The Basics of The Black Scholes Model
The Basics of The Black Scholes Model
Also called Black-Scholes-Merton, it was the first widely used model for option
pricing. It's used to calculate the theoretical value of options using current stock
prices, expected dividends, the option's strike price, expected interest rates, time
to expiration and expected volatility.
While the original Black-Scholes model didn't consider the effects of dividends
paid during the life of the option, the model is frequently adapted to account for
dividends by determining the ex-dividend date value of the underlying stock.
In mathematical notation:
1:33
Black-Scholes Model
What Does the Black Scholes Model Tell You?
The Black Scholes model is one of the most important concepts in modern
financial theory. It was developed in 1973 by Fischer Black, Robert Merton,
and Myron Scholes and is still widely used today. It is regarded as one of the
best ways of determining fair prices of options. The Black Scholes model
requires five input variables: the strike price of an option, the current stock price,
the time to expiration, the risk-free rate, and the volatility.
The model assumes stock prices follow a lognormal distribution because asset
prices cannot be negative (they are bounded by zero). This is also known as
a Gaussian distribution. Often, asset prices are observed to have significant
right skewness and some degree of kurtosis (fat tails). This means high-risk
downward moves often happen more often in the market than a normal
distribution predicts.
The assumption of lognormal underlying asset prices should thus show that
implied volatilities are similar for each strike price according to the Black-Scholes
model. However, since the market crash of 1987, implied volatilities for at the
money options have been lower than those further out of the money or far in the
money. The reason for this phenomena is the market is pricing in a greater
likelihood of a high volatility move to the downside in the markets.
This has led to the presence of the volatility skew. When the implied volatilities
for options with the same expiration date are mapped out on a graph, a smile or
skew shape can be seen. Thus, the Black-Scholes model is not efficient for
calculating implied volatility.
Moreover, the model assumes that there are no transaction costs or taxes; that
the risk-free interest rate is constant for all maturities; that short selling of
securities with use of proceeds is permitted; and that there are no risk-less
arbitrage opportunities. These assumptions can lead to prices that deviate from
the real world where these factors are present.
Description: Black-Scholes pricing model is largely used by option traders who buy
options that are priced under the formula calculated value, and sell options that are priced
higher than the Black-Schole calculated value (1).
The formula for computing option price is as under (2):
Here,
r = rate of interest
t = time to expiration