Chapter 20
Chapter 20
20
Learning objectives
20-1
ANSWER 2: The complexity of the various national tax laws and tax treaties between
countries makes minimizing global tax liability a considerable challenge. The first step is
to become familiar with the appropriate regulations. Many multinationals use tax havens
to limit their tax liability. Charging royalties and fees to lower the taxable income in high
tax nations can lower taxes by shifting profits to countries with lower tax rates. The level
of transfer prices set can also shift profits between different national entities, although
there are laws that require that these prices be reasonable in some countries. Fronting
loans can also be used to minimize tax liability by treating invested funds as independent
loans that incur interest expense rather than using equity and earning profits. Most of the
actions outlined above might be justified on ethical grounds as long as they are done
reasonably, yet they may also be ethically questionable in that they often contradict the
spirit of local laws. For example, transfer prices that bear no relation to the true value of
a good would clearly be unethical.
QUESTION 3: You are the CFO of a US firm with a wholly owned subsidiary in Mexico
that manufactures component parts for your US assembly operations. The subsidiary has
been financed by bank borrowings in the United States. One of your analysts told you
that the Mexican peso is expected to depreciate by 30% against the US dollar on the
foreign exchange markets over the next year. What actions, if any, should you take?
ANSWER 3: This issue suggests that some interest and principal will have to be repaid
in US dollars in the near future, but the plan was likely to pay this off out of earnings
from the Mexican subsidiary. Paying off the entire loan in advance before the peso
depreciates would be a good option. At least the peso funds could be transferred out of
Mexico now and invested in the US in dollars to pay off the loan later. Alternately, it
may be possible to use a forward rate to lock in an exchange rate now for future
remittances, but unless the analyst has some information that is not generally available in
the market, the efficacy of this approach will be limited since the forward rate will likely
already reflect the expected depreciation. Another option available is to simply pay off
the loan with funds already in the US over time, and retain the pesos in Mexico for
reinvestment if needed. The actual action taken would likely depend upon the size of the
loan, any restrictions on the loan, and where funds are most efficiently available for
paying off the loan. In any case, it would probably be unlikely that the best solution
would be to wait until later to exchange pesos for dollars later to pay off the loan.
QUESTION 4: You are the CFO of a Canadian firm that is considering building a $10
million factory in Russia to produce milk. The investment is expected to produce net
cash flows of $3 million every year for the next 10 years, after which the investment will
have to close down due to technological obsolescence. Scrap values will be zero. The
cost of capital will be is 6% if financing is arranged through the Eurobond market.
However, you have an option to finance the project by borrowing funds from a Russian
bank at a 12 percent. Analysts tell you that due to high inflation in Russia, the Russian
ruble is expected to depreciate against the Canadian dollar. Analysts also rate the
probability of violent revolution occurring in Russia within the next ten years as high.
How would you incorporate these factors into your evaluation of the investment
opportunity? What would you recommend that the firm do?
ANSWER 4: In considering these investments there are three basic steps:
make a basic analysis
adjust for economic/political risk
decide on the source of capital, which involves a more careful analysis
of exchange rate risk.
There are several different ways of approaching this problem, and the method outlined
below is just one. Different assumptions would lead to different answers.
(1) Make a basic analysis of the investment:
a quick analysis of the basic problem, a $10m investment that pays $3m/year for
10 years shows a ROI of 27%, suggesting that this is a good opportunity.
(2) Adjust for risk
In the case of Russia, the likelihood of violent revolution, which could damage
the plant irreparably or cause the firm to lose ownership is probably as likely to
occur in the first year as it is in any future year. Hence treating later cash flows
different than earlier cash flows is inappropriate. By adjusting the $3m cash
flows down by some percentage for each year (the risk that there will be a violent
revolution that will cause the plant to close in any given year), probability that the
plant will still be available to the firm can be factored into the yearly cash flows.
(3) Determine whether it would be better to fund the project from Canada or Russia or
not at all.
(i) Russian funds: If we assume that if there is a violent revolution, we would
neither earn money nor have to pay back the bank. (Let them have the plant if
they are around to get it from the revolutionaries.) The financing in Russia looks
very good. Having a 27% ROI while having to pay only 12% shows this to be a
very profitable investment. And even if it does fail in the first year due to
revolution, the bank is at risk, not the firm. The main issue is being able to get
funds out of Russia and back to Canada. The yearly cash flows that could be
repatriated would be $3m less interest and principal. You might make an
adjustment for economic/political risk and anticipated exchange rate changes.
The net present value of these cash flows in Canadian dollars could then be
calculated.
(ii) Eurobond Funds: Eurobond investors would still want to be paid even if the
plant goes out of production. They will also want to be paid most likely in US
dollars or some European currency; it is unlikely that the Eurobonds would be
denominated in either rubles or Canadian dollars. Hence the approach would be
to discount the cash flows for economic/political risk, discount them for the
currency depreciation, make payments on the Eurobonds, and then determine the
net present value of the remainder. The quick calculation shows that this is still a
positive net present value option.
After more careful analysis both choices would likely yield a positive net present value,
although which one is higher is not obvious. While one can make estimates for the risks
and include them as suggested, it is clear that the Eurobond option exposes the firm to
higher economic/political and exchange rate risks. It also requires that funds be
repatriated to pay off the bonds, while with the bank financing, the firm could just keep
the funds in Russia if foreign exchange controls were instituted. Thus, unless the
Eurobond option has a significantly higher net present value, the Russian bank financing
has some strong advantages that are difficult to fully quantify.
CLOSING CASE: Brazils Gol
The closing case describes the financial approach Gol took to raising capital to fund its
expansion. Gol is Brazils version of JetBlue Airways. In 2004, the company made an
offering of nonvoting preferred stock on Brazils stock exchange, the Sao Paulo Bovespa,
and on the New York Stock Exchange. Discussion of the case can revolve around the
following questions:
QUESTION 1: What were the benefits to Gol of a listing on the New York stock
exchange in addition to the San Paulo Bovespa?
ANSWER 1: By listing on the NYSE, Gol was able to build recognition of its business
model internationally and establish itself in the same category as JetBlue, Ryanair, and
Southwest. The company also gained recognition by the market and got long-term
investors to join in the expansion efforts.
QUESTION 2: Why do you think the Gol stock offering was oversubscribed?
ANSWER 2: Most students will probably suggest that Gols position of being one of the
fastest growing and most profitable airlines in the world probably contributed to the
oversubscription to its stock. The companys strong business model was appealing to
investors in both the United States and in Brazil.
QUESTION 3: Do you think Gol would have raised as much money if it had just listed
on the New Sao Paulo exchange?
ANSWER 3: By listing its stock on both the New York Stock Exchange and the
Brazilian stock exchange, Gol was able to position itself to a much wider audience.
Many students may suggest that has Gol listed only in Sao Paulo, it may have had far
fewer investors.
QUESTION 4: How might the joint listing of the New York and San Paulo stock
exchanges affect Gols ability to raise additional capital in the future?
ANSWER 4: Gols successful stock offering help propel the company into a tier one
airline in company with other successful firms like Southwest, Ryanair, and JetBlue. Gol
now has an international presence and is in a position to tap global financial markets, and
should find it easier to raise funds in the future.
Another Perspective: To learn more about Gol, go to the companys web site at
{http://www.voegol.com.br/}.
INTEGRATING iGLOBES
There are several iGLOBE video clips that can be integrated with the material presented
in this chapter. In particular, you might consider the following:
Title: Federal Reserve Moves to Stabilize Market
Federal Reserve Spends Billions
Run Time: 10:21
Abstract: This video explores the efforts by the Federal Reserve and other central banks
to stabilize financial markets.
Key Concepts: international monetary system, investor psychology and the bandwagon
effect, globalization
Notes: Global markets, concerned about the availability of credit, received some
reassurance recently when the Federal Reserve, along with the European Central Bank,
and other central banks, announced that they would pump billions of dollars into the
global financial system. The hope is that the additional liquidity will ensure that prices in
the market reflect underlying risks. As a result of the Federal Reserves actions, the
federal funds rate, which had been 6 percent, dropped back to the targeted 5.25 percent.
Liquidity in the market had been disrupted by a very abrupt re-pricing of risk in the
economy.
Glenn Hubbard, dean of the Columbia Business School, believes that the move was
important for restoring market confidence and ensuring that there were no developments
in the market that could lead to a financial crisis. Laurence Meyer, former governor of
the Federal Reserve Board, noted that the problems that were addressed began in the
United States, and in particular with sub-prime loans. However, because financial
markets today are global in nature, the problems quickly spread to other countries in
Europe. Glenn Hubbard also stresses the need to fully understand the global nature of
financial markets, and the interconnectedness of the global economy.
Hubbard points out that while the current problem began in the United States and spread
to other countries, the contributions to global liquidity and investments in the United
States came from foreign markets. He notes that today, risks are spread and diversified
around the world. Hubbard expects further intervention in the market. Hubbard believes
the current situation is actually a correction in the market that will more accurately price
risk. He notes that the correction took place very quickly as people became worried
about credit spreads.
Discussion Questions:
1. Why did the Federal Reserve recently pump money into financial markets? What
problems was it trying to address? Did it succeed?
2. Consider the recent move by the Federal Reserve to inject additional liquidity into
financial markets. The Federal Reserves efforts were just part of a worldwide effort to
reassure investors of the availability of credit. Why was it important for the Federal
Reserve to work in tandem with other central banks? Could the Federal Reserve have
corrected the problem by working alone?
2. Reflect on the global nature of world financial markets. What are the implications of
this interconnectedness? As an investor, how does this affect you?
4. Discuss the implications of global financial markets, and the potential for a worldwide
economic crisis.
INTEGRATING VIDEOS
There are also several longer video clips that can be integrated with the material
presented in this chapter. In particular, you might consider the following: