Hypothesis and Prediction
Hypothesis and Prediction
SCIENCE IT
Thehypothesisisthefundamentalinstrumentinconductingresearch.It
proposesnewexperimentsandobservationsandindeedmostoftheexperiments
areundertaken,withthesoleaimoftestingthehypothesis.Itisapropounded
explanationforthehappeningofaparticularphenomenon.
Duetoinsufficientknowledge,manymisconstruehypothesisforprediction,which
iswrong,asthesetwoareentirelydifferent.Predictionisforecastingoffuture
events,whichissometimesbasedonevidenceorsometimes,onapersonsinstinct
orgutfeeling.Sotakeaglanceatthearticlepresentedbelow,whichelaboratesthe
differencebetweenhypothesisandprediction.
Comparison Chart
BASISFOR
HYPOTHESIS PREDICTION
COMPARISON
Explanation Yes No
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De nition of Hypothesis
Insimpleterms,hypothesismeansasheerassumptionwhichcanbeapprovedor
disapproved.Forthepurposeofresearch,thehypothesisisdefinedasapredictive
statement,whichcanbetestedandverifiedusingthescientificmethod.Bytesting
thehypothesis,theresearchercanmakeprobabilitystatementsonthepopulation
parameter.Theobjectiveofthehypothesisistofindthesolutiontoagiven
problem.
Ahypothesisisamerepropositionwhichisputtothetesttoascertainitsvalidity.
Itstatestherelationshipbetweenanindependentvariabletosomedependent
variable.Thecharacteristicsofthehypothesisaredescribedasunder:
Itshouldbeclearandprecise.
Itshouldbestatedsimply.
Itmustbespecific.
Itshouldcorrelatevariables.
Itshouldbeconsistentwithmostknownfacts.
Itshouldbecapableofbeingtested.
Itmustexplain,whatitclaimstoexplain.
De nition of Prediction
Apredictionisdescribedasastatementwhichforecastsafutureevent,whichmay
ormaynotbebasedonknowledgeandexperience,i.e.itcanbeapureguessbased
ontheinstinctofaperson.Itistermedasaninformedguess,whentheprediction
comesoutfromapersonhavingamplesubjectknowledgeandusesaccuratedata
andlogicalreasoning,tomakeit.Regressionanalysisisoneofthestatistical
technique,whichisusedformakingtheprediction.
Inmanymultinationalcorporations,futurists(predictors)arepaidagoodamount
formakingpredictionrelatingtothepossibleevents,opportunities,threatsor
risks.Andtodoso,thefuturists,studyallpastandcurrentevents,toforecast
futureoccurrences.Further,ithasagreatroletoplayinstatisticsalso,todraw
inferencesaboutapopulationparameter.
1.Apropoundedexplanationforanobservableoccurrence,established
onthebasisofestablishedfacts,asanintroductiontothefurther
study,isknownasthehypothesis.Astatement,whichtellsor
estimatessomethingthatwilloccurinfutureisknownasthe
prediction.
2.Thehypothesisisnothingbutatentativesuppositionwhichcanbe
testedbyscientificmethods.Onthecontrary,thepredictionisasortof
declarationmadeinadvanceonwhatisexpectedtohappennext,in
thesequenceofevents. KeyDifferences
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3.Whilethehypothesisisanintelligentguess,thepredictionisawild
guess.
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4.Ahypothesisisalwayssupportedbyfactsandevidence.Asagainst
this,predictionsarebasedonknowledgeandexperienceoftheperson
Bethefirstofyourfriendstolikethis
makingit,butthattoonotalways.
5.Hypothesisalwayshaveanexplanationorreason,whereasprediction
doesnothaveanyexplanation.
6.Hypothesisformulationtakesalongtime.Conversely,making
predictionsaboutafuturehappeningdoesnottakemuchtime.
7.Hypothesisdefinesaphenomenon,whichmaybeafutureorapast
event.Unlike,prediction,whichalwaysanticipatesabouthappeningor
nonhappeningofacertaineventinfuture.
8.Thehypothesisstatestherelationshipbetweenindependentvariable
andthedependentvariable.Ontheotherhand,predictiondoesnot
stateanyrelationshipbetweenvariables.
Conclusion
Tosumup,thepredictionismerelyaconjecturetodiscernfuture,whilea
hypothesisisapropositionputforwardfortheexplanation.Theformer,canbe
madebyanyperson,nomatterhe/shehasknowledgeintheparticularfield.Onthe
flipside,thehypothesisismadebytheresearchertodiscovertheanswertoa
certainquestion.Further,thehypothesishastopasstovarioustest,tobecomea
theory.