Introduction To The Black-Scholes Formula Applying The Formula To Other Assets Option Greeks Delta-Hedging Volatility
Introduction To The Black-Scholes Formula Applying The Formula To Other Assets Option Greeks Delta-Hedging Volatility
1 / 42
Binomial pricing
2 / 42
Black-Scholes Formula
3 / 42
Black-Scholes Formula (cont’d)
• Call Option price
∎ where
ln(S/K) + (r − δ + 21 σ 2 )T √
d1 = √ and d2 = d1 − σ T
σ T
• N (x) is the cumulative normal distribution, the
probability that a number randomly drawn from a
standard normal distribution will be less than x.
• Function “NormSDist” in Excel2007
4 / 42
Normal distribution
• N (x) is the cumulative normal distribution, the
probability that a number randomly drawn from a
standard normal distribution (mean is 0, std. dev. is 1)
will be less than x
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumulative distribution function).
• Normal distribution
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal distribution
• For example,
• N(0)=0.5 chance of average: half
• N(1)=0.841345
• N(-1)=0.158655
• N(2)=0.97725
• N(-2)=0.02275
• N(1)-N(-1)=0.682 chance of falling within [-1,1]
around the mean
5 / 42
Normal distribution
6 / 42
Black-Scholes (BS) Assumptions
7 / 42
Black-Scholes (BS) Assumptions (cont’d)
8 / 42
Applying BS to Other Assets
• Call Options
p
C(F0,T (S), F0,T
p
(K), σ, T ) = F0,T
P
(S)N (d1 )−F0,T
P
(K)N (d2 )
• where
P
ln[F0,T (S)/F0,T
P
(K)] + 12 σ 2 T √
d1 = √ and d2 = d1 − σ T
σ T
and
P
F0,T (S) = Se−δT ; F0,T
P
(K) = Ke−rT
9 / 42
Applying BS to Other Assets (cont’d)
• Example
• S = $41, K = $40, σ = 0.3, r = 8%, t = 0.25, Div =
$3 in one month
• The BS European call price is ?
10 / 42
The BS European call price is ?
11 / 42
What if dividends is zero?
12 / 42
Applying BS to Other Assets (cont’d)
• Options on currencies
• The prepaid forward price for the currency is
P
F0,T (x) = x0 e−rf T
13 / 42
Applying BS to Other Assets (cont’d)
• Options on futures
• The prepaid forward price for a futures contract is the
PV of the futures price. Therefore
∎ where
ln(F /K) + 21 σ 2 T √
d1 = √ and d2 = d1 − σ T
σ T
• Example
• Suppose 1-yr. futures price for natural gas is
$2.10/MMBtu, r = 5.5%
• F = $2.10, K = $2.10, and δ = 5.5%
• If σ = 0.25, T = 1, call price = ? put price = ?
14 / 42
Option Greeks
15 / 42
Option Greeks (cont’d)
• Delta (∆) is the change in option price when stock price
increases by $1
• How to find this out? We are thinking about
C(S + 1, K, σ, r, T, δ) − C(S, K, σ, r, T, δ)
S +1−S
• Formula for call delta: ∆call = e−δT N (d1 ) positive for
long call
• Formula for put delta: ∆put = −e−δT N (−d1 ) = ∆call − e−δT
negative for long put
• Greek measures for portfolios of n options each with
quantity wi , i = 1, 2, ...n.
• The Greek measure of a portfolio is weighted average
of Greeks of individual portfolio components
∆portfolio = ∑ni=1 wi ∆i
• The following graphs show long positions only
16 / 42
Option Greeks – Delta
17 / 42
Option Greeks – Gamma
● Gammas for European puts and calls with different times to
expiration; assume K = $40, σ = 30%, r = 8%, δ = 0. The
figures in the two panels are identical
18 / 42
Option Greeks – Vega
● Vegas for European puts and calls with different times to
expiration; assume K = $40, σ = 30%, r = 8%, δ = 0. The
figures in the two panels are identical
19 / 42
Option Greeks – Theta
● Panels (a) and (b) show the price as a function of time to
expiration for in-the-money, at-the-money, and
out-of-the-money calls and puts. Assume
K = $40, σ = 30%, r = 8%, δ = 0 (to be continued).
20 / 42
Option Greeks – Theta (Cont’d)
● Panels (c) and (d) show call and put thetas as a function of
the stock price for three different times to expiration. Assume
K = $40, σ = 30%, r = 8%, δ = 0.
21 / 42
Option Greeks – Rho
22 / 42
Option Greeks – Psi
23 / 42
Option Greeks (cont’d)
∎ Greeks for the bull spread examined in Chapter 3, where
S = $40, σ = 0.3, r = 0.08, and T = 91 days, with a purchased
40-strike call (option 1) and a written 45-strike call (option 2).
The column titled “combined” is the difference between
column 1 and column 2.
24 / 42
Option elasticity
25 / 42
Option elasticity (cont’d)
26 / 42
Option elasticity (cont’d)
27 / 42
Option elasticity
28 / 42
Delta-Hedging
29 / 42
Delta-Hedging
30 / 42
Delta-Hedging (cont’d)
31 / 42
Delta-Hedging (cont’d)
32 / 42
Delta-Hedging (cont’d)
33 / 42
Delta-Hedging (cont’d)
34 / 42
Delta-Hedging
35 / 42
Delta-Hedging
36 / 42
Overnight profit as a function of the stock price for a
delta-hedged market maker who has written a call. Bad:
gamma and interest expense. Good: theta.
Overnight Profit ($)
5
$0.50 Profit
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25 $40.50
-30
37 38 39 40 41 42 43
Stock Price ($)
37 / 42
Delta-Hedging (cont’d)
38 / 42
Implied Volatility
• Volatility is unobservable
• Choosing a volatility to use in pricing an option is difficult
but important
• One approach to obtaining a volatility is to use history of
returns
• However history is not a reliable guide to the future
• Alternatively, we can invert the Black-Scholes formula to
obtain option implied volatility
39 / 42
Implied Volatility (cont’d)
40 / 42
Implied Volatility (cont’d)
41 / 42
Implied Volatility (cont’d)
Black-Scholes
implied volatilities
for S&P 500
options, October
19, 2007, based
on midday option
prices from
www.cboe.com;
assumes S =
1508.08, r = 4.5%,
and δ = 0.02.
42 / 42