Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th Edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th Edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
Introduction
Chapter 1
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.2
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.3
Examples of Derivatives
• Forward Contracts
• Futures Contracts
• Swaps
• Options
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.4
Derivatives Markets
• Exchange traded
– Traditionally exchanges have used the open-
outcry system, but increasingly they are switching
to electronic trading
– Contracts are standard there is virtually no credit
risk
• Over-the-counter (OTC)
– A computer- and telephone-linked network of
dealers at financial institutions, corporations, and
fund managers
– Contracts can be non-standard and there is some
small amount of credit risk
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.5
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.6
Forward Contracts
• A forward contract is an agreement to buy
or sell an asset at a certain time in the future
for a certain price (the delivery price)
• It can be contrasted with a spot contract
which is an agreement to buy or sell
immediately
• It is traded in the OTC market
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.7
Foreign Exchange Quotes for
GBP on Aug 16, 2001 (See page 3)
Bid Offer
Spot 1.4452 1.4456
1-month forward 1.4435 1.4440
3-month forward 1.4402 1.4407
6-month forward 1.4353 1.4359
12-month forward 1.4262 1.4268
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.8
Forward Price
• The forward price for a contract is the
delivery price that would be applicable
to the contract if were negotiated
today (i.e., it is the delivery price that
would make the contract worth exactly
zero)
• The forward price may be different for
contracts of different maturities
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.9
Terminology
• The party that has agreed to buy
has what is termed a long position
• The party that has agreed to sell
has what is termed a short
position
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.10
Example (page 3)
• On August 16, 2001 the treasurer of a
corporation enters into a long forward
contract to buy £1 million in six months
at an exchange rate of 1.4359
• This obligates the corporation to pay
$1,435,900 for £1 million on February
16, 2002
• What are the possible outcomes?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.11
Profit from a
Long Forward Position
Profit
Price of Underlying
K at Maturity, ST
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.12
Profit from a
Short Forward Position
Profit
Price of Underlying
K at Maturity, ST
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.13
Futures Contracts
• Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a
certain price at a certain time
• Similar to forward contract
• Whereas a forward contract is traded
OTC, a futures contract is traded on an
exchange
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.14
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.15
1. Gold: An Arbitrage
Opportunity?
• Suppose that:
- The spot price of gold is US$300
- The 1-year forward price of gold is
US$340
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5%
per annum
• Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
(We ignore storage costs and gold lease rate)?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.16
2. Gold: Another Arbitrage
Opportunity?
• Suppose that:
- The spot price of gold is US$300
- The 1-year forward price of gold
is US$300
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is
5% per annum
• Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.17
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.18
1. Oil: An Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Suppose that:
- The spot price of oil is US$19
- The quoted 1-year futures price of
oil is US$25
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is
5% per annum
- The storage costs of oil are 2%
per annum
• Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.19
2. Oil: Another Arbitrage
Opportunity?
• Suppose that:
- The spot price of oil is US$19
- The quoted 1-year futures price of
oil is US$16
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is
5% per annum
- The storage costs of oil are 2%
per annum
• Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.20
Options
• A call option is • A put is an
an option to buy option to sell a
a certain asset certain asset by
by a certain a certain date
date for a for a certain
certain price price (the strike
(the strike price)
price)
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.22
30 Profit ($)
20
10 Terminal
30 40 50 60 stock price ($)
0
-5 70 80 90
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.23
-20
-30
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.24
30 Profit ($)
20
10 Terminal
stock price ($)
0
60 70 80 90 100 110 120
-7
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.25
-20
-30
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
Payoffs from Options 1.26
Payoff Payoff
K
K ST ST
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.27
Types of Traders
• Hedgers
• Speculators
• Arbitrageurs
Some of the large trading losses in
derivatives occurred because individuals
who had a mandate to hedge risks switched
to being speculators
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.28
Hedging Examples (page 11)
• A US company will pay £10 million for
imports from Britain in 3 months and
decides to hedge using a long position
in a forward contract
• An investor owns 1,000 Microsoft
shares currently worth $73 per share. A
two-month put with a strike price of $65
costs $2.50. The investor decides to
hedge by buying 10 contracts
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.29
Speculation Example
• An investor with $4,000 to invest feels
that Cisco’s stock price will increase
over the next 2 months. The current
stock price is $20 and the price of a 2-
month call option with a strike of 25 is
$1
• What are the alternative strategies?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull
1.30
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 5th edition © 2002 by John C. Hull