15 Jan 10.QBE Business Sentiment Survey - Jan 2010 - Data Extract
15 Jan 10.QBE Business Sentiment Survey - Jan 2010 - Data Extract
DATA EXTRACT
London, 15 January 2010
About QBE
Founded in Australia over 100 years ago, QBE Insurance Group is a specialist
business insurer, now operating out of 45 countries across the globe. We have been
active in the UK since 1904, orginally within the marine insurance market, but
branching out more recently to offer commercial insurance to companies across the
UK. At the end of 2008, the Group’s turnover was over £6bn, making it one of the
largest insurance firms in the UK.
In the UK QBE is rated a leading insurer for claims service,* among the top three
insurance companies for service overall by Insurance Times, 2008 and was chosen
as ‘most competitive insurer’ in July 2009**.
* June 2009, source: Gracechurch Survey
** Source: Insurance Times
Page 1 of 47
QBE is proud to be the official insurance partner of the Guinness Premiership. This
partnership with the world’s most competitive domestic rugby union competition will
allow QBE’s brand to develop and business to grow in the UK.
-ENDS-
Page 2 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Page 3 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Page 4 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Sales turnover to
increase greatly in the 5% 3% 4% 0% 3% 5% 9% 7% 9%
next 6 months
Sales turnover to
increase a little in the 28% 13% 32% 25% 43% 15% 24% 33% 23%
next 6 months
Sales turnover to stay
the same in the next 6 41% 47% 44% 45% 38% 35% 40% 33% 55%
months
Sales turnover to
decrease a little in the 19% 29% 19% 20% 8% 30% 13% 23% 9%
next 6 months
Sales turnover to
decrease a great deal in 7% 8% 1% 10% 10% 15% 15% 4% 5%
the next 6 months
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 5 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Are current business conditions the most favourable you have experienced in the last 18 months?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Yes 29% 43% 32% 26% 30% 24% 26% 28% 44% 20%
No 67% 54% 66% 68% 59% 76% 74% 63% 53% 77%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 6 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Are current business conditions the most favourable you have experienced in the last 18 months?
Don’t know 4% 3% 4% 5% 4% 0%
Page 7 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Are current business conditions the most favourable you have experienced in the last 18 months?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Yes 29% 29% 27% 25% 25% 25% 44% 23% 32%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 8 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Would you say your business is now better placed to make the most of an upturn in the economy than it was 18 months ago?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Yes 54% 49% 37% 50% 54% 46% 56% 60% 61% 60%
No 37% 43% 45% 39% 30% 46% 36% 30% 33% 34%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 9 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Would you say your business is now better placed to make the most of an upturn in the economy than it was 18 months ago?
Page 10 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Would you say your business is now better placed to make the most of an upturn in the economy than it was 18 months ago?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Yes 54% 53% 53% 55% 55% 53% 56% 51% 64%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 11 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
How long do you expect it will before we see full economic recovery in [the UK / Ireland]?
Region
6 months 4% 3% 0% 11% 3% 8% 3% 0% 3% 4%
12 months 22% 30% 16% 16% 27% 14% 41% 28% 31% 13%
2 years 47% 38% 42% 42% 41% 54% 38% 43% 28% 66%
[Unprompted] Don’t know 10% 22% 13% 11% 16% 8% 15% 13% 8% 1%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 12 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
How long do you expect it will before we see full economic recovery in [the UK / Ireland]?
6 months 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6%
Page 13 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
How long do you expect it will before we see full economic recovery in [the UK / Ireland]?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
6 months 4% 5% 2% 5% 3% 8% 9% 0% 5%
12 months 22% 26% 20% 15% 25% 18% 25% 21% 32%
18 months 17% 18% 14% 20% 18% 23% 16% 15% 23%
2 years 47% 42% 53% 50% 55% 43% 38% 48% 36%
[Unprompted] Don’t
10% 8% 11% 10% 0% 10% 11% 16% 5%
know
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 14 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
How long do you expect it will take your business to recover from the recession?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
It already has 22% 27% 29% 24% 27% 30% 15% 28% 31% 8%
12 months 21% 14% 18% 11% 22% 14% 36% 15% 19% 27%
2 years 26% 19% 13% 26% 27% 16% 33% 13% 11% 45%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 15 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
How long do you expect it will take your business to recover from the recession?
Page 16 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
How long do you expect it will take your business to recover from the recession?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
It already has 22% 29% 22% 25% 23% 15% 27% 14% 27%
12 months 21% 21% 14% 25% 23% 20% 24% 26% 23%
2 years 26% 18% 27% 15% 25% 38% 18% 34% 18%
[Unprompted] Don’t
7% 11% 12% 5% 3% 3% 5% 7% 5%
know
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 17 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
If current conditions were to continue for another twelve months how would your business be affected?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 18 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
If current conditions were to continue for another twelve months how would your business be affected?
Page 19 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
If current conditions were to continue for another twelve months how would your business be affected?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 20 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Do you expect each of the following business issues to increase, decrease or stay the same for your business in the next six
months?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Competitors reducing
53% 49% 42% 55% 51% 57% 62% 43% 42% 61%
prices
Taxation issues 48% 46% 47% 61% 38% 51% 46% 38% 44% 53%
Shrinking sales 40% 32% 34% 34% 41% 46% 31% 35% 31% 52%
Credit issues 29% 43% 16% 32% 30% 19% 31% 13% 11% 42%
Employment issues 18% 16% 18% 13% 16% 16% 10% 10% 17% 27%
Currency/ foreign
16% 11% 11% 18% 22% 11% 18% 33% 11% 13%
exchange issues
Page 21 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Do you expect each of the following business issues to increase, decrease or stay the same for your business in the next six
months?
Country Number of employees
Page 22 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Do you expect each of the following business issues to increase, decrease or stay the same for your business in the next six
months?
Main business sector
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Competitors reducing
53% 47% 48% 75% 45% 50% 55% 63% 45%
prices
Taxation issues 48% 39% 45% 40% 63% 50% 56% 44% 50%
Shrinking sales 40% 34% 32% 30% 30% 53% 53% 48% 27%
Credit issues 29% 32% 26% 30% 33% 35% 33% 23% 23%
Employment issues 18% 26% 15% 10% 15% 23% 22% 16% 14%
Currency/ foreign
16% 13% 14% 15% 25% 10% 25% 11% 18%
exchange issues
Page 23 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Region
Yes 38% 35% 29% 39% 49% 32% 36% 38% 53% 34%
No 57% 46% 68% 55% 46% 59% 62% 58% 42% 64%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 24 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Page 25 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Yes 38% 29% 34% 35% 38% 48% 44% 37% 41%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 26 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Which of the following investments do you expect to make in the next six months?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
New software/hardware/
23% 22% 16% 24% 32% 24% 23% 23% 33% 17%
equipment/plant/machinery
Marketing and advertising 17% 19% 11% 13% 30% 16% 10% 23% 19% 15%
Acquisitions 4% 3% 0% 5% 5% 3% 10% 8% 3% 2%
Page 27 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Which of the following investments do you expect to make in the next six months?
New software/hardware/
23% 17% 25% 18% 39% 26%
equipment/plant/machinery
New product lines/ services 15% 14% 15% 13% 17% 26%
Acquisitions 4% 2% 5% 2% 8% 6%
Page 28 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Which of the following investments do you expect to make in the next six months?
Main business sector
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
New software/hardware/
23% 24% 20% 25% 35% 23% 29% 12% 27%
equipment/plant/machinery
Marketing and advertising 17% 8% 13% 15% 23% 28% 16% 21% 14%
Acquisitions 4% 3% 4% 0% 5% 5% 7% 1% 5%
Page 29 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
If you expect to make an investment in your business in the next 6 months, how will you fund it?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Finance from cash flow 28% 35% 18% 29% 38% 24% 28% 30% 31% 25%
An investment from an
3% 0% 3% 0% 3% 3% 3% 0% 11% 5%
outside party
Finance from cost
3% 0% 3% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 8% 8%
reductions
Page 30 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
If you expect to make an investment in your business in the next 6 months, how will you fund it?
Finance from cash flow 28% 25% 29% 23% 41% 40%
An investment from an
3% 5% 3% 3% 2% 6%
outside party
Finance from cost
3% 8% 2% 2% 4% 9%
reductions
Page 31 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
If you expect to make an investment in your business in the next 6 months, how will you fund it?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Finance from cash flow 28% 24% 25% 20% 40% 30% 25% 29% 41%
An investment from an
3% 0% 2% 5% 3% 5% 5% 3% 9%
outside party
Finance from cost
3% 0% 2% 5% 5% 8% 2% 4% 5%
reductions
Page 32 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
In the current environment, how easy is it, or how easy would you expect it to be, for you to access commercial credit?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Very difficult 23% 24% 24% 24% 14% 16% 28% 8% 8% 38%
Difficult 35% 19% 34% 32% 35% 30% 31% 35% 53% 38%
Same as in previous times 35% 54% 29% 34% 46% 43% 38% 43% 31% 21%
Very easy 2% 3% 3% 0% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 33 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
In the current environment, how easy is it, or how easy would you expect it to be, for you to access commercial credit?
Easy 5% 0% 6% 4% 8% 3%
Very easy 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 6%
Page 34 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
In the current environment, how easy is it, or how easy would you expect it to be, for you to access commercial credit?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Very difficult 23% 21% 25% 20% 28% 20% 22% 27% 5%
Difficult 35% 24% 34% 35% 35% 48% 36% 36% 23%
Same as in previous
35% 39% 39% 30% 28% 28% 36% 27% 64%
times
Very easy 2% 3% 1% 5% 3% 0% 2% 4% 9%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 35 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Considering each of the following sources of business advice, which do you or your business expect to seek advice from in the
next six months?
Region
Accountants 68% 65% 74% 71% 73% 54% 74% 75% 72% 62%
Banks 23% 19% 29% 34% 19% 16% 28% 35% 28% 13%
Local Chambers of
18% 11% 21% 24% 24% 11% 15% 18% 25% 17%
Commerce
Financial advisors 14% 19% 5% 16% 16% 5% 10% 28% 11% 16%
Insurers 5% 5% 3% 5% 0% 3% 3% 10% 3% 8%
Page 36 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Considering each of the following sources of business advice, which do you or your business expect to seek advice from in the
next six months?
Insurers 5% 8% 4% 4% 6% 11%
Page 37 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Considering each of the following sources of business advice, which do you or your business expect to seek advice from in the
next six months?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Accountants 68% 71% 68% 35% 83% 60% 67% 75% 59%
Local Chambers of
18% 11% 19% 25% 18% 23% 9% 22% 23%
Commerce
Financial advisors 14% 21% 12% 15% 15% 20% 15% 7% 27%
Marketing, advertising
12% 8% 8% 20% 20% 15% 13% 12% 5%
and PR consultants
Insurers 5% 3% 8% 10% 3% 0% 7% 3% 5%
Page 38 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
When buying business insurance, would you prefer to go direct to the insurer, rather than via a broker?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Yes 37% 38% 34% 21% 35% 32% 38% 40% 39% 42%
No 52% 43% 55% 66% 51% 59% 56% 45% 44% 52%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 39 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
When buying business insurance, would you prefer to go direct to the insurer, rather than via a broker?
Page 40 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
When buying business insurance, would you prefer to go direct to the insurer, rather than via a broker?
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Yes 37% 29% 32% 35% 43% 50% 36% 41% 27%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 41 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Thinking of how the banks are handling requests for borrowing from businesses during the downturn, which of the following best
describes your opinion?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Not stated 4% 8% 8% 0% 8% 3% 3% 8% 3% 3%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 42 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Thinking of how the banks are handling requests for borrowing from businesses during the downturn, which of the following best
describes your opinion?
Not stated 4% 3% 5% 6% 2% 0%
Page 43 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Thinking of how the banks are handling requests for borrowing from businesses during the downturn, which of the following best
describes your opinion?
Not stated 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 2% 7% 5%
Column Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Page 44 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Thinking of how the banks are handling requests for borrowing from businesses during the downturn, which of the following best
describes your opinion?
Region
All Eastern London Midlands North North Scotland South Yorks/ Ireland
England & Wales Midlands West west N. East
Total (402) (37) (38) (38) (37) (37) (39) (40) (36) (100)
Downward trend in
83% 89% 74% 82% 70% 81% 85% 70% 83% 94%
unemployment figures
Upward trend in world
80% 84% 66% 79% 84% 73% 79% 85% 72% 88%
stock market indices
Upward trend in property
79% 76% 71% 82% 81% 76% 69% 83% 78% 85%
prices
Upward trend in high
74% 70% 79% 82% 78% 73% 64% 63% 81% 76%
street retail sales
Rising interest rates 65% 78% 66% 74% 62% 62% 51% 68% 53% 66%
Upward trend in air travel 50% 51% 50% 50% 43% 38% 54% 50% 39% 59%
Page 45 of 47
Extracts from QBE’s Third Business Sentiment Survey
Thinking of how the banks are handling requests for borrowing from businesses during the downturn, which of the following best
describes your opinion?
Downward trend in
83% 94% 79% 83% 83% 83%
unemployment figures
Upward trend in world stock
80% 88% 78% 79% 86% 83%
market indices
Upward trend in property
79% 85% 77% 79% 84% 66%
prices
Upward trend in high street
74% 76% 74% 71% 86% 74%
retail sales
Upward trend in air travel 50% 59% 47% 47% 55% 60%
Thinking of how the banks are handling requests for borrowing from businesses during the downturn, which of the following best
describes your opinion?
Main business sector
All Building Business Financial IT, Leisure Manufng. Retail & Other
/ / Prof. services Media / / /Eng. Distn.
Constn. services Printing Catering
Total (402) (38) (114) (20) (40) (40) (55) (73) (22)
Downward trend in
83% 79% 82% 90% 80% 83% 82% 85% 86%
unemployment figures
Upward trend in world
80% 74% 84% 85% 68% 83% 82% 82% 77%
stock market indices
Upward trend in property
79% 74% 85% 75% 73% 70% 84% 79% 73%
prices
Upward trend in high
74% 76% 71% 65% 68% 65% 76% 84% 86%
street retail sales
Rising interest rates 65% 68% 72% 80% 60% 58% 56% 60% 64%
Upward trend in air travel 50% 47% 50% 30% 43% 48% 49% 58% 68%
Page 47 of 47