Understanding The Time Value of Money
Understanding The Time Value of Money
Value Of Money
By Shauna Carther
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Congratulations!!! You have won a cash prize! You have two payment options: A Receive $10,000 now OR B - Receive $10,000 in three years. Which option
would you choose?
What Is Time Value?
If you're like most people, you would choose to receive the $10,000 now. After all,
three years is a long time to wait. Why would any rational person defer payment
into the future when he or she could have the same amount of money now? For
most of us, taking the money in the present is just plain instinctive. So at the most
basic level, the time value of money demonstrates that, all things being equal, it
is better to have money now rather than later.
But why is this? A $100 bill has the same value as a $100 bill one year from now,
doesn't it? Actually, although the bill is the same, you can do much more with the
money if you have it now because over time you can earn more interest on your
money.
Back to our example: by receiving $10,000 today, you are poised to increase
the future value of your money by investing and gaining interest over a period of
time. For Option B, you don't have time on your side, and the payment received in
three years would be your future value. To illustrate, we have provided a timeline:
If you are choosing Option A, your future value will be $10,000 plus any interest
acquired over the three years. The future value for Option B, on the other hand,
would only be $10,000. So how can you calculate exactly how much more Option
A is worth, compared to Option B? Let's take a look.
SEE: Internal Rate Of Return: An Inside Look
Future Value Basics
If you choose Option A and invest the total amount at a simple annual rate of
4.5%, the future value of your investment at the end of the first year is $10,450,
which of course is calculated by multiplying the principal amount of $10,000 by
the interest rate of 4.5% and then adding the interest gained to the principal
amount:
Future value of investment at end of first year:
= ($10,000 x 0.045) + $10,000
= $10,450
You can also calculate the total amount of a one-year investment with a simple
manipulation of the above equation:
Original equation: ($10,000 x 0.045) + $10,000 = $10,450
Manipulation: $10,000 x [(1 x 0.045) + 1] = $10,450
Final equation: $10,000 x (0.045 + 1) = $10,450
The manipulated equation above is simply a removal of the like-variable $10,000
(the principal amount) by dividing the entire original equation by $10,000.
If the $10,450 left in your investment account at the end of the first year is left
untouched and you invested it at 4.5% for another year, how much would you
have? To calculate this, you would take the $10,450 and multiply it again by
1.045 (0.045 +1). At the end of two years, you would have $10,920:
Future value of investment at end of second year:
= $10,450 x (1+0.045)
= $10,920.25
Think back to math class and the rule of exponents, which states that the
multiplication of like terms is equivalent to adding their exponents. In the above
equation, the two like terms are (1+0.045), and the exponent on each is equal to
1. Therefore, the equation can be represented as the following:
We can see that the exponent is equal to the number of years for which the
money is earning interest in an investment. So, the equation for calculating the
three-year future value of the investment would look like this:
This calculation shows us that we don't need to calculate the future value after
the first year, then the second year, then the third year, and so on. If you know
how many years you would like to hold a present amount of money in an
investment, the future value of that amount is calculated by the following
equation:
Let's walk backwards from the $10,000 offered in Option B. Remember, the
$10,000 to be received in three years is really the same as the future value of an
investment. If today we were at the two-year mark, we would discount the
payment back one year. At the two-year mark, the present value of the $10,000 to
be received in one year is represented as the following:
Present value of future payment of $10,000 at end of year
two:
Note that if today we were at the one-year mark, the above $9,569.38 would be
considered the future value of our investment one year from now.
Continuing on, at the end of the first year we would be expecting to receive the
payment of $10,000 in two years. At an interest rate of 4.5%, the calculation for
the present value of a $10,000 payment expected in two years would be the
following:
Present value of $10,000 in one year:
Of course, because of the rule of exponents, we don't have to calculate the future
value of the investment every year counting back from the $10,000 investment at
the third year. We could put the equation more concisely and use the $10,000 as
FV. So, here is how you can calculate today's present value of the $10,000
expected from a three-year investment earning 4.5%:
In the equation above, all we are doing is discounting the future value of an
investment. Using the numbers above, the present value of an $18,000 payment
in four years would be calculated as the following:
Present Value
From the above calculation we now know our choice is between receiving
$15,000 or $15,386.48 today. Of course we should choose to postpone payment
for four years!
The Bottom Line
These calculations demonstrate that time literally is money - the value of the
money you have now is not the same as it will be in the future and vice versa. So,
it is important to know how to calculate the time value of money so that you can
distinguish between the worth of investments that offer you returns at different
times.
doesn't it? Actually, although the bill is the same, you can do much more with the money if
you have it now because over time you can earn more interest on your money.
By receiving $10,000 today (Option A), you are poised to increase the future value of your
money by investing and gaining interest over a period of time. If you receive the money
three years down the line (Option B), you don't have time on your side, and the payment
received in three years would be your future value. To illustrate, we have provided a
timeline:
If you choose Option A, your future value will be $10,000 plus any interest acquired over the
three years. The future value for Option B, on the other hand, would only be $10,000. So
how can you calculate exactly how much more Option A is worth compared to Option B?
Let's take a look.
Future Value Basics
If you choose Option A and invest the total amount at a simple annual rate of 4.5%, the
future value of your investment at the end of the first year is $10,450, which is calculated by
multiplying the principal amount of $10,000 by the interest rate of 4.5% and then adding the
interest gained to the principal amount:
Future value of investment at end of first
year:
= ($10,000 x 0.045) + $10,000
= $10,450
You can also calculate the total amount of a one-year investment with a simple manipulation
of the above equation:
The manipulated equation above is simply a removal of the like-variable of $10,000 (the
principal amount) by dividing the entire original equation by $10,000.
If the $10,450 left in your investment account at the end of the first year is left untouched
and you invested it at 4.5% for another year, how much would you have? To calculate this,
you would take the $10,450 and multiply it again by 1.045 (0.045 +1). At the end of two
years, you would have $10,920:
Future value of investment at end of
second year:
= $10,450 x (1+0.045)
= $10,920.25
Think back to math class and the rule of exponents, which states that the multiplication of
like terms is equivalent to adding their exponents. In the above equation, the two like terms
are (1+0.045), and the exponent on each is equal to 1. Therefore, the equation can be
represented as the following:
We can see that the exponent is equal to the number of years for which the money is
earning interest in an investment. So, the equation for calculating the three-year future value
of the investment would look like this:
This calculation means that we don't need to calculate the future value after the first year,
then the second year, then the third year, and so on. If you know how many years you would
like to hold a present amount of money in an investment, the future value of that amount is
calculated by the following equation:
Read more: Introduction To The Time Value Of Money - Complete Guide To Corporate What
You Should Know About The Time Value of Money
JUNE 17, 2014 BY ROBERT SCHMIDT7 COMMENTS
Being completely comfortable with the time value of money is critical when working in
the field of finance and commercial real estate. The time value of money is impossible to
ignore when dealing with loans, investment analysis, capital budgeting, and many other
financial decisions. Its a fundamental building block that the entire field of finance is
built upon. And yet, many finance and commercial real estate professionalsstill lack a
solid working knowledge of time value of money concepts and they consistently make
the same common mistakes. In this article we take a deep dive into the time value of
money, discuss the intuition behind the calculations, and well also clear up several
misconceptions along the way.
With this fundamental intuition out of the way, lets jump right in to the two basic
techniques used in all time value of money calculations: compounding and discounting.
Compounding is about moving money forwards in time. Its the process of determining
the future value of an investment made today and/or the future value of a series of equal
payments made over time (periodic payments).
Whats the
intuition behind compounding? Most people immediately understand the concept of
compound growth. If you invest $100,000 today and earn 10% annually, then your initial
investment will grow to some figure larger than the original amount invested. For
example, in the illustration above $100,000 is invested at time period 0 and grows at a
10% rate to $121,000 at time period 2. Well go over the details of this calculation later,
but for now just focus on the intuition. The initial investment compounds because
it earns interest on the principal amount invested, plus it also earns interest on the
interest.
Discounting is about moving money backwards in time. Its the process of determining
the present value of money to be received in the future (as a lump sum and/or as
periodic payments). Present value is determined by applying a discount rate
(opportunity cost) to the sums of money to be received in the future.
Whats the
intuition behind discounting? When solving for the future value of money set aside
today, we compound our investment at a particular rate of interest. When solving for the
present value of future cash flows, the problem is one of discounting, rather
than growing, and the required expected return acts as the discount rate. In other
words, discounting is merely the inverse of growing.
As shown above, the 5 components of all time value of money problems (PV, FV, PMT, i,
n) can be illustrated on a simple horizontal time line. Its also common to see a vertical
timeline as well:
When drawing out a timeline for a time value of money problem, simply fill in the 4
known components so you can clearly identify and solve for the unknown component.
Heres a timeline for the example compounding problem above showing the 4 known
components:
other words, n should always be the total number of periods, i should be the interest rate
per period, and PMT should be the payment per period.
Note that most financial calculators have a Payment Per Year setting that attempts to
auto-correct the consistency of the n and i components. If youre just starting out with a
financial calculator its a good idea to ignore this functionality altogether. Instead you can
simply set the payments per year in the calculator to 1 (one) and then keep the n, i, and
PMT components consistent. This will greatly reduce the errors and frustration you
have with your financial calculator.
Half of the 6 functions of a dollar are compounding problems. These time value of
money problems include finding the future value of a lump sum, the future value of a
series of payments, and the payment amount needed to achieve a future value. Lets
dive into each of these problems with specific time value of money examples.
Future value of a single sum
This type of problem compounds a single amount to a future value. Heres an example
of this type of time value of money problem: What will $100,000 invested today for 7
years grow to be worth if compounded annually at 5% per year?
To solve this problem simply identify the 4 known components and then use a calculator
to find the 5th unknown component. In this problem we know the present value
PV
is -
$100,000 because its whats invested today. Its negative because its leaving our
pocket when we put it into the investment. The number of periods
rate
is 5%. The N and I components are both expressed annually, so they are
consistent. Knowing this we can simply plug those 4 components into the calculator and
solve for future value
FV ,
which is $140,710.
To solve this problem, lets first identify the 4 known components. We know that the
payment amount
PMT
is 10 years. What about the present value? Well, because we arent starting
with anything, our present value is simply $0. Again, in this problem the total number of
compounding periods is expressed annually and so is the interest rate, so the n and i
components are consistent. Now we can easily solve for the future value FV , which is the
5th remaining component.
Payments needed to achieve a future value
This type of problem compounds a series of equal payments into a future value and is
also known as a sinking fund payment. Heres an example of this type of time value of
money problem: At a 7% interest rate, how much needs to be deposited at the end of
each month over the next 10 years to grow to be exactly $50,000?
Lets start by identifying the 4 known variables. We know that the rate
is 7% and
it is implied to be an annual rate. Next, we are given the total number of periods
is 10 years, and finally the future value
FV
N which
check ensures that the rate and the number of periods are both expressed in years, but
what about the payment frequency? The payment frequency in this problem is
expressed monthly, so we are going to have to do some conversion in order to set this
problem up correctly. Lets convert everything to a monthly frequency so we are
consistent with our payments.
To do this we can simply divide the 7% interest rate by 12 month to get .58% per month.
Next we can multiply our 10 year analysis period by 12, since there are 12 months in
each year, to get 120 total months. Now our
our
FV
is 120 months,
PMT
PMT needed.
The other half of the 6 functions of a dollar involve discounting. These time value of
money problems involve finding the present value of a lump sum, the present value of a
series of payments, and the payment amount needed to amortize a present value such
as a loan. Lets dive into these discounting problems with some specific time value of
money examples.
FV
is 10
is 6.5% per year. Both the rate and the number of periods are
PV .
PMT
the total number of periods is consistent as annual figures at first glance, however we
also have monthly payments. So, we have to convert our annual number of periods (20
years) to 240 months, and also convert our annual rate of 8% to a monthly rate of .667.
Now we can now easily solve for the present value
PV .
PV
of 30 years, a present
because this is a loan amortized over 30 years, it is implied that the future value
FV
is
$0. After a quick check it appears that the number of periods and the rate are actually
expressed in different compounding periods, which of course presents a conflict. To
resolve this lets adjust the n and i components so they are both expressed monthly.
Using the formulas above we can convert the total number of compounding periods to
30 x 12, or 360 months and the rate to 4.5% / 12, or 0.375% per month. Now we have
our 4 known components and can easily solve for the present value.
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Conclusion
Time value of money concepts are at the core of valuation and other finance and
commercial real estate topics. This article provides a solid foundation for understanding
time value of money at an intuitive level and it also gives you the tools needed to solve
any time value of money problem. The time value of money is required as a basic
building block in finance and mastering these concepts will pay dividends for years to
come.