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This summary discusses the advantages of designed experiments over one-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) experiments. It provides three examples of engineering experiments from the semiconductor industry to illustrate these advantages. In the first example, an OFAT experiment studied two factors, temperature and pressure, in three runs, but could not estimate the interaction between the factors. The second example shows how a full factorial designed experiment could have been used instead to estimate both main effects and interactions more precisely and efficiently. The third example is not shown but would provide another illustration. Designed experiments require fewer resources than OFAT experiments to obtain the same information. They also allow estimation of factor interactions and provide information across a wider range of the factor space.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
121 views

Czitrom1999 PDF

This summary discusses the advantages of designed experiments over one-factor-at-a-time (OFAT) experiments. It provides three examples of engineering experiments from the semiconductor industry to illustrate these advantages. In the first example, an OFAT experiment studied two factors, temperature and pressure, in three runs, but could not estimate the interaction between the factors. The second example shows how a full factorial designed experiment could have been used instead to estimate both main effects and interactions more precisely and efficiently. The third example is not shown but would provide another illustration. Designed experiments require fewer resources than OFAT experiments to obtain the same information. They also allow estimation of factor interactions and provide information across a wider range of the factor space.
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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One-Factor-at-a-Time versus Designed Experiments


Veronica Czitrom
a

Lucent Technologies, 9333 S. John Young Parkway, Orlando, FL, 32819, USA

To cite this article: Veronica Czitrom (1999) One-Factor-at-a-Time versus Designed Experiments, The American Statistician,
53:2, 126-131
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00031305.1999.10474445

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Teachers Corner
One-Factor-at-a-TimeVersus Designed Experiments

Downloaded by [York University Libraries] at 07:09 27 September 2013

Veronica CZITROM
helpful to use examples of real engineering OFAT experiments, and to compare the OFATs to designed experiments
Many engineers and scientists perform one-factor-at-a-time to illustrate why the latter would have been better. It is
(OFAT) experiments. They will continue to do so until they important to describe the disadvantages of OFAT experiunderstand the advantages of designed experiments over mentation early in an industrial workshop, so students do
OFAT experiments, and until they learn to recognize OFAT not drop out of the course to do more important things.
experiments so they can avoid them. A very effective way College textbooks, which present a fair amount of statisto illustrate the advantages of designed experiments, and tics up front, often introduce OFAT experiments later: Box,
to show ways in which OFAT experiments present them- Hunter, and Hunter (1978, pp. 312 and 510); Montgomery
selves in real life, is to introduce real examples of OFAT (1997, p. 201); and Mason, Gunst, and Hess (1989, p. 101).
experiments and then demonstrate why a designed experiThe first morning of the three-day design of experiments
ment would have been better. Three engineering examples industrial workshop is an overview. The overview starts
of OFAT experiments are presented, as well as designed ex- with a brief description of what designed experiments are,
periments that would have been better. The three examples what they are used for, and how the rest of the industry uses
have been successfully used in an industrial workshop and them. The core of the overview is a complete, real example
can also be used in academic courses.
(23 with center points) that is used to introduce the basic
concepts,
including description of the process, planning the
KEY WORDS: Teaching statistics.
experiment, conducting the experiment, analyzing the data
with main effect and interaction plots, and reaching conclusions and implementing recommendations. The example is
followed by a section on Why DOE Works-or Why it is
1. INTRODUCTION
Possible to Study Several Factors Simultaneously and Still
Engineers and scientists often perform one-factor-at-a- Get Useful Information. The overview ends with a sectime (OFAT) experiments, which vary only one factor or tion on the advantages of designed experiments over OFAT
variable at a time while keeping others fixed. However, sta- experiments, which will be described in this article.
tistically designed experiments that vary several factors siThe student reaction to the overview is very positive. The
multaneously are more efficient when studying two or more material is stripped down to bare essentials, and is illusfactors.
trated by real-life examples they can relate to. In the auThat is what statisticians know. But in industry, they need thors experience, this goes a long way toward convincing
to be able to convince adult, practicing engineers that what engineers (and managers) to use designed experiments.
they have been doing for years can be improved upon. This
Section 2 describes advantages of designed experiments
is particularly true because engineers usually have higher over OFAT experiments, and Section 3 gives three examples
standing in the company than statisticians from the Qual- that illustrate these advantages. Section 4 is a summary. The
ity Assurance Department, and hence may be inclined to OFAT examples can be used in both academic and industrial
discount the statisticians advice unless they understand it. design of experiments courses. The examples are semiconAlso, engineers need to learn to recognize OFAT experi- ductor industry experiments, and they can easily be adapted
ments in order to avoid them. When teaching an academic for use in other areas.
course, it is important to convince engineering and science
students that designed experiments are relevant to their ap2. ADVANTAGES OF DOE OVER OFAT
plications, and to give statistics students (some of whom
EXPERIMENTS
will work in industry) a better understanding of practical
considerations.
A designed experiment is a more effective way to deterIn teaching a three-day design of experiments workshop mine the impact of two or more factors on a response than
for engineers in industry, the author has found it extremely a OFAT experiment, where only one factor is changed at
one time while the other factors are kept fixed, because:
Veronica Czitrom is a Distinguished Member of Technical Staff at Bell
Laboratories, Lucent Technologies, 9333 S. John Young Parkway, Orlando,
FL 32819 (Email: [email protected]). The author thanks Osvaldo Rodriguez, Juan Becerro, and Charles Storey for their contributions to the
article.

126

The American Statistician, May 1999, Vol. 53, No. 2

0 It requires less resources (experiments, time, material,


etc.) for the amount of information obtained. This can be
of major importance in industry, where experiments can be
very expensive and time consuming.

@ 1999 American Statistical Association

Table 1. OFAT experiment in two factors in three runs, with


16 of the 48 wafers at each run

Table 2. Full factorial designed experiment in two factors at two levels


each in four runs, with 72 of the 48 wafers at each run

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Temperature
Pressure

Standard

Standard
New

16 wafers

Temoerature
New

16 wafers
16 wafers

0 The estimates of the effects of each factor are more


precise. Using more observations to estimate an effect results in higher precision (reduced variability). For example,
for full and fractional factorial designs, all the observations
are used to estimate the effect of each factor and each interaction (property of hidden replication), while typically only
two of the observations in a OFAT experiment are used to
estimate the effect of each factor.
0 The interaction between factors can be estimated systematically. Interactions are not estimable from OFAT experiments. Engineers who are not using designed experiments often perform a hit-and-miss scattershot sequence of
experiments from which it may be possible to estimate interactions, but they usually do not estimate them.
0 There is experimental information in a larger region
of the factor space. This improves the prediction of the response in the factor space by reducing the variability of the
estimates of the response in the factor space, and makes
process optimization more efficient because the optimal solution is searched for over the entire factor space

These concepts are now illustrated using three examples.

3. EXAMPLES
3.1 %o Factors in Three Runs
An engineer planned an experiment to compare pressure
and temperature for a standard gas anneal process and a
new gas anneal process using three experimental runs:

Pressure

Standard

Standard
New

12 wafers
12 wafers

New

12 wafers
12 wafers

The interaction between temperature and pressure (difference between the effect of temperature on the response at
the standard pressure and the effect of temperature on the
response at the new pressure) cannot be estimated because
there is no information at the new pressure with standard
temperature.
Table 2 shows a designed experiment that could have
been performed, a 22 full-factorial with two factors (temperature and pressure) at two levels each (standard and new)
in four runs. Twelve of the 48 wafers are used for each run,
which allows 12 replications of the four-run 22 full factorial experiment. To study the effect of temperature, the
standard temperature is compared to the new temperature
using the 12 + 12 = 24 wafers at the standard pressure, and
the standard temperature is compared to the new temperature using the 12 + 12 = 24 wafers at the new pressure.
The average of the two comparisons is the main effect of
temperature, and the difference between the two comparisons is the interaction between temperature and pressure.
The interaction graph between temperature and pressure is
shown in Figure 2. All 48 wafers are used to study the effect of temperature, and to estimate the interaction between
temperature and pressure.

Response

t
New Pressure

1. Standard pressure and standard temperature;


2. standard pressure and new temperature; and
3. new pressure and new temperature.

The engineer planned to use one lot of 48 wafers, with


16 wafers for each run, for the experiment.
The engineers experiment in two factors-temperature
and pressure-in three runs is shown in Table 1. Sixteen
of the 48 wafers are used at each one of the three experimental runs. When the experimental runs are presented in
a table, it is clear that there is no information at the new
pressure with standard temperature. The experiment studies one factor at a time: starting from the standard pressure
and new temperature, only one factor is changed to obtain
the other two runs. The standard temperature is compared
to the new temperature using the 16 + 16 = 32 wafers at
the standard pressure. The standard pressure is compared to
the new pressure using the 16 + 16 = 32 wafers at the new
temperature. Figure 1 is an attempt to draw an interaction
graph for the OFAT experiment. The (invented) values of
the response at the three experimental conditions is shown
as a function of the two factors, temperature and pressure.

Standard Pressure

Standard

New

Temperature

Figure 1. The interaction graph for temperature and pressure cannot


be drawn for the OFAT experiment.

Standard

New

Temperature

Figure 2. The interaction graph for temperature and pressure can be


drawn for the designed experiment.

The American Statistician, May 1999, Vol. 53, No. 2

127

Table 3. OFAT experiment in two factors in six runs


Time (see)

Temperature (' C)

10
10
10

980
1000
1020

9
10
11

1000
1000
1000

Table 4. Full factorial designed experiment in two factors at


two levels each in four runs
Time (see)

Temperature (' C)

980

9
9

1020

11
11

1020

980

The average variance of the estimates of the response


at the four experimental conditions is 13% higher for the
The designed experiment is better than the OFAT exper- OFAT than for the designed experiment. For both designs, .
iment because, using the same 48 wafers (resources):
the estimate of the response at each experimental condition
is the average of the observations at that condition. For the
0 The estimates of the effects of each factor are more
designed experiment, the variance of the estimate of the reprecise (all 48 wafers are used to estimate the effects in
sponse at each one of the four experimental conditions is
the designed experiment, while only 32 wafers are used
a2/12, which gives an average variance of a2/12. For the
in the OFAT experiment). The variance of the estimate of
OFAT experiment, the variance of the estimate of the reeach effect (which is the difference of two averages) is sponse at the three experimental conditions is 02/16, and at
V(effect) = 2a2/24 = a2/12 for the designed experiment, the new location with standard temperature it can be shown
and V(effect) = a2/8 (which is 50% larger) for the OFAT to be 3a2/16, which gives an average at the four points of
experiment. Here a2 is the variance of one observation.
3a2/32 (13% larger than for the designed experiment).
0 The interaction between the factors can be estimated
The advantage of the OFAT experiment over the designed
(the interaction cannot be estimated in the OFAT experiexperiment is that it requires three runs instead of four (less
ment).
resources), although in this experiment it is easy to perform
0 There is experimental information over a broader factor
the additional run using the same number of wafers.
space in temperature and pressure (there is no information
The full factorial design in Table 2 has 12 wafers at each
at the new location with standard temperature for the OFAT experimental condition. It would be advisable to use some
experiment).
of those wafers to run center points, at the average level setting for each continuous factor. Center points can be used
to
check for curvature in the response as a function of the
4
factors, and if curvature is present, the design can be augmented into a central composite design to determine which
Temperature
of the two factors contributes to the curvature in the re("C)
sponse. If the center point is replicated, it can be used to
1000
estimate natural variability.

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980

3.2 Two Factors in Six Runs

10

11

Time (sec)
a) OFAT experiment

L-l
b) Designed experiment

Figure 3. (a) OFAT experiment in five different runs. (b) Designed


experiment in four or five different runs.

128

Teacher's Comer

Before taking a design of experiments class, two engineers planned an experiment for a rapid thermal anneal process. They wanted to study the sensitivity of the response
sheet resistance to two factors-time and temperatureusing the OFAT experiment in six runs given in Table 3 and
illustrated in Figure 3a. The effect of temperature is studied
using three different temperatures, at the current processing time of 10 seconds. The effect of time is studied using
three different times, at the current processing temperature
of 1000C. The interaction between time and temperature
cannot be estimated.
After taking a design of experiments workshop, the engineers performed the 22 full factorial designed experiment
with two factors at two levels each in four runs shown in
Table 4 and illustrated graphically by the four full circles in
Figure 3b. As in the 22 full factorial designed experiment
described in Section 3.1, all four runs are used to estimate
the effect of time, the effect of temperature, and the interaction between time and temperature.

Temperature

(0

1028

1000

1020

..

980

.I

972

sponse as a function of temperature when time is 10 seconds


(along the vertical line of circles in Figure 3a), and curvature in the response as a function of time at a temperature
of 1000 C (along the horizontal line of circles in Figure
3a). Another advantage of the OFAT experiment is that the
center point is replicated twice, and can be used to estimate
natural variability.
If the engineers want to determine whether there is curvature before running an experiment to estimate it, the 2
full factorial in Table 4 can be augmented with one or more
center points, illustrated by the empty circle in Figure 3b.
If the 22 full factorial with two centerpoints is run, it is
better than the OFAT experiment because, with the same
resources (six runs),
The estimates of factor effects are more precise.
The interaction between the factors can be estimated.
0 There is experimental information in a larger region of
the factor space.
0

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Figure 4. Central composite experimental design in two factors in


nine different runs: four runs of full factorial, four axial points, and one
center point.

The 22 designed experiment is better than the OFAT experiment because:


It requires less resources (four runs instead of six).
The estimates of the effects of each factor are more
precise (four runs are used to estimate each effect in the
designed experiment, three runs are used to estimate each
effect in the OFAT experiment).
0 The interaction between the factors can be estimated
(the interaction cannot be estimated for the OFAT experiment).
There is experimental information in a larger region of
the factor space. For example, the effect of dose is studied
at two temperatures (980C and 1020C) in the designed
experiment, but only at one temperature (l00OoC) in the
OFAT experiment.
0

One advantage of the OFAT experiment over the 2 full


factorial designed experiment is that it can be used to estimate curvature in the factors, namely curvature in the reTable 5. OFAT experiment in three factors in 15 runs
Exhaust
time (sec)
2
4
8
12
16

Resist
temperature ( C)

Environmental
temperature ( C)

23
23
23
23
23

21
21
21
21
21

21
22
23
24
25

21
21
21
21
21

23
23
23
23
23

19
20
21
22
23

The advantage of the OFAT is that it can be used to estimate curvature along the two lines of circles in Figure 3a,
although the designed experiment can be used to determine
whether there is curvature. If there is curvature, it can be
estimated by augmenting (with blocking) the 2 full factorial with center points, into the central composite design
shown in Figure 4.
The central composite design in Figure 4 has nine different runs. If the center point is replicated four times, the
central composite design is rotatable (equal precision of estimation at all points equidistant from the center point),
and the replicates can be used to estimate natural variability with more degrees of freedom than in the OFAT experiment. The central composite design is better than the OFAT
experiment because:
The estimates of the factor effects are more precise.
The interaction between the factors can be estimated.
0 The central composite design estimates curvature in the
entire factor space, and allows optimization in the entire
factor space. The central composite design allows estimation of curvature in the response as a function of temperature for all times between 9 and 11 seconds (not just at a
time of 10 seconds as in the OFAT experiment),and estimation of curvature in the response as a function of time for
all temperatures between 980C and 1020C (and not just
at a temperature of 1000C as in the OFAT experiment).
This means that, for the OFAT, the response can only be
optimized in temperature for a time of 10 seconds, and
it can only be optimized in time for a temperature of
1000C. On the other hand, for the designed experiment,
the response can be optimized in the entire factor region,
namely for all times between 9 and 11 seconds, and for all
temperatures between 980C and 1020C.
0
0

The advantage of the OFAT is that it requires less resources (six runs) compared to the central composite design
(nine different runs, with possibly replicated center points).
The American Statistician, May 1999, Vol. 53, No. 2

129

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3.3 Three Factors in 15 Runs


An engineer performed an experiment on a new piece
of equipment used in a photolithographic process. The objective was to minimize the response, within-wafer standard deviation of resist thickness, as a function of three
factors, exhaust on time, resist temperature, and environmental temperature. The engineer expected curvature in the
response as a function of each factor, and he expected interactions between the factors.
The engineer performed the OFAT experiment for three
factors in 15 runs shown in Table 5 , and illustrated graphically in Figure 5. Curvature can be estimated along each
one of the three lines of circles shown in Figure 5, but interactions cannot be estimated.
The Box-Behnken designed experiment shown in Figure
6 and in Table 6 could have been performed instead. Both
the OFAT and the designed experiments have 15 runs, if
three center points are used in the Box-Behnken design to
make the design rotatable and to provide an estimate of
natural variability.
The designed experiment is better than the OFAT experiment because, using the same resources (15 runs):
0 The interaction between the factors can be estimated
for the designed experiment, but it cannot be estimated for
the OFAT experiment.
0 The experimental runs are more evenly spread out in
the factor space for the designed experiment shown in Figure 6 than for the OFAT experiment shown in Figure 5,
so the designed experiment gives a better prediction of the
response over the entire factor space.
0 The OFAT experiment can be used to estimate curvature
along the three strings of circles shown in Figure 5, while
the designed experiment can be used to estimate curvature
in the entire experimental region shown in Figure 6. For
example, the first five runs of the OFAT experiment given in
Table 5 (vertical string of circles in Figure 5 ) can be used to
estimate curvature in resist thickness standard deviation as

a function of exhaust time, at a constant resist temperature


of 23C and at a constant environmental temperature of
21 C. The designed experiment can be used to estimate
curvature in resist thickness standard deviation as a function
of exhaust time, for all resist temperatures between 21C
and 25C, and for all environmental temperatures between
19C and 23C.

En vironmn tal
Temperature

(0
22
23

21

Resist
temperature ( C)

-iCz
(0
Figure 5. OFAT experiment in three factors in 15 different runs.
0 In the OFAT experiment the response can be optimized only along the three lines of circles shown in Figure
5, while for the designed experiment the response can be
optimized in the entire factor space shown in Figure 6. For
example, the first five runs of the OFAT experiment given
in Table 5 can be used to find the value of exhaust time that
minimizes resist thickness standard deviation, when resist
temperature is 23C and when environmental temperature
is 21C. The designed experiment can be used to find the
minimum value of resist thickness standard deviation over
the entire region, for all exhaust times between 2 and 16 seconds, all resist temperatures between 21C and 25C, and
all environmental temperatures between 19C and 23C.

21
25
21
25

21
21
21
21

2
2
16
16

23
23
23
23

19
23
19
23

9
9
9
9

21
21
25
25

19
23
19
23

9
9

23
23
23

21
21
21

130

Environmental
temperature ( C)

2
2
16
16

Teachers Corner

25

Temperature

Table 6. Box-Behnken designed experiment in three factors


in 15 runs
Exhaust
time (sec)

24

16
16

rn
..........................

Exhaust Time
.........................

........
23

/
Environmental

21

Temperature
-,

(\ o m

Resist Temperature
(C)

Figure 6. Box-Behnken design in three factors in 13 different runs.


12 runs at edge midpoints, and 1 run at center point.

The optimization will be illustrated using Figure 7, which


shows a contour plot of the response resist thickness standard deviation as a function of resist temperature and ex-

haust time, for a constant environmental temperature of


21C. The contour lines of resist thickness standard deviation were drawn to be consistent with the results of the
OFAT experiment (shown inside the circles), and could have
been obtained if the Box-Behnken designed experiment had

16

12
Exhaust
time
8
(SW>

4.

Downloaded by [York University Libraries] at 07:09 27 September 2013

onds. This predicted resist thickness standard deviation


of 5 if is almost half the minimum value of 9 if obtained
from the OFAT experiment. A smaller minimum value
was found by searching the entire area inside the square
using the designed experiment, than by searching the two
strings of circles using the OFAT experiment. The contour
plot can be used to study curvature in resist temperature
along any horizontal line at a specified exhaust time, and
curvature in exhaust time along any vertical line at a specified resist temperature.
If it is important for the factors to be at five levels in the
designed experiment as they were in the OFAT experiment,
then it is possible to use a three-factor central composite
design (the three-dimensional version of Figure 4)instead
of the Box-Behnken design.

2
J

21

22

23

24

25

Resist temperature
Figure 7. Invented contour plot of the response for the central composite designed experiment. Real response values are shown inside the
circles. The response is not minimized along the two strings of circles
of the OFAT experiment, but is minimized using the contour lines for the
designed experiment.

SUMMARY

The advantages of designed experiments over OFAT experiments are illustrated using three real engineering OFAT
experiments, and showing how in each case a designed experiment would have been better. This topic is important
because many scientists and engineers continue to perform
OFAT experiments. The examples can be used in academic
and industrial design of experiments classes.
[Received January 1997. Revised March 1998.1

REFERENCES
been performed. The contour plot is a prediction of the
response, and is obtained from a model for the response
as a function of the three factors. In the contour plot, the
minimum value of resist thickness standard deviation is 5 A
when resist temperature is 24.5C and exhaust time is 8 sec-

Box, G. E. P., Hunter, W. G., and Hunter, J. S . (1978), Statistics for Experimenters, New York: Wiley.
Mason, R. L., Gunst, R. F., and Hess, J. L. (1989), Statistical Design &
Analysis of Experiments, New York: Wiley.
Montgomery, D. C . (1997), Design and Analysis of Experiments (4th ed.),
New York: Wiley.

The American Statistician, May 1999, Vol. 53, No. 2

131

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