Hurun 2014 Report
Hurun 2014 Report
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C ontents
4
16
Education
18
Happiness Index
Immigration Data
20
24
12
Overseas Investment
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Introduction
Hurun Report has been aware of
the emergence of immigrant
investors since 1999,
and has been observing
this sector of society ever since.
tion is education, followed by concerns about environmental pollution and food safety. This echoes the results
of previous Hurun Report surveys on related topics.
Other key conclusions include the fact that Los Angeles, San Francisco and Vancouver are the three most
popular destinations for immigrant investors. Buying
property, meanwhile, is the most popular form of overseas investment. On average those surveyed will buy
apartments valued at 6 million RMB [around US$1 million], mainly for their personal use; real estate markets
in the US, Canada and Australia have already clearly
been influenced by Chinese buyers. Another significant
discovery is that the majority of interviewees have
invested only a fairly small proportion of their assets
overseas: more than 70% have invested no more than
20% of their total assets abroad.
As noted above, Hurun Report has been aware of the
emergence of immigrant investors since 1999, and has
been observing this sector ever since. We have constantly been on the lookout for outstanding pioneers in
Chinas immigration industry. Some three years ago, we
began to cooperate with Visas Consulting Group, and
quickly came to the conclusion that they were the leaders in Chinas immigration sector.
Hurun Report knows Chinas rich, and has borne witness to the development of private enterprise in China.
Visas Consulting Group knows the business of immigration, and has borne witness to the shifts in Chinese
migration. Now, in this joint report, we offer an insight
not just into the people behind the statistics, but also
into a major trend which not only cannot be ignored,
but is also worthy of serious contemplation.
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Creating a Better
Life in a New Nation
David Chen, partner lawyer at Visas Consulting Group, has worked in the immigration field for 17 years. He is motivated by a sense of achievement: My
contribution is to give our clients another choice, and give their children the
chance of a better childhood, he says. This echoes Visas Consulting Groups
mission:To create a better life for you and your children in a new country.
David Chen
[Chen Zhaohui]
Partner Lawyer, Visas Consulting Group; experienced
immigration lawyer. Graduated with an LLB degree
from Law school of Fudan
University, Shanghai, in
1992, and qualified as a
lawyer the following year.
He has provided immigration services since 1997,
making him one of Chinas
longest-serving lawyers in
this field.
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Immigration Data
By 2013, China was the worlds fourth largest emigration
nation, with 9.3 million people having moved to other countries. The US, Canada and Australia remain the top three
destinations for Chinese migrants, while Europe has gradually become another popular choice.
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2008
2009
2010
2011
7641
6124
2408
3463
1885
772
1979
4218
1360
360
2012
On the map of global emigration, China has now assumed an important status. According to the UN's International Migration Report 2013, there are now 232 million migrants globally, or 4.2% of the world population.
Between 1990 and 2013, the number of migrants from
China increased from 4.1 million to 9.3 million . From
being the seventh largest migration nation, China now
ranks fourth, behind India, Mexico and Russia. In terms
of South-North migration , it ranks second, alongside
India, with 8% of the total number of South-North migrants, behind only Mexico with 13%.
According to The Annual Report on Chinese International Migration 2014, by 2012 there were a total of
45.78 million immigrants in the USA, or 14% of the total
population . As the most popular destination for migrants globally, the US is also the top choice for migrants
from China. According to the World Bank, there were
1.96 million Chinese immigrants in the US in 2010 .
The proportion of EB-5 immigrant investor visas issued
by the US Citizenship and Immigration Services to Chi-
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Immigrant
Investors
Survey and
Analysis
Immigrant investors usually have liquid
assets of over 10 million RMB. More than
half have degrees. Quality of education
and pollution are their main reasons for
migrating. The US and Canada are their
preferred destinations, with LA, San
Francisco and Vancouver the most popular cities.
2%
30%
Master's
degree
Doctorate
13%
Senior high
school or
below
55%
Bachelors
degree
Sources of assets
Salary and income
31%
Returns on investment
27%
Operating business
23%
Given by family
Selling company
Inheritance
10%
6%
3%
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21%
Environmental pollution
20%
19%
Food safety
15%
Social welfare
Standard of medical care
11%
8%
Asset security
2%
2%
Other
2%
Reproduction limits
IPO
1%
Tax concerns
1%
In the Hurun Report/Xingye Bank's joint China Spiritual Investments White Paper 2014, 87% of interviewees expressed
dissatisfaction at Chinas pollution problem. Some countries
have sought to lure Chinese HNWIs by promising a healthier
and longer life. The crisis in confidence in food safety has also
become a significant reason why HNWIs consider migration.
Only 8% of potential immigrant investors are concerned
about the security of their assets. Other concerns include limits on reproduction (i.e. Chinas family planning system) and
where to give birth (linked to access to welfare in various
countries), though neither of these is a major factor.
The US and Canada remain the top destinations. While
Canada abolished its Federal Immigrant Investor Program and
Federal Entrepreneur Program in early 2014, rejecting 57,000
Chinese people who were in the process of applying, research
suggests this has done little to dampen interest in Canada. Australia and New Zealand are joint third choices.
An excessively long waiting time is seen by more than half
of migrants as the biggest obstacle in the application process.
Language barriers and the difficulty of integrating are other major problems. Consequently, many people consider moving to,
or investing in, ethnic Chinese neighborhoods. This is a major
factor in the popularity of cities like L.A., San Francisco, Vancouver, New York and Toronto among Chinese people.
While the decision to emigrate may be the result of a number
of factors, the choice of destination country may be influenced
Emigration destinations
Province/City
Rate
Los Angeles
13.9%
San Francisco
13.7%
Vancouver
13.4%
New York
8.6%
Toronto
8.4%
Seattle
7.6%
Boston
4.6%
Melbourne
4.3%
New Zealand
4.1%
10
Sydney
3.5%
11
Singapore
2.8%
12
UK
2.5%
13
Hongkong, China
2.3%
14
Chicago
1.8%
15
France
1.5%
16
Canberra
1.3%
17
Japan
1.0%
18
Spain
0.8%
19
Italy
0.5%
19
0.5%
19
Portugal
0.5%
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28%
15%
Language barriers
14%
13%
Application problems
10%
8%
25%
22%
22%
21%
11%
Compulsory residency requirements
3%
Simple procedures
Other
Other
3%
7%
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27%
Professional advice
Success rate
23%
13%
Service/attitude
Approach to drawing up immigration portfolio
10%
Business projects
10%
9%
Friends recommendations
Guidance re. visa interview
4%
4%
Source: Visas Consulting - Hurun Report, Immigration research
No. of Billionaires
358
37
18
14
8
8
8
5
1
1
458
Immigration
Billionaires
% of total
Brought up in
41
30
17
16
8
8
7
7
6
5
5
9%
39%
30%
16%
2%
29%
24%
20%
35%
10%
100%
11
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Investment philosophy
67%
Stable and healthy
growth, normal
returns, a certain
amount of risk
4%
Aggressive growth,
search for very high
returns, high risk
29%
Avoid all losses,
protecting the
security of assets
Investment Behavior
Investment philosophy and approaches to
investment management
22%
8%
6%
8.4%
Private
equity
3.3% 3.0%
Non-listed
ompanies
Alternative
investments
9.3%
Savings
13.0%
Shares
Fixed income
The three most popular areas for overseas investment are real estate chosen by 43.4% of those surveyed fixed return investment products far behind
with 17.1% and stocks, with 13%. 8.4% of respondents favor alternative forms of investment, primarily
jewelry, watches, red wine and works of art.
Chinas domestic real estate market has now entered a relatively mature stage: research by the Bank
of China suggests that, with the tightening of loans
for 2015, and the relatively high price base, growth in
sales value will slow to 9.5%.
25%
Self-management
Real estate
Types of Investment
39%
2.6%
Gold
Overseas
Investment
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Investing Abroad
China is now one of the top 3 nations for overseas investment, behind only the US and Japan. According to the Chinese government's
official 2012 Statistical Bulletin of Chinas Outward Foreign Direct
Investment, 16,000 Chinese investors established 22,000 directlyinvested enterprises in 179 countries and regions in 2012, investing a
net total of US$87.8 billion. Of this, US$10.07 billion went into the
financial sector, the rest into non-financial investments. The cumulative
total of outward foreign direct investment was US$531.94 billion, of
which US$96.45 billion was in the financial sector.
With the international economy showing signs of a gradual recovery
in real estate, and a gradual improvement in macro-economic indicators such as the employment rate and PMI, more and more HNWIs are
expressing confidence in investing overseas: more than 50% of those
surveyed say they are either confident or fairly confident. Those
who are confident say they plan to buy property overseas within the
next three years; those who are fairly confident intend to buy property
overseas at some point in the future.
32%
8%
Unacceptably
high risks
Insufficient
funds
12% 12%
Difficulties in
transferring funds
No time to make
other investments
18% 18%
Wish to make particular investments, but lack channels to do so
After years of high growth, some Chinese real estate companies are
seeking to reduce inventory, deepening the markets predictions for a
slowdown in price rises. Overseas property, meanwhile, seems to offer
value for money, and a fairly significant proportion of high net worth
individuals have gradually made overseas property their top investment
priority.
According to Knight Franks <2013 Global Vineyard Index>, Chinese buyers bought 27 vineyards in France's Gironde region, totalling
15% of the area of vineyards sold. The figures are particularly striking
since they come just years after the first Chinese buyer bought a vineyard in Bordeaux, in 2008.
Trusts and equity investment will also develop in the future, and this
field is likely to become a new focus for HNWIs. Investment in equities has a high threshold, and high returns. With HNWIs generally quite
sensitive to returns on their capital, and willing to accept a certain riskprofit ratio, they are likely to become leading investors in trusts and
equities in the future, and the sector is likely to develop more rapidly.
Those surveyed identified a lack of financial and investment knowledge as their biggest challenge when investing (32%); a lack of investment channels and time was the next most common concern. More
investment and financial management training courses, and a wider
choice of investment channels, would help address these problems.
Once wealthy people have a thorough understanding of their investment options, and more choices of channels, their investment is likely
to increase.
29.7% 4.3%
Confident
Extremely
confident
18.1% 47.8%
Not
confident
Fairly
confident
8% 15%
No response
20~50%
25% 52%
over 50%
less than
5%
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20%
19%
Childrens education
16%
11%
10%
9%
7%
4%
2%
1%
1%
Source: Visas Consulting - Hurun Report, Immigration research
Overseas Property
Chinese government figures show Chinese investment in
overseas real estate of US$2.02 billion in 2012. The slowdown in the domestic real estate market, and predictions
of further market cooling, are likely to lead to more capital
flowing into overseas property. Real estate company Knight
Frank notes that more and more wealthy Chinese people are
buying property abroad; many attend overseas property exhibitions or join group trips to buy property overseas.
Diversifying assets and spreading risk are the most common reasons for investing abroad, cited by 20% of those
surveyed. One major factor is the perception that there is an
element of 'bubble' in Chinas real estate prices, particularly
as compared to average incomes, while real estate abroad
appears to offer good value for money. Childrens education
is another major factor in stimulating investment abroad,
with 19% of those surveyed citing this as a motivation.
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6%
More than 12
million
15%
6~12 million
45%
3~6 million
29%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
9
9
9
Province/City
Rate
Los Angeles
San Francisco
Vancouver
New York
Seattle
Toronto
Boston
Sydney
Melbourne
Singapore
New Zealand
UK
18%
16.5%
13.6%
9.9%
8.5%
7.7%
5.5%
2.2%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
1.8%
Less than 3
million
5%
Detached villa
No response
38%
26%
Apartment
14%
Row-house
Farm
Los Angeles, San Francisco and Vancouver are the three most
popular cities for investment, largely because they are wellknown in China, not least for their sizeable Chinese communities which make assimilation easier. Those surveyed show a
clear preference for North America, which supplies seven of the
ten most popular locations. The Melbourne, Singapore, New
Zealand and UK rank joint 9th, with 1.8% support.
Store
7%
6%
4%
3%
No plan
Island
Castle
1%
46%
23%
17%
15%
Methodology
The research cited in the Immigration and the Chinese HNWI 2014 comes from a survey of mainland Chinese high net worth individuals, carried out by Visas
Consulting and Hurun Report. This survey was carried out via questionnaire around the country between March and April 2014. 141 valid questionnaires were
returned, including 60% from Tier 1 cities such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, and 40% from second and third tier cities. The respondents were all HNWIs
with personal assets of more than 6 million RMB: 38% had assets of less than 10 million RMB, 51% had assets of 10 to 50 million RMB; 5% had assets of 50 to
100 million RMB; and 6% were worth more than 100 million RMB. The average wealth of respondents was 42 million RMB. The research also included in-depth
interviews carried out face to face by Visas Consulting and Hurun Report.For details, please contact Hurun Report or Visas Consulting for the full report.
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Education
28.7%
26.2%
UK
US
12%
9.4%
7.5%
Canada
Australia
Switzerland
3.6%
3.4%
2.8%
2.3%
New
Zealand
Singapore
France
Germany
2.1%
Hong Kong
(China)
36.4%
24.4%
US
UK
10.8%
8.4%
Australia
4.8%
New
Zealand
10
6.2%
Canada
Switzerland
10
4%
1.5%
1.4%
0.7%
Singapore
Japan
Germany
France
16
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8.9%
23.9%
University
Senior High School
22.9%
16.8%
10.7%
Elementary School
18.6%
63.4%
39.2%
Shopping
22.3%
Research into childrens study
12%
Research into investment
11%
Research into immigration
9.4%
Visiting friends and relatives
9.1%
Health/ Medical care
2.9%
Business
The Hurun International Schools Guide Series now covers eight countries and regions, providing parents with
an insight into boarding schools and university education in the UK, US, Switzerland, Singapore, Canada, Hong Kong (China), Australia and New Zealand.
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24.6%
20.1%
Founding of company
14%
Company listing
on stock market
7.8% 7.2%
Other
University graduation
Admission to university
11.9%
Greatest wish
65.9%
Health
13%
Falling in love
Founding of company
29%
Birth of child
Happiness
Index
Happiest moment
43.1%
12.8%
Family life
11.7%
9%
Study
opportunities
Love
Recognition
from others
9%
5.5%
Material
needs
Other
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Work
29.1%
47.7%
Fairly
happy
Fairly
happy
67.9%
28.6% 23.7%
Very
happy
Very
happy
Unsure
36.3%
Entrepreneur
Chamber of Commerce leader
Government advisor
Industry association leader
Other
Philanthropist
15.5%
14.4%
13.4%
Sleep at weekends
Average: 7.2hrs
51.9%
18%
16.9%
2.9%
Unsure
44.4%
42.3%
31.4%
15%
1.7%
Less
than
4hrs
4~6
hrs
6~7
hrs
At
least
8
hrs
11.5%
1.8%
Less
than
4hrs
4~6
hrs
6~7
hrs
At
least
8
hrs
19
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Known Wealth
10 billion RMB
149 pax
1000 pax
2 billion RMB*
300 pax
* Threshhold for
inclusion on the
Hurun Rich List
3000 pax
67000 pax
10 million RMB
6 million RMB
Hidden Wealth
2 billion RMB*
151 pax
2000 pax
10 billion RMB
20
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Number of
people
Growth
rate
% of
total
Total China
1.09 m
3.7%
100%
1.21 m
Beijing
192000
4.4%
17.6%
217050
Guangdong
180000
4.7%
16.5%
201461
Shanghai
159000
8.2%
14.6%
181543
Zhejiang
133000
0.8%
12.2%
150391
Jiangsu
79000
4.0%
7.3%
87537
Fujian
40000
2.0%
3.7%
43000
Shandong
40000
5.3%
3.7%
43438
Liaoning
29700
-2.3%
2.7%
31605
Sichuan
27800
3.7%
2.6%
30189
20600
8.4%
1.9%
22830
10 Tianjin
55%
20%
Private
business
owners
High-salaried
executives
15%
Real estate
investors
10%
Professional
stock market
investors
Millionaires by category
11 Henan
19700
5.4%
1.8%
21178
12 Hebei
16000
-1.2%
1.5%
16854
13 Hunan
15700
3.3%
1.4%
16878
14 Hubei
15100
2.7%
1.4%
16398
15 Shaanxi
15000
2.7%
1.4%
16125
16 Shanxi
14600
-1.4%
1.3%
15379
17 Chongqing
13100
2.3%
1.2%
14370
18 Inner Mongolia
12300
-5.4%
1.1%
12956
19 Heilongjiang
11500
-1.7%
1.1%
12113
20 Jiangxi
10000
2.0%
0.9%
10533
21 Anhui
9900
3.1%
0.9%
10428
22 Jilin
8400
1.2%
0.8%
8607
23 Yunnan
6920
6.5%
0.6%
7439
24 Guangxi
6100
5.2%
0.6%
6425
25 Hainan
4500
4.7%
0.4%
4789
26 Guizhou
3700
5.7%
0.3%
3897
27 Xinjiang
3400
3.0%
0.3%
3484
28 Ningxia
950
5.6%
0.1%
1001
29 Gansu
800
8.1%
0.1%
820
30 Qinghai
740
5.7%
0.1%
779
31 Tibet
490
6.5%
0.0%
502
High-salaried Executives
This group of senior managerial staff in major
Chinese corporations and multi-national companies receive large salaries and bonuses. Numbering
around 218,000 people, they account for 20% of
Chinas total number of millionaires. Their homes
make up 50% of their assets; cash and shares 20%.
They own investment property valued at around 2.5
million RMB, and cars worth half a million RMB.
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Wealth Report
The Super Rich
On average, Chinas super rich spend 12 days a month traveling on business, and take
11 daysholiday a year. 40% of them go yachting, and 40% of them intend to buy a private plane. Real estate is their first choice when it comes to investment, while reading
books is their favourite leisure activity. In 2014, China has 67,000 super rich, an increase
of 2,500 over last year. We predict that by 2017, the figure will rise to 73,000.
oning to climb to eighth place. Among Chinas provinces, Liaoning has seen the sharpest fall in the number of its super rich,
with an 8.5% drop. Tianjins ranking remains unchanged, but
the number of super rich has risen more rapidly here than anywhere else in country, rising from 1,400 to 1,600 people, an
increase of 14.3%. Guizhou, in south-west China, experienced
the second largest increase.
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Number of
people
Growth
rate
% of
total
Total China
67,000
3.7%
100%
73,000
Beijing
11300
5.6%
16.9%
12651
Guangdong
10000
4.2%
14.9%
11106
Shanghai
9100
7.1%
13.6%
9993
Zhejiang
7800
1.3%
11.6%
8662
Jiangsu
5100
4.1%
7.6%
5528
Fujian
2500
4.2%
3.7%
2644
Shandong
2400
9.1%
3.6%
2580
Sichuan
1950
5.4%
2.9%
2097
Liaoning
1920
1830
-8.5%
2.7%
10 Tianjin
1600
14.3%
2.4%
1734
11 Henan
1350
3.8%
2.0%
1428
12 Shanxi
1250
-3.8%
1.9%
1301
13 Hebei
1150
-4.2%
1.7%
1197
14 Hubei
1140
3.6%
1.7%
1206
15 Anhui
960
4.3%
1.4%
999
16 Shaanxi
880
3.5%
1.3%
931
17 Hunan
860
2.4%
1.3%
910
18 Jiangxi
860
2.4%
1.3%
895
19 Chongqing
830
2.5%
1.2%
900
20 Inner Mongolia
750
-6.3%
1.1%
780
21 Heilongjiang
710
-5.3%
1.1%
739
22 Yunnan
640
6.7%
1.0%
677
23 Jilin
500
-2.0%
0.7%
520
24 Guangxi
430
4.9%
0.6%
447
25 Guizhou
340
13.3%
0.5%
354
26 Xinjiang
270
3.8%
0.4%
281
27 Hainan
180
5.9%
0.3%
189
28 Ningxia
110
10.0%
0.2%
114
29 Gansu
90
12.5%
0.1%
94
30 Qinghai
65
8.3%
0.1%
68
31 Tibet
55
10.0%
0.1%
57
80%
Business
owners
15%
Real estate
investors
5%
Professional
stock market
investors
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Hurun Report
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