STRIA Roadmap - Smart Mobility and Services
STRIA Roadmap - Smart Mobility and Services
Draft Authors:
Florian Lennert (InnoZ, LSE), Cathy Macharis (VUB Brussels), Veronique van Acker (University of
Amsterdam and Ghent) and Lukas Neckermann (Neckermann Strategic Advisors), with comments
from Axel Volkery (European Commission, Directorate-General Mobility and Transport).
Further input was received from Henriette van Eijl (European Commission, Directorate-General
Mobility and Transport) and Julija Sakovica (European Commission, Directorate-General Research &
Innovation)
This is a draft version to be used for internal discussion in and amongst the expert groups only.
Please do not circulate this draft version. All views expressed in this roadmap are of individual nature
and do not express the official opinion of any of the expert's institutional affiliations.
1 Policy Framework, Baseline and State of the Art
Introduction/Context
Decarbonising transport and mobility systems is a pressing challenge for global and European
climate change mitigation. Understanding and differentiating the performance and potential of
emerging new and innovative transport and mobility systems will be fundamental in implementing
successful and sustainable transformation paths.
Digitisation is currently reshaping the sector. ICT-enabled web, mobile and big data applications are
spawning new mobility and transport services and systems. Traditional automotive, public and
private transport models are being challenged as new players are emerging with disruptive service
offerings; many of the new models are blurring traditional demarcations between public transport
and private mobility, including in the area of urban logistics. Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) will
increasingly catalyse the public-private co-development and co-delivery of mobility and transport
systems and services, as well as shared and open use of public space, data and infrastructure.
The principal prospects for decarbonisation are strong better utilisation of underused assets in
transport fleets and infrastructures can accommodate increasing demand and reduce the share of
unsustainable travel modes. Smart mobility systems and services have the promise to contribute to
the needed decarbonisation of the transport sector and might also help address persistent problems
of congestion and accessibility. However, new innovations in technologies and use need to optimise
the whole transport system not road-based car travel only to make a long-term contribution to
decarbonisation.
In spite of modest, evolutionary innovations, transport continues to represent over 20% of CO2
emissions and is projected to continue to rise significantly to 2050 even in benign scenarios. Most
significantly, transport’s share of overall CO2 emissions continues to increase in current linear
projections. Recent scenarios offer little confidence that the policy mix currently deployed towards
mitigation will have sufficient decarbonisation impact. Projections toward 2050 appear to offer a
stabilisation of current absolute CO2 emissions from global transport at best and a rather more
probable increase of CO2 emissions, albeit with a reduced rate of increase.
Notably, these scenarios do not yet fully incorporate the innovation dynamics of recent years. A key
requirement is for new mobility services to build on zero- and low-carbon technologies, and to
contribute to modal shift, efficient demand management and sustainable land use.
The critical link between new technologies and services and transport decarbonisation
Based on current scenario projections, a radical transformation of transport systems is required and
will become a key policy challenge. Transport transformation and innovation scenarios currently
focus mainly on fuel efficiency, fuel substitution, and end-of-pipe carbon capture as levers for
decarbonisation. Future efforts need to focus on the combined and synergetic effects of integrating
urban energy, infrastructure and mobility systems including via modal-shift measures, expansion of
public transport options, and sustainable land use governance.
So far, policy and innovation efforts remain overwhelmingly focused on incrementally optimising
existing private motorisation modes (“default car”) and automobile technologies rather than on
leveraging integrated transport and mobility strategies. Breaking this path-dependency is a key
innovation challenge.
The potential carbon mitigation performance of emerging new technologies and services such as
multi-modal, electric, autonomous, low-altitude aerial, vertical and on-demand mobility has not yet
been extensively evaluated, in particular in their integrated application. They can strongly support a
shift to transport decarbonisation, or further lock in unsustainable travel behaviour. A key task will
be to establish empirical validation of the sectoral and systemic decarbonisation impacts of such
technology, systems and services innovation, and ensure that technologies and service innovations
are not taken forward for their own sake, but in view of achieving a transition to a low-carbon,
efficient and accessible transport system.
Given long investment cycles for transport capital investment, European cities will be increasingly
faced with competing claims on future urban transport infrastructure and long-range investment
pathways. Identifying and evaluating cost-effective, equitable and successful innovation regimes in
cities and beyond is a central European climate and transport policy challenge.
Shaping this new public space will be a strategic opportunity and challenge for European cities,
regions and governments. In this context, aspects of both user behaviour and the urban
implementation context need to be considered:
• Identify areas of smart services and use innovation that can enable integrated
decarbonisation pathways and where further R&I action is needed
• Establish research and innovation priorities and related configuration of funding streams and
tools.
The criteria for the STRIA policy and implementation framework on smart mobility and transport
systems and services are to identify innovation tools that:
• Stimulate innovation that achieves integrated and balanced performance across key
mitigation levers
• Link coordinated and integrated STRIA actions on smart mobility systems to systemic
achievement of EU transport decarbonisation targets to 2030 and 2050
• Design for rapid systems invention and diffusion
• Enable leverage of private, institutional and crowd capital to sustain STRIA innovation
streams
Moving forward new mobility systems and services have to be examined with regard to their
contribution across the core transport decarbonisation levers available:
The remainder of the section discusses briefly the role and relevance of new mobility service
innovations to contribute to these levers and to meeting overall decarbonisation targets.
Demand and land use management
With the proliferation of digital technologies and the emergence of the connected traveller it will be
easier to influence demand real-time by shifting demand in time (out of peak hours) and space (to
alternative locations or routes through intelligent applications and user information services.
Integrated urban traffic management and mobility information systems can contribute significantly
to optimising transport flows through cities and in rural regions.
Cities can enable greater public transport capacity and efficiency by providing door-to-door mobility
information and guidance systems and by facilitating intermodal travel chains. In conjunction with
active traffic management strategies for prioritising sustainable modes of transport, digital mobility
innovation offers a significant opportunity for cities to optimise, transform and sustain integrated
public transport systems. If individual mobility services can be integrated (in first/last mile and
supplementary function) with public transport systems, the overall efficiency of urban mobility
systems can be greatly enhanced and thus contribute to avoidance of unsustainable modes and
efficient demand management
With regard to urban logistics and delivery services, smart mobility services enable avoidance of
unnecessary vehicle movements in urban areas by making last mile deliveries more efficient by
consolidating goods flows. A key challenge will be to develop shared data, infrastructure and
logistics business models for urban goods distribution that deliver a more efficient utilisation of
public transport infrastructure across both passenger and goods transport modes.
There is, however, a risk that disruptive technologies such as on-demand intelligent mobility vehicle
automation and electrification of road transport could generate more demand for mobility by
providing easier access to these services and vehicles and improving the ‘image’ of individual travel.
The possibility to spend travel time efficiently, in an automated vehicle, for example, may increase
trip lengths and therefore result in urban sprawl and further traffic growth. Equally, individual
mobility services could counteract current positive trends toward public transport and active travel
modes.
The contribution of mobility service innovations to sustainable demand and land use management is
thus dependent on their embedding in an overall mobility and transport strategy for the whole city.
New economic and technological trends influence land use patterns and people’s lifestyles.
Digitalisation, on-demand mobility, flexible and cleaner production can increase the chances of
higher density development and a more balanced mix of land uses (residential, commercial,
production, schools, parks), potentially reducing demand for unsustainable travel modes. Identifying
and validating the positive contribution that new mobility services and systems can make to
sustainable, transit-oriented urban development should be of central concern to European
innovation efforts.
Modal shift
Reducing the share of travel by combustion engine vehicles can lead to significant reductions in CO2
emissions. This involves a reduction of use of personal-use and single-occupancy vehicles by
promoting the use of more energy-efficient modes such as conventional public transport, other
shared transport, as well as cycling and walking. Across a number of Europe cities daily travel modes
have shifted away from the automobile and towards public transport or active travel (London, -12%,
Berlin -8% from 1998-2013, Brussels -18% from 1999-2010).
New technologies, big data and real-time information on demand and supply will make these tools
more efficient in promoting modal shift. The measures include financial measures (dynamic pricing
of road-use and parking), mobility budgets, business models for mobility-as-a-service, incentivizing
sustainable modes over individual car use, regulatory interventions to restrict access to sensitive
areas and parking, integrated intermodal terminals and park and ride services, integrated ticketing
and real-time information covering all modes.
While it is currently not realistic to expect that all car travel can be shifted to other modes, it is
desirable that car travel shifts to more sustainable practices by promoting carpooling and
ridesharing services together with the transition towards electric mobility. Car sharing and short
term rental in principle do not reduce passenger/vehicle kilometre ratios and as such do not
constitute modal shift, but they have the potential to decrease the overall amount of vehicles
required.
Automated shared services could further reduce car ownership. Yet, with a stable or increasing
requirement for mobility, automated vehicles will only reduce emissions and energy consumption if
they are zero-emission and sustainable from a full system perspective.
The shared use of physical infrastructure (e.g. off-peak use of underground or light-rail passenger
networks for goods distribution) could provide for significant modal shift potential by moving goods
delivery from road to (electric) rail systems. Where available, better integration of water-borne
urban passenger and goods mobility could also provide for more efficient and sustainable use of
existing urban transport infrastructure.
Fuel substitution
Fuel substitution is a central lever to be deployed in decarbonizing transport by seeking to reduce
the CO2 intensity of energy use in transport and to decarbonize propulsion systems (TTW Emissions)
The current aim is to shift as much fleet share as possible from gasoline and diesel cars towards
electric vehicles. Further market pull and pricing measures that foster the purchase of alternative
fuelled cars are required to make such shifts happen and to reach emissions targets in the upcoming
decades.
Smart mobility innovations contribute to decarbonisation where they are integrated into the fabric
of an urban area. Shared electric vehicles within and across corporate and public fleets increase
availability and attractiveness through common use solutions. To attain maximum decarbonisation
impact, however, smart mobility innovations will need to be integrated with renewable energy,
smart grid and energy storage systems (i.e. not be solely focused on the electrification of existing
fleets and modes).
Mobility services innovations are not directly linked to fuel or vehicle efficiency as such, but rather
support indirectly through optimising use conditions and contributing to fleet modernisation.
Public and private business models, payment methods, technologies, and user choices will continue
to coevolve alongside data sharing by users and public infrastructures, and increasing cooperation
between the public and private sectors. Mobility as a service should also provide more cost-efficient
mobility options to consumers and households by reducing vehicle acquisition and maintenance
expenditures.
Mobility-on-Demand
Primarily software-driven, MaaS is the precursor of specifically-designed ‘Mobility on-demand’
transportation hardware and services. The transformation and convergence of transport and
mobility systems and services presents a unique opportunity to develop post-fossil, user-centric,
smart mobility systems based on access to individual, public, shared and active mobility, rather than
ownership of private automobiles. This in turn requires the integration of personal electric vehicles
(PEV) into multi-modal public transport and mobility-on-demand systems to allow users flexible and
convenient access to a range of travel modes while socialising the high initial costs of switching to
electric vehicle-based mobility.
Integrated Mobility-on-Demand services can contribute to modal shift to public transport and also
address the spatial inefficiencies of private individual motorised transport. User-centric urban
mobility systems will provide ubiquitous check-in/check-out user access to enable both inter- and
multimodal mobility on demand and enhance overall transport efficiency. In future integrated and
sustainable mobility-on-demand systems, electric mobility will become a component of both power
and public transport infrastructure and systems. The smart integration of tariff structures, data and
user interfaces as well as the disposition of rolling stock across these sectors is a central challenge,
which requires new business models and scheduling, booking, navigating, ticketing and charging
solutions.
Autonomous electric vehicles are expected to form a significant component of ‘mobility as a service’
for urban transport. As with sharing models, autonomous vehicle (in public or private service)
technology will blend with MaaS models and can potentially also enable ubiquitous smart traffic
management. In deploying electric and shared autonomous vehicles (SAEVs) the benefits of these
mobility strategies can be combined to greater effect.
The arrival, legalisation and rollout of Level 4 autonomous vehicles could pave the way for driverless
mobility services, undertaken by SAEVs that will offer door-to-door, on-demand mobility services
across modes integrated with backbone high-throughput public transport networks. Various
business models and providers will define these mobility services: individual users, public transport
providers, automotive, EV and micro-vehicle manufacturers, third-party logistics platforms; the high-
technology and services sector (more-so than the traditional automotive) appears to be leading
innovation in this area.
Fleets of autonomous vehicles in densely populated areas may result in a significantly reduced
requirement for privately owned vehicles (according to one study, with current battery technology
and a sufficient charging infrastructure, a substitution rate of 5.5 privately owned vehicles for each
SAEV can be predicted). Deploying fleets of SAEVs should provide for more efficient charging and
power management solutions as vehicles can autonomously monitor battery levels and access
charging points independently. The increased ease-of-use of these vehicles further reduces barriers
to user acceptance of electric vehicles with regard to cost and range anxieties. SAEVs can also
contribute to future business models for shared individual mobility as the utilisation of vehicles is
optimised and can be activated on demand and without human labour.
Such services can supplement or substitute current rigid-line public-transport systems in particular in
first and last mile journeys (and will consequently be significantly cheaper than on-demand driver-
operated transportation services).
It is becoming increasingly likely that many of the future smart mobility services envisaged for
personal transportation - electric, autonomous, shared, and connected - will initially be developed
and implemented in the goods delivery sector (i.e. logistics) which is already leading innovation in
many of these areas. Given health and safety, regulatory and political concerns regarding
autonomous vehicles and the application of total data and user transparency, steady-state
integrated and electrified mobility-on-demand systems are likely to be deployed in freight
distribution first. In the context of this report, new freight and logistics services and systems will be
reviewed against the same evaluative framework as personal transport systems in terms of
delivering against integrated decarbonisation levers.
Drones and low-altitude aerial mobility
A rapid proliferation of drone technology is taking place due a combination of forces, such as
technological transfer from other industries, ‘bottom-up’ open innovation practices such as
accessible platforms and collaborative research and significant R&D drives from large companies
looking to operate commercial drones in the retail sector.
The integration of vertical urban mobility into existing horizontal transport systems will add further
complexity to the organisation of the urban transport and mobility services. Early evidence indicates
that light-weight drone platforms can deliver both economic and energetic efficiencies in the short-
range distribution of small good. Effective integration of drone-based delivery systems with other
urban logistics, public transport and building services infrastructure is a promising innovation vector.
Drone and low-altitude aerial mobility is now technically possible for passenger transport also and
the combined demand for such on-demand vertical urban mobility solutions will require significant
governance, regulation and infrastructure innovation.
Big and Open Data and ICT can provide the tools to connect users, moving stock and infrastructure
and to integrate optimisation of transport systems across these domains. It is important to note
that data collation and ICT in itself is not smart and cannot provide for smart services and systems.
The potential lies in deploying data availability and smart data analysis to develop smart strategies
for optimisation in the physical realm rather than simply collecting data in the virtual.
Data Governance
The flow of big and open data, while of central importance for smart mobility services and systems,
will, however, require significant governance and regulatory design to ensure the interests of all
stakeholders and their access to available data are equally protected. Individual data privacy rights
and the ownership of mobility and city data will need to be addressed and regulated to ensure both
competition and freedom from illegal governmental or commercial surveillance.
The line between public and private data resources is blurring – potentially to the benefit of all
transport users (e.g. Transport for London makes public large amounts of its operations data; this
allows third party providers to provide user-centric offers around it). Public and private transport
providers should be encouraged make public – and share – as much of their data as possible to
provide seamless user interfaces across modes. Ensuring the privacy and anonymity of their users
should be visibly paramount to ensure user acceptance.
Data availability and processing
Transport systems need – and are increasingly able – to aggregate and analyse data from multiple
sources and networks to dynamically respond to demands and operate more efficiently.
There are a number of important enabling trends:
• Data provision from sensors that are smaller, less expensive and more reliable.
• Artificial intelligence systems, machine learning and data processing capabilities that are
improving, and transport networks that are becoming increasingly ‘connected’ (via more reliable
wireless internet connectivity, increasingly accurate GPS, etc.).
• Sensors and data processing capabilities that are increasingly interconnected via the ‘Internet of
Everything’ (IoT); traffic networks and infrastructure are "learning" from the data collected and
adapting toward greater efficiency.
• Growing data storage capacity that allows for larger amounts of data to be stored relatively
easily and for little cost.
These enablers are driving innovation and development towards connected mobility and integrated
transport information management systems, however existing governance and management
systems are often constrained by sectoral regulation and management focus. Current infrastructure
governance often does not yet allow for seamless data connectivity across separate infrastructure
systems such as mobility, energy, and built environment and across both private and public service
users and providers.
Mobility optimisation
‘Big Data’ collection and analysis (from multiple transport networks, public and private) and path
optimisation algorithms can intelligently schedule and reschedule journeys to avoid bottlenecks,
sensibly distributing commuters during busy periods (such as rush-hours) to smooth traffic flow and
increase the efficiency of the entire transport network. Vehicle-to-vehicle (v2v) and vehicle-to-
infrastructure (v2i) communications will allow for increased safety and greater (energy) efficiency on
the roads. However, smart traffic management systems must ensure international interoperability to
allow for an environment of competitive solutions to evolve across the EU. Traffic optimisation
strategies will need to be a component of overall transport and mobility system governance and
management, rather than focus on optimising conventional vehicle flows which can create further
unsustainable demand.
Smart mobility service and technology innovations are often user-based and vehicle or
infrastructure-centric. Vertical solutions need to be intelligently linked across different transport
sectors to optimise infrastructure use. Sustainable integration of users, vehicles and infrastructure is
a core transformation lever that has great potential for cross-sectoral optimisation and deep
decarbonisation impact. Supporting innovation at the systemic – not the elemental – level can
accelerate the transition to low-carbon, user-centric, smart mobility systems based on access to
individual, public, shared and active mobility.
Open flow of data across infrastructure and user domains is an important enabler for smart mobility
services and systems innovation; however the design, governance and maintenance of public digital
infrastructure will require dedicated public resources and regulatory frameworks.
These include low-emission or congestion charging zones, transit-oriented development and public
space reconfigurations that reclaim road surfaces for other urban and environmental functions.
These are generally receiving broad public support and will increasingly reshape urban centers away
from car-based design. This also includes a marked refocusing of surface infrastructure towards non-
motorised and active travel modes such as walking and cycling. Cities are also striving to repurpose
inner city space dedicated to individual motorised transport to different economic uses.
Urban design and spatial planning will continue to transform as smart city and mobility systems
evolve. By reducing congestion, pollution, and energy use, smart mobility solutions may lead to a
‘revival of inner cities’ (by simultaneously reducing the cost of travel over all distances there is a risk,
however, they may also lead to more rapid exurbanization).
Smart urban design and spatial governance is increasingly also enabling alternative vehicle design
and a move towards non-car based individual micro-motorisation with lightweight and small size
(one, two or three wheeled) personal electric vehicles. With limited speed and spatial footprint such
micro-vehicles are expected to further accelerate urban land use reconfiguration and the shared use
of urban road surfaces with non-motorised mobility modes.
4 EU Transport and Mobility Systems and Services Innovation:
Key Recommendations
Aims and Priorities
Moving forward EU STRIA action will need to develop scalable innovations that combine smart and
sustainable solutions to allow for long range deep decarbonisation of transport systems and the
ecological modernisation of urban infrastructures.
There also exists a unique opportunity to develop and take European sustainable innovation to the
global market and sustain long-term economic success, energy security and infrastructure resilience.
A key challenge will be the intelligent integration of business and governance models for new
mobility technologies, services and systems to stimulate innovation and to assure both efficient
and equitable access to sustainable mobility.
Future interoperability
Support in the development of EU Technical Standards for communication and interoperability of
user devices, critical infrastructures, v2v and v2i will be vital. It is important that such standards can
evolve and adapt with technologies to prevent innovation stagnation. This should encompass a
dialogue between users, governments, science and industry (including both incumbents/long-term
players in the mobility sector and startups). Multi-stakeholder standard setting will allow for the
most intelligent standards to be adopted; such standards should not be too prescriptive (thus
hindering innovation and technological developments), but should also facilitate robust privacy
frameworks, decarbonisation and international interoperability to as great an extent as possible.
Key Recommendations:
▪ STRIA innovation funds should be awarded in openly structured calls rather than by
prescribing specific solutions and targets. Innovation projects should be selected based on
evaluation of systemic decarbonisation ambitions and intended impacts.
▪ Innovation actions should focus on single city, large-scale and city-led lighthouses which
o lead to sustained integration of solutions into city operations at real scale (beyond
small scale pilots) and at the spatial level of the daily urban system (DUS) and
pursue long-term decarbonisation impacts
o develop the strategic capacity of municipalities and regions to manage integrated
transport systems and infrastructure
o effectively integrate partners from the quadruple helix of government, science,
industry and user in the shared development of future mobility and transport
services and systems in real-world settings
o contribute to the integration of new mobility service innovations with existing
(public) transport infrastructure into an overall urban mobility system allowing for
optimal (co)use of infrastructure for passenger and freight transport
o beyond facilitating new mobility services focus on a more efficient use of existing
(public) transport infrastructure within wider sustainable land use and urban
development strategies
▪ Innovation strategies and programmes should design and deploy innovative but robust
arrangements for public-private co-production of transport and mobility services, addressing
in particular:
o the shared and efficient use of existing physical transport infrastructures, (in
particular backbone urban transport infrastructures, parking structures, delivery
nodes and intermodal hubs), across public, private, passenger and freight sectors
and modes
o the secure collation, management and protection of user and city data in public and
commercial open data platforms and public digital infrastructures
o the enablement of real-time, informational, transactional and operational
interoperability across public and private service providers, municipal operators and
individual users
o the innovative integration of access, tariff and user interface systems for public and
private transport and mobility services
▪ Innovation actions should design and implement governance, regulatory, and public
procurement strategies that:
o deploy integrated indicators and urban plans and focus on validating balanced
impact across integrated indicators of transport decarbonisation and sustainable
land use.
o catalyse and strengthen the development of integrated planning tools and open,
real-time data systems to allow for the validation and optimisation of integrated
mobility eco-systems against overall sustainability targets (e.g. SUMPS)
o Enable integrated and strategic public procurement of open, interoperable and
cross-sectoral solutions