California Life-Cycle Benefit/Cost Analysis Model: Worksheets
California Life-Cycle Benefit/Cost Analysis Model: Worksheets
INTRODUCTION
by the model. Some projects (i.e., bypass and interchange) require the
This spreadsheet model provides a method for preparing a simple user to enter two sets of highway data, since two roads are involved. The
economic analysis of both highway and transit projects. Given certain model calculates benefits for first road before user enters information
input data for a project, the model calculates its life-cycle cost, life-cycle about second road. The user clicks a button and model clears Project
benefits, net present value, benefit/cost ratio, internal rate of return, and Information worksheet to receive information on the other road.
payback period. First-year benefits are also calculated.
In the process of economic analysis, some generally accepted
The model is arranged by worksheets and contains the following economic assumptions are necessary. These assumptions include:
information, data, and results: the real and nominal discount rates, unit user costs (e.g., value of time),
consumption rates (e.g., fuel consumption and vehicle emissions), and
Worksheets Contents accident rates. These assumptions are given in the Parameters
Instructions General model description and worksheet and should not be changed by the user.
assumptions
1) Project Information Project input data After reading the instructions in this worksheet, the user should
2) Model Inputs Highway speed, volume and accident proceed to the Project Information worksheet and input data for the
data estimated by model specific project in the green boxes (light gray when printed). Some of
3) Results Summary results of analysis these boxes already have statewide averages entered (in case the
Travel Time Calculation of travel time impacts and project is a transit project). The model provides other default values
induced demand in the red boxes (medium gray when printed). These values can be
Vehicle Operating Costs Calculation of highway vehicle operating changed by the user, if information specific to the project is available.
cost impacts The model calculates some values based on relationships or
Accident Costs Calculation of accident cost impacts assumptions, shown in the blue boxes (dark gray when printed).
Emissions Calculation of emission impacts These values can be changed by the user.
Final Calculations Calculation of net present value, internal
rate of return, and payback period INSTRUCTIONS
Parameters Economic assumptions, lookup tables,
and other model parameters PROJECT DATA (Box 1A)
The model is designed so that the user generally needs to enter data This section provides general information about the project
only in the green boxes on the Project Information worksheet. The and is used for both highway and transit projects.
model estimates detailed highway speed, volume, and accident data
for the user to review on the Model Inputs worksheet. Highway speeds Type of Project
are estimated from volumes using relationships shown in the most 1 Insert an "X" in the appropriate box for the highway or transit project.
recent Highway Capacity Manual. Accidents are estimated from For an interchange or bypass project, model reminds user
statewide averages and recent data for the facility. Inputs from a that information must be entered for both roads impacted by
regional planning model can be entered, if available. Summary results project. After entering information for the first road, the user
are shown in the Results worksheet. Remaining worksheets are clicks a button at end of worksheet to prepare model for
provided for user to see, but calculations are performed automatically information on the bypass or intersecting road.
2 HOV Restriction: If highway facility has/will have HOV lanes, 10 Insert segment length for existing and new facility.
insert HOV restriction (e.g., HOV-2 is 2 people/vehicle). Must be Model assumes new is same as existing, if not entered.
entered for an HOV project. Enter for a non-HOV project, if facility
has HOV lanes. Average Daily Traffic (ADT)
3 Exclusive Right-of-Way: If bus project, indicate (with "Y" or "N") 11 Current: Insert current two-way ADT on facility.
whether buses have an exclusive right-of-way. 12 Forecast (Year 20): Insert projected ADT for 20 years after
construction completion for the facility with and without project.
Project Location Model assumes with is same as without, if not entered.
4 Insert a 1, 2, or 3 for the appropriate region of the State. This
information is used to calculate emissions costs. The model uses the current and forecasted ADT to estimate
annual traffic for 20 years after construction, assuming a
Length of Construction Period: linear trend. User can change base (Year 1) forecasts.
5 Insert number of years of construction before benefits begin. Must
be a whole number of years (round to next higher integer). Average Hourly HOV Traffic
13 Insert hourly HOV volumes on the facility with and without
Length of Peak Period project for a typical peak hour.
6 Insert number of peak period hours per typical day. The model provides
a default of 5 hours (statewide average from Statewide Travel Survey). Percent Trucks
Model estimates total % daily traffic occurring during peak period 14 Insert estimated % Truck ADT with and without project.
period by multiplying peak length by % traffic occurring during a typical Model provides a default value of 9% (statewide average).
peak hour (7.8% from Statewide Travel Survey). Model does not
distinguish between weekdays and weekends. For peak periods longer Truck Speed
than 8 hours, default % must be adjusted in Parameters. To model 15 If passing lane project, enter estimated speed (in MPH) for
a 24-hour HOV, figures must be adjusted so peak is 100% of ADT. slow vehicles. Value must be entered for passing lane projects.
HIGHWAY DESIGN AND TRAFFIC DATA (Box 1B) Average Vehicle Occupancy
16 Model provides default values (from Statewide Travel Survey).
Statewide default values provided for some inputs Adjust if project-specific data are available.
for transit projects.
HIGHWAY ACCIDENT DATA (Box 1C)
Highway Design
7 Insert number of general purpose (not HOV or bus) lanes in both Statewide default values provided for transit projects. The
directions for existing and new facility. model uses information provided to calculate accident rates
8 Insert number of HOV lanes in both directions for existing and for each accident type in the Model Inputs worksheet.
new facility. A value must be provided if an HOV restriction
is entered in the Project Data section. Actual 3-Year Accident Data for Facility
9 Insert free-flow speed for existing and new facility. 17 Insert total number of fatal, injury, and property damage only
Model assumes new is same as existing, if not entered. accidents on the segment over the 3 most recent years.
Average Vehicles per Train For questions and comments, please contact:
26 If rail project, insert the average number of vehicles per train. Kazem Attaran (916) 653-0709
Mahmoud Mahdavi (916) 653-9525
Net project costs should be entered in the years they are expected
to occur. Costs should be entered for construction period and
for twenty years after construction completion. Construction
Year 0 is the first year that costs are incurred.
1E PROJECT COSTS
Col. no. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
DIRECT PROJECT COSTS
INITIAL COSTS SUBSEQUENT COSTS TOTAL COSTS
Year Project Maint./ Other Constant Present
Support R/W Construction Op. Rehab. Mitigation Costs Dollars Value
Construction Begins
0 $2,000,000 $38,250,000 $148,000,000 $188,250,000 $188,250,000
1 $1,000,000 148,000,000 Adjust Construction Period 149,000,000 129,565,217
2 0 0
3 0 0
4 0 0
5 0 0
6 0 0
7 0 0
Project Opens
1 10,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,695,652
2 10,000,000 10,000,000 7,561,437
3 10,000,000 10,000,000 6,575,162
4 10,000,000 10,000,000 5,717,532
5 10,000,000 10,000,000 4,971,767
6 10,000,000 10,000,000 4,323,276
7 10,000,000 10,000,000 3,759,370
8 10,000,000 10,000,000 3,269,018
9 10,000,000 10,000,000 2,842,624
10 10,000,000 10,000,000 2,471,847
11 10,000,000 10,000,000 2,149,432
12 10,000,000 10,000,000 1,869,072
13 10,000,000 10,000,000 1,625,280
14 10,000,000 10,000,000 1,413,287
15 10,000,000 10,000,000 1,228,945
16 10,000,000 10,000,000 1,068,648
17 10,000,000 10,000,000 929,259
18 10,000,000 10,000,000 808,051
19 10,000,000 10,000,000 702,653
20 10,000,000 10,000,000 611,003
Total $3,000,000 $38,250,000 $296,000,000 $200,000,000 $0 $0 $0 $537,250,000 $380,408,532
Non-Peak Period
Non-HOV Volume 42,479 42,479
Truck Volume 2,236 2,236
Non-HOV Speed 60.0 60.0
Truck Speed 60.0 60.0
Year 20
Peak Period
HOV Volume 0 0
Non-HOV Volume 101,254 101,254
Truck Volume 5,329 5,329
HOV Speed 55.0 55.0
Non-HOV Speed 52.2 52.2
Truck Speed 52.2 52.2
Non-Peak Period
Non-HOV Volume 101,254 101,254
Truck Volume 5,329 5,329
Non-HOV Speed 59.9 59.9
Truck Speed 59.9 59.9
With Project
Year 1
Peak Period
HOV Volume 0 0
Non-HOV Volume 42,479 42,479
Truck Volume 2,236 2,236
HOV Speed 55.0 55.0
Non-HOV Speed 80.0 80.0
Truck Speed 80.0 80.0
Non-Peak Period
Non-HOV Volume 42,479 42,479
Truck Volume 2,236 2,236
Non-HOV Speed 80.0 80.0
Truck Speed 80.0 80.0
Year 20
Peak Period
HOV Volume 0 0
Non-HOV Volume 101,254 101,254
Truck Volume 5,329 5,329
HOV Speed 55.0 55.0
Non-HOV Speed 69.6 69.6
Truck Speed 69.6 69.6
Non-Peak Period
Non-HOV Volume 101,254 101,254
Truck Volume 5,329 5,329
Non-HOV Speed 80.0 80.0
Truck Speed 80.0 80.0
New Facility
Fatal Accidents 0.00 0.00
Injury Accidents 0.00 0.00
PDO Accidents 0.01 0.01
All Accident Types 0.02
3 INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
SUMMARY RESULTS
Life-Cycle Costs (mil. $) $380.4 ITEMIZED BENEFITS (mil. $) 1st Year 20 Years
Life-Cycle Benefits (mil. $) $193.3 Travel Time Savings $40.0 $377.7
Net Present Value (mil. $) -$187.1 Veh. Op. Cost Savings -$19.8 -$202.3
Benefit / Cost Ratio: 0.5 Accident Reductions $1.8 $17.9
Rate of Return on Investment: 9.9% Emission Reductions $0.0 $0.0
Payback Period: 15 years TOTAL BENEFITS $22.0 $193.3
PRESENT VALUE OF USER BENEFITS PRESENT VALUE OF USER BENEFITS Present Present
(on bypass/intersecting road) Value Value
Travel Vehicle Vehicle Travel Vehicle Vehicle of Total of Total NET
Year Time Op. Cost Accident Emission Time Op. Cost Accident Emission User Project PRESENT
Savings Savings Reductions Reductions Savings Savings Reductions Reductions Benefits Costs VALUE
Construction Begins
0 $0 $188,250,000 ($188,250,000)
1 $0 $129,565,217 ($129,565,217)
2 $0 $0 $0
3 $0 $0 $0
4 $0 $0 $0
5 $0 $0 $0
6 $0 $0 $0
7 $0 $0 $0
Project Opens
1 $39,970,926 ($19,770,876) $1,790,925 $0 $21,990,975 $8,695,652 $13,295,323
2 $36,995,196 ($18,916,842) $1,670,736 $0 $19,749,089 $7,561,437 $12,187,652
3 $34,076,900 ($17,566,020) $1,551,431 $0 $18,062,311 $6,575,162 $11,487,149
4 $31,255,969 ($16,245,749) $1,434,825 $0 $16,445,045 $5,717,532 $10,727,512
5 $28,560,463 ($14,971,042) $1,322,242 $0 $14,911,664 $4,971,767 $9,939,896
6 $26,009,041 ($13,752,474) $1,214,619 $0 $13,471,185 $4,323,276 $9,147,909
7 $23,612,984 ($12,597,088) $1,112,575 $0 $12,128,471 $3,759,370 $8,369,101
8 $21,377,847 ($11,509,133) $1,016,487 $0 $10,885,201 $3,269,018 $7,616,183
9 $19,304,793 ($10,490,675) $926,536 $0 $9,740,655 $2,842,624 $6,898,031
10 $17,391,682 ($9,542,094) $842,758 $0 $8,692,346 $2,471,847 $6,220,499
11 $15,633,940 ($8,662,489) $765,071 $0 $7,736,522 $2,149,432 $5,587,090
12 $14,025,256 ($7,850,004) $693,312 $0 $6,868,565 $1,869,072 $4,999,493
13 $12,558,139 ($7,102,095) $627,257 $0 $6,083,302 $1,625,280 $4,458,022
14 $11,224,351 ($6,415,738) $566,638 $0 $5,375,251 $1,413,287 $3,961,964
15 $10,015,247 ($5,787,602) $511,161 $0 $4,738,807 $1,228,945 $3,509,862
16 $8,922,042 ($5,214,175) $460,516 $0 $4,168,383 $1,068,648 $3,099,736
17 $7,936,003 ($4,691,871) $414,386 $0 $3,658,518 $929,259 $2,729,259
18 $7,048,604 ($4,217,111) $372,455 $0 $3,203,948 $808,051 $2,395,897
19 $6,251,625 ($3,786,377) $334,413 $0 $2,799,661 $702,653 $2,097,008
20 $5,537,235 ($3,241,874) $299,958 $0 $2,595,319 $611,003 $1,984,316
Internal Rate
of Return 9.90%
Payback
Period 15 years
Value of Time
Automobile $ 8.16 $/hr
Truck $ 27.72 $/hr
Transit $ 8.16 $/hr
Sources: 1) Highway Capacity Manual, 2) Statewide Travel Survey, 3) Bureau of Labor Statistics
4) California Motor Vehicle Stock, Travel and Fuel Forecast (MVSTAF)
5) WEFA, 6) Jack Faucett Associates, 7) Paccar, Inc.
8) National Safety Council, 9) Urban Institute, 10) TASAS