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Tutorial 3

This document contains 18 problems involving calculating probabilities related to various distributions like binomial, Poisson, and normal. The problems cover topics like the probability of a certain number of successes in trials, time between events, weights and other measurements modeled as normal distributions, and using normal approximations to binomial distributions for large sample sizes. Solutions to each sub-part of each problem are provided.

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80 views

Tutorial 3

This document contains 18 problems involving calculating probabilities related to various distributions like binomial, Poisson, and normal. The problems cover topics like the probability of a certain number of successes in trials, time between events, weights and other measurements modeled as normal distributions, and using normal approximations to binomial distributions for large sample sizes. Solutions to each sub-part of each problem are provided.

Uploaded by

AmyRapa
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Tutorial 3

1.

Find the probability that seven of 10 persons will recover from a tropical disease
if we can assume independence and the probability is 0.8 that any one of them
will recover from the disease.
0.2013

2.

An automobile safety engineer claims that 1 in 10 automobile accidents is due to


driver fatigue. What is the probability that at least 3 of 5 automobile accidents are
due to driver fatigue?
0.0086

3.

In a certain city, incompatibility is given as the legal reason in 70% of all divorce
cases. Find the probability that five of the next six divorce cases will claim
incompatibility as the reason.
0.3025

4.

In a large population of aphids, 10% are type A and the remainder are type B. If
five aphids are selected at random, what is the probability that they are all type B?
What is the smallest number of aphids that must be selected from the population if
the probability that this sample contains at least one type A aphid is greater than
0.9?
0.5905; 22

5.

A drawer contains a large number of socks of various colours, 50% of them are
white. What is the least number of socks that have to be taken out of the box to
ensure that the probability of taking at least 2 white socks is greater then 0.9?
7

6.

The number of inquiries a person gets in response to a newspaper ad listing a piano


for sale is a random variable having a Poisson distribution with mean 4.4. What are
the probabilities that in response to such an ad a person will receive
i)
only two inquiries
0.1188
ii)
only three inquiries
0.1743
iii)
at most three inquiries?
0.351

7.

The number of lost-and-found requests received each day by a railroad ticket office
is a random variable having the Poisson distribution with mean 4.2. Find the
probability that on any given day, the number of such requests will be
i)
exactly five
0.1633
ii)
at most seven
0.9361

8.

There are two fire stations A and B. The number of calls at station A is a Poisson
variable with mean of 3 calls a day and the number of calls at station B is a Poisson
variable with mean of 4 calls a day. Find the probability that, on a certain day
i)
exactly two calls are received by each station
0.0328
ii)
exactly two calls are received in total by either or both stations
0.0223

9.

In a large office building it is found that the number of light bulbs failing a day is
a Poisson variable with a mean of two failures a day. Find the probability that
i)
more than two light bulbs fail on any one day,
0.3233
ii)
more than five light bulbs fail during five consecutive days,
0.9329
iii)
more than two light bulbs fail on each day of a five-day week
0.0035

10a.

When taping a television commercial, the probability that a certain actor will get
his lines straight on any one take is 0.4. What is the probability that this actor will
get his straight for the first time on the fourth take?
0.0864
The probability that a child exposed to a contagious disease will catch it is 0.7.
Find the probability that the third child exposed to the disease will be the first to
catch it.
0.0630
The probability that a given person will believe a rumour is 0.25. Find the
probability that the fifth person to hear the rumour will be the first one to believe it.

b.
c.

0.0791
11.

According to medical research, the time between successive reports of a rare


tropical disease is a random variable having the exponential distribution with
mean 120 days. Find the probabilities that the time between successive reports of
the disease will
i)
exceed 240 days
0.1353
ii)
exceed 360 days
0.0498
iii)
be less than 60 days
0.3935

12.

The mileage which car owners get with a certain kind of tyre is a random variable
having an exponential distribution with mean 40000 miles. Find the probability
that one of these tyres will last
i)
at least 20000 miles
0.6065
ii)
at most 30000 miles
0.5276

13.

In a photographic process, the developing time of prints may be looked upon as a


random variable having the normal distribution with mean 15.4 seconds and
standard deviation 0.48 seconds. Find the probabilities that the time it takes to
develop one of the prints will be
i)
at least 16 seconds
0.1056
ii)
at most 14.2 seconds
0.0062
iii)
between 15 to 15.8 seconds.
0.5954

14.

The weights and heights of group of children are each independently and normally
distributed, with means of 35kg and 126cm and standard deviations of 10kg and
8cm. Find the probability that a child chosen at random will have
i)
a weight more than 33kg
0.5793
ii)
a height more than 122cm
0.6915
iii)
both a weight more than 33kg and a height more than 122cm
0.4006

15.

If nine children are picked at random, find the probability that six of them have a
weight more than 33kg and a height more than 122cm.
0.0748
The times taken by individual members of a large group of people to complete a
set task, are normally distributed with a mean of 10 minutes and a standard
deviation of 2 minutes. Find the probability that three people chosen at random
from this group will all complete the task in less than 8 minutes.
0.004

16.

In a certain examination the marks are approximately normally distributed with a


mean of 65 and a standard deviation of 10. Find the probability that an individual
picked at random, has a mark from 60 to 69 inclusive.
0.3824

17.

In a particular town, on average 51boys are born for every 49 girls born. By using
the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, find the
probability that in 500 births there are less than 250 boys.
0.3114

18.

A fair die is tossed 300 times. By using the normal distribution as an approximation
to the binomial distribution, find the probability of getting more than 45 sixes.
0.7571

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