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Exalted Probabilities

The document contains probability distributions for the number of successes when rolling various numbers of dice. It shows the exact probabilities of getting 0 through 6 successes for 1-6 dice, and the probabilities of getting at least that number of successes for 1-26 dice. The tens digits in the percentages are doubled as the number of dice increases.

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HeavensThunderHammer

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)

148 views

Exalted Probabilities

Uploaded by

HeavensThunderHammer

Available Formats

Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

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Exact # of Successes, Tens are Double

.
.
.
.
.
.
.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
50.00%
30.00%
10.00%
25.00%
36.00%
21.00%
6.00%
1.00%
12.50%
32.40%
27.00%
13.50%
4.50%
0.90%
0.10%
6.25%
25.92%
28.08%
19.44%
9.45%
3.24%
0.78%
3.12%
19.44%
25.92%
22.68%
14.31%
6.72%
2.39%
1.56%
14.00%
22.16%
23.33%
17.98%
10.59%
4.88%

1 Dice
2 Dice
3 Dice
4 Dice
5 Dice
6 Dice

Botch
10.00%
11.00%
9.10%
6.71%
4.65%
3.10%

. 7 Dice

2.02%

0.78%

9.80%

17.96%

22.04%

20.00%

14.08%

7.90%

. 8 Dice

1.29%

0.39%

6.72%

14.00%

19.60%

20.41%

16.66%

10.97%

. 9 Dice

0.81%

0.20%

4.53%

10.58%

16.63%

19.53%

18.08%

13.62%

. 10 Dice

0.51%

0.10%

3.02%

7.81%

13.60%

17.76%

18.37%

15.55%

. 11 Dice

0.31%

0.05%

2.00%

5.65%

10.81%

15.52%

17.71%

16.61%

. 12 Dice

0.19%

0.02%

1.31%

4.03%

8.38%

13.12%

16.36%

16.83%

. 13 Dice

0.12%

0.01%

0.85%

2.83%

6.37%

10.79%

14.59%

16.32%

. 14 Dice

0.07% < 0.01%

0.55%

1.97%

4.75%

8.67%

12.63%

15.25%

. 15 Dice

0.04% < 0.01%

0.35%

1.35%

3.50%

6.82%

10.65%

13.80%

. 16 Dice

0.03% < 0.01%

0.23%

0.92%

2.54%

5.28%

8.79%

12.16%

. 17 Dice

0.02% < 0.001%

0.14%

0.62%

1.82%

4.02%

7.11%

10.46%

. 18 Dice

< 0.01%

< 0.001%

0.09%

0.42%

1.29%

3.02%

5.65%

8.81%

. 19 Dice

< 0.01%

< 0.001%
<
0.0001%

0.06%

0.28%

0.91%

2.24%

4.43%

7.29%

. 20 Dice
< 0.01%
0.04%
.
. At Least # of Successes, Tens are Double

0.19%

0.64%

1.65%

3.42%

5.92%

.
.
.
.
.
.
.

1 Dice
2 Dice
3 Dice
4 Dice
5 Dice
6 Dice

Botch
10.00%
11.00%
9.10%
6.71%
4.65%
3.10%

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
50.00%
40.00%
10.00%
25.00%
64.00%
28.00%
7.00%
1.00%
12.50%
78.40%
46.00%
19.00%
5.50%
1.00%
0.10%
6.25%
87.04%
61.12%
33.04%
13.60%
4.15%
0.91%
3.12%
92.22%
72.78%
46.86%
24.18%
9.87%
3.15%
1.56%
95.33%
81.34%
59.18%
35.85%
17.87%
7.27%

. 7 Dice

2.02%

0.78%

97.20%

87.40%

69.44%

47.40%

27.39%

13.31%

. 8 Dice

1.29%

0.39%

98.32%

91.60%

77.61%

58.01%

37.60%

20.94%

. 9 Dice

0.81%

0.20%

98.99%

94.46%

83.88%

67.25%

47.72%

29.65%

. 10 Dice

0.51%

0.10%

99.40%

96.37%

88.56%

74.96%

57.19%

38.83%

. 11 Dice

0.31%

0.05%

99.64%

97.64%

91.99%

81.18%

65.66%

47.95%

. 12 Dice

0.19%

0.02%

99.78%

98.48%

94.45%

86.07%

72.95%

56.59%

. 13 Dice

0.12%

0.01%

99.87%

99.02%

96.19%

89.82%

79.03%

64.44%

. 14 Dice

0.07% < 0.01%

99.92%

99.37%

97.41%

92.65%

83.99%

71.36%

. 15 Dice

0.04% < 0.01%

99.95%

99.60%

98.25%

94.75%

87.93%

77.28%

. 16 Dice

0.03% < 0.01%

99.97%

99.75%

98.82%

96.29%

91.01%

82.22%

. 17 Dice

0.02% < 0.001%

99.98%

99.84%

99.22%

97.39%

93.37%

86.26%

. 18 Dice

< 0.01%

< 0.001%

99.99%

99.90%

99.48%

98.18%

95.16%

89.51%

. 19 Dice

< 0.01%

99.99%

99.94%

99.66%

98.74%

96.50%

92.07%

. 20 Dice
.

< 0.01%

< 0.001%
<
0.0001%

100.00%

99.96%

99.77%

99.14%

97.49%

94.07%

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s

0.12%
0.63%
1.77%

0.01%
0.12%
0.50%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.11%
0.02% < 0.01%

3.58%

1.32%

0.39%

0.09%

0.02% < 0.01%

5.93%

2.66%

0.99%

0.30%

0.08%

0.02% < 0.01%

8.51%

4.47%

1.98%

0.74%

0.24%

0.06%

0.01% < 0.01%

11.00%

6.60%

3.38%

1.49%

0.56%

0.18%

0.05%

0.01% < 0.01%

13.10%

8.81%

5.11%

2.57%

1.12%

0.43%

0.14%

0.04%

0.01% < 0.01%

14.62%

10.88%

7.02%

3.95%

1.95%

0.85%

0.33%

0.11%

0.03% < 0.01%

15.46%

12.60%

8.94%

5.57%

3.06%

1.49%

0.65%

0.25%

0.09%

0.03%

15.63%

13.83%

10.69%

7.28%

4.40%

2.37%

1.14%

0.49%

0.19%

0.07%

15.21%

14.51%

12.12%

8.96%

5.89%

3.47%

1.84%

0.87%

0.38%

0.15%

14.34%

14.65%

13.15%

10.46%

7.44%

4.75%

2.73%

1.42%

0.67%

0.29%

13.13%

14.31%

13.72%

11.69%

8.91%

6.12%

3.81%

2.15%

1.10%

0.52%

11.73%

13.57%

13.84%

12.56%

10.23%

7.52%

5.01%

3.04%

1.69%

0.86%

10.24%

12.54%

13.54%

13.04%

11.29%

8.83%

6.29%

4.08%

2.43%

1.32%

8.78%

11.33%

12.91%

13.14%

12.04%

9.99%

7.55%

5.22%

3.31%

1.93%

< 0.001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.001%

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s

0.13%
0.77%
2.39%

0.01%
0.14%
0.63%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.13%
0.02% < 0.01%

< 0.001%

<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

5.40%

1.82%

0.50%

0.11%

0.02% < 0.01%

9.97%

4.04%

1.39%

0.40%

0.10%

0.02% < 0.01%

16.03%

7.51%

3.04%

1.06%

0.32%

0.08%

0.02% < 0.01%

23.28%

12.28%

5.68%

2.30%

0.81%

0.25%

0.07%

0.01% < 0.01%

31.34%

18.24%

9.42%

4.31%

1.75%

0.62%

0.20%

0.05%

0.01% < 0.01%

39.75%

25.14%

14.26%

7.24%

3.28%

1.33%

0.48%

0.15%

0.04%

0.01%

48.12%

32.67%

20.07%

11.13%

5.57%

2.51%

1.01%

0.37%

0.12%

0.03%

56.11%

40.48%

26.66%

15.97%

8.69%

4.29%

1.92%

0.78%

0.28%

0.09%

63.47%

48.26%

33.75%

21.63%

12.67%

6.78%

3.31%

1.47%

0.59%

0.22%

70.06%

55.72%

41.07%

27.93%

17.46%

10.03%

5.28%

2.55%

1.13%

0.46%

75.80%

62.67%

48.37%

34.65%

22.96%

14.05%

7.92%

4.12%

1.97%

0.87%

80.70%

68.97%

55.40%

41.57%

29.01%

18.78%

11.27%

6.25%

3.21%

1.52%

84.79%

74.54%

62.00%

48.46%

35.42%

24.13%

15.30%

9.01%

4.93%

2.50%

88.14%

79.37%

68.04%

55.13%

41.99%

29.95%

19.96%

12.41%

7.19%

3.88%

<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.001%

17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

0.05%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.11%

0.04%

0.01% < 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% < 0.001% 0.0001%

0.22%

0.09%

0.03% < 0.01%

< 0.01%

0.40%

0.17%

0.07%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.66%

0.31%

0.13%

0.05%

0.02% < 0.01%

1.04%

0.52%

0.24%

0.10%

0.04%

0.02% < 0.01%

< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% < 0.001% 0.0001%

< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
< 0.001% < 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% < 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.01%

< 0.001% < 0.001%

17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

< 0.01%

0.03% < 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.17%

0.06%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.35%

0.13%

0.04%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.67%

0.27%

0.10%

0.03%

0.01% < 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% < 0.001% 0.0001%

1.18%

0.52%

0.21%

0.08%

0.03% < 0.01%

< 0.01%

1.95%

0.91%

0.40%

0.16%

0.06%

< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

0.07%

< 0.01%

<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

< 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% 0.0001%

0.02% < 0.01%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
< 0.001% < 0.001% 0.0001%
< 0.01%

< 0.001% < 0.001%

27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s
s

<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

37
38
39
40
Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%

37
38
39
40
Successe Successe Successe Successe
s
s
s
s

<
0.0001%
<
0.0001%

<
0.0001%

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Exalted Probabilities

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Exalted Probabilities

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Exact # of Successes, Tens are Double

0.07% < 0.01%

0.04% < 0.01%

0.03% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.001%

0.07% < 0.01%

0.04% < 0.01%

0.03% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.001%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.03% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.03% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

< 0.001% < 0.001%

0.03% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.01% < 0.01%

0.03% < 0.01%

0.02% < 0.01%

< 0.001% < 0.001%

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