Regional Housing Update: Homebuilder Survey
Regional Housing Update: Homebuilder Survey
May 2010
Homebuilder Survey
According to reports from District homebuilders, new home sales growth continued to sof-
ten on a year-over-year basis but remained positive. However, softening was largely attribu-
tated to contacts in Florida who noted a sharp drop-off in sales growth. District construction
activity weakened as well with District builders indicating that activity was even with a year
earlier. Softening in construction was noted across the region. Comments from builders indi-
cated that incentives had been the major driver in most District markets. Builders noted that
access to financing remained a challenge and appraisals remained too low. The outlook
among District builders continued to weaken but remained slightly positive.
Homebuilder Activity
Sales Activity vs. Year Ago
1.0
Key:
+1 = Increase
0.5
0 = No Change
-1 = Decrease
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Homebuilder Activity
Construction Activity vs. Year Ago
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Regional Housing Update
May 2010
Homebuilder Activity
Sales Activity over the Next 3 Months vs. Year Ago
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Homebuilder Activity
Construction Activity over the Next 3 Months vs. Year Ago
1.0
Key
+1 = Increase
0 = No Change
0.5
-1 = Decrease
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Regional Housing Update
May 2010
Homebuilder Activity
Inventory of Unsold Homes vs. Year Ago
1.0
Key:
+1 = Increase
0 + No change
0.5 -1 = Decrease
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Homebuilder Activity
Selling Price vs. Year Ago
1.0
Key:
+1 = Increase
0.5
0 = No change
-1 = Decrease
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Homebuilder Activity
Labor Cost vs. Year Ago
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
Down significantly 11 20 33 0 0 13 16
Up significantly 32 30 11 33 0 13 24
Up slightly 37 10 22 0 0 38 26
No Change 0 20 44 33 0 25 18
Sales
Down slightly 21 30 0 33 0 0 18
Down significantly 11 10 22 0 0 25 14
Up significantly 9 11 0 0 0 7 6
Up slightly 17 6 29 29 0 7 16
No Change 29 39 24 29 0 40 32
Buyer Traffic
Down slightly 31 22 24 43 0 33 29
Down significantly 14 22 24 0 0 13 16
Up 16 20 0 0 0 14 12
Selling Price No Change 32 10 56 50 0 14 29
Downs 53 70 44 50 0 86 59
Up 58 40 44 75 0 63 53
Material Price No Change 26 40 44 0 0 25 29
Down 16 20 11 25 0 13 18
Up 19 30 14 0 0 14 18
Inventory of Unsold Homes No Change 13 10 14 50 0 29 18
Down 69 60 71 50 0 57 64
More 13 13 0 0 0 0 7
Difficulty Filling Positions No Change 60 25 71 33 0 63 54
Less 27 63 29 67 0 38 39
Up 6% + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Up 5-6% 0 0 13 0 0 0 2
Up 4-5% 6 0 0 0 0 0 2
Labor Costs Up 3-4% 6 0 13 0 0 0 4
Up 1-3% 11 0 0 0 0 0 4
No Change 72 50 63 50 0 75 65
Down 6 50 13 50 0 25 23
Regional Housing Update
May 2010
Residential Real Estate Survey
Overall, reports from Realtors indicated another slight improvement in home sales in April
compared with a year earlier. However, a look at responses on a month-to-month basis indi-
cated that sales softened slightly from March to April among District contacts. Reports also
indicated that high-end home sales exceeded the year earlier level for the first time since
early 2006. Overall, inventories in the region were similar to a year ago. Reports indicated
year-over-year declines in home prices abated notably. The outlook for sales growth over the
next several months softened but remained positive.
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
06 07 08 09 10
AL FL GA LA MS TN District
Above Plan 53 41 0 50 0 29 39
Activity compare to plan: At Plan: 21 28 75 50 100 43 33
Below Plan: 26 31 25 0 0 29 29
Up significantly 32 33 0 0 0 36 30
Up slightly 32 39 50 100 0 50 40
Total sales No Change 9 6 25 0 100 7 9
Down slightly 18 9 0 0 0 7 10
Down significantly 9 12 25 0 0 0 10
Up significantly 27 39 0 50 0 43 34
Up slightly 32 48 50 50 0 50 43
Buyer Traffic No Change 14 6 25 0 100 7 10
Down slightly 23 0 0 0 0 0 8
Down significantly 5 6 25 0 0 0 5
Up significantly 0 16 0 0 0 15 10
Up slightly 27 16 0 0 0 23 19
Condominium sales No Change 53 52 67 0 100 54 53
Down slightly 7 16 0 100 0 0 10
Down significantly 13 0 33 0 0 8 7
Up significantly 4 3 0 0 0 7 4
Up slightly 30 15 25 50 0 29 23
Overall Sales Prices No Change 26 24 25 0 100 36 27
Down slightly 30 24 25 50 0 21 27
Down significantly 9 33 25 0 0 7 19
Up 57 19 75 0 0 29 35
Inventories of Unsold
No Change 17 28 0 50 100 21 23
Homes
Down 26 53 25 50 0 50 42
Up significantly 4 12 0 0 0 0 6
What are your expectations for Up slightly 52 59 60 100 0 77 59
sales over the next three
No Change 22 18 20 0 100 15 19
months compared with the
prior year level? Down slightly 9 6 0 0 0 8 8
Down significantly 13 6 20 0 0 0 8