Commodities Digest PDF
Commodities Digest PDF
www.sharekhan.com
Contents CONTENTS
Foreword by a Sheru 2
Prologue 3
Demystifying Commodities 4
Epilogue 27
What is Sharekhan? 28
Sharekhan branches 28
SHAREKHAN
Foreword FOREWORD
Of course there are still millions of Indians who are not aware that
commodities other than gold and silver can also be traded in on commodity
exchanges, a là equities. Fewer still know that commodities can be traded
on-line!
A Sheru
December 2004
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Prologue PROLOGUE
Last week I was in Kolkata to meet our local high net worth clients. I like the
city for its investment savvy people and mouth-watering rosogullas. Of
course a lot can be written on the two subjects but here I want to speak of a
particular experience of mine in the City of Joy.
After finishing his conversation he took the seat opposite mine with a
worried frown. As he settled down I went back to the investment magazine I
was reading. Shortly I heard a well-modulated voice asking me for a pen. It
was the same gentleman. I took out my Parker and gave it to him with a
smile. After thanking me profusely he started taking down notes from a
financial daily. He returned the pen after a few minutes and thanked me
again. He seemed inclined to talk, more so after he noticed that I was
reading an investment magazine.
Shortly he started the conversation by telling me that his name was Rajiv
Mittal and he'd used my pen to take down some stock prices from the
financial daily. At the sound of the word stock my antennae were on alert and
I asked him if he invested in the stock market. He told me that although he
mainly traded in grains and oils yet he has been investing in stocks for many
years. A rich businessman from Ahmedabad he had come to Kolkata for a
business deal. “I have even traded in that new thing called Derivatives and
liked it very much,” he told me with a grin.
It is for the benefit of investors like Mr Mittal that I have penned down the
various aspects of commodity trading I'd explained to him that evening in
Kolkata. I present them in a question-and-answer form to keep things
simple.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
Demystifying
Commodities
Mr Mittal: Can you please tell me how trading started at commodity
exchanges?
It all started in an American city called Chicago. In the 1840s, Chicago had
become a commercial centre with railroad and telegraph lines connecting it
with the East. Around the same time, the McCormick reaper was invented
which eventually led to higher wheat production. Farmers from the Midwest
came to Chicago to sell their wheat to dealers, who, in turn, shipped it all
over the country.
The Midwest farmers brought their wheat to Chicago hoping to sell the same
at a good price. The city had few storage facilities and no established
procedures either for weighing grains or for grading the same. In short, the
farmers were often at the mercy of the dealers.
The year 1848 saw the opening of a central place where the farmers and
dealers could meet to deal in "spot" grain, ie to exchange cash for
immediate delivery of wheat.
Such contracts became common and were even used as collateral for bank
loans. They also began to change hands before the delivery date. If the
dealer decided that he did not want the wheat, he would sell the contract to
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
someone who did. Or the farmer who didn't want to deliver his wheat would
pass his obligation to another farmer. The price would go up and down,
depending on what happened in the wheat market. In the event of bad
weather, the people who had contracted to sell wheat would hold more
valuable contracts because the supply would be lower; if the harvest were
bigger than expected, the seller's contract would become less valuable. It
wasn't long before people who had no intention of ever buying or selling
wheat began trading the contracts. They were speculators, hoping to buy
low and sell high or sell high and buy low.
This saw the birth of the first central exchange in 1848 in Chicago under the
name Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). The emergence of the derivatives
market as an effective risk management tool in the 70s and the 80s resulted
in the rapid creation of new exchanges and the expansion of the old ones.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
However the generation next exchanges like the NCDEX and the MCX are
technology driven. These exchanges trade on an electronic platform, having
consciously moved away from the age-old traditional platform in order to
provide a pan-India network and improved transparency in deals, a là the
equities market. These exchanges allow trading in almost all commodity
futures.
3. The ups and downs in the stock prices, as a result of all that,
would then signal a message to the currency market about the
BOND COMMODITY
economic prospects of the country. The resulting changes in
the currency market would affect the bond market.
This chain process, or the "Spiral Effect" as we call it, would continue. Hence
the world over all the financial markets are interrelated. Financial markets of
a country do not move in isolation. Thus the understanding of one financial
market leads to the reading of the other.
Clearly the commodities market does not work in isolation and whatever
happens in this market always has an impact on the other major financial
markets.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
In general, the hedgers use futures for protection against adverse future
price movements in the underlying cash commodity. The rationale of
hedging is based upon the demonstrated tendency of cash prices and of
futures values to move in tandem.
The hedgers are very often businesses, or individuals, who at one point or
another deal in the underlying cash commodity. Take, for instance, a soy
trader who buys soy seed for oil; if soy prices go up he has to pay the farmer
or the soy seed dealer more. For protection against higher soy prices, the
trader/processor can "hedge" his risk exposure by buying enough soy
futures contracts to cover the amount of soy he expects to buy. Since cash
and futures prices tend to move in tandem, the futures position will profit if
soy prices rise enough to offset cash soy losses.
The speculators are the second major group of futures players. These
participants include independent traders and investors. For the
speculators, futures have important advantages over the other
investments. The speculators need to invest fewer amounts in futures than
in cash since here they need to pay only a fraction of the value of the
underlying contract (usually between 5-10%) as margin. Commodity futures
are highly leveraged investments.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
l Commodity trading comes with almost nil insider trading and company
specific risks.
What's more, why invite risk by investing in a metal company when you can
trade in the metal itself? After all, while the stock price of the company is
dependent on several factors including the company's own fundamentals,
the price of the metal is driven by the simple economics of demand and
supply. The more the demand for the metal, the higher its price and vice
versa. Also compared to equities it is much cheaper to trade in commodities,
where margin requirements are lower. Further a bull phase in the
commodities market lasts for 10 to 15 years.
To understand everything about commodity futures you may please call any
of our branches or visit our website www.sharekhan.com. Trading in futures
is like trading in forward contracts with some differences.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
The buyer of the futures contract (the party with a long position) agrees on a
fixed purchase price to buy the underlying commodity (gold, silver, castor
seed, refined soy oil or rubber) from the seller at the expiration of the
contract. The seller of the futures contract (the party with a short position)
agrees to sell the underlying commodity to the buyer at expiration at the
fixed sales price. As time passes, the contract's price changes relative to the
fixed price at which the trade was initiated. This creates profits or losses for
the trader.
Mr Mittal: What are the features of a futures contract? Please explain with
an example.
Sharekhan: Futures are exchange traded standardised contracts to buy or
sell an asset (or say a commodity) in future at a price agreed upon today. The
asset can be a share, index, interest rate, bond, sugar, crude oil, gold, silver,
cotton, coffee etc.
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For example: when you are dealing in February 2005 gold futures contract
on the MCX, you know that the market lot, ie the minimum quantity you can
buy or sell, is 1 kilogram with minimum 0.995 fineness; the price of gold is
quoted per 10 gram on ex-Mumbai basis which includes 1% sales tax. The
contract expires on February 03, 2005 (you need to square off the trade or
roll it over on or before January 31, 2005 if you are not interested in
giving/taking the physical delivery). The tick size is Re1 per 10 gram (100*1),
ie Rs100 per contract/market lot. The delivery period is from February 01 to
February 03, 2005. The contract can be settled in cash or in physical form as
per the exchange regulations.
You need to read the delivery and settlement procedure for each commodity
carefully, as it differs from exchange to exchange and from commodity to
commodity. The trading unit and the delivery unit are normally different for
different commodities.
l Liquidity: futures are much more liquid and their price is transparent as
their price and volume are reported in the media. Moreover futures
exchanges attract participants from all over the country on a single
platform. In case of forward contracts all the participants are not on a
common trading platform.
l Squaring off: a forward contract can be reversed only with the same
counter-party with whom it was entered into. A futures contract can be
reversed on the screen of an exchange, as the latter is the counter-party
to all the futures trades.
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The cost of carry is the sum of all costs incurred if a similar position is taken
in the cash market and carried to expiry of the futures contract less any
revenue that may arise out of holding the asset. The cost typically includes
interest cost in case of financial futures; in case of commodity futures,
insurance and storage costs etc are also considered. Revenue may be in the
form of dividend in case of stocks and financial instruments.
Though one can compute the theoretical price, the actual price may vary
depending upon the demand and supply of the underlying asset or
commodity.
Every time a commodity future contract trades over and above its cost of
carry (above Rs30 in this case) the arbitragers step in and reduce the extra
premium commanded by the futures contract due to demand. For example,
they buy the commodity in the cash/physical market and sell the equal
amount in the futures market, thereby creating a risk-free arbitrage for the
discount/premium.
6
reduction in the time to
4
2
expiry; thus futures prices
0
and cash prices start
-0 converging. On the expiry
-4 day, the futures price
-6 should equal the
-8 cash/physical market
-10 Towards Maturity price.
-12
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Mr Mittal: Can I square off my position at any time before the expiry of the
contract?
Sharekhan: Yes. It is not necessary to wait for the expiry day once you have
initiated a position. You can square up your position at any time during the
contract period, booking profit or cutting losses.
Moreover futures positions are leveraged positions, meaning you can take a
Rs100 position by paying just Rs5-10 margin and daily mark-to-market
(MTM) loss, if any. This can enhance the return on the capital invested. For
example, you expect silver
price to go up from
LONG FUTURES SHORT FUTURES Rs10,000 per kilogram to
Rs11,000 per kilogram in
one month. One option is to
buy silver (say 30 kilogram)
in the physical market by
Profit and Loss
The other advantages is that trading in futures is cheaper as you do not incur
transportation, insurance, storage, sales tax, octroi, security charges etc.
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One option is to sell the stock and buy it back after a few days when the price
falls. This involves heavy transaction costs. Alternatively you can sell
futures of that commodity to hedge your position in that commodity. Using
commodity futures you can virtually sell your commodity and buy it back
without losing the possession of the stock. This transaction is much more
economical as it does not involve costs of storage, insurance,
transportation etc.
You might say that if the price of the commodity had moved up, you would
have made a profit without hedging it. However it is also true that in case of a
fall, you might have lost without hedging. Please note that a hedge is not a
tool to maximise profits, it is a device to minimise losses. As it is said, “A
hedge does not result in a better outcome but in a predictable outcome”.
Actually hedging is not speculation, “not hedging” is speculation.
Mr Mittal: If I have some liquid money, how can commodity futures help me
to earn risk-free money?
Sharekhan: It is easy. You can deploy your surplus money in the commodity
futures market to earn risk-free money. Suppose, for example, spot gold
price is Rs6,000 per 10 gram in Mumbai on April 16, 2004 and at the same
time the June contract of gold at the MCX is trading at Rs6120.
You can earn some risk-free return here by following the steps mentioned
below:
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l Pay Rs60 lakh in cash to take delivery of the gold in the physical market.
l On expiry of the contract, at the time of the delivery period you opt for
giving the delivery to the buyer.
l Complete the formalities related to physical delivery of the gold.
l Whatever happens to the gold price, you earn Rs120 per 10 gram of gold
for two months.
l Thus there is a risk-free gross profit of Rs120 per 10 gram or of Rs1.20 lakh
for 10 kilogram gold (on an investment of Rs60 lakh). You need to deduct
the transaction charges to arrive at the net gain in the transaction.
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Mr Mittal: Can you give me the details of the contracts available, margin
required, trading and delivery units etc?
Sharekhan: Sure. Check this table out.
MCX
MCX
Commodity Trading qty Mkt price/Unit (Rs) Quote/ Base Contract value(Rs) Initial margin (%) Delivery unit Quotation base
Gold (995) 1kg 5,700 10g 570,000 5.00 1kg Mumbai
Gold mini (995) 100g 5,700 10g 57,000 5.00 1kg Mumbai
Silver 30kg 8,900 1kg 267,000 5.00 30kg Ahmedabad
Silver mini 5kg 8,900 1kg 44,500 5.00 30kg Ahmedabad
Castor seed 5MT 1,600 100kg 80,000 4.00 10MT Ahmedabad
Black pepper 1MT 8,050 100kg 80,500 8.00 1MT Ernakulam
Rubber 1MT 5,750 100kg 57,500 5.00 10MT Kottyam
Mustard oil 1MT 400 10kg 40,000 3.00 10MT Jaipur
Mustard seed 10MT 400 20kg 200,000 3.00 10MT Jaipur
RBD Palmoline 1MT 400 10kg 40,000 4.00 10MT Mumbai
Refined soy oil 10MT 450 10kg 450,000 4.00 10MT Indore
Castor oil 1MT 400 10kg 40,000 4.00 10MT Kandla
Guar seed 5MT 1,500 100kg 75,000 7.00 10MT Jodhpur
Groundnut oil 1MT 475 10kg 47,500 4.00 10MT Rajkot
Soy seed 1MT 1,600 100kg 16,000 4.00 10MT Nagpur
Steel long 25MT 21,400 1MT 535,000 5.00 25MT Taloja / Kalamboli
Steel flat 25MT 27,700 1MT 692,500 5.00 25MT Taloja / Kalamboli
Copper 1MT 120 1kg 120,000 5.00 9MT Mumbai
Nickel 250kg 520 1kg 130,000 8.00 3MT Mumbai
Tin 500kg 420 1kg 210,000 5.00 5MT Mumbai
Channa 5MT 1,450 100kg 72,500 5.00 10MT Delhi
Tur 10MT 2,100 100kg 210,000 5.00 20MT Mumbai
Urad 10MT 1,200 100kg 120,000 5.00 20MT Navi Mumbai
Yellow peas 10MT 1,250 100kg 125,000 5.00 20MT Navi Mumbai
Long cotton 26 candy 20,500 1 candy 533,000 3.00 55 bales Mumbai
Med cotton 26 candy 19,000 1 candy 494,000 3.00 55 bales Mumbai
SHAREKHAN 17
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NCDEX
NCDEX
Commodity Trading qty Mkt price/Unit (Rs) Quote/Base Contract value(Rs) Initial margin (%) Delivery unit Quotation base
Gold (995) 1kg 5,700 10g 570,000 5.00 1kg Mumbai
Gold kilo (999) 1kg 5,600 10g 560,000 Span(5–10) 1kg Mumbai
Gold (999) 100g 5,600 10g 56,000 Span(5–10) 1kg Mumbai
Silver 5kg 8,900 1kg 267,000 Span(5–10) 30kg New Delhi
Silver mega 30kg 8,900 1kg 44,500 Span(5–10) 30kg New Delhi
Soy bean seed 1MT 1,900 100kg 19,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Indore
Refined soy oil * 1MT 450 10kg 45,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Indore
Mustard seed 1MT 400 20kg 20,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Jaipur
Expeller mustard oil 1MT 450 10kg 45,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Jaipur
RBD Palmoline * 1MT 450 10kg 45,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Kakinada
Crude palm oil 1MT 400 10kg 40,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Kandla
MS cotton 18.7 quintals 6,400 100kg 119,680 Span(5–10) 93.5 quintals Bhatinda
(11 bales) (55 bales)
LS cotton 18.7 quintals 6,600 100kg 123,420 Span(5–10) 93.5 quintals Ahmedabad
(11 bales) (55 bales)
Pepper 1MT 8,000 100kg 80,000 Span(5–10) 1MT Kochi
Rubber 1MT 5,800 100kg 58,000 Span(5–10) 1MT Kottayam
Jute 25 bales (500 1,400 100 bags 175,000 Span(5–10) 25 bales (500 West Bengal
bags per bale) bags per bale)
Channa * 10MT 1,600 100kg 160,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Rajasthan Desi-Delhi
Guar seed * 10MT 1,100 100kg 110,000 Span(5–20) 10MT Jodhpur
Guar gum * 10MT 4,100 100kg 410,000 Span(5–20) 10MT Jodhpur
Castor seed ** 10MT 375 20kg 187,500 Span(5–10) 10MT Disa
Sugar M * 10MT 1,750 100kg 175,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Muzzafarnagar
Sugar S * 10MT 1,650 100kg 165,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Navi Mumbai-Vashi
Turmeric * 10MT 3,000 100kg 300,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Nizamabad
Wheat * 10MT 800 100kg 80,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Delhi
Yellow peas * 10MT 1,300 100kg 130,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Mumbai
Jute raw 10MT 1,100 100kg 110,000 Span(5–10) 10MT West Bengal–Kolkatta
Urad * 10MT 1,700 100kg 170,000 Span(5–10) 10MT Mumbai
*Inclusive of sales tax
** Inclusive of all taxes exclusive of sales tax
Please note the above is a snapshot of the contracts. You need to check the
full details, which can be found on our website www.sharekhan.com or at
any of our outlets, before entering into any trade.
Mr Mittal: But if I want to give or take physical delivery, where will it be done?
Sharekhan: The exchanges have specified a delivery centre for each
commodity the same is mentioned in the contract specification of each
exchange. In most cases the price quotation base is the delivery centre. The
exchanges plan to have more than one delivery centre in future.
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The stamp duty rate differs in each state for different commodities.
Mr Mittal: How many contracts will be available for futures trading? Will
the contracts be of three calendar months as is the case with equities?
Sharekhan: At the NCDEX three consecutive calendar month contracts will
be available for all commodities, the same as the National Stock Exchange
has for equities derivatives. For example: January, February and March 2004.
Sr. No. Commodity Stamp duty rate
1 Bullion Re 1 for every unit of 1kg of gold or part thereof
Re1 for every unit of 50kg of silver or part thereof
2 Oil seeds Re1 for every 10,000kg (100 quintal or 10MT)
of oilseed or part thereof
3 Yarn/non-mineral
oils/spices of any kind Re1 for every 10,000kg or part of thereof the value
4 Cotton Re1 for every unit of transaction of 4,500kg
or part thereof
5 All other commodities Rs20 per contract
{Article 5 (4) of the Bombay Stamp Act.}
You need to check the exact contract month for the commodity in which you
wish to trade.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
At the MCX the expiry day is the 15th of every month except for gold and
silver which expire on the fifth of every month. If the 15th or the 5th happens
to be a holiday the expiry day is the previous working day. In few cases the
expiry day is also other than these dates, to align the contract with
international exchanges.
The NCDEX provides trading facility from Monday to Saturday. Its market
hours are from 10:00am to 5:00pm in the morning session. The evening
session of the NCDEX is from 5:30pm to 11:55pm. Trading in all expiring
contracts ceases at 5:00pm on the contract expiry date. Trading in non-
expiring contracts continues as per the stated trading hours. On Saturdays
the trading facility is available from 10:00am to 2:00pm.
In most cases, delivery does not take place. Instead both the buyer and the
seller, acting independently of each other, usually liquidate their long and
short positions before a contract expires; the buyer sells futures and the
seller buys futures.
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Mr Mittal: How are the daily settlement prices arrived at on both the
commodity exchanges?
Sharekhan: The method of arriving at the daily closing/settlement price at
each of the exchange is as follows:
MCX
After the end of a trading session, the system calculates the closing price of
each and every contract traded on the system. The logic for calculation of the
closing price is as follows:
l Closing price is equal to weighted average price of all trades done during
last 30 minutes of a trading session.
l If the number of trades during the last 30 minutes is less than five, then it
is based on the weighted average price of the last five trades executed
during the day.
l If the number of trades done during the day is less than five, then it is
taken as the weighted average of all trades executed during the day.
l If no trades have been executed in a contract on a day, then the official
closing price of the last session is taken as the official closing price.
NCDEX
The daily settlement price, determined by the exchange at the end of every
trading day, is computed on the following basis:
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Mr Mittal: What is the due date rate? Is it different from the final settlement
rate? How is the final settlement price arrived at on the expiry date of a
contract?
Sharekhan: Let us first look at the MCX.
The due date rate with respect to a contract means the average of the closing
prices of the last five trading days of the contract maturity or the average of
last five days' closing price in the spot market (of the market/place which is
the basis of that contract), whichever is higher. The exchange shall have the
power to alter or modify such due date rate on the basis of upcountry prices,
if it is expedient to do so.
Mr Mittal: Can you explain to me the entire process of trading as well as the
delivery and settlement procedures at the MCX with an example?
Sharekhan: Yes, sure. Suppose you are bullish on gold and want to buy one
kilogram of gold contract at the MCX.
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
l Assume that you bought one kilogram gold June contract @ Rs5,800 per
10 gram (ex-Mumbai) on May 6, 2004 by paying only the initial margin of
just 5% of the contract value (Rs29,000 in this case as the contract's
value will be Rs580,000).
l You need to pay/receive MTM profit or loss on a daily basis till the time
you square off the position.
l You can cover your position any time during the contract period to book
your profit or loss by just doing a reverse trade at the market price.
l Say on May 12, when the market trades at Rs5,900, you can reverse your
earlier transaction. You will make a profit of Rs10,000 in this case (Rs100
per 10 gram, for 1,000 gram) which will be credited to your account.
l Please note that you need to square off or roll over the position to the
next contract if you are not willing to take physical delivery of the gold on
or before May 31 (5 days before the expiry day, ie June 4 in this case).
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WH WH WH WH
Client seller of members Submits commodities
and Demat Request form
Accept goods for storage/
delivery. Assaying done and
information given to
Accept goods WAREHOUSE Assaying done,
NSDL via R&T
delivery norms checked
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DEMYSTIFYING COMMODITIES
Along with the site Sharekhan has launched several commodity derivatives
products (both research and trading) too. The products have been listed
below:
Commodity Trader's Corner: Commodity trading calls; there are two types
of trading calls
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SHAREKHAN 1
Epilogue EPILOGUE
That is not all. You also get personalised research and a lot more trading
strategies from Sharekhan from time to time.
Sharekhan: Sharekhan is always near you. You can visit any of the over 220
Sharekhan outlets spread across the country; or call us on 39708090—a
single access number across India (local call charges applicable).
Epilogue
SHAREKHAN 27
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Sharekhan
For details of our products and services, contact your nearest Sharekhan
outlet or call toll free 39708090.
Sharekhan branches
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EQUITY &
DERIVATIVES COMMODITIES
TRADING TRADING
Comprehensive Commodities trading
services for equity & facilities on MCX & NCDEX
derivatives trading
on NSE & BSE
ONLINE SERVICES
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