Notes On Value Based Pricing
Notes On Value Based Pricing
In this note, we will review the fundamentals of value based pricing, which is what you learnt in your
core marketing course. We will only discuss the pricing of an individual product/service and not the
pricing across a set of products in a product line. Thus in the discussion that follows, we assume that the
pricing decision of the product/service under consideration has no bearing on the profitability of other
products/services in the portfolio of the firm. This material summarizes what you covered in your core
marketing course vis-à-vis pricing decisions. Please read this document before coming to class on
Tuesday. I will assume that all of you have read this note before coming to class.
1. Overview:
While making the pricing decision, it is assumed that the product is given to us. Thus as a first step, we
eliminate all those segments/customers who will not buy the product regardless of the price that we
charge, i.e., the consumers who will not buy the product even if we price it at the marginal cost. The
consumers that remain after the elimination are called the ‘broad horizontal segment’. For instance,
consider the case where Dell was to introduce a 7lb 3GHz Laptop in the market. Thus, we will first
eliminate all those segments that will not buy Dell’s laptop regardless of its price. These eliminated
segments will be (a) Mac users, who do not like the Windows OS, (b) Desktop users who see no use in
buying laptops, (c) frequent business travelers, for whom7lbs is way too heavy etc. By the end of this
exercise, we will be left with all those consumers who can potentially buy the Dell’s laptop, and these
consumers will constitute the board horizontal segment.
The pricing decision kicks in after we get the broad horizontal segment. Given the broad
horizontal segment, we can use pricing as an instrument to further refine on our target segments. For
instance, consider the Dell’s laptop example. The broad horizontal segments can be further segmented
into vertical segments, where the different vertical segments have different willingness to pay (or
different price sensitivities) for the 3GHz Laptop. For instance, there can be three vertical segments
within the broad horizontal segment: Segment A, which comprises of consumers who value the high
microprocessor speed (they might be gamers or consumers who run scientific simulations) and will have a
high willingness to pay for the 3GHz speed; Segment B, which comprises of consumers who value the
high microprocessor speed less than segment A and thus have a lower willingness to pay for the 3GHz
speed as compared to segment A; segment C, which comprises of consumers who use the Laptop for
basic purposes like Microsoft Word, and have the lowest willingness to pay for the for the 3GHz speed.
Given the three vertical segments, we can use pricing as an instrument to further refine our target
segments. For instance, if we charge a high price, then our target segment will only be segment A; if we
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charge a medium price, our target segments will be segments A and B; and if we charge a low price, then
our target segments will be A, B and C. Thus, the pricing decision boils down to which segment(s) do we
target in order to maximize our long term profits. If we target only segment A, the demand will be the
lowest, but the price will be the highest. Similarly, if we target segments A, B and C, the demand will be
the highest, but the price will be the lowest. Thus our objective here is to set a price in such a manner that
yields the optimal balance between the demand and the price so that our profits are maximized.
This completes the overview of the pricing decisions. In what follows, we will first discuss the
pricing decision for a simple case when there is only one vertical segment. Following that, we will discuss
the pricing for the case when there is more than one vertical segment. Moreover in both cases, we will
assume that the broad horizontal segment is given to us.
2. Value based Pricing Decision for a simple case when there is only one Vertical Segment:
The simple case of one vertical segment means that all consumers in the broad horizontal segment have
similar willingness to pay for the product under consideration. The pricing decision for this simple case
entails two steps: In step 1, we assess the ‘the economic value to the consumer’ (EVC) of the product
under consideration. In step 2, we assess the willingness to pay for the product under consideration, where
the willingness to pay will be price that we will charge. The two steps are explained as follows.
EVC of the product under consideration =Price of the reference product +Value Differential between the
product under consideration and the reference product. (1)
Once we quantify the EVC of the product, this metric (EVC) represents the highest price that the
company can charge for that product. In order to quantify the EVC for a product, we need to know (i) the
reference product and price of that reference product, and (ii) the value differential between the reference
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product and the product under consideration in dollar terms. In what follows, we will first discuss what a
reference product means and then discuss how we compute the value differential in dollar terms.
I. Reference Product: A reference product is the alternative that the customer that currently using. The
following steps detail how we would go about finding a reference product:
1. As a first choice, we look at the current competitors in the same product category as the product
under consideration. Given the set of current competitors in the same product category, the
reference product is the product of the competitor closest to the product under consideration
(where closeness is defined in the terms of the similarities in the value drivers that both products
satisfy).
2. If there is no competitor in the product category (that is, the product under consideration is the
first one in the category), we would look at competitors in a different product category that satisfy
the same need as the product under consideration. For instance, consider the case when
calculators were first introduced in the market. Note that in such a case, the calculator product
category did not exist prior to the introduction of the first calculator –which implies that we
cannot use the procedure detailed in the previous point to get the reference product. Thus, we
would need to look at other product categories that satisfy the same need as calculators (where the
need is computation). One such category that satisfies the same need would be ‘slide rules’. Thus
slide rule will be the reference product for the first calculator and the price of the slide rule will
be the reference price for computing the EVC for the first calculator.
3. Finally, consider the case where we cannot find a product category that satisfies even the same
need as the product under consideration. For instance, when radiation therapy was first introduced
in the market (to treat cancer), there was no other product category that treated cancer. In other
words, there was no prior product category that satisfied the same need as radiation therapy
(which is treating cancer). In such a case, the reference product for radiation therapy will be the
‘no purchase option’ and the reference price for radiation therapy will be zero dollars.
II. Computation of the value differential between the reference product and the product under
consideration:
The value differential is the dollar value of the difference in the ‘true’ value that the product under
consideration gives to the customer and the value that the reference product. It is important to note that
the value differential is based on the ‘true’ value that the product under consideration gives to the
consumer and not its ‘perceived value’. In most situations, the true value is greater than the perceived
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value. There are 2 major methods of assessing the ‘value differential’ of a product, whose applicability
varies by situation. These are:
(a) Judgment based on an understanding of buyer’s cost structure
(b) Use of conjoint analysis when we do not know the buyer’s cost structure
To understand the difference between (a) and (b), consider the following two examples.
Example 1: The firm, Cumberland Metals, has come up with a curled metal shock absorbing pad which
can be used by contractors for drilling concrete piles into the ground. The contractors are currently using
asbestos pads for drilling the concrete piles into the ground. The price of the asbestos pads to the
contractors is $10 per pad. Both the curled metal and the asbestos pads have the same lifespan of 1 month.
However, each curled metal pad saves the contractor $5 of energy as compared to an asbestos pad over
the period of 1 month.
Example 2: Glaxo has come up with a drug, Zantac, for ulcer treatment. The only competitive product in
the market is Tagamet which is priced at $1 per capsule. Zantac has the same efficacy as Tagamet, but has
fewer side effects.
In the first example, the reference price is $10 and the value differential is $5, which results in EVC = $15
(note that the value differential does not have to be positive, it can even be negative). In this example, we
can calculate the dollar value of the value differential since we know the cost structure of the buyer – i.e.,
we know how much money the buyer will save if he uses the metal pads over the asbestos pads. In the
second example, the reference price is $1 and the value differential is the dollar value of ‘fewer side
effects’. It is easy to see that computing the value differential in the second example is not easy since we
do not know the cost structure of the buyer. In such a case, computing the value differential is not
straightforward and it only be assessed by using sophisticated market research techniques like conjoint
analysis.
In this course, we will only deal with method (a), where we know the cost structure of the buyer. Before
we proceed, we will provide another example of calculating the value differential using method (a).
Consider the example of a “reference product” and “new product” with following characteristics:
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Reference New
Operating Cost/Hour $ 10 $ 15
Probability of System Crash 20% over one year 1% over one year
Price $ 75,000 To be determined
The “New” product has higher operating cost per hour but a significantly lower probability of System
Crash. Consider a customer obtaining a one year useful life of the system and operating it 2500 hours
over that time. To assess the EVC of “New” to this potential customer one needs to estimate the cost of a
system crash. If this was $ 100,000 (and both “Reference” and “New” agree to bear the cost of any crash
after the first one in the year), the value differential will be nothing but ‘System Crash Savings –Added
Operating Cost’, that is,
Value differential = [0.2(100,000)-0.01(100,000)]-{[2500 hrs * $15/hr]-[2500 hrs *$10/hr]} = $19,000-
$12,500
Given the value differential, the EVC will be
EVC =Price of Reference+ Value differential (2)
= $ 75,000+$19,000-$12,500 =$81,500
Thus so far, we have discussed how the EVC is calculated. The EVC is usually the highest price that the
company can charge for the product. While this is true economic value, it may not be the economic value
the customer perceives. For example, if the customer perceives the cost of system crash to be only
$50,000, the perceived value of “New” would be seen to be $72,000. In many situations, marketing’s job
is to make the perceived value approach true economic value. This is done by customer education. For
example, in this case “New” would have established the cost of a system crash in customer’s mind and
also provide compelling evidence that its probability of failure was only 1% as compared to Reference’s
20%. EVC is important because it usually sets an upper bound to what a customer will pay.
Finally, the calculation of EVC is based on the assumption that the reference price will not
change when your new product enters the market. In other words, the competitor who was selling the
reference product will not decrease the price of the reference product once your new product enters the
market. If you believe that the competitor will decrease the price, then your EVC calculation should be
based on your beliefs on what the final reference price will be once you enter the market. However, the
competitor will only decrease the price if the competitor believes that by decreasing the price, he/she can
price you out of the market. If that is not the case, then we can assume that the reference price will not
change when your new product enters the market.
Given the EVC, we next discuss how we can determine the willingness to pay (WTP) for the product
under consideration (where the WTP will be the price that we will charge).
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2.2 Assessing the Willingness to Pay
The EVC is usually the highest price that the company can charge for the product. The lowest price that
the company can charge is usually its variable cost (VC) or the cost of goods sold (COGS). Thus the EVC
exercise in section 2.1 gives us the pricing window – where the WTP can be anywhere between the EVC
and VC. The WTP is given as
WTP = EVC – Switching Costs (3)
In the above formula, note that if the switching costs are so high that the WTP becomes smaller than VC,
it implies that it is not worthwhile selling the product. The switching costs are determined by the
following factors (note that some of the following factors do not strictly fall under the bracket of
switching costs, but I am putting them anyhow):
1. Observability of benefits: The extent to which the consumers know the additional value of added
benefits from using the product – greater the knowledge, the greater will be the WTP (that is, it will
be towards the EVC). If consumers do not know, they need to be educated (through sales force, ads
etc.). However note that sometimes, education can only help to an extent. For instance, consider the
example of ‘Cumberland Metals’. In this example, although Cumberland metals was able to convince
the contractors that they would save money on less energy wastage, they could not convince the
contractors that the money saved will be $5. This is because the contractors thought that the
methodology used by Cumberland metals to assess the dollar value of the savings was not accurate
enough. In fact, most contractors placed the dollar value of savings at $2 per pad. In such a case, there
are two options that Cumberland metals can pursue. The first option is to charge a price lower than
EVC based on the value differential perceived by the contractors (which is around $12 per pad). The
second option is to first give the metals pads on a trial basis to the contractors (so that they can see for
themselves that the dollar savings are indeed $5), and then charge a price close to the EVC (i.e.,
around $15). Note that the second option is worthwhile as long as the contractors can make the
assessment on the savings in a short amount of time. If the contractors take 1 year or more to realize
the true savings, then the second option may not be worthwhile (since your company will not make
any profit for a while).
2. Perceived Risks associated with using the new product: one can lower the price or offer money back
guarantees/warranties to mitigate the risk. However, sometimes, the perceived risks might be very
high and a price decrease may not help. For instance, in the Cumberland Metals example, one of the
perceived risks for some of the contractors was that the metal pads will not work, and as a
consequence, it will damage other equipment. In such a case, the risks can only be reduced by
educating the consumers (through sales-force etc.) or by offering the product on a trial basis.
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However, if educating the customers/offering on a trial basis does not allay the perceived risks, then it
is not worthwhile selling the product to the segment.
3. Other Switching costs– sometimes there can be monetary switching costs such as penalty fees for
changing your cell phone service provider. In such a case, the competitor needs to lower the prices to
compensate for the switching costs. Other switching costs can be behavioral switching costs which
require the consumer to invest time in learning how to use the new product (for instance, consumers
who have used Windows will be averse to using Macs since it requires time/effort in knowing how to
work with Macs) or behavioral switching costs that require a change in consumer habits (as in the
example of electric cars). In such cases, one could decrease the price to offset the switching costs.
However, in some cases, the behavioral switching costs can be very high and a price decrease will not
help. In such a case, you have to find other ways to decrease the behavioral switching costs – and if
you cannot find other ways to decrease the behavioral switching costs, then it is not worthwhile
selling the product to the segment.
As a coda, note that the three factors mentioned above is not an exhaustive list of the switching costs.
Further, the three factors mentioned above are ‘qualitative factors’ that influence switching costs. We can
quantify the qualitative factors in dollar terms, which will give us the dollar value of the switching costs,
which will in turn give the dollar value of the WTP (using equation 3 above). However, in many
situations, it may not be easy/possible to quantify the aforementioned qualitative factors in dollar terms.
For such situations, one has to use his/her managerial judgment as to what the dollar value of the
qualitative factors will be.
3. Pricing Decision for the case when there is more than one Vertical Segment:
The case of more than one vertical segments means that consumers in the broad horizontal segment have
different willingness to pay for the product under consideration. The pricing decision for this case is a
simple extension of the case when there is only one vertical segment. The steps involved in the pricing
decision are as follows.
Step 1: We first identify the vertical segments that can have different willingness to pay for the product.
Given the vertical segments, we do the same exercise for each of the vertical segments as what we did in
the simple case when there is only one vertical segment. In other words, consider the case where there are
three vertical segments, A, B and C. We start with segment A in seclusion (i.e., assuming that segments B
and C do not exist). Given segment A, we first assess the EVC for consumers in segment A in the same
manner as what we did in section 2.1. Note that this will entail knowing the reference product and the
reference price for customers in segment A, and knowing the value differential between your product and
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the reference product for customers in segment A. Given the reference price and the value differential, we
can then calculate the EVC for customers in segment A. Following that, we will assess the WTP for
customers in segment A in the same manner as what we did in section 2.2. This will entail knowing the
switching costs for customers in segment A. Thus by the end of this exercise, we will know the WTP of
customers in segment A. Note that in this exercise, we have calculated the WTP of segment A in
seclusion. Next, we will do the same exercise for segment B in seclusion (i.e., assuming segments A and
C do not exist), and assess the WTP of customers in segment B. And finally, we will do the same exercise
for segment C in seclusion (i.e., assuming segments A and B do not exist), and assess the WTP of
customers in segment C.
By the end of the exercise discussed in the above paragraph, we will have the WTP for each of
the three segments. To have a clearer understanding of this exercise, consider the Cumberland Metals
example in which there are three different types of contractors: the first are the large size contractors who
use the pads for major drilling projects. These contractors will save $8 of energy per pad if they used the
metal pads as opposed to the asbestos pads. The second are the medium size contractors who use the pads
for smaller scale drilling projects (as compared to the large size contractors). These contractors will save
$5 of energy per pad if they used the metal pads as opposed to the asbestos pads. The third are the small
size contractors who use the pads for small scale drilling projects. These contractors will save $2 of
energy per pad if they used the metal pads as opposed to the asbestos pads.
It follows that the EVC of the large sized contractors will be $18, the EVC of the medium sized
contractors will be $15 and the EVC of the small sized contractors will be $12. Next, for each of the
different types of contractors, we need to know the switching costs. Consider the case where the
switching costs are $4, $3 and $2 for the large, medium and small sized contractors respectively. This will
yield the WTP as $14 for the large contractors, $12 for the medium size contractors and $10 for the small
contractors.
Step 2: In this step, we decide the final price given the WTPs of the three different vertical segments. The
final price will be the WTP of one of the segments. Consider the same example of Cumberland Metals,
where the WTP of large contractors is $14, WTP of medium size contractors is $12, and WTP of small
contractors is $10. Thus the final price will be either $14, $12 or $10. To decide the final price, we would
need to know the variable cost of the metal pads and the total demand at each of the three different price
points (i.e., $14, $12 or $10). Consider the case where the variable cost is $9 per pad. To get the demand
at each of the three price points, that are two methods that we can employ.
In the first method, we use conjoint analysis to assess the number of contractors across all three
segments that will purchase the metal pads at each of the three price points. However, this requires
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advanced market research techniques, which many firms may not be able to afford (further, it is beyond
the scope of this course). In the second method, we calculate the total potential demand at each of the
three price points. Consider the case where there are 100 large contractors, 200 medium sized contractors
and 300 small sized contractors in the market – where each of the contractors buys the same number of
pads per month. Note that if we charge $14 per pad, only the large sized contractors will buy the metal
pad, but not the medium and the small sized contractors. Why? This is because $14 is the WTP of the
large sized contractors (which implies that they will buy the metal pad at $14), and $14 is greater than the
WTP of the medium and small sized contractors (which implies that they will not buy the metal pad).
Thus, the total potential demand at $14 will be 100 contractors. Next, if we charge $12 per pad, the large
and the medium sized contractors will buy the metal pad, but not the small sized contractors. Why? This
is because $12 is smaller than the WTP if the large sized contractors (which implies that they will buy the
metal pad), and $12 is greater than the WTP of sized contractors (which implies that they will not buy the
metal pad). Thus the total potential demand at $12 will be 300 contractors. Similarly, we will get the total
potential demand at $10 as 600 contractors.
Given the total potential demand, we next calculate the total potential profits at each of the three
price points. This is done as follows.
Potential Profit at $14 = (price-VC)*Total potential demand = (14-9)*100 = $500
Potential Profit at $12 = (12-9)*300 = $900
Potential Profit at $10 = (10-9)*600 = $600
The above analysis shows that charging $12 yields the highest potential profit. Thus, our final price
should be $12 per metal pad.
Caveats: There are two caveats for the above math analysis:
1. In the calculations above, we have made the assessment of the optimal price based on the total
potential demand. However, it is easy to see that the total potential demand will not be the same
as the true demand. For instance, it is unlikely that all 100 large contractors in the market will
adopt the metal pads when we charge $14. A more accurate analysis will entail knowing the
actual demand, for which we need to do conjoint analysis. Nevertheless, the analysis based on
total potential demand gives us a reasonable idea as to what the optimal price should be. Thus as
a manager, you should not completely rely on the analysis based on total potential demand –
instead, you should take it as one of the reasons that would support charging a price of $12.
2. In the calculations, we have assumed that if we charge a price lower than the WTP of a segment,
then that segment will purchase the product. For instance, we assumed that if Cumberland metals
were to charge $10, then the customers who have the highest WTP (large contractors) will buy
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the pad. Note that this assumption does not hold true if it is a snob value product and if the
customers who have the highest WTP buy the product to satisfy their value driver of exclusivity.
Price Skimming and Penetration: In the math analysis in section 3, if the firm charged $14, it will only
cater to the segment that has the highest WTP, and the other segments will be left out. This is called price
skimming, where you charge a price that only caters to the customers that have the highest WTP. On the
other hand, if the firm charged $10, it will cater to all the segments. This is called price penetration, where
you charge a price that caters all customers.
Very High Switching costs for some segments: In the analysis in section 3, consider the case where the
switching costs (for instance, the perceived risks) of the medium and small sized contractors are very
high, and no amount of price decrease or education will help. In such a case, we have to limit our target
segment to the large contractors only for the first year. And over time when the medium/small contractors
learn from the experience of the large contractors that there are not risks with buying the metal pads, then
we can expand our target segments to these contractors. A natural question that follows in such a case is:
what price should we charge in the first year to the large sized contractors? There are two options that
one can follow:
Option 1: charge a price in the first year = WTP of the large contractors = $14. And after 1 year, when
the medium sized contractors learn that there are no risks, then decrease the price to $12 so that you can
also target the medium size contractors.
Option 2: charge a price in the first year = WTP of the medium size contractors = $12. And after 1 year,
when the medium sized contractors learn that there are no risks, they will start buying the product.
In both options, we will be charging the optimal price after the first year (the price of $12 is optimal as
discussed in the math analysis in section 3). However, the difference between the two options is that in
option 1, we start with $14 and then decrease the price to $12, and in option 2, we do not change the price
over time. Option 1 is called ‘Inter-temporal price discrimination’ where the firm is able to price
discriminate across customers by varying the price over time. It is easy to see that option 1 yields higher
long term profits as compared to option 2.
It is important to note that option 1 should only be chosen when it is a norm in the industry that
firms engage in inter-temporal price discrimination by decreasing prices over time. For instance, it is a
norm in the hi-tech consumer markets (PCs, I-Pads, digital cameras etc.) that firms engage in inter-
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temporal price discrimination by decreasing prices over time – thus the consumers are comfortable with
the idea that the firms will engage in inter-temporal price discrimination. However, that is not so in other
markets. For instance, in B2B markets, where customer relationships are extremely important, we seldom
see firms engaging in inter-temporal price discrimination. This is because if a firm engages in inter-
temporal price discrimination in B2B markets, it will alienate their customers who had purchased the
product at a higher price. Now this does not imply that in B2B markets, the sellers do not decrease their
prices over time. In fact they do. However, the reason why they decrease their prices over time is because
of decrease in their costs over time, and not because of inter-temporal price discrimination.
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