A Comprehensive and Quantitative Internal Control Index: Construction, Validation, and Impact
A Comprehensive and Quantitative Internal Control Index: Construction, Validation, and Impact
Hanwen Chen
Xiamen University
[email protected]
Wang Dong
Zhejiang University
[email protected]
Hongling Han
Zhejiang University
[email protected]
Nan Zhou
State University of New York at Binghamton
[email protected]
We thank Stephanie Dehning Grimm (Discussant) and workshop participants at the 2013 American
Accounting Association Annual Meeting for their helpful comments. Hanwen Chen acknowledges the
research grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71332008) and from the
Education Ministry of China (No. 10JJD630003) for funding the construction of the internal control index
for all public firms in China. Wang Dong acknowledges the research grant from the National Natural
Science Foundation of China (No. 71302060). Hongling Han acknowledges the research grants from the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71272168) and from the Zhejiang Provincial Natural
Science Foundation of China (No. Y6110216). Please address all correspondence to Hongling Han,
Department of Accounting and Finance, School of Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China,
Zip 310058.
Abstract
Keywords: Internal Control Index; COSO; AHP; Earnings Quality; Earnings Response
Coefficient
1. Introduction
Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 404 (SOX 404) requires publicly traded U.S. firms to disclose
information on internal controls. 1 SOX 404 (a) requires management to file a report on the
company’s internal control over financial reporting (ICFR). The management report must
include (1) a statement of management's responsibility for ICFR, (2) management's assessment
of the effectiveness of ICFR, and (3) a statement identifying the framework used by
management. SOX 404 (b) requires the auditor to issue an attestation report on management’s
assessment of the company’s ICFR. Consisting of only required elements, the report for an
effective internal control, either from the management or the auditor, contains only parsimonious
information. For example, Deloitte and Touche certifies in Microsoft’s 10-K, filed on July 30,
2013, that “the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over
financial reporting as of June 30, 2013, based on the criteria established in Internal Control –
Treadway Commission.” The disclosure for an ineffective ICFR contains additional qualitative
information. For example, American Tower reports in its 10-K, filed on March 14, 2008, that
“We identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting because we
failed to maintain effective controls over the accounting for income taxes.”
Recognizing the limitation in such mandatory disclosure under SOX 404, the current
literature finds evidence in favor of disclosing more information on internal control. Specifically,
1
An accelerated filer—a public firm with an equity market capitalization of more than $75 million—must comply
with SOX Section 404 for its first fiscal year ending on or after November 15, 2004. A non-accelerated filer must
comply with SOX 404(a) for its first fiscal year ending on or after December 15, 2007, but is exempt from
complying with SOX 404(b) under Section 989G of the Dodd-Frank Act.
1
a continuous variable is found to be superior to a dichotomous measure, as the severity of
internal control problems is better captured by the number of internal control weaknesses than by
the dummy for such weaknesses (Feng et al., 2009); a detailed breakdown is found to be more
internal control weaknesses into account-level- and company-level weaknesses (Doyle et al.,
2007; Elder et al., 2009); an in-depth analysis is found to be more valuable than a general
statement, as deficiency information at the level of the individual control is more informative to
auditors than the company-level reporting of effective or ineffective controls required under
quality of internal control disclosure. Specifically, we construct an internal control index that
covers 99.0% of all Chinese public firms from 2007 to 2010, with the remaining 1.0% missing
necessary internal control information.2 These sample firms are not subject to internal control
Chinese version of SOX 404—became effective for such firms on January 1, 2012. The
implementation of SOX 404 homogenizes the internal control quality for firms in the U.S.,
resulting in 95.1% of the accelerated filers reporting effective internal controls for fiscal years
between 2007 and 2012. Consequently, the lack of internal control regulations on Chinese firms
during our sample period presents an interesting setting, in which the heterogeneity of internal
control quality is preserved. Our focus on China in the pre-Chinese SOX 404 period generates
2
Following Wang et al. (2008) and Chen et al. (2010), we examine all firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange
and on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Note that we exclude firms listed on the Entrepreneurship Section of the
Shenzhen Stock Exchange, because the Entrepreneurship Section was introduced by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange
in 2009.
2
the internal control diversity necessary for us to study the impact of differential internal control
Two distinctive features set our internal control index apart from the information currently
available under SOX 404 in the U.S. First, our index is a comprehensive evaluation of a firm’s
internal control based on the Internal Control—Integrated Framework (1992) created by the
(SEC) Release No. 33-8810 (June 27, 2007) as being suitable for management to assess the
effectiveness of the company’s ICFR.3 The COSO framework defined internal control as a
process, effected by an entity's board of directors, management and other personnel, designed to
provide reasonable assurance regarding the achievement of objectives in the following four
categories:
acknowledges that its ICFR definition only “encompasses the subset of internal controls
addressed in the COSO Report that pertains to financial reporting objectives” and “does not
encompass the elements of the COSO Report definition that relate to effectiveness and efficiency
of a company's operations and a company's compliance with applicable laws and regulations”
3
In the same release, SEC also cites the Guidance on Assessing Control published by the Canadian Institute of
Chartered Accountants (“CoCo”) and the report published by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England &
Wales Internal Control: Guidance for Directors on the Combined Code (known as the Turnbull Report) as examples
of other suitable frameworks that issuers could choose in evaluating internal control effectiveness. SEC encourages
companies to examine and select a framework that may be useful in their own circumstances; SEC also encourages
the further development of existing and alternative frameworks.
4
While the first three categories are contained in the 1992 original COSO report, the fourth category “safe guarding
of assets” is added in the 1994 COSO addendum to the Reporting to External Parties volume of the COSO report.
3
(SEC Release No. 33-8238, June 5, 2003). To overcome this limitation, we follow the COSO
framework to also consider “effectiveness and efficiency of operations” and “compliance with
applicable laws and regulations." Relative to SOX 404’s focus on financial reporting, our
internal control index encompasses the full set of internal controls pertaining to the
Second, our index is a quantitative measurement of a firm’s internal control using the
analytic hierarchy process (AHP) popular for analyzing decision problems.5 AHP is a structured
technique for organizing and analyzing complex decisions, providing a scientific and simple
method to effect a quantitative analysis for a qualitative problem. Consisting of different levels
with both qualitative and quantitative information, the evaluation system of internal control is
appropriate for the systematic application of AHP. According to Saaty (2008a), AHP first
decomposes a complex decision problem into a hierarchy of more easily comprehensible sub-
problems, and then produces the qualitative and quantitative analyses of each sub-problem. AHP
next makes pairwise comparisons of the same-level items in every sub-hierarchy, analyzing their
relative impact on an element in the hierarchy above them. As discussed in Saaty (2008b), a
critical feature of AHP is that human judgment, in addition to the underlying information, can be
Our AHP approach to create the internal control index is more advanced than the weighted
average method used to construct several popular disclosure indices. In constructing the AIMR
5
Based on mathematics and psychology, AHP was developed by Thomas L. Saaty in the 1970s and has been
extensively used in a wide range of decision situations in in fields such as government, business, industry,
healthcare, and education. For a comprehensive review, please see “Analytic hierarchy process: An overview of
applications” by Vaidya and Kumar (2006). A number of AHP software packages and Excel templates are
commercially available. For example, Saaty's consulting company gives access to its AHP software at
http://www.superdecisions.com/.
4
Ranking (e.g., Lang and Lundholm, 1993, 1996),6 an industry-specific subcommittee of security
analysts evaluates the level of corporate disclosure for selected firms within the industry along
three dimensions: annual report information, voluntary disclosures in quarterly reports, and
disclosures from investor relation activities. The final AIMR Ranking is a weighted average of
the disclosure scores in these three categories. Similar weighted average methods are used to
create other disclosure indices, including the international CIFAR Index of average accounting
disclosures (e.g., LaPorta et al., 1998; Leuz et al., 2003) and Standard and Poor’s scores of
Leuz and Wysocki (2006) point out that disclosure measures, such as the AIMR Ranking and
the international CIFAR Index, suffer from a number of limitations, in that the selection and
coding of the relevant disclosures are subjective, that they generally capture the existence of
particular disclosures—rather than the quality of those disclosures, and that the construction of a
single index assigns particular weights to the different disclosure items. Since this criticism also
applies to our internal control index, we first set out to establish the validity of our index. Since
Doyle et al. (2007) and Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2008) find that firms with effective internal
controls tend to have high accruals quality, we hypothesize that our internal control index will
also be related to earnings quality, if it properly measures internal control quality. Therefore, we
study the relation between our index and earnings management, and find a significant negative
relation between the two. Our finding that better internal controls improve firms’ financial
reporting provides a validation of our internal control index, because we are able to use the index
to confirm the known relation between internal control quality and earnings quality.
6
AIMR stands for the Association for Investment Management and Research. AIMR changed its name to CFA
Institute in 2004.
7
CIFAR stands for the Center for International Financial Analysis and Research.
5
When we separate our internal control index into five underpinning COSO components—
control environment, risk assessment, control activities, information and communication, and
monitoring—we find that control environment and information and communication are
governance, internal auditing, and human resources, the control environment component
captures the fraud-prevention mechanism established in a firm. Therefore, firms with a strong
management. Our finding on control environment is consistent with those studies that document
Hunton et al., 2010). The information and communication component is coded, based on whether
a firm has proper channels to collect information internally and externally, whether a firm can
communicate with the board of directors and with outside investors, whether a firm has accurate,
complete, and timely information in accounting or corporate governance, and whether a firm has
information system can alert the board of directors on potential accounting irregularities and thus
After establishing the validity of our index, we then investigate the impact of our internal
control index on the capital market. Specifically, we focus on the earnings response coefficient
(ERC) that measures the extent of a security’s abnormal market return in response to earnings
surprises, 8 because ERC captures investor responsiveness to earnings and measures investors’
perceived earnings quality (Dechow et al., 2010). We use both the short- and long window to
examine the relation between our index and ERC. We find that our internal control has a positive
impact on ERC, suggesting that better internal controls make financial reporting more credible to
8
Please see Kothari (2001) for a review of the ERC literature.
6
investors. This finding demonstrates that disclosing comprehensive and qualitative information
on internal controls can be beneficial to the capital market. When we separate our index into the
five COSO components, we find that the control environment component is responsible for
increasing ERC in the short-window analyses, whereas the information and communication
component is responsible for increasing ERC in the long-window analyses. This suggests that
strong internal controls and corporate governance enhance the perceived earnings quality in the
short run, whereas effective communications with investors improve the perceived earnings
Our paper contributes to the accounting literature and -practice by innovatively constructing
an internal control index based on the COSO framework and the AHP method. The
comprehensive evaluation system and quantitative scoring system developed in this paper could
form the basis for building similar indices in other markets or other settings. Our index is new to
the accounting literature, extending those aforementioned studies that are in favor of disclosing
more information on internal controls (Feng et al., 2009; Doyle et al., 2007; Elder et al., 2009;
Bedard and Graham, 2012). While internal control is found to be related to earnings quality,
proxyed by earnings properties, such as accruals (Doyle et al., 2007; Ashbaugh-Skaife et al.,
2008), or by external indicators, such as financial restatements (Feng and Li, 2011), we add to
the literature by finding that internal control quality is associated with ERC, a market-based
measure of earnings quality.9 Overall, the documented impact of internal control on the capital
market provides evidence that a comprehensive and quantitative assessment of internal control
9
Dechow et al. (2010) classify earnings quality proxies into three categories: (1) properties of earnings that include
earnings persistence and accruals; earnings smoothness; asymmetric timeliness and timely loss recognition; (2)
investor responsiveness to earnings that includes the earnings response coefficient (ERC) or the R2 from the
earnings-returns model; and (3) external indicators of earnings misstatements included in Accounting and Auditing
Enforcement Releases (AAERs), restatements, and internal control procedure deficiencies.
7
Our paper also contributes to the accounting literature by introducing the AHP approach to
transform a qualitative problem into a quantitative score. Per our prior discussion, the AHP
method is more sophisticated than the weighted average method used to construct several
popular disclosure indices, including the AIMR Ranking and the CIFAR Index. A large number
of studies explore the impact of AIMR Ranking of corporate disclosure on analyst forecasts
(Lang and Lundholm, 1993, 1996), corporate liquidity (Welker, 1995; Healy et al., 1999), cost of
equity capital (Botosan, 1996; Sengupta, 1998), and agency frictions (Nagar et al., 2003; Huang
and Zhang, 2012). Other studies use the international CIFAR index of average accounting
disclosures in annual reports (e.g., LaPorta et al., 1998; Leuz et al., 2003) and Standard and
Poor’s scores of international firms’ disclosures (e.g., Khanna et al., 2004). Different from these
studies, our study is the first to use AHP to create an index of internal control and to apply such
In addition, our internal control index has a significant influence on accounting practices.
First, the 2009 and 2010 indices were published in major financial newspapers in China. The
2009 index was simultaneously published by three authoritative financial newspapers in China:
China Securities Journal, Shanghai Securities Journal, and Securities Times on June 11, 2010,
whereas the 2010 index was simultaneously published by Shanghai Securities Journal and
Securities Times on September 6, 2011. Second, our index has garnered attention and recognition
from major firms in a variety of industries. For example, Deloitte highlighted this index on the
website of its Corporate Governance Center. Lutai Textile Inc. announced it on its corporate
website, when the firm was ranked among the top 100 firms with the best internal controls,
according to the ranking of our index. Third, our index has received recognition from regulators
8
in China. In an acknowledgement letter sent to our research team on May 18, 2013, 10 the Public
“We have paid continuous attention to ‘the Internal Control Index for Chinese Public
Companies’ developed by your research team, since the index was published in Shanghai
Securities Journal and other financial newspaper in 2010. Your internal control index created
for the Chinese capital market has significant reference values for our efforts of monitoring
internal control and corporate governance, and will help listed companies improve their
internal control quality. We hope that you will continue to study problems related to internal
control for Chinese public companies and contribute to the orderly development of the
capital market in China.”
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides the background information
on internal control regulations in China. Section 3 describes the construction of our internal
control index. Section 4 outlines the sample selection. Section 5 validates our internal control
index by examining its relation to earnings management. Section 6 applies our index to study the
impact of internal control on the capital market. Section 7 concludes the paper.
2. Background Information
After the enactment of SOX in 2002, following the Enron and MCI WorldCom accounting
scandals, internal controls have received more and more attention from countries around the
world. The Chinese government also considers strengthening internal controls a priority. Premier
Wen Jiabao emphasizes that “we need to enhance internal control systems, improve corporate
governance, and introduce innovative mechanisms by borrowing from the managerial experience
available abroad” in his State of the Government Report presented in the Fourth Plenary Meeting
of the Tenth People’s Congress on March 5, 2006.11 Following Premier Wen’s address, the State
Council (Cabinet) requested the Ministry of Finance to coordinate with related agencies and to
establish a set of rules and regulations to govern a firm’s internal control system. In June 2006,
10
The original letter with the seal and on letterhead is available upon request.
11
Reported by the official Xinhua News Agency on March 15, 2006.
9
the State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SOASAC), issued A
requiring that central government-owned enterprises and state owned public companies develop
internal control systems and strengthen risk management. In July 2006, the Shanghai Stock
Exchange (SSE) issued A Guideline of Internal Controls for Listed Firms on Shanghai Stock
Exchange. Further, in September 2006, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) issued A
Guideline of Internal Controls for Listed Firms on Shenzhen Stock Exchange. These two
regulations at the stock exchange level establish rules of internal control implementation and -
On July 15, 2006, five Chinese government authorities and regulatory bodies, including the
Ministry of Finance (MOF), the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), the National
Audit Office (NAO), the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC), and the China
Standards, aiming at research, and stipulated a set of universal, recognizable, and scientific rules
governing firms’ internal controls. After two years of conducting research and seeking feedback,
the Committee on Internal Control Standards issued The Basic Standards of Enterprise Internal
Controls. Dubbed as the Chinese version of SOX 404, the Basic Standards require that a listed
firm issue a self-assessment on its internal controls and that a Certified Public Accountant issue a
report on the firms’ internal controls. In order to prepare firms to comply with the Basic
Standards of Enterprise Internal Controls, the Committee on Internal Control Standards further
released Supplemental Guidelines of Firms’ Internal Controls on April 26, 2010. These
Controls, one category in Evaluation Guidelines for Evaluation and Assessment of Effectiveness
10
of Firms’ Internal Controls, and one category in Guidelines for Performing Assurance
Standards of Enterprise Internal Controls became effective for firms dual-listed in stock
exchanges, both in China and abroad on January 1, 2011, and for firms listed on the Shanghai
Stock Exchange, as well as for firms listed on the main section of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange
on January 1, 2012. The enactment of these regulations marks the completion of developing an
internal control system for Chinese firms. Emphasizing risk management and fraud containment,
and building around control standards and evaluation criteria, the internal control system in
control information from financial statements, CSRC filings, government documents, and press
releases. Following Wang et al. (2008) and Chen et al. (2010), we examine all firms listed on the
Shanghai Stock Exchange and on the Main Section of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.12 Our final
index covers 99.0% of all Chinese public firms from 2007 to 2010 with the remaining 1.0%
12
We do not include firms in the Entrepreneurship Section of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, because the
Entrepreneurship Section was introduced by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2009.
11
Based on COSO’s (1992) Internal Control−Integrated Framework and innovated to
accommodate unique Chinese conditions, our index considers controls not only related to the
reliability of financial reporting and safeguarding of assets, but also pertaining to the
effectiveness and efficiency of operations and compliance with laws and regulations.
Specifically, our index uses the COSO components—control environment, risk assessment,
control activities, information and communication, and monitoring—as the five first-level
criteria in internal control. These five elements advocated in the COSO framework optimize the
internal control structure and -system, integrate different views on internal controls, and create a
consensus platform and conceptual framework to evaluate internal control quality. Under each
level, there is a sequence of sub-level criteria. For example, the first-level criterion, Control
Environment, can be further divided into six second-level criteria: corporate governance, internal
auditing, human resources, employee quality, social responsibility, and corporate culture. Our
final index has four levels of evaluation criteria, consisting of five first-level criteria, 24 second-
level criteria, 43 third-level criteria, and 144 fourth-level criteria. In addition, the scores for first-
level criteria of control environment, control activities, and information and communication will
exposure for violating the accounting rules or securities laws, or if a firm experiences major
We then use AHP to transform the qualitative information obtained in the four levels of our
evaluation system into a quantitative measurement of a firm’s internal control. The first step in
applying AHP is to model the internal control evaluation problem as a hierarchy. First, we need
to analyze the decision problem in-depth, extracting relevant factors and determining the
relations among different factors. Second, we arrange different factors into an analytic hierarchy,
12
in which each factor belongs to a certain hierarchy and is assigned to a factor in the upper
hierarchy. The internal control evaluation system contains five hierarchies in the following top-
to-bottom order: overall objectives, sub-objectives, standards, sub-standards, and plan execution.
The overall objective level represents the internal control index; the sub-objective level consists
of the five components from the COSO internal control framework (the five first-level items);
and the standard level, the sub-standard level, and the plan execution level are all expansions of
the sub-objective level. Once the hierarchy is built for evaluating internal control, pairwise
comparisons of the same-level items are performed for the sub-objective level, analyzing their
relative importance to the same assigned element in the hierarchy above them. After a
comparison, each of the two items receives a score weighted according to its relative importance.
Appendix 1 presents the detailed description and construction of our internal control index.
4. Sample Selection
We obtain all our financial variables and stock price information from CSMAR and
RESSET. The CSMAR (China Stock Market & Accounting Research) Database is designed and
developed by GTA Information Technology, one of major providers of China data. CSMAR is
the comprehensive database for Chinese business research. CSMAR covers data about the
Chinese stock market, financial statements, and China Corporate Governance of Chinese Listed
Firms. RESSET is a vendor that specializes in providing financial information and service
products in China, and supplies data needed in empirical research and investment analysis in
economics, finance, and accounting areas. Because of the differential requirement in control
variables, our sample size for analyzing earnings management is different from that for analyzing
ERC.
13
Our sample period is from 2007 to 2010, since this is the period for which we construct our
internal control index. The first column presents the subsample for earnings management
analyses. We intersect the CSMAR and RESSET databases and obtain 6,731 firm-year
observations for public firms in China. First, we exclude 118 observations in the financial
industry, 67 observations without internal control indices, 137 observations with missing
information needed to calculate measures of earnings management, and 246 observations with
missing control variables. This leaves us with a final sample of 6,163 observations for analyzing
earnings management. The second (third) column presents the subsample for short-window
(long-window) ERC analyses. We again start from the 6,731 firm-year observations from the
intersection of CSMAR and RESSET and exclude 118 observations in the financial industry and
67 observations without Internal Control Indices. We further exclude 242 (122) observations
with missing information needed to calculate cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) and 687 (845)
observations with missing control variables. This leaves us with a final sample of 5,617 (5,579)
We first set out to establish the validity of our internal control index by confirming a known
relation between internal control quality and earnings quality. Since Doyle et al. (2007) and
Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2008) find that firms with effective internal controls tend to have high
accruals quality, we conjecture that our index will be related to earnings quality, if it properly
measures internal control quality. Specifically, we conjecture that better internal controls will
constrain firms’ opportunistic earnings management behavior and have the following hypothesis.
14
Hypothesis 1. Our internal control index will have a negative impact on earnings
management.
discretionary accruals as a function of our internal control index and a set of control variables in
IC_INDEX is the Internal Control Index; LNMV is the natural logarithm of a firm’s market
value of equity; SEGMENT is the natural logarithm of a firm’s business segments; FOREIGN is
an indicator variable if a firm has foreign sales; STDSALES is the standard deviation of the ratio
of last three year revenues to total assets; STDCFOS is the standard deviations of the ratio of last
three operating cash flows to total assets; ST is a “special treatment” designation;13 LEV is the
ratio of total liabilities to total assets; BIG4 is an indicator variable for Big 4 clients; M&A is an
indicator variable for mergers and acquisitions in the last three years; INVENTORY is inventory
valued at cost divided by total assets; OPERCYCLE is the operating cycle; MB is the ratio of
market equity value to book equity value; and AGE is the natural logarithm of the number of
13
ST stands for “special treatment.” When a public firm has abnormal financial or other conditions that make it
hard for investors to assess its business prospects, the security exchanges will apply special treatments to this firm’s
stock transactions, including (1) adding “ST” to the ticker symbol, and (2) limiting the daily stock price appreciation
or depreciation to no more than five percent.
15
For the dependent variable, we use three measures of discretionary accruals to capture a
firm’s earning management activities. We first use MJDA to denote the discretionary accruals
from the modified Jones Model (Dechow et al., 2005). Since discretionary accrual estimates are
found to be correlated with firm performance (Kasznik, 1999; Kothari et al., 2002), we also
discretionary accruals. Following Kothari et al. (2005), PMJDA controls for performance by
adding the prior year’s ROA into the Modified Jones model, when estimating expected accruals.
Following Ashbaugh et al. (2003), we further construct PDCA as the absolute value of
including the prior year’s ROA in the estimation of expected discretionary current accruals.
Details are provided in Appendix 2. We estimate the discretionary accruals models in industry
The internal control index (IC_INDEX), our main variable of interest, is described in Section
3 and Appendix 1. We follow Doyle et al. (2007) and Ashbaugh et al. (2008) for our set of
control variables and augment them with variables identified in other studies. Firm size
influences discretionary accruals, so we control for size by using the natural logarithm of market
value (LNMV) (Becker et al., 1998).15 Firms with more complex operations are more likely to
have noisier accruals, so we control for the natural logarithm of the number of business segments
(SEGMENT) and for whether the firm has foreign sales (FOREIGN). The volatility of firms’
control for the standard deviations of sales (STDSALES) and operating cash flows (STDCFOS),
14
We obtain very similar results, when we measure discretionary accruals with either the Jones Model (Jones, 1991)
or the performance-matched Jones Model (Kothari et al., 2005).
15
We use the logarithmic transformation of market value (MV) and later firm age (AGE), because the distributions
for these two variables are skewed. Please see Table 2 for the univariate statistics on these two variables.
16
respectively (Francis et al., 2005). Firms under financial distress are more likely to engage in
earnings management, so we control for the “special treatment” designation (ST) and financial
leverage (LEV) (Reynolds and Francis, 2000). Big 4 firms are associated with high accounting
quality, so we control for the Big 4 clients (BIG4). Firms involved in mergers and acquisitions
are likely to have larger abnormal accruals, so we control for such mergers and acquisition
activities (M&A). Fast growing firms are likely to have imprecise accruals due to inventory
and use the market-to-book ratio to proxy for growth (MB). The firm’s operating cycle and age
is found to be related to accruals, so we control for the firm’s operating cycle (OPERCYCLE)
and age (LNAGE) (Francis et al., 2005; Stuben, 2010). We include dummy variables in our
Table 2 presents the descriptive statistics for the discretionary accruals sample. The means
(medians) are 0.084 (0.055) for MJDA, the modified Jones model discretionary accruals
(Dechow et al., 1995); 0.079 (0.052) for PMJDA, the performance-controlled modified Jones
model discretionary accruals (Kothari et al., 2005); and 0.079 (0.050) for PDCA, the
these three accruals measures are equally effective in capturing the firms’ earnings management
activities. These mean absolute values of discretionary accruals, according to three different
measures, are about 8 percent of beginning total assets, suggesting that the amounts are both
17
The mean value of our internal control index is 0.360, suggesting that our sample firms on
average receive only 36.0% of the maximum possible points. The distribution of our index is not
skewed, since the median value is 0.358. Further, our index means are 0.286 for 2007, 0.357 for
2008, 0.386 for 2009, and 0.402 for 2010, with the year-to-year increases in average index scores
significant at the one-percent level. This implies that Chinese firms have started to strengthen
In addition, our sample firms on average have RMB 7,093 million in market equity value
(MV), two business segments (SEGMENT), 0.54 debt-to-asset ratio (LEV), 4.34 market-to-book
ratio of (MB), 0.175 inventory-to-asset ratio (INVENTORY), and 9.6 years of age (AGE).
43.5% of our sample firms have foreign sales (FOREIGN), 1.8% experience mergers and
acquisitions in the last three years (M&A), 7.3% received a “special treatment” designation for
abnormal financial conditions (ST), and 6.1% use Big 4 international auditors (BIG4). The
standard deviation of revenues (STDSALES) and that of operating cash flows (STDCFOS) have
Table 3 uses OLS regressions to examine the effect of our internal control index on measures
of earnings management. In Model 1, we measure the dependent variable earnings quality with
MJDA, the absolute value of Jones model discretionary accruals proposed in Dechow et al.
(1995). Confirming Hypothesis 1, we find that the coefficient on our index is significantly
negative at the one-percent level, suggesting that high internal control quality can be effective in
ST, LEV, INVENTORY, and OPERCYCLE are significantly positive at the five-percent level or
better, suggesting that earnings management activities are likely to be greater for firms with a
larger market equity value, greater volatility in sales or operating cash flows, with a ST
18
designation, higher leverage, more inventory build-ups, and longer operating cycle. The
coefficient on LNAGE is significantly negative at the one-percent level, suggesting that firms
with fewer years in existence are more likely to engage in earnings management activities. The
results on these control variables are similar to those in Doyle et al. (2007) and Ashbaugh et al.
(2008), lending further credence to our findings. In Model 2, we measure earnings quality with
PMJDA, the performance-controlled modified Jones model discretionary accruals (Kothari et al.,
discretionary current accruals (Ashbaugh et al., 2003). Our findings in Models 2 and 3 are very
similar to those reported in Model 1, suggesting that our results are robust to alternative
measures of discretionary accruals. Since our overall results in Models 1-3 are consistent with
the findings in Doyle et al. (2007) and Ashbaugh et al. (2008), we establish the validity of our
index by confirming the known relation between internal control quality and earnings quality.
In Table 4, we further separate our index into its five components: control environment
(CtrEnv), risk assessment (Risk), control activities (CtrAct), information and communication
(InfoCom), and monitoring (Monitor). In Model 1 with MJDA as the dependent variable, the
coefficients on CtrEnv and InfoCom are both significantly negative at the five-percent level.
Measuring the firm’s strength in corporate governance, internal auditing, and human resources,
established in a firm. Therefore, firms with a strong control environment or with an established
fraud-prevention mechanism have less earnings management. COSO (1992) articulates that “the
control environment is the foundation for all other components of internal control.” Our results
lend support to the importance of the control environment. Our findings are also consistent with
those in Doyle et al. (2007), who document that company-level weaknesses, related to control
19
environment, have a greater impact on a firm’s accrual quality. Company-level weaknesses are
harder to detect by auditing, whereas account-level weaknesses, related to specific accounts and
The information and communication component, InfoCom, is coded based on whether a firm
has proper channels to collect information internally and externally; whether a firm can
communicate with the board of directors and with outside investors; whether a firm has accurate,
complete, and timely information in accounting or corporate governance; and whether a firm has
transparency and reduced information asymmetry can improve the monitoring of management
and thus restrict executives’ opportunistic behaviors (Bushman and Smith, 2001; Jo and Kim,
2007), a firm with a strong information system can alert the board of directors about potential
accounting irregularities and thus reduce earnings management. Our results are very similar
when we replace the dependent variable MJDA with PMJDA in Model 2 or with PDCA in
Model 3. In addition, the signs and significance levels on control variables are similar to those
reported in Table 3.
Dechow et al. (2010) classify the earnings quality proxies into three categories: (1) properties
of earnings that include earnings persistence and accruals, earnings smoothness, asymmetric
timeliness and timely loss recognition, target beating, and earnings management; (2) investor
responsiveness to earnings that includes ERC or the R2 from the earnings-returns model; and (3)
external indicators of earnings misstatements that include Accounting and Auditing Enforcement
20
Releases (AAERs), restatements, and internal control procedure deficiencies. Using earning
quality proxies in Category (1), Doyle et al. (2007) and Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2008) find that
firms with internal control problems tend to have lower accruals quality. Using earnings quality
proxies in Category (3), Feng and Li (2011) find that internal control quality is negatively
associated with the likelihood of material misstatements. Since the proxies in all three categories
are intended to capture earnings quality, we conjecture that internal control quality will also have
We build a simple one-period model to formalize this relation between internal control and
ERC. Following the information signal model developed by Holthausen and Verrechia (1988),
we make an adaptation, similar to adaptations proposed by Teoh and Wong (1993) and Francis
and Ke (2006), to allow consideration of internal control quality. Specifically, we let ̃ be the
firm’s disclosed value in the financial report. The variable ̃ communicates the firm’s true value
̃ ̃ ̃
where the firm’s true value ̃ ( ) and the accounting error ̃ ( ). Similar to Teoh
and Wong (1993), we assume that the precision level for the firm’s true value is a positive
constant.16 Different from Teoh and Wong (1993), we model the precision level for the
( )
where ( ) . The modeling of is supported by the research evidence in Doyle at al. (2007)
16
Since the firm’s true value ̃ can be viewed as the net present value of all future cash flows (Teo and Wong,
1993), is related to the uncertainty of the firm’s future cash flows (Francis and Ke, 2006).
21
and Ashbaugh et al. (2008) that internal control weaknesses can lead to low accruals quality,17
and also by the research evidence in Chan et al. (2008) that improved internal controls under
Let and denote a firm’s stock price at time T-1 and T, respectively. The firm
releases its reported value y in time T. Under the efficient market hypothesis, we have the
following.
( ̃)
and
(̃ ̃ ) ( ) ( )
where is obtained by the properties of the multivariate normal distribution. Therefore, the
change in stock price for this firm due to the release of its financial report y is as follows.
( )
where is reported earnings and is expected earnings. Since ERC is intended to capture the
relation between equity returns and unexpected earnings, we have the following.
where is the stock return in response to unexpected earnings . Because the financial
17
Similar results have been found for financial institutions (Altamuro and Beatty, 2010) and for Canadian firms (Lu
et al., 2011).
22
()
()
Taking a first-order derivative with respect to internal control quality I, we have the
following.
()
[ ( )]
Hypothesis 2. Our internal control index will have a positive impact on ERC.
We use an Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model to test Hypothesis 2. For firm i in year t,
where CAR is the cumulative abnormal return, UE is unexpected earnings, NEG is an indicator
variable that takes the value of one, if unexpected earnings are negative, LNMV is the natural
logarithm of the firm’s market value, LEV is the ratio of total liabilities to total assets, MB is the
ratio of market equity value to book equity value, and BETA is the firm’s beta. Detailed
Following Balsam et al. (2003) and Baber et al. (2013), we study both the short-window ERC
and the long-window ERC. As discussed in Baber et al. (2013), if the value-relevant information
contained in earnings is disclosed at the earnings announcement date, then the short-window
throughout the year, then the long-window ERC is better than the short-term ERC. To estimate
23
the short-window ERC, we adopt an event-study approach and use the dependent variable
CAR_S, defined as the three-day market-adjusted abnormal returns covering the day before, the
day of, and the day after a firm’s earnings announcement. 18 UE is the unexpected earnings per
share, which is equal to the difference between the EPS before extraordinary items for this year
and that for last year, divided by the closing price of the last trading day in April. The short-
window ERC is estimated from Equation (2) by using CAR_S. To estimate the long-window
ERC, we adopt an association approach and use the dependent variable CAR_L, defined as the
twelve-month market-adjusted abnormal monthly return from May in the current year to April in
Following Balsam et al. (2003), the internal control index, our main variable of interest, and
control variables are entered into Equation (2) as interactive terms with UE—the earnings
surprise variable—because these variables are expected to influence ERC, a slope coefficient.
After controlling for the other factors, β2 captures the impact of our index on ERC. According to
Hypothesis 2, our index will have a positive impact on ERC, and thus we expect β2 to be
positive. If the earnings of firms with strong internal controls (large index score) are perceived as
more credible, then ERC will be larger for those firms. We control for NEG, an indicator
variable for firms with negative unexpected earnings, because the market views negative
unexpected earnings and positive unexpected earnings differently (Hayn 1995; Basu, 1997;
Balsam, 2003). We also control for firm size—measured as the natural logarithm of market value
(LNMV), following (Bowen et al., 1992)—and growth, measured as the ratio of market equity
18
We use the three-day market-adjusted cumulative abnormal returns to be consistent with our measurement of
long-term cumulative abnormal returns. Our results remain unchanged, when we use the three-day market-model
adjusted cumulative abnormal returns, covering the day before, the day of, and the day after a firm’s earnings
announcement. We estimate market model parameters with daily stock returns over the 250-trading-day estimation
window ending twenty days before the earnings announcement. We require firms to have positive trading volumes
for at least 100 days during this estimation window and eliminate those firms that fail to meet this requirement.
24
value to book equity value (MB), following Collins and Kothari (1989) and Hackenbrack and
Hogan (2002). We control for leverage (LEV), because ERC for a firm with high leverage is
found to be lower than that of a firm with low leverage (Dhaliwal et al., 1991). We further
control for BETA, a measure of systematic risk, because it affects the expected rate of return and
thus can have a negative effect on ERC (Collins and Kothari, 1989; Easton and Zmijewski,
1989). We include dummy variables in our regression models to control for industry- and year
fixed effects.
Table 5 presents the descriptive statistics for the ERC sample. For the short-window
analyses, the sample size is 5,617 firm-year observations. The mean (median) CAR_S—the
three- day market-adjusted cumulative abnormal returns around earnings announcement dates—
is 0.001 (-0.002); whereas the mean (median) RET_S—the three-day unadjusted cumulative raw
returns around earnings announcement dates—is -0.001 (0.000). For the long-window analyses,
the sample size is 5,579 firm-year observations. The mean (median) CAR_L—the one-year
market-adjusted abnormal returns from May in the current year to April in the following year—is
16.2% (13.2%), indicating that our sample firms with the index scores significantly outperform
the capital market over our sample period from 2007 to 2010. Similarly, the mean (median) mean
RET_L—the one year raw return from May in the current year to April in the following year—is
22.8% (19.1%) over our sample period. The mean (median) UE—the unexpected earnings per
share—is -0.002 (-0.003). The means and medians for control variables are similar to those
Table 6 uses OLS regressions to examine the effect of our internal control index on ERC.
25
Models 1 and 2 present the short-window ERC results. Model 1 uses the dependent variable
we find that the coefficient on UE*IC_INDEX, β2 in Equation (2), is significantly positive at the
one-percent level, suggesting a positive impact of our index on the short-window ERC. The
short-window ERC is larger for firms with a higher index score, implying that the earnings of
firms with strong internal controls are perceived as more credible over the three-day earnings
announcement windows. Model 2 uses the dependent variable RET_S, the three-day cumulative
raw returns, and shows similar results to those reported for Model 1.
Models 3 and 4 present the long-window ERC results. Model 3 uses the dependent variable
CAR_L, the twelve-month market-adjusted abnormal monthly return from May in the current
year to April in the following year. Again confirming Hypothesis 2, we find that the coefficient
suggesting a positive association between our index and the long-window ERC. The long-
window ERC is larger for firms with a higher index score, implying that the earnings of firms
with strong internal controls are perceived as more credible over the one-year period following
their earnings announcements. Model 4 uses the dependent variable RET_L—the twelve-month
raw return from May in the current year to April in the following year—showing similar results
to those reported in Model 3. The coefficients on control variables in Models 1-4 are largely
consistent with those reported in Chan et al. (2012), in terms of signs and significance levels.
Table 7 studies our index’s five components: control environment (CtrEnv), risk assessment
(Risk), control activities (CtrAct), information and communication (InfoCom), and monitoring
(Monitor). Models 1 and 2 present the short-window ERC results. In Model 1 with the dependent
variable CAR_S, the coefficient on UE*CtrEnv is significantly positive at the one-percent level,
26
suggesting that internal control quality affects the short-window ERC through the control
internal auditing, and human resources, the control environment component captures the fraud-
found in Table 4 to reduce earnings management significantly, we find here that a strong control
environment will make a firm’s financial statements more credible, enhancing a firm’s perceived
Models 3 and 4 present the long-window ERC results. In Model 3 with the dependent
level, suggesting that internal control quality affects the long-window ERC through the
firm has proper channels to collect information internally and externally; whether a firm can
communicate with the board of directors and with outside investors; whether a firm has accurate,
complete, and timely information in accounting or corporate governance; and whether a firm has
a whistle-blowing program to monitor management. Because a firm that has a strong information
system can communicate effectively to both board and investors, we find that the information
and communication component is responsible for enhancing the perceived earnings quality in the
long-term. This component is related to the long-term cumulative abnormal returns, because
firms with strong communications can interact with the capital market effectively, and
information about such firms is likely to be reflected in these firms’ stock prices in a timely
manner. Model 4 uses RET_L and obtains results similar to those reported in Model 3. Overall,
our Table 7 results suggest that strong internal control and corporate governance enhance the
27
perceived earnings quality in the short run, whereas effective communications with investors
7. Conclusion
internal control index for 99% of all public firms in China, because the lack of internal control
regulations during our sample period presents an interesting setting in which the diversity of
internal control quality is preserved. Two distinctive features set our internal control index apart
from the information currently available under SOX 404 in the U.S. First, our index
comprehensively evaluates a firm’s internal control based on the COSO framework, expanding
the scope from controls over financial reporting to those over business operations and regulatory
compliance. Specifically, our index builds upon the five COSO elements integral to internal
communication, and monitoring. Second, our index quantitatively measures a firm’s internal
control using AHP, which is designed for analyzing complex decisions. We find that our internal
control index is negatively associated with earnings management, suggesting that better internal
controls improve firms’ financial reporting. This finding validates our index by confirming a
known relation between internal control quality and earnings quality. Moreover, we find that our
index has a positive impact on ERC, suggesting that better internal controls make financial
reporting more credible to investors. Overall, our findings suggest that a comprehensive and
quantitative evaluation of internal control can be beneficial to the capital market. The
comprehensive evaluation system and quantitative scoring system developed in this paper could
form the basis for building similar indices in other markets or other settings.
28
Appendix 1. Creation of Internal Control Index
I. COSO Based Evaluation System
Released by COSO in 1992, the Internal Control—Integrated Framework is by far the most
authoritative literature on internal control. In this framework, internal control contains five
components: control environment, risk assessment, control activities, information and
communication, and monitoring. Because the five-component structure optimizes the internal
control system, integrates different understandings, and constructs a comprehensive conceptual
framework; it enables the COSO framework to gain acceptance by regulators, such as SEC and
PCAOB, and to form the foundation of SOX 404 on internal controls.
The five government agencies, including the Ministry of Finance, the China Securities
Regulatory Commission (CSRC), the National Audit Office, the Banking Regulatory
Commission, and the Insurance Regulatory Commission, jointly issued The Basic Standards for
Enterprise Internal Control (Basic Standards) on May 22, 2008 and Implementation Guidelines
for Enterprise Internal Control (Guidelines) on April 26, 2010. The Guidelines contain three
parts: Guidelines for Application of Enterprise Internal Control, Guidelines for Evaluation of
Enterprise Internal Control, and Guidelines for Audit of Enterprise Internal Control.
Often referred to as “the SOX in China,” the Basic Standards are the most authoritative
regulations on internal control in China. The Basic Standards and the Guidelines use the COSO
framework as a reference, and take into consideration the internal control implementation
situation in China. In the Basic Standards and the Guidelines, internal control contains the same
five components proposed in the COSO framework. Mainly based on the Basic Standard and the
Guidelines, the design of our index also takes into consideration the requirements in other
regulations, including Internal Control Guidelines for Public Companies Listed in Shenzhen
Stock Exchange, Internal Control Guidelines for Public Companies Listed in Shanghai Stock
Exchange, Code of Corporate Governance for Listed Companies in China, Company Law of the
People's Republic of China, and Guidelines for the Articles of Association of Listed Companies.
The design of our index further incorporates the related internal control research on international
firms and Chinese firms,
Our internal control starts with five first-level items, the same as the five components in the
COSO framework. Each of the first-level items will then contain more evaluation items. As
shown in Appendix Table C, the final evaluation system contains four levels. A code is given to
each item at each level. For example, the codes for the first item in the first three levels are IC1,
IC11 and IC111, respectively. For the fourth level, the code is defined as, for example, IC11101.
The first three numbers (111) represent the first three levels to which this item is affiliated. If
there is no third level for a particular item, then the first two numbers are presented. Overall,
there are five first-level items, 24 second-level items, 43 third-level items, and 144 fourth-level
items. In addition, there is a special sub-category—Punishment and Other Negative Event—for
three first-level items: Control Environment, Control Activities, and Information and
Communication). If a punishment or other negative event exists, then the overall score for this
first-level item will be reduced at a pre-specified percentage.
II. AHP Based Scoring System
29
Since each item in the evaluation system has differential influence on a firm’s internal control,
this means that we need to weight each item differently to improve credibility of the
comprehensive internal control index. Consisting of different levels with both qualitative and
quantitative information, the internal control evaluation system is appropriate for the systematic
application of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). AHP is a structured technique for
organizing and analyzing complex decisions, providing a scientific and simple method to
perform a quantitative analysis for a qualitative problem. Based on mathematics and psychology,
it was developed by Thomas L. Saaty in the 1970s and has been extensively used in a wide range
of decision situations. According to Saaty (2008a), AHP first decomposes a complex decision
problem into a hierarchy of more easily comprehended sub-problems and then carries out the
qualitative and quantitative analyses of each sub-problem. AHP next makes pairwise
comparisons of the same-level items in every sub-hierarchy, analyzing their relative impact on an
element in the hierarchy above them. As discussed in Saaty (2008b), a critical feature of AHP is
that human judgments, in addition to the underlying information, can be used in performing the
evaluations. The AHP analysis process of our system is as follows.
(i) Hierarchy Construction
The first step in applying AHP is to model the internal control evaluation problem as a hierarchy.
First, we need to analyze the decision problem in-depth, extracting relevant factors and
determining the relations among different factors. Second, we arrange different factors into an
analytic hierarchy, in which each factor belongs to a certain hierarchy and is assigned to a factor
in the upper hierarchy. The internal control evaluation system contains five hierarchies in the
following top-to-bottom order: overall objectives, sub-objectives, standards, sub-standards, and
plan executions. The overall objective level represents the internal control index; the sub-
objective level contains the five components from the COSO internal control framework (the
five first-level items); and the standard level, the sub-standard level, and the plan execution level
are all expansions of the sub-objective level. As shown in Appendix Figure 1, each item in the
2nd, 3rd, 4th level belongs to one and only one item from the upper level.
Sub-objective IC1 control environment IC2 risk assessment IC3 control activities IC4 IC5
30
(ii) Judgment Matrix
Once the hierarchy is built for evaluating internal control, pairwise comparisons of the same-
level items are performed for the sub-objective level, analyzing their relative importance to the
same assigned elements in the hierarchy above them. After the comparison, each of the two
items receives a score according to its relative importance. To perform the pairwise comparisons,
we need to establish a judgment matrix according to Saaty’s AHP 1-9 Scale presented in
Appendix Table A. The AHP 1-9 Scale is aimed at improving judgment accuracy and, therefore,
weight credibility.
i
10 Between 2,4,6,8,1/2,1/4,1/6,1/8
The above technique uses the Delphi method to create the judgment matrix. Under this approach,
experts compare the relative importance between two factors, and assign a value to each factor
based on the AHP 1-9 Scale. Appendix Table B presents the judgment matrix for items at the
sub-objective level. For example, Control Environment is judged to “be slightly more important”
than Risk Assessment, so the value for Control Environment is 3 according to #2 on the AHP 1-9
Scale, and the value for Risk Assessment is 1/3 according to #6 on the AHP 1-9 Scale. The rest of
the values are given analogously. Note that a value of 2 means that it is between a value of 1 and
a value of 3, according to #10 on the AHP 1-9 Scale.
31
Appendix Table B. Judgment Matrix for Items at the Sub-Objective Level
Control Environment 1 3 2 3 3
Because there are too many items at the plan execution level, it is difficult to perform the
pairwise comparisons. As a result, we use the objective evaluation method to calculate the
weight based on observed values. The objective evaluation method uses the variation coefficient.
Under the variation coefficient method, the weight is based on the variation coefficient that
reflects the differences in information between items. According to Li (2005), “the variation
coefficient method reflects the dynamics of the weight. Since there is not a long history of the
listed company development and the whole environment is not steady, the weight from this
method can better reflect the differences between items.”20 For example, there are three fourth-
level items (IC11101, IC11102, and IC11103) under the item Institution Establishment (IC111).
If the variation coefficient for IC11101 accounts for 1/4 of the sum of the variation coefficients
for these three fourth-level items, then the weight for IC11101 is 0.25.
19
YAAHP is software for AHP, available for download from the website of Beijing Xinshengyun Software Co.
(http://www.foreology.com/product/yaahp.html). Many other AHP software packages and Excel templates are
commercially available. For example, Saaty's consulting company gives access to its AHP software at
http://www.superdecisions.com/.
20
Li, Weian. 2005. Corporation Governance Evaluation and Index Research. Higher Education Press: Beijing.
32
Using the aforementioned methods, we can obtain the weight for each item in the hierarchy.
Without loss of generality, the impact factor for each item at the fourth level is the product of all
the weights for items on its hierarchical path, including the weight of the fourth level item and
excluding the weight of the first-level item. For example, let us focus on the leftmost path in the
internal control evaluation hierarchy shown in Appendix Figure 1. If the weights are 0.25 for
IC11101, 0.2 for IC111, and 0.4 for IC11, respectively, then the impact factor on our index for
IC11101 is calculated as the product of these three values or 0.25*0.2*0.4=0.02.
where is our overall internal control index, is the control environment index, is
the risk assessment index, is the control activities index, is the information and
communication index, is the monitoring Index, and is the weight of the ith item at the first
level (i=1,2,3,4,5). Further,
(∑ ) ( )
where is the value of the jth item at the fourth level associated with the ith item at the first
level, is the impact factor of the jth item at the fourth level on the associated ith item at the first
level, Pi is the deduction ratio for the special category—Punishment and Other Negative Event—
at the first level. For example, Pi is equal to 50% if a firm’s executives, directors, or supervisors
receive any punishment from the Ministry of Justice, Ministry of Finance, CSRC or
Shanghai/Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
Our final internal control index is a percentage score with the highest being 100% and the lowest
being 0.
33
Appendix Table C. Internal Control Evaluation System
IC11202:Ownership To be 0.02
IC112: percentage of institutional standardized
shareholders
Shareholders
Composition IC11203:Number of To be 4.00
institutional shareholders in the standardized
top 10 shareholder list
34
IC11303:Any committee in 1 for yes, 0 1.00
charge of internal control for no
(audit committee or risk
management committee at the
board level)?
IC11305:Percentage of To be 0.33
independent directors on the standardized
board
IC11307:Number of To be 0.00
dissenting proposals by standardized
independent directors
IC11401:Number of To be 3.00
members in the board of standardized
supervisors
IC11405:Number of To be 0.00
dissenting proposals by standardized
supervisors
35
IC11502:Percentage of To be 0.33
executives on the board standardized
IC11504:Percentage of To be 0.00
shares owned by the standardized
management
IC121:
the execution level)?
Audit
Internal Control
IC12102:Does the internal 1 for yes, 0 1.00
Implementation
audit department report to the for no
board?
36
IC13201: Does the human 1 for yes, 0 1.00
resource policy contain for no
provisions on salaries?
level, 0
IC141:
otherwise
Morality
37
IC14201: Percentage of the To be 0.66
staff with at least a junior standardized
IC142: college education
IC14202: Any employee 1 for yes, 0 1.00
Competence
training carried out by the for no
company?
38
IC21101: Any objective for 1 for yes, 0 0.00
Objective
IC21:
risk management? for no
Setting
IC22101: Any committee or 1 for yes, 0 1.00
department for risk for no
IC221:
management?
Risk Evaluation
IC22102: Any risk evaluation 1 for yes, 0 1.00
disclosed in the annual report? for no
39
IC22305: Any technology risk 1 for yes, 0 0.00
disclosed? for no
tolerance? for no
40
IC31101: Any control for 1 for yes, 0 1.00
incompatible separation of for no
duties?
the company?
IC3:Control Activities
inventories? yes
41
IC35101:Any operational 1 for yes, 0 1.00
IC35:Operating
analysis? for no
Control
analysis?
Control
42
IC41101:Any channel for 1 for yes, 0 1.00
IC41:Information
internal communication of for no
Collection
information?
43
IC42303:Are all resolutions 1 for yes, 0 1.00
from meetings of the board of for no
supervisors disclosed?
44
IC43101:Any information 1 for yes, 0 1.00
department or information for no
security department?
IC43:Information System
45
IC511: IC51101:Any inspection of 1 for yes, 0 1.00
internal control from the for no
Monitoring from
internal audit department?
Internal Control
Department
46
IC53101:Any internal control 1 for yes, 0 1.00
evaluation report? for no
control?
47
IC53113:Number of pages in To be 167.00
the financial report standardized
Note: For item whose score is “To be standardized,” the standardized score is calculated as the actual
value for this item by the maximum value of the same item from all the public companies. For example, if
the actual number of words in the internal control evaluation report for Xiamen Guomao is 5,911 and the
maximum number of words is 10,000 from the internal control evaluation reports for all public firms,
then the standardized score on this item for Xiamen Guomao is 0.5911(5911/10000).
48
Appendix 2. Variable Definition
Variables Definitions
Dependent Variables
MJDA The absolute value of modified Jones model discretionary accruals proposed in Dechow et al.
(1995). The specific model is as follows.
TAit 0 1(1 / LagAsset ) 2 ((REV AR) / LagAsset )it 3 ( PPE / LagAsset )it it
where TA, the total accruals, is net income before extraordinary items minus operating cash flows
scaled by LagAsset; LagAsset is total assets at the beginning of the fiscal year; ΔREV is equal to
net sales in year t less net sales in year t- 1; ΔAR is equal to accounts receivables in year t less
accounts receivables in year t- 1; PPE is net property, plant and equipment. MJDA takes the
absolute value of modified Jones model discretionary accruals, obtained as the residuals from an
industry-by-industry cross-sectional regression of the above equation. A constant is included in
the estimation model to control for heteroskedasticity, to mitigate problems stemming from an
omitted size variable, and to generate more symmetric accrual measures (Kothari et al. ,2005).
PMJDA The absolute value of performance-controlled modified Jones model discretionary accruals
proposed in Kothari et al. (2005). It is a measure of discretionary accruals based on the modified
Jones model controlling for performance by including the prior year’s ROA in the estimation of
expected accruals. The specific model is as follows.
TAit 0 1 (1 / LagAsset ) 2 ((REV AR) / LagAsset )it 3 ( PPE / LagAsset )it 4 LagROAit it
where LagROA is the prior year’s return on assets. All other variables have the same definitions
as those for MJDA. A constant is included in the estimation model to control for
heteroskedasticity, to mitigate problems stemming from an omitted size variable, and to increase
the power of the test by generating more symmetric accrual measures.
PDCA The absolute value of performance-controlled discretionary current accruals proposed in
Ashbaugh et al. (2003). The performance-controlled discretionary current accruals is the
discretionary current accruals measure, controlling for performance by including the prior year’s
ROA in the estimation of expected accruals. The specific model is as follows.
CAit 1 (1 / LagAsset ) 2 (REV / LagAsset )it 3 LagROAit it
where CA, current accruals, is net income before extraordinary items plus depreciation and
amortization minus operating cash flows, scaled by beginning of year total assets. All other
variables have the same definitions as those for MJDA. The parameters from an industry-by-
industry cross-sectional regression of the above equation are used to calculate the expected
current accruals estimate with a performance control:
ECAit 1 (1 / LagAsset ) 2 ((REV AR) / LagAsset )it 3 LagROAit it
The performance-controlled discretionary current accruals is equal to CA minus ECA, estimating
discretionary current accruals by controlling for performance on a firm-specific basis. PDCA
takes the absolute value of performance-controlled discretionary current accruals.
Independent Variables
IC_INDEX Our self-constructed internal control index based on the COSO framework and the AHP method
LNMV Natural logarithm of a firm’s market value of equity at the beginning of the year
SEGMENT Natural logarithm of a firm’s business segments
FOREIGN 1 if a firm has foreign revenue; 0 otherwise
STDSALES The standard deviation of sales, which is scaled by total assets, calculated over the past three
years
STDCFOS The standard deviation of operating cash flow, which is scaled by average assets, calculated over
the past three years
49
ST 1 if a firm has a “special treatment” designation; 0 otherwise. When a public firm has abnormal
financial or other conditions that make it hard for investors to assess its business prospects, the
security exchanges will apply special treatments to this firm’s stock transactions, including (1)
adding “ST” to the ticker symbol, and (2) limiting to the daily stock price appreciation or
depreciation to no more than five percent.
LEV Total liabilities divided by total assets at the beginning of the year
BIG4 1 if a Big 4 client; 0 otherwise
M&A 1 if a firm has conducted merger & acquisitions in the past three years; 0 otherwise
INVENTORY Inventory valued at cost scaled by total assets
OPERCYCLE Log[360/(COGS/Average Inventories) + 360/(revenue/average accounts receivable)]
MB Market value of equity divided by book value of equity
LNAGE Natural logarithm of a firm’s age
Variables Definitions
Dependent Variables
CAR_S The three-day market-adjusted cumulative abnormal returns covering the day before, the
day of, and the day after a firm’s earnings announcement. CAR_S=∑(Rit-RMt), where Rit
is the daily return for firm i in day t and RMt is daily value-weighted return for the market
in day t.
RET_S The three-day cumulative raw returns covering the day before, the day of, and the day after
a firm’s earnings announcement.
CAR_L The twelve-month market-adjusted cumulative abnormal return from May in the current
year to April in the following year. CAR_L=∑(Rit-RMt), where Rit is the monthly return
for firm i in month t and RMt is the monthly return for the market in month t.
RET_L The twelve-month cumulative raw return for a firm from May in the current year to April
in the following year. RET_L=∑Rit, where Rit is the monthly return for firm i in month t.
Independent Variables
IC_INDEX The Internal Control Index developed by the Xiamen University research group
UE Unexpected earnings, which is equal to the difference between the earnings per share
before extraordinary items for this period and those for the last period, divided by the
closing price of the last trading day in April.
NEG Equals 1 if UE<0; 0 otherwise
LNMV Natural logarithm of a firm’s market value at the beginning of the year
MB Market value of equity to book value of equity at the beginning of the year
LEV Ratio of total liabilities over total assets at the beginning of the year
BETA A firm’s beta, calculated with the market model. We require at least 100 trading days
during the 250-day estimation window ending 20 days prior to the release of annual
financial statements
50
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54
Table 1. Sample Selection
Excluding Firms:
In Financial Industry 118 118 118
Without Internal Control Indices 67 67 67
With Missing Information to Calculate
Measures of Earnings Management 137
With Missing Information to calculate
CAR 242 122
With Missing Control Variables 246 687 845
CSMAR (China Stock Market & Accounting Research) Database is designed and developed by GTA
Information Technology, one of the major providers of China data. CSMAR is the comprehensive
database for Chinese business research. CSMAR covers data on the Chinese stock market, financial
statements, and China Corporate Governance of Chinese Listed Firms.
RESSET is a vendor that specializes in providing financial information and service product in China and
supplies data needed in empirical research and investment analysis in economics, finance, and accounting
areas. The RESSET Financial Research Database (RESSET/DB) includes 10 series, such as stock, fixed-
income, fund, macroeconomics, and Hong Kong stock. It has over 60 databases, 500 Chinese datasets and
related English datasets, and about 15,000 variables covering a wide range and complete historical
information.
55
Table 2. Descriptive Statistics for the Discretionary Accruals Sample
This table provides summary statistics of the sample for analyzing earnings management. All variables are defined
in Appendix 2.
56
Table 3. Effect of Internal Control Index on Discretionary Accruals
This table uses OLS regressions to examine the effect of our internal control index on measures of earnings
management. MJDA is the absolute value of modified Jones model discretionary accruals proposed in Dechow et al.
(1995). PMJDA is the absolute value of performance-controlled modified Jones model discretionary accruals
proposed in Kothari et al. (2005). PDCA is the absolute value of performance-controlled discretionary current
accruals proposed in Ashbaugh et al. (2003). All variables are defined in Appendix 2. The regression coefficients are
reported in the upper rows, whereas the t-statistics are reported in the lower rows. *, **, and *** denote two-tailed
significance at the ten-, five-, and one-percent levels, respectively.
57
Table 4. Effect of Components of Internal Control Index on Discretionary Accruals
58
This table uses OLS regressions to examine the effect of components of our internal control index on various
measures of earnings management. MJDA is the absolute value of modified Jones model discretionary accruals
proposed in Dechow et al. (1995). PMJDA is the absolute value of performance-controlled modified Jones model
discretionary accruals proposed in Kothari et al. (2005). PDCA is the absolute value of performance-controlled
discretionary current accruals proposed in Ashbaugh et al. (2003). All variables are defined in Appendix 2. The
regression coefficients are reported in the upper rows, whereas the t-statistics are reported in the lower rows. *, **,
and *** denote two-tailed significance at the ten-, five-, and one-percent levels, respectively.
59
Table 5. Descriptive Statistics for the ERC Sample
60
TABLE 6. Effect of Internal Control Index on Earnings Response Coefficients
This table uses OLS regressions to examine the effect of our internal control index on earnings response coefficients
(ERC). The sample size is 5,617 for the short-window analyses in Models 1 and 2 and 5,579 for the long-window
analyses in Models 3 and 4. All variables are defined in Appendix 2. The regression coefficients are reported in the
upper rows, whereas the t-statistics are reported in the lower rows. *, **, and *** denote two-tailed significance at
the ten-, five-, and one-percent levels, respectively.
61
Table 7. Effect of Components of Internal Control Index on Earnings Response
Coefficients
This table uses OLS regressions to examine the effect of components of our internal control index on earnings
response coefficients (ERC). The sample size is 5,617 for the short-window analyses in Models 1 and 2 and 5,579
for the long-window analyses in Models 3 and 4. All variables are defined in Appendix 2. The regression
coefficients are reported in the upper rows, whereas the t-statistics are reported in the lower rows. *, **, and ***
denote two-tailed significance at the ten-, five-, and one-percent levels, respectively.
62