm usually gets a share of the company and the right to a piece of
future cash flows. Founders can also sell part of their company to institutional investors such as retirement funds or to rich individuals often known
as angel investors. A popular way, however, is to sell shares of the company
to the public by means of an initial public offering (IPO). In an IPO, anyone can buy shares of the company and, in return, is entitled to an appropriate share of the companys future free cash flows. Indeed, the primary
motivation for venture capital firms and other early investors is the anticipation of cashing out at the time of the IPO or shortly thereafter. They usually do not invest in a start-up with the intention of waiting to share in future
earnings from the firm.
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FIGURE 8.1
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Underwriters
Start-ups
Priceline.com
Amazon.com
eToys
Investment Banks
Goldman Sachs
Merrill Lynch
Select
Private Investors
Public
Joe Privileged
Joe Public
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VALUATION OF A BUSINESS
We next explore several methods that have been used to value firms and businesses: Cash flow, price-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-earnings growth (PEG)
ratio, and one based on the business model.
Cash Flows
In the Theory of Investment Value, written over 50 years ago, John Burr
Williams set forth the equation for value, which we condense here: The
value of any stock, bond or business is determined by the cash inflows and
outflowsdiscounted at the appropriate interest ratethat can be expected
to occur during the remaining life of the asset.
Warren Buffett
The value of a business or firm, then, is the present value of its future free
cash flows discounted at its cost of capital. Thus, the value of a firm V is given
by:3
V C0
tn
t0
Cn
C1
C2
2 p
11 rk2
11 rk 2 n
11 rk 2
Ct
11 rk 2 t
(1)
where
Ct is the free cash flow at time t, and
rk is the firms cost of capital.
This discounting reflects the higher value of money today than its value
tomorrow.
If the value of a stock is determined by the present value of the cash
inflows and outflows that can be expected to occur during the remaining life
of the business, valuing a business boils down to determining what those cash
inflows and outflows will be over the life of the business and the appropriate
discount rate.
Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow is the cash from a businesss operations that is available for
distribution to its claim holdersequity investors and debtorswho provide
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(3)
That is, the discount rate is equal to rf , the risk-free rate such as the interest rate
on Treasury bills, plus a risk premium. This risk premium is equal to the systematic risk or beta coefficient, bi , for the business or firms, and the excess
return over the market return rm.
Bricks-and-Mortar vs. Internet Cash Flows
One advantage that Internet companies have over their bricks-and-mortar competitors is that they can take advantage of the Internets properties in crafting
their business models to improve their cash flows. Consider again Amazon.com.
Before it built its own warehouses, it carried no inventory. Whenever a customer
placed an order for a book, the customer paid with his or her credit card and
Amazon collected the cash almost immediately. Amazon then ordered the book
from a wholesaler or publisher who delivered it directly to the customer right
away but did not collect the cash for the book from Amazon until 30 to 45
days later. Effectively, Amazon kept the customers money for 30 to 45 days
before paying the book wholesaler or publisher. This meant that Amazon had
negative working capital for that particular transaction and from expression
(2) above, this means positive cash flow for Amazon. Even after building its
own warehouses, Amazon kept inventory for an average of only two weeks.
Additionally, whenever Amazon doubled its sales it did not have to double the
number of physical storesas would a bricks-and-mortar competitor like Bordersbecause it had none. That also saved on cash expenditures for investment, effectively increasing free cash flow.
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Free cash flow gains do not come only from pure play Internet firms like
Amazon.com. Bricks-and-mortar firms could also boost their free cash flows
by adopting the Internet. Consider automakers. In 1998 alone, automakers had
an estimated $100 billion in inventory, much of it because of their inability to
forecast what customers wanted. By using the Internet to go direct to customers using a Dell-type model,5 much of the inventory could be eliminated.
Less inventory means less working capital and therefore more free cash flow.
The main problem with using equation (1) for determining the value of a
firm is that it is very difficult to predict what the cash flows and cost of capital will be in the future. The situation is particularly challenging for start-up
firms, most of which do not have positive cash flows. One way to circumvent
this problem is to find a firm whose systematic risk or beta coefficient is similar to that of the start-ups and use that firms cash flows with the necessary
adjustments to estimate the cash flows of the start-up. This procedure is analogous to the more widely used price-earnings methods that we discuss next.
80 1 p $48
E
$0.6
Thus, the share price that you should expect is $48.
This method, although very popular, has several shortcomings. First, although
earnings are highly correlated with cash flows, they are not free cash flows. A
firm can be profitable but have negative free cash flows and vice versa. Second,
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there is more than one type of earnings, so deciding on which one to use is
not easy. Third, there is always the question of whether historical earnings are
a good predictor of future earnings.
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ILLUSTRATION
CAPSULE
149
8.1
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FIGURE 8.2
Profits/Cash Flow
Chain of an ISP
Business Model
Component Attribute
Measures
Number of subscribers
Network size
Content
Ease of use
Management leadership
Profitability
Predictor Measures
Profitability
Measures
Margins
Market share
Revenue share
growth rate
Profits (earnings)
Cash flows
measures are the number of subscribers, network size, amount and quality of
content available, ease of use of system, and management talent. For a biotechnology start-up, for example, the number of patents that the firm owns or the
number of staff scientists with Ph.D.s would be a good metric.
Va
t0
Ct
11 rk 2 t
If we assume that after n years the firm in question will start receiving constant cash flows Cf , then (1) reduces to
V
Cf
rk 11 rk 2 n
(4)
If we assume that the constant cash flows start in the present year so that
n 0, (4) reduces to
Cf
(5)
V
rk
Using expressions (4) and (5), one can obtain useful information on how overvalued or undervalued a firms stocks are. Such information can help individuals in their decisions to invest in a firm. It can also provide more information
for firms to use in their decisions to use their market valuations to purchase
other companies.
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Cf
Cf
, assuming that the cost of capital is 20 percent
rk
0.20
Cf $100 billion
This suggests that in the future, you should expect Cisco to have steady positive cash flows of $100 billion (at least that much in profits). The $100 billion number is astronomical given that Ciscos 2000 profits were expected to
be only $4 billion. Not that many companies have revenues of $100 billion,
let alone that much in profits or positive cash flows. This suggests that Cisco
may have been overvalued. A firm that knows that it is overvalued can use its
stock valuation as currency to make acquisitions. Investors might want to be
a little more cautious when purchasing the stocks of such companies.
(6)
One way to interpret this equation is if a firm were to close its doors to business, then what is left over to pay shareholders is the assets less liabilities
the book value. Prior to the decision to close its doors, however, what shareholders would get from the company if they were to sell their shares would be
the market value of the firm (shares outstanding multiplied by share price).
This suggests that market value ought to be close to book value. Table 8.1, however, indicates otherwise. Look at Microsoft. In 1994 its book value was $4.45
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TABLE 8.1
Firm
Intel
Microsoft
General
Motors
General
Electric
Cisco
Dell
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($ million)
($ million)
($ million)
$ 9,267
4,450
$35,172
41,339
$19,295
10,777
$125,741
199,046
($ million)
$23,371
16,627
($ million)
($ million)
$196,616
418,579
12,823
33,188
17,506
54,243
14,984
63,839
26,387
92,321
34,438
4,289
1,293
260,147
64,568
41,294
38,880
7,106
2,321
360,251
166,616
111,322
billion while its market value was $41.34 billion, or almost 10 times as much.
In 1997 Microsofts book value was $10.77 billion and its market value $199
billion, almost 20 times as much. Compare this to General Motors 1997 book
value of $18 billion and market value of $54 billion. In 1999 Microsofts market value was about 25 times its book value. While the differences in other
firms book and market values are not as astounding as Microsofts, they are
still very large.
The differences between book value and market value suggest that there is
something else about each of these firms, other than the assets on their books,
that makes investors believe that they will keep generating free cash flows or
earnings. Why is it important to understand this difference? Because managers would like to know how to manage it, given its enormous significance.
This difference has been called intellectual capital and has been attributed to
several factors: (1) underpriced physical assets or intangible assets such as
patents, trade secrets, and trademarks; (2) human capitalthe people who
must turn assets, underpriced or otherwise, into products or services that customers want;7 (3) the product market positions that firms chose in industries
that are, by their nature, more profitable than others; (4) unique resources or
capabilities that are difficult to imitate or substitute, the source of the enduring advantage that allows firms to keep earning profits; and (5) knowledge,
whether embedded in employees, encoded in some physical form, or resident
in organizational routines that firms use to offer better value to their customers than competitors.8 Such knowledge gives a firm a sustainable competitive advantage so long as it is difficult to copy, replicate, or substitute.9
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market value of a firm may enable us to determine the worth of, say, human
capital and therefore the worth of key individuals within a firm.
Intellectual Property
The intellectual property component refers to codified knowledge in a form
that enables a company to claim ownership, including patents, copyrights, trademarks, brand names, databases, microcodes, engineering drawings, contracts,
trade secrets, documents, and semiconductor masks, as well as intangibles such
as reputation, network size, installed base, client relationships, and special
licenses.11 These are the havings since they are things that a firm has opposed
to the things that it does.12 The extent to which intellectual properties are protectable, difficult to replicate, or substitute determines the extent to which
firms can profit from any products or services that rest on them.
Human Capital
Intellectual property, in and of itself, will not give a firm a competitive advantage. It also takes employees with the skills, know-how, experience, and competencies to build intellectual property or use it to deliver value to customers.13 It
also takes human capital which is the specialist knowledge that is resident in
employees. A top-notch scientists knowledge of combinatorial chemistry is an
example. Human capital is what Richard Hall calls the doing since it refers to
the ability to perform value-adding activitiesthe ability to get things done.14
Organizational Capital
Intellectual property and human capital, in and of themselves, may not be sufficient to give their owners a competitive advantage. For example, a cache of
patents and Nobel laureates alone is not likely to give a firm a competitive
advantage. Factors internal and external to a firm allow firms to turn their intellectual property and human capital into customer value and to cultivate more
intellectual property. For lack of a better name, we will call these factors organizational capital.15 Internal to a firm, the factors of organizational capital are
the firms structure, systems, strategy, people, and culture that it uses to create,
share, coordinate, and integrate the knowledge and skills embodied in individual
employees to make intellectual property and to convert the intellectual property into products that customers want.16 A project structure, for example, is
more conducive to tasks of short duration in environments that are not fast
moving while, in some industries, projects with heavyweight project managers perform better than those without. Still, in other industries, the culture
that firms have cultivatedthe system of shared values (what is important)
and beliefs (how things work) that interact with the organizations people, organizational structures, and systems to produce behavioral norms (the way we do
things around here)can be a source of competitive advantage.17 Sometimes,
factors external to the firm are also critical to the ability of firms to innovate.
For example, firms in a region with a system that provides financial support
and rewards for innovation, a culture that tolerates failure, the right suppliers,
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customers, complementors, competitors, universities and other research institutions, and supportive government policies are conducive to the creation of intellectual property and their conversion into new products.18
FINANCING A START-UP
A firm has several instruments for financing entrepreneurial activity: Internal
assets in which the firm reallocates the resources it already has to the entrepreneurial activity; equity financing in which the firm issues equity to venture
capital firms, private individuals, or the public in return for financing; debt in
which the firm issues some form of debt; and complementary asset financing
in which a firm reaches out for complementary assets through a strategic
alliance or an acquisition.19 The balance sheet relation in Figure 8.3 shows the
relationships between the financing instruments.
Equity
To finance its activities, a firm can issue equity; that is, through equity financing, a firm can sell shares of the company to investors in return for money that
the firm needs. Figure 8.4 provides some elements of the equity market. Equity
can be issued to the public through a stock exchange such as the NASDAQ
(National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations) or the London Stock Exchange. The issue can take the form of an initial public offering
(IPO) in which, for the first time, a firm offers its shares to the public for purchase. For many Internet start-ups in the late 1990s, this was one of the most
popular sources of financing.
For many start-ups whose products have not yet been proven, the most
likely buyers of their equity are private equity firms. Private equity can be
venture or nonventure. Venture equity is issued by start-ups in the early or
later stages of their start-up cycle. In return for part ownership in the startup, a venture capital firm or other financier will finance the start-up. Their
primary motivation is to cash in during the IPO which will eventually come
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Source: Reprinted from Innovation Management: Strategies, Implementation, and Profits (New York: Oxford University Press, 1998), p. 200.
Net Income
Dividends =
Ending Balance of
Retained Earnings
Tangible assets
Cash
Marketable securities
Accounts receivable
Notes receivable
Interest receivable
Inventories
Prepaids
Land
Buildings
Equipment
Leasehold
Liabilities
Accounts payable
Notes payable
Interest payable
Income taxes payable
Advances from customers
Rent received in advance
Mortgage payable
Bonds payable
Capitalized lease obligations
Deferred income taxes
Shareholders Equity
Common stock
Issued to venture capitalists
Issued to the public
Preferred stock
Retained earnings
Treasury shares
Intangible assets
Client relations
Distribution channels
Brand-name reputation
Patents
Copyrights
Trademarks
after the start-up has proven itself dynamic enough to go public. In addition
to providing the much-needed money, venture capital firms can also offer
management expertise which can be critical for a start-up. Some venture capital firms have networks of firms in which they have stakes, and such firms can
become the start-ups first customer or supplier. Such intangibles are often critical in the life of a start-up. One major drawback to obtaining venture capital
is that the start-up firm often loses control of a large part of the company to the
venture capital firm. The money that venture capital firms use to finance ventures can be their own or that of limited partners. In the United States, venture
capital can also come from small business investment companies (SBICs).
These are private corporations that have been licensed by the Small Business
Administration to provide financing to risky companies. To encourage them to
undertake these risky loans, the federal government gives SBICs tax breaks
and Small Business Administration (SBA) loans.
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FIGURE 8.4
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Source: Reprinted from Innovation Management: Strategies, Implementation, and Profits (New York: Oxford University Press, 1998), p. 202.
Equity
Private equity
Venture
Early stage
new venture
Later stage
new venture
Public equity
Nonventure
Middle market
private firms
IPOs
Additional issues
Firms in
financial distress
Major players
Venture capital firms such as
Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield, and
Byers; and Asset Management
SBICs
Major players
Buyout groups such as Kohlberg,
Kravis, Roberts
Public
buyouts
Debt
A firm can also borrow money from a money-lending institution such as a
bank, or sell bonds or notes; that is, it can acquire debt. The problem with
debt financing is that the financier usually wants some physical assets as collateralsomething that most start-ups usually do not have. Their assets are
often intangible, largely intellectual capital, which may not be enough collateral for some banks. The drawback in borrowing is that interest payments
may drain off profits that could have been plugged back into the business or
paid out as dividends to investors. If a start-up does issue debt, sometimes the
debt is convertible to equity.
A smart form of debt financing for start-ups is the one undertaken by Amazon.com, which we described earlier in our discussion of cash flows. Recall that
the firm collected from its customers right away but did not pay its vendors until
30 to 45 days later. During that time, it used the money that it owed its vendors
to finance its activities. This is sometimes called working capital financing.
Complementary Assets
As we saw in Chapter 5, complementary assets are critical to profiting from
an innovation. Unfortunately, most start-up firms lack these assets. We also
said that some complementary assets are difficult to replicate or substitute. For
example, it is very difficult for a fledgling Web advertising firm to replicate the
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Summary
Firms are in business to make money. But to make money, they often need
money up front to get going. Thus, a firm has two finance-related problems:
How to find and use the money that it needs, and how to cash out. An entrepreneur can collect the money from the free cash flows of his or her business
over the life of the business or sell the right to collect some of the future free
cash flows to venture capitalists, angels, or to the public through an initial
public offering (IPO). In either case, the business must be valued so that the
financier can know the value of his or her investment. Many methods have
been used to value firms: free cash flow, price-earnings (P/E) ratios, priceearnings growth (PEG) ratios, and the business model. Valuing Internet startups is particularly troublesome because most of them have neither positive
free cash flows nor positive earnings. In such a case, proxies together with
predictors of earnings and cash flows such as profit margins, market share,
and revenue share growth rate can be used to value a firm. Beyond that, measurable business model component attributes can be used.
There are several sources of financing for a start-up: a firms own assets,
venture capital, debt, IPO, and some form of teaming up with a firm that has
complementary assets. The most important thing about financing a start-up is
that money purchased with the lowest interest rate is not always the best
money because start-ups usually need important complementary assets that
are difficult to acquire or substitute. And teaming up with another firm that
has such assets or selling an equity share to a venture capital firm may be the
best way to get access to such assets.
Key Terms
intellectual
property, 153
investment bank, 143
market value, 151
organizational
capital, 153
present value, 145
price-earnings growth
(PEG) ratio, 148
price-earnings (P/E)
ratio, 147
profitability predictor
measures, 149
public offering
price, 144
risk premium, 146
systematic risk, 146
venture equity, 154
working capital, 146
working capital
financing, 156
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Discussion
Questions
Notes
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1. What is the difference between earnings and cash flows? Can an unprofitable firm have positive free cash flows?
2. What are the drawbacks of using P/E and PEG ratios to value firms?
3. Why is negative working capital a good thing?
4. Why might a firm that is still unprofitable have a very high market value?
How would you value such a firm?
5. When might a start-up give up an interest-free loan from a bank and take
venture capital money even though the owners of the start-up may lose
the control of and equity in their firm?
1. See, for example, S. C. Blowers, P. H. Griffith, and T. L. Milan, The Ernst
& Young Guide to the IPO Value Journey (New York: John Wiley, 1999).
2. www.internetnews.com/stocks/ipodex/.
3. See, for example, R. A. Brealey and S. C. Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1995).
4. See, for example, C. P. Stickney and R. L. Weil, Financial Accounting,
7th ed. (New York: Dryden, 1994); W. Petty, Harvesting, in The Portable
MBA in Entrepreneurship, ed. by W. D. Bygrave (New York: John Wiley,
1997), pp. 41441.
5. In the United States, however, franchise laws do not permit direct sales of
cars to customers.
6. M. J. Dollinger, Entrepreneurship: Strategies and Resources (Burr Ridge,
IL: Richard D. Irwin, 1995).
7. D. Ulrich, Intellectual Capital Competence Commitment, Sloan
Management Review 39, no. 2 (1998), pp. 1527.
8. L. Edvinsson and P. Sullivan, Developing a Model for Managing Intellectual Capital, European Management Journal 14, no. 4 (August 1996),
p. 356; I. Nonaka, A Dynamic Theory of Organizational Knowledge Creation, Organization Science 5, no. 1 pp. 477501; T. A. Stewart, Intellectual Capital: The New Wealth of Organizations (New York: Currency/
Doubleday, 1997).
9. M. A. Peteraf, The Cornerstones of Competitive Advantage: A Resourcebased View, Strategic Management Journal 14 (1993), pp. 17991.
10. Edvinsson and Sullivan, Developing a Model for Managing Intellectual
Capital, p. 356; H. Saint-Onge, Tacit Knowledge: The Key to the
Strategic Alignment of Intellectual Capital, Strategy and Leadership 2
(MarchApril 1996), p. 1014.
11. Edvinsson and Sullivan, Developing a Model for Managing Intellectual
Capital, p. 356.
12. R. Hall, A Framework Linking Intangible Resources and Capabilities to
Sustainable Competitive Advantage, Strategic Management Journal 14
(1993), pp. 60718.
13. C. K. Prahalad and G. Hamel, The Core Competencies of the Corporation, Harvard Business Review, MayJune 1990, pp. 7991.
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Chapter Nine
Appraisal of
Business Models
Given the central role that business models play in firm performance, it is
important to be able to understand how one business model compares with
another. Such an appraisal is important for several reasons. First, when making choices about components and linkages of a business model, a firm needs
to be able to determine which business model alternatives are best. Second,
a good analysis of competitors ought to include a comparison of business
models; such a comparison needs some way of appraising business models.
In this chapter, we explore the appraisal of business models. We explore how
one can tell if one business model is better than another. Our discussion is
divided into three sections. First, we present the elements of such an
appraisal. Second, we present the case of Juniper Networks. Finally, we
appraise Juniper Networks business model.
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Chapter 9
TABLE 9.1
161
Level 1
Earnings
Cash flow
Profitability predictor measures
Level 2
Margins
Market share
Revenue share growth rate
Component attribute measures
Level 3
Positioning
Value
Scope
Price
Revenue
Activities
Implementation
Capabilities
Sustainability
Cost structure
Profitability Measures
The raison dtre of a business model is to make money, so what better way
to measure how good a business model is than to compare its profitability to
that of its competitors. Any one of many profitability measures can be used.
Here we use earnings and cash flows because analysts use them most frequently in valuing businesses. If a firms earnings or cash flows are better than
those of competitors, we say that it has a competitive advantage. This suggests that the firm has a good business model. The problem with using profitability as a measure of the soundness of a business model is that many businesses with solid business models, especially start-ups, are not profitable even
though down the line they might become very profitable. Moreover, a business that is profitable today may have a poor business model whose effects
are still trickling down the profit chain. These two reasons suggest that we
need to find a more reliable measure.
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Since these profitability predictor measures rest on the components of a business model and the linkages between them, there may be things about the
model that have not trickled down the chain to profit margins, market share,
and revenue growth rate. We next turn to the components of a business model.
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9. Appraisal of Business
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Chapter 9
TABLE 9.2
Component of
Business Model
Benchmark
Questions
Rank
Positioning
H/L
Rivalry
Customers
Complementors
Suppliers
Potential new entry
Substitutes
Customer value
H/L
Scope
H/L
Price
H/L
Revenue source
H/L
Connected activities
H/L
Implementation
Capabilities
H/L
H/L
Distinctive?
Nonimitable?
Extendible to other product markets?
Sustainability
H/L
Cost structure
H/L
163
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answer is no, an L for low can be placed in the rank column. The next
questionIs the firms rate of increase high in customer value relative to that
of competitors?addresses the issue that while a firms value may be higher
or more distinct than that of the competition, the firm should be worried if
competitors are closing the gap. Such a threat might come from a competitors new strategies or a technological change that allows competitors to catch
up or leapfrog a firm. A ranking of H means the firm is increasing its lead or
competitors are not catching up.
Scope
Recall from Chapter 4 that scope refers to the market segments to which a
firm offers customer value and the range of products that contain the value.
Here we appraise a firms strength in each market segment and in each product that embodies the value. The first questionIs the growth rate of market segments high?tells us how the segment itself is doing. But we also
want to know how well the firm itself is doing in each segment relative to
its competitors. Hence the question: Is the firms market share in each segment high relative to that of competitors? Finally, the firm may want to know
how well each product is doing in each segment, particularly if the products
are threatened by new products in competitors pipelines. The answers to these
questions tell us how much pressure is being exerted on the firm in each of its
market segments. An overall ranking of H indicates that the products embodying value and the market segments served are doing well, suggesting that the
firms choices in the scope element of its business model are good.
Price
If a firm offers its customers something distinctive or a higher level of value,
the question is, How much is the firm charging for it? What is the value for
the customers dollar? What is the bang for the buck? How much does a patient
pay for a 1 percent drop in bad cholesterol? The less a firm charges per unit
of value, the more difficult it is for other firms to take away its market share.
A high value per dollar may also be an indication of customer bargaining power
or pressure from potential new entrants or rivals.
Revenue Sources
The questions to be asked in this component are (1) Are the market share and
margins in each revenue source high? (2) More importantly, are the market
shares and margins increasing at each revenue source? If the competitive
forces in a market are high, the margins may be decreasing. This was the case
in 1999, for example, with online brokerage firms where the margins for brokerage fees were dropping. (3) Is the firms value in each revenue source distinctive? If not, is the level of it higher than that of competitors? The third
question addresses the matter that high and even growing margins may be
determined by a firms bargaining power and may hide the actual decline in
value of the firms products/services. Again, if all the answers in the revenue
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or substitute? If the run strategy is used, the firm must then ask whether it has
what it takes to run. For example, does it have the personnel and financing to
keep innovating? Can it afford to reinvent itself ? If the firm relies on teaming
up, then it must determine what it can bring to the table in teaming up and
how much complementarity its partners have. Also, what kinds of partners
does it attract? If the ingredients exist for making the firms strategy work,
sustainability gets an H rank.
Cost Structure
Recall that a firms cost structure is the relationship between its revenues and
the underlying costs of generating the revenues. The lower the costs per dollar of sales, the better off a firm is. High revenues can also be a result of market powera result of the fact that a firm has bargaining power over customers and can charge higher prices than it would if it were a price taker.
Moreover, a firm with very low costs may decide to pass on its cost savings
to customers by charging very low prices for its products or services. Such a
firm may have a very low revenue-to-cost ratio. This should not be mistaken
for a high cost structure. Therefore, in comparing cost structures, it may also
be valuable to measure the cost per unit of customer value offered. Appraising a cost structure therefore consists of measuring the cost per revenue dollar relative to rivals and the cost per unit of customer value offered relative
to competitors. If both are lower than competitors, column 3 gets an H. If
both are higher than comeptitors, column 3 gets an L.
If column 3 of Table 9.2 has many highs, the business model is strong. If
it has many lows, the model is weak. This is important information for the
development of strategy and the business model.
Important!
Often the most important thing to take away from the appraisal of an Internet
business model is not so much that the business model is strong or weak, but to
identify why it is strong or weak. In this way, the strong components and links
in the model can be reinforced and the weak ones strengthened. In competitor
analysis, the important thing is not so much to find out whether competitors
have a stronger or weaker business model, as to find out where and why they
are stronger or weaker.
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FIGURE 9.1
Carrier Class
Neighborhood 1
Enterprise
router
"Off-Camp"
Internet
backbone
Edge
router
Core
router
Enterprise
router
Neighborhood 2
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changed during the journey to the end destination. Once the router has determined the appropriate path, it forwards the data packets to the next router.
The market for these important devices can be divided into two primary
customer segments, enterprise and carrier.
The enterprise routers are dedicated to a particular organizations network.
The enterprise router can direct traffic within an organizations local area network (LAN), within an organizations wide area network (WAN), and/or provide access to the Internet by coordinating traffic between a LAN or WAN
and the organizations network service providers that connect them to the
Internet. Given the diverse nature and size of customers and applications in
this market, the enterprise class of routers includes a very broad array of different functionalities and performance levels. In 2000, Cisco Systems controlled 66 percent of the estimated $10 billion enterprise router market.3
Carrier-class routers direct traffic over the interconnected networks that
make up the Internet. These can be divided into core and edge subsegments.
Edge devices are the aggregators and local access boxes that serve ISPs, Web
hosting companies, data centers, and local exchanges. Additionally, edge
devices are used by carrier facilities to direct traffic into and out of the backbone. Core boxes take electrical traffic aggregated by edge routing devices
and run that traffic through to the primarily optical Internet backbone. By
comparison, edge routers are more numerous and variable in their specific
functionality than core routers, which are specialized and built with primarily
throughput and speed in mind.
As illustrated in Figure 9.2, one can look at the entire Internet as a hypothetical road system made up of neighborhoods, major thoroughfares, and
interstates. Enterprise routers are the traffic lights directing traffic within local
neighborhoods for consumers, corporations, and other organizations. Edge
devices are traffic lights on the major thoroughfares running to the interstate
highway systems from those neighborhoods. The core routers are traffic lights
leading traffic onto the on-ramps and off-ramps of the interstate highway. The
interstate highway in this case is made up of the primarily optical fiber backbone networks that connect major access points, normally over long distances or between major metropolitan areas. These backbone networks (interstate highways) are controlled by a relatively few number of carriers. Between
2000 and 2003, the total market for carrier-class routers was expected to increase
208 percent to $23.7 billion for edge routers and increase 53 percent to $15.8
billion for core routers.4
Key Router Attributes
As outlined above, extremely high-end, core router functionality is needed by
only a few very large-scale backbone ISPs or carriers. This need is driven by
rapidly expanding demand. For example, UUNets annual traffic growth is
800 percent. Furthermore, industry analysts anticipate traffic growing from
0.47 terabits (trillions of bits) per second per month to 2,200 terabits per second per month between 2000 and 2004.5 Considering the rapid expansion of
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FIGURE 9.2
169
Enterprise Market
Carrier Market
Network
service provider
Corporation A
Enterprise Market
Edge
router
Enterprise
Corporate
Firewall
Optical
Internet backbone
Edge
router
Firewall
Web
server
Core
router
Database
Corporation B
Core
router
Corporate
user
Database
Network
service provider
Popular
Web Enterprise
Enterprise
Web
server
Database
Personal user
Personal user
Personal user Personal user
traffic over the Internet and the increasing deployment of optical fiber on
the backbone, core router performance has not kept up with traffic demand
and, hence, has become a source of congestion on the Internet road system.6
With traffic growing exponentially while router performance grows by a
factor of four every 18 to 24 months, demand for core routers should continue to explode.7 In turn, as core traffic grows, edge traffic grows, so older
core routers rotate into an edge role as new, faster core routers are introduced.
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degree avoid directly competing with routing giant Cisco Systems, which
focused primarily on the enterprise market.
Still, Juniper faced the daunting challenge of developing a product from
scratch, without the help of legacy technologies to follow for guidance.14 Additionally, the networking industry was fast-paced and unforgiving; Sindhu and
Kriens believed they would have only one chance to convince ISPs that their
product was better than the competitions.15
In spite of the many challenges, Kriens believed the environment was ripe
for a challenger to Cisco. If it could develop a viable router product, major
industry players looking to avoid overreliance on a single supplier could welcome Juniper. Following an innovative strategy he successfully employed at
StrataCom, Kriens sought equity investments in Junipers developing technology from companies that represented Junipers potential clients. On September 2, 1997, a collection of some of the most prominent names in networking and telecomincluding 3Com, Lucent Technologies, Ericsson, and
Worldcom/UUNetannounced a $40 million investment in Juniper, providing for future growth.
The strategic distribution deals with its equity partners and others allowed
Juniper to maintain focus on product development. Key to these deals were the
instant access to customers who were also investors (i.e., UUNet), as well as
distribution deals providing access to the sales forces of Alcatel and Nortel. In
addition, manufacturing was outsourced. For example, Junipers ASIC production was contracted to IBM, and Kriens signed an early deal with Californiabased Solectron to manufacture its routers.16 This focused allocation of resources
would soon allow Juniper to claim one of the highest revenues per employee
in the business, exceeding even Ciscos.17
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Router
Product
Target
Market
Release
Date
M40
M20
M160
M5
M10
Core
Edge
Core
Edge
Edge
9/16/98
12/7/99
4/28/00
9/9/00
9/9/00
Approximate
Sales Price*
(in $ thousands)
$400
100
800
20
20
Speed
40+
20+
160+
5+
10+
Gbps
Gbps
Gbps
Gbps
Gbps
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Junipers Competitors
Junipers tremendous success came at the expense of Cisco and other industry
players. The market for core routers in 2000 was dominated by a CiscoJuniper
duopoly (see Table 9.5). In edge devices, Juniper joined strong competitors that
offered routers and other hardware necessary for enterprisewide solutions.
Market entry and exit were common, new partnerships surfaced almost daily,
TABLE 9.4
Summary of Junipers Income Statement (in thousands, except per share amounts)
Consolidated Statements of Operations
Year Ended December 31
2000
1999
$673,501
237,554
$102,606
45,272
435,947
Operating loss
Net revenues(1)
Cost of revenues
1998
3,807
4,416
57,334
(609)
87,833
89,029
21,176
43,820
41,502
20,931
5,235
4,286
23,987
4,216
2,223
1,235
9,406
1,149
1,043
241,858
71,954
31,661
11,598
194,089
(14,620)
(32,270)
(11,598)
88,960
8,011
1,301
1,235
230,372
82,456
(6,609)
2,425
$147,916
1997
(30,969)
2
(10,363)
$ (9,034)
$(30,971)
$(10,363)
$ 0.49
$ (0.05)
$ (0.40)
$ 0.43
$ (0.05)
$ (0.40)
304,381
347,858
189,322
189,322
77,742
77,742
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TABLE 9.5
Cisco
Juniper
Lucent
Nortel
175
98 Q4
99 Q1
99 Q2
99 Q3
99 Q4
00 Q1
00 Q2
91%
0
9
0
87%
7
6
0
85%
12
3
0
82%
14
2
2
83%
16
1
1
80%
17
1
2
81%
18
0
1
75%
24
0
0
and innovation frequently redefined product categories. In general, router producers were telecom and electronics giants, recent spin-offs, or venture-funded
start-ups.
Cisco Systems and Other Competitors
In November 2000, Cisco Systems, Inc., with an approximate market capitalization of $350 billion, was the third most valuable company in the world
(behind General Electric and Microsoft). Cisco finished the fiscal year 2000
with $18.9 billion in revenues and net income of $2.7 billion. Founded in
1984 by a pair of then-married Stanford University computer science professors, Sandy Lerner and Len Bosack, the company first sold shares to the public in February 1990 at $18 a share.34 Since then Ciscos stock had undergone
nine splits, seven 2-for-1 splits, and two 3-for-2 splits. Cisco began as a oneproduct company selling routers, but in 2000 it had more than 150 different
networking products. Unlike Juniper, which focused on organic growth through
product development, Cisco focused more on technology growth via acquisitions, breadth of product line, the customer experience, and retaining top talent. Using its rising stock as currency, Cisco makes one acquisition every two
to three weeks, and since 1993 has purchased more than 60 companies.35 Other
competitors included Nortel Networks, Lucent, Alcatel, Avici Systems, Procket
Pluris, IronBridge, Charlottes Web, Caspian, Redback Networks, Riverstone,
and Unisphere.
Juniper at Crossroads
With rapid advances in technology and an onslaught of potential new competitors, Juniper could not be sure if and for how long its technology advantage would last. Could the dot.com gold rush be over? Was Juniper there to
stay? Did it have the right business model? Should it enter the router market?
How would Cisco react?
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TABLE 9.6
177
Component
Rank
Positioning
High
Customer
value
Juniper was better than Cisco in speed and uptime, which were
critical in industry. M40 was 10 times faster than rival Cisco model.
Cisco did not have hot-swapping. Junipers routers were the most
technologically advanced in the industry.
High
Scope
Growth rate of core (53%) and edge (208%) routers in 2000 was
high. Had 24% of core router market in 2000 compared to Ciscos
75% but had gained the 24% market share in only 2 years. Potential
erosion of carrier routers from Cisco and new entrants was high.
High
Pricing
High
Revenue
source
Major sources of revenues were core and edge routers. Its margins
and market share were high in both. Margins and market share
increased from 1999 to 2000. Juniper offered higher value in each
source of revenues than did Cisco since its products had superior
product attributes compared to Ciscos.
High
Connected
activities
High
Implementation
High
Capabilities
High
Sustainability
Had not held a high market share for long. Higher market share
was vulnerable. However, Juniper was employing a combination
of run, block, and team-up to maintain advantage.
Medium
(continued)
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Rank
Kept innovating.
Collaboration with leading high-tech companies, such as IBM,
Solectron, etc.
Teamed up with future customers, making them equity partners
and giving them partial ownership and distribution rights.
Kept routing software, JUNOS, proprietary.
Risk from the majority of revenues coming from four customers
in a market with short product life span.
Cost structure
market in 2000 compared to Ciscos 75 percent but had gained the 24 percent
market share in only two years. To maintain its growth rates and profits, Cisco
was likely to fight back and recapture some market share from Juniper or at
least decrease the rate of increase of Junipers market share. Router traffic
was growing exponentially while router performance grew by a factor of four
every 18 to 24 months.
Pricing [HIGH] If Ciscos prices were comparable to Junipers, then Juniper
must have had better quality-adjusted prices since its products were much
faster than Ciscos and it had hot-swapping, an important feature that Cisco
did not have.
Revenue Source [HIGH] Junipers two primary sources of revenues were
core and edge router product sales. Its margins and market share were high in
both core and edge routers. Margins and market share increased from 1999 to
2000. Junipers routers were faster than Ciscos and had hot-swapping, which
Ciscos did not.
Connected Activities [HIGH] Juniper concentrated on product development
and innovation, which reinforced the superior product differentiation that it
offered. Its activities were geared toward ensuring an alternating product cycle
in which its core routers like the M40 were able to route signals through the
Internet backbone quickly, thereby burdening edge routers. A new faster edge
router like the M20 would then be brought in to rescue the routing at the edge
level. This, in turn, created the need for faster core routers. And faster core
routers again meant faster edge routers, continuing the virtuous cycle. Juniper
outsourced manufacturing to IBM and Solectron, and some sales activities to
Alcatel and Nortel, rather than try to do it all alone. Moreover, its strength was
in product development. It developed and kept its JUNOS routing software
proprietary. These activities gave the firm an attractive position in an already
attractive industry in 2000.
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TABLE 9.7
179
In the
Long Term
Exertion
on
Juniper
Force
In 2000
Supplier
power
Low
Low
Buyer
power
Low
Med
Rivalry
Low
Low
Med
Threat
of
entrants
Capital-intensive industry.
Complementary assets
important and tight. Shortage
of skilled routing engineers.
Plenty of venture capital
money being invested in the
area might increase entry.
Large potential for new entrants
such as Seimens and Fujitsu.
Low
Med
High
Substitutes
Low
Low
Overall
Attractive market
No longer as attractive
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Implementation [Limited data] Despite being the first founder, Sindhu decided
to concentrate on technology and appoint Kriens as CEO. Management team
had a genetic mix: Sindhu as CTO, industry-experienced CEO (Kriens), leading server architect from Sun Microsystems, and networking designer from
MCI. Funding from Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, a renowned venturecapital firm, may have lent credibility to Juniper. Such credibility usually can
attract top talent in a tight resource-limited market and may also attract more
financing. Junipers timing was good. It entered the industry at a time when
customers were eager to have another choice.
Capabilities [HIGH] Its superior product capabilities allowed it to offer best
performance and hot-swapping. Such performance helped start the building of
a brand-name reputation among customers. In 2000, Juniper had not been imitated but probably would beespecially by Cisco. Its capabilities were potentially extendible to other product-market positions such as enterprise routers.
Sustainability [MODERATE] In 2000, Juniper had not held a high market
share for long. For two reasons, Junipers high market share appeared to be
vulnerable. With venture capital readily available for this profit site and temptation from the potential profits of the profit site, new entrants were likely to
enter the market for carrier routers. Moreover, Cisco was likely to fight back
to regain some of the market share that it had lost to Juniper. Junipers technology was imitable and since Cisco had complementary assets such as brand,
large customer base, cash, and the ability to acquire new start-ups with new
technologies, Cisco posed a very real threat. Juniper would need a good combination of run, block, and team-up to maintain its advantage. It would have
to keep running by innovating and offering newer and faster products. (As we
saw in the ranking of activities, Juniper was better able to run by concentrating its efforts where it believed its advantage laid while outsourcing less
important activities to others.) It kept its JUNOS routing software proprietary
even as it gunned for a standard. It had teamed up with future customers,
making them equity partners and giving them partial ownership and distribution rights. It had also collaborated with leading high-tech companies, such as
IBM, Solectron, etc. Throughout, it had resisted trying to replicate Ciscos
activities. For example, it had resisted using its high market valuation to make
acquisitions, a strategy that rival Cisco had utilized in the mid-to-late 1990s.
Cost Structure [HIGH] The only cost data provided are the financial statements from the 2000 income statement of each firm. Compared to Ciscos, we
can assume that cost of product development and innovation was likely high.
Conclusion In 2000, Juniper had an excellent business model. However,
Cisco and other competitors still posed a potential threat to Junipers advantage. Radical technological changes also posed a threat. For example, optical
technology could usher in a new era in which Juniper would become an incumbent facing more nimble new entrants. In 2000, core routers were connected
by fiber-optics cables that carried optical signals. These optical signals had to
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be converted into electrical signals for the routers to decide their next destinations, and then converted back to optical signals in order to be sent over
fiber-optics cables for delivery to the next router. Predictions in 2000 were
that eventually routers would have to be optical. The electrical to optical
router change would be a radical technological change.
Force
In 2000
Exertion
on
firms
Supplier
power
Low
Low
Buyer
power
High
High
Rivalry
High
Moderate
Threat
of
entrants
High
Moderate
Substitutes
High
Low
Overall
Unattractive market
In the
Long Term
Exertion
on
firms
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Moreover, it usually takes more than technology to do well in a market; it usually also takes complementary assets. Thus, the question here should be whether
Juniper had what it would take to have a competitive advantage in this unattractive market that was already dominated by Cisco and other large vendors.
In this more mature enterprise router market, it was not technological prowess
that would give firms an advantage. Rather, it was complementary assets such
as a sales force, a large installed base, and a service network that could give a
firm an advantage. Juniper had none of these tight complementary assets. Its
core capability was technological. Engaging Cisco in a fight where Cisco dominated and had the core complementary assets would probably not be advisable.
Rather, it might be more advisable for Juniper to concentrate its efforts where
its core capabilities laidthe more attractive core and edge router markets.
Summary
Appraising a business model helps a firm to make choices. It tells a firm how
good its business model is compared to that of competitors or how good alternative business models under different scenarios can be. More importantly, it
enables a firm to understand which components and linkages of its business
model are weak or strong compared to those of competitors. With this information, a firm can keep building a better business model. Like most models,
this appraisal model is static in that it appraises a business model at a point in
time. It does not say much about what todays good business model may look
like tomorrow.
We used the Juniper Networks case to illustrate how a business model might
be appraised. Appraisal suggested that, in 2000, Juniper had a viable business
model. Since the firm is in a fast-changing industry, its competitive environment might change, necessitating changes in the business model.
Key Terms
business model
component
measures, 162
extendibility of
capabilities, 165
Discussion
Question
1. What do you consider the most important thing gained from appraising a
business model?
profitability
measures, 161
profitability predictor
measures, 161
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Notes
183
1. C. K. Prahalad and G. Hamel, The Core Competences of the Corporation, Harvard Business Review, MayJune 1990, pp. 7991.
2. Ciscos European Consultant, Business Week, March 20, 2000.
3. Interview with Muayyad Al-Chalabi, November 14, 2000.
4. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, Two Years of Stunning Growth, October
13, 2000.
5. Cowen Securities, Inc., Key Takeaways form RHKs STARTRAX2000
Conference, November 16, 2000.
6. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, Two Years of Stunning Growth.
7. Interview with Muayyad Al-Chalabi, December 13, 2000.
8. Interview with Muayyad Al-Chalabi, November 14, 2000.
9. Juniper: Fresh Competitor? Fresh Meat? Fortune, May 15, 2000.
10. Silicon India, April 2000 Pradeep Sindhu
11. Start-up Snags $40M in a Bid to Redefine Routers, Electronic Engineering Times, September 1, 1997.
12. Juniper: The Upstart Thats Eating Ciscos Lunch, Business Week Online, September 11, 2000.
13. Ibid.
14. Technology Guru Scott Kriens of Juniper Networks Named 2000 E&Y
EOY, Business Wire, November 13, 2000.
15. Ibid.
16. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Analyst Report, October 13, 2000.
17. Juniper: The Upstart Thats Eating Ciscos Lunch, Business Week Online, September 11, 2000.
18. Mountain-View, Calif.-Based Juniper Kicks Off Internet Roto Routers,
San Jose Mercury News, September 21, 1998.
19. Juniper: The Upstart Thats Eating Ciscos Lunch, Business Week Online, September 11, 2000.
20. Mountain-View, Calif.-Based Juniper Kicks Off Internet Roto Routers,
San Jose Mercury News, September 21, 1998.
21. Lehman Brothers Analyst Report, October 16, 2000.
22. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Analyst Report.
23. Technology Guru Scott Kriens of Juniper Networks Named 2000 E&Y
EOY, Business Wire, November 13, 2000.
24. Lehman Brothers Analyst Report.
25. www.zdnet.co.uk/pcmag/tinas/1999/41.html.
26. Interview with Muayyad Al-Chalabi, November 14, 2000.
27. Technology Guru Scott Kriens of Juniper Networks Named 2000 E&Y
EOY, Business Wire, November 13, 2000.
28. Lehman Brothers Analyst Report.
29. Juniper: The Upstart Thats Eating Ciscos Lunch, Business Week Online, September 11, 2000.
30. Lehman Brothers Analyst Report.
31. Lehman Brothers, MSDW, Dain Rauscher Weiss Analyst Reports.
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32. Companies & Finance: Shooting Star Juniper in Race Against Time,
Financial Times London, March 28, 2000.
33. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, Two Years of Stunning Growth, Juniper
Equity Research Report, October 13, 2000.
34. John A. Byrne, The Corporation of the Future, Business Week, August
2431, 1998.
35. Andy Serwer, Theres Something about Cisco, Fortune, May 15, 2000.
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Chapter Ten
Competitive and
Macro Environments
So far in this book, we have focused on business models and the Internet, only
sparingly referring to the environment in which firms and their business models must operate. But as we pointed out in Chapter 1, a firms profitability
rests as much on its business model as on its environment. In this chapter we
explore the role of a firms environment in determining its business model and
profitability (see Figure 10.1). In particular, we explore the impact of the
Internet on the competitive and macro environments of a firm and the resulting consequences for business models.
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Internet
Performance
Environment
Competitive
Five forces
Industry drivers
Co-opetitors and
industry dynamics
Macro
Impact of Internet
(1)
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also on the quantities that they can sell. An industry in which suppliers and buyers have bargaining power, and in which rivalry, the threat of new entry, and
the power of substitutes are high, is said to be unattractive because, on the
average, the industrys profits are low.
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Suppliers
As we saw earlier, suppliers in an industry may be powerful enough to extract
the industrys profits through high input prices or low-quality inputs. One
source of this power is the information that suppliers may have on their products, prices, and costs that no one else has. The better informed that firms are
about their suppliers and the products they are buying, the better their bargaining position. The World Wide Web equalizes this firm-supplier bargaining power
somewhat because it reduces the information asymmetry that often exists
between firms and their suppliers. Information on products, prices, and firms is
more available to more people. For example, by accessing one of many websites, a potential car buyer can obtain detailed information on cars, their prices,
and financinginformation that was once the main source of power for car
dealers. The result is that firms have more power over their suppliers, all else
being equal. The distribution channel property means that more suppliers can
reach industry firms than could do so before the Internet. For example, a software developer whose products were shunned by computer dealers (stores) can
now post its products on the Web. This effectively increases the number of suppliers, giving more power to industry firms (their customers). The universality
property has a dual effect. On the one hand, it means that firms in one region
do not have to depend as much on local firms for supplies as they did before the
Internet. Firms can solicit bids from suppliers worldwide. On the other hand, it
also means that suppliers can sell their products to more firms worldwide.
Customers
For the same reasons why the Internet gives more power to firms over their
suppliers, it also gives more bargaining power to customers over firms. Customers have more information on firms products, prices, and costs; more firms
compete for customers attention; and distribution costs are lower, allowing
more firms to reach customers. However, the mediating technology nature of
the Internet suggests that the relationship between customers and firms is much
more than analogous to that between suppliers and firms. Mediating technologies usually have more than one type of customer who is interdependent through
the mediating firm. Consider a newspaper, for example. It has customers who
buy the paper for the news, and customers who buy the advertising space to
sell their products or services to those who read the newspaper. Effectively,
the newspaper is a medium of exchange for the two groups of customers.4 The
larger a newspaper audience, the more power the newspaper has over advertisers. The network externality property also suggests that for certain applications, firms with large networks have some bargaining power since the larger
the network, the less likely customers are to switch.
Rivalry
Recall that rivalry between existing firms may result in price wars that lower
their prices, or advertising and promotion wars that increase their costs. Both
result in lower profits for firms in the industry. For many products, the advent
of the Internet means more rivalry. Why? Well, look at book retailing. A local
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bookseller used to face competition only from its bricks-and-mortar neighbors whose stores were located in the same or neighboring towns. With the
Internet, the number of competitors increases rapidly because local customers
can now buy from Web sellers, which greatly increases rivalry. The universality property also has two opposing effects. On the one hand, competitors
can come from anywhere in the world. This increases rivalry. On the other
hand, the market is also the whole world, which decreases rivalry since there
is a larger pie to be shared.
Threat of New Entrants
Recall that the threat of new entrants forces incumbents to charge less for their
products or take costly steps to keep them out. The result is that incumbent
profits are lower. Such a threat is reduced if potential new entrants have little
information available about incumbents, their products, costs, and prices. Potential new entrants would enter the new industry if they believe that they stand to
make money in it. Making such a determination entails knowledge of incumbent costs and prices. Again, where the Web makes such information available
to potential new entrants, the threat of entry increases and potentially reduces
profits for incumbents. The threat of new entry also increases where the Internet serves as a distribution channel for some products. Consider, for example,
a software developer who, prior to the Internet, had no chance of getting shelf
space at computer and software retailers. With the Internet, all the developer
has to do is develop the software and post it on the Web for customers. This
increases the number of firms that can enter the industry. The universality property also suggests that the threat of new entrants increases since a firm from Bali
is as likely to sell software to customers in Tokyo as one from Tokyo itself or
one from Boston.
Finally, since the Internet is a low cost standard, the threat of new entry
looms large for nearly all industries whose barriers to entry rest on some form
of mediating technology. These range from telephone long-distance service to
newspapers to television, radio, and financial services.
Substitutes
Substitute products or services reduce demand by providing buyers with alternative products. The Internet increases this possibility because it offers more
information on the prices and attributes of substitutes and the extent to which
they can substitute for industry products, making it easier for customers to
find and use these substitutes. For substitutes that can be distributed over the
Internet, the threat to industry firms is even higher. The universality property
also suggests that there are more of such substitutes because makers of substitutes from all over the world can participate.
Complementors
Complementors are firms that produce complementary goods and services
for industry products. For example, gasoline makers are complementors to the
automobile industry because gasoline is a complementary product essential to
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enter the industry were inexpensive and readily available. There was no clear
product differentiation; strong brand loyalties were yet to be established. There
was no fear of retaliation since this was a new industry with no incumbents.
Suppliers
Suppliers were the owners of communications infrastructure, makers of
hardware and software, and the providers of content (e.g., entertainment,
e-commerce, information, and communications) such as Disney, Playboy, and
news networks (see Chapter 2). Some of these suppliers had their own ISPs,
demonstrating a credible threat of forward vertical integration into ISPs. They
were also relatively less fragmented than the thousands of ISPs in business in
1998. Effectively, suppliers of content had bargaining power over ISPs while
suppliers of equipment such as hardware and software did not.
Buyers
Buyers in 1998 were the businesses and individuals that used the Internet.
Since the service ISPs provided was undifferentiated with little switching
costs, customers had the bargaining power.
Rivalry
In 1998 the Internet service provider industry was highly fragmented, with
over a thousand ISPs and no sign of a slowdown of entry (see Chapter 2). The
service offerings were still largely undifferentiated with low switching costs.
On the other hand, the industry was experiencing high growth. Competition
also tended to be regional; for example, ISPs that served Ann Arbor might not
serve Los Angeles. Overall, despite the high industry growth and regional competition, rivalry was high.
Substitutes
In 1998 customers used ISPs to communicate and access information,
e-commerce, entertainment, and community. Many customers still had plenty
of alternative ways to satisfy these needs at low cost. The telephone and traditional hard-copy mail still allowed customers to communicate inexpensively. Television and theaters still provided entertainment while bricks-andmortar stores still supplied low-cost shopping alternatives.
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appropriate strategic actions, make the industry more attractive for itself by
influencing the competitive forces in it. For example, this analysis suggests
that the service offered by ISPs in 1998 was, on average, undifferentiated.
Thus, firms could differentiate themselves, for example, by building strong
brands. AOL has taken several strategic steps to differentiate its service,
including building a brand name. Since a critical success driver in the ISP
industry is network size, AOL has also taken strategic steps to build loyal subscribers in a larger network. Brand and membership loyalty can help AOL
stand out in the ISP market. Thus, a five forces analysis allows a firm to ask
itself the following questions:
What can we do to moderate rivalry in this industry?
What can we do to reduce the viability of substitutes?
How can we create and maintain barriers to entry?
What can we do to increase our power over buyers and suppliers?
In general, firms should be asking, If the Internet has caused power to shift
from suppliers to firms and from firms to customers, what strategic steps must
we undertake to prosper from these shifts? The answers to these questions
should be incorporated in the firms business model.
In any case, our five forces analysis of the industry so far has two major shortcomings. First, it sees suppliers and customers as competitors over whom firms
fight to gain bargaining power. But we know that suppliers and customers are
more than just competitors. Second, the analysis is static because it considers
industry attractiveness at a particular point in the life cycle of the industry.
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their U.S. and European competitors in the 1980s came from cooperative relations with suppliers.7
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Impact on Performance
A firms macro environment indirectly impacts its performance by influencing the competitive environment and business models. As we indicated earlier, it does so by impacting the industry environment; that is, the properties
of the Internet may suggest, for example, that the retail book industry is a
good candidate for transformation and that anyone anywhere can start an
online retail bookstore to sell to customers anywhere in the world. But it still
takes a certain kind of environment to launch an Amazon.com. In other
words, some environments are more conducive to innovation than others.9 We
consider four attributes of such environments: (1) a system that provides
financial support and rewards for innovation; (2) a culture that tolerates failure; (3) the presence of related industries, universities, and other research
institutions; and (4) government policies.10
Financial Support and Rewards: IPOs and Venture Capital
Money still talks, even on the Internet. It takes money to finance Internet
activities. Many entrepreneurs or employees are attracted to the Internet by
expected future earnings. Thus, an environment that provides both would be
more conducive to Internet businesses than others. Lets start with the reward
system, which differs from country to country. In the United States, for example, the rewards for innovation can be astronomical. These rewards come in
several forms. First, as we described in Chapter 8, there is the initial public
offering (IPO) in which firms sell their stock to the public for the first time.
In one day, following one to five years work, an entrepreneur can become a
billionaire while many others see their personal wealth go up by millions of
dollars. A firm can also push up its net worth by spinning off an entrepreneurial unit and offering its stock for purchase. Expectation of such rewards
can be an excellent incentive to start new Internet businesses and work hard
at them. Money raised in IPOs and subsequent stock valuations can be a valuable resource for pursuing a strategy. As James H. Clark, cofounder and former chairman of Netscape, explained, Without IPOs, you would not have
any start-ups. IPOs supply the fuel that makes these dreams go. Without it,
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you die.11 Internet firms, such as Amazon.com and many others, did not even
have to be making a profit at the IPO date. Unfortunately, not all environments offer such rewards and sources of financing. In Japan, for example,
firms must show several years of decent profits in order to be listed on that
countrys over-the-counter (OTC) market.12 That can take as many as 10 years
compared to 5 or less in the United States, and even less in 1998 and 1999 for
Internet-based IPOs.
The availability of venture capital, partly a result of the expectations of
financial rewards, also plays a critical role in Internet business formation. By
making money available for projects that banks and other financing sources
would normally consider too risky, venture capitalists allow firms to be more
daring in their pursuit of new ideas. Some entrepreneurs use personal or family savings or loans from friends to finance their innovations, again in anticipation of the rewards. Anticipation of such rewards, coupled with readily
available venture capital, allows more people to search for more innovative
ideas. Many of those who succeed usually reinvest in other innovation-searching
activities.
Culture That Tolerates Failure
Many start-up firms never get to the payoff at an IPO, or they fail right after
it. For several reasons, such failures stop neither the entrepreneurs nor the
venture capitalists who finance the innovations from founding other start-ups.
First, those who fail learn in the process and that can improve their chances
of doing well the next time around. They acquire competencies that can be
used to tackle another innovation. Even if all they learn is what not to do next
time, that can be useful too. Second, venture capital firms have seen many
failures before and have found ways to reduce their risk, for example, by
offering management expertise to ventures. Moreover, some of the venture
capital comes from entrepreneurs who had succeeded only after having failed
earlier. During their stints in Silicon Valley, the authors do not remember seeing anyone point a finger at a person and say, Thats an entrepreneur who
failed. Whereas in Europe bankruptcy laws are harsh and entrepreneurs who
fail are stigmatized, in the Silicon Valley, bankruptcy is seen almost as a sign
of prowessa dueling scar.13 In general, firms in the United States, be it in
New York Citys Silicon Alley or Californias Silicon Valley, have these conditions in their favor.
Presence of Related Industries, Universities, and
Other Research Institutions
The environment constitutes a very important source of innovations. Since
tacit technological and market knowledge is transferred best by personal
interaction, local environments that are good sources of innovation can make
it easier for local firms to recognize the potential of an innovation. The presence of related industries is an example; being close to suppliers or complementary innovators increases a firms chances of picking up useful ideas
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from them. Amazon.coms founder Jeff Bezos went west where he could
find a large number of computer software developers and be located close to
book distributors.
The proximity of universities or other research institutions helps innovation in two ways. First, these institutions train personnel who can go on to
work for firms or found their own firms. From Yahoo! founded by graduate
students at Stanford to Netscape started by students from the University of
Illinois, examples abound. The knowledge that they acquire gives them the
absorptive capacity to assimilate new ideas from competitors and related
industries. Second, scientific publications from the basic research often act as
a catalyst for investment by firms in applied research.
Government Policies
Finally, governments play a critical roledirect or indirectin creating environments conducive to innovation.14 The direct role may be in sponsoring
research at the National Institutes of Health or the Defense Department. The
Internet itself traces its roots to the Defense Departments DARPA project.
More important, the U.S. government sponsored research in computer science and communication networks while training hundreds of thousands of
people in electrical engineering and computer science who now fill Internet
business jobs.
The governments indirect role is in regulation and taxation. Lower capital
gains taxes or other regulations that allow firms to keep more of what they
earn allow them to spend more on innovation. Taxing e-commerce can have a
huge impact on the Internet. Other regulations also can be critical. In July
1999, for example, Internet signatures were not available; that is, people
could not sign documents over the Internet. This meant that people still had
to personally deliver documents or send them by snail mail to be signed.
Making signatures delivered over the Web legal could increase the use of the
Web. Government laws on intellectual property protection also influence the
effectiveness of block strategies.
Summary
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that industry is, but more importantly, it tells the firm what this industry has
that makes it attractive or unattractive. With this information, a firm can
take the necessary strategic steps, in building its business model, to make
the industry more attractive for itself. By developing more content, building
a large network of subscribers, and establishing a brand name, AOL made
an otherwise unattractive ISP industry more attractive for itself. An analysis of industry success drivers provides firms with key information that they
can use in making decisions about business model components and linkages. In understanding how the macro environment can shape the extent to
which an industry can profit from the Internet, firms in that industry can do
something about the macro environment. For example, automakers are not
allowed to sell cars directly to customers in the United States; they have to
sell their products through dealers. But they might choose to lobby to scrap
these laws so that they can better exploit the Internet. An industry analysis
also has implications for policy makers: They can know better what kinds of
macro environments they must create to make firms in their jurisdictions
more innovative. For example, countries with low financial reward systems
for Internet entrepreneurs and little or no venture capital may find it difficult to compete with the United States, which has a generous reward system
and plenty of venture capital. Therefore, policy makers in other countries
may want to find ways to change their environments.
Key Terms
Discussion
Questions
1. Name an industry in which new entrants have an advantage over incumbents. What factors allow them to have this advantage?
2. How might the Internet be different if it had been developed commercially
instead of by the government?
3. Which properties of the Internet increase industry rivalry?
4. Name an industry that was created as a result of the Internet. What
traditional industries could be threatened by this emerging industry?
Why? Be specific.
5. Give examples of co-opetitors. Why do they cooperate? How do they
compete?
6. Why do e-business hotbeds such as Silicon Valley emerge? What contributes to their formation?
7. Give an example of an instance when offering customer value is a necessary but insufficient condition for a firms profitability.
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Chapter Eleven
The General Manager
and the Internet
A general manager can be a chief executive officer (CEO), president, chief
operating officer (COO), vice president, director, administrator, product line
manager, profit center manager, or any other person who is responsible for the
performance of an organization that has more than one functional area. This
executives primary responsibility is to guide his or her organization to meet
its performance goals and mission or, better still, to attain and maintain a competitive advantage. In the face of the Internet, the general managers responsibility includes using the new technology to reinforce an existing competitive advantage or to gain and maintain a new one. The extent to which he or
she can meet this challenge is a function of three factors: (1) whether the firm
is an incumbent or a pure-play Internet new entrant, (2) the formulation and
execution of a good strategy, and (3) the characteristics of the general manager. We explore these three factors.
We begin by defining competitive advantage and explaining why it is an
important performance goal of many firms. Then we explore the characteristics of incumbents or so-called legacy or bricks-and-mortar firms that must
adopt the Internet, and those of new entrant or so-called pure-play Internet
firms. In the face of the Internet, each exhibits some characteristics that make
managing it a challenge. Next, we examine the process of formulating and
implementing an Internet strategy that entails answering four important questions:1 Where is the firm now as far as the Internet is concerned? Where does
the firm go next? How does it get there? How does it implement the decisions
to get there? Finally, we examine some traits that would serve a general manager well in the face of the Internet.
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Thus, we say that a firm has a competitive advantage over its rivals if it earns
a higher rate of profits than those rivals or has the potential to do so.3 Why is
having a competitive advantage so important? First, investors are more likely
to invest in firm A than in firm B if A is more profitable than B, even if both
A and B are profitable. There are three types of investors here: the equity
investors who prefer the better price-earnings (P/E) ratios, cash flows, profit
margins, or business model attribute; suppliers who extend lines of credit, or
debtors; and potential employees who would rather work for a winner. Second, during bad times for an industry, firms with a competitive advantage are
more likely to survive than those with a disadvantage. During such times, the
industry is less profitable, making it more likely that marginal firms that made
money in good times will lose money. With fewer investors likely to invest in
them, their chances of being forced out of business are higher. A general managers primary responsibility, then, is to develop and sustain a competitive
advantage for his or her organization. How successful the manager is in doing
so is a function of the type of firm.
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market, but the IBM name helped it gain a huge market share as soon as it
entered the PC market. In making acquisitions or entering strategic alliances,
useful complementary assets are an important part of what the general manager of an incumbent firm brings to the table in any negotiating process.
Technology Is Easy to Imitate Another thing that incumbents have going for
them is that parts or the whole of an Internet business model are usually easy
to imitate or outdo. Although Merrill Lynch was late to adopt the Internet, it
still was able to develop and execute a good business model. The complementary assets model presented in Chapter 5 suggests that if technology is
easy to imitate and complementary assets are important and difficult to get,
owners of complementary assets are usually the firms that make money from
the technology. Thus, incumbents have an advantage in industries where incumbents have the important complementary assets and the Internet technology is
easy to imitate.
Potential Disadvantages for Incumbents 4
Certain characteristics of incumbents make them particularly vulnerable in
some areas to new entrants in the face of the Internet. Many of the characteristics served these firms well prior to the Internetin some cases they were the
cornerstones of their competitive advantagebut are now useless or may have
become handicaps. If an incumbent has a chance to defend or maintain its
competitive advantage in the face of the Internet, it must pay particular attention to these advantages-turned-handicaps and find ways to overcome them.
Dominant Managerial Logic Each manager brings to each decision a set of
biases, beliefs, and assumptions about the market served by the firm, whom to
hire, who the firms competitors are, what technology to use to remain competitive, and how to develop and execute a business model.5 This set of biases,
assumptions, and beliefs is a managers managerial logic. It defines the
frame within which a manager is likely to scan for information and approach
problem solving. It is the mental model that a manager brings to each decision. Depending on a firms strategies, systems, technology, organizational
structure, culture, and record of success, there usually emerges a dominant
managerial logic, a common way of viewing how best to do business as a
manager in the firm. The longer a management team has been at the company
and in the industry, and the more successful the firm has been, the more dominant and pervasive the managerial logic.
In relatively stable environments or in the face of competence-enhancing
changes, dominant managerial logic can be a competitive weapon because it
is business as usual, and management has the capabilities in place which, combined with its dominant logic, reinforce or extend the firms competitive advantage. However, in the face of radical or disruptive change, dominant managerial
logic can have disastrous consequences. It prevents managers from understanding the rationale behind the new technologyfrom getting it. And when
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they eventually do get it, they still have difficulty in carrying out their new
functions efficiently because managers imbued with the dominant logic tend
to think and act as if it were business as usual, and they fight to maintain the
status quo.6
Competency Trap Even if management overcomes its dominant logic handicap and sees a disruptive change for what it is and decides to exploit it, the
same capabilities that may have given a competitive advantage to a firm can
become a handicap.7 For example, an important part of Wal-Marts bricksand-mortar capabilities is in logisticsits ability to move goods into and out
of its large distribution centers to the shelves in its retail stores. Online retailing requires a completely different logistics systemone that can efficiently
sort out single item orders, package them, and deliver single packages to individual households on time with few errors. A competency trapan inability
to shed old successful ways of doing things and to embrace new onescan
occur because of several reasons. The firms managers may not want to spend
so much money building a new logistics system when they believe that the
firm already has one. Their dominant bricks-and-mortar logic may prevent them
from seeing the differences in the requirements of the two types of retailing.
Also, they cannot ditch the old logistics system because they still need it for
bricks-and-mortar activities. Moreover, it takes more than the decision alone
to build a new logistics system that will be successful. It also requires building and developing the capabilities to integrate it into the firms retail system
and running it. But doing this requires skills, knowledge, and routines which
the firm must learn. Learning in the face of a disruptive change, however, usually requires unlearning the old ways of doing things first.8 Anyone who has
had to break longtime personal habits or routines knows how difficult it is to
unlearn old ways of doing things. Thus, in the face of the Internet, old capabilities not only are sometimes rendered obsolete, but also become a handicap to
performing some value configuration activities.
Fear of Cannibalization and Loss of Revenue Sometimes the Internet renders a firms existing products/services noncompetitive. The new product/
service often offers better customer value than the old one. Offering these new
products means the cannibalization of existing ones since fewer customers
would buy the older product. The fear of cannibalizing existing products often
makes firms reluctant to adopt technologies such as the Internet that render
existing products/services noncompetitive. An increasing number of managers
are, however, beginning to realize that if their firms do not perform cannibalization themselves, someone else will do it for them and they will miss out on
both the old and new revenues.
Channel Conflict The Internet renders some existing distribution channels
and some sales skills obsolete. In that case, channel conflict often occurs
because existing sales forces and the distributors fight hard against the new
channel rather than see their revenues go to the new channel. Consider the pop-
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them what they arehave such strong emotional attachments to the existing technology that they will delay adoption of the Internet. For example,
some of Intels managers were reluctant to get out of the DRAM (Dynamic
Random Access Memory) business and concentrate on microprocessors.13 They
were emotionally attached to DRAMs, which Intel had invented and from which
it had, for a while, earned a lot of money.
Overcoming the Disadvantages
For the general manager, the most important question is a simple one: How
can he or she overcome these disadvantages while exploiting the advantages?
Genetic Mix C. K. Prahalad and Gary Hamel wrote that firms need some
kind of genetic mix in their management if they are to overcome the dominant logic problem and exploit new opportunities.14 A firm whose management is made up entirely of electrical engineers is more likely to miss out on
disruptive marketing changes than one that has a mix of engineers and marketers, all else being equal. The goal is to find people with complementary skills
who share the overall objectives and mission of the firm.
S3PE A genetic mix of people in a company is only one of the elements of
the strategy, structure, systems, people, and environment (S3PE) system. Many
of the disadvantages that incumbents face can be mitigated by the right S3PE
system. At 3M, for example, at least 25 percent of a divisions sales in any given
year must be from products introduced within the last five years.15 Resources
are then allocated to back the expectations: Employees are expected to spend
15 percent of their workweek on anything they want, so long as it is product
related. Employees who come up with a viable product are given grants to pursue the idea. An environment as vibrant as the Silicon Valley is likely to keep
a firm on its toes and reduce its chance of lapsing into complacency. Employees are constantly reminded of why paying attention to change is good.
Separate Entity One way to avoid the problems of dominant managerial
logic, emotional attachment, political power, co-opetitor power, and the competency trap is to form a separate unit that is organizationally and physically
separated from the incumbent but is still a unit within the firm. Another is to
go even further and create a separate start-up company. A separate company
attracts more talent who prefer to work in the entrepreneurial environment of
a start-up and earn the rights to the potential payoff at the IPO. Moreover,
given the valuations of dot.com companies relative to their bricks-and-mortar
competitors in the late 1990s and 2000, a separate legal entity could raise
much more and cheaper capital through an IPO. A key decision for the general manager is whether to keep the Internet unit within the firm or spin it off
as a separate unit. Charles Schwab created a separate unit and later reabsorbed
it. General Electric decided to have its own units cannibalize themselves. The
company did not see why there should be different Internet units within GE
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undergo a strategic management process, that is, to answer the four strategy
formulation and implementation questions: Where is the firm now concerning the Internet? Where does the firm go next? How does it get there? How
does it implement the decisions to get there?
Business Model
Change
Evolution of Internet
Strategic change
Macro changes
Performance
Environment
Competitive analysis
Appraisal of competitors business models
Porters five forces
Likely actions and reactions of competitors
Industry value drivers
What are the major drivers of cost
and differentiation?
How has the Internet impacted them?
Macro environment
Economic, social, demographic,
and political forces
Opportunities and threats
Evaluate current
performance
Does firm have a
sustainable competitive
advantage?
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Performance Evaluation
Profitability Measures The analysis of where a firm is now starts with an evaluation of the firms performance. It explores such basic questions as, How profitable is the firm? What are its cash flows? What are the firms profit margins,
market share, and revenue share growth rate? (Recall that profit margins, market share, and revenue share growth can be predictors of future profitability for
knowledge-based products.) For bricks-and-mortar firms facing attack from
new entrants, the question might be: How much market share is being captured by the attackers? The bottom line is whether the firm has a competitive
advantage and, if so, whether it is sustainable.
Intellectual Capital Rather than assess a firms performance using profitability measures, a general manager may also want to pay attention to its market
valuations. Table 11.1 shows the differences between the book values and market values of a sample of leading firms. Two things stand out. First, the differences between book value and market value are very large. Second, the differences vary considerably from firm to firm. In any case, what each difference
says is that there is something about each firmabout its competitive and
macro environments and, above all, something about its business modelthat
makes investors believe that its future free cash flows and profits will be
higher than its book value. The differences say that there is something about
each firm, other than the assets on its books, that makes investors believe that
it will be profitable enough or generate enough free cash flows to be worth
that much. This something, as we suggested in Chapter 8, has been called
intellectual capital, intangible assets, human capital, or knowledge. Thus,
Ciscos intellectual capital in March 1999 was $159 billion while that of General Motors, a company with about 20 times Ciscos revenues, was only $49
billion. Amazon.coms intellectual capital is more than 20 times that of its
bricks-and-mortar foe Barnes & Noble. Rather than dismiss other firms valTABLE 11.1
General Motors
Ford
Cisco
Amazon.com
Barnes & Noble
1998 Revenues
($ millions)
1998 Profits
($ millions)
Market
Value (MV)
($ millions)
$161,315
144,416
8,458
610
3,006
$2,956
22,071
1,350
125
92
$63,839
70,881
166,615
22,383
2,045
Book
Value (BV)
($ millions)
Intellectual
Capital
MV BV
($ millions)
$14,984
23,409
7,106
139
679
$48,855
47,472
159,209
22,244
1,366
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Macro Environment Recall that an environment with a good financial support and reward system for entrepreneurs, a culture that tolerates failure, the
right co-opetitors, and innovation-friendly government policies is more conducive to innovation than an environment that is void of these elements. An
analysis of the macro environment should include an examination of the strength
of the environment in each of these factors. Government policies and rulings
on patents and other intellectual property issues related to the Internet should
be carefully analyzed. This has an impact on whether a firm pursues a block
strategy or not. Demographic, sociological, political, and legal trends should
also be surveyed. Particular attention should be given to legislation that affects
the Internet. Increasingly, the natural environment also plays a critical role and
its potential impact on the Internet should be examined too.
Change
There are three external sources of change: the Internet, competitors, and the
macro environment.
The Evolving Internet Recall that technology usually evolves from an early
phase through a growth phase to a stable phase, and each phase requires different capabilities and strategies. In many industries the Internet is in the early
or the growth phase. Also recall that over the life cycle of the automobile industry, more than 2,000 companies were started in the United States. The catchword that had to be in each companys name was motor just as in the growth
phase of the Internet the catchword was dot.com.16 In 2000 there were just
two major automobile companies left in the United States. Along the way, all
the horse-driven cart companies that the automobile firms replaced also disappeared. The point is that eventually most of the existing dot.com companies will
exit their industries or merge with others. General managers must take this into
consideration as they explore the threats and opportunities that face their firms.
In focusing on the Internet, it is easy to forget about other technologies that
might complement a firms Internet strategy. Technologies such as wireless
communications can offer alternative or complementary infrastructures for
data communications.
Competitive Environmental Change Rivals are constantly changing their
strategies and such changes, especially new game strategies, have to be watched
very carefully. A firm is said to pursue a new game strategy if by performing
value chain, value shop, or value configuration activities that differ from what
the dominant logic of the industry dictates, or by performing the same activities differently than the logic dictates, the firm is able to offer superior customer value. Wal-Marts early strategies were new game strategies. It decided
to move into small towns, saturate adjoining towns with stores, build distribution centers, and improve logistics, with an empowering culture and information technology to match. This allowed Wal-Mart to achieve high economies
of scale and bargaining power over its suppliers. This in turn allowed the firm
to offer its customers lower prices than its competitors. Kmarts management
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did not pay attention to this new game strategy, which resulted in the firm being
overtaken by Wal-Mart. Kmart has never recovered.
Changes from Macro Environment Many changes from the macro environment have the potential to cripple even the best of strategies and must therefore be watched. Managers should note any changes in the environmental factors cited above as conducive to innovation. Potential changes in exchange
rates, especially unanticipated large ones, central bank policies that raise interest rates, and taxation laws, along with demographic and sociopolitical changes,
all have the potential to impact firm strategies. Managers should examine them
carefully for potential threats and opportunities. In particular, they should
examine the potential impact of changes in tax policies concerning the Internet.
This analysis of a firms current performance, appraisal of its business
model, appraisal of its competitors business models, analysis of industry attractiveness, assessment of its macro environment, projection of the evolution of
the Internet, and a forecast of its environmental changes is sometimes called
a strengths and weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis.17
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up, the firm may decide to be acquired rather than form a strategic alliance.
An AOL, for example, could develop the content alone or team up with a Disney to do so. It might also buy a Time Warner company that has the content.
By and large, getting there usually requires new capabilities. When a firm wants
to get somewhere but lacks the capabilities to do so, it is said to have a capabilities gap. To fill this gap, a firm usually must decide whether to develop the
capabilities internally or obtain them from outside. E. B. Roberts and C. A.
Berry developed a model that can be used to guide managers in their choice
of how to get the capabilities that they need.
Roberts and Berry Model
Offering new value to customers or assuming a new product-market position
usually requires both technological and marketing capabilities. The more unfamiliar firms are with the technology or market, the higher their risk of failure
since they will have a difficult time building the capabilities from scratch. Since
these capabilities take time to build, a firm may be better off teaming up with
another firm that has them. The Roberts and Berry model19 of Figure 11.2
depicts this. In other words, the mechanism that a firm uses to build the capabilities that it needs is a function of the extent to which it is familiar with the
technology and market. Roberts and Berry explored seven such mechanisms for
acquiring new capabilities: internal development, acquisitions, licensing, internal ventures, joint ventures, venture capital, and educational acquisitions.20
If the technology and market are familiar, the firm may be better off developing the innovation internally because it has the capabilities to do so. If the
market is new but familiar while the technology exists in the firm, the firm
can also pursue internal development since the required marketing capabilities build on existing ones and the firm already has the technological capabilities. Amazon.coms move from books, music, and videos to toys, auctions, and electronics is a good example. A similar strategy applies when the
technology is new but familiar, and the market is an existing one; that is, a
firm can also develop the technology internally since the required capabilities build on existing ones. In both cases, the firm can also buy the technology or license it from someone because it has the absorptive capacity to
assimilate it.
When the technology is familiar but the market is new and unfamiliar, a
joint venture becomes a very attractive mechanism. Why? Because, in a joint
venture, two or more firms set up a separate and legal entity that they own,
and pool their capabilities to achieve a common goal. Thus, a firm that is
familiar with the technology but not with the market can form a joint venture
with others that are familiar with the market. With their complementary capabilities, they can offer customer value to the market earlier while learning
from each other and building capabilities in the areas they lack.
When both the market and technology are new but familiar, a firm can use
other mechanisms such as internal ventures, acquisitions, and licensing. In an
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Joint venture
Internet market
capabilities
development
Existing
Market
Source: Adapted from: E. B. Roberts and C. A. Berry, Entering New Businesses: Selecting Strrategies for Success, Sloan Management Review 26,
no. 3 (1985), pp. 317.
Acquisition
Internal development
(or acquisition)
Venture capital
Venture capital
Educational acquisition
Educational acquisition
Internal ventures
Venture capital
Acquisitions
Educational acquisition
Licensing
Internal technological
capabilities
development
Strategic alliance
Acquisitions
Licensing
Existing
Technology
internal venture, a firm sets up a separate entity within itself to develop a new
product, usually employing those entrepreneurial individuals who would otherwise move out on their own to found a competing firm. A firm can also buy
another firm that has the capabilities that it needs. This gives it immediate
access to the necessary capabilities and it can start learning right away. Rather
than buy, a firm can also license the product from another firm.
When both the technology and market are new and unfamiliar to a firm, the
required capabilities are different from its existing capabilities. Roberts and
Berry suggested using venture capital and educational acquisitions. In venture
capital, a firm makes a minority investment in a young firm that has the capabilities (usually technological). In either case, by taking interest in the startup, the investing firm obtains a window on technology and markets, and can
learn. Educational acquisition is the purchase of a firm by another one for
the sole purpose of learning from it, not to keep it as a subsidiary. It is the
reverse engineering of an organizationbuy, open up, and learn from.
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Implementation
Deciding where a firm should go and how to get there is one thing. Implementing the decision is another. If an AOL has decided to add more content
and wants to develop it internally, the questions now include: How should the
organization that will develop the content be structured? Who will report to
whom? How will performance be measured and rewarded? Who should be
hired? The strategy, structure, systems, people, and environment (S3PE)
framework that we described when exploring the implementation component
of a business model applies here. If an AOL decides to team up with someone,
who should that be, who will stay where, and what type of employees will
each contribute to the team? Of particular interest for a manager facing the
Internet are two key points: the need to use information technology to better
manage people and its limitations.
Employee Needs and S3PE Fit
The Internet is about information and knowledge which means that the individuals who have this knowledge are extremely important. In designing organizational strategies, structures, and systems for a good S3PE fit, a firm needs
to know more about what makes each individual tick. Sure enough, on average, employees may want stock options in their firm. But there may be software engineers who would rather have their names in some part of the software so that their friends and relatives can access it and see that they actually
played a major part in developing the software. Moreover, what happens
when everyone offers stock options to their employees? The point is that managers need to know more about each employee in order to better decide to
whom they should report, how their performance is measured, and how that
performance is rewarded.
Physical Colocation
Many of the properties of the Internet indicate that distance is less of a constraint than it used to be for many activities. As general managers structure
their organizations, however, it is important for them to remember that certain
transactions may still require in-person physical interaction. Some kinds of
tacit knowledge are difficult to unstick and encode in a form that can be transmitted and received over the Internet. In pharmaceuticals, for example, doctors
can post data from the clinical testing of a new drug on a website for sharing
with other doctors, thus increasing the efficiency and speed of testing. This
can lead to faster approval of drugs for marketing by the Food and Drug Administration and an increase in a firms profits over the life of the drugs patent.
However, the Internet is no substitute for the informal exchange of ideas that
takes place over the water cooler, in the parking lot, in the cafeteria, and in
the hallways that is critical during pharmaceutical drug discovery. Physical
colocation is still critical for such R&D activities.21 To the extent that people
have emotions, it may also be a good idea to visit customers even if there is
a website that people use for transactions.22
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Champions
Champions are individualssometimes called advocates or evangelists or
entrepreneurswho take an idea (theirs or that of an idea generator) and do all
they can within their power to ensure its success.24 In the process, they risk their
position, reputation, and prestige. They actively promote the idea or business
model, inspiring others with their vision of its potential. Jeff Bezos, of Amazon.com, was a champion for his firm in the late 1990s and early 2000. Champions must be able to relate to the whole value configuration and therefore
require T-skills.25 (T-skills are deep expertise in one discipline combined with a
sufficiently broad knowledge in others to see the linkages between them.)
Despite frequent opposition, especially in the face of disruptive technologies
like the Internet, champions persist in their articulation and promotion of their
vision of the technology. They usually emerge from the ranks of the organization and cannot be hired and groomed for the purpose of being champions. By
evangelically communicating the vision of the potential of an innovation, a
champion can go a long way in helping an organization better understand the
rationale behind the innovation and its potential. General managers could benefit from having this characteristic. The other characteristic is being a sponsor.
Sponsors
Also called a coach or mentor, a sponsor is a senior-level manager who provides behind-the-scenes support, access to resources, and protection from
political foes. Such support and protection serve two purposes.26 First, in the
case of a bricks-and-mortar firm adopting the Internet, for example, a sponsors support sends a signal to political foes of the Internet that they are messing with a senior manager and sponsor. Second, it reassures the champion
and other key individuals that they have the support of a senior manager. Lee
Iacocca, former CEO of Chrysler, was the sponsor of the companys minivan.
Edward Hagenlocker, Fords vice president for truck operations, backed and
boosted funds for a radical new approach to designing new cars that was
instrumental to the success of Fords trucks such as the F-150.27
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Summary
Key Terms
cannibalization, 206
capabilities gap, 216
champions, 219
channel conflict, 206
competency trap, 206
competitive advantage,
203
complementary assets,
204
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Discussion
Questions
1. Why do incumbents have such a difficult time adopting radical technological changes?
2. When is an incumbent more likely to win an Internet race against new
entrants?
3. In the face of the Internet, what type of firm would you rather manage: an
incumbent or an attacker? Provide detailed evidence backing your choice.
4. It has been said that the best way to beat change is to change first. Does
this statement apply in the face of the Internet? Any industries in particular?
5. What areas of government regulation do you think would have the most
influence on the Internet: taxation of e-commerce, intellectual property
laws, or privacy laws?
6. In a firms Internet strategic management process, which of the four major
steps do you believe require the most attention from a general manager:
Where is the firm now as far as the Internet is concerned? Where does the
firm go next? How does it get there? How does it implement the decisions
to get there? Explain.
7. Apart from being sponsor and champion, what type of person do you
believe the general manager of a firm should be? Does the type of industry in which the person manages make a difference?
8. It has been said that with the Internet, geography no longer matters. Do
you agree or not? Explain.
Notes
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6. D. C. Hambrick, M. A. Geletkanycz, and J. W. Fredrickson, Top Executive Commitment to the Status Quo: Some Tests of Its Determinants,
Strategic Management Journal 14 (1993), pp. 40118.
7. D. Leonard-Barton, Wellsprings of Knowledge (Boston: Harvard Business
School Press, 1995).
8. Bettis and Prahalad, The Dominant Logic, pp. 514.
9. J. Pfeffer, Managing with Power: Politics and Influence in Organizations
(Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1992).
10. , Power in Organizations (Mansfield, MA: Pitman, 1981).
11. C. H. Ferguson and C. R. Morris, Computer Wars: How the West Can Win
in the Post-IBM World (New York: Time Books, 1993).
12. C. M. Christensen and J. L. Bower, Customer Power, Strategic Investment
and Failure of Leading Firms, Strategic Management Journal 17 (1996),
pp. 197218.
13. R. A. Burgelman, Fading Memories: The Process Theory of Strategic Business Exit in Dynamic Environments, Administrative Science Quarterly 38
(1994), pp. 2456.
14. Hamel and Prahalad, Competing for the Future, pp. 4971.
15. The General Mills, Hewlett-Packard, and 3M examples are based on a
homecoming speech given by General Millss CEO Steve Sanger at the University of Michigan Business School on October 26, 1995; S. Hickman,
General Mills Delivers Success Story, The Monroe Street Journal, October
30, 1995; K. Labich, The Innovators, Fortune, June 6, 1988, p. 49;
R. Mitchell, Masters of Innovation, Business Week, April 10, 1989, p. 58;
K. Kelly, 3M Run Scared? Forget about It, Business Week, September 16,
1991, pp. 5962; M. Loeb and T. J. Martin, Ten Commandments for Managing Creative People, Fortune, January 16, 1995.
16. For a fascinating account of the dynamics of technological change in the
automobile and other industries, see J. M. Utterback, Mastering the Dynamics of Innovation (Cambridge: Harvard Business School Press, 1994).
17. A. A. Thompson and A. J. Strickland, Strategic Management: Concepts
and Cases (Homewood, IL: Richard D. Irwin, 1990).
18. Hamel and Prahalad, Competing for the Future, pp. 129290.
19. S. C. Johnson and C. Jones, How to Organize for New Products, Harvard
Business Review, MayJune 1957, pp. 4962; E. B. Roberts and C. A. Berry,
Entering New Businesses: Selecting Strategies for Success, Sloan Management Review 26, no. 3 (1985), pp. 317.
20. Roberts and Berry, Entering New Businesses, pp. 317; see also M. H.
Meyer and E. B. Roberts, New Product Strategy in Small Technology-Based
Firms: A Pilot Study, Management Science 32, no. 7 (1986), pp. 80621.
21. T. Allen, Managing the Flow of Technology (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1984).
22. T. Peters, Liberation Management (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1992).
23. H. Mintzberg and J. B. Quinn, The Strategy Process: Concepts, Contexts
and Cases (New York: Prentice Hall, 1996).
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24. The concept of champions was first developed by D. A. Schn in his seminal article, Champions for Radical New Inventions, Harvard Business
Review 41 (1963), pp. 7786; see also J. M. Howell and C. A. Higgins,
Champions of Technological Innovation, Administrative Sciences Quarterly 35 (1990), pp. 31741; E. B. Roberts and A. R. Fusfeld, Staffing the
Innovative Technology-Based Organization, Sloan Management Review
(Spring 1981), pp. 1934.
25. M. Iansiti, Real-World R&D: Jumping the Product Generation Gap,
Harvard Business Review, MayJune 1993, pp. 13847.
26. Roberts and Fusfeld, Staffing the Innovative Technology-Based Organization, pp. 1934; M. A. Maidique, Entrepreneurs, Champions, and Technological Innovation, Sloan Management Review (Winter 1980), pp. 5976.
27. K. Naughton, How Fords F-150 Lapped the Competition, Business Week,
July 29, 1996, pp. 7475.
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Chapter Twelve
Sample Analysis of
an Internet Business
Model Case
1
AMAZON.COM: zSHOPS*
On May 15, 1997, Amazon.com completed one of the most successful initial
public offerings (IPOs) in history. Its success ushered in a new era in the Internet, the era of e-commerce (electronic commerce). As the market price continued to rise, many at Amazon became overnight millionaires, and Jeff Bezos, its
founder, a billionaire.
By October 1999, with Amazons market capitalization at $28 billion
substantially more than Sears, Roebuck & Co. and Kmart Corp. combined
Bezos needed to look at new products to maintain Amazons growth rate. The
company had added no new product categories that year until July, when it
opened toy and electronics shopping, and annual quarter-to-quarter growth
had slowed, to 7 percent from 33 percent the previous year. That growth rate
did not justify its market value (see Table 12.1).
*New York University Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Youngseok Kim, Myriam E.
Lopez, Suzanne Schiavelli, Heshy Shayovitz, and Steve Yoon developed this case under the
supervision of Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to
illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright
2001 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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TABLE 12.1
Amazon Timeline
Source: Seattle Times;
Amazon.com press releases.
July 1995
May 15, 1997
March 1998
June 11, 1998
August 4, 1998
November 16, 1998
March 29, 1999
July 1999
September 29, 1999
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Amazon.com
After graduating summa cum laude from Princeton in 1986, Jeff Bezos joined
FITEL, a high-tech start-up company in New York. Two years later Bezos
moved to the Bankers Trust Company, where he led the development of computer systems that helped manage more than $250 billion in assets. He became
the banks youngest vice president in February 1990. From 1990 to 1994, Bezos
helped build one of the most technically sophisticated and successful quantitative hedge funds on Wall Street for D. E. Shaw & Co., becoming their youngest
senior vice president in 1992. Bezos said that he had a quarter of the company
reporting to him at the time he came up with the idea for Amazon. He considered the consequences of pursuing the idea:
I projected out to being 80 years old and put myself in a regret-minimization
framework. Would I ever ask myself, Boy, what would my 1994 Wall Street
bonus have been? Not likely! But I could sincerely regret not doing this . . . 3
With that, he quit his job and drove west with his wife. At the time, he didnt
even know where to ship his furniture. As his wife drove, he tapped out Amazon.coms business plan on a laptop computer and lined up financing on his cell
phone. Eventually, he settled on Seattle, mainly because of its proximity to the
Roseburg, Oregon, warehouse of Ingram, the giant book distributor. Before
the truckload of his belongings arrived, Bezos and four software designers
had set up shop in his garage to create the foundations of their companys
website. His team spent a year developing database programs and creating the
website. Amazon.com opened its virtual doors for business in July 1995.4
Amazon.coms greatest strength may be that it was the first online bookseller armed with substantial capital from its IPO, impressive service (including innovations like 1-Click shopping), and a gigantic selection of titles
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TABLE 12.2
Amazon versus
Barnes & Noble:
Some Statistics
Source: Business Week,
December 14, 1998,
www.businessweek.com/
1998/50/b3608006.htm.
Number of stores
Titles per superstore
Book returns
Sales growth*
Sales per employee (annual)
Inventory turnovers per year
Long-term capital requirements
Cash flow
*Third quarter, 1998.
Amazon
1 website
3.1 million
2%
306%
$375,000
24
Low
High
1,011
175,000
30%
10%
$100,000
3
High
Low
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AMAZON.COM INC
Annual Income Statement
(in millions except EPS data)
Fiscal Year End for AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN) falls in the month of December.
Sales
Cost of goods
Gross profit
Selling and administrative, and depreciation
and amortization expenses
Income after depreciation and amortization
Nonoperating income
Interest expense
Pretax income
Income taxes
Minority interest
Investment gains/losses
Other income/charges
Income from continuing operations
Extras and discontinued operations
Net income
Depreciation Footnote:
Income before depreciation and amortization
Depreciation and amortization (cash flow)
Income after depreciation and amortization
Earnings Per Share Data (EPS):
Average no. of shares
Diluted EPS before nonrecurring items
Diluted net EPS
12/31/98
12/31/97
12/31/96
12/31/95
609.99
476.11
133.88
147.76
118.94
28.81
15.75
12.29
3.46
0.51
0.41
0.10
195.62
(61.74)
(36.15)
26.63
(124.54)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
(124.54)
58.02
(29.21)
1.90
0.28
(27.59)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
(27.59)
9.44
(5.98)
0.20
0.00
(5.78)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
(5.78)
0.41
(0.30)
0.00
0.00
(0.30)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
(0.30)
(49.67)
12.07
(61.74)
(24.47)
4.74
(29.21)
(5.69)
0.29
(5.98)
(0.29)
0.02
(0.30)
296.34
(0.25)
(0.42)
260.68
(0.10)
(0.10)
271.86
(0.02)
(0.02)
227.20
(0.00)
(0.00)
Bezos and company leveraged the brand to expand into more markets. In
November 1998, just before the start of the holiday shopping season, Amazon
introduced a video and gift section on its website. The video part of Amazon.com opened with 60,000 video titles and 2,000 digital videodisk (DVD)
offerings, providing direct competition for online stores like Reel.com. In
addition, several hundred gift items were added, ranging from Barbie dolls to
Nintendo video games. Most of the gift items were chosen because they
related either to what Amazon.com offered in books, music, or videos or
because they would appeal to [their] regular customers.8
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800
FIGURE 12.1
Sales ($ millions)
Amazons Annual
Sales
Source: Zacks Investment
Research.
600
400
200
0
1995
1996
1997
1998
Year
Hoping to counter eBays success in the online auction market (see the
eBay case in Part V of this book), Amazon introduced its own person-to-person
auction site in March 1999. The auction included many trust-building features
that made eBay such a success. In addition, the company reimbursed customers
up to $250 if they could prove they were victims of fraud or did not receive paidfor auction items. In July Amazon introduced another store to sell electronics.
Adding another piece to the companys strategy, Amazon built a massive,
$300 million, 5-million-square-foot warehouse in Fernley, Nevada, the first of
seven it was to open by the end of 2000. It then hired Wal-Marts logistics
chief, Jimmy Wright, as vice president and chief logistics officer. This hire
suggests that Bezos took seriously the challenges of establishing a powerful,
rapid supply and distribution network.
Amazons dream was to become a place where people can find not only
books, but everything. Amazon has defined e-commerce as we know it: 1-Click
shopping, customer reviews, online gift-wrappingAmazon has invented them
all. Amazon now offers 19 million items. Despite the huge number of items it
sold, Amazon realized that it could not sell everything. Thus, the idea for the
zShops emerged.
zShops
The zShops concept was a bazaar of online retailers who wanted to set up shop
under the Amazon umbrella. Amazon opened its website to these merchants
for a minimal fee. In return, the selling powerhouse gathered huge amounts of
information on consumer buying habits. Amazon expected to help these companies and to expand well beyond its base of books, CDs, and so forth.
The biggest benefit for Amazon was a steady cash flow without the costs
associated with a warehouse of products. Each online store paid a $9.99 monthly
fee, which was less than the average for such a service, and commissions of
1 percent to 5 percent in return for access to Amazons 12 million customers
(see Table 12.5). If the zShop chose to have Amazon process its billing, the
shop paid an additional 4.75 percent of the total sale. This arrangement also
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TABLE 12.4
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Amazon Properties
Source: www.companysleuth.com/askjeeves/index.cfm?INFO-AMZN.
Internet Domains
amazon-electronics.com
amazon500.com
book-ology.com
bookmatcher.com
amazontube.com
zpays.com
zdvds.com
amazonvideo.com
amazonelectronic.com
friend-click.com
zshop.com
prizewinners.com
amazontelevision.com
amazon-electronic.com
acimages.com
bookology.com
zshoppe.org
zsearchs.com
z-shoppe.net
filmlovers.com
Trademark No.
Description
75-775431
75-770523
75-765373
75-765372
75-765371
75-765370
75-765369
75-765367
75-765366
75-760190
75-755296
75-755295
75-755294
75-755292
75-755291
75-775431
75-770523
75-765373
75-765372
75-765371
Book-ology
zShops
Quickclick
Powerclick
First Bidder Discount
Crosslinks
Charitylinks
2-Click
0-Click
Crosslinks
Selling circles
Buying circles
Bidding circles
Auction circles
Purchase circles
Book-ology
zShops
Quickclick
Powerclick
First Bidder Discount
Patent No.
Description
5,963,949
229
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TABLE 12.5
Price Range for
Selected Companies
Source: Compiled from
each companys website,
www.msn.com,
www.ebay.com, and
www.amazon.com.
MSN:
eBay:
E-COMMERCE INDUSTRY
According to Forrester Research, consumer sales over the Internet would
increase to $184.0 billion by 2004 from $3.9 billion in 1998,9 and most major
merchants are trying to develop a business strategy that will ensure a dominant
position in this emerging marketplace. A few years ago Amazon had cyberspace largely to itself. Now the Internet was teeming with e-tailers. Buy.com,
for example, was programmed to scan Amazon.coms prices and automatically
undercut them.
Competitors
Online malls provided convenience, helping shoppers find an array of items
in a single place. Portals, including Yahoo!, America Online, Excite@Home,
MSN, and Lycos, were competing in this market with large customer bases
and different services, such as online wallets and shopping carts that let buyers pick and choose from multiple stores with minimal hassle. The performance of online malls had been mixed. Big merchants, from Eddie Bauer to
FAO Schwarz, continued to buy space, but Amazon was trying to put an end
to marketing tie-ins with Internet portal sites. America Online was among the
most successful online shopping destinations to that point, luring more than
1 million first-time shoppers in December 1998 alone and generating sales of
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$1.2 billion over the holiday season. Yahoos online mall rivaled Amazons,
with 7,000 stores and over 4 million items, including books, clothes, music, and
toys. In July 1999, Excite@Home bought iMall, a Santa Monica, California,
company that provided Web hosting and design services for the 2,000 small and
midsize merchants listed in its online mall.
Smaller sites were consolidating their listings and their users, seeking critical mass to build competencies against much larger players. Where the small
players would otherwise wither away in an unknown corner of cyberspace on
the Web, alliances offered customers many points of entry to a central location and represented a threat to Amazons zShops.
Threats
In reality, Amazon was having trouble with every one of its new categories. It
was getting clobbered in auctions by competitors: eBay had 3 million listings;
Yahoo!, nearly 4 million; Amazon, at last count, only 140,000. The electronics store launched in July 1999 was off to a bad start: Pioneer and Sony, two
of the biggest manufacturers, said they would not allow Amazon to sell their
products and they would take action against third-party dealers that tried to
sell their products through Amazons consumer electronics site. Amazons toy
shop had similar problems. Some manufacturers were either refusing to supply
Amazon or were in a test mode with the company. The lack of confidence
in Amazons distribution capability seemed to be the issue. Thus, the biggest
challenge for zShops was to attract top-tier, best-of-breed, name brands. Unless
it could promise a full range of merchandise, the appeal of the zShops would
be limited and could potentially hurt Amazons credibility.
With zShops, Amazon risked losing control over its famed customer relationship management. Seventy percent of Amazons revenues came from
repeat business because the company was famous for its customer service. But
now a retailerknown only by its online IDwas responsible for sending the
product ordered from Amazon.com. If there were any problem with the delivery,
Amazons reputation would surely suffer. The company said it was trying to
solve those problems, many of which were the growing pains of a new business.
It offered customer reviews of each zShop merchant. Amazon said it would guarantee merchandise up to $1,000 if it handled the credit card payment and up to
$250 if it did not. The risk to Amazon could be well worth it if the company
became the preeminent vault of information for Internet shopping habits.
Proponents said that just because Amazon could sell books online, it did
not mean it could sell everything else. Amazon had yet to turn a profit. However, at that time, Amazon could afford to make mistakes. In late 1999, it had
$1 billion in cash from its bond offering. So, even if the stock market continued to head south, Amazon would still be able to carry out its plans.
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as travel. The number of items that Wal-Mart can offer online will certainly
pale next to what Amazon with other merchants can sell, said Ken Cassar of
Jupiter Communications.10
But the jury is still out on the e-mall concept. Yahoo! and Excite had been
running online malls for some time, but the customers were not flocking in.
Online specialty foods purveyor Greatfood.com was part of zShops, but CEO
Ben Nourse conceded, I wonder if the mall strategy is the right one.11
Brand names are more important online than they are in the physical world,
Bezos once said.12 As Bezos sat looking at the plans for the warehouses being
built, he wondered if Amazon was risking too much. Amazons brand, positioning, and reputation could all be affected by how it implemented its diversification strategy. Should the company cut its losses and pursue other expansion
ideas, stick to the zShops concept, or try to focus on the categories in which it
was already established? A decision would need to be made soon if Amazon
was to exit this latest market.
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FIGURE 12.2
Purchasing
Procedure
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Companies, 2003
Customer
Amazon.com
233
zShops
3
1. Customer places order in Amazons zShops website.
2. Amazon processes order and notifies zShops stores.
3. zShops stores deliver the product directly to customer.
TABLE 12.6
Source: www.amazon.com/.
A. Hosting fee
B. Transaction commission
Order size:
Less than $25
$25 to $1,000
Over $1,000
C. 1-Click service fee
Finally, zShops allow Amazon to offer a very large number of products and
to become the premier shopping destination for online shoppers by exploiting
Amazons brand recognition and large and growing customer base.
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FIGURE 12.3
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235
Source: Mark J. Rowan, Amazon.com Inc., Prudential Securities Research Report, September 23, 1999, p.12.
250
90
Sales ($ millions)
200
80
70
60
150
50
40
100
30
20
50
10
0
FIGURE 12.4
1Q97 2Q97
Revenues ($ millions)
300
250
New customer
200
150
100
50
0
Repeat customer
1Q97 2Q97 3Q97 4Q97 1Q98 2Q98 3Q98 4Q98 1Q99 2Q99
Source: Mark J. Rowan, Amazon.com Inc., Prudential Securities Research Report, September 23, 1999, p.11.
books. These community features have been made possible by processing and
analyzing the data that have been obtained over a long period of time on the
purchasing behavior of customers. As an intermediary of every single transaction in the zShops network, Amazon will be able to accumulate and analyze customer behavior data in the much broader product range offered by the
zShops. The ability to provide better and more tailored information to the customer is likely to result in attracting and retaining an increased number of customers. For example, when a new PC camera is on sale in Amazons zShops
or in its proprietary electronics shop, Amazon could e-mail customers who
they believe might be interested in buying this product based on the customers purchasing history, thus fostering additional revenues for Amazon.
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237
FIGURE 12.5
Easy
Viability of the
zShops Strategy for
Amazon
II
Imitability
Difficult
II Holder of CA
III Inventor or holder of
bargaining power
Amazon
IV
III
Freely Available
or Unimportant
Tightly Held
and Important
IV Inventor
cal infrastructure are all necessary attributes that are difficult to replicate
and provide Amazon with an advantage. Not all of these attributes are pure
intellectual properties, but the company has protected those that are with
trademarks, patents, or trade secrets.
Complementary assets. The complementary assets necessary to create a
viable online mall are freely available. Thousands of potential zShops participants would benefit from a relationship with Amazon. These participants are powerless to demand more from the relationship than Amazon is
willing to provide because there are so many potential substitutes. It could
be argued, however, that Amazon should selectively seek relationships with
websites that already have some brand recognition, quality products, or other
attributes, which would enhance the power of zShops participants.
Summary. Low imitability combined with freely available complementary
assets places Amazons zShops model in quadrant IV bordering quadrant III
in Figure 12.5. Existence in quadrant IV implies that the inventor will be the
extractor of revenue from the invention. Therefore, Amazon is in a good
position to make money from the zShops concept. If we consider Amazons existence in quadrant III, the company is still in a good position to
extract revenue from the zShops concept because it is both the inventor and
the holder of superior bargaining power.
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Component
Customer value
Scope
Revenue source
Pricing
Connected activities
Capabilities
Sustainability
Implementation
Pure Retailer
High
High
Low
Low
Low
High
Low
High
Retailer Market-Maker
High
Medium
Medium
Medium
Low, or worse
High
Medium
High
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worse than low. However, if Amazon focuses more on the appropriate value
configuration activities, as discussed above, it may be possible to move
from an outlook of low value to something much better than that. Assuming that the company continues down its current path, we assign Amazon a
low value for both the pure retailer and the retailer + market-maker models.
Capabilities. As discussed in the section on the viability of zShops as part
of Amazons growth strategy, in both business models the company is providing a customer value that is higher than that of its competition. That is
difficult to imitate because of several factors, including expertise in product development, customers and customer needs, interfacing with personalization software, data collection and mining, protection of intellectual
property in terms of trademarks and patents (e.g., software and algorithms,
including 1-Click), brand name, and logistics. Thus, we expect Amazons
capabilities to remain at a high level with or without the zShops.
Sustainability. As a pure retailer, Amazon has been able to sustain its
growth rate by running: diversifying its product line, providing higher
customer value by means of its knowledge database and investment in its
brand equity. As a retailer, Amazon has sustained its leading position
through several extensions, although it remains to be seen whether its current business model is truly sustainable in financial terms. Will Amazon
become the next AOL (which lost money for years acquiring customers but
eventually became profitable and dominated its market) or will it simply
lose money until investors run for the exits? Comparing the sustainability
of Amazons retailer model with that of the retailer market-maker, it
seems as if this new business model is certainly no less sustainable than the
old one. As discussed in the section on the viability of Amazons growth
strategy, it appears that relative to the zShop merchants, Amazon has reasonable control over the key assets. Further, it appears to have the upper
hand with respect to other alliance partners. Therefore, we conclude that
Amazons sustainability could actually improve from low to perhaps
medium or better.
Implementation. As a pure retailer, Amazon has appeared to execute its
chosen strategies well, regardless of whether one thinks those strategies are
valid. The case does not give enough information to recognize whether Amazons systems, structure, people, and environment fit well with that strategy.
It seems plausible that Amazons ability to execute and implement its strategies would be largely unaffected by the move to the market-maker model.
Thus, we conclude that the outlook for Amazons implementation is rather
high in both the retailer and the retailer market-maker model.
In summary, Amazons move from a pure retailer to a retailer marketmaker results in a business model with some promise but not without pitfalls.
Of the eight components listed in Table 12.8, three improve when moving to the
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intermediary model. On the other hand, two get worse. Therefore, this might be
a reasonable move, especially if Amazon reconfigures its connected activities
to reflect the increasing importance of the value network configuration in its
new business model.
Small zShops
network
zShops decide
not to participate
Customers are
not attracted
Small customer
network
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the quality of the zShops as a destination. Other brands state that their relationship with zShops is experimental, which lacks the permanency necessary
to establish zShops as a viable alternative mall.
Amazon must try to mitigate these issues through some proactive steps.
1. Develop a large, high-quality zShops network.
a. Obtain the best players in the categories.
b. Establish relationships with branded product manufacturers.
2. Protect its brand name and reputation.
a. Liberally live up to its guarantee.
b. Exercise due diligence in the selection of participants.
c. Remove negligent zShops merchants from the network.
Amazon needs to walk a fine line between building a large network and protecting the quality of the consumer experience. The large network is probably
the most important factor at this stage of the game, although Amazon should
not neglect protecting the consumer experience.
Notes
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Case One
Broadcast.com
Mark Cuban and Todd Wagner carefully contemplated their options. The past
two days had been a whirlwind of activity as their Dallas-based firm, Broadcast.com, had been approached by Yahoo! During the Big Picture media conference, sponsored by Variety in New York City, Yahoo! CEO Tim Koogle
made a tender offer to acquire Broadcast.com. Two days earlier, the news hit
the street as a Business Week online story speculated about the potential
merger. Shares of Broadcast.com surged 37 percent in one day of trading amid
the rumors.1 During the media conference, Tim Koogle declined comment on
the rumor, but fueled the flames by announcing that Yahoo! was indeed seeking strategic acquisitions.
Broadcast.com was the current leader in audio and video broadcasting over
the Internet. Since its inception, Cuban and Wagner had built superior Internet audio and video capabilities, and locked in predominantly exclusive contracts with over 300 radio stations, 40 television stations, 400 sports teams, and
600 business customers. However, its 4.6 million monthly viewers paled in
comparison to the 30 million viewers of Yahoo!2 Additionally, Broadcast.com
reported an operating loss of almost $15 million for the year ended 1998.
At the time, Yahoo! was the leading Internet portal with over 30 million
visitors a month, but it was locked in a fierce battle with Microsoft and America Online (AOL) to retain its title. Despite its success, Yahoo! was mainly a
text-based site that lacked rich media content. Rich media was the new
phrase used to describe the mix of text, graphics, audio, video, animation, and
interactivity. Koogle believed that users, advertisers, and online consumers all
wanted TV-like content and services. A recent survey by Home Network found
that users recalled seeing multimedia ads 34 percent more often than traditional banner ads.3 The acquisition of Broadcast.com could place Yahoo! in
position for a rapid shift to high-speed multimedia Internet services.
As the night fell on Gotham City, Cuban and Wagner mulled over the
future of Broadcast.com.
New York University Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Sandy Chen, Arial Friedman,
Darren Landy, Mark Stencik, and Joey Shammah prepared this case under the supervision of
Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate
either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2001 by
McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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Cases
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Case 1
Broadcast.com
253
INTERNET BROADCASTING
The infusion of capital enabled Broadcast.com to expand its own private network. Broadcast.com received analog audio and video signals from its 22
satellites at its home office in Dallas. The company relied on streaming technology to convert the analog feeds into compressed digital information to
feed directly through the Internet in real time. Its network consisted of over
550 multimedia-streaming servers that streamed the feeds and pumped them
out to major net backbone providers through direct lines of 45 and 155 Mbps.
Cuban and Wagner negotiated deals with the four largest backbone providers,
GTEI, MCI, Sprint, and UUNET, which connected over 80 percent of the
downstream Internet service providers (ISPs). The direct connections to the
backbone providers allowed users to avoid congestion and delays normally
caused by going through the downstream ISPs themselves.
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Cases
COMPETITION
The rapid shift toward streaming technology and attention generated by live
webcasts caught the eye of other firms. The increased competition began to
mount on several fronts: streaming media sites, videoconferencing, and traditional media firms.
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1. Broadcast.com
Case 1
Broadcast.com
255
Videoconferencing
Broadcast.com also competed with videoconferencing and teleconferencing
companies, as well as with other companies that provided Internet broadcasting
services to businesses. By 1997 the Business Services Group accounted for
30 percent of the total revenues of Broadcast.com (see Exhibits 1.1 and 1.2).
The competition in this arena also increased rapidly as new sites such as
Vcall.com and BestCalls.com provided free audio versions of conference
calls and other business meetings. Additionally, as the cost for this technology continued to decrease and the quality of transmission improved, industry
experts expected more companies to perform these services in-house. This
meant greater competition for fewer available revenues.
Traditional Media
Broadcast.com competed with traditional media including radio, television,
and print for a slice of the advertisers budget. Some traditional services, such
as CNN and the New York Times, established a viable presence on the Internet and had the benefit of existing relationships with advertisers and advertising agencies. Additionally, Broadcast.com competed with traditional media
companies to sell its inventory of radio and television ad spots, which it
obtained from content providers in exchange for the content providers Internet broadcasting rights.
EXHIBIT 1.1
Total Revenues for
Year Ended
December 31, 1997
Source: Broadcast.com
Prospectus, July 17, 1999.
$2,820,449
2,955,259
942,090
138,235
$6,856,033
EXHIBIT 1.2
Revenues by
Percent for
Year Ended
December 31, 1997
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1. Broadcast.com
Cases
Year Ending
December 31,
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Accounts receivable
Prepaid expenses
Other
Total current assets
Property and equipment
Prepaid expenses
Intangible assets
Total assets
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable
Accrued liabilities
Total current liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Common stock
Additional paid-in capital
Accumulated deficit
Total stockholders equity
Total Liabilities and
Stockholders Equity
Quarter Ending
March 31,
1996
1997
1998
$ 4,580,286
406,802
65,760
17,912
5,070,760
1,186,182
1,715,000
182,414
8,154,356
$21,337,116
1,976,765
1,032,198
11,311
24,357,390
2,812,971
935,720
126,733
28,232,814
$22,400,176
2,448,561
1,382,182
52,986
26,283,905
3,289,255
369,834
191,480
30,134,474
91,545
454,926
546,471
362,214
677,662
1,039,876
674,333
1,154,149
1,828,482
57,341
10,807,309
(3,256,765)
7,607,885
85,763
36,838,152
(9,730,977)
27,192,938
89,835
40,669,584
(12,453,427)
28,305,992
$ 8,154,356
$28,232,814
$30,134,474
GOING PUBLIC
On July 17, 1998, Broadcast.com went public with the stated goal of becoming the top broadcasting portal on the Internet. After one day of trading,
Broadcast.com set another high-water mark as the stock appreciated over 249
percent.7 Cuban and Wagner were now millionaires. However, unlike many
Web-based entrepreneurs, they never viewed their IPO as an exit strategy.
Instead, the IPO process enabled them to build the companys brand name,
and the infusion of capital allowed them to continue to build upon its strategic position. (See Exhibits 1.3 and 1.4 for financial information.)
CURRENT SITUATION
Following the success of its IPO, Broadcast.com continued to expand the volume of its content agreements and business services. In December 1998 Cuban
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Case 1
EXHIBIT 1.4
Broadcast.com
257
Year Ending
December 31,
1996
Revenues:
Business services
Web advertising
Traditional media advertising
Other
Total revenues
Operating Expenses:
Production costs
Operating and development
Sales and marketing
General and administrative
Depreciation and amortization
Total operating expenses
Net operating loss
Interest and other income
Net Loss:
Quarter Ending
March 31,
1997
1998
535,201
1,090,629
0
130,270
1,756,100
$ 2,820,449
2,955,259
942,090
138,235
6,856,033
$ 1,126,515
1,322,911
516,707
209,811
3,175,944
1,301,253
1,506,449
717,547
751,785
544,003
4,821,037
(3,064,937)
76,090
$(2,988,847)
2,949,641
4,659,249
3,389,069
1,416,276
1,129,120
13,543,355
(6,687,322)
213,110
$(6,474,212)
1,224,957
2,247,141
1,670,727
588,179
442,456
6,173,460
(2,997,516)
275,066
$(2,722,450)
and Wagner formed an alliance with NASDAQ for live streaming coverage of
corporate quarterly earnings for the NASDAQ 100 Index companies. They
then acquired Net Roadshow, which was the first company to receive permission from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to provide IPO
Roadshows over the Internet. Net Roadshow was also the leading provider of
Internet Roadshows and had contracts with nearly every major investment bank.
Finally, Broadcast.com set its sights on the global market when it established
a joint venture with Soft Bank to launch Broadcast.com Japan with audio and
video content in Japanese.8
When the Media Metrix rankings came out in March 1999, Broadcast.com
was ranked 6th in news/info/entertainment and was classified as the 14th
largest website overall. The company had clearly established itself as the
leading Web portal for Internet broadcasting. Cuban and Wagner had developed an impressive network of content providers. They secured contracts with
385 radio stations, 40 television stations, and 420 sports teams. Among its
more than 600 business clients were leading U.S. blue-chips firms such as
AT&T and General Motors.9
In 1999, Broadcast embarked on a new medium: film. It accomplished this
by signing a deal with Trimark Holdings, Inc., to license the rights to broadcast Trimarks entire film library over the Internet. However, given the nature
of the Internet, Broadcast.com still lost $14.1 million for the year ended 1998.10
In addition, the company prospectus came with the conspicuous caveat to
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THE OFFER
In April, Yahoo! approached Wagner and Cuban with an offer to acquire
Broadcast.com in a pooling of interest deal valued at $5.7 billion or $130 per
share. At the end of March, shares in Broadcast.com traded in the $30 range.
Yahoo! initially considered offering $110 to $120 per share, but feared a bidding war from rivals Microsoft and AOL.11 As Wagner and Cuban considered
the lucrative offer, they wondered about the benefits and risks of giving up
their independence. Broadcast.com had built an impressive collection of licensing agreements and contracts with content providers and business clients, as
well as a state-of-the-art network to webcast the content received. The $5.7
billion stock offer represented a hefty premium above the companys market
value. However, the two moguls could not help but wonder if partnering with
Yahoo! was the best strategic option for both parties to maximize synergies in
the future.
Notes
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Case Two
Webvan: Reinventing
the Milkman
Webvan will go down in history either as the next Federal Express or as one
of the biggest failed infrastructure bets in history.1
On November 5, 1999, Webvan completed its much-anticipated initial public
offering (IPO) and made headlines across the business world. Despite tiny
sales and big losses to date, shares of the two-year-old company, which combines Internet grocery shopping with home delivery, shot to an 80 percent premium on its first day of trading. As the trading day ended, Webvan had a total
market value of more than $8 billion, nearly half the capitalization of grocery
industry leaders such as Safeway, Inc., and Kroger Co.2
Webvan Chairman Louis Borders, founder of Borders Books, felt at once
exhilarated and terrified. Naturally he was extremely proud of the companys
achievements. While Webvan had operated for a mere five months in the San
Francisco area, more than 10,000 people had signed up for the servicenot
bad considering that it has taken rival Peapod, Inc., 10 years to amass a customer base of 100,000 households. Borders was confident that Webvan could
prevail over its existing online competitors by expanding aggressively. In the
Internet economy, Borders argued that first-to-scale, not first-to-market, counted.
On the other hand, the lofty valuation caused concern. For one, Webvans
1999 sales were expected to amount to $11.9 millionless than large grocery
chains make in one daywhile losses would amount to $35 million (see
Exhibit 2.1).3 Borders found himself already thinking of how he could ensure
the sustainability of his company. Could Webvan deliver on its huge promise
and potential now that expectations had catapulted? Moreover, he suspected,
Webvans IPO had been a huge wake-up call for traditional grocers. How
This case was prepared by University of Michigan Business School MBA candidates Denise
Banks, Otto Driessen, Thomas Oh, German Scipioni, and Rachel Zimmerman under the
supervision of Professor Allan Afuah as a basis for class discussion. Copyright 2001 by
McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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EXHIBIT 2.1
Webvan-Financial
Performance (in
thousands, except
per share data)
Source: Webvan prospectus,
SEC filing.
1998
0
0
0
$
244
2,612
0
$ 2,856
85
69
16
$(2,840)
$
(0.08)
0
0
0
$
3,010
8,825
1,060
$ 12,895
923
32
891
$(12,004)
$
(0.18)
Inventory Management
Through its nationwide expansion, Borders Books devised and developed the
most sophisticated computer inventory system in the book retailing business
to date. As each stores purchases were recorded, the system used artificial
intelligence technology to constantly adjust the stores inventory, thereby adding
more books on topics that were selling and eliminating books on topics that
were not. This technology allowed most Borders Books stores to stock over
200,000 book, music, and video titles, a selection unmatched by any other book
or music store.
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Customer Service
Not only did Borders Books cater to its customers through unparalleled selection, but it also offered exceptional service. From the day the first store
opened, Borders focused on hiring well-educated book lovers. Special efforts
were made to hire people who were passionate about books and music. In
addition, all potential employees were required to pass a book or music quiz.
This process ensured that well-informed and trained staff provided personal
in-store attention and expertise to customers who requested it.
Borders Books selection and service competencies converged when attending to special customer orders. If a certain book or CD was not available in
the store, the computer system searched for the item across all Borders stores
in the country. If the item was not in inventory within the Borders Books chain,
a salesperson would query publishers, wholesalers, suppliers, and smaller
bookstores. Wherever it was available, the Borders Books staff would secure
the item and ship it to the location that was most convenient to the customer.
Through their inventory management innovations and customer focus, Louis
and Tom Borders were widely recognized as single-handedly revolutionizing
and increasing sales in the over $10 billion bookselling industry. In 1999 the
Borders Group, Inc., was the second largest book and music retailing chain in
the United States and an independent, publicly owned corporation with its
shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange.
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MARKET POTENTIAL
Opportunities
The primary benefit the online grocery channel provided to consumers was
convenience. The average stock up grocery store trip took 47 minutes5 so
online grocery shopping returned this valuable time to busy consumers. Moreover, after a 45-minute initial setup, subsequent orders could be processed
extremely fast and efficiently. In addition, since many online grocers achieved
less overhead by using centralized warehouses and employed fewer people
than traditional stores, cost savings could potentially be transferred to the end
consumer. Lastly, eliminating the costly real estate and other expenses related
to bricks-and-mortar companies made for exciting business propositions and
growth.
Research indicated that the online grocery channel was making inroads.
The vast majority (89 percent) of people who tried purchasing groceries online
visited the grocery store less often.6 This indicated that online shopping could
become habit-forming, potentially providing a constant stream of revenue for
online grocers.
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Challenges
Despite the hype of Internet companies and e-commerce as the wave of the
future, analysts and grocery industry experts were unsure about the actual
growth potential of the online grocery market. Industry analysts estimated
online grocery sales of $156 million in 1998, less than 1 percent of the entire
grocery market. Market projections for the year 2003 ranged from $4.5 billion (Andersen Consulting) to $10.8 billion (Forrester Research). With such
vastly different market projections, it appeared difficult to predict which
online companies would do well, if any. Additionally, of the 53.5 million people who were online in the United States, only 435,000 ever purchased food
online. This number represented less than 1 percent of the 14.5 million users
who had made purchases online.7
The biggest challenge in the development of the online grocery industry
was to attract and retain enough customers to use this alternative method of
purchasing groceries. While online grocery shopping was deemed incapable
of replacing the desire to touch and feel items such as fresh produce, the
most common type of groceries purchased online were perishables.8 Other
common customer criticisms of online grocery shopping included lack of
selection, the amount of time it took to set up an order, and the high cost of
delivery relative to the services perceived value. In addition, the demographic
population that was most likely to use the online service was also the segment
that was least willing to sit around and wait for deliveries.
Margin structures were razor thin in the highly competitive grocery industry, causing some competitors to diversify beyond mere grocery delivery. The
savings associated with online ordering were partially offset by expensive
home delivery and servicing requirements and, like all e-commerce ventures,
could vanish when faced with the costs incurred by building brand recognition.
WEBVANS VISION
We are building the Last Mile to the consumer. Its a huge logistical
problem.
Louis Borders
Even in an industry rife with razor-thin margins, Louis Borders believed that
by eliminating store costs, he could reap sizable profits. Instead of stock clerks
and multiple warehouses, Borders envisioned giant distribution centers that
would service major metropolitan warehouses around the globe.
Using Borders analytical expertise, Webvan created a more efficient way
to assemble customer orders, store them while in transit, and deliver them to
homes within a 30-minute window. Borders estimated that Webvan could
achieve 12 percent operating margins compared to the industrys traditionally
low margins of 4 percent. To replicate this system nationwide, Webvan in
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Operations
Webvans 80 software programmers created proprietary systems that automated, linked, and tracked every part of the grocery ordering and delivery
process. A new 330,000-square-foot distribution center in Oakland, California, utilized these proprietary systems to service customers within a 40square-mile radius around the San Francisco Bay Area. The $25 million distribution center, a prototype for the 26 other centers Webvan intended to
build, included 4.5 miles of conveyor belts, temperature-sensitive rooms for
specialty items, and the ability to serve as many customers as 20 normal
supermarkets.9 The Webvan model could do all of this with half the labor and
double the selection of products of regular supermarkets. Because of these
innovative efficiencies, Borders believed that each of these facilities would
make money within nine months of launch.
Once orders were placed on the Web, they were automatically routed to the
warehouse. Pickers were stationed throughout the distribution center to assemble the orders in plastic boxes or totes, which were color-coded depending if the
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items were refrigerated, frozen, or dry. The pickers traveled no more than 19.5
feet in any direction to reach 8,000 bins of goods that were brought to the
picker on rotating carousels.
A conveyor belt transported the totes throughout the facility until they
were loaded onto refrigerated trucks. These trucks took the orders to one of
12 docking stations throughout the Bay Area where they were loaded onto
one of more than 60 vans so that drivers could take the orders directly to peoples homes. None of these vans traveled more than 10 miles in any direction
and the route was mapped out by a system that optimized travel time. At peak
performance, Webvan expected that each facility would handle more than
8,000 orders a day, totaling 225,000 items, and generate annual revenues of
$300 million. In comparison, a conventional stand-alone supermarket brought
in $12 million a year.
Customer Service
Webvan customers could order a shopping list of items and receive the groceries the next day within any specified 30-minute time period. Deliveries
could be attended or unattended, meaning that the customer could either be
home to receive the order, or the Webvan associate could drop off the order
while the customer was away from home. Webvan couriers were not allowed to
accept tips from customers, and were thoroughly screened and trained before
starting their professional lives as Webvan ambassadors. As of December
1999, delivery was free for orders over $50; delivery fees were $4.95 for
orders under $50.
Additionally, Webvan aimed to provide its customers with 50,000 products
from which to choose compared to a normal grocery store that carried 30,000
items.10 Personalized shopping lists, which appeared after a customers initial
order, were also designed to provide faster and easier shopping services for
the time-strapped customer. Webvans market position as the quality-driven
gourmet online grocer with everyday grocery prices was an attempt to differentiate itself from competitors. Webvan even employed its own culinary
director, who was responsible for creating chef-prepared meals that catered to
the lifestyle and tastes of Webvan customers. In addition, Webvan partnered
with some highly regarded Bay Area suppliers to offer high-quality produce,
meats, fish, and baked goods.
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COMPETITION
Although the online grocery industry was relatively new, a number of companies competed with Webvan in trying to capitalize on its vast potential.
Peapod.com
Peapod was the oldest and largest online grocery player. Founded in 1989, its
pioneering customers400 households in the greater Chicago areahad to
download proprietary software to use the service. Personal shoppers would
then fill customer orders in local supermarkets. In 1998 Peapod claimed an
estimated 44 percent of the Internet grocery market.13 By 1999 Peapod had its
software online and operations in Austin, Texas; Boston; Chicago; Columbus,
Ohio; Dallas/Ft. Worth; Houston; Long Island, New York; and San Francisco/San Jose.
To keep up with demandapproximately 100,000 customers in 1999
Peapod switched from the personal shopper model to a warehouse model for
filling orders, though its warehouses were significantly smaller than Webvans. As of 1999, Peapods personal shoppers picked their products inside
Peapod warehouses and prepared them for delivery in temperature-controlled
delivery bins. In November 1999 Peapod started shipping nonperishable packages across the country by UPS. Moreover, the company also established strategic membership alliances with Walgreens for delivery of health and beauty
aids, and was considering delivery of nongrocery items such as books, dry
cleaning, and flowers.
Membership at Peapod actually decreased over 1999.14 While analysts felt
that Peapods stock was underrated, it seemed that Peapod might have lost
focus. In any case, it missed out on the investor mania that impacted so many
Internet stocks. In November 1999 Peapod released disconcerting information, claiming that its funds would run out in the third quarter of 2000.15
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Streamline.com; Shoplink.com
Originating in Boston, both of these companies positioned themselves as a
complete lifestyle solution, simplifying the lives of busy suburban families.
For a monthly fee, Streamline and Shoplink delivered a wide variety of products and services at ones doorstep once a week. Unlike conventional homedelivery grocery services such as Peapod and HomeGrocer, Streamline and
Shoplink delivered using either a portable cooling container or a leased, preinstalled refrigeration/shelving unit located in the customers garage that was
accessible only to authorized delivery workers. Products and services included
groceries, prepared meals, pet food and supplies, postage stamps, dry cleaning,
video and video game rentals, film processing, bottled water, as well as package pickup and delivery.16
While their delivery model allowed for more delivery flexibility, these companies also had to overcome additional customer reservations about privacy,
theft, and safety. Furthermore, apartment dwellers were not eligible for these
services. According to some, the high fixed and variable costs of this model
appeared unattractive, yet deeper customer retention might prove a long-term
advantage.
Netgrocer.com
Founded in 1997, Netgrocer was the first online grocer to employ the warehousing delivery strategy. From its northern New Jersey warehouse, Netgrocer shipped groceries anywhere in the 48 contiguous states, using Federal
Express three-day delivery. Thus, Netgrocer was the only online delivery
service that charged by weight rather than by order.
Netgrocer could be thought of as an automatic pantry restocker. The company delivered only nonperishable goods, and its selection was far from comprehensive. As observed, the best way you use it is to compile shopping lists
of the things you know you buy every month and then just hit one button to
have the same order delivered on a recurring basis. Paper towels, toothpaste,
diapers, pasta, cat food, cans of soup, that sort of thing.17 Thus, Netgrocer
was betting on consumers preferences to separate recurring nonperishables
from more instinctive or short-term fresh produce purchases.
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Niche Players
Niche players such as Pink Dot and EthnicGrocer.com competed on speed
and tailored selection, respectively. Pink Dot created a Dominos Pizza
meets 7-Eleven Stores18 model for delivery of groceries, sandwiches, salads,
and beverages. It sought to counterbalance higher prices by offering delivery
in 30 minutes or less. However, this remained a strategy focused on the fulfillment of emergency or last-minute needs. Accordingly, order sizes
were smaller, while the delivery time proved a sizable task in Pink Dots city
of origin, Los Angeles.
Players like EthnicGrocer focused on nonperishable and high-margin
hard-to-find products. Similar to Pink Dots speed strategy, the economics of this business model looked more dubious because it was likely to
encounter difficulties in achieving economies of scale independently.
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Once incumbents did make the leap into the online segment, they would be
formidable competitors. Incumbents already had an existing logistics and distribution model in place, which in most cases would require modest investments compared to the investments Webvan was taking on. Some grocery
chains in the United Kingdom had begun to make the transition. For example,
Safeway UK gave away free PalmPilots with a dedicated shopping application to its best customers. Tesco, the self-announced biggest Internet grocer,20 with an estimated 240,000 customers, was selling a bar-code scanner
that allowed customers to scan products while cruising the aisles. These data
would then be downloaded directly to the stores back-end facilities so that
the items selected were prepared for home delivery at a convenient time.21
Notes
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4. Linda Himelstein, Can You Sell Groceries Like Books? Business Week,
July 26, 1999, pp. EB44EB47.
5. Market Spotlight: Grocery Shopping Online, The Standard, September
7, 1998.
6. Ibid.
7. Forrester Research, Online Grocery Exposed, December 3, 1998.
8. Market Spotlight: Grocery Shopping Online, The Standard, September
7, 1998.
9. Linda Himelstein, Innovators: Louis H. Borders, Business Week, September 27, 1999, p. 28.
10. Ibid.
11. Anders, Webvans Splashy Stock Debut . . . , p. B1.
12. Webvan, SEC Prospectus Filing, Form 424B1, November 4, 1999.
13. Andrew Edgecliffe-Johnson, Online Grocers Funds Eaten Away,
Financial Times, November 9, 1999.
14. Rick Aristotle Munarriz, The Online Grocer Invasion, www.fool.com/
specials/1999/sp991201groceries.htm, December 1, 1999.
15. Edgecliffe-Johnson, Online Grocers Funds Eaten Away.
16. Sawhney, The Longest Mile, p. 238.
17. Don Wilmott, So Long, Supermarket! http://www.zdnet.com, December 5, 1997.
18. Sawhney, The Longest Mile, p. 238.
19. Munarriz, The Online Grocer Invasion.
20. Susanna Voyle, Tesco Biggest Internet Grocer, Financial Times,
December 1, 1999.
21. Penelope Ody, Online Delights for the Adventurous, Financial Times
Information Technology Survey, December 1, 1999.
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Case Three
Reflect.com: Burn
the Ships
At Reflect.com, your state-of-the-art skin care, hair care and cosmetic
products dont exist until you create them. Simply create your beauty
profile and our scientific process then blends your requests with the best
technology to custom make your products. Delivered free. Unconditionally
guaranteed.1
It was a warm October day in San Francisco as Ginger Kent, CEO of
Reflect.com, sat at her desk and pondered whether the company would receive
its recently requested second-round financing. Kent and her colleagues felt that
the funds were desperately needed to redesign the website and improve the consumer purchase process. Reflect.com, an e-commerce site that allows women
to customize beauty products, was about to celebrate its first anniversary. At this
time, however, it needed a capital infusion from its original investors, which
included the consumer packaged goods leader Procter & Gamble. While Reflect
was hitting its monthly sales targets, it was difficult to ignore the turmoil that
was ravaging the online beauty industry. Ingredients.com, Eve.com, Beautyscene.com, Beautyjungle.com, and countless others had closed down business, and it was rumored that others were not far behind. But Reflect.coms
business model was unique, and Kent felt it was superior to other online thirdparty retailers. Still, the question loomed: Was it strong enough? Would women
ever feel comfortable enough to buy their cosmetics and beauty needs online
without a chance to touch, smell, or see them first?
NYU Stern School of Business MBA candidates Jean Pierre Divo, Margaret Higgins, Molly
Milano, Juan Montoya, and M. Anne Wickland prepared this case under the supervision of
Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate
either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2002 by
Christopher L. Tucci. All rights reserved.
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Case 3
EXHIBIT 3.1
273
Name
HQ
LOreal Group
Clichy, France
Cincinnati, USA
7.50
Unilever
Rotterdam &
London
6.92
Tokyo
4.90
4.20
Johnson &
Johnson
New Brunswick,
New Jersey, USA
3.40
3.20
KAO Corporation
Tokyo
2.60
Biersdorf AG
Hamburg,
Germany
2.53
Wella Group
Darmstadt,
Germany
2.43
$11.20
Subsidiaries/Main Brands
LOreal Paris; Laboratoires Garnier; Gemey;
Maybelline; Club des Createurs de Beaute; La Scad;
Laboratoires Ylang; Soft Sheen; Lancome; Biotherm;
Helena Rubinstein; Lanvin; Parfums Armani;
Cacharel; Ralph Lauren; Paloma Picasso; Kiehls; Guy
LaRoche; Vichy; La Roche-Posay; LOreal Technique
Professionelle; Kerastase; Redken; Inne; Matrix;
Galderna; Sanofi-Synthelabo (20%); Carson Inc.
(continued)
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EXHIBIT 3.1
(continued)
Sales
($ billions) Subsidiaries/Main Brands
Name
HQ
Bristol-Myers
Squibb
2.40
Kanebo Ltd.
Tokyo
2.28
Intimate
Brands Inc.
Ohio, USA
2.05
1.97
Henkel KGAA
Dusseldorf,
Germany
1.92
Revlon Inc.
1.86
LVMH Moet
Hennessy Louis
Vuitton
Paris, France
1.81
Coty, Inc.
1.80
The Boots
Company PLC
Nottingham,
England
1.60
Colgate-Palmolive
Company
1.50
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EXHIBIT 3.2
Average Price
Points for Reflect,
Lancome, and Oil
of Olay
Sources: www.reflect.com;
www.lancome.com; local
drugstore.
Reflect.com
Lipsticks, shampoos,
conditioners
Foundation makeup
Moisturizers
Facial mask
Eye gel
Night cream
Fragrance
$12.00
16.50
19.50
24.00
28.00
29.50
40.00
Lancome
$18.50
32.50
3677
22.5027.00
44.00
59.00
3280
275
Oil of Olay
$8.29
10.9912.99
7.59
N/A
9.99
9.99
N/A
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With leading market shares, P&Gs beauty care segment represented approximately 20 percent of P&Gs total sales, or $7.5 billion annually. This category
included three cosmetic labels, each targeted toward a different segment of
the mass market:
Cover Girl: P&Gs Cover Girl line of cosmetics, launched in 1960, catered
to girls and young women 14 to 24 years of age, who were concerned with
clean skin, a natural look, and having fun.
Max Factor: This line started as a line of theatrical makeup in 1909 created by Max Factor, Sr., who began as a make-up man for the Royal Ballet
in Czarist Russia. In 2002, Max Factor was positioned as a cosmetics line
used by makeup artists, but it was available to consumers through mass
channels. Brand promotions centered around Hollywood themes such as
blockbuster movie hits like Titanic.
Oil of Olay: The Oil of Olay brand was the youngest of P&Gs beauty
lines. Launched as a full cosmetics line in 1999 as an extension of the popular moisturizer used by many women, this line was targeted to middle-aged
women who wanted to look and feel younger. Benefit claims included
reduced wrinkles and younger-looking skin.
The Beauty category also included noncosmetic brands, such as hair care,
including VS Vidal Sassoon, Pantene, and Physique. Distribution for these
products was almost exclusively in drug, grocery, or mass merchandisers such
as Kmart and Wal-Mart.
Project Mirror
A corporate behemoth known for innovation and brand marketing prowess,
P&G had long been a leader in new product development. However, in the early
90s, the consumer giant began to stumble.
The new product development process itself had become too bureaucratic
and too slow to market. With so much time and money at stake, P&G could not
afford another debacle like Olestra, the fat substitute that took 25 years and
$250 million to develop. P&G began an initiative to foster more innovation
and to shorten the new product development cycle. Major changes in its product development process included:
Implementing new collaborative technologies that promote sharing ideas
and information.
Instituting global e-mail systems that linked 93,000 users.
Creating virtual libraries and collaboration [chat] rooms.
Developing an internal innovation fund.
Providing desktop video conferencing capabilities.
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REFLECT.COM
Reflect.com was financed with $35 million from Procter & Gamble and $15 million from Institutional Venture Partners (IVP), the investment firm famous for
backing Excite Inc. (See Exhibits 3.3 and 3.4.) IVPs Geoff Yang summed up
his enthusiasm for the deal saying, What energized us was that this wasnt
just another e-tailing deal. They were going to do something no ones done
before.16
However, there were some sticking points in ironing out the details of the
partnership. Where IVP was used to conducting informal negotiations with
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EXHIBIT 3.3
Source: www.ivp.com.
IVP has been venture investing since 1974 and has funded more than 200 companies. It now manages
more than $1 billion. IVP has marshaled 60 IPOs and over 25 successful IPO-like acquisitions. The
company has consistently funded companies that have become dominant players in new industries:
Internet: Excite, Mpath, Ask Jeeves, Concur.
Communications Equipment: Bay Networks, MMC Networks, Aspect Telecommunications.
Enterprise Software: Clarify, Concur.
Semiconductors: LSI Logic, Altera, Atmel, Cirrus Logic.
Storage: Seagate, Exabyte.
Computing: Stratus, Sequent.
Life Sciences: Aviron, Biopsys.
IVPs investments have combined revenues of more than $20 billion and a combined market value of
more than $30 billion. IVP employs more than 125,000 people.
EXHIBIT 3.4
Investors Strengths
IVP
P&G
young entrepreneurs that were finalized quickly with a handshake, the P&G
lawyers went over every detail.17 IVPs typical negotiations lasted just one
day, whereas with Reflect.com, they took three weeks. Issues arose regarding
equity, control of future financing events, and the new companys governance.
Yang wasnt interested in being a mere midwife for a P&G development
project. He wanted to build a killer freestanding company that could pursue
its own best interests. He put forward an argument he remembers this way: If
you guys want control, it might as well be inside P&G. We cant allow you to
call the shots. If we cant take this company public, then youre capping our
upside.18
Despite the sticking points, P&G threw caution to the wind on some key
points. The investors agreed upon the 65/15/20 split (for P&G, IVP/Redpoint
Ventures, and Reflect.com employees, respectively). IVP received the same
number of board seats as P&G, as well as an equal say over such pivotal
issues as whether and when to take Reflect.com public. P&G, however,
retained control over any reorganization or sale of the company.19
A. G. Lafley, then president of Procter & Gambles global beauty care division and interim CEO of the new company (now P&G CEO), summed up
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P&Gs feelings about the site: We very strongly believed we had to get out
in the middle of the start-up environment and see if we could deliver innovation and speed at that rate.20
The Site
The Reflect.com site launched in December 1999 as a personalized line of
beauty products (including skin and hair care and cosmetics) and services created for and available solely through the Internet, using a patent-pending system for a mass-customization model.
With access to P&Gs global supply chain and R&D facilities, the site had
the capability to create more than 300,000 different products and packages. By
asking the consumer a series of questions and letting her control the experience,
the site created customized products and packages. Additionally, Reflect.com
owned its unique manufacturing process that resembled a virtual plug-andplay. The company was able to produce product in very small lots (25 vs.
10,000 for competitors), and reduced changeovers to 5 to 7 minutes. The industry average was 90 minutes. (See Exhibit 3.5.)
The site capitalized on P&Gs beauty care expertise while leveraging the
Internets capabilities to create a consumer experience that could not be duplicated in a typical bricks-and-mortar environment. Using an interactive questionand-answer process to determine each womans needs and P&Gs research and
development lab, Reflect.com created unique products for each customer.
The product creation process began on the site and ended with a fulfillment
center in Cincinnati called Direct Site.22 Sourcing from multiple suppliers
along with technology as a delivery tool dictated order fulfillment. This process,
from front to back end, was proprietary and was pending patent approval.23
Reflect.com also enjoyed the benefits of lower inventories and reduced cost
of sales.
The company allowed a customer to build her own brand of upscale beauty
products that were created, manufactured, packaged, and distributed on an individual basis. Reflect.com acts as a channel to serve the high-performance
Foundation, loose
$30.00$50.00
and pressed powder,
and lipstick.
Fragrances created
by mixing existing
Creed scents.
Prescriptives
By Terry
Creed
$350$800 for
the 2.5 ounce
blend, which includes a bottle of
each fragrance
used in the mix.
Waiting Time
30 minutes to
1 hour
Foundation or
powder in about
10 minutes; lipstick
fine-tuning can
take 2 days.
Barneys in NY,
30 minutes to
Neiman Marcus,
1 hour
Bergdorf Goodman,
Creed store in NY,
877-CREED-NY
Major department
stores; lipstick
currently only at
Bergdorf Goodman
Where
Absolutely precise,
according to clients
file.
Repeat Orders
(continued)
De Gunzburg will
go through as
many fittings as
the client needs
preferably in person
or through product
testing via mail.
Consultants lead
you through the
process, making it
almost foolproof. If
you dont like the
finished product
you can request
changes on the
spot.
Consultants explain
how colors look on
different complexions.
Service
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Beginning at $500
for a years supply
of lipstsick, powder, cream or shadow packaged in
a silver case.
$33.50$50.00
Prices
Products
Concealer, blush,
lipstick, lip gloss,
eye shadow, and
brow powder.
Three Custom
Color
280
Company
EXHIBIT 3.5
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Facial moisturizer
and serum, more
skin care products
to come soon.
Lab21.com
SCO
lab21.com
reflect.com
888-799-2060
or creativescent
.com to set up a
consultation
Where
Shipped within 24
hours of online
ordering.
7 business days,
including shipping
time
Waiting Time
Re-created from a
customer database
of add-ins and specific amounts of each
ingredient.
Repeat Orders
Founder Theresa Ma
and her team answer questions and
pay particular attention to textures. If
you dont love the
way a product feels,
youre not going to
use it.
Endless tinkering.
Individual ingredients such as antioxidants and
sunscreen can be
added or eliminated
in varying amounts.
Questionnaires to
determine skin
type, favorite color,
personality, even
your dream house
are confusing.
Theres no explanation of how they
affect the product.
A tour of your
favorite smells
results in about 10
oils to construct a
base, middle, and
top note. Horowitz
makes suggestions
and tinkers until
you love your scent.
Service
V. Cases
$35.00$85.00
$12.00$45.00
Reflect.com
Prices
$295 for 1/4
ounce
Products
(continued)
Company
EXHIBIT 3.5
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sector of the beauty product market. Its target customers were beauty
involved, meaning that they were willing to invest the extra time in designing
their own beauty product solutions. They were also experienced Internet buyers who were comfortable with e-commerce and online interaction.24
In September 2000, Reflect.com launched a patent-pending online process
that allowed women to create their own perfume. Women were guided
through the creation of their signature scents by answering questions that
revealed the components of their ideal fragrance. Each selection was made
through an interactive visual experience designed to capture both her imagination and her scent preferences to create the perfect fragrance.25 The customer was sent three samples of her creation from which to choose.
Three days after a customers order was shipped, first-time buyers received
a live orchid as a thank-you. Browsers who registered on the site and created
a product but did not buy it received a surprise delight sample with their name
on the bottle. If a customer was not satisfied with the product, Reflect.com
would customize it until she was. The site, however, did not accept returns.
THE CROSSROADS
Regarding the site, Lafley stated, Even if it flops, we will have learned a lot,
and it would have been worth it.26 Lisa Allen, an analyst with Forrester
Research, believed that P&G was more interested in information than sales.
She explained, Procter & Gamble sees Reflect.com as one big-time, real-time
market research tool. They can get information directly from consumers on a
range of products, then feed it back to the mother ship in Cincinnati. . . . Even
if they lose money in direct sales, they gain value in market research.27
By November 2000, Reflect.com had sold more than 250,000 customized
skin, hair, and cosmetics products since its December 1999 launch.28 However, to succeed, P&Gs new customized beauty site would have to create a
loyal following among the industrys brand-conscious upscale consumers. In
fact, it was commonly acknowledged that brands help people get over the
hurdle of buying online.29
As Kent sat at her desk, she could not help but wonder, Could Reflect.com
shift the NPD process to consumers and still build a loyal consumer base?
Would this new business model ever amount to more than a multimillion-dollar
learning experience for P&G?
The company had already applied for second-round financing that it needed
to redesign the site, but given the tumultuous market conditions, it was uncertain whether they would receive it. Kent had to decide what course to chart
the Reflect.com ship. If Reflect.com received the funding, how would the
company improve its site, and would this redesign prove pivotal in attracting
and keeping loyal customers? If Reflect.com was denied financing, would the
company attempt the redesign anyway, or would it close its virtual doors
forever?
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EPILOGUE
Two days shy of its first birthday, Reflect.com received a $30 million round
of financing, in which its original investors returned. (While the details of the
second round were not made public, the terms were reported to be similar to
the first-round financing.)30 Our investors are pleased with what weve achieved
in the time weve been up and the response weve been getting in terms of orders
and reorders, says Richard Gerstein, VP of design and marketing.31
Reflect.com officials claimed that they did not need the second-round financing because the site had burned through the first, but that it was necessary to
invest in infrastructure and to further build the business. One of the first projects
with the infusion was a relaunch of the site in response to customer feedback. As
of November 2000, the site offered a more streamlined system and additional
shopping benefits. For example, the site still profiled customers needs, but the
customer had the ability to start customizing her product as early as the first
page. Previously, she had to navigate through several screens before reaching
this step. Another new feature enabled shoppers to see aspects (e.g., package
selection, choice of graphics) of their product as it was being created. Customers
could also window-shop, viewing what types of products could be made, in what
sizes, etc., before starting the creation process. In this browsing section, the
shopper might click on the creation area anytime she wanted if she saw something she liked. The site incorporated a navigation bar across the top of each
screen that provided visitors with more flexibility to move around the site.
Notes
1. http://www.reflect.com.
2. Kerry Diamond, Taking Stock of Beautys Net Worth, Womens Wear
Daily, November 3, 2000, p. 6.
3. Laura Klepacki, The Star Report, Womens Wear Daily, May 19, 2000,
p. 2.
4. Janet Ozzard, Understanding Beautys Web Appeal, Womens Wear Daily,
August 11, 2000, p. 10.
5. Ibid.
6. Alev Aktar, Women on the Web, Womens Wear Daily, January 28, 2000,
p. 9.
7. Diamond, Taking Stock of Beautys Net Worth.
8. Ibid.
9. Ibid.
10. Ibid.
11. Marianne Kolbasuk McGee, Culture Change: Come Together: The Idea
Behind Collaboration Rooms, Information Week, October 5, 1999, www
.informationweek.com/758/prga3.htm.
12. Dale Buss, Procter & Gamble Faces the Future, The Industry Standard,
March 27, 2000, www.thestandard.com/article/display/0,1151,13264
,000.htm.
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Case Four
VerticalNet:
The New Face
of B2B
After showing the last reporter to the door, Mark Walsh finally had a chance
to return to his office and reflect on the incredible events of the prior 48 hours.
Only the day before, on February 11, 1999, his company had staged a spectacular initial public offering (IPO). Shares of VerticalNet, Inc. (NASDAQ
symbol VERT), had opened at $16 and skyrocketed 184 percent to $45 before
the closing bell. This made Walsh the CEO of a company with a market capitalization of $738 millionand that company was less than four years old.1
Walsh was thrilled by the IPO results, but he also recognized that with the
limelight came extensive public scrutiny and an intense pressure to perform.
The business model he had developed for VerticalNet was solid enough not
only to increase the growth of the company to its current IPO-ready size, but
also to firmly establish VerticalNet as a leader in the business-to-business
(B2B) electronic commerce arena. This market had evolved slowly over 15
years, but the pace of change had quickened considerably in the last 18 months.
New players were rapidly entering the B2B marketplace and competition was
increasing. With analysts projections that B2B e-commerce would grow to a
$1.3 trillion industry by the year 2002,2 Walsh knew the stakes were extremely
high: If he didnt continue to innovate and reinvent his firm, VerticalNet could
be quickly overtaken by the competition.
University of Michigan Business School MBA Candidates Angie Bohr, Quitanne Delano, Paul
Hofley, Paul Linton, and Brad Stewart prepared this case under the supervision of Professor
Allan Afuah as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or
ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2001 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
All rights reserved.
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arena, and each model had a different approach to revenue generation. Accordingly, value recognized by the marketplace was hard to determine.
e-Communities
Composed of buyers and sellers exchanging information concerning a single
vertical5 market, e-Communities are digital publications that follow industry
trends and news. Websites develop a user base through traditional advertising
intended to draw traffic to the site. Revenue is generated primarily through
advertising, sponsorships, and transaction fees. The viability of this revenuegeneration model is unclear, which motivated companies to migrate to the
distributor and exchange models.
e-Distributors
E-Distributors establish a single source for goods and services within a single
vertical industry. Typically, goods and services from multiple vendors are
aggregated to one comprehensive location, which helps to streamline the purchase process. In turn, the intermediary collects a transaction fee related to
the services it provides. Traditional companies are adopting the e-Distributor
model in addition to their existing bricks-and mortar operation to provide customers with an alternative channel for purchasing goods and services.
e-Exchanges
This model brings together buyers and sellers within the setting of a vertical
industry marketplace. Exchanges use an auction-pricing model to provide
buyers with a competitive environment and lower costs, which makes the
intermediary attractive to large purchasing organizations. The marketplace
offers both commodity and custom-made products. Custom-made products
require more information about design, functionality, and quality in order to
be considered by buyers. B2Bs that use this model typically collect a transaction fee as a means of generating revenue.
As each of the e-business models evolves, industry experts expect online marketplaces to incorporate elements of each model and envision successful digital
marketplaces to include varying levels of community, content, and commerce.
HISTORY OF VERTICALNET
In 1995 Mike McNulty began selling advertising space for a wastewater
industry trade publication. His clients often complained about their inability
to track the number of leads generated by the ads they placed in the publication.6 As a result, many customers were unsure whether they were getting a
sufficient return on investment from their ads. McNulty was convinced that
he could develop a more efficient and effective method that would not only
bring buyers and suppliers together, but also provide businesses with lead
tracking and qualification. The Internet, he thought, could be the answer.
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From the beginning, McNulty envisioned a website that contained up-todate industry news, trends, and information, as well as a list of suppliers that
offered related products and services. His hope was that users would come to
the site to locate current industry information and highlights while buyers
would use the site as a convenient and reliable place to source goods and services.7 McNulty first pitched his revolutionary idea to his boss, but got nowhere.
Undeterred, he called Mike Hagan, a long-time friend and vice president at
Merrill Lynch Asset Management. Upon hearing McNultys idea, Hagan immediately saw the great potential for this venture.
Enthusiastic about the new business idea and cognizant of the importance
of gaining first mover advantage on the Internet, the two quit their jobs and
established VerticalNet in Horsham, Pennsylvania, in August 1995. VerticalNets first online vertical trade community,8 WaterOnline, was introduced
shortly thereafter, and McNulty heavily leveraged his wide-ranging industry
contacts to drum up business. Initial revenues were derived from selling online
advertising spaces, dubbed storefronts, to various wastewater industry suppliers. Buyers could browse the storefronts free of charge and, with the click
of a button, send an e-mail request for product information or quotes. Search
engine functionality was soon added to facilitate this process, followed quickly
by a tool that let buyers post specific requests for proposals/quotes (RFPs and
RFQs) that suppliers could then browse and respond to as appropriate. Additionally, McNulty and Hagan hired editors to develop and monitor news, job
postings, and informational content posted on the site.9
Initially, McNulty and Hagan funded their young company through credit
cards and personal savings, together contributing $75,000 to get through the
first year. Hagans contacts on Wall Street helped them to secure much-needed
venture capital in 1996, which they received in the form of a $1 million equity
investment from Internet Capital Group (ICG). The two founders knew, however, that the initial funding would not be enough to make the company a
major player in the emerging B2B market. Both McNulty and Hagan recognized that to raise the necessary level of fundingpotentially millions of dollarsVerticalNet would need an experienced and well-respected leader to
bring credibility, confidence, and business knowledge to the company in
order to attract investors.
In August 1997 the company found the leadership it was seeking when
Mark L. Walsh signed on as CEO. Walshs background included several years
as a general manager at CUC International, an early pioneer in online interactive services, as well as extensive experience with other online ventures,
including the management of General Electrics online services and a position
as senior vice president for America Onlines B2B division. When Walsh was
first approached for the VerticalNet position, he was immediately smitten
with the idea. This is sweet, Walsh recalls saying at the time. This is a total
pure play for what I believe is the future of the Internet.10
By the time Walsh joined VerticalNet, it had expanded into five verticals
with a staff of less than 50. With Walshs help, in late 1997 and again in 1998
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BUSINESS MODEL
VerticalNet created a scalable platform that made it the industry leader in the
development and launch of verticals. These industry-centric portals served the
business-to-business sector of the Internet. As the number of verticals was
projected to grow from 29 to 150 by 2005, VerticalNet expected to benefit
from its ability to launch new sites efficiently, spreading costs across the sites.
Each vertical was an independent profit center. Users accessed verticals to
view content developed by VerticalNets editorial staff, while advertisers paid
for banner ads or sponsored newsletters that were e-mailed to registered
users. Technical, sales and marketing, and administrative personnel worked
across multiple verticals to achieve economies of scale.16
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VerticalNet Selected Financial Data (in $000s, except share, per share data)
Year Ending December 31,
July 28
December 31,
1995
1996
$
16
24
22
147
33
(210)
(1)
(211)
(0.19)
1,096,679
$
(0.19)
1,096,679
1997
1998
285
214
214
268
292
(703)
(6)
(709)
792
1,056
711
2,301
1,388
(4,664)
(115)
$ (4,779)
$3,135
3,238
1405
7,895
3,823
283
(13,509)
(85)
$ (13,594)
(0.27)
(1.89)
2,583,648
2,526,865
(0.21)
3,326,284
(0.77)
6,184,326
(5.29)
2,570,550
$
(1.28)
10,635,489
(1) As described in Note 1 of the consolidated financial statements. The unaudited pro forma balance sheet as of December 31, 1998, reflects
(a) our capitalization subsequent to the initial public offering closing, including the sale of 4,025,000 shares of common stock on February 17,
1999, resulting in approximately $58,322,000 of net proceeds; (b) all of the then-outstanding shares of our convertible preferred stock
automatically converted into 9,734,845 shares of common stock on the basis that the Series A preferred stock converted to shares of common
stock on a ratio of 4.7619:1 and the Series B, C, and D preferred stock converted on a ratio of 1:1; (c) the $5.0 million of convertible notes from
Internet Capital Group and certain holders of the Series D preferred stock converted at the $16 offering price into 312,500 shares of common
stock; (d) the repayment of the $2.0 million bank note.
1996
1997
1998
Pro forma
$329
150
637
$ 755
(2,536)
2,104
$5,663
938
12,343
$61,985
59,260
68,665
216
167
105
2,651
710
400
(2,424)
2,288
2,177
5,352
(276)
288
2,177
352
63,046
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Developing a Vertical
VerticalNet had a refined process for developing a new vertical through a
series of steps. First, the company used various criteria to identify an industry sector that might benefit from a vertical portal (see Exhibit 4.2). Usually,
industries with a substantial number of highly fragmented buyers and suppliers were prime targets. Next, VerticalNet recruited well-respected industry
editorial talent who acted both as a content producer and a credibility builder
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VerticalNets
Vertical Trade
Communities
Source:
www.verticalnet.com/
communities.html.
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Communities
Website Address
wateronline.com
pollutiononline.com
solidwaste.com
pulpandpaperonline.com
poweronline.com
publicworks.com
Process Industries
Chemical Online
Pharmaceutical Online
Semiconductor Online
Hydrocarbon Online
Paint and Coatings Online
Food Online
Adhesives and Sealants Online
chemicalonline.com
pharmaceuticalonline.com
semiconductoronline.com
hydrocarbononline.com
paintandcoatings.com
foodonline.com
adhesivesandsealants.com
Electronics
Computer OEM Online
Medical Design Online
Test and Measurement Online
computeroem.com
medicaldesignonline.com
testandmeasurement.com
Life Sciences
Bioresearch Online
Laboratory Network Online
bioresearchonline.com
laboratorynetwork.com
Services
Property and Casualty Online
propertyandcasualty.com
foodingredientsonline.com
packagingnetwork.com
beverageonline.com
bakeryonline.com
dairynetwork.com
meatandpoultryonline.com
Telecommunications
RF GlobalNet
Wireless Design Online
Photonics Online
Fiber Optics Online
rfglobalnet.com
wirelessdesignonline.com
photonicsonline.com
fiberopticsonline.com
for the site. A common site template provided the foundation for each new site,
which would be formatted specifically to the sites industry. Finally, the company hired sales professionals to develop an industry buyer guide and a potential list of advertisers.
The resources required for each vertical included an editor, an industry manager, and a sales manager. The editor worked full-time to write original content
and identify relevant news, and usually worked from home. The industry
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banners: general and vertical-specific. They paid a monthly fee for banners as
opposed to the more common cost-per-million (CPM) pricing used by
many consumer portals. Advertisers chose from two types of sponsorships:
(1) sponsorship of a specific area, or channel, of a vertical or (2) sponsorship
of a verticals newsletter. Sponsorship of a specific area gave the advertiser
prominent placement of a banner ad within a vertical. If a vendor sponsored
the newsletter, the vendors name and a link to its storefront were included in
the newsletter. Vendors were charged $0.10 if the user clicked on the storefront
link and $0.20 if the user clicked through to the vendors external, companyrun homepage.
e-Commerce
E-Commerce revenue was generated from the sale of an industry verticals
products and services, such as books and software, and accounted for roughly
3 percent of total revenue at the time of the IPO. VerticalNet also received a
commission from the sale of books, computers, software, gifts, apparel, accessories, and entertainment purchased from external websites that were accessed
through a VerticalNet vertical.
VerticalNet Expenses
Personnel Expenses
The primary expenses related to operating a vertical were salaries and marketing costs. Editors, sales staff, and engineers received salaries while compensation for industry and sales managers was commission-based. Each vertical had one dedicated editor and shared a pool of nine technical writers who
provided editorial support. A total of 44 direct sales and support personnel
were employed at the end of 1998. The telesales group, made up of 15 individuals, performed customer prospecting, lead generation, and lead follow-up
activities. A staff of 43 engineers supported the day-to-day operation of the
websites. As of the IPO, the company expected to add approximately 10 engineers annually. In-house product development was carried out by a staff of
programmers that was expected to grow at the rate of two per quarter. Approximately $1.2 million was spent to develop proprietary technology in 1998.
Advertising Expenses
Marketing expenses were divided into two major categories: off-line advertising and online advertising. Off-line advertising for the verticals was placed
in trade magazines and exhibited at trade shows. Because some companies
produced multiple magazines or shows, VerticalNet negotiated up-front, multiple ad placements for several verticals at a time. However, future advertising in trade magazines could be limited because of VerticalNets position as
a direct competitor of traditional industry publications.
For online advertising, VerticalNet negotiated agreements with two major
Internet portals: Excite and AltaVista. A three-year sponsorship agreement with
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Selected Competitor Income Statements (in $000s, except per share amounts)
FreeMarkets, Inc.
Revenues
Cost of revenues
Gross (loss) profit
Operating costs:
Research and development
Sales and marketing
General and administrative
Total operating expenses
Operating (loss) income
Other income
Net (loss) income
Earnings (loss) per share:
Basic
Diluted
PurchasePro.com
1997
1998
1997
1998
$ 1,783
1,149
634
$7,801
4,258
3,543
675
214
462
$ 1,670
446
1,225
292
586
837
1,715
(1,081)
20
$(1,061)
842
656
2,026
3,542
19
215
$ 234
802
1,179
1,345
3,326
(2,865)
(120)
$(2,985)
971
3,841
2,896
7,708
(6,483)
(117)
$(6,600)
$ (0.10)
$ (0.10)
$ 0.02
$ 0.01
$ (0.39)
$ (0.36)
$ (0.83)
$ (0.78)
Revenues
Operating expenses:
Editorial, production, and circulation
Selling, general and administrative
Depreciation and amortization
Total operating expenses
Operating income
Other income
Income before income taxes
Net income
Earnings per share:
Basic and diluted
1997
1998
$233,118
$204,931
94,560
78,523
6,551
179,634
25,297
209
25,506
$ 14,874
101,793
93,886
10,720
206,399
26,719
(6,586)
20,133
$ 10,890
0.70
0.50
PurchasePro
PurchasePro.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: PPRO), is a leading provider of Internet B2B
e-commerce services. The company offers proprietary software that enables
businesses to buy and sell products over the Internet. The Las Vegasbased company got its start by signing up Mirage Resorts, Inc., which in turn recommended
the software to its vendors. Originally designed as a bidding tool for large hospitality companies to communicate with suppliers, the company has since
expanded into a range of other industries such as the food and beverage, furniture, fixtures, and equipment industries where productivity of purchasing
departments is a constant challenge. In two years PurchasePro.com grew from
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about 20 employees in its Las Vegas office to more than 100 employees with
new offices in Phoenix, Arizona, and Lexington, Kentucky.21
The PurchasePro.com e-commerce solution is composed of public and private communities called e-marketplaces where businesses can buy and sell
a wide variety of products and services over the Internet in an efficient, competitive, and cost-effective manner. CEO and founder of PurchasePro.com,
Charles Junior Johnson, commented, The buzzword is vertical marketing.
We wanted to be the first electronic procurement application to cross every
vertical line. Every other e-commerce (system) has pieces of what we do, but
nobody has an aggregate of what we do.22 PurchasePro.com levels the playing field by providing each business, from mom and-pop shops to megastores, with the same software. PurchasePro.com makes its money by charging each of its businesses a nominal subscription fee of about $100 per month.
Subscribers boast of making up the monthly fee with one purchasing order as
lower prices are available in the e-marketplaces due to efficiency in purchasing and orders.
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price lists will be posted. It is e-Steels goal to allow buyers and sellers to mirror their existing relationships on the Web, while enjoying increased efficiency over the Internet. The company also hopes its marketplace will offer
not only convenience to its patrons, but also an opportunity to reach more people through the Internet than through conventional means. E-Steel will earn its
keep primarily through charging its sellers a transaction fee of less than 1 percent on all purchases initiated on its site and, secondly, by selling advertising.26
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Distributors
W. W. Grainger
E-Distributors that consolidate goods and services offered by multiple vendors
stand as competition to the VerticalNet business model. These sites offer a simple search process for a buyer to select a specific product. In addition, traditional bricks-and-mortar distributors such as Grainger Industrial Supply have
moved to the Internet as an alternative channel for its customers. Grainger built
its business through catalog sales, but now offers the full range of its products
through its website, www.grainger.com. Grainger expects that online sales will
exceed $160 million, making it one of the largest-volume sites for Web sales.32
NEXT STEPS
Walsh thought about his options as he gathered his things and prepared to
leave. Now that VerticalNet was public, where should he take the company
from here? How could he capitalize on the tremendous opportunity that lay
before him? For starters, he wondered whether the company should continue
to add new industry segments as aggressively as it had in the past, or if VerticalNet should slow down and entrench more deeply into the 29 communities
it had already entered?
Furthermore, Walsh wondered about the companys revenue model. Thanks
to the successful IPO, VerticalNet now had almost $57 million in the bank,
but Walsh knew that the company would burn through that in just a few years
unless it could find ways to become more profitable. Should the company
stick with its current storefront model and focus on signing up more vendors
as well as perhaps raising the price? Or should it expand into new offerings
and services? And if so, what should those be? Finally, was it time to start
looking for new partnerships and/or acquisitions? What types of companies
would make the most sense?
Walsh left for home far more wealthy than he was just two days before,
very excited about the challenges ahead and yet cognizant that choosing the
wrong strategy at this critical juncture could mean the end of VerticalNet.
Notes
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Case Five
LiveREADS: Valuing
an E-book Start-Up
READING AND A NEW FRONTIER
At 2:34 A.M. on Friday, November 17, 2000, Neal Bascomb finally turned off
his computer. Five errorshe had found and corrected five errors in the final
version of Orpheus Emerged, a newly discovered novella by Beat legend Jack
Kerouac. Bascombs new e-book publisher LiveREADS would introduce the
novella in a revolutionary new e-format three days later on Monday, November 20. Orpheus Emerged would be the first e-book published to include an
interactive, multimedia design. Too restless to let things go, CEO and cofounder
Bascomb had insisted on reading both the Adobe GlassBooks and Microsoft
Reader editions himself to be sure that there were no errors. Now, over 600 pages
later, he was ready for bed. Later that day, he would deliver both versions to
bn.com, the exclusive e-tailer for this inaugural LiveREAD.
As he attempted to fall asleep, Bascomb ticked through the implications of
Mondays launch in his mind. After raising about $700,000 in a series of
angel rounds, cash was starting to run low. He and cofounder Scott Waxman
had used the bulk of the money to enter into contracts with 20 New York Times
best-selling writers, paying them for options to original works the company
had to exercise within four to six months (see Exhibit 5.1). They desperately
needed to make the leap to the next level and raise $5 million to begin publishing the next series of LiveREADs before the options expired. Venture capitalists had been lukewarm on a content play but might be swayed if Orpheus
Emerged made a big enough splash. And then there was the question of a
strategic investor. The venture arm of a major media company had recently
NYU Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Diane Bartoli, Chris Lemmond, Ashok Sinha,
Daniel Urbas, and Stephen Wells prepared this case under the supervision of Professor
Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate either
effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2002 by
Christopher L. Tucci. All rights reserved.
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EXHIBIT 5.1
Author
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man, a young industry player who had started his own very successful agency
a few years before. Although only 32, Waxman had a full head of salt-andpepper hair and the self-assuredness of a veteran. In fact, when he learned that
Bascomb left Carlisle & Co., he immediately attempted to convince him to
join The Waxman Agency as a partner. But when Bascomb introduced the
idea of an e-publisher, Waxman realized the true potential of a different kind
of partnership. Shortly after reading Bascombs business plan he called to say
he wanted to help launch the business. Knowing that Waxman had a host of
expertise as well as publishing and e-world contacts to bring to the table
(Waxmans brother was a founder of Flooz.com), Bascomb was eager to
accept the offer.
After officially incorporating in February 2000, the two founders immediately set about trying to find funding for their new venture. They talked to venture capitalists, angel investors, investment arms of media companiesanyone
who would take a meeting with them. Rather than money, what they mostly
got was advice. But they also found a lead angel investor in former Sony Corp.
chairman Michael Mickey Schulhof, who helped finalize their e-publishing
model as a business-to-consumer play that would build on the brands of
established best-selling writers. In addition, LiveREADS would use the full
extent of the digital medium by enhancing e-books with video, audio, animations, live links, and additional information all keyed to the text (see Exhibit 5.2
for information on characteristics of the LiveREAD product). Schulhof based
his investment on a series of milestones the founders had to reach. These milestones were mostly in the form of author contracts, initially targeting a total of
15 contracts.
EXHIBIT 5.2
Hoped-for
Characteristics of
LiveREADS
product
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How fast the industry would grow would depend on the settlement of issues
that had similarities to those facing the music industry. Importantly, authors and
publishers wanted to ensure that published works were protected from piracy
and that technologies and standards protected their intellectual property rights.
Additionally, booksellers were cautious about the potential of cannibalization
of their current bound-book business, and printers and distributors feared that
they would be disintermediated out of the book publishing supply chain.
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formats exacerbated the problem for the industry. The main players included
two of the largest software providers, Microsoft and Adobe, and Gemstar
Internationals e-book reader format. Additionally, Reciprocal, a small software provider, was introducing a format to download e-books to personal
computers as well as PDAs using the Palm operating system. Except for
Adobes Glassbook Reader, all competing formats adopted the Open E-Book
(OEB) standard, which used common HTML and XML Web programming.
The first LiveREAD, Orpheus Emerged, was made available in both Adobe
Glassbook and Microsoft Reader formats. It is important to note that only
Glassbook allowed for the full effects of the connectivity and innovative
design LiveREADS developed, despite the fact that it was impossible to print
the novella from this edition. Although only plain text, the Microsoft Reader
edition was printable. Exhibit 5.3 outlines the various attributes of the competing formats.
While concerned about cannibalization of their current bound books, the
major publishers embarked on various initiatives that encompassed selling ebooks on their own content websites, to distributing to traditional book e-tailers,
to developing entirely new content. For current, fast-moving titles, the e-book
model would be time phased, where e-books would be released prior to print
publication at print or print discount prices. Industry incumbents Random
House and Warner Books had already announced new e-publishing divisions.
In addition, new pure-play companies were coming on the scene. The most
notable of these was Mighty Words (see Exhibit 5.4). Internet book retailers
and other content sites had announced their own plans to distribute e-books
(see Exhibit 5.5).
EXHIBIT 5.3
Competing Formats
Microsoft
Gemstar
International
Adobe
Reciprocal
Products
Microsoft Reader
Rocketbook &
Softbook
Glassbook
Reciprocal
Availability
MSN.com, online
bookstores, Windows
CE 3.
Retailers
bn.com
TBD
Price
Free
$299$699
Free
TBD
Standard
Open
Open
Closed
Open
Additional
Comments
Murdoch-backed
company, encryption
supported by publishers.
Preferred by
LiveREADS.
New (launched in
Nov. 2000), allows
for download to
Palm o/s.
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EXHIBIT 5.5
Amazon
Amazon created a special e-book section for its website and supported the Microsoft reader format only.
Amazon would not push e-books for the holiday 2000 season, as it had not yet worked out secure
encryption technologies to enable e-book gift-giving. Amazon typically retained 55 percent of revenues
from its e-book offerings.
bn.com
The Barnes & Noble website, 40 percent owned by Bertelsmann, offered e-books available in the
Microsoft Reader, Gemstar e-book, and Adobe Glassbook formats. Like Amazon, it retained 55 percent
of e-book revenues.
Contentville
Contentville offered a limited range of titles that utilized the Microsoft, Gemstar, and Adobe Glassbook
formats.
Lycos
In November, Lycos announced that it was entering into a five-year, nonexclusive commitment to carry
Random Houses Modern Library collection of downloadable new and old classics, available at Lycos
Shops.
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his colleagues had worked for so long with little income and when his investors
had already given him much cash? Should they accept stock in the new merged
entity, and if so, how much?
EXHIBIT 5.6
Previous Financing
Rounds
Date
Premoney
Valuation
Amount
Raised
Postmoney
Valuation
15 May 2000
1 July 2000
1 September 2000
$900,000
1,350,000
1,800,000
$100,000
150,000
200,000
$1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
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311
Time to Exit
5 years
$1.7M
Year 5 Valuation
1.7 times X
VC Investment
$5 M
40%
5.4 times
$26.9M
VC Equity Share
26.9/year5 valuation
EXHIBIT 5.8
Milestones
Based on the companys projections, the following milestones are instrumental to LiveREADSs plans:
2nd/3rd Quarter, 2000
Develop online demo and begin site development.
Hire a chief technology officer, vice president of content development.
Sign 25 NYT best-selling writers.
Begin investigating content delivery platforms.
Secure $700,000 in angel financing and set Advisory Board.
4th Quarter, 2000
Sign 10 NYT best-selling authors.
Secure $5 million in financing.
Coordinate content partnerships with portals and major media sites.
Build out website and technology infrastructure.
Hire chief operating officer, vice president of marketing, vice president of business development,
and creative director.
1st Quarter, 2001
Create 6 LiveREADS for launch.
Develop strategic e-commerce partnerships for LiveREADS.
Launch version 1.0 of website.
Further integrate production/packaging abilities in-house.
Obtain 50 content affiliates.
2nd Quarter, 2001
Launch 8 LiveREADS.
Develop key strategic partnerships.
Sign 20 additional NYT best-selling writers.
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their required return on investment, ownership and control issues, and other
factors would also be under consideration in dealing with the VCs.
From a control perspective, Bascomb knew that if he went the VC route,
the LiveREADS founders would end up giving away another 30 to 40 percent
of the remaining equity. On the other hand, if he chose to accept the buyout
offer, LiveREADS founders equity would likely be diluted to 5 percent of the
new company.
CONCLUSION
In deciding which avenue to pursue, Bascomb also had to take a number of
other factors into consideration. LiveREADS was burning approximately
$30,000 per month, which gave the company a fume date of mid-February 2001,
although the company could theoretically proceed at a reduced pace without the
additional capital. While cash outflows could be slowed, the company was
anxious to exercise its author options before they expired and deliver the product to market. Aside from generating revenues, it would also provide credibility and assist in signing additional authors and raising capital.
Strategically, Bascomb had to determine how each financing route fit with
potential exit strategies. The feeling of the founders and angel investors was
that if all went according to plan, the best time to exit would be within two
years, with a trade sale the most likely outcome. While recognizing that startups dont often proceed according to plan, Bascomb also felt the natural urge
to ensure that any exit would allow them to reap some of the reward from the
sweat equity invested in the company and would be liquid to a certain degree.
Control issues were also important in the overall decision, as was the value that
each of the different investors would bring to the company in addition to their
capital contribution.
These and other issues were under consideration as CEO Neal tried to decide
which route to pursue, and how he should value the company to present his
price to each of the potential investors.
Notes
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Case Six
Beyond Interactive:
Internet Advertising
and Cash Crunch
So how do you start a successful Internet business? Any MBA student might
state the following success factors: an experienced management team, wellfunded investors, technical employees, stock ownership plans, and a Silicon
Valley headquarters. Jonn Behrman, CEO and founder of Beyond Interactive
(BI), would have to disagree. In just over three years, Jonn had built a $4.6
million online advertising services firm with a management team all under 25
years of age. He had no outside investors, mostly nontechnical employees, no
employee equity program, and a headquarters in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Asked
about the primary reason for BIs recent success, he would immediately answer
our people. Jonn boasted, We havent lost a single employee since I started
this business. However, when asked about the challenges facing BI, the big
grin quickly disappeared. . . . Cash flow and competition are what keep me
up at night.1
Behrmans strategy to combat the competition was simple. Growand do
it fast! He realized the old method of slow growth through earnings was not
enough to create a sustainable business model on the Internet. COO Nick
Pahade agreed:
We have more business than we can handle at the moment. We want to expand
by hiring more people and opening more sales offices, but we just dont have
University of Michigan Business School MBA Candidates Charlie Choi, Patti Glaza, Ashesh
Kamdar, Rich Lesperance, and Kevin White prepared this case under the direction of Professor
Allan Afuah as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or
ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2001 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
All rights reserved.
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the capital. We have no tangible assets, so our bank line of credit is just
$50,000. Additionally, more and more customers are paying us later. Jonn and
I agree that we need more money, but were not sure which option is best.
Were exploring the vulture [venture] capital route, alliances with traditional
advertising agencies, and angel [private] investors. Were not interested in
being acquired at this point. Our biggest concern is giving up equity and
losing control of our business. Also, I know we need to get our bookkeeping
in order before we attract investors. Were looking for a CFO right now!2
On December 11, 1998, Jonn had more than the BI holiday party on his mind.
Strong competitors in Internet marketing were entering the companys market space every day. Traditional agencies or well-funded start-ups could catch
up to BI in months. BI needed to stay one step ahead of the rapidly changing environment in Internet marketing. His young but relatively experienced
staff was being courted by competitors offering higher salaries. The list of
expansion projects seemed to be growing daily, while the cash flow situation
wasnt improving. As Jonn looked out from his new office, he thought hard
about the right financing and growth strategy. He had to make the right decisions not only for his company but also for his loyal and motivated fraternity at BI.
BACKGROUND
BI had its beginnings in the undergraduate business program at the University
of Michigan. After a summer internship in real estate, Jonn became interested
in the real estate industrys use of the Web. This interest led to an academic
project during the fall semester of 1995. During the project, Jonn became
extremely frustrated with the time it took to find relevant information on the
Internet. He saw a business opportunity for website promotion and in October founded Wolverine Web Productions (WWP). For over a year, the business focus was website optimization and targeted e-mail services. The company website, Web Production Resource Center (WPRC), not only promoted
WWP but also provided general resources for Internet marketing. During this
early phase of WWP, Darian Heyman and Nick Pahade joined the company
as partners (see Exhibit 6.1). Heymans enthusiasm and knack for selling
helped WWP land its first large account: Ameritech. WWP stayed financially
afloat through its clients who paid for marketing services up front, while BIs
vendors required payment within 30 days.
In 1997 WWP added Internet media planning and buying to its portfolio of
services. This decision spurred significant growth for the company. By the
end of 1997, the company added another partner (Matt Day), employed 16
people, and billed clients $1.4 million for marketing services. Additionally,
the company created a new business website separate from its resource site
WPRC. The goal was to provide unbiased information about Internet marketing to the Web community.
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EXHIBIT 6.1
The Founders of
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In 1998 WWP changed its name to Beyond Interactive and continued its
client-financed growth. By the end of November, billings reached $4.6 million with 42 full-time employees. The growth in revenue was the result of winning larger clients who could commit to larger Internet marketing budgets.
Recently, BI instituted a policy of doing business only with clients that spent
a minimum of $30,000 every three months. BI also opened a satellite sales
office in San Francisco to build closer ties with potential West Coast clients.
BI had learned that selling Internet marketing services actually required faceto-face selling. Finally, the company hired Kevin Hermida, a recent computer
science graduate from the University of Michigan and Microsoft employee, as
its chief technology officer (CTO).
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THE BI FRATERNITY
Its like my college fraternity around here, Jonn commented with a smile as
he observed the activity around his office. Rows of cubicles littered with huge
toys were a short distance from the Ping-Pong room, the site of numerous
company tournaments. Above an oversized gum ball dispenser hung a sign
announcing a contest for employees. Employees at BI were 22 to 25 years
old, had no dress code, and passed around bottles of beer in the office on Friday afternoons. Jonn is genuinely excited when talking about the environment
he has created: People are the key to success in this business. I am better at
motivating people than any head coach you will meet. Its my gift. My people love me, they adore me. They love their jobs.3 In stark contrast to other
firms in the advertising industry, BI has had zero turnover since its founding
in 1995.
To stay competitive, BI planned to grow from 42 to 100 employees within
the next year. Employees were generally undergraduates with liberal arts
degrees looking for their first job. Their qualifications? Passion and energy:
We often win business based on our enthusiasm.4 This fun atmosphere was
a big benefit to employees, who were willing to work for less than half the typical wages in the industry in order to support the companys aggressive growth.
However, top management worried that rivals with far more resources, such as
Avenue A, would lure away BI employees by offering fatter salaries and incentives. Employees in turn were becoming more concerned with the possible
impact of growth on BIs culture. One employee complained that the PingPong table might be removed to make room for more cubicles.
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Interstitials:
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How effective were these ads? Opinions varied. A study conducted by WebCMO
found that the three most effective methods to generating sales and site traffic were (1) search engine submission, (2) solicited e-mail, and (3) off-line
promotion. While banners were being used more frequently than off-line promotion in 1998, their value had increasingly come under attack.7 In 1997 only
9.1 percent of online users said they looked at banner ads very often or
often, and the number of users that said they never looked at banners jumped
from 38.7 percent to 48 percent between 1997 and 1998.8 Martha Deevy, a
senior vice president at Charles Schwab & Co., made a good analogy: A lot
of Internet banner ads are like billboards on the side of the highway. People
drive right past them and dont bother to look.9 An additional challenge facing advertisers was that looking at ads did not necessarily mean the user
clicked through.
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Boomerang Cookies
Many websites tagged visitors computers with small files, known as cookies,
that helped identify users on return visits. With current technology, these data
were useful only if the customer came back to that particular site. Starting in
1999 DoubleClick planned to introduce powerful software to let advertisers spot
those visitors, even weeks later on other websites. Then those visitors could be
greeted with more ads for the original merchant, and their surfing habits could
be tracked for future targeting. DoubleClick called this boomerang technology.
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Media Convergence
In 1998 The Wall Street Journal reported: Media companies are moving
from the traditional analog to a digital environment.14 Though high definition television (HDTV) was in its infancy, digital technology went far beyond
simply better television pictures. Digital signals opened up the traditional
world of push programming to pull scheduling. No longer would consumers be forced to watch specific programs or commercials at set times, but
they would instead choose what and when they watched.
Digital cable broadcasting would allow two-way, interactive communication through a television set, similar to what the Internet currently provided.
This had two major implications for the advertising industry: (1) one-to-one
marketing would become the dominant form of advertising,15 and (2) advertising agencies could use digital technology to increase economies of scale by
integrating television, print, and online media campaigns.16
COMPETITION
There was no lack of available online agencies to take the growing ad dollars.
Any search on the Web for Internet advertising brought back long lists of
potential companies. These companies took all shapes and forms, but there
were three typical models in 1998: traditional agencies, design shops, and
specialty agencies.
Design Shops
Most of these companies were primarily focused on producing Web pages for
clients. They assisted in the design and layout of the Internet site that the end
customers visited. In order to offer a broader range of services to their clients,
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many of these design shops were busy acquiring people, skills and companies
with traditional media strengths such as brand strategy and media planning.18
Specialty Agencies
These companies focused on one or two types of advertising media exclusively.
Instead of being a one-stop shop, specialty agencies tried to maximize their
value through dedicated resources. A large number of firms had entered Internet advertising to meet the growing needs of the marketplace for search-engine
effectiveness, e-mail campaigns, and online ad creation. Specialty firms had
survived intense competition in other media such as television, radio, and print.
With the rush to gain a piece of the online pie, companies spent a great deal
of time trying to define themselves. There is a pissing match going on over
who offers the most services, not over who is creating the right model, stated
the managing director of Grey Interactive. Mergers between technology and
media companies, such as US Web/CKS Group and Sapient Corp./Studio
Archetype blurred the lines between where technology ended and marketing
services began.19 How far clients would expect their ad agency to understand
and handle the technology aspects of online services had not been established.
Not fitting into one of the standard company models, DoubleClick, Inc.,
offered standard creation and placement services, but also developed sophisticated tracking technologies. This allowed advertisers to target specific segments based on customers country or metropolitan sign-in point. To expand
its customer base, DoubleClick, Inc., sold its services and some of its technology to other ad agencies. For example, competitors could buy certain DoubleClick software tools to manage their own marketing campaigns.20
Back-end technologies also helped smaller specialty shops add value for
their clients. Beyond standard offerings such as managing ad campaigns, conducting research on ad placement, negotiating prices, and delivering effectiveness reports, Avenue A Media used a proprietary planning system. This system
contained performance and demographic information on tens of thousands of
sites. Based on client objectives, budget, and product category, the system created a list of viable ad spaces that could be integrated into the media plan.
CUSTOMERS
BIs client list contained a variety of both famous and less well-known organizations. Some of the blue-chip companies include IBM, Ameritech, The Economist, and NextCard Visa. While these businesses are quite different, they all
shared an interest in building their cyberspace brand. The following clients
were recently added:
Fallon McElligott
Fallon McElligott (FM), a traditional advertising agency, needed an Internet
marketing partner to assist with its clients cyberspace marketing needs. Its
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NextCard Visa
NextCard Visa (NV) wanted to attract prequalified traffic to its website. It
hoped the Internet would enable the company to achieve aggressive customer
sign-up goals. NV chose BI to assist with its Internet marketing plan. BI ran
test campaigns on a variety of websites and established long-term relationships with the most effective sites. NV eventually reached its sign-up goals
over the Internet and also locked up advertising on strategic websites.
Service Offerings
Search engine optimization was initially provided to increase total traffic on
client sites by using the many engines prevalent on the Internet. Not only did
BI provide tips to optimize clients pages for user searches, it also provided
manual and automated URL submission services. Targeted e-mail and press
release services were also used to promote client offerings. For e-mail advertising, BI aided clients in choosing the appropriate target audience and developing an advertising message that spurred consumer interest. Press release
services were designed to communicate a client message through information
releases in traditional media forms. Information had to be framed to interest
not only the prospective end customer, but also the media channel used as the
message conduit.
Although BI used these limited advertising solutions to expand the business, Jonn and his team knew that they had to provide greater value to customers to sustain growth. In early 1997 interactive banner advertising was
identified as the engine that would power BIs growth. Partnerships were
developed with vendors who could provide the services with less value added
that had traditionally been the staple of BIs service offerings. The company
began to optimize its systems and practices to efficiently provide services to
its clients using this more sophisticated technique.
Interactive banner ads provided many advantages over their less sophisticated predecessors. Visual appeal, improved targeting, and customer-tracking
options proved appealing to BIs growing customer base. Keys to banner
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Once a lead had been identified, Nick, Jonn, or one of the two business developers took it and performed a needs assessment for the potential client, using
a standard form and telephone or e-mail conversations. If the client had a
clearly identified need and scope in mind, the BDs and MPs immediately
began a media plan. If the client was unsure of its needs and budget, or if it
was new to online advertising, an MSO was developed as an interim step to
highlight BIs service offerings in the context of that specific client.
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These ambitious growth objectives required cash, which was in limited supply. (See Exhibit 6.4.) Larger clients were demanding net 30 payment
terms, which meant that for the first time in BIs short history, it would need
to rely on outside funding. Nick explained the following financing options:
Venture capital (VC). BI started approaching VC firms in the fall of 1998.
The management team was not excited about this option because they were
afraid of losing management control. The team also knew that VC firms
would probably pressure them into taking the company public within a
couple of years. However, BI recognized that VC funding might be necessary as a last resort.
Acquisition. BI had received several unsolicited offers from other advertising agencies to sell its business. These offers were turned down by the
management team, who believed that they had the ability to develop BI into
a premier digital advertising agency with a global reach.
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EXHIBIT 6.4
Income/Expense
Structure
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Cash Crunch
% of Total Income
Income
Media planning/buying
Other services
Total income
Expenses
Ad placement costs
Other services costs
Wages & benefits
Travel & entertainment
Office & supplies
Marketing
Other expenses
Total expenses
Net income
96.5%
3.5
100.0%
76.7%
.4
11.2
1.2
5.5
2.3
2.2
99.5%
.5%
Strategic partnerships. A third option was to form an alliance with a traditional advertising agency. This option could increase the client list
overnight, but the management team had some concerns. Would BI be able
to pursue other clients or would the traditional agency demand exclusivity?
Would the traditional agency eventually want management control?
Angel investors. Another option would be to attract private investors into the
business. This option sounded appealing to the management team. Angel
investors might settle for a lower level of control in the business than professional VC firms, but they offered little or no management expertise.
Jonn was leaning back in his chair, thinking about these different financing
alternatives. Even if BI was able to secure financing, how would BI best use
the funds? He knew 1999 would be a very interesting year.
Notes
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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8. Kate Maddox, Survey Shows Increase in Online Usage . . . , Advertising Age, October 26, 1998, p. S6.
9. George Anders, Internet Advertising . . . , The Wall Street Journal,
November 30, 1998.
10. Lois K. Geller, The Internet: The Ultimate Relationship Marketing
Tool, Direct Marketing 1, no. 5 (September 1998), p. 36.
11. Ibid.
12. European Broadband Networking News, August 6, 1998.
13. Melissa Campanelli, Hit List, Entrepreneur 26, no. 10 (October 1998),
p. 49.
14. Raju Narisetti, New and Improved, The Wall Street Journal, November
16, 1998.
15. Ibid.
16. John Owen, The Interactive Future, Campaign, September 18, 1998, p.
41.
17. Randal Rothenberg, Web Portals Invite Mad Ave to Spin Point of Difference, Advertising Age, November 9, 1998, p. 46.
18. Kate Maddox, Online Agencies Seek Identity as Borders Blur, Advertising Age website www.adage.com/news.
19. Ibid.
20. Hoovers Online, December 8, 1998.
21. Casewriters interview with Moses Nobles, November 1998.
22. Ibid.
23. Casewriters interview with COO Nick Pahade, November 1998.
24. Casewriters interview with CEO Jonn Behrman, November 1998.
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Case Seven
Hotmail: Free E-Mail
for Sale
THE PROPOSAL
Sabeer Bhatia and Jack Smith, cofounders of Hotmail, looked across the table at
the six Microsoft managers dressed in suits. The cofounders listened with excitement as the Microsoft managers went through the terms of the offer for their
young Silicon Valley company. Hotmail was the fastest-growing free Web-based
e-mail system in the world. It had more than 9.5 million subscribers and was the
12th most visited website as of December 1997.1 Microsofts first offer of $200
million served as an appetizer for the discussion. Bhatia countered the offer by
commenting that Microsoft must be very poor to make such a small offer. The
room was filled with tension as Microsoft began to pile cash on the table.2 It
made it difficult to avoid facing the decision: trade in the future potential of the
company for immediate gains. Tempting as the offer was, was it enough to compensate Bhatia and Smith for the loss of independence and future gains?
THE FOUNDERS
Sabeer Bhatia, the CEO of Hotmail, was originally from India. He came to
the United States in 1988 to attend Caltech and went on to receive a master
of science degree from Stanford University in 1993. While at Stanford, Bhatia met many entrepreneurs and decided then that he eventually wanted to
start his own company. After Stanford, Bhatia worked as a systems integrator
at an Apple Computer subsidiary, Firepower Systems, where he met Jack Smith,
Hotmails current CTO. Bhatia and Smith saw their peers making fortunes on
New York University Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Brian Faleiro, Dana Porter,
Siddharth Rastogi, Vitaly Shub, Christine Stokes, and Lanchi Venator prepared this case under
the supervision of Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather
than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation.
Copyright 2001 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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Internet ideas and decided that they wanted to do the same. Bhatia said, Here
were all these young guys getting rich on Internet ideas and we started saying
Hey, we could have thought of that. 3 With only their engineering backgrounds and no experience in management or starting companies, the two
entrepreneurs set out to build the company that is now Hotmail.
THE CONCEPT
Bhatia and Smith originally thought their fortune was in writing a Web-based
personal database tool called JavaSoft. Their concept was to build a relational
database that was accessible through the Web. As they were both working
full-time, they had to find time outside the workday to strategize, plan, and
prepare for their database. This proved to be a challenge for both of them.
They were having difficulties effectively communicating and exchanging
ideas with each other when they were in different locations. This problem led
to an idea. One day while Jack Smith was driving to his home in a suburb of
Silicon Valley, he came up with the idea to use the Web as a means for personal communication. At this point in its history, the Web was a directory of
information more than a direct communication tool. He immediately called
Bhatia, who exclaimed, Eureka! We found it!4
Bhatia and Smith began to focus their energy on this new concept of allowing everyone to access e-mail from any Web browser. They recognized the
huge potential demand for this product. The work world was gravitating toward
a more global and mobile workforce. For people on the move, it would mean
gaining access to e-mail from any portal, desktop, laptop, or dial-up. By removing the physical constraint of having to subscribe to an Internet service provider
(ISP) or an e-mail provider, Bhatia and Smiths idea was poised to make messaging communication faster and more convenient.
Instead of making money on the service, Bhatia and Smith decided to provide the service for free. This was the best way to ensure that the service would
catch on. Their money-making concept was to charge advertisers for access to
their subscriber base. Not only would they provide access to subscribers but
their ability to track subscribers surfing habits and demographic information
would allow advertisers to customize advertising information as well.
As they developed their new business idea, Bhatia and Smith never gave
up on the relational database concept. They continued their work in this arena.
In the meantime, the Hotmail concept crystallized. Bhatia and Smith realized
that their next step was to raise capital. Their combined personal investment
of $4,000 was not going to be sufficient to make their dream come true.
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they were afraid the venture capitalists would steal or exploit their idea. However, DFJ was unimpressed with the database idea. Recalls DFJ partner Tim
Draper, They were promoting a database product that other people already
had. We were about to show them the door when they mentioned the free e-mail
idea.5 Forced to show their hand early in the game, Bhatia and Smith had to
reveal their trump card. Once on board, DFJ granted Bhatia and Smith approximately $300,000 in funding in exchange for 15 percent of the company.6
Aside from monetary funding, DFJ gave Hotmail its start in what proved
to be one of the most successful campaigns of viral marketing. Viral marketing refers to product or service design that induces the users themselves to
market the product (or service) simply by using it. The venture capitalists suggested that each Hotmail message should end with an advertisement directing recipients to the Hotmail site for their own free e-mail account. Recalls
Draper, When we first suggested it, they were taking the purist point of view,
saying, We cant do thatits spamming![delivering junk e-mail]. But by
the end of the conversation, it dawned on them that it wasnt much different
from running a banner ad.7
The result of this simple marketing device was an explosion of Hotmails
subscriber roster. Hotmail expanded its user base rapidly on very low advertising spending. Much later, Red Herring would write, Draper Fisher Jurvetson came up with the concept of viral marketing, perhaps the most influential
idea in the Internet Economy right now.8
IN THE BEGINNING
Success at gaining funding from DFJ allowed Bhatia and Smith to focus on
their concept. They worked out of a two-room office all day and all night and
took breaks only to go home and sleep. A lot of strategic decisions were made
right there, in the initial stages of the business. Initially, they identified three
marketplaces. One was the consumer market, which was huge. The second was
the corporate market, which meant becoming an application service provider for
e-mail over corporate intranets and extranets. And the third was to create a
packaged Web e-mail product with Hotmails software and actually sell it to
corporations. Early on, however, Bhatia decided to stay away from the last two
market areas because he did not feel they had the resources to build those, and
decided instead to concentrate exclusively on the consumer market.
A month before the product launch, Hotmails burn rate had eaten through
all of its cash. But Bhatia persuaded the original 15 employees to stay with Hotmail for only stock options. At that time in Silicon Valley, jobs were instantly
available and high salaries and stock options were used to attract employees
from other companies. Bhatia commented later, My greatest accomplishment
was not to build the company, but to convince people that this is their company. I showed people how this would ultimately benefit them. . . . We initiated the avalanche.9
The product was launched on July 4, 1996, operating on two primitive
computers. That day, the founders constantly received the number of new
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subscriptions to the site by beeper. After starting with 100 subscribers in the
first hour, Hotmail grew to 100,000 subscribers in a month, and reached a million in less than six months. Hotmail was universally and easily accessible
because, like other websites, it could be reached through any Internet service
provider.
GROWING PAINS
This explosive growth did not go completely without problems. Early on, Hotmail experienced intermittent service outages because of very high consumer
demand. But unlike Juno, an early competitor, Hotmail never restricted how
many users could adopt the service. Instead, Bhatia was continuously beefing
up the services networks, firewalls, and security programs.
Bhatia understood that reliability and convenience of the service were the
key ingredients of success and the creation of a powerful brand. In early 1997
Hotmail implemented a new, highly scalable and redundant architecture. This
new architecture was capable of sustaining more than 50,000 new users a day,
sending and receiving millions of e-mail messages daily, and achieving response
time in less than a second regardless of system load. The system itself was outsourced to Exodus,10 a leader in managing data centers for mission-critical
Internet operations, to ensure constant uptime of all basic operations, including the Internet connection, server hardware, and power. Hotmail was trying
hard to keep pace with the demands of its growth and to implement innovative technologies.
Hotmails Web-based model and fault-tolerant system architecture were
uniquely designed for high-volume traffic and reliability. Its system architecture featured dynamic load balancing and fully redundant storage, power, and
processors that would allow the Hotmail system to scale well beyond the 10
million users it had in January 1997 and to provide a highly reliable and responsive service worldwide. Were particularly excited about the load balancing
design of this architecture, said Jack Smith. When [users log] on to Hotmail, they get the least busy path to their e-mail, which dramatically enhances
their online experience.11 Hotmails performance goals included providing
millisecond system response time and delivery of Hotmail-to-Hotmail messages within five seconds. Every Hotmail Web server was backed up by hot
standby and hot swappable servers that immediately would pick up the workload in case of a failure.
Indeed, Microsoft cited technology as the main reason for its interest in
Hotmail. Hotmail had proven that its technology and systems could handle an
enormous amount of e-mail, and could easily handle even more.
Another round of service slowdowns was caused by vicious attacks from
e-mail marketers using the service to deliver unsolicited electronic mail.12
After numerous user complaints about junk e-mail, Hotmail developed several methods to help users deal with junk e-mail, or so-called spamming.13 For
example, users were provided with filters that redirected junk mail directly to
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the trash bin. Additionally, Hotmail installed automatic controls that observed
the mailing behavior of individual customers.
EXHIBIT 7.1
Subscribers
July 1996
August 1996
October 1996
November 1996
January 1997
March 1997
July 1997
September 1997
October 1997
Total Number
of Subscribers
New Subscribers
per Day
20,000
75,000
250,000
500,000
1,200,000
2,000,000
5,000,000
6,500,000
8,500,000
3,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
60,000
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Competitors
Company
Product
Description
Revenue Model
Date Launched
Number of
Questions New
Subscribers
Must Answer
to Get an
Account
America Online
CompuServe
Juno
USA.Net
Hotmail
ISP
ISP
Juno
NetAddress
Hotmail
Subscriptions Ad
Subscriptions Ad
Ad
Ad
1985
1979 (b)
April 1996
April 1996
(a)
(a)
20
None
Four11
WhoWhere
RocketMail
WhoWhere
ISP
ISP
Free e-mail
Web-based
Web-based
e-mail
Web-based
Web-based
Ad
Ad
Ad
July 1996
March 1997
March 1997
5
5
(a)
ISPs/OSPs
As of late 1997 AOL, Microsoft Network, and CompuServe were the largest
e-mail providers. These companies were ISPs that allocated an e-mail account
to any customer that purchased Internet access. Their revenue model differed
since their accounts were based primarily on subscriptions that cost between
$10 and $20 a month.23 The service is also limited since a user can access his
or her account only from a specific machine.
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HOTMAILS OPTIONS
With the free Web-based e-mail market heating up with an increasing number
of competitors and consolidation in the industry, Hotmail had to figure out
quickly how it should continue to grow and achieve profitability. One option
was to merge with a large portal such as Microsofts MSN. Microsoft had
much to gain through a marriage with Hotmail. Up to this point, Microsoft had
only 2.3 million subscribers and was one of the few portals without a free
Web-based e-mail system. At the same time Microsoft offered services such
as travel and car purchases for its customers. Hotmails list of subscribers and
market information would provide Microsoft with the ability to expand its
market reach and tailor its services.
Hotmails second option was to go public. Major e-mail competitors such
as AOL and CompuServe were public and had deep pockets from the cash generated from the IPO and their own valuable stock currency to market their services and buy smaller companies. A third option was to remain private. Hotmails competitors, Juno, USA.Net, and WhoWhere, each remained private and
continued to thrive. The very independent Hotmail founders could continue to
control and build their company.
Bhatia and Smith shifted in their seats. Should they consider Microsofts
offer of over $200 million and risk losing the companys independence? Or
should they try to go public or remain private? For the companys very survival, they knew that they had to expand the firm quickly and either develop
partnerships or risk giving away potential profits to the growing number of
competitors.
Notes
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11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
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Case Eight
GMBuypower.com:
Dealer Beware
On May 29, 1997, Ann Blakney hung up the phone in her office in Thousand
Oaks, California, and took a deep breath. She had faced many challenges in
her 25-year career at General Motors (GM), including the last four years in
California rebuilding GMs West Coast share. This latest assignment, however, could be her most challenging and highest profile project to date. She
had just received a call from Ron Zarella, the VP of GMs North American
vehicle sales, service, and marketing group. He had asked her to devise a way
for GM to sell a significant volume of cars over the Internet and had given her
90 days to have the service operational. Ann thought about the rapid growth
of Internet-based automotive sales and information companies such as AutoBy-Tel and the threat they represented to the traditional way of doing business at the worlds largest automaker. She also thought about the difficulties
she would have convincing GMs dealers to support a sales tool that would
effectively cut the average profit margin on each vehicle it sold.
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AUTOMOTIVE DISTRIBUTION
Automakers Develop the Franchise System, 19001950
The original automobile manufacturers were small companies that applied
their scarce capital to the development and manufacture of new products.
Lacking the resources necessary to establish fully owned nationwide distribution networks, auto manufacturers turned to entrepreneurs to be the retail
dealers of their products. What emerged was a franchised distribution system
created out of a highly fragmented network of independent businesses.
The franchise system was based on loose sales and service agreements that
gave dealers flexibility in the day-to-day operations of their businesses in
return for a steady supply of vehicles to sell. The agreements gave automakers power over the dealers through the control of product supply, as well as
the right to grant and revoke franchises. The system satisfied both sides as
demand for cars grew steadily through the 1920s and 1930s.
Demand for new automobiles surged after World War II and by 1950, U.S.
vehicle demand was at full production capacity. The Big Three were able to
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Case 8
EXHIBIT 8.1
339
1997
1996
1995
Income
Revenue. . . . . . . . . . . .
Cost of goods sold . . . . . .
Gross profit . . . . . . . . . .
Gross profit margin . . . . . .
SG & A expense . . . . . . . .
Operating income . . . . . . .
Operating margin . . . . . . .
Net income . . . . . . . . . .
Net profit margin . . . . . . .
Full diluted earnings per share
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
. $166,445
. 146,644
.
19,801
.
11.9%
.
16,192
.
3,609
.
2.2%
.
6,698
.
4.0%
.
8.62
$158,015
158,015
22,253
14.1%
14,580
7,673
4.9%
4,963
3.1%
6.02
$163,861
163,861
138,557
15.4%
13,514
11,789
7.2%
6,880
4.2%
7.14
Balance Sheet
Cash . . . . . . . . .
Net receivables . . . .
Inventories . . . . . .
Current assets . . . . .
Assets . . . . . . . . .
Short-term debt . . . .
Current liabilities . . .
Long-term debt . . . .
Liabilities . . . . . . .
Common stock equity.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
$ 14,063
66,614
11,898
100,774
222,142
47,226
61,447
38,074
198,724
23,417
$ 11,044
68,720
11,529
96,892
217,123
46,648
58,547
36,674
193,777
23,344
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
$ 11,262
66,363
12,102
101,449
228,888
51,055
66,837
41,972
211,382
17,505
dictate terms to their dealers who complied to ensure a steady supply of new
vehicles. Manufacturers used this power to force dealers to hold bloated
inventories of cars and parts, purchase expensive repair tools, and contribute
to national advertising funds that did little for local sales. Dealers that did not
comply could be punished by having new competition licensed in their territories or their franchises canceled.
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their dealer franchise laws. One result of these legislative initiatives was that
automakers in the United States are not allowed to sell their vehicles directly
to end users. Even large fleet sales had to be channeled through dealers.
Under this new regulatory environment, dealers and manufacturers were
bound by state and federal franchise laws, which superseded historic sales and
service agreements. Automakers lost the power to strip dealers of their franchises and could no longer seriously punish dealers for low sales volume,
poor customer service ratings, or substandard facilities. Automakers also lost
the right to veto the sale or transfer of a dealership except to known felons.
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has most consumers ranking purchasing a car right up there with a trip to the
dentist. The largest contributor to this dissatisfaction is the negotiating process.
Currently, 85 percent of franchised dealers still practice negotiated selling.
Most of these dealers compensate salespeople heavily on the profit they are
able to extract from the customer.
AutoNation
The most aggressive competitor to CarMax is AutoNation, a superstore chain
started by Wayne Huizengas Republic Industries. Huizenga is famous for his
success in driving consolidation in the video rental idustry with Blockbuster
Video. AutoNations business model is to establish a single retailer that provides the complete range of automotive products and services, including new
and used car sales, finance, insurance, rental services, parts and accessories, and
maintainance. Unlike CarMax, AutoNation plans aggressive growth through
acquisition, and has purchased numerous new and used car dealerships, several car rental companies, and has formed its own finance company. AutoNation plans to have 2 or 3 used car megastores and 9 to 10 new vehicle superstores in each major metropolitan market. Responding to AutoNation, CarMax
has also purchased several new car dealerships.
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EXHIBIT 8.2
343
CarPoint
AutoVantage
CarSmart
Stoneage
Corp.
Auto-By-Tel
AutoWeb
Start-up fee
$2,5006,500
None
$2,500
None
$8001,500
$495
Monthly fee
$5002,500
$475975
$6001,600
$6,0009,000
$300750
$20/lead
Training
2-day on-site
3-day at
headquarters
Regional
seminars,
manual
Training thru
Reynolds &
Reynolds
On-site training
by request,
manual
On-site as
needed,
manual
No formal
training
Auto-By-Tel
Auto-By-Tel was started in 1995 by Peter Ellis, a former automobile dealer
who owned 16 dealerships throughout California and Arizona. Forced into
bankruptcy during the automotive sales recession of the early 1990s, Ellis had
a vision for a new type of automotive showroom on the Internet without the
expensive overhead of traditional bricks-and-mortar facilities. He enlisted a
partner, OSP Prodigy Services, Inc., and together they rolled out a site that
generated 1,300 auto sales by its fourth day.10
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In 1996 the company received 345,000 purchase requests through its site and
had 1,206 subscribed dealerships. In early 1997 Auto-By-Tel was receiving 55
million hits a month on its site and had over 1.2 million unique customers. AutoBy-Tel provides training and support, real-time sales reports to dealer management, and requires dealers to contact customers within 24 hours of a purchase
request. In addition to car sales, Auto-By-Tel partners with American International Group (AIG) and Chase Manhattan Bank to sell vehicle insurance and
auto financing online. Despite the convenience of one-stop shopping and additional value-added services, Auto-By-Tel still has not shown a profit due to high
expenditures in marketing and technology development (see Exhibit 8.3).11
AutoWeb.Com
AutoWeb.com is an online broker founded in Santa Clara, California, in 1994.
AutoWeb allows users to research new and used cars for purchase, as well as
advertise vehicles for sale. The companys AutoWeb Affiliate program pays
participating online partners a commission for each customer sent by hotlink
who either completes a purchase request or advertises a vehicle for sale.
AutoWeb provides a fee-based service to participating dealers, allowing them
to access data on the sites customers and receive statistics on local demand
for used vehicles. AutoWeb partners with State Farm Insurance and NationsBank to sell automotive insurance and financing. In 1997 AutoWeb had 750
participating dealerships and expected rapid dealer membership growth
driven by a new fee-per-lead pricing structure.12
CarPoint
Microsoft Corporation founded CarPoint in 1995 as a feature site on its
new Microsoft Network (MSN) portal. It was originally introduced as an
EXHIBIT 8.3
Year Ended
March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, December 31,
1996
1996
1996
1996
1996
Revenues
$ 274
$ 436
$ 952
$ 1,434
$ 2,203
$ 5,025
Operating expenses:
Marketing and advertising
Selling, training, and support
Technology development
General administrative
Total operating expenses
476
454
99
275
1,304
475
362
67
134
1,038
678
563
78
258
1,577
1,247
851
294
740
3,132
2,039
1,417
954
1,027
5,437
4,439
3,197
1,393
2,159
11,184
Net loss:
$(1,030)
$(602)
(6)
$(631)
22
$(1,676)
108
$(3,126)
124
$(6,036)
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Toyota
Foreign car manufacturers began to introduce multilingual online sites in late
1995. One of the pioneers was Toyota, the leading import brand in the United
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States, which offers its Toyota Internet Drive site in Japanese- and Englishlanguage versions. The site offers over 2,600 pages of information on Toyotas new vehicle models and data on Japans automobile industry. Based on
research indicating that over 56 percent of Toyota car owners and over 80 percent of luxury-division Lexus owners had access to a PC, Toyota has invested
heavily in feature-rich CD-ROMs and online marketing campaigns to assist
its dealers. In late 1996 a national Web development and corporate guideline
training program was started across Toyotas 12 U.S. regions. As an additional feature, Toyota has partnered with international marketing and advertising giant Saatchi & Saatchi to add content on gardening, travel, sports, and
other special interests in an effort to develop affinity groups centered around
the @Toyota site.
Volvo
Swedish automaker Volvo has made the most innovative use of the Web. When
the company launched its website in October 1994, it incorporated links from
the corporate site to the Web pages of 50 of its 385 North American dealers.
Volvo is a small manufacturer with an affluent, highly educated customer base
that often uses the Internet. The company was a pioneer in adopting online
content to complement and possibly reduce its reliance on expensive advertising. Swedens lax dealer franchise laws have allowed Volvo to explore
ways to eliminate costs by restructuring its traditional value chain using the
Web.19
GMS RESPONSEGMBUYPOWER.COM
The Team
Ann Blakney began working for GM as a summer intern in 1974 while completing her MBA at Stanford and has spent the bulk of her career at the
automaker in sales and marketing positions. Ann also has a bachelors and masters degree in psychology. Charged with turning around GMs performance in
California, which had long been a stronghold for imported cars, Blakney
changed a number of long-standing dealer practices to improve the consumer
purchase experience. She created the Value Pricing program to eliminate the
unpopular haggling between the dealer and customer. Under this program
cars are offered at a set price incorporating a moderate dealer margin (11 percent instead of 17 percent).20 She also broke an industry taboo by putting
independently compiled competitor price information in the showroom. This
was a break with the existing unspoken rule to never say too much about the
competition. These moves to develop a less adversarial purchase experience
for the consumer have contributed to a 20 percent increase in sales and a 22
percent increase in GMs market share in California over the past four years.21
In the first days after Zarellas call, Blakney put together a team to undertake
her new Internet assignment. She brought together six people with a variety of
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backgrounds to handle operations and technical issues, finance, field marketing (working with dealers), advertising, and public relations. It was decided
to test the concept in four western statesCalifornia, Washington, Oregon,
and Idaho. Technology development and website hosting was outsourced to
former GM subsidiary Electronic Data Systems while website design was
performed by Catalyst Resources.
The Process
The challenge of initiating GMs Internet sales program within 90 days
meshed with Blakneys conviction that speed to market is critical for success
in online sales. Blakney says of the Internet, Its different from the traditional business model in which you evaluate all of the eventualities. You dont
have time. You have to make a commitment of first to market, first to learn.
Its much more aggressive.22
Blakney and her team envision one of the key roles of the site as providing an in-depth source of information about GM and competitor vehicles,
allowing customers to research their options before entering the showroom.
This concept differs from the accepted industry marketing philosophy, which
seeks to entice the customer onto a dealers lot where the sales department
can close a sale. Blakneys goal was to empower online consumers with information that would streamline the buying process. She sought to create a competitive advantage for GM in attracting consumers who were using the Internet to escape the misery of the traditional vehicle purchase process.
Ninety-eight days into the project Blakneys team began the crucial
process of enlisting dealer participation in the experiment. Blakneys team
began an exhaustive road-show pitching to dealers across the four test states.
It was very difficult to convince the dealers that it was a good idea to give
your best price to consumers on the Internet. Each dealer that signed up had
to have a salesperson trained in effective e-mail communication to handle the
correspondence with customers. The team would eventually enroll dealers
supplying 70 percent of GMs volume in the four-state region.
GMBuyPower.com was launched on October 27, 1997, just 137 days after
its inception. The site was hyped with a blitz of Internet, print, radio, and TV
advertising. The press had been introduced to the concept two weeks earlier,
and GM set up a studio in Hollywood with a bank of PCs for reporters to try
identifying, configuring, and pricing vehicles on the site.
The Website
GMBuyPower.com is currently active in four states: California, Washington,
Oregon, and Idaho. GMs initial plan was to roll out the site to the rest of the
country in the first quarter of 1999.
The website provides consumers with:
Extensive vehicle information.
Third-party competitive comparison.
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EXHIBIT 8.4
Sales as a
Percentage of U.S.
Auto Market
Toyota
U.S. market
Auto-By-Tel sales
8.0%
12.0
Honda
GM
7.0%
12.0
31.0%
19.0
349
Chrysler
16.0%
18.5
Notes
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
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12. AutoWeb Doubles Dealer Count with per Lead Fees, Automotive News,
August 17, 1998.
13. Microsoft Pitches Auto Mall on the Web, Automotive News, July 21,
1997.
14. CarPoint Revs Up to Overtake Rivals, Automotive News, October 12,
1998.
15. Smart Sellers, Buyers Use Kelley Blue Book in Their Automotive Dealings, Sacramento Bee, September 19, 1996.
16. Kelley Blue Book Sets Up on the Internet, Wards Auto World, January
1997.
17. Court: Ford Had Right to Veto Dealership Sale, Automotive News,
March 25, 1996; Surfs Up: Ford Dealers Hit the Web, Automotive
News, June 10, 1996.
18. Chrysler Web Touts BestCSI Dealers, Automotive News, February 24,
1997.
19. Volvo Starts Selling on the Net, Automotive News Europe, May 25,
1998.
20. GM on the Web, San Francisco Chronicle, September 9, 1998.
21. Can General Motors Learn to Love the Net? Business 2.0, September
1998.
22. Ibid.
23. GM Revs Up Web Sales, San Francisco Chronicle, September 9, 1998.
24. Heard on the Beat; GM Expands Online, Los Angeles Times, September 28, 1998.
25. GM Revs Up Web Sales.
26. Can General Motors Learn to Love the Net?
27. Ibid.
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Case Nine
iVillage:
Innovation among
Womens Websites
Candice Carpenter, cofounder and CEO of iVillage, looked out the window of
her New York City office and reflected on the stunning achievements of her
company. The womens online network had experienced an extremely successful initial public offering (IPO), raising approximately $292 million in
market value on its first day of trading in March 1999. iVillage, having established a name for itself as the ultimate womens online resource, had reached
a pivotal moment in its growth cycle. However, over the last four months,
competition was heating up.
Three of the most powerful women in entertainment had teamed up to form
Oxygen Media, a new company set up to offer integrated media and entertainment services by broadcasting over different channels. Launched in 1998
by Geraldine Laybourne, Oxygen, like iVillage, recognized the value of this
powerful and growing consumer audience. However, in addition to offering a
stand-alone website, Oxygen planned to launch a cable station on January 1,
2000. Oxygens long-term business model was highly innovative in that it
revolved around convergence of the Web with television. The firms website
was slated to go online May 1, 1999.
Knowing that iVillages current business model would not create the sustainable revenues Carpenter needed, she speculated on what to say to the new
stockholders at their first meeting the following morning. How should iVillage
New York University Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Carol Foley, Falguni Pandya,
Anne Shiva, Jonathan Singer, and H. Dassi Weinstein prepared this case under the supervision
of Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate
either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2001 by
McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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innovate its product offering in the face of new competitive threats, notably
Oxygens arrival, and not alienate its current customer base? Carpenter started
outlining ideas for product development.
WOMEN AS A MARKET
According to the Womens Consumer Network, women control 85 percent of
all personal and household goods spending. Women also consume more media
than men per day (8.8 hours versus 8.2 hours), and they currently account for
43 percent of Internet and online service users. In addition, women comprise
57 percent of new Internet service provider subscribers.
Moreover, according to an iVillage Womens Net Monitor poll taken in February 1998, the Internet was no longer a place to gather information passively;
rather, women were using it to actively solve real problems. The poll was conducted with 700 online respondents, split between men and women. Once on
the Web, more women than men met and kept new friends. In addition, more
women rated the online community as an important part of their lives.
An iVillage online survey conducted in 1999 revealed that 77 percent of
women went online primarily to explore, but 86 percent stayed because they
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found information that helped them get through their daily lives. The survey
results validated what iVillage believed from the beginning.
Bearing in mind these statistics, we can understand why womens websites
have grown and flourished. Prior to 2000, three dominant players had emerged:
iVillage, Women.com, and the latest, Oxygen Media, Inc. Each company in its
own way attempted to capitalize on this powerful niche market.
THE COMPETITION
Carpenter was concerned about emerging threats from other online start-ups
that were targeting women such as Oxygen Media, Inc., and Women.com.
Allison Abraham, iVillages chief operating officer, commenting on the
competition, said that We must stay focused as opportunities are ours to
keep.4
Women.com
Women.com, partly owned by Hearst New Media and Technology, a subsidiary of the publishing giant, was originally founded as a content site. During the creation of the Women.com site, the firm was able to exploit Hearsts
rich database on women customers. Like other womens sites, Women.com
evolved to have some community features, and most recently, has started a
small commerce venture.
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WWW.i VILLAGE.COM
History
Cofounders CEO Candice Carpenter and editor-in-chief Nancy Evans established iVillage in June 1995. Carpenter began thinking about the idea for iVillage while working as a consultant to AOL. As a single mother of two children, Carpenter knew that women today are so pragmatic and time-pressed
that they use the Web to find out how to get things done.
The company, headquartered in New York City, humanized cyberspace by
providing a relevant online experience for women. Carpenter and Evans originally created a one-stop destination for women looking for information on
topics such as children, health, and family. They developed a site that was primarily a content site without any intercommunication. However, because of
the way women use the Internet and the sites dynamic information, iVillage
then evolved into an online community where members exchanged advice
and developed relationships. In this case, the consumers drove the sites innovation. The firm had to respond by further developing its offering to fit the
needs and wants of its users.
Target Market
iVillage was one of the most demographically targeted online communities
on the Web. The network of sites was tailored to the interests and needs of
women aged 25 through 49. The average household income of the iVillage
customer was $55,000; most were married, employed full-time, and had
attended collegean attractive market segment for potential advertisers and
sponsors (see Exhibit 9.1). As such, the site was recognized as a leader in
developing innovative sponsorships and commerce relationships. This leadership position was vital to the companys revenue growth through the 1990s.
Product
iVillage.com was the worlds largest online destination for women. By actively
participating in the networks communities, members learned from experts
and from each other, gained empowerment to find solutions, and inspired fellow members to handle everyday challenges more effectively. Candice Carpenter summed up the goal of iVillages offerings: We strive to help women
navigate through increasingly busy lives and maximize their potential in their
various roles as parents, friends, spouses, partners, career women, breadwinners, employees, and individuals.5
iVillage was the first company to offer this type of online product to women.
Moreover, the firm innovated its product offering into what could be called the
un-content provider. The firm developed its site into a community-oriented
site from its original content-only product. Offering support groups, bulletin
boards, and buddies, iVillage developed a community for every interest. iVillages channels and sites included: Better Health, Career, Relationships,
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EXHIBIT 9.1
iVillage
Demographic
Profile
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9. iVillage: Innovation
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355
Gender
Female/Male
Age
Average
80%/20%
33.7
Household Income
Average
$54,744
Marital Status
Married
Living w/ partner
Single
Separated/divorced/widowed
59.6%
7.6%
21.7%
11.2%
Employment Status
Full-time
Part-time
Work from home
Unemployed
Full-time parent
Student
Retired
55.0%
9.7%
9.3%
5.6%
8.7%
9.1%
2.7%
Education
Attended/graduated college
Attended graduate school
Postgraduate degree
61.2%
6.4%
12.7%
Food, ParentsPlace, Shopping, Fitness & Beauty, Work From Home, Travel,
Pets, Astrology.net, Book Club, and Money Life. Also, iVillage and Intuit, the
makers of Quicken, launched Armchair Millionaire in an online partnership.
Beyond Armchair Millionaire, iVillage offered little information on finance
or world news, although it did offer a group of experts available for consultation on many topics. At any one time, there were some 1,400 ongoing discussion boards which brought together groups of like-minded women who
shared experiences or helped each other solve problems. For example, the
Work from Home section offered a software library filled with bookkeeping,
billing, legal, payroll, and sales-lead shareware. From the Health page, members could access the huge store of medical information in its database. In
contrast, competing aggregate sites tended to resemble traditional womens
magazines, carrying mostly articles and lacking any chat or message board
functions.
Traffic
In terms of traffic, iVillage was the most successful womens website. Traffic
flow was vital because it was a concrete definition of success and future potential in Internet business models at the time. According to Relevant Knowledge, a Web measurement company, more than 2 million different visitors
visited iVillage sites during June 1998 alone. This was more than twice the
traffic of its nearest competitor, Women.com. April 1998 statistics revealed
that iVillage had the largest reach (3.8 percent) of any womens site and it
claimed 65 million page views a month. Traffic to the site continued to increase
exponentially.
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Financial Issues
A growing number of industry watchers and executives have begun to
question how a volume-driven Internet can survive, let alone grow, when
its native businesses can bring themselves to utter the P word only in the
negative. No profit for the foreseeable future is now a boilerplate
disclaimer in the prospectus of an Internet company preparing an initial
stock offering.6
Susan Karlin, Upside Magazine
Like many companies based on the World Wide Web, iVillage had yet to
turn a profit. Indeed, it had accumulated a substantial deficit; the company
was still spending more money than it brought in. Analysts surmised that the
companys profitability was not a near-term goal; losses grew in 1998 to
$43.7 million from $21.3 million in 1997 (see Exhibit 9.2). Clearly, accumulating losses were a consideration when reviewing and restructuring iVillages
business model.
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iVillage Financials
Income Statement
1998
Revenues:
Sponsorship, advertising, and usage
Commerce
Total revenues
Operating expenses:
Production, product, and technology
Sales and marketing
General and administrative
Depreciation and amortization
Total operating expenses
Loss from operations
Interest income (expense), net
Loss on sale of website
Minority interest
Net loss
1997
$ 12,450,620
2,561,203
15,011,823
6,018,696
6,018,696
14,521,015
28,522,874
10,612,434
5,683,006
59,339,329
(44,327,506)
591,186
(503,961)
586,599
$(43,653,682)
7,606,355
8,770,581
7,840,588
2,886,256
27,103,780
(21,085,084)
(215,876)
$(21,300,960)
Balance Sheet
1998
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Accounts receivable
Other current assets
Total current assets
Fixed assets, net
Goodwill and other intangible assets, net
Other assets
Total assets
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
Capital leases payable
Deferred revenue
Other current liabilities
Total current liabilities
Capital leases payable, net of current portion
Total liabilities
Stockholders equity:
Convertible series
Common stock
Additional paid-in capital
Accumulated deficit
Stockholders notes receivable
Unearned compensation and deferred advertising
Total stockholders equity
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
1997
$ 30,824,869
3,147,561
715,161
34,687,591
7,380,366
4,535,148
187,860
$ 46,790,965
4,334,721
2,199,520
153,985
6,688,226
3,802,823
5,598,233
146,801
$ 16,236,083
$ 11,559,711
136,573
2,909,740
162,859
14,768,883
14,768,883
21,851
21,133
112,848,505
(76,274,895)
(565,000)
(4,029,512)
32,022,082
$ 46,790,965
9,486
18,197
43,180,649
(32,621,213)
(65,000)
10,522,119
$ 16,236,083
3,989,945
247,943
1,004,199
332,531
5,574,618
139,346
5,713,964
1996
$
732,045
732,045
4,521,410
2,708,779
3,103,864
108,956
10,443,009
(9,710,964)
28,282
$(9,682,682)
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Notes
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Case Ten
eBay, Inc.:
Diversification in
the Internet
Auction Market
eBay Agrees to Buy Butterfield & Butterfield
eBay press releases, April 26, 1999
eBay Purchases Respected Automobile Auctioneer
eBay press releases, May 18, 1999
eBay Halts Auction of Human Kidney; Bidding Had Reached $5.7 Million
CBS MarketWatch, September 2, 1999
eBay Comes to Tampa-St. Petersburg with New Local Web Site
PR Newswire, October 27, 1999
eBay Starts Business-to-Business Auctions
Reuters, November 4, 1999
New York University Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Mark Abramowitz, Theresa
Harpster, Justina Nixon-Saintil, Carol Szeto, and Josh Witz prepared this case under the
supervision of Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to
illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright
2001 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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Nineteen ninety-nine was a tremendous year for eBay, the champion of the
person-to-person online auction business. Gross merchandise sales rose 280 percent, to $741 million from $195 million the previous year, and registered users
jumped 509 percent, to 7.7 million from 1.3 million.1 eBay has emerged as
one of the leading Internet companies among online giants such as Amazon
and Yahoo! However, given the increasingly competitive online auction market, Margaret C. Whitman, the CEO of eBay, knew that the battle ahead would
not be easy. As she retraced the events that happened in the last six months, she
pondered eBays strategy to manage both the external competitive situation
and the internal hypergrowth of the company.
Several issues were troubling Whitman. eBay had always focused on the
person-to-person auction market. But given the recent hype about the growth
prospects in the business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B)
markets, was eBay missing out on these opportunities? Besides, this year the
company started pursuing a regional and international expansion strategy as
well as an off-line strategy by purchasing two auction houses. Even if eBay
did enter the new markets, would it be spreading itself too thin? How could it
integrate these different ideas without losing focus on the core business? eBays
revenue model was another concern. Some competitors were relying on their
retail revenue and offering auction services for free. Was eBays main revenue
stream from placement fees and commissions on transactions sustainable?
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EXHIBIT 10.1
Pierre Omidyar
Jeff Skoll
Margaret C. Whitman
Title
Founder
First president
Current CEO
Education
Experience
Auction Web was incorporated in 1996 and changed its name to eBay in
1997 when it began promoting itself through banner ads and advertising. By
the middle of that year, eBay was boasting nearly 800,000 auctions each day.
eBay was profitable from the beginning and unsolicited offers from venture
capitalists began to pour in. It secured a $3 million round of venture financing from Benchmark Capital that it put in the bank and never touched. We
wanted a good mentor, not money, explained Jeff Skoll.4
In early 1998 Omidyar turned over the CEO position to Margaret (Meg)
Whitman, formerly of Bain Consulting, Procter & Gamble, Disney, StrideRite,
FTD, and Hasbro, so he could concentrate on strategy. eBays highly successful IPO occurred in September of that year. With heavy marketing through
national advertising campaigns and alliances with America Online and WebTV,
eBay had become a household name identified with the largest online auction
trading community. The number of registered users had grown to more than 6
million (see Exhibit 10.2) and eBay was deemed the stickiest site on the
Internet, according to the Nielsen/NetRatings research in the first quarter of
1999 (see Exhibit 10.3). One year after its initial public offering (IPO), eBay
now had a market capitalization of $19 billion. Unlike most of the Internet startups, eBay was actually making a profit$2.4 million on sales of $47.3 million
in fiscal 1998 (see Exhibit 10.4 for eBays quarterly financial statements).
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EXHIBIT 10.2
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9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
EXHIBIT 10.3
Property
eBay
Yahoo!
MSN
Uproar
The Excite Network
AOL sites
Prodigy
Knight Ridder Real
Cities Network
GO Network
CNN
Type
Monthly Rank
Time Spent
(hours:minutes:seconds)
By
Unique
Audience
Pages
per
Person
Auction
Portal
Portal
Gaming
Portal
Portal
Portal
3:08:19
1:02:34
1:00:03
0:44:21
0:33:10
0:32:01
0:31:47
17
2
3
65
7
1
56
233
75
48
33
30
24
11
Newspapers
Portal Plus
News
0:29:18
0:27:46
0:26:43
59
5
20
22
27
25
363
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EXHIBIT 10.4A
eBAY INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Year Ended December 31,
1996
1997
372
14
358
$ 5,744
746
4,998
$ 47,352
6,859
40,493
Operating expenses:
Sales and marketing
Product development
General and administrative
Amortization of acquired intangibles
Total operating expenses
32
28
45
105
1,730
831
950
3,511
19,841
4,606
9,080
805
34,332
253
1
254
(106)
1,487
59
(3)
1,543
(669)
6,161
908
(39)
7,030
(4,632)
Net revenues
Cost of net revenues
Gross profit
Net income
148
0.02
6,375
$
0.00
$42,945
1998
874
0.04
22,313
$
0.01
$82,660
2,398
0.05
49,895
$
0.02
$114,590
valuable collectibles. Goods were sold through an auction that lasted several
days. Many bids were usually garnered for each item. Each day, more than 2
million new auctions were conducted and over 200,000 new items were listed.
Conceptually, the online auction was similar to that of physical auctions.
In a nutshell: Items were listed and viewed, bids were entered, and items were
purchased and delivered (see Exhibit 10.5 for the eBay trading community).
Since only very expensive rare items were typically sold at physical auctions,
an online auction filled the void for all other goods.
Before bidders could bid and sellers could list items for sale, each had to
register with eBay, indicating some personal contact and credit card information, and acknowledging acceptance of disclaimer and disclosure rules. Like
the off-line world, a bid invoked a legally binding contract.
To list an item for sale, a seller had to choose which category to list it
under. Categories included antiques, collectibles, sports memorabilia, dolls,
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eBAY INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME
(in thousands, except per share amounts; unaudited)
Net revenues:
Fees and services
Real estate rentals
Total net revenues
Cost of net revenues:
Fees and services
Real estate rentals
Total cost of net revenues
Gross profit
Operating expenses:
Sales and marketing
Product development
General and administrative
Amortization of acquired intangibles
Merger related costs
Total operating expenses
Income (loss) from operations
Interest and other income, net
Interest expense
Income before income taxes
Provision for income taxes
Net income
Net income per share:
Basic
Diluted
Weighted average shares:
Basic
Diluted
Supplemental pro forma information:
Income before income taxes
Provision for income taxes as reported
Pro forma adjustment to provision
for income taxes
Pro forma net income
Pro forma net income per share:
Basic
Diluted
1998
1999
1998
$ 20,816
915
21,731
$ 57,632
893
58,525
$ 52,143
3,056
55,199
$147,827
2,978
150,805
3,947
420
4,367
17,364
16,687
394
17,081
41,444
8,635
1,509
10,144
45,055
34,821
1,182
36,003
114,802
9,414
1,514
4,249
327
15,504
1,860
190
(351)
1,699
(1,238)
$
461
27,230
6,851
11,779
328
46,188
(4,744)
7,524
(449)
2,331
(979)
$ 1,352
21,317
3,062
11,049
477
35,905
9,150
686
(1,279)
8,557
(3,923)
$ 4,634
67,104
14,490
29,481
983
4,359
116,417
(1,615)
14,880
(1,491)
11,774
(5,841)
$ 5,933
$
$
$
$
$
$
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.12
0.04
1999
0.06
0.04
48,385
113,619
115,980
140,082
39,002
109,625
105,864
135,358
$ 1,699
(1,238)
$ 2,331
(979)
$ 8,557
(3,923)
$ 11,774
(5,841)
274
735
$ 1,352
(1,239)
$ 3,395
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.09
0.03
(677)
5,256
0.05
0.04
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EXHIBIT 10.5
Source: eBay and BT Alex. Brown Research Report, October 27, 1998.
1 Lists item
3 Bids on item
8 Auctions
fees ($$)
Seller
Buyer
2 Feedback
on seller
4 Notification of
winning bid!
5 Feedback
on buyer
jewelry, pottery, toys, and so forth. Each category was divided into more specific subcategories. For example, the computer category was broken up into
hardware and software; the hardware subcategory was divided into areas such
as modems, printers, monitors, and so on. Once selected, the seller indicated
the duration of the auction (three days minimum), lowest bid acceptable, purchase description and photo (if available), payment (currency specified), and
delivery terms.
During the auction period, eBay updated bidders about the status of their
bidwhether they were high or had been outbid. To avoid having to monitor
an auction continuously, bidders could invoke the bid proxy. Here, bidders
specified up front the maximum they would pay for an item; eBay then monitored the auction and adjusted the bid as needed without exceeding the maximum level. Upon auction closing, eBay sent e-mail messages to seller and
bidders notifying them of the results and reminding the high bidder of the
need to contact the seller within three business days to claim the item.
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the reliability and credibility of the buyer or seller, and an optional escrow
system (i-Escrow) through which payment would be released to the seller only
when the buyer gave approval. With these additional value-added services,
eBay was able to address consumer concerns about security and to attract more
users to its site.
Another factor vital to eBays existence was technology. In the second and
third quarters of 1999, eBay experienced several outages that resulted in the
companys loss of millions of dollars in revenue. While eBay traditionally
relied chiefly on internal resources to maintain and service its technology
infrastructure, it announced that it would outsource its back-end Internet technology to Abovenet Communications and Exodus Communications. Thus,
the maintenance and performance responsibilities for Web servers, database
servers, and Internet routers would switch to an external provider. As eBay
continued to grow, it hoped these measures would help ensure success.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
The public has embraced online bidding ever since eBay pioneered personto-person online auctions. The Internet has collapsed the distance between
buyers and sellers, thereby creating a dynamic marketplace where prices were
more fluid than ever. Now, the market had evolved to include not only personal collectibles, but also surplus inventory offered by retail merchants. The
auction market had become increasingly crowded because barriers to entry
were very low. Auction technologies such as LiveExchange and AuctionNow
were readily available, essentially allowing any online merchant to offer these
services. In the consumer auction space, eBay competed with many players,
including Amazon, Yahoo!, and FairMarket.
Amazon.com
Amazon.com was the largest and broadest online consumer retailer, with close
to 12 million registered customers as of the second quarter of 1998. The companys mission was to help people find almost anything they wanted to buy
online, including books, toys, pets, and furniture. In March 1999 Amazon
moved into the online auction space to compete head-to-head with eBay. Its
online auction house was called zShops and it conducted both person-toperson and business-to-consumer auctions.
To distinguish its auction services, Amazon provided a $250 guarantee for
consumers, and a $1,000 guarantee if the transaction was conducted through
its 1-Click ordering capability. These guarantees addressed the fraud issue.
The well-known brand name, an established customer base, and the ability to
cross-market its retail and auction merchandise certainly helped Amazon build
a strong presence in the online auction world.
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Yahoo!
Yahoo!, founded in 1995, was at the time the most popular Internet portal site.
It offered a branded network of comprehensive information, communication,
and shopping services to millions of users daily, and it boasted more monthly
usage hours than any other site on the Internet. To start its own auction service, Yahoo! first licensed Onsales technology and then took over Exchange,
Onsales person-to-person auction service. The Yahoo! auction was free and
supported only by advertising revenues.
FairMarket AuctionPlace
FairMarket, founded in 1997, represented the newest competitor in the online
auction market that posed a significant threat to eBay. In September 1999 it
announced a plan to aggregate the bidders and sellers across about 100 portal,
retail, and community sites, including MSN, Excite, Lycos, Dell, and Ticketmaster Online, and allowed goods to be shared among these member sites.
This meant that someone listing a used Palm Pilot for sale on Lycos, for
instance, would automatically have the gadget posted on the auction sites of
Microsoft and Excite as well.5 Pulling together an instant critical mass of a
combined 50 million users, FairMarket was helping companies to extend their
reach to consumers and challenge the leading auctioneer eBay.
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International Expansion
As eBay continued to penetrate the auction market in the United States, it also
planned to leverage its knowledge in this core market across international
borders. In June 1999 eBay purchased alando.de, a German online trading
community. In addition, the company developed separate Web pages for several communities abroad and mechanisms to allow cross-border trading. eBay
had been building up its management team according to specific markets,
including (1) Germany, Switzerland, and Austria, (2) the U.K., France, and
Scandinavia, (3) Asia (Japan and Korea), (4) China, and (5) Australia and
New Zealand.8 It was expected that eBay would invest aggressively in these
target markets to secure a leadership position in the online auction market.
THE FUTURE?
With the person-to-person auction market becoming increasingly competitive, Meg Whitman wondered what should be the next step for eBay. Although
she repeatedly told the press that the strategy for eBay was to focus on the
person-to-person (P2P) market, the opportunity to bring in name-brand partners to offer business-to-consumer (B2C) auctions certainly sounded attractive. Forrester Research predicted that while P2P auctions constituted 70 percent of 1998 online auction sales, B2C auctions would gain momentum and
generate 66 percent of total online auction market revenues by 2003.9 Competitors such as Amazon and FairMarket were already entering that market.
Should eBay follow the lead?
Another opportunity for eBay was business-to-business (B2B) auctions. In
fall 1999, eBay started offering a B2B sales category on its German auction
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Notes
1. Carolyn Koo, eBay Beats Estimates But Stock Takes a Bath, www
.thestreet.com/_yahoo/brknews/internet/805387.html.
2. Linda Himelstein, eBay vs. Amazon, Business Week, May 31, 1999, p. 128.
3. Cate T. Corcoran, Does eBay Represent a New Way of Doing Business?
Red Herring, www.redherring.com/mag/issue69/news-auctions.html.
4. Ibid.
5. Jon G. Auerbach, Internet Giants Pool Their Bids for Auction Site to
Rival eBay, The Wall Street Journal, September 17, 1999, p. B1.
6. Christina Stubbs, Internet Upstarts Are Acquiring Complementary RealWorld Operations to Expand Their Markets, Red Herring, www.redherring
.com/mag/issue70/news-physical.html.
7. Adam Lashinsky, eBays Not-So-Secret Strategy for World Domination,
www.thestreet.com/comment/siliconstreet/805456.html.
8. Research on eBay Inc., Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown, August 11, 1999.
9. Evie Black Dykema, Kate Delhagen, and Carrie Ardito, Consumers Catch
Auction Fever, The Forrester Report, March 1999.
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Case Eleven
Microsoft:
Xbox Online
Greg Canessa gazed at the Cascade Mountains as the evening sun settled in the
west. Canessa, business development manager and lead planner for Microsofts
Online Games (and a lifelong gamer), was contemplating the outcome of the
online strategy the team had selected for the console. The brief historical landscape of online video games was strewn with failed ventures, but Microsoft
was counting on a new technology environment to create a golden era of global
multiplayer interaction. For a company that could easily rest on its laurels,
Microsoft was taking a huge and very public gamble that its new Xbox game
console would become a centerpiece of delivering online gaming.
Microsoft was a behemoth in the software industry. The company frequently
recorded more annual profits than the rest of the software industry combined
and was sitting on a $36.2 billion war chest of cash.1 By 2001, the ubiquitous
Windows operating system ran nearly 95 percent of the personal computers
in the world.2 Since Bill Gates and Paul Allen founded Microsoft in 1975, the
company had always been noted for being aggressive in defending its home
turf, and relentless in attacking new ones. However, this entry into the gaming business was Microsofts biggest leap ever outside of its core software
business, putting the company in an unfamiliar role as a consumer electronics and game maker.
Why was Microsoft betting so much on the home gaming console industry?
The industry appeared to be attractive, but a respected competitor had recently
exited the market. Was there enough market potential to justify Microsofts
hefty investment? Would online gaming provide a market opportunity for
consoles? There were many PC gamers online, but fewer than 1 million were
paying for access. Could the game console potentially reduce the importance
of the PC? Sony was betting that the multimedia and online capabilities of the
This case was prepared by Ira Hall, David Ibrahim, Hemant Mandal, Clint Perez, Bryan
Richards, and John Schumacher under the direction of Professor Allan Afuah at the University
of Michigan Business School. Copyright 2002 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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PS2 would move the consumer away from the computer and in front of the
television. Would the Xbox, with its advanced technology and online capabilities, trump the competition?
Greg leaned back and wondered whether the Internet-connected Xbox would
preserve Microsofts place at the top of the technology food chain for a third
decade.
Online Gaming
By the late 1990s, online gaming had begun to show potential for mass consumer appeal. According to the Interactive Digital Software Association (IDSA),
approximately one-third of Internet users regularly played online games. Fortythree percent of those playing online games had been doing so for less than a
year, a signal that this form of entertainment was in an early stage of growth.
Seventy-nine percent of online gamers were between the ages of 25 and 55.
* The difference between 8-bit and 16-bit is a significant increase in processing power.
Sixteen bit essentially doubles system power, allowing games to contain higher resolution
graphics and better sound.
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The IDSA study showed the potential of the online game market, but it also
offered a cautionary note: 89 percent of those who played games online indicated that they were not willing to pay to do so, and only 1 in 10 online game
players paid for a subscription to any of the online game services.5 Leading
technology analysts predicted that the American video game market would
grow to $40 billion by 2003. They also forecasted that online gaming subscription revenues in the U.S. would grow from $270 million in 2001 to $4.6
billion in 2005.6 Experts estimated 35.1 million people played online games
in 2001.7 By 2001, the two most comprehensive gaming websites were the
Microsoft Game Zone (the Zone) and EA.com, Electronic Arts online and
e-commerce business. The Zone and EA.com offered to connect PC gamers
to other players who had the same game installed on their PCs. They also
offered games directed toward families and casual players.
Industry Segments
While online gaming was beginning to attract attention, in 2000 the home
video game industry consisted primarily of three main segments: hardware, software, and accessories. The hardware segment included game consoles (e.g., the
Sony PlayStation), portable game players (e.g., the Nintendo GameBoy), and
personal computers. The software segment featured the games that ran on the
hardware. The accessory segment consisted of game controllers and other
peripherals. Online communities had just entered the stage. These communities ran games through the Internet but did not sell hardware or software. In
2000, industry revenue breakdown was 70 percent software, 20 percent hardware, and 10 percent accessories.8
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Industry observers monitored the success of the loss leader strategy through
metrics such as the attach rate. This rate measured the number of games sold
for each individual console in a given year. The greater the attach rate, the
greater the likelihood the console maker would achieve its profitability goals
via the loss leader strategy. Exhibit 11.1 charts historical attach rates for three
of the leading consoles from 1995 to 2000.
Online gaming communities were all PC-based to date and some charged
subscription fees for the use of their services. For example, EA.com charged
individuals a $10 monthly fee for each premium game title a user wanted to
play online and allowed the user to play less popular games for free. In other
cases, users had access to free online games, usually through an individuals
private server. A gamer might host a game like Quake, with other users buying a CD version of the game and playing online through the hosts server
without additional fees. Under a third model, game publishers sold titles
through retail stores and then matched gamers against one another at no additional charge. The gamers were responsible for finding servers and Internet
connections through which they could play online. Games such as Blizzard
Entertainments Starcraft used this model, though the companys Battle.net
website auto-assigned servers.
EXHIBIT 11.1
Historical Software
Attach Rates
Retail Sales of
Software Units Per
Installed Hardware
Base (units)
Source: NPD, Bank of
America Securities LLC
estimates.
PS1
N64
GB
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Year
Auto-assigning a server means the software picks the best server for the gamer. The choice
of server is based on connection speed, server load, etc. Conversely, gamers may also pick
the server they want to play on, perhaps because their friends are on it as well or for other
reasons.
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EXHIBIT 11.2
375
Narrowband versus
Broadband
Source: McKinsey &
Company, Narrowband
3/2000, Broadband 9/2000.
News
Consumer transaction
Community*
Entertainment**
Portals/ISPs
Other
Narrowband
(15.9 hours/month)
Broadband
(21.4 hours/month)
4%
1
43
14
8
19
4%
9
35
32
5
15
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Microsofts Xbox would face competition on various fronts. At the start of the
21st century, two players dominated the video game console market. Sony
and Nintendo, both Japanese manufacturers, controlled roughly 70 percent of
worldwide industry revenues in June 2001 through their PlayStation (1 and 2)
and N64 lines.13 The companies enjoyed extensive user bases, popular products, tremendous brand recognition, and widespread distribution.
Broadband is considered any service that provides 128kbps bandwidth or higher.
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EXHIBIT 11.3
Game Franchises
Source: NPD, Bank of
America Securities LLC
estimates.
Title
Publisher
Platform (1)
Crash Bandicoot
FIFA
Final Fantasy
Gran Turismo
Madden NFL
Mario Brothers (2)
Tekken
Tetris
Zelda
Sony
Electronic Arts
Square EA
Sony
Electronic Arts
Nintendo of America
Namco
THQ (3)
Nintendo of America
PS1
PS1
PS1
PS1
PS1
N64, GB
PS1
GB
N64
(1) Platforms listed represent those on which titles dominate; title may appear on other platforms as well.
(2) Includes all Mario games, including Donkey Kong.
(3) Formerly published by Nintendo of America.
Console manufacturers also faced competition from the video game software industry. Software accounted for 70 percent of the total industrys revenues in the U.S.14 With the bulk of profits coming from royalties on video
game sales, Sony and Nintendo published their own titles and relied upon
third-party software developers to broaden the product line. While third-party
support was vital for console survival, in-house and third-party games often
competed with each other for sales. The third parties were responsible for 76
percent of all retail game sales with the remaining 24 percent coming from
the manufacturers in-house game development.15 Competition in the software arena came from games developed by Sega, Electronic Arts, Activision,
and Take-Two Interactive Software, among others.16 Popular titles sometimes
became franchises in their own right. Franchises commanded premiums for
developers and even drove sales of consoles via increased user loyalty. See
Exhibit 11.3 for a list of some popular game franchises.
Together the hardware and software companies competed for an $18.7 billion worldwide market in 2000.17 With the 2000 release of Sonys PS2, the
June 2001 release of Nintendos GameBoy Advanced handheld system, and
back-to-back launches of Microsoft Xbox and Nintendo GameCube in November 2001, the competition had reached an epic scale. We are entering a
golden age of video games! exclaimed John Steinbrecher, CEO of Electronics Boutique Great Britain, a mall-based game retailer. You get a big console release. You sell a lot of hardware that year. The following two years
you sell a lot of software to support it. We have an 18-month period where
there will be four console releases. Thats unheard of in my 15 years in the
industry.18
Online communities added a new twist to the video game industry. These
communities frequently hosted video game competitions via the Internet that
featured PC gamers from across the globe. MSN Gaming Zone, EA.com, and
Gamespy emerged as early pioneers in this area. In addition, these sites offered
free and subscription-based services that either complemented CD-based games
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or stood alone as entertainment products. EAs Majestic was one such product that combined a $9.95 per month subscription with CD-based content.
Microsoft and Sony both saw potential for adding an Internet subscription model
to their game consoles.
Nintendo
Nintendo had successfully entrenched itself in the console market, displacing
earlier manufacturers like Atari and Intellivision. Nintendo introduced the
N64 in 1996, expecting this machine to be the market leader. To the industrys
surprise, Sonys PlayStation1, introduced a year earlier, took the lead instead.
Hobbled by reliance upon cartridges, the N64 endured higher production
costs than Sony, which played games on cheaper, higher-memory CD-ROMs.23
Over the years, Nintendos in-house development efforts spawned several
popular franchises such as Super Mario Brothers, Zelda, and Pokemon.24
Nintendo also expanded its scope with its wildly successful GameBoy handheld system. GameBoy sold 100 million units worldwide and controlled 95 percent of the handheld gaming market.25
By the fall of 2001, Nintendo was preparing to launch a new console, the
GameCube. Applying lessons learned from the N64, Nintendo utilized proprietary DVDs instead of cartridges and planned to increase its portfolio through
greater reliance upon third-party developers. In fact, only 2 of the 15 launch titles
would be in-house games, the rest coming from external developers like Electronic Arts and LucasArts.26 Additionally, Nintendo would leverage its installed
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base of GameBoy Advanced users by allowing the new GameBoy and GameCube to interact with each other.
Over 60 percent of Nintendos consumers were under 18. The company
intended to use that segment as a starting point for future growth. As one Nintendo executive explained, Our goal is to keep the core demographic were
so strong in and build on it by having more games for older audiences. Wed
like to keep them for a lifetime by getting them while theyre young, but we
want to compete in the entire market.27
GameCube also featured an expansion port for future modem/broadband
adapter to permit play over the Internet.28 Still, Nintendo showed little faith in
this prospect. The revenue model for online gaming is still uncertain, argued
Atsushi Asada, executive vice president at Nintendo. It may have some potential in the future, but it will take time. The infrastructure simply does not exist.29
Nintendo was also concerned about its young core audience. These young consumers had little disposable income and no credit cards to buy online services.30
SOFTWARE
Through deals with companies such as Activision, Take Two Interactive, and
LucasArts, the three console makers hoped to convince consumers they offered
the greatest variety or quality of video games. Some deals were for exclusive
rights to a game. Others were nonexclusive and allowed developers to create
game versions for all three consoles. Each console manufacturer sought exclusive titles that could attract more consumers to its machines. Game margins
for third-party developers are shown in Exhibit 11.4.
Sega
An international leader in the arcade and home video game industries throughout the 1980s and 1990s, Sega had recently fallen upon hard times. Sega was
in the console business until its Dreamcast product, launched in late 1999,
failed on the worldwide market. Although it sold 2.9 million units in the U.S.,
Dreamcast suffered from a lack of third-party developer support (EA did not
develop games for Dreamcast). Additionally, its launch date was so close to
PS2s that many consumers simply held out for Sonys product.
EXHIBIT 11.4
Game Gross
Margins (ThirdParty Titles) per
Disk/Cartridge
Source: Company reports,
Bank of America Securities
LLC estimates.
Retail price
Wholesale price
Royalty and manufacturer
costs
Gross income
Gross margin
PS1
PS2
N64
PC
GameBoy
$39.99
32.00
$49.99
40.00
$49.54
42.00
$54.00
40.00
$29.99
22.00
9.00
23.00
70%
9.00
31.00
78%
22.00
20.00
47%
4.00
36.00
90%
13.00
9.00
41%
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Dreamcast was the first product to offer Internet access through a built-in
modem. Sega built SegaNet, an online network for Dreamcast players to play
each other online, which cost $100 million to develop. While a first mover in
online gaming for consoles, Sega ultimately suffered $420 million in losses
in 2000 and terminated production of the console.31
In 2001, Sega decided to focus on developing games for Xbox, PlayStation2,
and the GameCube.32 Sega agreed to produce 13 games for the Xbox during
2001 and signed agreements to provide additional gaming software for both
PS2 and GameCube. All three console makers sought Segas software due to
the companys groundbreaking success in building three-dimensional graphics
and voice-recognition software into video games. According to an executive at
Electronics Boutique: Theres good will toward Sega from consumers. The
quality of their game play is top-notch, and they have great franchises.33 With
high quality games, Sega could draw many consumers toward the Xbox, or it
could lure them toward PlayStation2 or GameCube.
Electronic Arts
With $1.3 billion in annual revenue, Electronic Arts (EA) was the top independent game publisher worldwide. EA was known for successful sports franchises such as FIFA Soccer, Madden NFL Football, and NHL Hockey, which
had large followings in the console market. EA was also known for PC games,
including Ultima Online and The Sims (developed through its Maxis subsidiary). EA had the resources to develop games for all three next-generation
consoles at once. Microsoft, Nintendo, and Sony all expected to win console
buyers and software royalties through the games, but it was not clear whether
consumers would gravitate toward one console or another based on the fact
that EA planned to produce for all three. All three manufacturers hoped to
sign agreements for exclusive rights to certain EA games in the future.
Companies like EA emphasized both online and off-line gaming. Even
though console games sold more, the game product life cycle was much shorter
than that of online games. The typical life cycle of an off-line console game was
six months as compared to several years for an online game. On average, a
company such as EA would invest $1020 million to develop a high-quality
game. Developers could prolong life cycles by offering upgrades and updates.
Even if companies initially sold fewer copies, they could expect residual revenues for several more years.
ONLINE COMMUNITIES
AOL Time Warner
Sony partnered with AOL Time Warner to create a broadband strategy that
would bring AOLs electronics, media, and communications businesses to
Sony devices via four gateways: TVs, PCs, PlayStations, and mobile phones.
Under the agreement, Sony would incorporate AOL tools and features into the
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PS2 platform, enabling consumers to use instant messaging, chat, and e-mail
on their gaming systems. The alliance provided Sony with access to AOLs
32 million online subscribers and Time Warners 12.7 million cable television
subscribers.34 AOL Time Warner also owned substantial content in the form
of magazines, movies, music, television, and the Web. In addition to the Sony
alliance, AOL had an existing online entertainment agreement with Electronic
Arts, which ran the AOL games channel.
Yahoo!
Yahoo! created and maintained its own online gaming site for members of the
Yahoo! community. With 2.8 million users per month, Yahoo! Games tended
to offer low-tech parlor games like backgammon and hearts that could be played
with other members of the community.35 While Yahoo! had no plans to create
a community for more sophisticated PC and console gaming, it did have an
alliance to manage, maintain, and cobrand with many of Sonys websites.
XBOX CONSOLE
The future of gaming starts today, and it starts with Xbox. Xbox is a key
part of our strategy to drive the digital entertainment revolution and deliver
the future of interactive entertainment to the home. Its a great example of
how Microsoft is innovating. But, most important, its incredibly cool.36
William H. Gates III, CEO of Microsoft
Xbox Launch
Against the backdrop of stiff competition, Microsoft muscled its way onto the
scene with a $500 million marketing campaign and a rumored $2 billion in
development costs. Microsoft entered with only a modest history in designing video games for PCs, with 4 percent market share for the PC game industry.37 Microsoft had no experience in manufacturing game consoles. Even so,
the company brought its Xbox to market in mid-November of 2001 and garnered high initial praise from the industry and gamers alike.
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Microsoft first focused on deepening its team. The company scored a coup
by hiring away two Sony veterans, Toshiyuki Miyata and Naoto Yoshioka, to
work on designing and developing the Xbox. Both men had been instrumental in the launch of PlayStation1, and they would greatly shorten the development process.
Next, the Xbox team faced a critical design decision: Should the consoles
internal chips be created from scratch; use existing, off-the-shelf technology;
or use some mixture of the two? The biggest concern was the console microprocessor. Sony had partnered with Toshiba to design and manufacture custom microprocessors for its consoles, while Nintendo had partnered with
IBM. These companies engineered their microprocessors from the ground up
to achieve high-quality CD sound and fast processing of complex graphics.
Though creating a custom processor might seem ideal, development time and
costs dictated otherwise. Microsoft settled on a processor already on the market, the Intel 733 MHz Pentium III, which was slightly modified for the Xbox.
The Intel chip also guaranteed that the system would be able to run a strippeddown Windows operating system.
Using a Windows/Intel environment had three beneficial effects. First,
Microsoft could shortcut a lengthy and expensive operating system development process by just adapting its established Windows 2000 software. Second, developer tools would be more PC-like, giving some game programmers an instant familiarity with the design process. Third, Windows-based
tools would draw in PC game developers who had never created or ported
games to consoles before. We can do our next Doom on the Xbox, but it
wont run on the PlayStation2, explained John Carmack, cofounder and owner
of id software, the company responsible for the wildly popular Doom and
Quake series for PCs.42
Microsoft contracted NVIDIA Corp. to manufacture a derivative of its
high-end GeForce3 chip for graphics processing. One of the most costly components to the system, the NVIDIA chip allowed the Xbox to render polygons at twice the speed of PS2. Other off-the-shelf components would allow
the Xbox to get to market quickly while trimming development costs.
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The Xbox team not only abandoned the companys usual hard-nosed tactics but also consulted with industry game developers for nearly a year before
beginning design work. By fall 2001, Microsoft had signed agreements with
over 200 companies to develop games for the Xbox. Sony had approximately
300 developers at that time. Microsofts contractors ranged from small development firms to powerhouses like Activision and Electronic Arts.
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Achieving Differentiation
To differentiate itself from the pack, Xboxs design team inserted an Ethernet
port for broadband Internet access and an 8-gigabyte hard drive directly into
the console. Broadband access would allow Xbox users to play games online,
talk to other gamers over the Internet, surf the World Wide Web, and download game enhancements. The hard drive would allow users to store digitized
music, create and save personalized game scenarios, load detailed graphics
more quickly, and add other applications to Xbox in the future.
Not to be outdone, Sony announced the release of a broadband/hard-drive
add-on module for the PS2 for early 2002. Users would have to purchase the
module at an additional cost, estimated to be between $100 and $150. Nintendo also planned to release a broadband adapter for the GameCube at some
point in the future but was intent on developing an online gaming strategy
first. Clearly, the next battleground for console manufacturers would be fought
online. However, add-ons traditionally sold poorly in the console market, never
penetrating more than 20 percent of the installed user base. Exhibit 11.5 provides
some of the differences between the Xbox, GameCube, and PlayStation 2.
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EXHIBIT 11.5
385
Source: Deutsche Bank Alex Brown, Microsoft: Innovating Beyond Windows, September 25, 2001.
Microsoft Xbox
Hardware cost
Average game cost
Games available
(expected by
Christmas 2001)
Central Processing
Unit speed
Graphics processor
Polygon/second
Audio channels
Online gaming
DVD playback
RAM
Built-in hard disk
U.S. release date
Nintendo GameCube
Sony PlayStation2
$299
$49.99
$199
$49.99
$299
$49.99
15
130
733 MHz
250 MHz
116.5 million/second
256
Yes (broadband)
405 MHz
202.5 MHz
612 million/second
64
Optional
No
43 MB
No
November 18, 2001
295 MHz
148 MHz
66 million/second
48
Expected
(broadband)
Yes
40 MB
Expected (40GB)
October 2000
was casually knownin June of 1996. AOL and CompuServe had also offered
similar gaming options for several years. Meanwhile, Doom by id Software
was taking the PC gaming world by storm. This program offered fast-paced,
first-person, shootem-up style action, and, for the first time, a killer app for
online gaming. The game allowed players to fight each other in real-time.
(Exhibit 11.6 shows a software value chain while Exhibit 11.7 shows an online
gaming value chain.)
In 2001, the Zone was the largest online gaming site on the Web. Choices
for entertainment ran the full spectrum from puzzle and card games for
beginners, to complex strategy and action games such as MechWarrior for
hard-core players. The site counted more than 22 million gamers as members, with 800 weekly tournaments and 130 games.45 Many of the major
game titles even had annual online championships that crowned supreme
gamers and awarded $50,000 prizes. For nine of the titles, Microsoft
offered individual subscriptions ranging from $1.95 for 24-hour access to
$99.95 for a year.
A game development and publishing unit, the Zone.com and the Xbox
formed Microsofts Games Division. This division was separate from the
MSN division, though there were overlapping interests and technologies. The
MSN website was the home page for Microsofts Internet Service Provider
(ISP) arm. From all outward appearances, the Zone.com fit smoothly into the
MSN general site. Microsofts aim was to offer exciting content and a compelling community, thereby driving Internet users to MSN.com.
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Developers
Publishers
Distributors
Retailers
Consumer
Activision
LucasArts
Microsoft
Sony
Take Two
Electronic Arts
Wal-Mart
Best Buy
Developers: Game developers design and write the software code for video games.
Distributors: Game distributors warehouse and ship the game titles to small- and medium-sized retailers,
and ship direct to consumers (i.e., fulfillment) for some websites.
Publishers: Publishers produce, market, and distribute the titles created by the developers. Most publishers
are also developers and distributors. Some analysts also estimated that publishers themselves develop
50 percent of all game titles. This trend is due mainly to the fact that in-house development of software is
more profitable than third-party software, and publishers desire a steadily growing inventory of titles.
Retailers: Retailers are the front-end to the consumers. The major retail distributors, like Wal-Mart, have a
growing influence and are demanding greater discounts on game titles.
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EXHIBIT 11.7
387
Consumer A
Internet
Service
Provider A
Retailers
Website
Consumer B
Publisher
Internet
Service
Provider B
Wal-Mart
BestBuy
Comcast
AOL Time Warner
Microsoft/MSN/Zone.com
Sony/SonyStation.com(Yahoo!)
Electronic Arts/EA.com
Gamespot
Nintendo
Retailers: Retailers are the front-end to the consumers. The major retail distributors, like Wal-Mart, have a
growing influence and are demanding greater discounts on game titles.
Internet Service Provider (ISP): ISPs provide consumers the means to access the Internet. This is
accomplished with dial-up or broadband modems on the consumer side and connection/hosting hardware
on the ISP end (modems, servers, etc.). Comcast is an example of Broadband-only service provisioning
through their cable network.
Website: These are Web-based communities that host games, usually charging a monthly fee for premium
games. Gamers can meet and play interactively by using local PC game CDs or by using a browser online.
Publishers: Publishers produce, market, and distribute the titles created by the developers. Most currently
available games have online gaming codes built in to allow interactivity. Publishers provide technical support
and cobranding to online communities.
In 2001, the company offered the product to DirecTV satellite cable service
subscribers only. For the television system operators (cable companies, satellite companies, terrestrial broadcasters), Microsoft offered the Microsoft TV
platform. The platform allowed system operators to develop a variety of interactive TV services for consumers, including e-mail, Internet, interactive programming, electronic program guides, and digital video recording.
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Notes
1.
2.
3.
4.
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EXHIBIT 11.8
389
Source: Composite of data from various media, broker, and market research sources including Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Lehman Brothers,
and case writer analysis.
Console Sales
Unit sales (# of Xbox units sold in millions)
Console Prices and Costs
Retail price per unit
Wholesale price per unit2
Production cost per unit
Operating Income
Operating $ loss per unit
Total operating $ loss on console sales
Software Game Sales (Attach Rates)
Unit game sales per customer in first year
of a customers Xbox ownership
Unit game sales per customer per year
after first year of Xbox ownership
Software Game Prices and Costs
Retail $ price per unit
Production $ cost per unit3
Operating Income
Operating $ margin per unit
Total operating $ profit on software
game sales
Total Operating Income
Total operating profit or loss
Cumulative profit or loss
FY 02
FY 03
FY 04
FY 05
FY 06
10
11
12
13
299
209.3
350
249
174.3
300
249
174.3
250
249
174.3
250
199
139.3
250
140.7
562.8
125.7
1257
75.7
832.7
75.7 110.7
908.4 1439.1
49.0
36.3
49.0
36.3
49.0
36.3
49.0
36.3
49.0
36.3
12.8
12.8
12.8
12.8
12.8
153
409.8
409.8
578.5
1,106.75
1684
678.5
1,088.3
274.05
814.25
775.6
38.65
2,310.25
871.15
832.50
1Microsofts
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
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44. Can Xbox Save Xmas? Lehman Brothers, November 12, 2001.
45. Bill Hutchens, Microsofts Zone.com Offers Easy Intro to Online Games,
The News Tribune, November 2, 2001.
46. Ibid.
47. Software Giant to Pay $3 Billion for British Concern, Reuters, October
23, 1999.
48. MSN website on 11/15/01.
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Case Twelve
Sun Microsystems:
Jumping for Java
In the past, power and success in the computer industry all boiled down to
who controlled the key technological choke points. . . . Customers dont
want that kind of industry domination anymore. . . . Thats why Java is
different. Sun is leading it, but by design nobody really owns it.
Irving Wladawsky-Berger, IBMs Internet czar and chief Java
strategist
Scott McNealy, CEO of Sun Microsystems, was thinking about the future as
he walked back to his office. He had just met with Alan Baratz, president of
Suns JavaSoft subsidiary, to discuss Suns next move regarding Java, the
companys platform-independent programming language. Since its launch in
May 1995, Java had been a rousing success. It was adopted more quickly across
the software industry than any other new technology in computing history.
Realizing its potential, many of Suns competitors, including Microsoft, had
rushed to license Java. Sun currently had over 200 licenses outstanding and
900,000 software developers working on new applications.
Javas proliferation had quickly convinced Microsoft that the write once,
run anywhere software represented a real threat to its entrenched Windows
monopoly. McNealy had boasted about the demise of Windows and how Java
would be running on everything from cell phones to household appliances.
Sun held to the belief that large networks of Java-enabled devices powered by
massive servers would someday render the PC obsolete. Microsoft began to
move aggressively to counter Suns every move. They were able to persuade
New York University Stern School of Business MBA candidates Sarah Bennett, Eric Berman,
Hally Burak, Jonathan London, and Sujatha Shan prepared this case under the supervision of
Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate
either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2001 by
McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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thousands of software developers to use Microsofts version of Java. Sun continued to win the battles, but who would win the war?
As McNealy sat down in his office, he contemplated Suns next move. Java
represented a major part of Suns future success. Its continuing development
would spur sales growth for Suns Internet servers, software tools, and
microchips. In the past, Suns tall promises, late releases, and tight grip on
Java development had allowed Microsoft to counter Java. Now other partners
were beginning to follow suit. What began as collaborative agreements with
partners to make Suns Java the standard programming language was quickly
evolving into a struggle for control over development. McNealy considered
the consequences of giving up some of this control.
SUN MICROSYSTEMS
Sun was regarded as the last standing, fully integrated computing company,
adding its own value at the chip, [operating system], and systems level.1 The
company first made a name for itself by making high-powered computer workstations, but was better known for building the servers and software that power
the Internet. Suns major products included the UltraWorkstation, Solaris Operating Environment, Sparc Microprocessor, and Java and Jini Connection Technologies (see Appendixes 12.1 and 12.2). In 1996 Sun was generating nearly
$1.3 billion in revenues from server sales. Driven by the rapid growth of the
Internet and increased demand for networked systems, the server market reached
quarterly sales of over $16 billion in 1998 (see Exhibit 12.1). As Suns server
business flourished, intense competition and shrinking margins began to erode
the companys core workstation business. Despite these pressures, the company
EXHIBIT 12.1
Vendor
IBM
Compaq
Hewlett-Packard
Sun Microsystems
Fujitsu
NEC
Dell
Siemens
Hitachi Ltd.
SGI
Others
Total market
4th Quarter
1997
Market
Share (%)
4th Quarter
1998
Market
Share (%)
Growth
$ 5,234
1,430
1,782
1,275
766
630
319
381
693
392
4,038
$16,940
31%
8
11
8
5
4
2
2
4
2
24
100%
$ 4,553
2,072
1,886
1,508
776
638
603
599
500
271
2,796
$16,202
28%
13
12
9
5
4
4
4
3
2
17
100%
13%
45
6
18
1
1
89
57
28
31
31
4%
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EXHIBIT 12.2
Sun Microsystems
Revenues
Source: Business Week,
January 22, 1996.
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EXHIBIT 12.3
395
1997
$8,603,259
1,187,581
9,790,840
13.9%
$7,747,115
851,231
8,598,346
21.2%
Cost of sales:
Products
Services
Total cost of sales
Gross margin
3,972,283
721,053
4,693,336
52.1%
3,790,284
530,176
4,320,460
49.8%
3,468,416
452,812
3,921,228
44.7%
1,013,782
2,777,264
176,384
825,968
2,402,442
22,958
653,044
1,787,567
57,900
Net revenues:
Products
Services
Total net revenues
Growth
Operating income
Margin
Gain on sale of equity investment
Interest expense, net
Income before income taxes
Provision for income taxes
Net income
1,130,074
11.5%
(46,092)
1,176,166
413,304
$ 762,862
1,026,518
11.9%
62,245
(32,444)
1,121,207
358,787
$ 762,420
Other data:
Total assets
Total debt
Total stockholders equity
Estimated number of stockholders
Total employees at year end
$5,711,062
$ 47,169
$3,513,628
341,000
26,343
$4,697,274
$ 100,930
$2,741,937
289,000
21,553
1996
$6,392,358
702,393
7,094,751
N/A
675,012
9.5%
(33,862)
708,874
232,486
$ 476,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
a team of top software developers with the freedom to pursue whatever they
wanted. The only requirement was to make something cool.
Rising to the challenge, Naughton and Gosling went into self-imposed
exile with their new team, code-named Green, at a site miles from Suns headquarters in Palo Alto, California. There they were no longer distracted by the
everyday workings of Suns office. The team was referred to as a modern-day
version of the scientists on the Manhattan Project. They were intrigued with
potential opportunities in the consumer electronics market that could make it
possible for household consumer devices to communicate with each other.
With this in mind, they set to work trying to create a language that would allow
TV devices, such as a universal remote control and an interactive set-top box,
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to interact seamlessly. Meeting with little success, Gosling realized that the
usual computer languages were too bulky and unreliable to program these
types of devices. He began to develop a new, streamlined language called
Oak, named for a tree outside his window. The Green project continued to
evolve into a Sun-owned company called FirstPerson.
In 1993 the National Center for Supercomputing Applications introduced
Mosaic, and the World Wide Web was born. FirstPerson recognized that the
seamless programming language it had been unsuccessfully trying to apply to
consumer electronics was well suited for online media. Sun began to market
the product as a language-based operating system, meaning the system itself
became the product instead of part of a device. By March 1995 Oak had become
known as Java.
WHAT IS JAVA?
Java is software for writing programs that can run on any device connected to
a network. Unlike other programming languages such as C, C, Pascal, or
BASIC, which depend on an underlying operating system, Java can run on
any operating system and on any computer. This unique versatility means that
people working on completely different operating systems can work on the
same document or play the same game as long as the program is written in
Java. This is a fundamentally different vision of computing from the PC and
fits perfectly with the World Wide Webs way of doing things. In essence, the
Web is what Java was designed forto be a network applicationfitting into
Suns vision of the network as the computer (see Exhibit 12.4).
Versatility
Javas write once, run anywhere capability would enable programmers to
create a single piece of software that could be understood by any major operating system. This would significantly cut development time for individual
programs and expand the market potential of a program. From a programmers perspective, this meant that all operating systems would be equal. Computers would interpret each line of Java code separately and translate it for the
operating system. In turn, the operating system would translate the code for
the microprocessor chip.
Savings
Java would not only cut development time, but also help users save money.
Java would significantly reduce creative, distribution, and transfer costs because
its applications run on any kind of computer.
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EXHIBIT 12.4
397
Source: www.sun.com.
Jini
Network Services
JAVA Spaces
Other Services
Lookup
Jini
JAVA Discovery/Join
JAVA
JAVA Solaris
JAVA
Mac
Solaris Sparc
Mac
PPC
Sparc
PPC
s
g n
n tiod
i
s c e
ea sa ut
L an ib
r tr
A
T
V
is
D
A
J
JAVA
JAVA Windows
Windows X86
er
thS
OO
er
thU
OP
C
X86
Competition
Java would make it possible for a new class of cheap network computers to
compete with the elaborate Wintel operating system. According to McNealy,
this was a pipe dream come true: We always thought we were onto something with Javathat it was our one big chance to challenge Microsoft and
change the economics of the business.5
EXPLOITING JAVA
If the standard gets fragmented then Java fails.6
Ken Morse, chief technology officer of Power TV, Inc.
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machine it was running on, did not behave consistently across all computing
platforms. This made it difficult for Java to live up to its versatility and speed
claims. Javas write once, run anywhere technology meant that applications
catered to the lowest common denominator. Thus, Java applications tended to
run slower than programs honed for platforms like Macs or Windows. Additionally, many companies had already made a significant investment in the
Windows platform and were not receptive to rewriting all of their software to
be compatible with Java.
Internet Alliances
Sun continued to promote Java as the language of the Internet. In November
1998 the Internet community was rocked by news of a merger between AOL
and Netscape. Behind the deal was a strategic alliance between Sun and AOL.
Barry Schuler, president of America Online Interactive Services, explained:
There are two big phenomena that make this strategic alliance a compelling
opportunity. First, consumers are coming online in droves, accelerating
e-commerce. Second, businesses are embracing network computing on top of
Internet standards as the architecture for all of their back-end systems. Thats
what this strategic alliance will do: enhance the value chain all the way from
silicon to eyeballs.9
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Microsoft
In a world of manias and emotions, I have to make rational decisions.
Someone who thinks that because a language is magic, these guys can
overthrow the worldthat person cant even think two chess moves ahead.
Youre not even in the game Im playing.
Bill Gates, on the possibility that Java
will make Windows obsolete, 1996.
Scott McNealys continuous belittling of Windows NT has added fuel to the
competitive fire between Sun and Microsoft. Microsoft had begun an all-out
assault against Java, influencing thousands of software developers to use its
Windows-optimal version. Moreover, Microsoft Research developed its own
Windows-optimal virtual machine based upon technology acquired through
its purchase of Colusa Software.
In 1997 Sun sued Microsoft, alleging that the company had violated Suns
license to use Java and was polluting the technology by distributing incompatible software tools and systems, including versions of Windows. In October 1998 Sun won the first round of the legal dispute when a federal judge
issued a preliminary injunction ordering Microsoft to make its Java products
compatible with Suns Java. However, the victory was limited. The court
ruled that Microsoft could still ship versions of its development tools to thirdparty developers and was still free to distribute Java versions developed independently from Suns technology.10
SUNS DILEMMA
While McNealy continued to pitch Suns audacious WebTone vision to
Wall Street analysts, the standard that Sun had worked so hard to develop
themselves seemed to be slowly slipping away:
In November, Sun archrival Hewlett-Packard (H-P) announced the creation of the Real-Time Java Working Group (RTJWG) consortium of Internet companies to develop real-time application program interfaces (APIs).
RTJWGs claim was that Sun was tardy in developing Javas real-time
capabilities and that Suns licensing fees were excessive.11
Longtime allies IBM and Novell began to complain that Suns licensing
restrictions were too tight. IBM specifically wanted more control over how
Java interacts with its own legacy systems. Frustrated, Novell teamed up
with Intel to develop an optimized version of Java.
Microsoft enlisted the aid of Hewlett-Packard to codevelop its own version
of Java. Shortly thereafter, Microsoft and H-P targeted Suns Jini by devel-
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Notes
1. John Doerr of Kleiner Perkins, quoted in David Kirkpatrick, Meanwhile, Back at Headquarters, Fortune, October 13, 1997, p. 82.
2. www.sun.co.uk/jobs/graduates/.
3. Darryl K. Taft, Top 25 Executives: Scott McNealy, Computer Reseller
News, November 17, 1997, no. 764, pp. 108110.
4. The story of Javas birth taken from the following articles: Jason English,
The Story of the Java Platform, November 16, 1998, java.sun.com/
java2/whatis/1996/storyofjava.html; Kevin Maney, Sun Rises on Javas
Promise, USA Today, February 28, 1999, www.usatoday.com/life/cyber/
tech/cta838.htm; Where Did Java Technology Come From?, www.sun
.com/java/comefrom.jhtml.
5. Brent Schlender and Eryn Brown, Suns Java: The Threat to Microsoft
Is Real, Fortune, November 11, 1996, p. 165.
6. Power TV, Inc., is a consumer software toolmaker.
7. Robert D. Hof, Steve Hamm, and Ira Sager, Sun Power, Business Week,
January 18, 1999, p. 64.
8. Sun Microsystems, Inc., 1998 Annual Report.
9. Sun press release, March 30, 1999, www.sun.com/smi/Press/sunflash/
1999-03/sunflash.990330.1.html.
10. Steven Shankland, HP Works to Reverse Sun Java Victory, CNET News,
March 26, 1999, aolsvccomp.cnet.com/news/0-1003-200-340418.html.
11. Mary Jo Foley and Deborah Gage, Vendors Wrestle to Control Java,
Sm@rt Reseller, April 2, 1999.
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APPENDIX 12.1
Terminology
Source: www.sun.com.
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APPENDIX 12.2
Source: www.sun.com.
Management Solutions
Deployment Solutions
System Management
Intranet Management
Desktop Computers
JavaStation Network Computer
Ultra Family of Workstations
Creator and Creator3D Graphics Stations
Sun Elite3D High-end Graphics Station
Servers
Sun Enterprise family of servers
Sun Enterprise Starfire data center
Netra family of dedicated file servers
Storage
Sun StorEdge family of mainframe class
and desktop storage products
Components and Boards
UltraSparc
picoJava
Support Solutions
Educational Services
Professional Services
Online Support Tools
Development Solutions
Workshop Development Products
Java WorkShop
Sun Visual Workshop for C11
Project Studio
Java Products
Java Developers Kit (JDK)
APPENDIX 12.3
Source: www.sun.com.
Computers/Information Services
IBM
Consumer Electronics
Sony
Samsung
Digital and Wireless Communications
Alcatel
Nortel
Motorola
Ericsson
Siemens-Nixdorf
Electronic Commerce/Internet
AOL/Netscape
Baan
Oracle
PeopleSoft
SAP
Interactive Television
OpenTV
Scientific Atlanta
Java Development Tools
IBM
Symantec/H-P
Borland
BEA Systems
Network Software
Novell
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Case Thirteen
OSCarThe Open
Source Car Project
Markus Merzs head was aching. Maybe hed had one beer too many. The first
OSCar Come Together had ended in a long night out at the Wurstmarkt, an
Octoberfest-style fair in the Southern German town of Bad Drkheim. The
meeting had been a great success. Car developers and designers who had formerly known each other only via e-mail met for the first time to exchange
ideas in a direct and personal way.1
During the days discussions, they had been able to agree on many important issues of OSCar, the Open Source Car project. The OSCar project was
unique from the start. As a community of automobile developers, their primary
goal was to design and develop a car over the Internet.2 It seemed possible for
the project to succeed. Still, after the meeting, the most important question
remained unsolved: How could they turn this idea into a profitable business?
Markus looked to the traditional automobile manufacturers for answers.
NYU Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Elena Blankman, Suzanne Escousse, Achim
Schillak, Lisa Schmidt, and Melissa Slotnick prepared this case under the supervision of
Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate
either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. No part of this
publication may be used or reproduced without written permission of the Berkley Center.
Copyright 2002 by Christopher L. Tucci. All rights reserved.
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(of automobiles) doubled while the average development time for a new production series had been cut in half, despite the increasing complexity of the
process.3 When the industrys leading figures predicted that development
time would be reduced by another 25 percent, Markus saw this as confirmation that the traditional methods of automobile manufacturing would need to
be reevaluated.
To meet the ever-increasing needs for shorter development cycles, the automobile industry was in the midst of fundamental changes. Consumers wanted
more features to choose from when they purchased new cars so auto companies worldwide continuously reinvented their designs. Thus, speed to market
became the primary focus of many automobile manufacturers.
The traditional development of automobiles was not flexible enough to
accommodate this rapid speed to market. Traditionally, manufacturing was
dependent on a lengthy set of laborious processes and little or no input from
anyone but the most senior executives. Recently, however, car companies recognized that they had to overhaul these processes to meet the needs of their
target markets.4
The industry was focusing on three primary initiatives:
1. Centralization of car development. Many companies had begun to implement more integrative manufacturing processes like concurrent engineering.
New product development practices relied on implementing cross-functional
teamwork through every stage of the development process. Contrary to the
traditional approach where engineers were not privy to the design concept
until just prior to production, this new approach ensured that all team members would be involved in every step of the manufacturing process. These
insights showed Markus that the market was ready for a design concept that
would promote the sharing of information while both reducing costs and
increasing speed to market.
2. Increasing complexity and communication needed during development.
To make the process of new product development more flexible, it was essential to successfully manage coordination efforts between engineers, craftsmen, employees, and suppliers. To facilitate this goal, many manufacturers
found that bringing these capabilities in-house reduced dissention and
quickened development time. Yet, Markus knew firsthand that many companies still didnt implement most of the suggestions made by their employees. This was the impetus for the OSCar project. Markus was acutely aware
of the fact that firms still felt that it was better to rely on a web of suppliers
and experts rather than to bring all these functions in-house. But, regardless
of whether automakers chose vertical integration and a firm-centric focus or
chose to rely on a small web of preferred suppliers, designers, and engineers, the process of building cars was no longer a static operation. With the
increasing number of moving parts involved, controlling the process was no
easy feat. This, thought Markus, was just another reason for automotive
giants to give serious consideration to the OSCar concept.
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produce new ideas, design new car bodies, and create new engines. However,
being just tiny gearwheels in the moneymaking machines of international
conglomerates, most of their ideas are continuously ignored and never put into
action. Moreover, there are millions of car enthusiasts all over the world who
would love to contribute their ideas to develop new cars. So, why not use the
Internet to collect all this creative potential for one worldwide car design projectthe OSCar!
Markus knew that in the automobile industry, the design process had become
one of the most elaborate and expensive phases in a cars development process.
The actual manufacturing process, on the other hand, had become a commodity that often was outsourced to other companies. If the OSCar project led to a
complete and feasible design of a new automobile, it should be possible to
sell it to one of the major car manufacturers. Connecting the creative input of
millions of car enthusiasts to one global development web could lead to a
superior product, the car for the new millennium, the vehicle the established
car manufacturers had never managed to develop.10
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every member of the OSCar community. The entire community should make
all major design decisions in a democratic manner. Everybodyincluding private designers, companies, universities, and other organizationsshould be able
to join this design community.
Furthermore, the manifesto defined that the first OSCar prototype should
be developed within 36 months (see Exhibit 13.2).
EXHIBIT 13.1
To build a car without engineering center, without a boss, without money, and without borders . . . but
with the creative help of the internet communitythat is the meaning of empowerment, the meaning of
challenge, and the initial reason for the internet.
In the next 36 months we will together develop a car on the internetthe OSCar. This vehicle is to be
free from barriers and competition. It will redefine mobility. . . . That is how I want to blow past the hype
of the New Economywith OSCar.
We have an expandable forum that allows us to think and discuss about what OSCar means . . . about
what OSCar looks like . . . about what kind of car we would like OSCar to be. We will join without
regard to our past, our location, or what car manufacturer we like best. We will join together with a
focus on the futureindividuals, schools, colleges, companies, and hackers will join in and help define
how we continue.
Engineers who are used to developing against other engineers might just find themselves in that same
forumworking together to solve the same problems.
We will build the car as a web-based community. Without a boss . . . without hierarchies.
EXHIBIT 13.2
Year
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EXHIBIT 13.3
Early Concepts of OSCars Skin, That Is, Its Exterior DesignArtists Views of
the OSCar and Three-Dimensional Computer-Rendered Models.
After many debates, the OSCar project team finally agreed to adopt CATIA,
a CAD program that was also used by a large number of car manufacturers.
The group even managed to identify a supplier of an open source clone of
CATIA who would provide its program to the OSCar project. This choice was
important in two ways. First, it allowed a large number of individuals to participate in the design process using tools they were acquainted with. Second,
using CAD software that was industry standard enabled delivery of the final
OSCar product to one of the major car manufacturers.
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cepts and discussed their ideas using the OSCar news groups and chat functions.
These were mainly employees of the large Germany-based car manufacturers
(e.g., Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Volkswagen, Ford, and Opel, a subsidiary of
GM). Soon, an English website was launched to facilitate involvement from
international developers. Companies sponsored and supported the project, and
newspapers and radio stations ran stories about OSCar and its founder. Yet,
Markus was facing the greatest challenge ever.
While OSCar had started as a personal vision as well as a public relations
tool for his company Monocom, the project had now taken on a life of its own.
It already occupied too much of Monocoms resources, including Markuss
own time. To bring this idea to fruition, OSCar had to prove its viability as a
profitable business for the long run.
The OSCar initiative surely created a lot of publicity for Monocom, but
how could the company capitalize on this? Could there be money made by
publishing and marketing the results of the OSCar project? Could Monocom
achieve for the car industry what Red Hat had accomplished in the computer
world when it started to publish Linux?
The OSCar organization knew it had its work cut out. It would be a formidable challenge to develop OSCar. But, even after it was developed, would
anyone want the design? Everyone, and especially Markus, believed that the
final design would have value. After all, it would be based on the best ideas
in the industry and was clearly filling a market need. In addition, the design
could be given to automobile manufacturers for freewhy wouldnt they take
it? There was one clear supposition that kept haunting Markus. The final OSCar
design would be marketable only if it met the current needs of an automobile
manufacturer. Markus had to make sure that OSCar attracted the attention of
possible buyers. OSCar needed to be compelling enough with its modular
design and fuel-efficiency to cause a major manufacturer to attempt to build it.
Markus knew he already had market momentum on his side. Several automobile manufacturers, including DaimlerChrysler/Mercedes-Benz, General
Motors, and Ford had recently expressed difficulty in developing fuel-efficient
cars with the capabilities of their current design teams.14 An OSCar design
should meet these needs. But fitting a specific design solution to a particular
manufacturing facility would require moving away from the core OSCar ideals
of open source and consensus design methods.
Markus and the rest of the management team began to mull over their options:
1. An expanded OSCar line. After the release of the first OSCar, the OSCar
management team believed that the development concept could be used to
accomplish many different goals. Utilizing open source development, OSCar
could easily expand its online community to gain the expertise needed to
develop the next generation of OSCarswhether a sport utility vehicle, a
high-performance luxury car, or even an electric car. The fluidity of the
OSCar developers would help change a companys capabilities to meet the
market demand. Perhaps after OSCar gained credibility in the marketplace,
future modular car designs could be sold.
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building a car based on a generic design that was already known to the public? Would companies require exclusivity, or would they accept the fact that
many manufacturers all over the world would be building their own OSCars?
On the other hand, having a functional, yet static, business model might
jeopardize the success of the OSCar project. Auto enthusiasts were eager to
participate in this project because they wanted to create a car that did not conform to established traditions. Would the creation of a formidable business
discourage and damage the Robin Hood attitude of the OSCar community?
Would Markus ever be able to transform www.theOSCarproject.org into
www.theOSCarproject.com?
EPILOGUE
In a recent speech to shareholders, a high-level manager at DaimlerChrysler
made a standing offer to support the OSCar project. Without mentioning
OSCar or its founder directly, this DaimlerChrysler executive pointed out that
his company would support an open source car project in any way possible.16 Would Markus become the Linus Torvalds of the automobile world?
Notes
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14. Larry Armstrong, Hondas New Hybrid Laps the Field, Business Week,
www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/feb2002/nf2002027_2656.htm,
February 7, 2002.
15. Debbie Reiching, Senior VP Marketing and Research, iVillage, Corporate Presentation at New York University, Stern School of Business,
November 29, 2000; Womens Auto CenterDesign your Dream Car
www.ivillage.com/auto/dreamcar/dreamcar.html.
16. Lukas Neckermann, interview.
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Case Fourteen
E*Trade: A Lust for
Being Different
1
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Brokerages perform four primary functions within the securities value chain.
They match buyers with sellers, determine prices through their intermediation,
provide liquidity to buyers and sellers, and provide information about the market to investors based on their experience (see Exhibit 14.1).
Online retail brokerages represent the third major transformation in the securities business since its creation. The first was the creation of full-service brokerage houses. Originally, traders served as both financial advisors and transaction handlers. These two functions eventually split into groups of specialists,
those who executed transactions and those who provided financial advice to
investors. Full-service brokerage houses incorporated both of these groups of
specialists under one roof. They sought to expand the market for stock trading by opening offices staffed with financial advisors. Traders in established
trading centers would provide information to branch office advisors who would
help individual investors on Main Street invest their savings in stocks and
bonds.3 This revolutionary approach meant that it was no longer necessary to
be located near a major trading center to participate in the stock market. The
development of full-service brokerages occurred in the immediate postwar
period. Merrill Lynch represented the traditional full-service brokerage.4
Full-service brokerages provided a new value proposition to individual
investors. They created new products, reduced costs of information and transactions, and provided customer service and support. Revenue opportunities
for the brokerages were in commissions, account management fees, other services fees, and interest income. By tapping a new market in the investing public and providing a wide range of services to them, full-service brokerages
EXHIBIT 14.1
Source: M. Chen, J. Huang, D. Wong, and K. Wong, From Wall Street to Web Street: The Impacts of the Internet on Retail Brokerages, Haas
School of Business, December 19, 2000.
Exchange/
Trade Executer
Broker/
Intermediary
Investor/
Decision
Maker
Stage I
Stage II
Stage III
Full Service:
Branch Infrastructure
Financial Consultants
Discount:
Low Transaction Fees
Fast Trades
Internet:
Lower Transaction
Fees
Faster Trades
24/7 Availability
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grew in size and power. They aggregated a huge amount of assets and controlled the flow of information to investors.5
The Securities and Exchange Commissions Act of 1975 permanently
changed the securities industry by eliminating the fixed minimum commissions
that brokerages were required to charge customers for the trade of listed stocks.
Commissions could now be negotiated, resulting in lower prices for investors.
Discount brokerage houses emerged, which charged lower prices for the
execution of trades but also offered fewer services. The end result was the
unbundlingagainof the financial services industry into transaction execution and financial advice. Trades could be executed for as much as 40 percent lower than at full-service houses.6 Experienced investors, who did not
need expensive advice, benefited from the lower prices. Novice investors
could still obtain the advice from discount brokerages, but at a separate price.
Charles Schwab represented the new breed of discount brokerage houses.
Schwab aimed at independent investors who did their own research and did
not want to pay for a staff of expensive financial consultants. Schwabs value
proposition was reduced transaction costs, fast and efficient transaction execution, and a minimal amount of free consultation. Revenue opportunities for
discount brokerages consisted of commission fees, interest income, and fees
for other services. Discount brokerages tapped a new, more independent, type
of individual investor and grew rapidly after 1975. Investors seeking faster transaction processing fled from full-service brokerages to the new discount houses.7
Each of these transformations was accompanied by the utilization of new
technology. Schwab made a significant gamble in 1979; its technology investment at the time was worth $500,000, the value of its entire net worth.8 The
advent of computer telephony in the 1980s created new opportunities for the
brokerage industry. The growth of the Internet in the 1990s provided new
opportunities for E*Trade and other online brokerages, unleashing a third
major transformation of the securities industry. By 2000, online transactions
in the securities industry exceeded $1 trillion and represented over two-thirds
of personal stock trades.9 Online clients were expected to reach 14 million by
2003, with an estimated 35 million accounts. In 2000, the growth of online
accounts exceeded that of off-line accounts. Online accounts now hold over
half of the brokerage industrys assets.10
Many industries have approached the Internet with the intention of creating entirely new business models. For the securities industry, the Internet has
meant another transformation similar to the two earlier transformations. The
Internet further enhances geographic reach. Now, investors need not be near
a brick-and-mortar branch office of an established broker. The Internet provides even faster execution of trades for online investors than a relationship
with a financial consultant, and the lack of a branch office network lowers the
barriers for online brokers, creating a highly competitive environment that
pushes down costs to consumers. Low variable costs and unlimited geographic
reach push online brokers to compete fiercely for a larger customer base over
which to spread their high initial investment costs.
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E*TRADE HISTORY
Trade Plus was founded in 1982 by entrepreneur Bill Porter, a physicist and
inventor with over 12 patents to his credit.11 Initially it was a service bureau
on a private network providing online quotes and trading services to Fidelity,
Charles Schwab, and Quick & Reilly. But Porter himself, an individual investor,
wondered why he had to pay his broker hundreds of dollars for stock transactions. Combining this with his prediction that everyone would own a computer someday, he saw a need to allow individuals to make their own trades
online.
On July 11, 1983, a doctor in Michigan placed the first online trade using technology developed by Porters company. This led to the conception of E*Trade
in 1992, the first Internet brokerage service. Initially E*Trade offered its online
investing services through America Online and CompuServe. In 1996, the website www.etrade.com was launched and the demand for E*Trades services
exploded. The company now has over 3 million active accounts (twice as many
as in 1999) and completes over 170,000 transactions daily.12
Christos Cotsakos, a decorated Vietnam War veteran and former Federal
Express executive, was appointed CEO in 1996. Under his leadership the firm
went public in August 1996 with a follow-on offering one year later. The
company shifted into high gear, but there were hurdles for Christos. Computer failures resulted in E*Trade covering $1.7 million in customer losses
when users were unable to gain access to their accounts. Computer backup
systems were added. Technical glitches continued to hound E*Trade as the
Internet volume grew and trading increased. In early 1999 E*Trade stock prices
were cut in half after its web site shut out traders and investors for hours.13 The
Securities and Exchange Commission reported a 330 percent increase in complaints concerning online investing in early 1999.
In 1997, E*Trade formed alliances with America Online and Bank One,
ending the year with 225,000 accounts.14 From there the firm took a global
position. It expanded into Australia, Canada, Germany, Israel, and Japan. It
now boasts four global divisions including North America; Latin America;
Asia-Pacific; and Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. E*Trade is continuing
to expand its global network with the inception of an exclusive agreement for
staffed E*Trade zones and the worlds third largest ATM network including
installations at all traditional Target Stores and Target Greatland Stores across
the United States. In April 2001, E*Trade opened a flagship bricks-and-mortar
superstore in New York City. Acquisition of online brokerage firm Web Street
was completed in August 2001. Web Streets corporate offices in Denver, Colorado, have been converted into another E*Trade financial superstore. Plans
are in the works to create additional superstores in Beverly Hills, California;
Boston; and San Francisco.
The E*Trade Group focused on entering the retail banking market in 2000.
It bought Telebanc Financial and created E*Trade Financial. Telebanc Financial had a subsidiary online bank consisting of more than 100,000 depositors,
which became E*Trade Bank. E*Trade Bank, the largest pure-play Internet
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bank, offers retail banking products on the E*Trade website. To further complement E*Trade Bank, the E*Trade Group acquired Card Capture Services
(now E*Trade Access) by offering customers real world access to their
money through a network of more than 10,000 ATMs across the United States.
E*Trade Bank offers deposits, loans, credit cards, insurance, and other services. Most recently, E*Trade bought online mortgage originator LoansDirect
and launched E*Trade Mortgage in June 2001.
VALUE PROPOSITION
Were appealing to investors who do their own research and dont want to
pay enormous brokerage fees, said Rebecca Patton, E*Trades senior vice
president of marketing.15 Thus E*Trades value proposition features cheap
trades; no hassle, automated transaction execution; customized service and
products; 24-hour account access; live telephone support; and easy access to
research reports, resource links, tools and analysis, charts and news, customizable portfolio views, and checking and banking services. Their product offerings also include mutual funds, proprietary mutual funds, bond trading, automated teller machines, and the ability to access initial public offerings.16
E*Trade charges $14.95 a trade for listed market orders, such as those on
the New York Stock Exchange, up to 5,000 shares. It charges $19.95 a trade
for over-the-counter stocks, such as those listed on NASDAQ. Membership is
free and includes free real-time quotes (up to 100 per day) and access to other
tools and information. Opening an account with E*Trade gives customers the
ability to place trades, get instant stock alerts, and apply for IPOs.
Customers open an account by filling out an application and making an initial investment of at least $1,000 for a cash account or $2,000 for a margin
account. A welcome kit is mailed to the customer within 24 hours of receipt
containing a user name and password along with an E*Trade quick investing
guide. The account can then be accessed either online or by touchtone phone
to begin investing.17
Customers place orders which are immediately transferred to the E*Trade
computer system. The system verifies the account for adequate funds or the
authority to trade on margin. Transactions are confirmed electronically and
immediately posted on a Web page.18
MARKET SEGMENT
E*Trade is truly separating from the other brokers, says analyst Gregory
Smith of investment bank Chase H&Q. In just three years CEO Cotsakos has
made E*Trade the number-two online stockbroker behind Charles Schwab.
Cotsakoss drive has made E*Trade the fourth most recognizable brand name
on the Web. It is ranked up there with Amazon.com according to Opinion
Research Corp. International. Cotsakos is cutting deals so that E*Trade services
can be zapped over cable TV, satellite TV, and wireless handheld gadgets. He
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FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
In 2001, brand-name recognition and customer acquisition were the focal
points of E*Trades strategy to become a truly global, comprehensive online
financial services company. Because customers still associate the Internet with
some degree of uncertainty, customers look for brand names they know and
trust. Over a two-year period, E*Trade spent $640 million on brand recognition and marketing; Schwab, which is 11 times the size of E*Trade, spent only
$520 million in the same time frame.21 High marketing and technology costs
mean that economies of scale are a major factor for sustainability. E*Trade
spent $50 million on marketing (down 50 percent from the same time the previous year), $20 million on technology development, and $55 million for general and administrative purposes during the third quarter of 2001.22
Competitors entering the deep-discount brokerage arena in the late 1990s
forced E*Trade to renew its company strategy; E*Trade no longer offered the
cheapest trades online. Board members needed to look beyond transaction
fees for sources of revenue. Revenue from fees decreased in the second and
third quarters of 2001 by two-digit numbers.23 Therefore, the most important
source of revenue became interest on customers assets and investments. Interest contributes over half the revenues and is growing. Transaction fees contribute between 15 and 20 percent and are declining. Fees from other services
such as banking, ATMs, and interest on mortgages and other assets represent
other sources of revenue. (See Exhibits 14.2 and 14.3.)
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EXHIBIT 14.2
421
9/2000
9/1999
9/1998
9/1997
9/1996
9/1995
9/1994
Assets
Cash
Marketable securities
Receivables
Other current assets
Total Current Assets
175,443
4,314,415
10,715,262
0
15,205,120
157,705
1,548,465
5,136,585
0
6,842,755
52,776
502,534
1,365,247
24,287
1,944,844
38,235
191,958
724,365
6,970
961,528
50,141
35,003
193,228
2,203
280,575
9,624
0
1,936
470
12,030
692
0
535
623
1,850
334,262
334,262
985,218
0
484,166
308,671
17,317,437
181,675
181,675
828,829
0
18,554
160,361
8,023,174
50,555
50,555
59,276
3,719
0
7,892
2,066,286
19,995
19,995
5,519
3,259
0
5,121
995,422
9,228
9,228
2,860
0
0
2,218
294,881
1,458
1,458
676
0
0
0
14,164
313
313
0
0
0
0
2,163
3,531,000
10,777,331
0
0
470,742
0
0
14,779,073
1,267,474
5,074,360
0
0
207,961
0
0
6,549,795
0
1,244,513
0
0
83,659
0
0
1,328,172
9,400
681,106
0
0
21,542
0
0
712,048
0
225,555
0
0
0
0
0
225,555
0
2,369
0
0
0
602
0
2,971
0
430
1,314
23
0
9
415
2,191
Mortgages
Deferred charges/Inc
Convertible debt
Long-term debt
Non-cur cap leases
Other long-term liab
Total Liabilities
0
0
650,000
0
0
0
15,429,073
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,549,795
0
704
0
0
0
0
1,328,876
0
0
0
0
0
0
712,048
0
0
0
0
22
0
225,577
0
0
0
45
0
0
3,016
0
0
0
64
0
0
2,255
0
31,531
3,101
1,814,581
6,908
0
46,059
1,888,364
17,317,437
0
30,584
2,838
1,320,338
26,060
0
154,679
1,482,379
8,032,174
0
3,000
2,313
685,553
33,786
0
12,758
737,410
2,066,286
0
0
399
266,953
16,022
0
0
283,374
995,422
0
0
295
68,738
271,
0
0
69,304
294,881
0
1
149
9,899
1,099
0
0
11,148
14,164
0
0
150
1,241
1,482
0
0
91
2,163
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Cases
Net sales
Cost of goods
Gross profit
R&D expenditures
Selling, general, &
administrative
expenses
Income before
depreciation &
amortization
Depreciation &
amortization
Nonoperating income
Interest expense
Income before tax
Provision for income
taxes
Minority interests (Inc)
Extraordinary items &
discontinued operations
Net income
9/2000
9/1999
9/1998
9/1997
2,157,958
126%
1,116,433
1,041,525
955,470
185%
517,794
437,676
335,756
43%
138,942
196,814
234,128
378%
95,933
138,195
142,914
79,935
33,699
734,971
431,058
159,035
163,640
73,317
4,080
22,764
36,427
NA
104,449
2,915
7,174
NA
83,406
85,478
181
NA
19,152
9/1996
9/1995
9/1994
48,991
110%
38,027
10,964
23,340
114%
12,819
10,521
10,905
267%
6,796
4,109
13,547
4,699
943
335
94,379
19,182
5,269
3,530
30,269 12,917
4,309
244
NA
1,929
NA
2,151
NA
946
NA
29,323
NA
13,529
NA
612
NA
NA
NA
4,309
NA
NA
NA
244
31,288
2,197
224
NA
10,130
NA
555
NA
1,728
NA
541
NA
2,454
56,769
NA
1,927
NA
19,193
NA
1,167
NA
2,581
NA
785
ACQUISITIONS
E*Trade has acquired over 15 companies in the last three years. Early on, it
acquired Clearstation.com, a community-based financial analysis site. They
invested in E*Offering, a full-service online investment bank, and Archipelago, a leading electronic communication network (ECN).24 E*Trade entered
the stock market-making game with its acquisition of Chicago-based Dempsey
& Company. eAdvisor is a venture with Ernst & Young to offer online financial advice. The company teamed up with State Street Global Advisors to offer
college savings plans. E*Trade targets affluent customers with its premium
trading and money management services offered through subsidiary PrivateAccounts.com. In addition, affluent clients have access to venture capital
investments in young companies through E*Trades alliance with Garage.com.
E*Trade purchased Telebanc (now E*Trade Financial) with its more than
100,000 depositors and started E*Trade Bank, which offers retail banking
services from the E*Trade website. Purchase of Card Capture Service (now
E*Trade Access) gave E*Trade instant access to the third largest ATM net-
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COMPETITORS
The securities industry is classified into three segments; full-service brokerages, discount brokerages, and pure-play online brokerages. The success of
E*Trade in 1996 attracted the attention of the discount brokerage segment.
Full-service brokerages showed no interest in online trading until later.
Charles Schwab
Charles Schwab established its online trading services in 1997 and is well
known as the top online trading company (see Exhibit 14.4). In the first year,
Schwab had the highest number of accounts and transactions. From the beginning, Charles Schwab had a long-running interest in trading with the use of
communication tools. Schwab started both Tele-broker services using touchtone telephones and online trading through personal computer connections in
1989. However, Tele-broker provided only basic, limited services, such as reference services and simple buy-and-sell orders. At that time, few people used
personal computer communications, which impeded the reach and impact of
its online trading services.
Although Charles Schwab provided online trading by private lines, it hesitated to provide services through the Internet because credibility and security
were questionable. Schwab did not see the Internet as an appropriate marketing tool. However, after E*Trades successful entry into the online trading
market in 1996, Charles Schwab started to take Internet trading seriously.
Charles Schwab had already established a long list of loyal customers and
tried to retain them by providing new services. It also wanted to gain a larger
customer base by using brand-name recognition. At the outset, Schwab provided reasonable commissions as a discount brokerage firm. Schwab avoided
price competition with E*Trade by setting a higher fee structure whose differentiating features included value-added additional services with the intention
of unlocking blue-chip customers (see Exhibit 14.5). Taking advantage of its
excellent reputation, strong customer relationships, and abundant research information, Schwab also established a firm position in the online trading market.
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EXHIBIT 14.4
Charles Schwab
Fidelity
TD Waterhouse
E*Trade
Ameritrade
CSFB Direct
Datek
NDB
Scottrade
Dreyfuss
Quick & Reilly
Other
E*Trade Market
Share by Total
Assets*
*Data as of June 30, 2000.
Source: Brokerages Need
Banking to Keep Customers,
Web Finances, 5 (7): April 5,
2001, Securities Data
Publishing.
EXHIBIT 14.5
38%
30
10
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
Source: Investext by The Investext Group: Putnam, Lovell, & Thornton, December 1, 2000.
Company
Fidelity
Schwab
E*Trade
TD Waterhouse
Ameritrade
DLJ Direct
Datek
NDB
Number of
Online
Accounts
4,757,000
4,200,000
3,027,362
2,272,000
1,233,000
476,571
623,624
268,900
YOY Account
Growth
55%
40
95
96
120
58
115
69
Average
Online
Transactions
per Day
Average
Transactions
per Account
per Quarter
100,771
203,500
150,000
151,900
105,540
24,949
97,638
10,600
1.4
3.1
3.3
2.7
5.6
3.5
10.6
2.6
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Case 14
EXHIBIT 14.6
Online Brokerage
Trading Costs
Source: Piper Jaffrey,
February 2, 2000.
Feb. 1996
May
July
Sep.
Oct. 1997
Nov.
March 1998
E*Trade
Ebroker
Datek
Scot deal
Ameritrade
Suretrade
Brown and Company
425
$14.95/trade
$12
$9.99
$9
$8
$7.95
$5
introduced in 2001 to provide mobile services. Schwab has utilized communication tools and new technology to develop new products and services.
Schwab generated additional revenue by selling some of its technology to
other traditional brokerage firms.
Merrill Lynch
Merrill Lynch (ML) announced its entry into the online trading market in
June 1999, three years after E*Trade. ML had long been skeptical about
online trading even after the success of E*Trade and the entry of many new
brokerages into online trading. ML does not have interest in speculators, but
instead in investors. The challenge and competition from online brokers, such
as E*Trade, Charles Schwab, and Ameritrade, were considered a fad by MLs
Trading Manager Steffans. Steffans further denied the possibility of MLs
entrance into online trading in June 1998. Yet just one year after that, ML recognized that online trading was here to stay and decided to change its strategy and enter this promising market. Other large companies like Morgan
Stanley Dean Witter and Salomon Smith Barney followed its lead.
Entry of a big, full-service brokerage firm created tough competition and
a need for strategic reorganization by firms already in the online trading market. MLs minimum commission fee was set at $29.95, much higher than that
of Ameritrade and E*Trade. Although online brokerages had a price advantage, it was uncertain how long they could sustain it given their rocketing
advertising costs. Some of the recent entrants into the new discount online
brokerage market had fallen into the red.26
ML took advantage of its strong advisory and information services supported by its over 15,000 financial consultants and gained customers at a steady
pace. Against these kinds of powerful big securities companies, online brokers
also have paid more attention to providing information services. E*Trade
acquired Telebanc, a completely online Internet bank; meanwhile, Ameritrade
and Charles Schwab established a joint online investment bank.
Merrill Lynchs target market is different from that of E*Trade. ML targets
investors with a high net worth. These investors require a wide range of products and services, from access to IPOs, options, and bonds to account aggregators and sophisticated research tools. According to Credit Swiss First Boston,
clients with net worth above $100,000 may want to consider the Unlimited
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Ameritrade
Ameritrade is a competing online discount broker similar to E*Trade. Ameritrade lets self-directed traders make stock, mutual fund, option, and bond
trades, and also provides research and stock quotes. Ameritrade began in 1971
as investment bank TransTerra. TransTerra added deep-discount brokerage
services and formed eBroker, a completely Internet-based brokerage service
in 1996, which further evolved into Ameritrade. Ameritrade has followed in
E*Trades footsteps. However, due to the recent downturn in the economy,
Ameritrade has struggled and plans to lay off 230 employees.
Datek
Datek puts a strong emphasis on response speeds and customer usability.
Datek is especially conscious of heavy users like day-traders. Datek allows
users free access to market news and information, and its primary focus and
expertise are aimed at attracting active traders. The commission fee is $9.99
per trade for up to 5,000 shares, and Datek prides itself on providing lightningfast trade executions, free streaming, and real-time quotes services.
In response to the special demands of its active trading customers, Datek
has become one of the most technologically savvy online brokerages. Datek
regularly upgrades and expands its state-of-the-art trading infrastructure. For
active traders, Datek was recently regarded as the number-one brokerage
according to Credit Swiss First Boston, and number three according to Gomez.
Following the dot.com crash, many analysts wondered if E*Trade had the
right strategy to assure its survival. Had Cotsakos plotted a winning business
model for E*Trade?
Notes
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10. M. Chen, J. Huang, D. Wong, and K. Wong. From Wall Street to Web
Street. . . .
11. About E*Trade, www.etrade.com.
12. Ibid.
13. E-Brokers Snafus Provide Lessons: Online Retailing Calls for Beefedup IT, Strong Customer Service, Computer World, April 12, 1999, p. 24.
14. E*Trade Group, www.hoovers.com.
15. E*Trade Grows a Brokerage Business on the Net, Phillips Media
Groups Interactive Marketing News, Potomac, December 6, 1996.
16. M. Chen, J. Huang, D. Wong, and K. Wong, From Wall Street to Web
Street. . . .
17. Frequently Asked Questions, www.etrade.com.
18. E*Trade Grows a Brokerage Business on the Net.
19. Tricks of E*Trade.
20. E*Trade Bank Teams with Laughlin/Constable to Help Underserved
Teens, E*Trade Press Release, October 24, 2001.
21. M. Chen, J. Huang, D. Wong, and K. Wong, From Wall Street to Web
Street. . . .
22. www.etrade.com.
23. Ibid.
24. E*Trade: An E-Commerce Powerhouse, GARP Investor, August 22,
1999.
25. www.hoovers.com.
26. www.zdnet.co.jp, October 13, 1999.
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Case Fifteen
Research In Motion
Limited (RIM) and
BlackBerry:
Wireless E-Mail . . .
The Killer App?
It was bound to happen, thought Mike Lazaridis, president and co-CEO of
Research In Motion Limited (RIM), as he walked into Jim Basillies office.
Motorola, the undisputed heavyweight of the pager industry, had just announced
a new wireless e-mail product that squarely attacked RIMs leadership position in the business market. The huge success of the wildly popular BlackBerry wireless e-mail solution had finally elicited a competitive response from
Motorola. The chairman and co-CEO of RIM was already reading the press
release when Mike entered his office. Mike glanced at the framed quote on Jims
wall from Michael Urlocker, a Credit Suisse First Boston Research Analyst:
Its a very successful product that is technically superior. To best Motorola in
the radio business is a significant accomplishment. It also sets up the brandnew product as front-runner in a market that could soon be worth hundreds of
millions of dollars.1
NYU Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Oytun Altasi, Elizabeth Lim, James
McNaughton, Rich Shirley, and Greg Wilmore prepared this case under the supervision of
Professor Christopher L. Tucci for the purpose of class discussion rather than to illustrate
either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation. Copyright 2002 by
Christopher L. Tucci. All rights reserved.
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429
Mike sighed as he sat down and wondered how he and Jim would respond to
the Motorola threat. Should RIM continue to improve its existing product
with third-party applications or should the company redirect its sales efforts
from the business market to the consumer market?
RESEARCH IN MOTION
Research In Motion Limited was founded in 1984 by Mike Lazaridis and
Douglas Fresin in Waterloo, Ontario, and has grown to a $5.2 billion company. RIMs core technology centers around radio technology and mobile
communications; the companys product line features items such as embedded radio modems, software development tools, wireless handheld devices,
and the BlackBerry wireless e-mail solution. Research and development is a
key to RIMs continued success, and strong manufacturing capabilities remove
the companys dependence on others to produce its devices. Altogether, RIMs
products yielded $85 million in revenues and $10.5 million in net income for
fiscal year 2000 (see Exhibit 15.1).
EXHIBIT 15.1
Revenue
Cost of sales
Gross margin
Expenses
Research and development
Selling, marketing, and adminstration
Amortization
Income (loss) from operations
Investment income
Income before income taxes
Provision for income taxes
Net income
Retained earnings, beginning of year
Capital dividend paid
Retained earnings, end of year
Earnings per share
Basic
Fully diluted
February 29,
2000
February 29,
1999
February 29,
1998
$84,967
48,574
36,393
$47,342
28,767
18,575
$20,901
14,404
6,497
7,738
13,904
4,683
26,325
10,068
5,968
16,036
5,538
10,498
7,632
$18,130
4,382
6,546
2,783
13,711
4,864
3,790
8,654
2,245
6,409
1,223
$ 7,632
2,985
2,738
1,472
7,195
(698)
1,319
621
259
362
1,123
(262)
$ 1,223
$
$
$
$
$
$
0.16
0.15
0.10
0.10
0.01
0.01
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ORIGINS OF BLACKBERRY
RIMs roots are in leading-edge radio technology, with some of the original
products including radio communications hardware and modems. As early as
1997, RIM realized that traditional one-way paging was quickly becoming an
outdated means of communication. Adding the ability to immediately respond
to messages would increase the effectiveness and utility of a paging device,
and thus two-way paging became a focus for RIM.
By 1998, RIM was ready to introduce the Inter@ctive Pager, which included
not only two-way communications, but also Internet and Intranet connectivity, and the thumb-operated keyboard that characterizes the companys products today. Functions such as e-mail, faxing, and text-to-voice messages were
included in this early product.
Over the next year, as the Inter@ctive Pager grew in popularity, RIM teamed
with such providers as Bell South to access wireless data networks, as well as
PageNet and SkyTel to distribute the actual devices. In addition, RIM called
upon its software development team to build additional functionality for the
wireless handhelds, coming up with a package for corporate customers that
offered a complete wireless e-mail solution. This overall product offering
became known as BlackBerry.
BlackBerry combines the RIM wireless handheld devices (RIM 850, RIM
950, and RIM 957) with a software package that allows the user to access
e-mail anytime, anywhere. The handhelds also include peripherals such as docking stations to synch with personal computers, and other personal organizer functions such as calendars, address books, and task lists (see Exhibit 15.2).
The RIM 850 device is the original Inter@ctive Pager handheld and is still
offered in conjunction with limited functionality two-way paging. The newer
models, RIM 950 and RIM 957, have been tailored to fit well with BlackBerry,
EXHIBIT 15.2
View of RIM 950
and RIM 957
Devices
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431
though they are still offered independently. The RIM 950 is pager-sized, and
the RIM 957 is PDA-sized, with increased functionality and improved capability to view Web pages.
While BlackBerry is the most popular RIM package, accounting for 41
percent of RIMs revenues by the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2000, RIM
also sells just the handheld devices to providers such as Bell South. These
relationships allow providers to include their own wireless solution for their
customers, tailored to their specific needs. While these products may compete
with BlackBerry, this has not been viewed as significant cannibalism of BlackBerrys current target marketcorporate clients.
To date, RIM has focused on corporate clientele, striking deals with such
financial service giants as Merrill Lynch, CSFB, and Salomon Smith Barney.
The popularity of the BlackBerry product has become so widespread that
advertising for the product is crossing over into the consumer arena, with a
recent newspaper advertisement (free-standing insert) describing BlackBerry
as the Complete Wireless E-mail Solution for the Mobile Professional.
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Cases
Source: Technical White Paper BlackBerry Exchange Edition version 2.0, Research In Motion Limited, 2000, p. 5.
Customer's
Desktop
(Redirector)
Wireless
Network
(MAPI)
(TCP/IP)
RIM Wireless
Handheld
Internet
ISP Server
Corporate Firewall
Microsoft
Exchange
Server
Wireless
Network
(MAPI)
BlackBerry
Enterprise
Server
Software
(TCP/IP)
RIM Wireless
Handheld
Internet
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TECHNOLOGY ALLIANCES
Throughout the BlackBerry new product development process, RIM entered
into a number of technology alliances. RIM and Intel have a history of collaboration on wireless products and Intel has made an investment in the company. Intel in particular provided the company with the basic chip set for its
BlackBerry pagers based on a standard Intel 386 architecture. Collaboration
between the two firms has been well executed. In fact, in June 1999 the
Canadian-American Business Council recognized RIM and Intel as having
the Most Successful Alliance in North America by awarding them the 1999
Canadian-American Business Achievement Award.2
RIMs partnership with Sun Microsystems is extremely important for thirdparty application development. Announced in December 1999, the Sun/RIM
partnership provided that Java 2 Micro Edition would be implemented on all
RIM handhelds. This alliance expanded cross-platform software development
opportunities because Java 2 Micro Edition was the industry standard programming platform that significantly ease[d] the development and deployment of wireless technologies.3
DISTRIBUTION ALLIANCES
Telecommunications companies provide a major distribution outlet for BlackBerry services and are commonly cobranded with the partners name, as mentioned above (see Exhibit 15.4). Commenting on RIMs distribution alliances,
Jordan Worth, an analyst with IDC, stated:
RIM really caught the attention of some huge U.S. players with BellSouth as
their first major contract win for the two-way pager. Other phone companies
that have the capacity to use their services would look at them because the
more partners they have the more value they have to anyone who wants to
partner with them.4
In addition to telecommunication providers, RIM has entered into significant distribution agreements with OEMs such as Compaq and Dell. In both
cases, the company gains access to Fortune 500 businesses that are looking
for an integrated server, PC, laptop, and/or handheld solution for their
employees. The BlackBerry e-mail solution is particularly suited for these
corporate accounts because it is optimized to work with Microsoft Exchange
server, which is a predominant e-mail program for large businesses.
While ISPs are expected to play a major role in the distribution of BlackBerry Internet Edition to noncorporate users, penetration via this group of
resellers is still somewhat limited. (See Exhibit 15.5 for a description of ISP
partners.)
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EXHIBIT 15.4
Company
Description
Bell Mobility
Based in Canada, augments its line of cellular, paging data, and PCS services with
both BlackBerry Exchange and Internet Edition.
Longstanding strategic partner to RIM; its networks cover more than 93% of
urban business population in the U.S. (Other networks include Ardis, Metricom,
PageNet, PageMart.)
British Telecommunications provider; leverages its new GPRS (General Packet
Radio Service) high-speed network to offer the Exchange service.
Canadian CLEC that caters to small- and medium-sized businesses; offers the
Internet Edition to those businesses.
Provides various communications services over a proprietary terrestrial/satellite
network in the United States; offers BlackBerry Exchange to corporate customers.
Provides paging services, voicemail messaging, and Web-based messaging to
BlackBerry customers via 900 MHz FLEX network and two-way PCS paging
network.
Subsidiary of WorldCom, offers BlackBerry services as a complement to a variety
of paging, text, and messenger beeper products.
Bell South
BT Cellnet
Group Telecom
Motient
Pagemart Canada
SkyTel
EXHIBIT 15.5
Distribution AlliancesISPs
Company
Description
EarthLink
OneMain
PageNet Canada
RCN
Rogers AT&T
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435
Apart from its efforts to promote application development among the open
source community, RIM assumed an active role in the development by working with third parties including network companies like Bell Mobility and professional service and hardware companies like Compaq (refer to Exhibit 15.6
for a list of alliances and applications). RIMs emphasis on the business segment underscored the importance of additional functionality expected from its
devices. More and more companies relied on mobile devices for communication,
EXHIBIT 15.6
Alliance
Application
Bid.com
OpenText
BellMobility/Neomar
Compaq Professional
Services
Brience
Handango
Descartes
Comtrack
Millennium Softworks
Aether
w-Trade
Outercurve Finance
GoAmerica
WolfeTech Corporation
Sybase
Wynd Communications
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EXHIBIT 15.7
The McGrawHill
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Research in Motion Limited (RIM) and BlackBerry: Wireless E-Mail . . . The Killer App?
437
Source: Corporate websites and adapted from: Carol S. Holzberg, E-mail Unplugged: Explore Your Wireless Access Options, E-Mail and More 8,
no. 7 (July 2000), pp. 2225.
Category
Company
Product
PDA
Palm Inc.
Palm claims the only built-in wireless PDA, the Palm VII.
Unlimited service plans are currently $44.95 per month,
though OmniSky offers modems for the nonwireless Palm V at
lower rates. Palm claims a 75% share of the PDA market, over
5,000 software programs, and an open source development
community. The Palm Global Alliance Program includes
companies like Computer Associates, Oracle, IBM, and Sun
(also a RIM ally). Palm licensees include Sony, Nokia, Handspring, and Qualcomm.
Handspring
HP
Casio
Nokia
Motorola
Ericsson
Samsung
Mitsubishi
Sony
Qualcomm
Cellular Phone
(continued)
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Company
Product
Two-Way Pager
RIM
Motorola
Glenayre
Technologies
3. Two-way pager. In reality, this is a poor name for this category, but it
serves as a temporary placeholder for whatever type of wireless Internet
device emerges from the ashes of the pager market. For fans of the BlackBerry, communicating by e-mail beats talking by phone. A typical user
might cite a number of benefits: being able to do two things at once, communicating efficiently, not necessarily having to talk to all people by voice,
worrying less about cancer, easier typing than phone keypads, not having
to log on to get e-mail, broader network coverage than patched-together
cell phone networks.
The lines dividing these categories have blurred as firms move toward allin-one solutions. In spite of the intense competition and blurring of product
concepts, strong consumer demand for wireless e-mail service is expected to
drive growth of more than one firm and product solution. According to one
estimate, wireless e-mail service may grow from the current base of 1 million
Americans to 100 million over the next three years.12 BlackBerry claimed
15,000 users in 1999. By contrast, Motorola sold 200,000 PageWriters in
1999.13 Though Europe has higher penetration of cell phones (62 percent in
Finland compared with less than half of that in the U.S.), RIM believes the
European market is prime for the wireless Internet pager.14
Motorola
Motorola has certainly provided RIM with the most threatening competition
in more realms than just two-way pagers. Its core capabilities parallel RIMs
most closely and, in addition, Motorola has strong brand recognition with the
consumer market. Motorolas renewed move into two-way paging has certainly given RIM pause.
Though Motorolas PageWriter series of pagers dominated the market,
RIM caught the giant Gulliver snoozing on the wireless Internet device front.
Motorola woke up angry and responded with two new products that created a
buzz in the industry: the Talkabout (T900, targeted to the consumer market)
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Case Sixteen
Sprint PCS: Winning
the Wireless War?
In late 2001, Sprint PCS was poised to capitalize on the tremendous projected
growth in wireless data services. With the only all-digital nationwide network
in the United States, the company had a clear technology path to providing
high-speed wireless data capabilities across the country. As the fastest-growing
wireless carrier in the U.S., the company had announced third-quarter subscriber
growth nearly double that of its closest competitor. Sprint PCS could attribute much of its success to the strength of its parent company, Sprint, with an
impressive 95 percent brand awareness1 and a vision of providing high-speed,
always-on voice and data connectivity via wire-line or wireless, all from a
single provider.
Still, the future was uncertain for Sprint PCS and as the company headed
into 2002, management faced many strategic issues. The company was going
against the grain, depending on a technology called code-division multiple
access (CDMA) in lieu of other, more accepted global standards. They had just
lost a major competitive advantage when the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) voted to remove limitations on the amount of radio spectrum
each carrier could use. This gave competitors access to the bandwidth needed for
their less efficient technologies. In addition, the market for wireless data was
far from well defined. Despite massive industry growth projections, adoption
rates were low with only 10 percent of Sprint PCS customers using its wireless Internet capabilities.2 Analysts were uncertain of the real need for mobile
users to access data and their willingness to pay for such services.
Sprint PCSs management faced some critical questions: What were the key
success factors in the wireless industry? Would Sprint PCS be able to survive
the threat of disruptive technologies? Were they being rational in betting on
This case was written by MBA candidates Mary Bruening, Jonathan Chizick, John Gearty, Ravi
Gopal, and Srini Venkat under the supervision of Dr. Allan Afuah, Professor of Corporate
Strategy at the University of Michigan Business School. This case is intended as a basis for
class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an
administrative situation. Copyright 2002 by McGraw-Hill/Irwin. All rights reserved.
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the Internet from their laptop PCs, either by connecting their mobile phones
to their computers or by inserting a Sprint PCS wireless card.
In May of 1998, Sprint announced its intention to buy out its partners and
acquire 100 percent ownership of Sprint PCS. In a series of steps, Sprint PCS
became a unit of Sprint and an initial offering of Sprint PCS stock was issued,
allowing Sprint and Sprint PCS to trade separately on the NYSE.
As of September 2001, the companys total customer base had reached
11.82 million subscribers, constituting over 10 percent of the total U.S. mobile
telecom market. The Sprint PCS network covered 360 metropolitan areas and
85 percent of the U.S. population.7 Subscriber growth for the previous quarter
was 19 percent, while the industry as a whole grew at only 10 percent. Still,
only 10 percent of its subscribers were using Wireless Web capabilities.8
140
120
Subscribers (Millions)
EXHIBIT 16.1
109.5
86
100
69.2
80
55.3
60
40
121.3
44
24.1
20
0
1993 1994
33.8
1995
1996
2000
2001 2002
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this also reduced the range of cellular transmitters and increased the cost of
cellular deployment due to the need for additional transmission towers. In the
U.S., the FCC regulated the spectrum and allocated narrow bands to wireless
operators. Exhibit 16.2 shows the spectrum allocation in the U.S. at the end
of November 2001.
By mid-2001, several wireless technologies were in existence. The most
popular technologies fell broadly into three groupscellular technology,
satellite technology, and wireless local area networks.
Cellular Technology
First Generation (1G)
Bell Labs developed the first wire-free large area communication system in
the 1960s. This was called a cellular telephone network because of the small
geographic regions called cells into which a large contiguous land area was
divided. The system used at the time was an analog system called advanced
mobile phone service (AMPS). Introduced by AT&T in 1983, AMPS used the
EXHIBIT 16.2
Broadcast TV
VHF (5488, 174216 MHz)
UHF (470806 MHz)
Cellular
800900 MHz
AMPS, CDPD, DAMPS,
TDMA, GSM, CDMA
PCS
18001900 MHz
CDMA, TDMA, GSM
Digital Broadband
Satellite
(27.529.5, 3131.3 GHz)
Wi-Fi, Bluetooth
(2.4 GHz)
WCDMA
HiperLAN2,
802.11a
5 GHz
30 MHz
3 GHz
300 MHz
Digital TV
(174216, 470806 MHz)
AM/FM Radio
(5351.605 KHz, 88108 MHz)
Analog Cellular
(806902 MHz)
30 GHz
Teledesic
Digital Satellite Service
(18.819.3, 28.629.1 GHz)
2G PCS Wireless
(18501990 MHz)
Fixed Wireless
Digital Satellite Service
(38.640 GHz)
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800900 MHz frequency spectrum (known as the 800 MHz band) for cell
phones. AMPS was referred to as a first-generation, or 1G technology. This
technology had some disadvantages: Links were poor and handoffs unreliable. The analog system caused excessive power consumption that resulted in
heavy, bulky equipment that required frequent battery recharges.
Second Generation (2G)
Second-generation wireless used different technologies to divide the wireless
spectrum and increase available capacity in limited bandwidth. Further subdivision of frequency spectrums using time-division multiple access (TDMA)
resulted in digital AMPS (D-AMPS). D-AMPS provided a 3-to-1 capacity
gain over analog technology. An alternative way to allocate spectrum was via
code-division multiple access (CDMA). In CDMA, multiple digitized signals, each tagged with a unique code, are scattered across the frequency band.
The receiving device can decipher only the data that are earmarked for it. The
analogy from Qualcom below best illustrates the difference between TDMA
and CDMA:
Imagine a room full of people, all trying to carry on one-on-one conversations.
In TDMA each couple takes turns talking. They keep their turns short by
saying only one sentence at a time. As there is never more than one person
speaking in the room at any given moment, no one has to worry about being
heard over the background din. In CDMA, each couple talks at the same time,
but they all use a different language. Because none of the listeners understand
any language other than that of the individual to whom they are listening, the
background din doesnt cause any real problems.12
Cellular digital packet data (CDPD) was a 2G technology that used TDMA
protocol to allow users to access wireless data at 19.2 Kbps. It was optimized
for TDMA networks and worked in the 800 MHz frequency band. CDPD had
been in existence since the 1980s and had proven to be a reliable method of
data transmission but had limited potential.
Global system for mobile communications (GSM) was gaining ground as
a global standard. European carriers were almost exclusively using GSM. It
used a variation of TDMA and operated in either the 800 MHz or 1800 MHz
frequency band. Short message service (SMS), an instant-messaging service
popular in many European and Asian countries, was started with GSM.
CDMA was incompatible with TDMA and GSM.
Second-and-a-half Generation (2.5G)
Although there was no formal definition for what differentiated 2.5G from 3G
technologies, General packet radio service (GPRS) was widely regarded as
2.5G. It was based on GSM technology and transmitted in the 56114 Kbps
range. More importantly, GPRS had always-on connectivity.
CDMA evolved into 2.5G with CDMA2000 1x, also developed by Qualcomm. This new version was already being deployed by Sprint PCS in late
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2001 and demonstrated rates of 153307 Kbps, the highest of the 2.5G technologies and arguably bordering on 3G capabilities. It was the first CDMA
technology to allow always-on capability.
Faster technologies eliminated the need to use wireless middleware, increasing speeds at which users could access data on a mobile device. Other 2.5G
protocols included high-speed circuit-switched data (HSCSD), which was a
circuit-switched protocol with data rates up to 38.4 Kbps.
Third Generation (3G)
EDGE (enhanced data rate for global evolution), the next evolution of GSM,
was essentially a faster version of GSM. Its top speed was 384 Kbps and it also
used TDMA structure. It was regarded as an evolutionary step toward UMTS
(universal mobile telecommunications service), which was a 3G, packet-based
technology, capable of up to 2 Mbps (megabits per second) transmissions.
Qualcomm was busy developing its answer to the demand for 3G data services. Its response would come with the development of CDMA2000 1xEV, a
direct descendant of CDMA2000 1x. This new protocol delivered data at speeds
up to 2.3 Mbps, offered always-on connectivity, and was backward compatible
with its predecessor. For carriers currently operating on CDMA, this would be
the 3G technology of choice.
Another CDMA variant, called WCDMA, was a 3G technology supporting data rates up to 384 Kbps (for wide area access) or 2 Mbps (for local area
access) and was optimized for multimedia applications. This technology was
not backward compatible with other CDMA technologies but was arguably a
slightly better technology for carriers building a 3G network from scratch or
upgrading from GSM networks. It therefore became a more accepted standard
for carriers not currently using CDMA.
Qualcomms holding of many CDMA patents made it a giant in the market.
Qualcomm had granted royalty-bearing licenses to more than 75 CDMA manufacturers, many of which covered 3G applications.
COMPETITION
Each U.S. wireless competitor faced a different migration path to 3G implementation (see Exhibit 16.3). For companies such as Sprint and Verizon,
which used CDMA technology, the upgrade process to CDMA2000 1x was
straightforward. This upgrade required only the installation of new channel
cards at each of the transmitting base stations and three software upgrades at
various points in the network. Such an upgrade was relatively inexpensive.
However, for companies such as AT&T and Cingular, which used TDMA or
GSM technology, the upgrade path to full-blown 3G was not as straightforward. These firms planned major network upgrades, from GSM to GPRS to
EDGE and finally to WCDMA. The last step was more of a complete network
rebuild than an upgrade. Since building a nationwide network costs in the
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Sprint PCS
AT&T
Verizon
Cingular
Nextel
Technology
CDMA 1900
AMPS800,
TDMA 1900
APMS 800,
CDMA 800,
CDMA 1900
iDEN 800
Subscribers
Market Share
ARPU
3Q01 Revenue
11.8M
11.2%
$61.00
$2.3B
16.4M
16.4%
$63.80
$3.4B
27.9M
27.9%
$49.00
$4.4B
AMPS 800,
TDMA 800,
TDMA 1900,
GSM 1900
21.2M
21.2%
$52.38
$3.6B
7.7M
7.7%
$72.00
$2.0B
neighborhood of $10 billion, this cost was not negligible. In addition, customers needed new devices to receive service. Because of these costs and the
spectrum demands, deployment of WCDMA was expected to be delayed until
2004 or later.
Verizon
On April 4, 2000, Verizon Wireless was created as a new coast-to-coast wireless network venture between Verizon Communications, with 55 percent
ownership, and Vodafone Airtouch, with 45 percent ownership. As of November 2001, it was the market leader in the United States with 28.7 million customers and quarterly revenues of approximately $4.4 billion.13 The companys network footprint covered nearly 90 percent of the U.S. market with
49 out of the top 50 and 96 out of the top 100 regional U.S. markets.14 Part of
Verizons strategy was to expand its capacity in major markets such as New
York, Boston, Los Angeles, Chicago, Philadelphia, Washington D.C., Seattle,
and San Francisco. It was the winning bidder for 113 licenses in the FCCs
January 2001 auction for 1.9 GHz of spectrum. This added capacity came
with a high price tag of $8.8 billion but was seen as placing Verizon in a position to be prepared to launch 3G technology.15
Verizon used two types of technologies on its wireless networks: AMPS and
CDMA. Verizon planned to upgrade its network to CDMA2000 1x, which
would support data transmission speeds of 70150 Kbps, and then to CDMA
2000 1xEV. The investment costs involved only software upgrades and the
transition was a two-step process. However, there were two considerations
that had the potential to slow this transition. Verizon and its partner Vodafone
were contemplating how to effectively align Verizons CDMA network and
Vodafones GSM system in the transition to 3G services. Secondly, with these
multistandard networks, upgrades could be more costly.
Rough estimates indicated that in addition to the $8.8 billion recently spent
to purchase licenses, Verizon would have to spend $1 billion to upgrade to
CDMA2000 1x and an additional $7 billion to reach CDMA2000 1xEV.16
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Cingular
Cingular Wireless was a joint venture of the wireless divisions of SBC and Bell
South. SBC owned 60 percent of the company and Bell South 40 percent. Cingular was the second-largest player in the U.S. wireless industry, with 21.2 million customers as of the first half of 2001. Cingular posted second-quarter
2001 revenues of $3.6 billion and held a 21.2 percent U.S. market share.17
Cingular used three technologies in its network: AMPS, GSM, and TDMA.
Future plans included evolving to EDGE later in 2001. Eventually, Cingular
planned to upgrade to WCDMA technology.18
Cingular recently spent $2.3 billion in additional licenses, and rough
estimates indicated that $1.4 billion would be required to upgrade to GPRS,
$5.1 billion to upgrade to EDGE, and $9 billion to finally rollout WCDMA
technology.19
AT&T Wireless
AT&T Wireless ranked third in mobile phone services provision in the U.S. It
had 16.4 million subscribers with a 16.4 percent market share and $3.4 billion in second-quarter revenue.20 AT&T Wireless was spun off in 2001 as part
of its parent companys restructuring. NTT DoCoMo, which was partnering
with AT&T Wireless to develop mobile multimedia services, owned a 16 percent stake, while the parent company AT&T retained 7 percent. AT&T Wireless offered service nationwide and had expanded its geographic footprint
through a series of mergers.
As of November 2001, AT&T used AMPS and TDMA technology for its
wireless network. AT&Ts current CDPD network spanned across the U.S. but
was likely to become obsolete in the short-term. Its future strategy included
using a GSM-based approach to evolve its networks to 3G services. The first step
in the migration involved the addition of GPRS channels. AT&T hoped to have
this 2.5G solution in place by the end of 2002. The final step in their 3G migration plan would be to offer WCDMA technology in the 2004 time frame.21
AT&T Wireless spent $2.8 billion on additional license purchases and was
expected to require $2.8 billion more to upgrade to GPRS, $5.1 billion to
upgrade to EDGE, and $9.0 billion to upgrade to WCDMA.22
Nextel
Nextel was a smaller player, but was gaining market share. Primarily focused
on business customers, in third-quarter 2001 it had 9.6 million subscribers, a
7.7 percent market share, and $2 billion in quarterly revenue.23 Nextel used
Motorolas integrated digital enhanced network (iDEN) technology for cellular phone service. Its features included paging, text messaging, and a two-way
radio feature (Nextel Direct Connect) on a single handset. Announced on
October 4, 2001, Nextel planned to upgrade its existing network with next-generation enhancements to double its voice capacity (via data compression) to
enable the iDEN platform to remain competitive with other 3G technologies.24
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As the only carrier using iDEN technology, Nextel alone carried the burden
of supporting the Motorola standard in contrast to Qualcomm, whose many
CDMA backers provided substantial revenue for technology development.
SUBSTITUTE TECHNOLOGIES
In addition to direct cellular competitors, Sprint faced additional competition
from substitute technologies. Two of the more prominent ones were wireless
e-mail devices, such as the RIM BlackBerry, and wireless local area networks
(WLANs). Both focused on data transmission, but with the advent of highquality voice over IP (VoIP), a technology that allowed voice calls over pure
data networks, they were poised to become serious competitors in the voice
arena.
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Sources: Martin Johnsson, HiperLAN/2The Broadband Radio Transmission Technology Operating in the 5GHz Frequency Band,
http://www.hiperlan2.com/presdocs/site/whitepaper.pdf, version 1.0, 1999; Brad Smith, Another Standard in the Wind, Wireless Week, July 16, 2001.
IEEE 802.11
Band
Standard
Available spectrum
Max data rate
Throughput
Range/corresponding
data rate
Shipping
2.4 GHz
ETSI HiperLAN2
5 GHz
5 GHz
802.11b
83.5 MHz
11 Mbps
5-7 Mbps
100 m/11 Mbps
802.11g
83.5 MHz
22 Mbps
10-11 Mbps
100 m/11 Mbps
802.11a
300 MHz
54 Mbps
31 Mbps
50 m/9 Mbps
HiperLAN2
54 Mbps
20 Mbps
150 m/16 Mbps
Now
fall 2002
winter 2001
winter 2001
WIRELESS APPLICATIONS
In late 2001, the wireless industry faced formidable challenges. In mature
markets, competition was stiff and the transition to new technologies raised
questions regarding feasibility and return on investment. Barriers to entry were
rising as consolidation made size and scope critical at a time when capital was
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mCommerce Applications
mCommerce is broadly defined as providing mobile consumers and businesses with the ability to purchase and receive products and services via wireless channels. The vision for mobile commerce was to provide information
and transaction processing tools that fully exploited the unique attributes of
mobile technologypersonal, anytime, anywhere, and location-aware. The
first of the mCommerce applications originated in the 19961997 time frame,
with the financial services industry leading the way. Mobile commerce applications were estimated to generate revenues in the range of $64.4 billion to
$210.8 billion by 2005.42 NTT DoCoMos i-mode service was the largest
mCommerce application success story.
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Telematics Applications
One intriguing segment for cellular operators, infrastructure providers, content providers, and consumers was telematicsthe convergence of telecommunications with the automobile. Telematics was broadly defined as mobile
services delivered via wireless technology to in-vehicle devices. Telematics
represented a niche application of wireless technology and was believed to be
a killer app bringing together the automotive and telecommunication industries. The creation of Wingcast by Ford Motor Company and Qualcomm, and
the aggressive rollout of OnStar by General Motors, refocused attention on
vehicle telematics in the U.S. Telematics services fell into three main categories: safety & security, navigation & information, and entertainment. Safety
& security services were expected to provide key buy-ins for telematics, and
voice communications was expected to drive customer value. According to
Forrester Research, telematics was expected to be a $20 billion market by
2006.44
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NEXT STEPS
As Ravi looked out his window, he pondered what this dynamic marketplace
held in store for its numerous players. Which company would hold market
power in the evolving wireless Internet landscape? What would be the impact
of the FCC auctions? How would Sprint PCS respond to WLAN, satellite, not
to mention other cellular competitors? What would be Sprint PCSs competitive advantage? How quickly would data services reach mainstream adoption? What did the cellular standards war foretell? Could Sprint PCS and its
competitors generate positive ROIs on their planned 3G network upgrades?
And what about the international impact of these answers? Ravi turned to his
papers and began his research.
Notes
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40. BWCS, Wireless LANs and the Threat to Mobile Revenue, http://www
.wirelessdevnet.com/2001/207/news9.html, accessed November 2001.
41. George A. Chidi, Wireless Killer App May Be Better Service, Network
World, February 12, 2001.
42. Reuters Business Insight Report, November 2000.
43. Dave Rothschild, Guest Opinion, Wireless Week, November 5, 2001,
p. 37.
44. Voice Drives Telematics Boom, Forrester, June 2001.
45. In-Stat Market Snapshot, Wireless Week, November 5, 2001, p. 24.
46. Chris Hayward, Outlook for mCommerce: Technologies and Applications to 2005, Reuters Business Insight Technology, 2000.
47. InfoTech Trends, Gartner Group, December 11, 2000.
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Case Seventeen
Napster: The Giant
Online Pirate Bazaar
Napster: Its the future, in my opinion. Thats the way music is going to be
communicated around the world. The most important thing now is to
embrace it. . . .1
Dave Matthews (Dave Matthews Band)
[Napster] could end up being as powerful as the record companies are right
now. And I would not predict that they would be any less greedy. Theyre
[Napster] not doing it to benefit mankind. Theyre not doing it to help all
the kids sitting around behind the computers in America who are musically
starved. Theyre doing it because, sooner or later, heres my $50 million fing
IPO, and Im riding into the sunset.2
Lars Ulrich (Metallica)
It was early December 2001. Konrad Hilbers, longtime media executive and
current CEO at file-sharing pioneer Napster, had just watched the launch of
MusicNet, the first subscription-based platform designed to download and
play music online. Mr. Hilbers, a former executive vice president responsible
for BMG Entertainment and CEO of Napster since July of 2001, watched the
proceedings with some ambivalence. He was happy that BMG, Napsters corporate parent as well as major record label and partner in the MusicNet effort,
would continue to be a trendsetter in the online entertainment industry. But he
NYU Stern School of Business MBA Candidates Monty Cyriac, Ivy M. Eisenberg,
Krishnamoorthy Kasiviswanathan, and Timothy J. Steifel prepared this case under the
supervision of Professor Michael J. Lenox for the purpose of class discussion rather than to
illustrate either effective or ineffective management of an administrative situation.
Copyright 2002 by Michael J. Lenox. All rights reserved.
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was also worried that this new subscription-based service, which included
heavyweights such as Warner Music Group, EMI Recorded Music, and RealNetworks, would render futile his own efforts to transform Napster into a
legitimate subscription-based business from its origins as a free file-sharing
service.
Stop the infringements, stop the delay tactics in court, and redouble your
efforts to build a legitimate system3The comments issued by Hilary Rosen,
president of the Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA), a trade
group that headed the lawsuit against Napster on behalf of the five major
record labels were still resonating in Mr. Hilberss ears. In many ways his
very appointment to the position of CEO had been among the first steps taken
by Bertelsmann in that drive toward legitimacy after Napster had suffered a
crippling legal blow in February 2001. That court-ordered injunction required
Napster, the Internets most popular file-sharing service, to disable transfers
of any copyright protected material on its service. For a file-swapping service
that at its zenith had boasted almost 60 million users and over 2 billion downloads a month, this ruling was tantamount to shutting down its operations.
Napster was forced to install filters that prevented sharing of copyright protected material. When these filters failed to be fool proof in enforcing the
court-issued mandate, Napster was forced to shut down its operations temporarily. Formerly loyal subscribers migrated in droves to competing services. In the
meantime executives were left scrambling to chart a business future that was
legitimate.
It was just over two years ago that Shawn Fanning launched Napster, the
killer application/service that enabled millions of users to quickly find the
latest hot music and download it to their PCs. Napster became synonymous
with the peer-to-peer (P2P) revolution, as the online community of music fans
traded stories, swapped tunes, and built individual collections of music on
their own storage devicesall for free.
Since its inception, Napster had been beset by unclear regulations regarding what constituted legal music sharing and downloading, and through what
medium. Back in the mid-1980s, a similar theme ran through the courts when
Sony was sued over its Beta recording system and whether copying television/
video entertainment programming for personal use was legal. In 1984, the
courts ruled that copying television shows or movies onto personal Beta tapes
was legal, as long as the content was used solely for personal entertainment
use and not broadcast or reproduced for profit. Similarly, cassette tapes could
be used for copying music from other music tapes, CDs, and radio. Why was
Napster so different? The answer: This was the Internet, and regulations surrounding online commerce were still in their infancy.
After fighting legal battle after legal battle since its official launch in June
1999, Napster had finally lost in the appeals court in February 2001. It had
had to discontinue the free service and consider reopening under a subscriptionbased model that charged for the transfers of copyright protected material.
But questions remained. Would the major record labels it had taken on in court
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consider licensing their content on Napster? How many of its 60+ million
users, many of whom were already flocking to competing sites, would return
if Napster began charging for its services? Could Napster continue to be a
leading innovator in the face of a hostile music industry and unclear regulatory guidelines relating to music downloads and online file exchange?
COMPANY BACKGROUND
The coincidence of two major technological breakthroughsability to compress, store, and retrieve sound files from a computer with minimal loss of
sound quality using MP3 technology and the explosion of the Internet and, in
particular, the Internet Relay Chat (IRC)led to the music file-swapping and
downloading craze. Many companies and individual start-ups had developed
software that allowed individual users to rip music from CD-ROM and store
it on their PC hard drive or storage device in MP3 format. Critically, the MP3
format did not have a security layer that prevented indiscriminate sharing of files.
Furthermore, you could trade these MP3 files without any loss in their quality. At the same time, on college campuses, IRCs were popular with many students. In the late 1990s, people were introduced to the IRC concept via instant
messenger chats, such as ICQ, AOL Instant Messenger, and Yahoo! Messenger.4
The concept of swapping music files arose because people were listening to
MP3 files while chatting online and, as conversation turned to music, decided
to trade files.
Napster was conceived in January 1999 by Shawn Fanning, a former Northeastern University undergraduate who left college on the belief that the Napster software he developed was a better way to find MP3 music files. (Exhibit
17.1 provides a chronology of events.) Fanning combined the practicality of
sharing personal music and finding MP3s online with chat features. Unlike
the concept of hosting music files on a central server, the Napster model
involved having each users hard drive act, in essence, as a server, with music
files on each hard drive available to the worldwide community of fellow
Napster users who were logged on to the service at that time. His uncle, John
Fanning, believed that Shawns venture had huge potential as a commercial
success and backed his innovation. By May 1999, the company was incorporated. The success of Napster and its widespread popularity was foreshadowed when Shawn tested the beta version of the software by giving it to 30
friends in a chat room. In just three days, over 4,000 people had downloaded
the software and proved Napsters potential industry power. Napster had
launched the peer-to-peer (P2P) revolution.
Napster was an instant hit. Almost immediately, John Fanning contacted
Andrew P. Bridges, a Silicon Valley lawyer involved in copyright laws applying to digital technologies (see the Appendix for details of copyright laws).
Napster came into prominence at a time when MP3 players were becoming
increasingly mobile and popular, while the price of CD burners was dropping.
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EXHIBIT 17.1
Napster Timeline
January 1999
Shawn Fanning drops out of Bostons Northeastern University; asks his uncle to
help commercialize the file-sharing software.
May 1999
June 1, 1999
October 1999
2030 percent of Florida State Universitys pipes tied up with Napster traffic.
Napster and major record companies begin talks, but Richardsons style
sabotages cooperation.
December 1999
February 2000
May 2000
San Francisco venture capital firm Hummer Winbald invests $15 million. Metallica
asks Napster to bar access to the service for users downloading the groups
music. Napster boots 300,000 members from its service for downloading
Metallica songs.
June 2000
RIAA files for an injunction. Napster hires David Boies, the triumphant Microsoft
attorney, to oversee legal matters during its antitrust case.
July 2000
Judge Marilyn Patel rules in favor of the recording industry and orders the company to shut down any trading of copyrighted files. Hours before the injunction
is to go into effect, an appeals court issues a stay, keeping Napster alive.
October 2, 2000
A three-judge panel at the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals hears arguments
from both sides on the validity of the earlier injunction.
Bertelsmanns e-commerce group strikes a deal with Napster, loaning it an estimated $50 million to develop a legal file-sharing system. The loan is redeemable
for a minority equity stake in Napster. BMG, Bertelsmanns music arm and a
member of the RIAA, agrees to drop out of the industry lawsuit if Napster is
successful. BMG will make its catalog available to Napster only if it can figure
out a way to distribute and charge for copyrighted files.
January 2001
Germanys Edel Music agrees to distribute its catalog over Napster. Napster cuts a
deal with CDNow, an online Bertelsmann retailer, to include a link in Napsters
interface that connects to CDNows website. Simultaneously, the Dave Matthews
Band, which records for BMG, issues a single on Napster. TVT Records, an independent label, drops its Napster lawsuit.
9th Circuit Court issues its opinion affirming that Napster violates copyright laws.
February 2001
Napster installs filters and blocks to prevent transfer of copyright protected material.
Bertelsmann appoints Konrad Hilbers as Napsters New CEO replacing Hank Barry.
September 24, 2001 Napster agrees to pay $26 million to settle its ongoing legal disputes with music
publishers and songwriters.
December 4, 2001
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These technological advances made it possible not only to listen to music while
on the computer but also to create ones own customized music on-the-go.
By fall of 1999, Napster was a major force for the universities to reckon
with, as college students were tying up major amounts of bandwidth exchanging music files and chatting on Napster. Recognizing that they needed a CEO,
the principals hired Eileen Richardson, a Boston venture capitalist. Richardson was inexperienced in this arena and confrontational as well, two qualities
that some feel did not serve Napster well as it needed to simultaneously
maneuver the legal battleground and raise venture capital. This was the first
time Richardson had run a company, let alone a Net startup that was challenging the giants of the music business.5
While the rest of the world was buzzing about Y2K doom, insiders at Napster spent a long, cold fall and winter, waiting for Richardson to help them
land some financing. Napster had no need to initiate any of its own marketing, as the media, press, and word-of-mouth contributed to building the Napster user base. Despite the mushrooming popularity and membership of the
site, Napster had difficulty articulating to VCs how it intended to make a
profit.
On May 21, 2000, Napster finally raised $15 million from Hummer Winblad Venture Partners and acquired a new CEO: Hummer partner Hank Barry.
John Hummer himself also joined the board. Eileen Richardson stepped
down. The new regime began building a senior team capable of handling the
challenge. Some key figures in the organization included Milton Olin, former
senior vice president of A&M Records, who was named chief operating officer of Napster; and Claire Hough, VP of engineering who oversaw all technological aspects of Napsters operations and led the growth and implementation of its core technologies.
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major labels could have pursued more legal action to shut down Napster, but
that would have alienated the millions of people who used the service. In fact,
online message boards were filling up with pro-Napster rants. Moreover, with
competitors popping up every day, it was felt that regardless of the industry
or courts shutting down Napster, consumers would find ways to trade MP3s
and songs on the Internet.
In response to the injunction, Napster officials issued a statement on July 29,
2000, declaring the upcoming weekend to be a buycott weekend. Napster
wanted all of its users to go out and buy records by artists they had discovered
on Napster, thereby proving to the RIAA and labels that Napster wasnt hurting
them. The buycott was a bust. InSound and Soundscan reported no sale bumps
or referrals that stirred album sales beyond averages, and the PR episode was
embarrassing for Napster. Even though Napster stood behind Jupiter Research
indicating that Napster users were 45 percent more likely to increase music
spending, the failure to generate sales called into question the prevailing issue
surrounding new business models for online music and whether the Napster
argument regarding the legality of its business was weaker than it had originally appeared.
Then Napster attracted Bertelsmann, the worlds third-largest media company and owner of the BMG record label, as an allyand as a source of
much-needed capital. Bertelsmann, a traditional media company that started
off as a Bible publisher in 1835, was doing just fine without the Internet. The
companys overall profit rose 45 percent in 2000, to $671 million on sales of
$16.5 billion. Bertelsmann recorded music and magazine divisions were
strong. But, Thomas Middelhoff, chairman and CEO of Bertelsmann, felt that
in the future, media companies would be selling most of their wares over the
Internet.
Bertelsmanns e-commerce group struck a deal with Napster on October
31, 2000, loaning it an estimated $50 million to develop a legal file-sharing
service. The loan was redeemable for a minority equity stake in Napster.
BMG, Bertelsmanns music arm and a member of the RIAA, agreed to drop
out of the industry lawsuit if Napster was successful. BMG would make its
music catalog, the fourth largest in the world, available to Napster only if
Napster could figure out a way to distribute and charge for copyrighted files.
The deal alleviated financial pressures on Napster and put pressure on the
other big labels like Sony, EMI, Warner Music, and Universal. BMG foresaw
a tremendous financial future in Napster. Middelhoff proclaimed, We have to
develop business models that are legal, and somebody has to take the lead. . . .
We have to find the second AOL. Middelhoff was eyeing the number-one
spot in the global music business and in media e-commerce. Business Week
Online called the move recruiting the thief to protect the jewels.
On February 12, 2001, a court ruling declared Napster to cease and desist
all exchange of copyrighted material on its website. The court order had many
industry observers concerned that big label control would make Napster just
another pawn in the music establishment. Users responded in many ways.
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Some began flocking to competitors. Others began disguising the file names
of songs they were sharing, using Pig Latin, for example, to avoid detection.
Despite it all, Napster continued to pick up subscribers.
The lack of effectiveness of the filters intended to block trading of copyrighted material as well as the resourcefulness of Napster users continued to
anger the RIAA which lobbied the courts that Napster was not following its
mandate. Therefore, rather than risk further punishment, early in the summer
of 2001, the management at Napster decided to shut down the service temporarily, its intention being to regroup and then launch a subscription-based
model at a later time.
Given the projected importance of digital music in the future, Bertelsmann
took a more active role in the reincarnation of Napster as a legitimate business. Hank Barry stepped down as CEO, and Konrad Hilbers, the head of BMG
Entertainment, was appointed CEO on July 24, 2001, his task being to align
all required resources and reopen Napster as a subscription-based digital
downloading service. While the service had not been launched yet, he and
Napster had made significant progress in signing up music publishers to
license their content on Napster. But despite its close relationship with BMG,
Hilberss presence at Napster had not yielded any new alliances with major
record labels.
NAPSTERS STRATEGY
After 18 months, Napster had 50 million users. According to Media Metrix,
from the period of January 1, 2001, through January 13, 2001, Napster was
the 16th most visited web/application site, with 14.4 million unique visitors,
being outranked mostly by media giants such as the likes of AOL, Disney,
Time Warner, and Microsoft. (In February, Napster climbed to 13th place,
with 16.9 million unique visitors.)
Despite its tremendous success Napster had never generated money from
the daily operation of its service software/website. Indeed, Shawn Fannings
motivation was never to make money. I didnt see us turning into a business,
he claimed. I just did it because I loved the technology. However, consumer
interests showed that if Napster were to sell subscriptions to Napster users,
68 percent of the 40 million users in January 2001 would be willing to pay
$15.00 per month for the Napster service, up from 59 percent in 2000 (Jupiter
Reports). These numbers clearly showed the importance of Napster to users.
If Napster lowered its monthly fee to $4.95, the anticipated percentage of customers with the intent to stay with Napster increased to a whopping 81 percent.
Subscription/usage charges were estimated to eventually contribute 70 percent
to Napsters operating bottom line in years 13 (Jupiter Reports).
Napsters prime real estate was its home page and download catalog pages.
But the firm never opened its space to those interested in advertising on its
prime, high-volume site. There were an estimated 35 different banner/text
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EXHIBIT 17.2
Name
Launched
Description
Features
Platform
Napster
June 1999
Windows,
Mac, Linux,
Unix
8.0633
Gnutella
March 2000
Released in early
March 2000, Gnutellas decentralized network demonstrates
the capability of peer2-peer computing.
Gnutellas user base
has grown drastically
due to the Napster
case.
Decentralized unlike
Napster and others
Connect and download directly from
usersShare/Search/
Download all media
formats.
Windows,
Linux, Unix,
Macintosh,
Java
4.7609
FreeNet is becoming
something of a legend
in the file-sharing
community with its
revolutionary technology. Recommended
to advanced users.
Windows,
Unix/Linux
2.4000
iMesh is a file-sharing
network that allows
all media types to be
downloaded or shared.
iMesh is located in
Israel, out of reach
of the RIAA.
Simultaneous downWindows
loadShare Wizard
ChatAvailable
SkinsEasy to use
Located outside the
U.S.Search on iMesh
.com or via application.
5.9608
KaZaA is a file-sharing
application based in
the Netherlands that
allows users to share
all media types across
the network.
No central server
Intelligent download
capabilityAutomatic
meta data assignmentEasy to use
Good download rate.
7.4872
FreeNet
iMesh
KaZaA
467
August 1999
Windows
(continued)
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(continued)
Description
Features
Platform
Zeropaid
Rating
Morpheus
Morpheus is really a
slightly altered version
of KaZaA, modified to
work with MusicCitys
excellent array of
servers.
No central server
Intelligent download
capabilityAutomatic
meta data assignmentEasy to use
Good download rate.
Windows
7.5500
LimeWire
LimeWire is a Java
client that connects
you to the Gnutella
network. LimeWire is
also a very stable client
with few crashes and
is a breeze to update.
Smart Downloading
Cross Platform,
technologyRestrict
written in Java
uploadsBuilt-in client
updateWeb browser
upload blocking.
Name
Launched
7.2500
Note: Zeropaid.com is a peer-to-peer file-sharing portal that includes, among other things, a facility for visitors to rate various P2P sites. The
rightmost column below, labeled Zeropaid Rating, shows how users rated these sites.
were having a hard time tracking their growth. This was especially true as more
servers were launched outside the copyright-friendly confines of the U.S. borders. Enforceability was going to be a problem against these foreign competitors.
Gnutella let people trade music files without revealing their locations on
the Net. Gnutella was not a website but a protocol, which is a set of rules
that describe a way for computers to talk to one another. The Gnutella protocol outlined a method of sharing files among many computers. Its approach
did not require a central database, as Napsters did. Because Gnutella allowed
files to be swapped directly between individuals, the courts would have had
to go after each user individually. Another anonymous trading service, Freenet,
was especially designed to ignore copyright laws through its no sign-on/no registration, anonymous software technology, using encryption for both the sender
and receiver of information. This created even more difficulty for record companies, as they tried to figure out who was sharing music over the Internet.
The creators of such services claimed to be more focused on the advantages of technology than on profits. There were key advantages to all distributed
P2P systemsmore efficient storage, with less dependence upon, and vulnerability to, a central storage site. As Ian Clarke, founder of Freenet, explained,
The intention of the original Arpanet was . . . to create a decentralized system,
the idea being that if there was a nuclear war, the only two things to survive
would be cockroaches and the Internet. . . . I think that really Freenet in some
ways is the realization of the original creators of the Internet. . . . On Freenet,
popular information becomes more widely distributed, which means that
youre not going to get what some people call the slashdot effect, whereby
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Despite the competition, Napster had been the clear leader in the category
of free P2P music sites before the court-ordered filters rendered the service
virtually useless. In addition to having an easy and efficient interface for trading music, Napster supported the music community, hosting chat sessions,
featuring new artists, including reviews of music, hosting message boards,
and carrying the endorsements of many recording artists.
In the midst of litigation over free sharing of online music, legal business
models for sharing files came into vogue. For example, Lightshare built a way
to track files and asked users to pay a small fee for any that were downloaded.
This P2P sale of anything digital made it the new, favored competitive model
among labels and the RIAA. In addition, the music industry and its labels crafted
their own competitive responses, which had the potential to significantly impact
the road map for free technologies, copyright violations, and Napsters existence.
Universal Music Group and Sony Entertainment had announced a joint venture
to launch a paid music download service called pressPlay that included content
from EMI as well. MusicNet was the digital distribution platform for the other
major labels such as Warner Music Group, BMG Entertainment, EMI Recorded
Music, and Zomba. Additionally, MusicNet had the backing of Real Networks,
one of the pioneers and leaders in streaming entertainment.
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As Konrad Hilbers awaited the 2002 launch of Napster as a subscriptionbased service, he was left pondering several questions:
1. How could Napster become profitable? What subscription/pay-per-download
model would work for sustaining Napster? Would banner/ad revenue offset losses on copyright fees and still help Napster turn a profit?
2. Would antitrust forces make life difficult for the label consortiums that
were launching subscription-based online services? Moreover would the
major record labels ever consent to licensing their music catalogs to Napster?
3. Should Napster remain sheltered as a subsidiary of Bertelsmann? In particular, would the subsidiary structure hinder technological innovation, the
hallmark product of Napster?
4. What would happen to Napsters 60+ million users if Napster charged even
a slight fee for music? Would they flee to other replacement services like
Morpheus or iMesh?
5. Would copyright laws ever evolve in light of the widespread adoption of
the Internet?
Notes
1.
2.
3.
4.
www.napster.com.
Business Week Online at www.businessweek.com, June 5, 2000.
Ibid.
In a chat session, members have e-mail conversations with each other, by
having the words they type appear on everyones chat window in real time.
All members of a chat session are either logged in to an online service, such
as AOL, or they know each others Internet address and send messages
back and forth.
5. S. Ante, Inside Napster, cover story of Business Week Online at www
.businessweek.com, August 14, 2000.
6. Napster Keeps on Tryin, Geek News, February 21, 2001, www.geek
.com/news/geeknews/2001feb/gee20010221004438.htm.
7. Liam B. Lavery, Rights and Wrongs: A Practical Guide to Rights in
Internet Content, WebBusiness, December 1, 1999.
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APPENDIX
471
Copyright Laws7
Audio recordings involve rights at multiple levels, much like photographs. A musical recording may
involve not only a copyright of the person who made the recording but also the copyright of the
composer and even the lyricist. Fortunately, various rights clearinghouses can help track down the
relevant permissions.
For sound contained on a compact disc or other mass-published recording, the record company will
typically hold the copyright in the sound recording itself, taking an assignment of the performers rights
in return for giving the performer a share of the royalty. A composers group, such as the American
Society of Composers, Authors, and Publishers (ASCAP) or Broadcast Music Inc. (BMI) in the United
States, often has the authority to license a public performance in the underlying musical composition.
The rights required depend on the type of Internet publication planned. A publisher providing a
subscription-only music service will require different rights from someone who simply wants to use a
single song whenever an end user accesses his or her home page. Organizations that grant permission
are typically very sophisticated about distinguishing between various channels of distribution. Therefore,
a publisher who has licensed a song for a radio commercial should not assume that the radio license will
cover website use.
A publisher who commissions an audio recording may run into different rights issues. If the
American Federation of Television and Radio Artists (AFTRA) or the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) union
talent is used to perform the voice-over for an audio recording, the publisher will have to pay the talent
at union rates for each distribution channel. Again, paying once for use on television or radio will
generally not permit usage on a website. Frequently, publishers declare that the First Amendment
permits them to use freely any content available for their websites. In fact, U.S. copyright law provides
relief in the fair use doctrine. However, the fair use doctrine is subtle and frequently misapplied. If you
want to rely on fair use when copying content from another source, you should talk to an attorney or an
editor experienced in the exercise of fair use.
Section 107 of the Copyright Act lists four factors to be considered in determining whether a use
made of a work in a particular case is fair:
The purpose and character of the use, including whether such use is of a commercial nature or is for
nonprofit educational purposes.
The nature of the copyrighted work.
The amount and substantiality of portion used in relation to the copyrighted work as a whole.
The effect of the use upon the potential market for or value of the copyrighted work. How these
factors apply varies from situation to situation. Generally, fair use protects noncommercial,
educational, or journalistic use of content. The bottom line may be whether the claimed use takes
away from the copyright holders potential licensing market.
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Appendix
Internet Protocols,
More Details, and
Further Reading
In this brief appendix, we provide a few more technical details as a reference
for those interested in learning more about the technology of the Internet.1 We
describe the basic idea behind the main protocols and discuss domain names,
the client-server model, and a few other technical details.
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the addresses. The organization can request any name that has not already
been registered. Most companies would like to get a name that is identical to
their actual name. For example, ABCD Corp. would most likely prefer
abcd.com (com stands for commercial, edu stands for educational
institution, gov stands for government, mil for military, net for
network (ISP), and org stands for nonprofit organization, to name the
most popular domains). If no one has reserved abcd.com, then ABCD Corp.
will get the name and have a main IP address (and possibly a range of IP
addresses) affiliated with that name.
Now, when a computer would like a document served up from across the
network, there needs to be some way of mapping the Universal Resource
Locators, or URLs, to numbers. In the early days, all computers stored all the
IP addresses for all the other computers in a huge table. This, however, was
not very efficient as the mapping of names to numbers occasionally changed,
which meant the tables had to be reconstructed. The domain name system
(DNS) was designed to manage this mapping of names to numbers. Assume
you would like the document http://www.abcd.com/corporate.html. You
need to know which IP address to put in the destination field of your packets.
So your computer puts in a request at a local domain name server (also called
a DNS) to see if it knows the IP address. If you are within the abcd.com
intranet domain, the DNS will have this number available. However, if you
are anywhere else, your request will be forwarded on to an appropriate DNS.
It could go to a certain master name server called the InterNIC name server,
which could give a primary and secondary DNS to contact. One of these
servers should have the correct IP address for the host you are searching and
will send that address back to you so you can make contact.
Client-Server Model
Many if not all of the interactions described here take advantage of an abstraction called a client-server model. The client runs on the end users computer.
It requests information or requests that a task be performed remotely by a
server. For example, your electronic mail client executes on your computer.
When you check your e-mail, your client program will most likely send a
message to a post office server where your e-mail is being held. It requests
that all messages delivered since the last time you checked be delivered to
your computer. The server sends the messages to the client and you can then
read your e-mail on your own computer.2
Another example is a file server. On many systems that involve multiple
users, such as those in an office, there are so-called shared drives. These
shared drives are actually file servers, and a client program runs on the office
computers that treats the shared drives as local drives in a manner transparent
to the employee. An example is the Netware product by Novell. When you
start your computer, the client program asks you to log in. If this were your
own personal computer with its own hard drive, there would be no need to log
in. However, the client program asks you to log in so it can mount the shared
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drive. When you look in the shared drive, the client program on your computer sends a request to the file server for the directory information. When
you open a file on the shared drive, the client requests the contents of the file
from the server. The server complies with these requests as long as you are an
authorized user. Thus, the log-in procedure.
The client-server model therefore decouples the processing of information
from the storage of information and accomplishes both in the most efficient
way. File servers are highly specialized computers that are optimized to hold
and deliver large amounts of data, while your computer is a more general purpose tool that is, in general, useful but lacks both storage space and speed.
The development of the client-server model thus led to a more distributed
computing environment, making the rise of the Internet possible.
Other Major Protocols
IP is not the only protocol currently in use. The other main protocols are (in
order of level of abstraction) TCP, FTP, and HTTP. TCP (transmission control
protocol) keeps track of large amounts of information, breaking it into packets at the senders computer and reassembling the packets into the original data
stream at the recipients computer. The reason you see IP/TCP written together
is that they are almost always used in tandem. TCP breaks up the packets,
numbers them, and sends them off with the correct IP headers so that the remote
version of TCP can put them back together again. Since the information is broken up into packets and is not sent as a data stream, it is highly likely that a
later packet may arrive before an earlier one. Or a packet may get lost on the
way and never arrive at all because of a failure in the computer hardware or a
bug in the software. TCP keeps track of all of these things and makes various
requests (by sending messages to the sources computer) to reassemble the original information stream in the correct and complete order. Most of the time, this
happens so quickly that the average user does not notice it.
FTP is the file transfer protocol, which uses both IP and TCP to send a
complete file across a network from an FTP server to an FTP client. HTTP is
the hypertext transfer protocol, which is the specification for sending and
receiving a World Wide Web page from a Web server to a Web client which
is also called a browser.
Universal Resource Locator (URL)
After HTTP was developed, a general way of specifying a specific Internet
address using any of the protocols came into use. This came to be known as
the Universal Resource Locator (URL). The URL comprises three parts: the
protocol, the separator (://), and the path to a specific file resident on a specific
computer.3 By 2000, URLs had become almost synonymous with HTTP, but
theoretically, they can be used with other protocols, such as FTP or Telnet. For
example, a typical URL is:
http://www.best.edu/students/list.html
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which means, connect to the host called www.best.edu using the hypertext
transfer protocol, look in a subdirectory called students and deliver the file in
there called list.html so I [the client/browser] can display it.4 A non-HTTP
example is:
ftp://ftp.mycompany.com/employees/list.doc
which instructs the computer to connect to the host ftp.mycompany.com using
the file transfer protocol, look in a subdirectory called employees, and deliver
the file called list.doc.5
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Some companies provide the content that resides on the servers, especially
the Web (HTTP) servers. These companies could be portals, sources of
information that users turn to first when they get on the Internet. Most of the
so-called content providers, content creators, or aggregators are pure providers
of information compared to most other companies, which sell products or
services using the Internet as one possible medium.
Further Reading
This appendix has attempted to give a brief glimpse into some of the details
behind the technology of the Internet. We have not provided details on all the
different formats or types of multimedia information available, nor have we
given other details on related technologies. Examples of these missing topics
include details on routers, ISDN, network computers, satellite protocols, Usenet
newsgroups, Internet Relay Chat and Instant Messaging, World Wide Web
form interfaces, Java, Javascript, CGI scripts, audio and video formats, encryption, firewalls, proxy serversand the list goes on. On our website, we have
collected more information on many of these topics. However, as mentioned
earlier in this appendix, the basics of how the system works have remained
relatively constant for over 20 years!
For more information, the reader should consult the many computer science, information technology, and electronic commerce texts. The best book
at an intermediate level of technical detail is the sixth edition of Preston
Grallas How the Internet Works, published by QUE Press, 2001. Another
good resource is Gail Honda and Kipp Martin, The Essential Guide to Internet Business Technology, Prentice Hall, 2002. The classic computer science
books in this area are Paul E. Green, Jr. (ed.), Computer Network Architectures and Protocols, Plenum, 1982; and Andrew S. Tannenbaum, Computer
Networks, 3rd Edition, Prentice Hall, 1996. For more information on the
client-server model consult Robert Orfali, Dan Harkey, and Jeri Edwards,
Client/Server Survival Guide, 3rd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, 1999. For a
good overview of electronic commerce issues with an emphasis on Internet
security, see Marilyn Greenstein and Todd Feinman, Electronic Commerce:
Security, Risk, Management, and Control, McGraw-Hill, 2000. For a managerial perspective on electronic commerce, consult Ravi Kalakota and Andrew
B. Whinston, Electronic Commerce, published by Addison Wesley, 1997.
Finally, for a history of the Internet based on primary interviews with its architects, refer to Stephen Segallers Nerds2.0.1, published by TV Books, 1999.
Notes
1. The basics of this technology have not changed very much in the last 20 years,
although some details do occasionally change: Technology advances every
day and the physical infrastructure of the Internet along with it. Businesses
merge, rename themselves, sell off business units, or go bankrupt. Companies
launch new products and whole new segments are created seemingly
overnight. While the basic ideas do not change very frequently, we have
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Companies, 2003
Index
Index
A
ABC, 353
Abovenet Communications, 367
Abraham, A., 353, 359
Abrahams, P., 390
Abramowitz, M., 360
Absorptive capacity, 198
Activision, 378
Addonizio, M., 299
Adobe, 110, 306, 307
Advanced Research Projects Agency
(ARPA), 15, 243
Advertising-based model, 104, 106108
Aether, 435
Affiliate model, 110
Afuah, A., 101, 102, 159, 166, 200, 221,
259, 371, 415, 442
Akamai Technologies, 209
Aktar, A., 283
Alberto-Culver Co., 274
Alcatel, 175, 403
Aldort, Jill, 359
Allen, L., 282, 359
Allen, P., 371
Allen, T., 222
Altasi, O., 428
AltaVista, 107, 294, 295
Amazon.com, 21, 56, 106, 109, 137, 147,
149, 196, 197, 198, 212, 215,
224242, 264, 306, 308, 367, 419,
420
American International Group (AIG), 344
America Online; See AOL Time Warner
Ameritech, 320
Ameritrade, 132, 204, 425
Amit, R., 75
Anders, G., 269, 270, 328
Andersen Consulting, 263, 306
Anderson, P., 101
Ando, K., 381
Angwin, J., 336
Ante, S., 470
AOL Time Warner, 18, 19, 20, 21, 25, 95,
194, 215, 216, 230, 251, 353, 377,
379380, 385, 399, 403, 418, 461,
465
Apple Computer, 70, 126, 329
Applications service providers (ASPs), 8,
27, 104, 111, 112
Archipelago, 422
472
B
Baan, 403
Bach, R., 383
Backbone, 12
Backbone operators, 23
Backbone service providers, 22
Bahram, N., 102
Bain Consulting, 362
Baldwin, J., 304
Bandwidth, 12
Bankers Trust Company, 225
Bank of America, 381
Bank One, 418
Banks, D., 259
Baratz, A., 392
Bargain discounter, 104, 108
Barnes & Noble, 109, 212, 226,
305, 306
Barney, J., 77, 159
Barry, H., 463, 465
Barter, 6162
Bartlett, C. A., 101
Bartoli, D., 301
Bascomb, N., 301312
Basillie, J., 428440
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Index
Index
The Boots Company PLC, 274
Borders, L., 259270
Borders Books, 259261
Borland, 403
Bosack, Len, 175
Boston Consulting Group, 348
Bottger, Todd, 166
Boundary spanners, 68
Bounded rationality, 4546
Bounty broker, 104, 106
Bower, J. L., 222
Boyle, T. C., 304
Brandenburger, A. M., 200
Brand integrated content, 104, 110
Brealey, R. A., 158, 159
Bresnick, P., 304
Bricks-and-mortar
cash flows, 146147
vs. dot.com, 9798
Bridges, Andrew P., 461
Brience, 435
Briody, D., 457
Bristol-Myers Squibb, 274
Broadcast.com, 251258
Brokerage model, 105
Brokers/agents, 21
Bronson, P., 335, 336
Brooke, B., 300
Brown, E., 401
Bruening, M., 442
BT Cellnet, 434
B2B exchanges, 3942, 53
B2B hubs, 41, 105
B2B service provider, 112
B2C, 42, 53
Buick, D., 338
Burak, H., 392
Burgelman, R. A., 222
Burns, T., 76
Business 2.0, 19
Business model component attribute
measures, 149150
Business model component
measures, 162166
Business models, 5174
appraisal, 213
capabilities, 6970
components and linkages, 5253
connected activities, 6366
cost structure, 7273
customer value, 5557
elements of, 54
elements of appraising, 160166
and firm performance, 45
implementation, 6669
Internet, 5152, 78100
price, 5862
profit site, 5355
revenue sources, 6263
scope, 5758
sustainability, 7072
taxonomy of, 103119
Business-to-business exchanges; See B2B
exchanges
Business to consumer commerce; See B2C
Business trading community, 104, 105
Buss, D., 283, 284
Butterfield & Butterfield, 369
Buy.com, 108
Buyer aggregator, 104, 106
Buyers, 193
Buy/sell fulfillment, 104, 105
Byrne, John A., 184
By Terry, 280
C
Cahners, 298299
Cain, S. P., 390
California, University of at Los Angeles
(UCLA), 15
Campanelli, M., 328
Canessa, G., 371, 388
Cannibalization, 72, 206
Capabilities, 53, 163, 165
Capabilities gap, 216
Capability, 6970
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM), 146
Capitol Records, 125
Carlisle, M., 302
Carlisle & Co., 302, 303
Carmody, Brad, 166
Carpenter, C., 351358
CarPoint, 343, 344345
CarsDirect, 105
Carsey-Werner-Mandach, 353
Cash flows, 145147
bricks-and-mortar vs. Internet, 146147
Casio, 437
Caspian, 175
Cassell, A., 299
Catalogue merchant, 104, 109
Catalyst Resources, 347
Caterpillar, 70, 82
CDnow, 226
CERN, 16, 17
Champions, 68
Change, and firm performance, 6
Channel conflict, 20, 206207
Charles Schwab & Co., 19, 21, 22, 208,
317, 417, 423, 425
Charlottes Web, 175
Charron, Chris, 359
Chase Manhattan Bank, 344, 423
Chemdex Corporation, 297
Chen, M., 416, 426, 427
Chen, S., 251
Chervitz, D., 300
Chester, R., 388, 390
Chidi, G., 458
473
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D
D. E. Shaw & Co., 225
DaimlerChrysler, 39, 195, 404, 406, 411
Dalton, G., 335
DARPA, 16
Datek, 426
Davis, J. E., 159
Debt financing, 156
Deevy, Martha, 317
E
EarthLink, 19, 434
Eastman Kodak, 368
eBay, Inc., 19, 21, 22, 35, 61, 105, 106,
192, 230, 360370
E-commerce companies, 1821
The Economist, 40, 320
Eddie Bauer, 230
EDS, 112
Educational acquisition, 217
Edvinsson, L., 158, 159
Edwards, J., 247
eGrocer.com, 268
Eisenberg, I. M., 459
Eisenmann, T., 103, 105, 106, 108, 110,
111, 113, 118
Eisenmann, T. R., 104, 108, 110, 112, 116
Electric Gravity, Inc., 384
Electronic Arts, 373, 375, 376, 377, 379
Electronic Commerce: Security, Risk, Management, and Control (Greenstein
and Feinman), 247
F
FairMarket, 368
Faleiro, Brian, 329
Fallon McElligott (FM), 320
Fanning, J., 461
Fanning, S., 460, 462
FAO Schwartz, 230
Farmer, M., 390
Farrell, C., 200
Featherly, K., 312
Federal Express, 112, 261, 264
Fee-for-service-based model, 104, 111112
Feinman, T., 31, 247
Ferguson, C. H., 222
Ferguson, D., 170
Fidelity Investments, 418
Fierman, J., 76, 101, 159
File transfer protocol (FTP), 16
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Index
Index
Fine, Lauren Rich, 300
Firepower Systems, 329
Firewall, 14
Firm and industry proxy method, 148149
Firm performance, 3
determinants of, 36
and environment, 187189
and the Internet, 189194
and macro environment, 196198
FirstPerson, 396
Fischetti, Mark, 30
FITEL, 225
5 Cs, and the Internet, 6, 3844
Fixed-line Internet, 14
Fixed pricing; See Menu pricing
Fixed wireless, 14
Fjeldstad, . D., 47, 121, 122, 139, 141
Foley, C., 118, 351
Foley, M. J., 312, 401
Ford, H., 338
Ford Motor Company, 110, 209, 338, 345,
406, 411, 412, 455
Forrester Research, 230, 263, 369
Fortune, 149
Frankel, B., 457
Fredrickson, J. W., 222
Free cash flow, 145146
Free model, 104, 108
FreeNet, 467, 468
Fresin, G., 429
Friedan, B., 304
Friedman, A., 251
FTD, 362
Fujimoto, T., 200
Functional organizational structure, 66
Fusfeld, A. R., 223
G
Gage, D., 401
Galuszka, P., 284
Gamespot, 380
Gamespy, 376, 380
Garud, R., 140
Gatekeepers, 68
Gates, W. H. III, 371, 380, 400
Gateway; See Local area network (LAN)
Gearty, J., 442
Geletkanycz, M. A., 222
Geller, L. K., 328
General Electric (GE), 80, 208
Generalized portal, advertising
model, 104, 107108
General Magic, 361
General manager
and competitive advantage, 203204
formulating and implementing
strategy, 210218
managing bricks-and-mortar incumbents, 204209
managing new entrants, 209210
personal role of, 219
H
Hagan, M., 288
Hagenlocker, Edward, 219
Hall, I., 371
Hall, R., 158, 159
Ham, T., 390
Hambrick, D. C., 222
Hamel, G., 70, 76, 77, 158, 183, 208,
221, 222
Hamm, S., 401
Handango, 435
Handspring, 437
Hannaford Brothers, 267
Hardware suppliers, 2728
Harkey, D., 247
Harmon, A., 440
Harpster, T., 360
Harrisdirect, 19
Hasbro, 362
Hatlestad, L., 335
Hayward, C., 458
Hedlund, G., 48
Helfat, C., 76
Henderson, R., 87, 101
Henkel KGAA, 274
Herhold, S., 284
Hermida, K., 315
Heun, C., 284
Hewlett-Packard, 20, 21, 28, 400, 403, 437
Heyman, D., 315
Hickman, S., 222
Higgins, C. A., 76, 223
475
I
Iacocca, Lee, 219
Iansiti, M., 223
Ibeauty.com, 275
IBM, 19, 20, 21, 28, 56, 72, 171, 204, 205,
286, 320, 398, 399, 400, 403, 406
iBoats, 108
Ibrahim, D., 371
Ibuka, M., 69
ICQ, 461
Idei, N., 381
id Software, 385
i-Escrow, 368
ImageX, 19
iMesh, 467
Imitability, 79
Implementation, 6669, 163, 165, 218
people, 6769
structure, 6667
systems, 67
Inbound logistics, 123
Incremental change, in technology, 86
Incumbents, 204
Industry analysis, 193194
Industry dynamics, and
co-opetitors, 194195
Industry environment, 187
Internet impact on, 189192
Industry success drivers, 189
Industry value drivers, 213
Infinite virtual capacity, 36
Infomediary registration model, 104, 108
Information asymmetry, 3536, 128
Information overload, 130
Information Resources Inc., 272
Ingredients.com, 271
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Index
J
Jaleshgari, R. P., 284
James, A., 75
Jeffrey, D., 258
Johnson, S. C., 222
Johnson, W., 101
Johnson & Johnson, 273
Joint ventures, 209
Jones, C., 222
Jones, G. R., 29, 76, 200
Juniper Networks, 160, 166182
Juno, 332
Jupiter Communications, 272, 356
K
Kalakota, R., 31, 247
Kamdar, A., 313
Kanebo Ltd., 274
KAO Corporation, 273
Kaplan, S., 48
Karlin, S., 356, 359
Karpinski, R., 284
Kasiviswanathan, K., 459
Katz, M. L., 47
Kay, P., 300
KaZaA, 467
Kelleys Blue Book (KBB), 345
Kelly, K., 47, 222
Kendall, P., 312
Kent, G., 271, 282
Kerouac, J., 301, 305
Khaykin, O., 348
Kim, Y., 224, 242
King, S., 305
Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, 170
Klepacki, L., 283
Kmart Corp., 214215, 224
Knowledge-based products, 58
Koo, C., 370
Koogle, T., 251
Kotler, P., 75
Kriens, S., 170, 171, 172, 173, 174
Kroger Co., 259, 268
Kruse International, 369
Kumar, N., 47
L
L. L. Bean, 109, 124, 128
Labich, K., 222
Lab21.com, 275, 281
Lafley, A. G., 278, 282
LaHood, L., 390
Lands End, 109
Landy, D., 251
Lashinsky, A., 370
Last mile operators, 104; See also Last
mile providers
Last mile providers, 22, 2425, 111; See
also Last mile operators
Lau, Alex, 390
Laudon, K., 103
Laudon, K. C., 104, 105, 106, 108, 110,
111, 112, 116, 118
Lavery, L. B., 470
Lawrence, P. R., 76
Laybourne, G., 351, 353
Lazaridis, M., 428440
Lead generator, 104, 111
Lead users, 94
Leapfrog, 125
Legacy firms, 204
Lemmond, C., 301
Leonard-Barton, D., 222
M
Macalauso, N., 426
MacDonald, L., 389
Macro environment, 56, 187,
195198, 214
Maddox, K., 327, 328
Mailboxes Etc., 368
Major Automobile Group, 343
Managerial logic, 205
Mandal, H., 371
Maney, K., 401
Manufacturer direct, 104, 110
Manufacturing model; See Productionbased model
Market exchange, 104
Marketing and sales, 123
Market-makers, 21, 22
Market Mile, 106
Market share, and knowledge-based
products, 59
Market value, 151
Markup, 109
Markup-based model, 104, 108109
Marlatt, A., 48, 299
Matchmaker, 104, 106
Matthews, D., 459
McGee, M. K., 283
MCI Communications, 170, 253, 254
MCI Worldcom, 13, 19, 20, 21, 23, 24
McNaughton, J., 428
McNealy, S., 392401
McNulty, M., 287, 288
M-commerce, 20
Mechanistic organizational structure, 67
Media companies, 21
Media Metrix, 465
MediaOne, 25
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Index
Mediating technology, 33, 121
Mendelson, H., 29
Menu pricing, 60
Merck, 70
Merrill Lynch, 204, 205, 288, 415,
425, 431
Merz, M., 404413
Metamediary, 104, 106
Metcalfe, Bob, 34
Metcalfes law, 34
Meyer, M. H., 222
Michigan, University of, 315
Microsoft: Xbox Online, 371391
Microsoft Corporation, 20, 21, 67, 92,
230, 251, 306, 307, 315, 335,
345, 398, 400, 401, 406,
452, 465
Mighty Words, 308
Milan, T. L., 158
Milano, M., 271
Millenium Softworks, 435
Miller, C., 415
Miller, L., 336
Miller, S. A., II, 388, 390
Mintzberg, H., 222
Mirage Resorts, Inc., 296
Mitchell, R., 222
Mitchell, W., 101
Mitra, P., 335
Mitsubishi, 437
Miyata, T., 382
MobileStar, 452, 453
Monetization, 116
Montoya, J., 271
Moore, G., 36
Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, 143, 425
Morpheus, 468
Morris, C. R., 222
Morse, K., 397
Motient, 434
Motorola, 20, 27, 403, 428, 436, 437,
438, 439
MSN, 19, 230, 344, 345, 376
Mui, C., 47, 48, 141
Mulqueen, J. T., 336
Munarriz, R., 270
Murdoch, R., 306
Murphy, J., 336
Murphy, R., 258
MusicNet, 469
myCFO, 112
Myers, S. C., 158, 159
my.MP3.com, 106
MySimon, 106
N
Nalebuff, B. J., 200
Napster, 106, 459470
Narisetti, R., 328
NASDAQ, 154
O
Oates, J. C., 304
OConnor, C., 284
Ody, P., 270
OfficeMax, 439
Oh, T., 259
Olds, Ransom, 338
Olin, M., 463
OMalley, Drew, 166
Omidyar, P., 361, 362
OneMain, 434
One-to-one bargaining, 61
Online service providers (OSPs), 20, 22,
23, 104, 111
Opel, 411
OpenText, 435
OpenTV, 403
Operations, 123
Opinion Research Corp. International, 419
Oracle, 20, 21, 403
Orfali, R., 247
477
P
Packets, 12
Pagemart Canada, 434
PageNet Canada, 434
Pahade, N., 315, 324
Palm Inc., 437
Pandian, J. R., 75
Pandya, F., 351
Parikh, M., 140
Patel, M., 462
Patton, R., 419
PayPal, 106
Peapod, Inc., 259, 262, 266, 267
Peer-to-peer content provider, 104, 106
Penton Media, 298
PeopleSoft, 403
Perez, C., 371
Perrigo, C., 101
Personalized portal, advertising
model, 104, 108
Person-to-person; See P2P
Peteraf, M. A., 158
Peters, T., 222
Pfeffer, J., 222
Pham, A., 390
Pink Dot, 268
Pitney Bowes, 19
Pixar, 80
Point of presence (POP), 14, 16, 24
Polanyi, M., 48
Political power, 207
Portals, 18
Porter, D., 329
Porter, M. E., 11, 75, 122, 127, 140, 200
Porters five forces, 187
analysis of ISPs, 192193
Positioning, 162, 163
Power TV, Inc., 397
Prahalad, C. K., 48, 70, 76, 77, 158, 183,
208, 221, 222
Prescriptives, 280
Price, 5862, 163, 164
types of pricing, 6062
Price-earnings growth (PEG) ratio, 148
Price-earnings (P/E) ratio, 147148
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Index
Index
Q
Qualcomm, 437, 443, 453, 455
Quick & Reilly, 418
Quinn, J. B., 222
Qwest, 20
R
Radical/incremental change model, 84, 99
Rae-Dupree, J., 335
Raik-Allen, G., 140
Ramstad, E., 258
Ranchigoda, E., 386
RAND Corporation, 15
Random House, 307, 308
Rangan, U. S., 101
Rappa, M., 11, 103, 104, 105, 106, 108,
110, 111, 112, 113, 116, 118
Rastogi, S., 329
Rayport, Jeffrey F., 30
RCA, 87
RCN, 434
RealNetworks, 254, 460, 469
Recommender system, 104, 108
Redback Networks, 175
Red Hat, 406, 411
Red Herring, 19
Referral-based model, 104, 110111
Reflect.com, 271283
Reiching, D., 414
Reid, C., 337
Reinhardt, A., 258
Remote login; See Telnet
Replacement effect, 35
Research In Motion Limited (RIM),
428441, 450451
Resnick, Ben, 166
Resources, 69, 89
Revenue models, 113114, 115
Revenue sources, 6263, 163, 164165
Reverse auction, 61, 104, 106
Revlon Inc., 274
Reynolds & Reynolds, 345
Richards, B.
Richardson, E., 463
Rieken, M., 413
Rippy, L., 435
Risk premium, 146
Rivalry, 190191, 193
Riverstone, 175
Robert, F., 390
Roberts, E. B., 216217, 222, 223
Roberts and Berry model, 216217
Robinson, B. D., 440
Robinson, Marcia, 31
Robles, M., 322, 323
Rogers AT&T, 434
Rosen, Hilary, 460
Rothenberg, R., 328
Rothschild, D., 458
Routers, 13
Rumelt, R., 11
Run strategy, 7172
S
Saatchi & Saatchi, 319
Safeway, Inc., 259, 268, 269
Sager, I., 401
Saint-Onge, H., 158, 159
Salomon Smith Barney, 425, 431
Samsung, 403, 437
Sanger, Steve, 222
SAP, 20, 403
Sapient Corp./Studio Archetype, 320
Sawhney, M., 48, 269, 270
SBC Communications, 20, 21
Schein, E., 76, 101
Schiavelli, S., 224, 242
Schillak, A., 404
Schlender, B., 76, 401
Schmidt, B., 166
Schmidt, L., 404
Schoemaker, P., 75
Schn, D. A., 223
Schopf, H-J., 404, 413
Schuler, B., 399
Schulhof, M., 303
Schumacher, J., 371
Schumpeter, J. A., 11, 36, 47
Scientific Atlanta, 403
Scipioni, G., 259
SCO, 281
Scope, 5758, 163, 164
Search agent, 104, 106
Sears, Roebuck & Co., 224, 372
Secondary activities, 122
Securities Act of 1933, 143
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
End Matter
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Index
Index
Stewart, T. A., 76
S3PE system, 208, 218
Stickney, C. P., 158
Stokes, C., 329
Strategic intent, 215
Strategic management process, 211
Streamline.com, 262, 267
Strickland, A. J., 222
StrideRite, 362
Stubbs, C., 370
Subscription-based model, 104, 111
Substitutes, 191, 193
Sullivan, P., 158, 159
Sun Microsystems, 28, 170, 392401, 406
Suppliers, 8, 190, 193
Support activities; See Secondary
activities
Sustainability, 53, 163, 165166
Swisher, K., 258
Switching costs, 60
SWOT analysis, 215
Sybase, 435
Symantec, 403
Systematic risk, 146
Szeto, C., 360
T
Tacit knowledge, 45
Taft, D. K., 401
Takahashi, D., 390
Take Two Interactive, 378
Tannenbaum, A. S., 247
Tapscott, D., 31
Taptich, B. E., 336
Target Greatland Stores, 418
Target Stores, 418
Taub, E., 413
Taylor, A. III, 159
Team-up strategy, 72
Technological capabilities view, 8587
Technology
evolution of, 195
models of change, 8496
Technology life cycle model, 9396
Teece, D. J., 78, 101
Telebanc Financial, 418
Tele-Communications Inc. (TCI), 443
Telecommunications Reports
International, 19
Telewest, 388
Telnet, 16
Terranova, J., 336
theGlobe.com, 96
Thomas, Donald A., Jr., 388
Thomke, S., 413
Thompson, A. A., 222
Thompson, J. D., 47, 121, 139, 140
3Com, 27, 34
Three Custom Color, 280
3M, 208
U
UBS Warburg, 423
Ulrich, D., 158
Ulrich, L., 459, 463
Unilever, 273
Unisphere, 175
United Airlines, 321
United Online, 19
U.S. Department of Defense, 198, 243
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
(FDA), 70
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC), 143
U.S. Telematics, 455
United Technologies Corporation, 295
Universal, 464
Universality of the Internet, 33
Universal Music Group, 469
Universal resource locator (URL), 245246
Upside Magazine, 356
Urbas, D., 301
Urlocker, M., 428
USA.Net, 335
Useem, J., 284
Users, 1822
US Web/CKS Group, 320
Utility model; See Fee-for-service-based
model
Uttal, B., 76, 101, 159
Utterback, J. M., 102, 200, 222
UUNET, 19, 24, 253
479
V
Valencia, M., 337
VA Linux Systems, 97
Valuation of a business, 145148
not yet profitable, 148151
Value chain
and the Internet, 124126
manufacturers, 123
Value chain integrator, 104, 112
Value chain service provider, 104, 112
Value configuration, 121
and activity consistency, 136137
Value creation, and organizational technologies, 120122
Value creation logic, 127128
Value network, 121, 132136
example of businesses, 132133
primary activities of, 133136
Values, 90
Value shop, 121, 127131
Internet and primary
activities, 129131
primary activities, 128129
Varian, H. R., 141
Vastera, 112
Venator, L., 329
Venkat, S., 442
Venture equity, 154
Verizon, 20, 21, 111, 448
Vertical hubs, 4142
VerticalNet, Inc., 19, 42, 105, 209,
285300
Viacom, 20
Vickers, A., 337
Virgin Mobile, 450
Virtual mall, 104, 106
Virtual merchant, 104, 109
Vodafone, 448
VoiceStream, 451, 452
Volkswagen, 406, 411
Volume-based approach, 107
von Hippel, E., 48, 102, 140
Voyle, S., 270
W
W. W. Grainger, 299
Wagner, T., 251258
WalkAbout Wireless, 452
The Wall Street Journal, 26, 319
Wal-Mart, 65, 109, 137, 149, 214215,
228, 264, 377
Walsh, M., 285, 288, 299
Walt Disney Company, 20, 21, 25, 80,
362, 465
Warner Books, 307
Warner Music Group, 460, 464, 469
Waxman, S., 301312
Waxman Agency, 303
Wayport, 452, 453
AfuahTucci: Internet
Business Models &
Strategies Text & Cases,
Second Edition
480
End Matter
The McGrawHill
Companies, 2003
Index
Index
WebLogic, 398
WebTV, 362
Webvan, 259270
Weil, R. L., 158
Weinstein, H. D., 351
Wella Group, 273
Wellman, S., 457
Wells, S., 301
Wernerfelt, B., 11, 75
Wheatley, C., 390
Whinston, A. B., 31, 247
White, K., 313
Whitman, M. C., 361370
Wickland, M. A., 271
Wilder, C., 300
William Morris Agency, 302
Williamson, O., 45, 48
Wilmore, G., 428
Wilmott, D., 270
Winfrey, O., 353
Wireless Access Protocol
(WAP), 17
Wireless protocols, 17
Wire-line Internet, 14
X
xDrive, 112
Xerox, 170
Y
Yahoo!, 19, 21, 106, 107, 108, 127128,
137, 230, 251, 254, 258, 264, 305,
334, 361, 368, 380, 461
Yahoo Finance, 19
Yang, G., 277
Yoffie, D. B., 76
Yoon, S., 224, 242
Yoshioka, N., 382
Young, S., 335, 336
Young & Rubicam, 319
Z
Zarella, R., 337, 346
Zeichick, A., 299
Ziff-Davis Publishing, 380
Zimmerman, R., 259
Zito, K., 390
Zomba, 469
Zone.com, 386