The State of Fintech and Fraud in 2019
The State of Fintech and Fraud in 2019
Table of content
XAMINING CURRENT AND FUTURE TRENDS FOR THE SECURITY OF
E
ONLINE BANKING, INSURANCE, LENDING AND PAYMENT PROVIDERS.
5 KEY TAKEAWAYS
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The State of Fintech and Fraud in 2019 2019
Introduction
12,000
12,000 estimated number of fintech
startups worldwide (Statista)
$$ 4,7
4,7 T estimated worldwide fintech
market (Goldman Sachs)
$$ 150
150 B value of the biggest fintech in the world,
Chinese company Ant Financial (CNBC)
88
88 % percentage of legacy banking organizations who
fear losing revenue to fintech startups (PWC)
$$ 380
380 B estimated market value of currently unbanked
civilians around the world (Raconteur)
Fintechs are already completely transforming the financial landscape. There are now
more than 12,000 fintech startups worldwide, and Goldman Sachs estimates the
worldwide fintech market to be worth $4.7 Trillion.
Redrawing the lines of the financial industry, however, does not happen overnight, nor
without disruption. Following the 2008 credit crisis, an increase in regulations, heavy
non-compliance fines and penalties created the perfect momentum to punish legacy
banking institutions, and foster innovation with the young newcomers.
In this ebook, we’ll examine the disruption caused by fintech startups, the adjustments
made by large financial institutions, and the challenges faced by both types of
organizations - with a specific focus on the increasing burden of online fraud.
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What is Driving
the Fintech Boom
THE BROADER FINTECH CATEGORY
CAN BE SEGMENTED INTO FOUR VARIANTS
Low High
Scale
Aside for the aforementioned catalyst that was the 2008 credit crisis, a number of
market forces are creating the ideal ecosystem for fintechs to flourish, whether they
are challenger banks or online loan providers.
55 53 % 42 68 39
The world’s ongoing appetite for smartphone use is without a doubt driving
the transition from a cash-driven society to one that favours digitized financial
services. According to the GMSA 2019 report of the state of the mobile economy,
the number of mobile internet users is expected to reach 5 Billion by 2025,
growing at a CAGR of 4.8%.
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And the list of digitized financial services continues to grow. While nobody would
have imagined using a QR code to say, pay for an electricity bill a decade ago, it
is just one of the numerous processes facilitated by mobile adoption, along with
loan application, mobile banking and insurance purchases, amongst others.
These days, even your local corner coffee shop needs to offer in-store as well as
desktop and mobile ordering options. This means accepting physical payment
in cash, credit, debit, gift cards, as well as digital payments from mobile wallets
on phones and wearables, money transfers from apps, and sometimes even in a
variety of cryptocurrencies.
Here is, for instance, a list of the payment methods accepted at Starbucks,
according to their website:
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Friction increasingly becomes the battleground where customers are won or lost.
And fintechs were quick to realize that a seamless user experience is now a must
for organizations. Challenger banks such as TransferWise, Revolut or Mondo,
who benefited from reforms such as the Financial Services Act of 2012 in the
UK, are now renowned for their ease of use, flexibility, and online-only operations.
This fantastic user experience is now setting the bar for other organizations.
Customers want to access financial products and services fast, at all times,
on-the-go, and seamlessly. Whether it’s to apply for a loan or request an
insurance quote, waiting in line at a brick and mortar location that only opens
during working hours is increasingly unacceptable.
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As we’ll see in our future trends section, big data is a key tool for fintechs to
provide better and more efficient service to customers. Whether it’s for customer
segmentation, personalised services, risk management or fraud detection,
transactional data has tremendous business-boosting value for fintechs,
and that source isn’t set to dry out any time soon as the world’s digital footprint
continues to increase.
For instance, let’s look at the example of tax preparation software. The cost of
adding a new client is essentially zero: the software is already built no matter
how many clients there are. There might be server and storage expenses, but
in the digital age these costs are negligible, especially when contrasted with a
traditional tax prep firm where every additional customer requires setting up a
new, fully staffed branch to set up accounts.
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The State of Fintech and Fraud in 2019 2019
30.8
.
p
.a
0%
+5
18.3
$ billion 16.8
14.9
8.0
3.2
2.5
1.8
VCs, in short, love fintechs. In fact, the market now includes 30 VC-backed
unicorns, worth a combined $147.37 billion. As the money pours in, it attracts
more competitors, fueling innovation and growth for the organizations that
manage to stay ahead of the customer-traction game.
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Key Trends
for the Future of Fintech
50 % $ 200 M
percentage of global payments investments poured into regtech
predicted to flow through fintech companies since 2017
channels by 2022 (McKinsey) (FinTech Global)
80 % 50 B
percentage of large banks set
number of devices to be connected
to support fintechs application
to the Internet (IoT) by 2020
development through open
(Cisco)
banking (FData)
To better understand where fintechs are headed, we aggregated and analyzed the
insights of industry leaders in a variety of verticals such as digital banking, payment
gateways, and added our own data as fraud prevention experts. Below are the points
most touched upon, in order of importance:
By far the most repeated prediction involves the changing nature of the relationship
between fintechs and traditional financial institutions. Fintech companies will
shift from disruptors to partners in the financial services world, bringing a
synergy of strengths to the industry.
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Fintech partnerships should also allow companies to grow. One point emphasized
by The Financial Brand, for instance, is that fintechs currently lack the ability to
scale due to a lack of brand recognition. This is all set to be a thing of the past
once they partner with banking leaders.
However, we should note that banks and credit unions are still cautions around
partnerships, and sceptics abound. Their real goal is to find the right mix of fintech
solutions and traditional banking and to play to the tried and true strengths of
each type of organization while also opening up to new opportunities to access
tools that will empower consumers and reinvigorate marketing opportunities.
While for decades banks have sought to become more “vertical,” offering services
from top to bottom, many new entrants want to be “horizontal,” dominating a
lucrative specialty. They’re going after things like account aggregation or back-
office enablement, which historically all made a small part of a banking giant’s
series of financial services.
In the UK alone, there are currently 62 registered third-party providers who plan
to take advantage of a fragmenting value chain. Stripe, now a leader as a 7-year-
old specialist payments, commands a valuation which isn’t too far from that of
Deutsche Bank – a sign that horizontal can be very attractive. The upcoming
years will see more fragmentation — and possibly efforts to re-bundle those
components.
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Finally, it’s worth pointing that serving a segment of one is not limited to individual
consumers. Banks and credit unions will also focus their efforts on the small and
medium enterprise (SME) segment and the needs of individual businesses.
One key consequence of the customer-focused approach is that the services will
increasingly be designed with ease of access in mind. As opposed to technology
taking a secondary position, supporting only the processing of transactions,
future technologies will be more customer-centric and efficient, providing more
targeted, secure and intelligent solutions through a frictionless experience.
Friction, in fact, will become the new battleground where users are won or lost
as financial service providers increasingly find a clear correlation between their
quality of customer experience and business performance metrics. Like with
the retailing industry, consumer expectations and the cost of alternative forms
of delivery will redefine the way the banking industry is structured. Whether it’s
through faster credit scoring or AI-driven assistance, users will want to access
services fast, on-the-go, and at all times.
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One consensus from experts and industry insiders is that regulatory complexity
within countries and across regions is set to increase, changing the current
“winner takes all” approach that local fintechs have historically benefited from.
But individual US states require licenses for money transfer, which makes US
expansion more cumbersome for European operators. It is a pattern we see
repeated across a number of regional markets as they mature. To successfully
enter new markets, fintechs will need to adapt to growing sets of market dynamics
and government regulations. They will need to carefully select new markets
based on a clear understanding of regional variations to avoid bans and heavy
fines at the local level, which could damage a global expansion.
As quickly as past technologies have become the norm, a new wave will combine
digital technologies and the power of data to set new standards. In fact, many of
the new technologies that are currently threatening the banking industry will be
turned into significant opportunities.
Organizations big and small will therefore boost their efforts to leverage:
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assets, which is designed to build trust, loyalty and increase security for its
customers.
• IoT (Internet of Things): PwC predicts that by 2020, more than 50 billion
devices will be connected to the Internet. It forecasts that the IoT revenue will
exceed $3 trillion in 2020. By integrating IoT into FinTech, banks and other
financial institutions can enhance data protection and customer service,
while wearables can become a powerful branding tool. Certain wearable
devices such as smartwatches will also facilitate digital payments.
• Voice banking: Ally Bank, Mercantile Bank of Michigan, and Capital One
already offer voice banking features. While the tasks you can currently
perform with voice banking are limited it isn’t too far fetched to believe many
banking tasks will be done by voice in the near future, such as transferring
money and applying for mortgages.
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Fintech’s Increasing
Range of Digital Threats
CyberSecurity Attacks
Direct attacks Lost fintech services and products
Regulatory fines
Cyber threats will continue to damage fintechs past 2019, as criminals increase the
sophistication, frequency, and strength of their attacks. We therefore expect fintechs
to up their investment in security tools significantly, with large institutions acquiring
cybersecurity solutions themselves to counter both deterministic and probabilistic
hacking methods.
The 2A Deloitte survey predicts cyber monitoring and operations to account for the
largest investments, followed by endpoint and network security. Apart from security
technology, banks will need to invest in talent to combat the serious security skills
shortage that have prevailed up to now, both to prevent cyberattacks, and the ongoing
threat of online fraud.
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• Direct attacks: hacking via brute force, server overloads to block systems
(DDoS attacks), ransomware, and generally attempting to extract value from
security weak spots.
• Intentional harm by employees: stolen, leaked, or sold data can find itself in
the hands of hackers thanks to disgruntled employees.
• Accidental data loss: displaced or lost devices will make things harder to
control in the age of IoT and mass smartphone adoption.
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There was a 45% increase in account takeover attacks (ATO) between 2017-18, a
trend that shows no signs of slowing down. Customer data is increasingly valuable
for criminals, and just as costly for organizations, particularly in the fintech industry.
But don’t just rely on the statistics that claim $57.8 Billion was lost to fraud in 2018,
because it’s only part of the whole picture. In fact, it is estimated that every dollar
lost to fraud ends up costing organization up to three dollars in indirect damages.
The direct costs include:
• Defaulting clients: money that lenders will never see back after it’s been
borrowed.
• Wasted marketing costs: the price associated with attempting to attract new
clients, who end up damaging your business rather than growing it.
• Regulatory fines: adding insult to injury, many organizations have to pay the
price of allowing fraudsters in through government fines – especially in the
financial sector.
Indirect losses might not be as easy to measure, but they are just as costly:
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And more specifically: how can they deploy effective prevention systems
when mistakes and errors from other companies increase vulnerability? Stolen
identities and compromised data-points result in hard-to-spot activities, so any
information leak or data breach from other organizations may still affect your
business. Which is why it is so important to keep your eyes on the bigger picture
when designing and planning a risk management process.
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Fraud Fighting
for Fintechs
$ 57,8 45
estimated cost of fraud increase in fraud attacks
to businesses in 2018 due to account takeovers
(PYMNTS) between 2017-18 (Javelin)
76 $3
increase in credit card fraud estimated total cost of
Australia between 2017 and 2018 fraud for every dollar lost
(Australian Payment Network) directly (Lexis Nexis)
At SEON, our mission is to reduce the losses due to fraud. What this means, in
practice, is that we have to understand how fraudsters think to fight them.
Like with many other illegal online activities, it starts with the dark web. This is
the collection websites on the internet that are encrypted, non-indexed by search
engines, and require specific tools and software to access.
One thing to note is that the dark web is fueled by cryptocurrencies. Being
anonymous (or at least very hard to track to a physical address), bitcoins, litecoins
and other cryptos are the preferred method of payment for fraudsters and
cybercriminals.
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1. Acquiring stolen data: the first step was to acquire cryptocurrencies and
purchase something called a Fullz - a package consisting of an address, date
of birth, and social security number.
4. The bank drop: loan companies will pay directly into a bank account. Fraudsters
can simply purchase one from an illegal marketplace. It will sometimes provide
a credit or debit card along with the required IBAN number.
6. The loan application: at that stage, fraudsters have already found everything
they need. But loan companies sometimes require extra document verification
proof showing at least basic information. Since it’s unlikely fraudsters already
have the exact paperwork they need, they can simply use an online service that
photoshops the right paperwork for them.
7. Cashing out: finally, fraudsters will need to wire the loan to the bank drop.
Cashing the money out from the bank drop is really easily nowadays. This
usually means sending it to a cryptocurrency exchange, where they can buy
bitcoins or other currencies, which can be used to continue purchasing goods
or more fraud tools.
The example above should make it abundantly clear that losing customer data
leads to more fraudulent attacks. Essentially, there are three points where screening
information will go a long way in crippling fraudsters:
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The first step for most online businesses is to sign up new users. Flagging
fraudulent users at this stage is the cheapest and safest solution. In our example
above, fraudsters used a Fullz and bought IP address to create a new defaulting
account whose details will look plausible to a loan company.
There are other reasons to create multiple accounts. It can be to abuse welcome
bonuses, coupons or discounts from banks. To launder money through new
accounts, apply for credit cards, or even resell the access on a marketplace.
Payment providers are hit by fraudsters who create fraudulent merchant accounts,
finance illicit activities and launder money, which can cost a lot in regulatory fines.
C
hallenges of fraud prevention: creating identity checks that create friction
can turn users away. False positives end up losing organizations a lot of
potential business.
After registration, users need to login. They must do so from a variety of devices,
browsers, locations and IP addresses. A fraudster who can access the login
information will have no problem taking over the account (ATO) and emptying a
digital wallet, changing the password to lock the legitimate user out, or purchase
items without the user’s consent.
Unfortunately, users are often careless with their login information, as 83% of them
reuse the same password for multiple sites. Moreover, some information, which
can be acquired from data breaches, cannot change depending on the platform.
For instance, Tax, card or social security info are risky ID numbers to use at login
because they are static, and fraudsters who acquire it on one platform can reuse
it on others.
C
hallenges of fraud prevention: blocking legitimate users from accessing
their accounts due to false positives leads to frustrations and loss of brand
trust. A platform known for poor ATO prevention will also gain a poor reputation
amongst users.
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This can be a number of actions depending on the platform. For loan companies, it
can be the loan application or withdrawal. For banks it can be a money transfer or
purchase. It is the last chance you have to stop a fraudster before they damage
your organization, and therefore one where your decision will matter the most.
C
hallenges of fraud prevention: because user activity is complex and covers a
wide range of options, it is difficult to have one system that tracks and monitors
all potential actions.
What kind of users should be allowed into your system, and which ones will try to
scam you in the long term. This is why at its core, effective fraud prevention should
perform three main tasks.
• Gather the data: at any of the three touchpoints above (registration, login, user
action), your system needs to be able to read the data points.
• Enrich the data: a single data point can reveal a lot if it is enriched by cross
referencing it. For instance, an email address can be compared to a known list
of addresses lost in data breaches. If it is found in an old breach, it could mean
higher authenticity, because it was previously used by someone. If an email
wasn’t found in a breach could spell trouble; it increases the likelihood of being
used by fraudsters. Similarly, linking an email address to known social media
profiles (Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn) can reveal a lot about the user’s online
presence.
• Sift through the data: all this information is designed to create rules so you
can automate your prevention or manually review ambiguous cases. Ideally,
you should be able to let an intelligent system (AI-based) flag clear fraudulent
cases and let in clear legitimate users. Only questionable cases should be sent
for manual review.
Below are examples of the kinds of features a good fraud prevention solution
should enable, and why.
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An email address is a lot like a digital passport. Since 51% of internet users
have kept theirs for more than 10 years, it’s easy enough to quickly confirm their
identity. But like real passports, it’s also easy to fake them. Email profiling therefore
enriches the data of a single email address, and lets you know if it is suspicious or
not by answering the following questions:
• Is the email address real? This is done via SMTP check: a simple, yet technical
process that will ping the email server and returns a basic answer: does it exist
or not?
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Now if you think about your own email address, it’s probably used to sign into a
number of services, especially social media platforms. These are great places to
investigate in order to validate the emails address usage.
• Social Media Profiling: this process will essentially check if the email address
has been used to sign on platforms such as LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook
etc…
Then there are databases, both internal and external, useful for fraud prevention.
It’s important to check if the email address is associated with:
• Data breaches: Are the credentials openly available? Some services track
all stolen account info, which makes it easy to see if an email address has
potentially been released in the open before.
• Blacklists: Is this user a repeat offender? Have they been caught before? By
sharing and cross referencing other blacklists, it should be easy to see if the
user is legitimate or fraudulent.
Last but not least, some subtle data points that can reveal a lot about an email
address. They all have to do with the string of letters, numbers and characters
used in the actual email address name.
• Email string analysis: Does the name on the email address resemble the user
name? Does it use a number of suspicious characters or nonsensical words?
Too many vowels vs consonant ratio? In short, this part of the system is trying
to answer the question: does this email address look suspicious or not?
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When users access your platform, they do it with two tools: a device with a
web browser or mobile application, and an Internet connection which retrieves
an IP address. This creates two data sources. They are present at signup, login,
checkout, or even when browsing a page. With the right solutions, we can extract
useful information from these data points.
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At SEON, our device fingerprinting tool checks and reveals more than 500
parameters, including:
• Screen information
• Device build
• Installed plugins
• Device number
• Battery information
One of the most important features of our device fingerprinting tool, however, is
the generation of specific hashes. You can think of them as unique IDs, created
based on specific parameters:
• Cookie Hash: Creates an ID for each browser session. Clearing the browser
cookies and cash will generate a new hash. But if multiple users share the
same hash, it means they are clearly using the same browser and device.
• Device Hash: Offers an ID based on the device hardware (e.g HTML5 canvas,
audio fingerprinting, GPU, screen data and so on). While many users can share
the same device hash (for instance two iPhone 7 Safari users), this allows us
to detect Remote Desktop Connections, virtual machines or emulators. For
instance, fraudster favorites such as AntiDetect, FraudFox, or Multilogin all
generate the same device hash. Moreover, fraudsters using browser extensions
that spoof HTML5 canvas will have very unique IDs – and should therefore be
flagged as high risk.
As you can see, they each have their pros and cons. Still, all these hashes becomes
a near flawless screening tool when they are leveraged together. Fraud analysts
can easily create customer profiles that are precise, reliable, or even implement
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Organizations acquire raw data, but that data isn’t always useful. It can contain
mistakes. It can be too isolated to be useful (data silos). It can be too vague to
be meaningful. But enriching seemingly unrelated data points can create a full
digital profile, which can even be leveraged for improved credit scoring and KYC
processes.
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Similar your users’ email addresses and devices, the IP address can reveal a lot
about who they truly are.
• Are they connecting through open ports – communicating with other servers?
• What is the card’ level (ATM only, Gold, Platinium, World Elite or Infinite
depending on the provider)
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Finally, all the data enrichment solutions above are only as powerful as the person
who analyzes it. And if you and your team need to manually check everything, you
still end up doing a lot of hard work.
Which is why a good fraud prevention solution should also generate insightful
scores designed to let you mitigate fraud risk yourself. At SEON, we believe
machine-learning engine is the right solution, as long as it offers the following
features:
• Confusion matrix analysis, the system should work with any data, from
currency to age groups. For instance, a ML system can take into account
browser resolutions to flag suspicious values (as affiliate link fraudsters load
content from sites with invisible iframes). It would have been a stroke of genius
for a fraud manager, but is extremely easy for a machine.
• Whitebox solution: The machine learning model that delivers readable rules
through a Decision Tree algorithm. Each applied rule creates a new branch
where the nodes are clear parameters. However, we do not believe statistical
analysis should be fully automated. Fraud managers still need to reign in
machine learning, even if it is to improve the algorithms by training it.
• Custom rules: this isn’t something machine learning can do, but the right
system should absolutely let them tailor rules to their own needs.
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• Flagging suspicious users who have not yet committed any fraud: based
on their experience, the best fraud managers should be able to anticipate
potential attacks from otherwise unsuspicious users.
• Complete system control: one of the most important points for fraud
managers is the ability to leverage automation without rescinding control
over the system. A good hybrid solution should allow one without sacrificing
the other. This is particularly true in the context of fintechs, where user friction
needs to be reduced to a minimum. So your machine learning system should
only trigger stronger authentication methods such as 2FA or SMS verification
when the risk is high.
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Key
Takeaways
While the fintech ecosystem is booming, it is also under constant pressure to adapt
and evolve. A growing competitive landscape along with increasing regulations
and attack vectors are set to make things more complicated for startups providing
financial services.
In short, CEOs, CFOs and even investors need to ensure their fintech isn’t just
innovative, but also future proof. And our research shows that implementing a strong
fraud prevention solution in place early can have numerous advantages and benefits
for fintechs:
To see how SEON can help your company prepare for the future,
please visit www.seon.io
or
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