Normal Binomial Distribution AnswerKey
Normal Binomial Distribution AnswerKey
(b) (i)
æ1
Evidence of using np ç ´12 ÷
ö (M1)
è3 ø
expected number of heads = 4 A1 N2
3. METHOD 1
(a) σ = 10 (A1)
1.12 × 10 = 11.2 A1
11.2 + 100 (M1)
x = 111.2 A1 N2
METHOD 2
(a) σ = 10 (A1)
Evidence of using standardisation formula (M1)
x - 100
= 1.12 A1
10
x = 111.2 A1 N2
IB Questionbank Maths SL 1
100 - x
(b) = 1.12 A1
10
x = 88.8 A1 N2
[6]
4. (a)
A1A1 N2
Note: Award A1 for vertical line to right of mean, A1
for shading to right of their vertical line.
IB Questionbank Maths SL 2
35 7 5 1
5. p(Red) = = p(Black) = =
40 8 40 8
1 7
æ8ö 1
p(one black) = çç ÷÷æç ö÷ æç ö÷
7
(a) (i) (M1)(A1)
è 1 øè 8 ø è 8 ø
= 0.393 to 3 sf (A1) 3
400
(b) 400 draws: expected number of blacks = (M1)
8
= 50 (A1) 2
[8]
7. (a) evidence of binomial distribution (may be seen in parts (b) or (c)) (M1)
e.g. np, 100 ´ 0.04
mean = 4 A1 N2
æ100 ö
(b) P(X = 6) = çç ÷÷ (0.04 )6 (0.96 )94 (A1)
è 6 ø
= 0.105 A1 N2
IB Questionbank Maths SL 3
(b) METHOD 1
evidence of using the complement M1
e.g. 1 – (P(X ≤ 1))
P(X ≤ 1) = 0.632 (A1)
P(X ≥ 2) = 0.368 A1 N2
METHOD 2
evidence of attempting to sum probabilities M1
e.g. P(2 heads) + P(3 heads) + ... + P(7 heads), 0.252 + 0.0923 + …
correct values for each probability (A1)
e.g. 0.252 + 0.0923 + 0.0203 + 0.00267 + 0.0002 + 0.0000061
P(X ≥ 2) = 0.368 A1 N2
[5]
æ100 ö 3 97
(b) P(X = 3) = çç ÷÷ (0.02) (0.98) (M1)
è 3 ø
= 0.182 A1 N2
(c) METHOD 1
P(X > 1) = 1 – P(X ≤ 1) = 1 – (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)) M1
= 1 – ((0.98)100 + 100(0.02)(0.98)99) (M1)
= 0.597 A1 N2
IB Questionbank Maths SL 4
METHOD 2
P(X > 1) = 1 – P(X ≤ 1) (M1)
= 1 – 0.40327 (A1)
= 0.597 A1 N2
Note: Award marks as follows for finding P(X ≥ 1), if working
shown.
P(X ≥ 1) A0
= 1 – P(X ≤ 2) = 1 – 0.67668 M1(FT)
= 0.323 A1(FT) N0
[6]
10. (a)
Second die
in pair
First die
in pair 1 four
6
four
1
6 5
6 not
four
1 four
5 6
6 not
four
5
6 not
four
A1A1A1 N3
Note: Award A1 for each pair of complementary
probabilities.
1 5 5 1 æ 5 5 ö
(b) P(E) = ´ + ´ ç= + ÷ (A2)
6 6 6 6 è 36 36 ø
10 æ 5 ö
= ç = or 0.278 ÷ A1 N3
36 è 18 ø
IB Questionbank Maths SL 5
(c) Evidence of recognizing the binomial distribution (M1)
æ 5ö 5 13
eg X ~ Bç 5 , ÷ or p = , q =
è 18 ø 18 18
3 2
æ 5 ö æ 5 ö æ 13 ö
P(X = 3) = çç ÷÷ ç ÷ ç ÷ (or other evidence of correct setup) (A1)
è 3 ø è 18 ø è 18 ø
= 0.112 A1 N3
(d) METHOD 1
Evidence of using the complement M1
eg P(X ³ 3) = 1 - P(X £ 2)
Correct value 1 - 0.865 (A1)
= 0.135 A1 N2
METHOD 2
Evidence of adding correct probabilities M1
eg P(X ³ 3) = P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)
Correct values 0.1118 + 0.02150 + 0.001654 (A1)
= 0.135 A1 N2
[12]
IB Questionbank Maths SL 6
11. Note: Candidates may be using tables in this question, which leads to a
variety of values. Accept reasonable answers that are consistent
with working shown.
W ~ N(2.5, 0.32)
(a) (i) z = - 1.67 (accept 1.67) (A1)
P(W < 2) = 0.0478 (accept answers between 0.0475 and
0.0485) A1 N2
(ii) z = 1 (A1)
P(W > 2.8) = 0.159 A1 N2
(iii)
2.5 kg
A1A1 N2
Note: Award A1 for a vertical line to left of mean and shading
to left, A1 for vertical line to right of
mean and shading to right.
(iv) Evidence of appropriate calculation M1
eg 1 - (0.047790 + 0.15866), 0.8413 - 0.0478
P = 0.7936 AG N0
Note: The final value may vary depending on what
level of accuracy is used.
Accept their value in subsequent parts.
IB Questionbank Maths SL 7
(b) (i) X ~ B(10, 0.7935...)
Evidence of calculation M1
eg P(X = 10) = (0.7935...)10
P(X = 10) = 0.0990 (3 sf) A1 N1
(ii) METHOD 1
Recognizing X ~ B(10, 0.7935...) (may be seen in (i)) (M1)
P(X £ 6) = 0.1325... (or P(X = 1) + ... + P(X = 6)) (A1)
evidence of using the complement (M1)
eg P(X ³ 7) = 1 - P(X £ 6), P(X ³ 7) = 1 - P(X < 7)
P(X ³ 7) = 0.867 A1 N3
METHOD 2
Recognizing X ~ B(10, 0.7935...) (may be seen in (i)) (M1)
For adding terms from P(X = 7) to P(X = 10) (M1)
P(X ³ 7) = 0.209235 + 0.301604 + 0.257629 + 0.099030 (A1)
= 0.867 A1 N3
[13]
(b) METHOD 1
P(at least one head) = 1 - P(X = 0) (M1)
5
= 1 - æç ö÷
1
A1
è2ø
31
= (= 0.969) A1 N2
32
METHOD 2
P(at least one head) = P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)
+ P(X = 5) (M1)
= 0.15625 + 0.3125 + 0.3125 + 0.15625 + 0.03125 A1
= 0.969 A1 N2
[6]
IB Questionbank Maths SL 8
E(X) =12 A1 N2 2
(b) evidence of recognizing binomial probability (may be seen in part (a)) (M1)
æ 240 ö 15 225
e.g. çç ÷÷ (0.05) (0.95) , X ~ B(240,0.05)
è 15 ø
P(X =15) = 0.0733 A1 N2 2
14. (a) evidence of recognizing binomial probability (may be seen in (b) or (c)) (M1)
æ7ö
e.g. probability = çç ÷÷ (0.9)4(0.1)3, X ~ B(7, 0.9), complementary
è 4ø
probabilities
probability = 0.0230 A1 N2
IB Questionbank Maths SL 9
(b) correct expression A1A1 N2
æ7ö
e.g. çç ÷÷ p4(1 – p)3, 35p4(1 – p)3
è 4ø
æ æ7öö
Note: Award A1 for binomial coefficient ç accept çç ÷÷ ÷ ,
ç ÷
è è 3øø
A1 for p4(1 – p)3.
(c) METHOD 1
P(X ≤ 3) = 0.10737 + 0.26844 + 0.30199 + 0.20133 (= 0.87912...) (A1)
evidence of using the complement (seen anywhere) (M1)
e.g. 1 – any probability, P(X > 3) = 1 – P(X ≤ 3)
P(X > 3) = 0.121 A1 N2
METHOD 2
recognizing that P(X > 3) = P(X ≥ 4) (M1)
e.g. summing probabilities from X = 4 to X = 10
correct expression or values (A1)
10
æ ö
10
å
10–r r
e.g. çç ÷÷ (0.2) (0.8)
r =4 è r ø
0.08808 + 0.02642 + 0.005505 + 0.000786 + 0.0000737 + 0.000004 + 0.0000001
P(X > 3) = 0.121 A1 N2
[6]
IB Questionbank Maths SL 10
16. A ~ N(46, 102) B ~ N(µ, 122)
(a) P(A > 60) = 0.0808 A2 N2
(ii) METHOD 1
P(A < 60) = 1 – 0.0808 = 0.9192 A1
valid reason R1
e.g. probability of A getting there on time is greater than
probability of B
0.9192 > 0.85 N2
METHOD 2
P(B > 60) = 1 – 0.85 = 0.15 A1
valid reason R1
e.g. probability of A getting there late is less than probability of B
0.0808 < 0.15
N2
(d) (i) let X be the number of days when the van arrives before 07:00
P(X = 5) = (0.85)5 (A1)
= 0.444 A1 N2
(ii) METHOD 1
evidence of adding correct probabilities (M1)
e.g. P(X ≥ 3) = P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)
correct values 0.1382 + 0.3915 + 0.4437 (A1)
P(X ≥ 3) = 0.973 A1 N3
IB Questionbank Maths SL 11
METHOD 2
evidence of using the complement (M1)
e.g. P(X ≥ 3) = 1 – P(X ≤ 2), 1 – p
correct values 1 – 0.02661 (A1)
P(X ≥ 3) = 0.973 A1 N3
[13]
153 - µ
(b) Z= = 1.138... (accept 1.14 from µ = 150.3, or 1.2
5
from µ = 150) (A1)
P(Z > 1.138) = 0.128 (accept 0.127 from z = 1.14, or 0.115
from z = 1.2) A1 N2
[6]
(c)
IB Questionbank Maths SL 12
A1A1 N2
Note: Award A1 for vertical line to right of the
mean, A1 for shading to left of their
vertical line.
[6]
180 - 160
20. (a) z= =1 (A1)
20
f (1) = 0.8413 (A1)
P(height > 180) = 1 - 0.8413
= 0.159 A1 N3
IB Questionbank Maths SL 13
21.
Notes: Accept any suitable notation, as long as
thecandidate’s intentions are clear.
The following symbols will be used in the
markscheme.
Girls’ height G ~ N(155, 102), boys’ height B ∼ N(160,
122)
Height H, Female F, Male M.
(a) P(G > 170) = 1 - P(G < 170) (A1)
æ 170 - 155 ö
P(G > 170) = P ç Z < ÷ (A1)
è 10 ø
P(G > 170) = 1 - F (1.5) = 1 - 0.9332
= 0.0668 A1 N3
IB Questionbank Maths SL 14
P( F Ç (H >170 ))
(e) P(F çH > 170) = (M1)
P(H >170 )
0.60 ´ 0.0668 æ 0.0401 0.04008 ö
= ç= or ÷ A1
0.121 è 0.121 0.1208 ø
= 0.332 A1 N1
[17]
23. X ~ N(µ, s2), P(X > 90) = 0.15 and P(X < 40) = 0.12 (M1)
Finding standardized values 1.036, –1.175 A1A1
90 - µ 40 - µ
Setting up the equations 1.036 = , – 1.175 = (M1)
s s
µ = 66.6, s = 22.6 A1A1
[6]
(ii) P (2 300 < X < 3 300) = P (-1.4 < Z < 0.6) (M1)
= 0.4192 + 0.2257
= 0.645 (A1)
P (both) = (0.645) 2 = 0.416 (A1) (N2)
(b) (i)
IB Questionbank Maths SL 15
A1A1 N2
Note: Award A1 with shading that clearly extends to right of the
mean, A1 for any correct label, either k, area or their value of k
IB Questionbank Maths SL 16
(b) METHOD 1
finding standardized value (A1)
27 - 25
e.g.
s
evidence of complement (M1)
e.g. 1– p, P(X < 27), 0.8
finding z-score (A1)
e.g. z = 0.84…
attempt to set up equation involving the standardized value M1
27 - 25 X -µ
e.g. 0.84 = ,0.84 =
s s
σ = 2.38 A1 N3 5
METHOD 2
set up using normal CDF function and probability (M1)
e.g. P(25 < X < 27) = 0.3, P(X < 27) = 0.8
correct equation A2
e.g. P(25 < X < 27) = 0.3, P(X > 27) = 0.2
attempt to solve the equation using GDC (M1)
e.g. solver, graph, trial and error (more than two trials must be shown)
σ = 2.38 A1 N3 5
[7]
IB Questionbank Maths SL 17
(c) (i) 68.8 ≤ weight ≤ 84.4 A1A1A1 N3
Note: Award A1 for 68.8, A1 for 84.4, A1 for giving answer as
an interval.
IB Questionbank Maths SL 18
(b) (i)
d
A1A1 N2
Note: Award A1 for d to the left of the mean, A1
for area to the left of d shaded.
(ii) z = - 1.645 (A1)
d -7
= -1.645 (M1)
0.5
d = 6.18 A1 N3
30. (a)
12.92% 10.38%
B
T t
A1A1 N2
Notes: Award A1 for three re.g.ions, (may be shown
by lines or shading) A1 for clear labelling of
two re.g.ions (may be shown by percentages or
cate.g.ories).
r and t need not be labelled, but if they are,
they may be interchanged.
IB Questionbank Maths SL 19
(b) METHOD 1
P(X < r) = 0.1292 (A1)
r = 6.56 A1 N2
1 - 0.1038 (= 0.8962) (may be seen later) A1
P(X < t) = 0.8962 (A1)
t = 7.16 A1 N2
METHOD 2
finding z-values -1.130..., 1.260... A1A1
evidence of setting up one standardized equation (M1)
r - 6.84
e.g. = - 1.13!, t =1.260 ´ 0.25 + 6.84
0.25
r = 6.56, t = 7.16 A1A1 N2N2
[7]
IB Questionbank Maths SL 20