India's Jobless Growth in Recent Times:: Name: Kunal Thakre Roll No: 2020BLP031
India's Jobless Growth in Recent Times:: Name: Kunal Thakre Roll No: 2020BLP031
In recent times India’s GDP growing more than 7% for the last decade and a half but the economy could
not generate enough employment.
In India growth is attributed to service sector whereby both employment and wages have seen a rise. But
as figures say, the biggest employing sector in India is the Agriculture sector, employing 45% of the
population but contributing 15% to the GDP, whereas Service sector is the biggest contributor to the GDP
but employs less than 30%. IT and Financial services are drivers of service sector growth in last 2 decades
however both of these sector are not employment intensive. Thus contributing to jobless growth in India.
As per 66th round of the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) data on employment in 2011 revealed that
between 2004-05 and 2009-10, only 1 million jobs were added per year in a period when the economy
averaged a record 8.43% growth annually.
An Indian Labour Bureau survey of 2015 showed that 2,000 companies in eight sampled industries
generated all of one lakh jobs, a fall from the four lakh generated in 2014 even though growth in 2014 was
lower than in 2015.
A HDFC Bank report on India’s tapering jobs growth says that “employment elasticity” in the economy is
now close to zero – for every one point rise in GDP, jobs grow only 0.15. Fifteen years ago, it was 0.39.
According to data compiled by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) the unemployment rate
rose to 7.2% in February 2019, the worst in 28 months. Meanwhile, the labour force is down 25.7 million
since September 2016 and the number of employed persons has declined by 18.3 million in the same
period.
Solutions:
1.Improving the labour market information system where emerging demand for skills are spotted quickly
and the necessary training and certifications for the same are created.
2. Quick improvements in public-private partnership in capturing demand for skills and following through
with quick investments in skill-building to match demand with supply.
3. Jobs and skills planning should be decentralized and it has to be done at state and district levels, where
there is granular information on education, skills and job options.
4.Implementing a new model of manufacturing which is high-skilled and where high-end cottage
manufacturing can create employment at the small scale level.
5.If urbanization is good and well planned, then job growth will be positive. Government should
concentrate on the development of towns and narrow areas and service it with good infrastructure to
generate employment alongside development.
6.Government should concentrate on skill development of human resource which is suitable as per the
demand of the market.
7.Millions of jobs will be displaced by artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, and automation in near future,
but new jobs can be created if the balance between human workers and machines can be maintained.
8.If government starts spending on public goods (schools, hospitals, dams, roads etc) instead of spending
on freebies (deep subsidies on food, farm loan waivers etc) the capacity of government to create
employment increases.