The Elements of Logic
The Elements of Logic
:LEMENTS OF LOGIC.
BY
T K. ABBOTT, B.D.,
SECOND EDITION.
1885.
Be
A3
DUBLIN:
PRINTED AT THE UN IYER SIT V
PHKSS,
BY PON80SBY AND WELDRICK.
rr]
TO THE READER.
PART FIRST.
OF TERMS.
PAGE
Preliminary, 3
Of Terms in General, 3
of
....... 7 f
. . . .
Non-connotative Terms, . . . . . . . 8
PART SECOND.
OF SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS.
PAGE
Preliminary Definitions, . . . . . .
14
The Copula, 15
Quality of Propositions 16
Quantity of Propositions, 16
tions, 23
Copulative Propositions, 24
Modal Propositions, 25
PART THIRD.
OF INFERENCES.
CHAPTER I.
Of Immediate
Subalternation, ......... Inferences.
29
Opposition,
Conversion,
Contraposition,
.........
.........
30
34
36
Remarks on Conversion, 38
Of the Principle of Substitution, 39
CONTENTS. ix
CHAPTER II.
62
Of Sorites, . . ....... 63
63
CHAPTER III.
Of Complex
Of Complex
Propositions, .... ... 65
Syllogisms, 66
Conditional Syllogisms, 67
Disjunctive Syllogisms, 68
Of the Dilemma,
Of the Reduction of Complex Syllogisms, .... 69
70
x CONTENTS.
CHAPTER IV.
Of Probable Reasoning.
Of Chains
Of Cumulative
of Probability, ....
[ f]
Probabilities,
Of Inductive Reasoning, ....
[t] Of the Logical Basis of Induction,
[t] Mr. Mill's View of the Type of Reasoning,
Of Analogy,
PART FOURTH.
CHAPTER I.
Of Fallacies.
Of Fallacies in General, .
Of Logical Fallacies,
Illicit Process, .
Undistributed Middle, .
Ambiguous Terms,
Composition and Division. .
Fallacy of Accident, .
Of Material Fallacies, .
*
Ignoratio Elenchi,
Petitio Principii, .... . . .
Arguing in a Circle,
A non causa pro causa,
Fallacy of Many Questions, .
CHAPTER II.
A priori and
A posteriori Proof,
APPENDIX.
EXERCISES,
I01
INDEX,
CORRIGENDA.
Page 5,, line
3.-^
term
premisses
^ ^^
part IC ular m
E
its
Q> ^
premiss and universal in the
co
INTRODUCTION.
WHAT IS LOGIC ?
variable part ;
Form the invariable. In language, for
PART
OF TERMS.
Preliminary.
Of Terms in General.
animals/ of
'
horses.' Words which can be used in this
way, i. e. as naming something which we affirm or deny, or
as naming that of which something is affirmed or denied,
are called Terms. That which is affirmed or denied
is called the Predicate ; that of which it is affirmed
or denied is the Subject.
*
the proposition given above, useful animal,' is a single
' '
term Queen of Great Britain and Ireland is also a single
;
term.
8. On the other hand, there are many words which can-
' '
adjectives.
The same word may be sometimes used as an abstract,
PART i.]
OF TERMS. 5
l
and sometimes as a concrete term, ex. gr. green is an
agreeable colour.' Here green = green colour.' * ' ' '
13. A
Collective Term is applicable to a group of
* <
Abstract '
sometimes used, especially by the older
is writers, in
'
the sense of general.'
6 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART i.
Species.' When
two common terms are so related that the connotation
of one includes the connotation of the other, that
which has the larger connotation is called the Species
of the other, which is called the Genus.
*
21. Thus, if we take the term riding horse/ and leave
out the notion implied in the first part, we arrive at the
' '
notion horse/ which isthe Genus, of which riding
horse' is Species. On the other hand, if we add to the
latter the notion small/
'
we arrive at
'
riding pony,' which
' '
is a Species, of which riding horse is Genus.*
22. The more general notion is said to be higher than
the less general, which is lower.
Remarks.
Of Non-Connotative Terms.
*
mind the idea of the Author of Waverley' does not prove
that the name connotes or implies this. It was not be-
'
cause he wrote Waverley' that he was called Walter
Scott ;
and if it were proved that he had not written it
PART i.]
OF TERMS. 9
'
If the name John Smith does not suggest a certain appear-
ance, him
see ?
answer may is, it suggest, but that is not the same as con-
largest and richest city in the world.' But this is not con-
noted by the name. The city was called London when it
was not the largest and richest it would continue to be so
;
not wise.
3 1 .
Contradictory Attributes cannot at the same time
belong to the same object. This is called the Law of
Contradiction.
32. Of two Contradictory Attributes one or other must
be predicable of every object. This is called the Law of
Excluded Middle middle having here the sense of mean.
;
' '
-
-Of Definition.
38. Definition is a statement of the connotation of a
term.
]
/
39. The rules of Definition are :
butes.
12 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART i.
"attributes.
is an enumeration of attributes of the
^
45. Description
thing described sufficient to distinguish it from other
m^j
Of Division.
47. Division is an enumeration of the parts of the Ex-
tension or Denotation of a Term. Thus Animal is divided
into Vertebrate and Invertebrate.
48. The chief rules of Division are :
we must not
i divide European into French, German, Prus-
sian, &c.
;
ble to observe this third rule.
PART SECOND.
OF SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS,
Preliminary Definitions.
Gold is heavy ;
the Subject.
That which is affirmed or denied is the Predicate.
The Predicate is said to be predicated affirmatively or
A is B ; or, A is not B.
Copula.
PART ii.] OF SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS. 15
Every A is AB.
Of the Copula.
No reptiles fly.
In symbols,
Every A is B ;
No A is B,
PART ii.] OF SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS. 17
*
one at least/ and does not mean some only.' Some ' '
Truthfulness is a virtue.
and the assertion is, that some of these times are not busy
times. So with abstract terms 'Law is not :
always justice*
equivalent to Some things legal are not just/
' l
is
Justice
'
is ever equal is equivalent to 'All justice is
equal.'
1 8 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART n.
A particular negative O.
nego.')
must be observed that by the idiom of the English
72. It
language Every A is not B,' or All As are not B,' means
* '
'
Not every A is B,' i. e.
'
Some As are not B.'
(=is universal).
whole extension.
79. So if the proposition is a particular negative :
'
Some
swans are not white/ i. e. are not any white thing, I assert
that some swans are excluded from the whole extension of
white things.
80. Hence the predicate of every negative proposition
is distributed (= is
universal).
20 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART n.
Equilateral
triangles are equiangular/ we mean
'
All equilateral tri-
'
some ^certain) B. This is called quantifying the pre- *
dicate.
(=
'
quidam').
86. In common language we sometimes quantify the
predicate; ex.gr. by using such words as 'alone/ 'only/
'
constitute/ consist of/ &c. Thus
'
:
PART ii.] OF SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS 21
'
All A is B and
All B is A.'
'
The virtuous alone are
' '
truly happy means The virtuous are happy, and the not
' '
(a) When
the subject and predicate are both singular,
both collective, or both abstract terms (used in their
proper sense, not figuratively). Both singular, as
i. e. :
words, coincides with part of it, ex. gr. Whales are mam-
malia Whales are of prodigious^ size.
;
ex. gr. : V
ex. gr. :
Knowledge is power ;
Virtue is happiness ;
'
94.
'
Must be is often used to express the dependence
Or THE
IVERSITY
PART ii.]
OF SIMPLE PROPOSITIONS. 23
predicate is
already contained in the connotation of the
'
is a great city is a statement of fact, and could not be
elicited from an analysis of the meaning of the word
*
London.'
Of Copulative Propositions.
,
the propositions connected are not expected to be true
together.
102. When the first proposition is negative, the opposi-,
tion is between its predicate and that of the affirmative,
as,
*
He is not industrious but idle,' so that the two pro-
Of Mqlal Propositions.
O
104. Mjfdal propositions are those in which the asser-
'
by such words as
*
tion is qualified possible/ impossible,'
* <
probable,' 'certain,' necessary,' contingent,' 'maybe/
'
must be.'
Of the Predicalles.
dent.
PART ii.] OF THE PREDICABLES. 27
C 2
28 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART n.
now means,
' '
Is existing here and now.' What is predicated in such
cases is, therefore, Real Existence.
PART THIRD.
OF INFERENCES.
CHAPTER I.
Of Immediate Inferences.
1
14. Inference is the process by which one proposition
is derived from one or more others.
Immediate Inference is the deduction of one proposi-
tion from another, which virtually contains it.
Of Subalternation.
Of Opposition.
James is clever,
James is standing,
James is not standing.
PART in.] OF INFERENCES. 3 1
'
Some men are not black for the some men may be ';
' '
are black.'
black/
124. Hence contradictory propositions are A and O,
or E and I.
by always or the
qualified like, its
contradictory must
have some word equivalent to '
not always '; ex. gr. :
a Universal Affirmative ;
ex. gr. :
for each asserts more than the mere negation of the other,
and this superfluous assertion may be false.
127. Thus it
may be false that
'
All men are black,' and
therefore true that
*
Some men are not black.' But the
contrary asserts more than this, and the additional asser-
tion is false.
but,
If A is true, I is true ;
therefore E false.
If A is false, O is true ;
thence no inference as to E.
If E is true, O is true ;
therefore A false.
If E is false, I is true ;
thence no inference as to A.
are subcontraries.
is false that,
*
Some men are black/ its
contradictory,
'
No
men are black/ is true ;
and therefore its subalterna,
*
Some
men are not black/ is true. In general, if I is false, its
but,
'
the some' of one not being identified with the some of * 1
1
34. The relations of subalternation and opposition may
be exhibited in a diagram :
A Contrariety E
I Subcontrariety O
Of Conversion.
and by Contraposition.
138. Conversion is simple when the quantity of the Con-
verse is the same as the quantity of the Convertend, as :
extension ;
'
Men are amongst mortal things.' -Hence when
' '
mortal becomes the~slibject it is still particular, other-
wise we should be reasoning from the particular to the
universal, and therefore the proposition of which it is the
subject is particular, Some mortal things are men.'
*
Only
mortal things are men.'*
146. O cannot be converted while it retains its quality,
for its
subject particular isand if made the predicate of the
;
'
Of Contraposition.
148. Contraposition or Conversion by Contraposition
consists in substituting for predicate and copula their
contradictories and then converting.
* It would
usefully simplify the doctrine of conversion and connected
if quantification of the predicate were admitted in this case
processes
at least, in which the Convertend logically leads to a universal predi-
cate in the Converse.
ex. gr. *
Some men are not learned is converted to No learned
' '
Remarks on Conversion.
A is equal to B.
'
is expedient is alone right (or, All the expedient is all
;
'
A horse is a sensitive animal therefore, he who tortures
;
this:
'
sitive animal in the subject, where it is distributed, the
'
term horse,* which is part of its extension.
1 60. On the other hand, it is a principle that
'
For any term used particularly we may substitute
a term of wider extension.'
For it is clear that whatever is part of the less extension
is part of the greater,
161. In both cases of substitution it is of course as-
sumed that the words
employed have a definite significa-
tion, which is the same whatever the connexion in which
* '
not infer a huge cottage is a huge house or, again ;
:
CHAPTER II.
therefore,
Logic is worthy of study.
PART in.] OF INFERENCES. 41
SisM,
Every M is P ;
therefore, S is P.
major first.
'
the extension of
'
animals are different, and therefore we
can deduce nothing as to the relation between 'men' and
*
horses/
If this rule is violated, we have the fallacy of
*
Undis-_
tributed Middle.'
.-. S is P.
S is M
/.S is P (or not P).
>>
Or,
All fish breathe in water ;
S is not M (or M) is ;
.-.S is not P.
ex. gr. :
Bats fly;
tBats are not birds ;
MisS;
M is P (or not P)
Every P is M ;
No M is S ;
.'.Seine S is et P*
PART in.] OF INFERENCES. 47
MP
SM
sF
4-8 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART in.
1
i
) One of the premisses (and therefore the con-
clusion) must be negative.
(2) The major premiss must be universal.
is particular ;
it therefore particular in the conclusion,
is
universal.
clusion (i.
e. the conclusion is particular).
20 3* (3) In negative moods the major must be uni-
versal. For if the conclusion is negative, its predicate,
the major term, is universal therefore it must have been
;
MP
MS
sF
NOTE.These rules are all hypothetical because each
;
Remark.
205. It will be observed that the first figure is the only
one in which the conclusion A
can be drawn. In the second
figure the conclusion must be negative in the third, par-
;
209. In fact each of the three first figures has its ap-
propriate use. The first must be used when we have to
PART in.] OF INFERENCES. 51
Of Moods.
rn/-d
AAI, All, EAO, EIO, IAI, -
OAO.
, __
:__
r
219. In the fourth figure the major may be A, E, or I.
With major the minor isA or E (first special rule). A
With minor A conclusion is I (second special rule) ;
and
with minor E conclusion is E (O being useless).
PART m.] OF INFERENCES. 53
conclusion is O
(second rule). With major I minor is A
(third rule) and conclusion
I.
positions ;
some of the consonants have a signification
which will appear presently.
Remark.
221. Strictly speaking we have only proved that these
moods do not contradict any of the rules. But that they
are also all conclusive in their proper figures appears at
once from a comparison with the rules of the figures.
222. In the first figure something is in the major predi-
cated universally of a class (A or E) in the minor some-
;
No M is P Ce No M is P Fe
Every S is M la Some S is M ri
'
sa No S is M es
.-. No S is P re . No S is P tres
Or as it is stated by Aristotle
Whatever is said of the predicate shall be said also of
the subject.*
class.f
* "Offa. Kara TOV KaTTjyopovfjLtvov \eycrai travra Kal Kara TOV vir
vov pr)drja'Tai.
f The Dictum is given by Aristotle as a definition of Kara iravrbs
PART in.] OF INFERENCES. C4 L fFOK 57
Of Reduction.
237. Reduction is ostensive when the conclusion obtained
in the first figure is either the same as that required or
yields by conversion.
it
^240.
If the given minor is E it cannot be a minor in the
first figure; it must, therefore, be treated as major and
converted simply. The conclusion, which will be E, will
have to be converted, in order to give the required con-
clusion. This applies to Camestres. In this name, m indi-
cates the interchange of premisses (' metathesis ') ;
s in the
premisses the conversion (simple) of the preceding E s ;
P is M
Every Ex. gr. All fish breathe in water :
No S is M No whales breathe in water :
All P is M
.'. No not-M is P
Some S is not M
.*. Some S is not P.
.*. Some S is P (or not P). .. Some sagacious things are inver-
tebrate (or not vertebrate).
By reading not P
'
'
for
'
P,' we have Bokardo :
X is a recent poet :
examples. We
really predicate of ants that they are
Of Reductio ad Impossible.
Baroko :
Every P is M :
Some S is not M :
/. Some S is not P.
62 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART in.
This is reduced to,
Every P is M.
Therefore, if
Every S is P,
then (by Barbara),
Every S is M.
But this is false, for Some S is not M ;
/. it is false that
If two terms are both excluded from one and the same
third term, we can infer nothing as to their relation to
each other.
B is equal to C :
.*. A is equal to C.
PART in.] OF INFERENCES. 63
Or for negatives
A is equal to B.
B is not equal to C :
Of the Enthymeme.
256. An Enthymeme is a syllogism of which one premiss
is suppressed, as A is B A is C. The expressed premiss
: .-.
Of Sorites.
257. A Sorites is a chain of reasoning consisting of a
series of syllogisms in which each intermediate conclusion
is not expressed, but is assumed as a premiss of the suc-
ceeding syllogism.
64 -THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART m.
AisB
Every B is C /. A is C:
Every C is D .-. A is D.
Every D is E
.-. A is E.
CHAPTER III.
Of Complex Propositions.
position.
*
If A is B it is C '
cannot express a consequence
'
formally conclusive unless Every AB is AC. Thus, the
'
first of the preceding propositions is equivalent to, Dusty
air makes light visible'; and the second to,
l
Dusty air
A is either B, or C, or D :
Either A is B, or C is D, or E is F.
Of Complex Syllogisms.
Of Conditional Syllogisms.
270. The most usual form of a conditional syllogism is
If A is B, C isD,
we may reason thus :
A is B; /.C isD.
Or,
C is not D; .-.A is not B.
Ex. gr. :
If A is B, C is D:
IfC isD, EisF:
/.If A is B, E is F.
Of Disjunctive Syllogisms.
273. A
Disjunctive Syllogism is one which has a dis-
junctive major and a simple minor. Ex. gr. :
Either A is B or C is D :
So-and-so, who is
*
talents, industry, or good fortune '.
successful, has neither talents nor industry; therefore he
*
has good fortune'. Or, So-and-so has not talents; there-
fore he has either industry or good fortune '.
Of the Dilemma.
276. A Dilemma defined as a syllogism which has a
is
"
But either A is B or C is D :
.-. is Y.
JC
If A is B, is D
C and if E is F, X; is Y :
But either A is B or E is F ^^ :
.\ Either C is D orXis Y.
In the latter case we might also reason thus :
If A is B, C is D and if E ; is F, X is Y :
.-. X is not Y.
devour grubs/
279. If either subject is a singular term, the inference
PART m.] OF INFERENCES. 71
illusory.
'
Case of is ambiguous. It 'instance
of (whether actual or imagined), and then this is only an
'
awkward way of stating a categorical. Every case (in-
stance) of A being B is a case of A being C '
is equivalent
to 'Every AB is AC '.
*
If migratory birds breed in Ire-
land they winter farther south'. This may be stated,
'
Every case of migratory birds breeding/ etc. ;
but this is
that they need not be stated. Ex. gr. : If the barometer '
CHAPTER IV.
OF PROBABLE REASONING.
i. Of Chains of Probabilities.
ally called
'
probable
J
when it is more likely to be true
'
than not ;
but the word *
probability is used to express
any degree of likelihood or unlikelihood. When we speak
of probable reasoning, we use the word probable in this
wider sense. As almost all our reasoning is connected
with probabilities, not certainties, it is important to ascer-
tain what modification in our logical theory this fact
involves. The chief points to be attended to are the fol-
lowing :
4x6*
287. It appears from this that ir^ a chain of reasoning
consisting of several propositions, each in itself only pro-
bable, the probability of the conclusion is diminished by
every additional link. If the chain consisted of only three
would be
^4x4x4^ 64
5x5x5 125'
i. e.
barely over \.
2. Of Cumulative Probabilities.
B is C (probably) :
D is C (probably) :
.-.
again, A is C (with some probability).
=
ixixi =
i
= 124
i .
i -.
5x5x5 125 125
we cannot infer,
For the latter is, as has been shown, the converse by con-
Of Inductive Reasoning.
E2
76 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART in.
294. A
special case of the principle of Uniformity of
Nature the principle of Continuity, viz., that when a
is
certain relation is found to exist between the variations of
the cause and those of the effect in several instances, the
same relation, or one including it, exists in all the inter-
mediate instances.
295. The following example illustrates the process of
inductive reasoning Having read certain works of a
:
* '
do not infer the mortality of Jones from that of All men '
Of Analogy.
302. Analogy is an argument in which from the resem-
blance of two things in certain respects we infer their
resemblance in others; ex. gr. if from the fact that Mars
:
complete induction.
( 79 )
PART FOURTH.
CHAPTER I.
Of Fallacies.
opinion.
305. The first class includes the fallacies in Expression.
Of Logical Fallacies.
Of the major^ as :
^^
Men of genius are (generally) eccentric :
This is obscure :
.*. It is profound.
5 '
,4 - _/
A resembles B :
B resembles C :
.'. A resembles C.
A is different from B :
B is different from C :
/. A is different from. C.
E
82 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART iv.
.-.
They are more likely to be right in their
*
Antiquitas saeculi juventus mundi'.
*
PART iv. OF FALLACIES. 83
gether.
317. These two fallacies sometimes arise from the am-
'
P
Books are a solace to the weary :
,
84 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART. iv.
Again
Food is necessary to life :
' '
Here the term what you bought is used in "the first pre-
miss of the substance only, but in the second of the sub-
stance in a particular state. If the first premiss had been
stated with exactness, there would be palpably two middle
terms.
320. The counter fallacy is called a dicto secundum quid
ad dictum simpliciter, and consists in arguing from a state-
ment with a particular qualification to a statement without
the qualification, as :
Opium is a poison
'
is the same as another, meaning that the similarity is
'
parts in them, the only real unity being in the mind's con-
ception of them. The discussion of this belongs rather to
metaphysics than to logic, and it is only referred to here
because relations of this kind are often disguised under
the form of the simple proposition A is B.
86 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART iv.
legal.
325. A third case comes under the definition, but can
hardly be called a fallacy, viz. attempting to prove a
universal when the proposition we wish to refute is uni-
versal (i. e. mistaking the contrary for the contradictory).
This not a fallacy, since the contrary includes the con-
is
day.
327. This fallacy is not limited to the cases in which
the conclusion is logically contained in a single premiss.
It must be remembered, that if one premiss of a syllogism,
or all but one in a train of reasoning, be admitted, the
truth of the conclusion turns on that of the remaining
divisions of
'
in a place ', which in the sense in which the
word is contradictory of motion.
taken is The alternative
4
in any genuine work of that age', we now assume that the
work in question is not genuine. This fallacy is likely to
be committed when we attempt to prove a principle which
is incapable of strict proof, only because it is above proof.
333. The
fallacy of Many Questions (plurium interroga-
tionum) consists in combining two or more questions in one,
and insisting on a simple answer. traditional example A
is : Have you left off beating your father ?
334. The fallacy of False Analogy consists in inferring
from a resemblance of relations a resemblance of the
things themselves in other relations. This is often aided
by the metaphorical use of language. Thus a nation or a
city is spoken of as feminine, and depicted in the form of
a woman, solely because it is conceived as giving birth
90 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART iv.
' '
to its sons ;
but the figure has been used as if a nation
resembled a woman in feebleness and helplessness.
335. The Argumentum ad hominem is an argument
founded on premisses not supposed to be universally
admitted, but admitted by a particular opponent. The
inference then is not absolute, that the conclusion is
true, but conditional that the person who accepts the
premisses must accept the conclusion. It becomes a
fallacy only when this conditional conclusion is assumed
to be absolute or categorical.
CHAPTER II.
The
fewer the general principles which we require to
assume, the more perfect in form is our science.
92 THE ELEMENTS OF LOGIC. [PART iv.
EXERCISES.
drawn from this experiment '. Here the real subject is,
'
This experiment ', of which it is asserted that it had no
decisive result.
Propositions.
disjunctive :
1. Troja fuit.
2. Humanum est errare.
3. Much study is a weariness to the flesh.
4. All is not gold that glitters.
5. Many a little makes a mickle.
6. Sapientis est providere.
7. Great is Diana of the Ephesians.
8. All is not truth that is confidently asserted.
9. The most honest statesmen are not always the most
popular.
10. Scholarship is not what it was.
Poeta nascitur, non fit.
1 1 .
21.
'
God did not make men barely two-legged creatures,
and leave it to Aristotle to make them rational' (Locke).
Conversion.
1 . A is father of B.
2. Cain killed Abel.
3. Jones struck Smith.
4. All cats have been kittens.
5. All water contains air!
6. (Incorrectly converted by Jevons thus:
It rains.
Related Propositions.
Every A is B.
No A isB.
Some Bs are not A.
Some As are not B.
Some things not A are not B.
Some Bs are A.
Some things not A are not B.
Every B is A.
Nothing not-A is B.
Immediate Inferences.
.'. Some
sons are not of the male sex persons not of the
;
head of an animal.
5. Truth always triumphs; /.Whatever opinion has
triumphed is true.
On the Moods.
few books are worth reading more than once /. few books ;
it seems to be a
yet syllogism in the second figure with
both premisses affirmative.)
22. No evil should be allowed that good may come of
it: punishment is an evil; .-.punishment should not be
allowed that good may come of it. (Whately.)
23. If, as you say, every student ought to read this book,
it would
probably sell well but it does not, therefore some
;
smallpox.
26. Exposure to cold is good for children, for all the
grown people who have been exposed to cold as children
are strong.
27. No soldiers should be brought into the field who are
not well qualified to perform their parts: none but veterans
are well qualified to perform their parts therefore none but ;
else but abstract ideas. For the having the essence of any
species being that which makes anything to be of that
species, and the conformity to the idea to which the name
is annexed
being that which gives a right to that name,
the having the essence and the having that conformity
APPENDIX 1 01
in other ages have not; .'. the standards of virtue and vice
are not invariable.
Exercises on Probability.
I. An urn contains 1000 balls, numbered I to 1000, from which one
is drawn. A
witness, whose average credibility = p, testifies that a
particular number, say 926, has been drawn. "What is the credibility
of this particular assertion ?
We must make some assumption as to the witness's knowledge of
the number of balls in the urn. Let us, then, assume that he knows the
number. Then in the case given there are two possible hypotheses :
1000
Second Hypothesis 926 has not been drawn.
Here three things coincide. No. 926 not drawn ; the chance of
this is - ;
the witness speaks falsely ;
the chance of which
== I
p, and thirdly, out of the 999 balls not drawn, he names
F 2
102 APPENDIX.
3. An
urn contains I black, 99 red, and 900 white balls. One is
drawn, and a witness, whose average credibility = p, announces that
black has been drawn. What is the degree of credibility of his state-
ment ?
The data are insufficient. We
must be told what is the number 01
possible false assertions, that is, in this case, how many different colours
the witness is liable to mention falsely, whether by mistake or otherwise.
Let us first assume that he has the choice of 13 in all.
First Hypothesis
Black is drawn, = .
1000
The witness speaks truly, = p.
Product, = -?
IOOO
Second Hypothesis
iOOO
The witness speaks falsely, = i - p.
Product ,
= 999 (i -PK
I20OO
Here the chances in favour of his truthfulness are to those against
as I2p to 999 (i
- p}.
The probability may therefore be stated as
. . Had he announced white, the probability would
lap +99
9
(
l
~p)
.
io8p = io8p
r
have been
io8p
5
+ -f-
(i
- p) io;p -f i
.
-
Genus, 20.
Summum, 24.
Property, 109.
Propositions, Import of, 88.
gisms, 278.
Reductio ad Impossibile, 250.
Matter, 2.
Mill's view of Syllogism, 300. *
Same,' ambiguity of, 321.
Modal Propositions, 104.
Semi-logical fallacies, 306, 315.
Moods, 213.
Singular Terms, 12.
Sorites, 257.
Non-connotative Terms, 27.
Species, 20.
'
infima, 24.
Obverse: the same as 'equipol- S ubaltemation, 116.
'
lent : see 62.
Subcontrariety, 130.
Obversion : the change of a pro-
Substitution> principle of, 157.
.
---
Synthetical, Propositions, 96.
Method, 336.
Opposition, 119.
Term, 7.
Paralogism, 307.
Permutation : see Obversion. Unfigured Syllogism, 253.
Petitio principii, 326. Uniformity of Nature, Law of, 293.
Post hoc, Ergo propter hoc, 331.
Predicables, 107. Verbal Propositions, 96.
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