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PPC Assignment 1

The document discusses a case study that developed a time series model to forecast water demands 24 hours in advance for an urban and agricultural zone in British Columbia, Canada. The model accounted for seasonal and climatic impacts on demand changes by using a Fourier series to model seasonal demand and multiplying optimized coefficients to daily temperature and precipitation values for climatic impacts. The model was calibrated using 2005, 2006, and 2008 demand data and validated using 2010 data, with strong agreement observed between the modeled and actual demand data.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
28 views

PPC Assignment 1

The document discusses a case study that developed a time series model to forecast water demands 24 hours in advance for an urban and agricultural zone in British Columbia, Canada. The model accounted for seasonal and climatic impacts on demand changes by using a Fourier series to model seasonal demand and multiplying optimized coefficients to daily temperature and precipitation values for climatic impacts. The model was calibrated using 2005, 2006, and 2008 demand data and validated using 2010 data, with strong agreement observed between the modeled and actual demand data.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Forecasting Water Demands

Case study:

Summary:
It is widely accepted that water supply will
be a pressing issue in this century. Computer models are required
to help water authorities better allocate their daily water supply.
This research developed a time series model to forecast demands
24 hours in advance for the urban and agricultural zone in the
South East Kelowna Irrigation District (British Columbia, Canada).
The model accounted for both seasonal and climatic impacts to
changes in demand. The seasonal demand was modelled using a
Fourier series. The climatic component was studied by multiplying
optimized coefficients to the daily temperature and precipitation
values. The model was calibrated using measured demand data
for the years 2005, 2006 and 2008 and validated using data for
2010. A strong agreement was observed among the field data and
model results.

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