Agcv2012 Sept
Agcv2012 Sept
Postal Address
Alemayehu Geda
Department of Economics
Addis Ababa University
P.O. Box 1176
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Tel Mobile: (251-911) 249926
Email [email protected] [email protected]
Web Page www.Alemayehu.com also www.Researchgate.net/profile/Alemayehu_Geda
Crurent Position:
Professor (Macroeconomics & International Economics)
Dept of Economics, Addis Ababa University
Research Associate/Fellow: a) University of London, SOAS, Center for
Development Policy Research, UK
b)The Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research
and Analysis, Nairobi.
c) African Economic Research Consortium,
Nairobi
d) Central Bank of Kenya, Nairobi
e) University of California, Berkeley, Center for
Effective Global Action, EASST.
f) Economic Policy Research Centers, Kampala
modeling
[This is being carried in the Collaboration with Kenyan Treasury (Ministry of
Finance and Planning)]
Academic History
Ph.D. in Development Economics at Institute of Social Studies (Erasmus University), The
Hague/Rotterdam, The Netherlands: Dissertation title ‘Finance and Trade in Africa: Modeling
Macroeconomic Response in a World Economy Context (degree awarded 1998).
M.A. degree in Economic Policy and Planning, (Specializing on Structural Adjustment and
Finance & Macroeconomic Modeling) in 1991 with Class A Distinction, from Institute of
Social Studies, Erasmus University, The Hague-Roterdam, The Netherlands).
B.A degree in Economics with Distinction from the Department of Economics, Addis Ababa
University in 1987, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Senior High school (4 years in Business and Commerce) completed with a cumulative average
of 3.8 (out of 4.0), Great Distinction, on four scale grading system. Primary and Junior High
school completed with cumulative average of 99% & 100% in national exams, respectively.
'chat' (a cash crop) research team; engaged in research teams of : Grain market
pricing policy; Prospects for exportable products.
Administrative responsibility: Secretary of the Department of Agricultural
Economics; participated in evaluation of research contribution of staffs; Organizing
seminars..
Before 2003
Cross-border illicit trade in Eastern Africa (With the Economic Commission for Africa, ECA)
Socio-economic Survey of Urban Ethiopia (With the dept. Of Economics of Gothenburg
University of Sweden)
Trade Liberalization and African Economic Integration (with Organization of African Unity,
OAU).
The case of Southern African Economic Community (SADC) .
The case of Common Market for Easter and Southern Africa (COMESA)
Country Participation in Regional Economic Groupings:
the case of Tanzanian in SADC and
the case of Zambia in COMESA)
The New Private Financial Sector and Its Regulation: The Ethiopian Experience, with UN
University World Institute of Development Research (WIDER).
Managing Transition form Aid Dependence in Sub-Saharan Africa: Case Study of Ethiopia,
with African Economic Research Consortium
The State of the Ethiopian Economy (with Ethiopian Economic Association)
Alemayehu Geda CV 5
Evaluation of the Implementation of the Copenhagen Social Summit Program in Africa (With
UN Economic Commission for Africa)
Financing Development in Africa (With UN Economic Commission for Africa)
Regional Integration in African and the role of Macro Economic Coordination/ Fiscal Policy
Harmonization , with the Economic Commission for Africa
The state of the Ethiopian Economy, Economic Commission for Africa
Publications
Published and forthcoming:
Books
Authored Book
2012 Applied Time series Econometrics: A Focus on Africa (with Njuguna Nudungu and Daniel
Zerfu, AERC and University of Nairobi Press, 2012).
2006 Export Strategy, Export Success Stories: East Asian Trade and Industrial Policy and the
Lesson for Africa. Cairo: African Import Export /Afrexim Bank, 2006.
2006 Economic Policies for Growth, Employment and Poverty Reduction: the Case of Zambia. New
York: UNDP (with John. Weeks, Victoria Chisala, Hulya Dagdeviren, Terry McKinley, Alfredo
Saad-Filho, Carlos Oya), 2006
2002 Finance and Trade in Africa: Macroeconomic Response in The World Economy context
(London: Palgrave-Macmillan/New York, September 2002 –www.Amazon.com best selling category.
Alemayehu Geda CV 7
Edited Book
‘The Ethiopian Economy: Problem and Prospects’, Co-editor (with BerhanuNega) and Principal
Contributor, 1999 (Addis Ababa University and Ethiopian Economic Association and Dept of
Economics, AAU)
1. An Applied Macroeconometric Model for Supply Constrained African Economies: The Case
of Rwanda, Tanzanian Economic Review, forthcoming, 2016 (with Addis Yimer).
2. Capital Flight and its Determinants from Ethiopia (20165, with Addis Yimer, forthcoming,
Journal of African Development Review)
3. The Potential for Internal Trade and Regional Integration in Africa, Journal of African Trade,
2015.
4. To be or not to be: The Dilemma of African Engagement with China and other Emerging
Economies African Review, Vol 5, No 2, 118-138, 2013/14. (with Matias Assefa and Solomon
Mosisa)
5. Sudan and South Sudan: Ensuring Mutual Viability through Macroeconomic Cooperation
(with Steve Kayizzi-Mugerwa) Zambian Social Science Journal, Vol 3(1):45-73
2012/published 2014:
6. The Macroeconomic of Commodity Boom in Africa, 2016 (forthcoming, African Capacity
Foundation, Harare, Zimbabwe)
7. Modeling Inflation in Ethiopian (with Kibrom Tafere), forthcoming, Journal of African
Development (Under Review).
8. Capacity Building in Post-Conflict and Fragile States (World Journal of Entrepreneurship,
Management and Sustainable Development, Vol. 7, Nos. 2/3/4, 2011)
9. Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Ethiopia (with Abebe Shimeless and John Weeks, Journal
of International Development, 2009)
10. Regional Integration in Africa: With a Case Study of COMESA (with Haile Kibrit, Journal of
African Economies, 2008 - Top read article 2008-2013 March)
11. Trade Theories and their Relevance in African Context: A Survey of the Literature (Under
review African Development Review)
12. Ethiopian Macro Modelling in Historical Perspective: Bringing Geber-Hiwot and his
Contemporaries to Ethiopian Macroeconomic Realm (Journal of North East African Studies,
2008).
13. Growth Instability and Development Assistance among African Countries (with John Weeks,
under review of, Journal of International Development, University of Reading)
14. China and India: A curse or blessing for Africa? The Case of Manufactured Exports (with
Atenafu G. Meskel, (Journal of African Development, African Development Bank, 2008)
15. A Review of Macro Modelling in Ethiopia: With Lessons from Published African Macro
Models (with Daniel Zerfu, Under review, Ethiopian Journal of Economics and also
published in Ministry of Finance and Economic Development Working Paper Series).
16. A Macroeconomic Model for Ethiopia (with Daniel Zerfut, forthcoming, Journal of Policy
Modelling , 2010).
17. Macro Policy, Labour Market, Poverty and Inequality in Ethiopia (Ethiopian Journal of
Economics, 2006; with Alem Abreha).
18. Estimating Aggregate Production Production with I(2)Capital Stock (with Daniel Zerfu,
Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Vol XII, No 1, 2006).
19. Saving in Sub-Saharn Africa (Ethiopian Journal of Economics, 2006, with Haile Kibret)
20. The Macroeconomic Performance of the Ethiopian Economy in the Post-Reform Period: An
Evaluation (Journal of North-East African Studies, 2005, Western Michigan University).
21. Financial Reconstruction In Conflict and 'Post-Conflict' Economies (With Tony Addison,
Philippe Le Billon and S. MansoobMurshed (Journal of Development Studies, 2005).
22. Trade Liberalization and the Coffee Sub-Sector in Ethiopia ( Ethiopian Journal of Economics,
2003)
23. The Historical Origin of African Debt Crisis ( Eastern Africa Social Science Research Review,
2003 )
24. The Gebre-Hiwot Model: A Pioneer African (Ethiopian) Development Macroeconomics (
Ethiopian Journal of Development Research, 2002)
25. Macro Data and Macroeconomic Analysis: The Relevance of A Consistent Macroeconomic
Alemayehu Geda CV 8
1. Determinants and Effects of Capital Flight on Growth and Poverty Reduction in Ethiopia
(2015, with Addis Yimer, forthcoming, AERC, Nairobi, Kenya)
2. Political and Development Imperative of Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Ethiopia in the
last Decade (2000-2013). Ed. Desalegne Rahameto, Rethinking Development Strategy in
Ethiopia, 2014 Publisher: FSS and GTZ:
3. Growth and Poverty Reduction in Africa: Political Economy Challenges / Alemayehu Geda
and Addis Yimer, Ch 6, In . A. S. Yaruingam and Rashmi Kapoor (eds) Inside Africa :
Contemporary Perspectives. New Delhi, Shipra Publications, 2013.
4. Remittance and Remittance Service Providers in Ethiopia, 2011 (the World Bank, Leveraging
Remittance for African Development)
5. The Basic Development Ideas of Gebrehiwot Baykedagne (in Amharic, forthcoming, AAU,
AAU Press, 2013)
6. Finance and Poverty in Ethiopia: A Household Level Analysis (2008, WIDER and Pallgrave
Macmillan, Helsinki)
7. Tax and Tax Reform in Ethiopia in the Post-Reform Period (2008 WIDER, Helsinki)
8. The Structure and Performance of Ethiopia’s Financial Sector In The Pre And Post Reform
Period: With Special Focus On Banking (in G. Mavratos (ed.) Financing Development,
UNand Pallgrave Macmillan, Helsinki, 2008).
9. The Political Economy of Growth in Ethiopia ( 2008) in BennoNdulu, Stephen A.O’connell,
Jean_PaulAzam, RoberH.Bates, Augustin K. Fosu, Jan Willem Gunning and Dominique
Njinkeu (eds). The Political Economy of Growth in Africa: 1960-2000. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press).
10. African Trade Imperative: WTO and the Ethiopian Service Sector (with Daniel Zerfu, 2008, in
AdemolaOyejide and William M. Lakurwa (eds).African Trade Imperative in the New World
Trade Order, Vol II, Case Studies of Manufacturing and Services, AERC Publishing).
11. Openness, Inequality and Poverty in Africa ( 2006, UN Development and Economic Social
Division and Red Sea Press. Flat World and Big Gaps, Ed. Jomo. S)
12. Conflict and Economic Performance in Ethiopia (With BefekaduDegefe, in IEA and
AERC,Pallgrave-Macmillan, edited by A.Fosu and P. Collier, 2005).
13. The Impact of China and India on Africa: Trade, FDI and the African Manufacturing Sector:
Issues and Challenges (A Framework Paper for AERC Project :The Impact of China and
India on Africa.; and also AERC Working Paper,Revised, 2008)r,
14. The New Financial Sector and Its Regulation: The Case of Ethiopia (with Tony Addison, A
chapter in a book, in Tony Addison (ed.) (2003) Underdevelopment, Transition and
Reconstruction in Sub-Saharan Africa, United Nations University, WIDER, Helsinki &
University of Oxford Press; also appeared WIDER Discussion Paper No 2001/55)
15. Profile of Ethiopian External Debt ( in ‘Ethiopian Economy: Problem and Prospects’ in
Alemayehu Geda and BerhanuNega (eds), 1999)
16. Profile of Ethiopian External Trade ( in ‘Ethiopian Economy: Problem and Prospects’ in
Alemayehu Geda and BerhanuNega (eds), 1999)
17. The Impact of External Shocks and Northern Policy on Africa: Simulation Results Based on
Global Economic Model of Africa ( in ‘Ethiopian Economy: Problem and Prospects’ in
Alemayehu Geda and BerhanuNega (eds), 1999)
18. Economic Integration in African: A critical Review of Relevant Theories (a Chapter in a book
published by OAU: Economic Integration in Africa, 2000).
19. Managing Transition from Aid Dependence in Sub-Saharan Africa: Case Study of Ethiopia,( a
Chapter in a book, forthcoming , in C. Lancaster and S. Wangwe (eds), with African
Economic Research Consortium)
20. The Macroeconomic Environment and Ethiopian Agricultural ( in SisayAssefa and Tesfaye
Teklu, eds., The Challenge of Developing Agriculture in Ethiopia, Western Michigan State
Alemayehu Geda CV 9
University)
21. Supervision and Regulation of the Ethiopian Financial Sector: The Role of Institutions ( a
Chapter in Book in Alemu Mekonnen and DjeneAredo (eds.). The Role of Institutions in
Economic Development, Dept. of Economics, AAU and EEA)
22. Debt, Adjustment and Donor Intervention in the Post-War Horn of Africa: Ethiopia, Somalia
& the Sudan (1991)(Co-author; a chapter in book "Beyond Conflict in Horn of Africa", also
ISS Working paper)
Book Reviews
2. ChandanMukherijee, Howard White and Marc Wuyts (1998). Econometrics and Data
Analysis for Developing Countries. (Reviewed in Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Vol. 5, No.
2, 1999)
3. Bhinda et al (1999) Private Capital flows to Africa: Perception and Reality ( in Development
and Change, June 2003)
4. DesalegneRahmato: State and Peasants in Ethiopian:1950-200. Addis Ababa: AAU Press.
Policy Briefs
1. The KIPPRA-Treasury Macro Model: A New Instrument for Policy Analysis and forecasting,
PB No 8, KIPPRA, Nairobi.
2. Determinates of Poverty in Kenya: A Household Level Analysis, PB No. 9, KIPPRA, Nairobi.
Working/Discussion Papers:
Year 2001-2016
1. Determinants of FDI to Africa: A Panel Co-integration Approach, (Department of Economics,
Addis Ababa University, with Addis Yimer).
2. Global Macroeconometric Model for Africa: Africa in The Global and Emerging Economies
Context (African Development Bank, 2012 Mimeo)
3. Natural Resource Flows from Commodity Boom and Macroeconomic Policies in Africa
(Background Study for Afircan Capacity Foundation, Harare, September 2012)
14. The Labour Market, Poverty and Inequality in Kenya: A Micro-Simulation Approach (With N.
de Jong and K. Manda, forthcoming as KIPPRA Discussion Paper)
15. Poverty in Kenya: A Comparative Analysis of Microsimulation and Regression Based
Approaches (with N. de Jong and G. Mwabu, forthcoming in KIPPRA Discussion Paper)
16. Saving in Sub-Saharan Africa: An overview and new empirical results (with Haile Kibretr,
forthcoming in Department of Economics. Addis AbabaUniversity, Working Paper Series)
17. Trade Liberalization and Economic Integration in Africa: With Case Study of COMESA (with
Haile Kibret, Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London,, Working Paper
Series)
18. Modeling the South in North-South Models: A Brief Survey of the Literature (forthcoming in
Department of Economics. Addis Ababa University, and Economic Comission for Africa
Working Paper Series)
19. Transiting from Aid Dependency in Ethiopia: An Empirical Analysis (with BefekaduDegefe,
forthcoming in Department of Economics. Addis AbabaUniversity, Working Paper Series)
20. Banking Sector Regulation and Performance in the Post-Reform Ethiopia (With SeifeDendir,
forthcoming in Department of Economics. Addis AbabaUniversity, Working Paper Series).
21. International Financial Flows and the Challenge of Financing Development in Africa: An
Overview of Challenges and Prospects (forthcoming in Department of Economics. Addis
AbabaUniversity, Working Paper Series.
22. International Trade and the African Context: A Critical Review of the Literature, forthcoming,
in KIPPRA Discussion Paper Series.
23. Forecasting Millennium Development Goals Targets for African: A Note on Technical Issues
(with Abebe Shimeles, appeared in MOFED Working Paper Series, 2004).
24. Trade Liberalization, Poverty and Income Distribution in Africa (with Abebe Shimeless,
forthcoming in GotenbergUniversity, Department of Economics Working Paper Series, 2004).
25. The Impact of China and India on Africa: Trade, FDI and the Manufacturing Sector,
Framework Paper for AERC Research, 2006.
26. Trade, Finance and the Global Economy: Theory of the ECA Global Model, ECA, 2008.
27. Global Modeling: A Survey of the Literature, ECA, 2008.
28. Trade Finance and the Global Economy: |Modeling the North African Regional, ECA, 2008)
29. Trade Finance and the Global Economy: |Modeling the West African Region, ECA, 2008)
30. Trade Finance and the Global Economy: |Modeling the South and Eastern African Region,
ECA, 2008)
31. Efficiency of Public Spending in Ethiopian Agriculture: A Macro Perspective, IFPRI, 2008
32. Efficiency of Public Spending in Ethiopian Agriculture: A Micro Perspective, IFPRI, 2008
33. Capacity Building in Conflict and Fragile States in Africa, African Capacity Foundation,
Zimbabwe, Harare, 2010.
34. ODA and Aid-effectiveness in Ethiopian, ECA, 2011.
35. The Macroeconomic Cooperation Framework for North and South Sudan Negotiation on Oil,
Currency and Debt, African Development Bank, forthcoming, 2011/12.
1996-2000
36. A comparative look at International Linkages of the World Banks Global Economic Model
(Bank-GEM) and Other North-South Models (1994) ISS Working Paper Series Money, finance
and Development series Number 58.
37. Determinants of Aggregate Primary Commodity Export Supply: Econometric Results from
African Countries in Three Regions (East & Southern, West & Central and North Africa)
(1996 ISS Working Paper Series on Money, Finance and Development, No. 60 )
38. The Fiscal Response to External Finance in Africa: An Empirical Analysis (1996) ISS
working paper series on Money, Finance and Development, No. 61)
39. The Historical Origin of African Debt and Financial Crisis (1997, ISS Working Paper Series
on Money, Finance and Development, No. )
40. The Gebre-Hiwot Model: A Pioneer African (Ethiopian) Development Macroeconomist.
Department of Economics, Addis AbabaUniversity Working paper Series No. WP01/1998,
August 1998.
1. Estimating Investment Functions for The South African Economy (A dissertation guide for
MSc in Financial Economics, University of London, School of Oriental and African Study,
1996).
2. A Consistent Macro Database for Ethiopia (1970-1999), Ethiopian Economic Association, A
Research Report 1998 (also forthcoming as the Association’s Working Paper Series)
3. Trade Liberalization and Regional Integration in Africa: The Case of COMESA (A Report
submitted to Policy Analysis Unit of OAU, 1999)
4. Trade Liberalization and Regional Integration in Africa: The Case of SADEC (A Report
submitted to Policy Analysis Unit of OAU, 1999)
5. Problems of Country Participation in Regional Economic Groupings: The Case of Tanzania
in SADEC (A Report submitted to Policy Analysis Unit of OAU, 1999)
6. Problems of Country Participation in Regional Economic Groupings: The Case of Zambia in
COMESA (A Report submitted to Policy Analysis Unit of OAU,1999)
7. Social Progress in Africa Since the CopenhagenSummit ( A Report Submitted to Economic
Commission for Africa, 1999)
8. Trade Liberalization, Trade and Food Security ( A Report submitted to Action Aid, 1999)
9. Problems and Prospects of Financing Development in Africa (A Report Submitted to
Economic Commissions for Africa, 2000)
10. Fiscal (Macro) Policy Harmonization in the Context of African Regional Integration (A
Report Submitted to Regional Integration and Cooperation Division of Economic Commission
for Africa, November 2001).
11. Growth, Poverty and Distribution of Income in Ethiopia: Which way for a Pro-poor Growth
(with Abebe Shimeles and John Weeks, A Report to the Ethiopian Ministry of Finance and
Economic Development/PRSP input, 2002)
12. Who owns Swedish Aid in East Africa, Volume I: A Synthesis Report (With D. Anderson, C.
Cramer and Degol Hailu, A Report to Sida, Stockholm, 2002).
13. Who owns Swedish Aid in East Africa, Volume II: Country Case Studies (With D. Anderson,
C. Cramer and Degol Hailu, A Report to Sida, Stockholm, 2002).
14. UNDP’s Engagement in the Poverty Reduction Strategy Process: Case Study of Tanzania
(UNDP New York, 2002)
15. UNDP’s Engagement in the Poverty Reduction Strategy Process: Case Study of Ethiopia
(UNDP New York, 2002)
16. Forecasting and Analysis of MDGS for Ethiopia (with Abebe Shimless, UN Country Team
and MOFED, Ethiopia)
17. Tax Reform and its Distributional Implications in Ethiopia (with Abebe Shimles, for UN
WIDER).
18. The Sources of Growth in Ethiopia (with J. Weeks, Daniel Zerfu and MOFED, for MOFED).
19. Financing Development in Ethiopia (with J. Weeks, Gebre-HiwotAgeba for MOFED.
20. Openness, Inequality and Poverty in Africa: Exploring the Role of Global
Interdependence(Background Paper Prepared for UN International Forum for Social
Development on the issue of Social Development Equity, Inequality and Interdependence,
2004)
Bulletins
1. Institutional Aspect of Reforming the Financial Sector: The Case of Regulating Banking in
Post-Reform Ethiopia (UN/ECA DPMN Bulletin, Vol. VI, NO 1, November 1999)
2. Basic Open Economy Macroeconomics and the Asia Crisis (in Economic Focus, Vol 2 No 1,
1999, Ethiopian Economic Association)
3. Structural Adjustment Programs in African Context: A brief Review of the Literature (in
Economic Focus, Vol 1 No 3, 1998, Ethiopian Economic Association)
4. Globalization and International Finance: The Crucial Issue of African Debt (in Economic
Focus, Vol. 3 No 1, 2000, Ethiopian Economic Association)
5. Some Observation on Ethiopian Interim-Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (MEDREK, Forum
for Social Studies, 2001).
Unpublished:
1. Economic Management in Public Enterprises: Planning versus Market with case study on
National Leather and Shoe Corporation of Ethiopia (1987) (Unpublished, Dept. Of
Alemayehu Geda CV 12
Computer literacy
Softwere (user)
Major Word Processing, Database and Spread Sheet softwares
Quantitative software: Microfit, Eviews, TSP, Pcgive/ Pcfimi, STATA, SPSS
Programming:
Attended (not completed) a post-graduate study on computer programming (Courses offered
includes: PASCAL and C+ programming, Computer Organization and Assembly Language,
Visual Basics and Data structure and Algorithm Analysis.