Risk Midterm
Risk Midterm
( ) Sunday (
) Tuesday ( ) Wednesday
.....................................................................................................................
:
Closed Book.
Time: 90 minutes
Neat, organized, direct answers always enhances image and initiates good impression.
1- If for 1000 persons, infected by swine-flu and the consequences were reported as follows: 0.1%
death, 2% suffered some complications, and the remaining persons have recovered. Show each case
on the 4x4 Global Risk Matrix indicating the risk ranking of the three cases.
Xxxxx
xxx
Xxx
xxx
Xxx
X
1
2. The figure below shows a success event tree was constructed to analyze the possible outcomes of
a system fire. The system has 2 components designed to handle this event: a sprinkler system and an
automated call to the fire department.
Suggest the outcomes in column C (Partial or damage - system destroyed ...)
Mark the worst case in column E by writing the worst case.
Replace w by words, Replace ? by numbers; select the worst case for one Q
Initial
Fault
Failure of
the
sprinkler
system
Failure to
call the
fire dept.
Outcome
of A & B
Probability
of A & B
Fire
0.036
Maybe
no fire
0.024
Maybe
no fire
0.02
Yes
Fire
Yes
0.6
0. 6
No
0.4
0.1
Yes
No
0.5
WC
Page 2 of 3
?
0.4
No
No fire
0.02
0.5
(3 points)
a. Welding
b. Maintenance of electrical installation
c. Painting
For economy of space, use short statements.
Possible Hazards
contained in the drawing
and related to the three
processes listed above
(use short words).
a. Burns
(7 points)
Consequences if
hazards cause
undesired events
(UDE).
Injury
b. Fall
Injury or death
c. Intoxication
Poisoning
Page 3 of 3
Multiple Choice Questions, one answer or more may be correct.
1) The probability determined solely from historical data if a significant number of events
have occurred in the past.
( x ) is true and represent future probability values
( ) simply false
( x) Valid for the 10 years following its definition
( x ) false because it needs further correction for system change with time.
2) If risk is defined as Risk = Frequency Consequence, then the unit of risk measurement is
( ) events between undesired events/unit time between desired events,
( ) consequences of one undesired/time between undesired events,
( ) consequences/year,
( x ) consequences x events/year.
3) The insurance paid for recovering part of the losses after an incident costs is considered
( x ) lost money
( ) is recoverable money
( ) is recoverable only if an undesired event happens
( x ) is a sure loss, but it is an insurance for a major loss yet to happen
4. The main objective of the preliminary risk analysis (PRA) processes is to
( ) list the big problems and operation encountered in the system
( x) give details on each risk
( x) initiate the risk analysis process
( x ) to put adequate measures to control risks
5. Check the correct statement of the following
( ) Well-prepared inspection checklists are usually enough to protect a workplace against
hazards
( x ) Brainstorming is a useful technique for identification of hazards in a workplace.
( ) It is quite advantageous to evaluate the answers and contributions one by one during the
brainstorming process. This effectively saves time and effort.
( ) There does exist a one single accident theory that is considered right or correct and is
universally accepted.
( ) Ear protectors should be used in factories with noise sound levels more than 120 decibels.
6. Probabilities of three events are 0.25, 0.4, 0.5, calculate the AND and OR scenarios. Check
the correct values.
Scenario giving rise to probability
OR
AND