Futuretrends in Leadership Development
Futuretrends in Leadership Development
Contents
About the Author
Executive Summary
1o
Types of Development
11
12
13
15
19
Final Thoughts
27
Bibliography
28
References
29
Appendix 31
Executive Summary
In the agricultural era,
schools mirrored a garden.
In the industrial era, classes
mirrored the factory, with
an assembly line of learners.
In the digital-information era,
how will learning look?
Lucy Dinwiddie
Global Learning & Executive
Development Leader, General Electric
doing/phase out?
development headed?
Current Focus
Future Focus
Horizontal development
Collective leadership is
spread throughout the network
information overload
the interconnectedness of systems
adaptability
self-awareness
boundary spanning
collaboration
network thinking
A literature review on the skills needed for future leaders
also revealed the following attributes:
training
job assignments
action learning
executive coaching
mentoring
360-degree feedback
Bill Pelster
Principal, Deloitte Consulting
Robert Kegan
Professor of Adult Learning
and Professional Development,
Harvard Graduate School of Education
10
Types of Development
Horizontal development is the development of new
skills, abilities, and behaviors. It is technical learning.
Horizontal development is most useful when a problem
is clearly defined and there are known techniques for
solving it. Surgery training is an example of horizontal
development. Students learn to become surgeons through
a process known as pimping, in which experienced
surgeons continually question students until the point
when the student cannot answer and is forced to go back
to the books to learn more information.7 While the process
of learning is not easy, there are clear answers that can
be codified and transmitted from expert sources,
allowing the students to broaden and deepen their
surgical competency.
Vertical development, in contrast, refers to the stages
that people progress through in regard to how they make
sense of their world. We find it easy to notice children
progressing through stages of development as they
grow, but conventional wisdom assumes that adults stop
developing at around 20 years oldhence the term grown
up (you have finished growing). However, developmental
researchers have shown that adults do in fact continue to
progress (at varying rates) through predictable stages of
mental development. At each higher level of development,
adults make sense of the world in more complex and
inclusive waystheir minds grow bigger.
In metaphorical terms, horizontal development is like
pouring water into an empty glass.8 The vessel fills up with
new content (you learn more leadership techniques). In
contrast, vertical development aims to expand the glass
itself. Not only does the glass have increased capacity
to take in more content, the structure of the vessel
itself has been transformed (the managers mind grows
bigger). From a technology perspective, it is the difference
between adding new software (horizontal development)
or upgrading to a new computer (vertical development).
Most people are aware that continuing to add new
software to an out-dated operating system starts to have
diminishing returns.
While horizontal development (and competency models)
11
12
Kegan Levels
Self-transforming
Interdependent-Collaborator
Ironist (>1%)*
Alchemist (2%)
Strategist (5%)
Self-authoring
Independent-Achiever
Individualist (11%)
Achiever (30%)
Expert (37%)
Socialized
Dependent-Conformer
Diplomat (11%)
Opportunist (4%)
13
12
way of thinking.
A major part of our job is helping people develop how they think.
How they get to an answer matters more than ever.
Jeff Barnes
Head of Global Leadership,
General Electric
14
15
16
Leadership Development
for the Masses
While many organizations say that
they need leaders at all levels of the
business, a number of interviewees
pointed out that this statement
appears inconsistent with their
practices, as long as they continue to
train and develop only their elite
managers. Leadership development
can become democratized, if workers
get a better understanding of what
development is, why it matters
for them, and how they can take
ownership of their own development.
In his study on how Colombian drug
traffickers were able to grow their
operations despite a multidecade
campaign against them costing
billions of dollars, Michael Kenney
found that a key factor was the
traffickers ability to outlearn and
outadapt their U.S. government
adversaries.17 Kenney discovered that
traffickers, despite lack of education,
were driven to learn and develop
by the high risk/high return for
learning. The rewards for those who
learned the most were money and
status; the risks for those who failed
to learn were prison and sometimes
death. Colombian drug cartels do
not have HR departments or training
companies to manage their training
programs, yet these young, often
uneducated traffickers still find
sufficient motivation in the
risk/return for learning to drive their
own development. If organizations
believe that their people would not
be motivated to take more ownership
of their own development, they
might stop and ask,How clear and
visible is the risk/reward for
learning in our organization?
17
18
19
20
21
Redefining Leadership
A starting point for organizations may come from
helping their people redefine what is meant by the
term leadership. There has been a major trend
among organizational theorists to shift the focus
from leadership as a person or role to leadership
as a process. For example:
22
23
individual capacity
team capacity
organizational capacity
network capacity
systems capacity
Depending on the area in which increased capacity is
desired, organizations will target different group sizes
and use different development practices (Appendix 4).
Not all types of organizations will need to adopt this new
paradigm of thinking. Traditional companies, in stable
environments requiring little creativity from staff, may
well be more effective if they stick to traditional,
individualistic command and control management styles.
However, organizations that expect to operate in VUCA
environments will quickly need to develop the types of
networks and cultures in which leadership flows through
the system. Complex environments will reward flexible
and responsive, collective leadership, and the time is fast
approaching for organizations to redress the imbalance
that has been created by focusing exclusively on the
individual leadership model.
24
25
just horizontal.
to the people.
26
Final Thoughts
Yesterday, I had lunch with a pair of New Zealand friends who are recent graduates from two prestigious Boston
universities. While discussing how to start a new business, my first friend said that at his school, professors now tell
them not to bother writing business plans, as you will never foresee all the important things which will happen once
you begin. Instead they are taught to adopt the drunken man stumble, in which you keep staggering forward in the
general direction of your vision, without feeling the need to go anywhere in a straight line. Thats interesting, said
my second friend. At our school they call it the heat-seeking missile approach. First you launch in the direction of
some potential targets, then you flail around until you lock onto a good one and try to hit it.
At the start of this project I hoped that I would find some clear answers to what the future of leadership would
look like, but after dozens of interviews, months of reading, and weeks of consolidation, I am humbled to say
that what I now have is an educated guess. Will organizations really start to focus more of their efforts on
vertical development? Will they actually educate and then transfer greater ownership back to the individuals?
Will leadership really come to be seen as more of a collective process than an individual person? I am certain
it should, but can I say it will?
However, there is one thing that I have become certain of and that is that the methods that have been used in the
past to develop leaders really, truly, categorically will not be enough for the complexity of challenges which are on
their way for organizations (and broader society). Human resource people, O.D. theorists, consultants, and training
companies dont have great influence over too many things that happen within organizations, but one area that
they do have a strong influence over is how leadership is understood and how leadership capacity is developed.
It seems to me that the art of practicing this area well is going to get much harder, as it, at the same time,
becomes much more important.
For any of us who might feel disheartened by the size of our challenges, we can take heart from the fact that, like
most future leadership challenges, we dont have the solutions because there are no solutions (yet). The answers will
not be found in a report (even a good one) but discovered along the way on the messy path of innovation. And while
I like the thought that we will make our breakthroughs through the exciting metaphor of the heat-seeking missile, I
fear that it will be the drunken man stumble for us all. And though not elegant, its at least comforting to know that
the most important skill needed is the will to take another step forward. I offer this report as the first of many steps.
Nick Petrie
Cambridge, Massachusetts, August 2011
In ice hockey they teach you to skate not to where the puck is,
but to where it is going next.
Ashish Nanda
Robert Braucher Professor of
Practice, Harvard Law School
27
Bibliography
EDA Pearson. (2009). Trends in executive development. Retrieved from
http://www.executivedevelopment.com/Portals/0/docs/EDA_Trends_09_Survey%20Summary.pdf
Goffee, R. (2006, March). Why should anyone be led by you?: What it takes to be an authentic leader.
Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business School Press.
Goldsmith, M., & Reiter M. (2007). What got you here wont get you there: How successful people become even more successful.
New York: Hyperion.
Hackman, J.R. (2002). Leading teams: Setting the stage for great performances. Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business Press.
Heifetz, R. A. (1994). Leadership without easy answers. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
IBM. (2010, May). Capitalizing on complexity: Insights from the Global Chief Executive Officer Study. Retrieved from
http://public.dhe.ibm.com/common/ssi/ecm/en/gbe03297usen/GBE03297USEN.PDF
Kegan, R., & Lahey, L. (2009). Immunity to change: How to overcome it and unlock potential in yourself and your organization.
Boston: Harvard Business School Press.
Kerr, S. (2004). Executive ask: How can organizations best prepare people to lead and manage others?
Academy of Management Executive, 18(3).
Kenney, M. (2007). From Pablo to Osama: Trafficking and terrorist networks, government bureaucracies, and competitive adaptation.
University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.
McCauley, C., & Van Velsor, E. (2004). The Center for Creative Leadership handbook of leadership development.
San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass.
McGonagill, G., & Doerffer, T. (2011, January 10). The leadership implications of the evolving web. Retrieved from
http://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/cps/rde/xchg/SID-6822B895FCFC3827/bst_engl/hs.xsl/100672_101629.htm
McGuire, C., & Rhodes, G. (2009). Transforming your leadership culture. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
McIlvaine, A. (2010). The leadership factor. Retrieved from http://www.hreonline.com/HRE/story.jsp?storyId=330860027
Uhl-Bien, M., & Russ, M. (2009). Complexity leadership in bureaucratic forms of organizing: A meso model.
The Leadership Quarterly, 20(4), 631-650.
28
References
1 See IBM, Capitalizing on Complexity: Insights from the Global Chief Executive Officer Study. Retrieved from
http://public.dhe.ibm.com/common/ssi/ecm/en/gbe03297usen/GBE03297USEN.PDF
2 Perrow, C. (1986). Snowden & Boone, 2007.
3 See EDA Pearson, Trends in Executive Development. Retrieved from
http://www.executivedevelopment.com/Portals/0/docs/EDA_Trends_09_Survey%20Summary.pdf
4 See A. McIlvaine, The Leadership Factor. Retrieved from http://www.hreonline.com/HRE/story.jsp?storyId=330860027
5 Ibid.
6 See M. Goldsmith and M. Reiter, What Got You Here Wont Get You There: How Successful People Become Even More Successful.
(Hyperion, 2007).
7 Interestingly, the strong attachment to the pimping technique by senior surgeons has led to the teaching
10 Ibid., p. 23.
11 For a fuller explanation of Torbert & Harthill Associates Action Logics, see Appendix 3.
12 See Personal and Organizational Transformations: Through action inquiry with. Dalmar Fisher, David Rooke and Bill
13 McGuire and Rhodes (2009) outline six steps they recommend to develop leadership cultures: The Inside-Out, Role
Shifting Experience Phase; The Readiness for Risk and Vulnerability Phase; The Headroom and Widening
Engagement Phase; The Innovation Phase; The Structure, Systems, and Business Processes Phase; and The
Leadership Transformation Phase.
14 To learn about methodologies for how individuals vertically develop, refer to Kegan and Lahey (2009).
15 Richard Hackman, personal communication, November 2010.
29
References
16 R. Goffee, Why Should Anyone Be Led by You?: What it takes to be an authentic leader (Harvard Business School Press,
March 2006).
17
For more on Kenneys fascinating study on how drug cartels and terror groups became learning
organizations, see his book From Pablo to Osama: Trafficking and terrorist networks, government bureaucracies, and
competitive adaptation (Pennsylvania State University Press, 2007).
18
Executive Ask: How can organizations best prepare people to lead and manage others? (Academy of
Management Executive 18(3), 2004)
19 To learn more, refer to this article by Chelsea Pollen from Google, who outlines the ways in which online social tools
We have seen this happening with pay rates over the last 50 years, with those at the top becoming far better
paid than those at the middle and bottom. It is interesting to consider if we could see something similar happen
with developmental levels and what that would mean.
22 Hackmans five conditions are: a real team, compelling direction, enabling structure, supportive
context, expert coaching. For more, see J. R. Hackman, Leading Teams: Setting the stage for great performances.
(Harvard Business Press 2002).
23
G. McGonagill and T. Doerffer, The Leadership Implications of the Evolving Web, ( January 10, 2011).
Retrieved from http://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/cps/rde/xchg/SID-6822B895-FCFC3827/bst_engl/
hs.xsl/100672_101629.htm
24 See McGuire and Rhodes, Transforming Your Leadership Culture (San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2009).
30
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2.2
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8.9
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12
...............................................................................................%
4.3
4.3
17.4
4.3
17.4
52.2
YES = 20
80%
Did NOT Respond, No Follow-Up
12%
16%
8%
20%
20%
24%
31
NO = 5
20%
Talk slower.
Walk around the
office slower.
Listen to people.
2
Doing/Not Doing Instead
(Behaviors Which Work
Against the Goal)
3
Hidden Competing Goals
Worries
I make decisions
very quickly.
work life.
very loud.
I sometimes pay no
I am committed to
attention to people who
are talking.
4
My Big Assumptions
not damaging my
home life
not seeing my
performance drop because
of people wasting my time
32
Opportunist
Diplomat
Characteristics
Leadership Strengths
Good as supportive glue within an office; Avoids conflict, rigidly conforms and is
helps bring people together.
status-driven. Sees negative feedback
as punishment.
Effective as a transformational
leader within large contexts such
as organizations.
Expert
Achiever
Individualist
Strategist
Alchemist
Weaknesses
Forcibly self-interested and
manipulative. Rejects feedback and
externalizes blame.
33
Individuals
Teams
Organizations
Communities
Individual Capacity
Team Capacity
Organizational
Capacity
Network Capacity
Systems Capacity
1. Develop capacity
of individuals for
self-awareness,
ongoing learning, and
exercising initiative
2. Develop capacity
of individuals to work
together in groups and
lead teams
3. Develop capacity
of individuals to
understand and lead
organizations
4. Develop capacity of
individuals to cultivate
and leverage peer
relationships
5. Develop capacity of
individuals to see the
big picture, understand
root causes, and
influence systems
6. Develop capacity of
teams to develop and
elicit the full potential
of all team members
7. Develop capacity of
teams to define and
attain purposes
8. Develop capacity
of teams to enhance
organizational
performance
9. Develop capacity
of teams to align their
goals and activities
across boundaries
http://www.ila-net.org/members/directory/downloads/webinars/2010.05-Leadership_Development_in_US_Presentation.pdf
34
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