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NextGen Bus Study Update

The document summarizes the findings of a study on improving transit competitiveness and market potential. It analyzes factors that influence transit ridership such as travel speed, frequency of service, trip distances, and time of day. The study recommends focusing on increasing frequency for shorter non-commute trips and improving travel speeds for longer trips to boost transit ridership.

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Metro Los Angeles
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2K views

NextGen Bus Study Update

The document summarizes the findings of a study on improving transit competitiveness and market potential. It analyzes factors that influence transit ridership such as travel speed, frequency of service, trip distances, and time of day. The study recommends focusing on increasing frequency for shorter non-commute trips and improving travel speeds for longer trips to boost transit ridership.

Uploaded by

Metro Los Angeles
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Transit Competitiveness and

Market Potential
Operations, Safety, and
Customer Experience Committee
Executive Management Committee
10.18.18

0
Study Process

1
Stakeholder Engagement

2
Service Parameters
Measuring Transit Competitiveness

Infrequent/
All Riders Current Former
Non-Rider
Security Information
Travel Speed More Service (women, certain (non-riders)
geographies)

First/Last First/Last
Frequency Fares Mile (elderly, Mile (women,
higher income) youth, elderly)

Comfort Comfort
Reliability Information (odors, (odors,
crowding) crowding)

3
Transit Service Coverage

Transit is
accessible to 85%
of all trips made
in the region.
Metro Transit Lines by Tier
Express
Rapid
Local
Limited
Shuttles
Busway
Muni (non-Metro service)

4
Transit Service Density

All day
frequent service
is concentrated
in Central LA
County

Midday Bus Frequency


Super Frequent (5 mins or better) (none)
Very Frequent (6-10 mins)
Frequent (11-15 mins)

5
Trip
Results Origins
– Transit Shares Total vs Transit Trips
All Trip Origins (cell phone data) Transit Origins (TAP data)

7.5M – 13M 50K – 100K


5M – 7.5M 30K – 50K
2.5M – 5M 15K – 30K
650K – 2.5M Current 5K – 15K
250K – 650K transit service 0 – 5K

is not always
competitive
Source: TAP data - Metro and Municipal Operators & LBS Data (July through October, 2017) 6
Competitiveness of Relative Travel Times
Travel Time Comparison with Auto
14%
Transit Market Share
12%

10%
Transit is
8%
most competitive
when no more 6%
than 2x slower
4%
than auto
2%

Transit to Drive Time Ratio


7
Understanding Trip Purposes
Commute Trips
Travel from home to a regular
destination at an employment
center during peak hours

Work Trips
Travel from home to a regular
destination nearby anytime
during the day or week

Other Trips
Occasional travel from a
changing origin to a
changing destination
8
When is Travel Speed important?
For Long Distance Trips: 10 to 12.5 Miles
Travel Speed is
the key factor for
longer trips.

Walk/ On-Board
Wait Time Time

30% of time 70% of time


getting to/from transit on-board transit
e.g. 10 mins e.g. 25 mins 9
When is Frequency important?
For Short Distance Trips: 0 to 2.5 Miles
Frequency is the
key factor for
shorter trips.

Walk/ On-Board
Wait Time Time

50% of time 50% of time


getting to/from transit on-board transit
e.g. 10 mins e.g. 10 mins 10
Competitiveness
What and Market
Drives Market Potential
Share?
Transit Market Share by Distance & Percent of Total Trips
7%
Transit Market Share
6% 16%

Increasing our
5% 16%
transit share of
4%
short distance
trips to 6% means
500,000 new 3%
trips
2% 46%
% of
total
1% 22%
trips

0-1 miles 1-5 miles 5-10 miles 10+ miles


Trip Distance 11
More Frequent Service for Non-Commute Trips
Travel and Operations by Time of Day
Share of all trips Metro Service
and service by time 35% Commute Trips
of day
30%
Other Trips

25%

20%
Current service
does not match 15%

midday and
10%
evening travel
demand. 5%

0%

Owl Service Early AM AM Peak Mid-Day PM Peak Late Evening


12 – 4am 4 – 6am 6 – 9:30am 9:30am – 2pm 2 – 6:30pm 6:30pm – 12am
12
Note: Bar chart shows data by time period while area plot shows hourly data
Short Distance Long Distance
Market B

Priorities Frequency Speed

b Trips
Commute
We are successful
8% of all trips 8% here
of all and
tripsshould
5% transit market share 9%continue to focus
transit market share
on this travel
Peak Hour market.

We are not
Other Trips competing well in
our biggest
60% potential
of all trips 24% of all trips
b market
2% transitand needshare
market to 4% transit market share
rethink our service to
better capture short
All Day
trips.
14
13
Next Steps on Service Concepts

Date Stakeholder Topic


Sept 2018 Service Councils
Transit Competitiveness &
Sept 6, 2018 Board Staff
Market Potential
Oct 15, 2018 Metro Board
Sept 25, 2018 External Working Group
Tradeoffs &
Jan 2019 Service Councils
Service Concepts
Jan 2019 Public Workshops
Jan-Feb, 2018 External Working Group Recommend Service Concepts
TBD Board Staff (for Board approval)
Draft Service Concepts
Mar 2019 Metro Board
(Policy Guidance)

Final Service Concept*


Apr 2019 Metro Board
(Policy Guidance)

*Beginning of detailed route and schedule planning based on


Service Concept
14
Thank You

Metro.net/nextgen

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