Name ____________________________________

1.

In English football, a team scores 3 points if it wins, 1 point if it draws, 0 points if it

loses.
The probability that my team will win their next match is 0.4. The probability that it
will lose its next match is 0.25.
What is the probability that it will score at least 1 point in its next match.
.........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................
(3)

2.

In a board game, a player is given two choices to try to get out of jail.

E ith e r

A
T o s s a c o in th re e tim e s .
G e t tw o ta ils a n d o n e h e a d .

or

B
T h r o w a d ic e a n d t o s s a c o in .
G et a num ber > 2 and a head.

The dice is numbered 1 to 6.

Which of the two choices should the player choose and why? Show your working
fully.
............................................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................................
(5)
3.

Russell and Jane are twins.

They take their driving tests.
The probability that Russell will pass is estimated to be 0.6.
The probability that Jane will pass is estimated to be 0.85.
Calculate the probability that only one of the twins passes the driving test.
.......
.......
.......
.......
(6)

4. In the game of Monopoly a player rolls two fair, six-sided dice.

The numbers on the dice are added together.
The player then moves his counter that number of squares round the board, in a
clockwise direction.
(a)

List all the possible outcomes when two dice are rolled.
Show the total sum obtained each time.

..................................................................................................................................
.
................................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................................
(3)

(b)

Davids counter is on the square called Fenchurch Street Station.

F en c h u rc h
S tr e e t
S ta tio n

L e ic e s te r
S q u a re

C o v e n try
S tre e t

W a te r
W o rks

P ic c a d illy

G o to
J a il
Regent
S tre e t
O x fo rd
S tre e t
C o m m u n ity
Chest
Bond
S tre e t
L iv e rp o o l
S tre e t
S t a t io n
C hance
P a rk
Lane

(i)

Use your answer to (a) to find the most likely square he will land on next.
......................................................................................................................
......................................................................................................................

(ii)

1
The probability that he will land on the square called Go to Jail is 9 .
What is the probability that he will not land on this square?

.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
(2)

(c)

In this game David did land on the square called Go to Jail.

The rules of the game say that a player can Get out of Jail if he gets a double
when he rolls the two dice.
[That is if he gets 6,6 or 5,5 or 4,4 etc.]
1
.
The probability that David will get a double on his first try is 6
The probability that he will not get a double first time but will get a double on his
5
.
second try is 36
(i)

Calculate the probability that David will get a double on either his first or
his second roll of the dice.

............................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................
(ii)

Calculate the probability that David will get a double on both his first and
his second roll of the dice.

............................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................
............................................................................................................................
(5)

5.

(a)

When Steve Davies plays snooker the probability that he will score 100 points
or
1
more is 12 .

(i)

What is the probability that he will score less than 100 points?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................

1
The probability that he will score 50 points or less is 4 .

(ii)

Calculate the probability that he will score more than 50 but less than 100
points.
.......................................................................................................................
.........................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
(3)

(b)

Snooker is played with 15 red balls, 6 other coloured balls, and 1 white ball.
All 22 balls are kept in a box.
(i)

A ball is taken out of the box at random.

What is the probability that it is a red ball?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................

(ii)

This ball is not put back in the box.

A second ball is now taken out of the box at random.
Calculate the probability that both balls taken out are red.
.......................................................................................................................

.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
(4)

6.

When I answer the telephone the call is never for me.

Half the calls are for my daughter Janette.
One-third of them are for my son Glen.
The rest are for my wife Barbara.
(a)

I answer the telephone twice this evening.

Calculate the probability that
(i)

the first call will be for Barbara,

.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
(2)

(ii)

both calls will be for Barbara.

.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
(2)

(b)

1
The probability that both these two telephone calls are for Janette is 4 .
1
The probability that they are both for Glen is 9 .

Calculate the probability that either they are both for Janette or both for Glen.
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................

(2)

7.

Two fair, six-sided dice are thrown. A double occurs when the same number appears
on both dice.
(a)

In how many ways can a double be scored?

...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
(1)

(b)

What is the probability of scoring a double?

...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
(1)

(c)

What is the probability of scoring a total of 7 on the two dice?

...............................................................................................................................
..............................................................................................................................
..............................................................................................................................
(2)

(d)

What is the probability of scoring either a double or a total of 7 on the two dice?

...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
(2)

8.

Maureen is to play two games of chess against Bill.

In one game Maureen has the first move.
In the other game, Bill moves first.
1
(a)When Maureen has the first move the probability that the game will be drawn is 4 .

What is the probability that the game will not be drawn?

...............................................................................................................................
..............................................................................................................................
(1)

(b)

1
When Bill has the first move the probability that he will win is 2 .
2
The probability that the game will be drawn is 5 .

Calculate the probability that Bill will not lose this game.
..............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
(2)
(c)

Calculate the probability that both games will be drawn.

...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
(2)
9.

A pupil cycles to school.

On her route, there is a set of traffic lights and a railway crossing.
She will be late for school if she has to stop at the traffic lights and at the railway
crossing.
Otherwise she will be on time.
The probability that she does not have to stop at the traffic lights is 0.4
The probability that she does not have to stop at the railway crossing is 0.9
Calculate the probability that she is on time for school.
........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................(4)

10. Two fair spinners are used for a game.

The scores from each spinner are added together.
F o r e x a m p le : T h e to ta l s c o re fro m th e s e tw o s p in n e rs is 4 + 5 = 9 .

Tom played the game 500 times and kept a record of how many times he scored a
total of 7.
He recorded his results in this table.
Number of spins

Total number of 7s Relative frequency

first 50

13

0.26

first 100

23

0.23

(a)

first 150

27

first 200

38

first 500

105

Complete the table by calculating the relative frequencies for 150 spins, 200
spins and 500 spins.
(2)

(b)

Which of these relative frequency results gives the best estimate of the
probability of scoring a total of 7?
Give a reason for your answer.
.....
.....
(2)

11) A school election is to be held to find the pupil who will be the next Head Girl.

In a survey before the election 225 pupils, chosen at random, were asked who they
will vote for.
117 say they will vote for Fran.

(a)

What is the probability that a pupil chosen at random will vote for Fran?
Give your answer in its simplest form.

(2)

(b)

It is expected that 850 pupils will vote in the election.

Estimate the number of pupils who will vote for Fran.

(2)

12. Sue has two bags of sweets.

Bag A contains 6 toffees and 3 chocolates.

Bag B contains 5 toffees and 2 chocolates.
Sue takes one sweet from each bag.
What is the probability that she gets two sweets of the same sort?
.......
.......
.......
.......
.......
(5)

13. One person is to be chosen at random from four men and two women.

Jack

T re v o r

Four events are defined as

E ric

J e ff

Joan

J ill

Event J:

Someone with a name beginning with J is chosen.

Event M: A man is chosen.

Event N: Someone reading a newspaper is chosen.
Event W: A woman is chosen.

What is the probability that. if one person is chosen at random:

(a)

both J and M are true?

...............................................................................................................................
(1)

(b)

both J and N are true?

...............................................................................................................................
(1)

(c)

either N or W is true?
...............................................................................................................................
(1)

14. A sack contains a number of gold and silver discs.

An experiment consists of taking a disc from the sack at random, recording its colour
and then replacing it.
The experiment is repeated 10, 50, 100, 150 and 200 times.
The table shows the results.

(a)

Number of experiments

10

50

100

150

200

Number of gold discs

23

30

38

Draw a graph to show how the relative frequency of a gold disc changes as the
number of experiments increases.
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................

0 .5

0 .4

R e la tiv e 0 .3
freq u e n c y
o f g o ld
d is c
0 .2

0 .1

0 .0

50

100
150
N u m b e r o f e x p e rim e n ts

200

(3)

(b)

The sack contains 1 000 discs.

Estimate the number of gold discs in the sack.
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
Answer ....................................................
(1)

15. The table shows the probability for the delivery time of letters posted first class.
Delivery time (days)
Probability
(a)

3 or more

0.7

0.2

0.1

100 letters are posted first class.

How many will be delivered in 1 or 2 days?
...............................................................................................................................

...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
Answer ....................................................
(2)
(b)

Two letters are posted first class in different towns.

What is the probability that only one will be delivered in one day?
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
Answer ....................................................
(3)

16.
A dice is suspected of bias.
Here are the results of 20 throws.

(a)

Use these results to calculate the relative frequency of each score.

...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................

Score

Relative frequency
(2)
(b)

Use the relative frequency to calculate how many times you would expect to
score 3 in 60 throws of this dice.
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
Answer ...........................................
(2)

(c)

Compare your answer to part (b) with the number of times you would expect to
score 3 in 60 throws of a fair dice.
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
...............................................................................................................................
(1)